MINISTRY OF EDUCATION MALAYSIA FOUR-YEAR TEACHEREDUCATION PROGRAMME FORPRIMARY EDUGATION EXAMINATION 2OO8 (PR|MARY MATHEMATTCS) STATISTICS CodeNo.

: MTE3105 lndexNo.: Centre : Date: May2008 Duration: 2 Hours30 Minutes

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES:
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1. Thispaperconsists of two sections; questions Section A: 5 structured B: 4 essayquestions Section 2. Answer all questions in Section A andanswer 2 questionsonfy in Section B. questions: 3. Answer A in the spaceprovided Section in thetestbooklet; and provided. Section B in the answer sheets 4. All answers sheets mustbe tiedtogether withthe testbooklet andbe handed in at the end of theexamination. Answer sheets not handed iniat the endof the willnot be marked examination by the examiner. 10minutes 5. An additional is given for youto readthrough thewholepaperbefore youbeginto answer. r FOR EXAMINER'S USE ONLY

SECTION NUMBER QUESTION / MARKS TOTAL 1a 1b 1c 2a 2b 2c 3a 3b 4a 4b 5a 5b A (50 marks) B 1a 1b 2a 2b 3 4a 4b (50 marks GRAND TOTAL CONSISTS THISPAPER OF 25 PRINTED PAGES INCLUDING THEAPPENDIX

Code No.: MTE 3105

lndexNo.: A SECTION (50 marks)

all questions in the spaceprovided. Answer in thissection 1. The Road Transport Department requires that all 10-yearold cars have to undergo a performance test. The probabilities that three 10-year old carsA, B and C will passthe performance test are I I .1 j ,4* d rres pec ti v e ly . (a) { '} Explainwhetherthe events of the cars passingthe test are independent or dependent events. (2 marks}

(b)

given,draw a tree diagramfor the test From the information performance result of the carsA, B and C. (3 marks)

q" ,,9

Code No.: MTE 3105

lndex No.:

(c)

(i)

thatonlyoneof the threecarspasses Findthe probability test. the performance (3 marks)

(ii)

the probability that at mosttwo out of the three Calculate test. carswillpassthe performance {2 marks)

Code No.: MTE 3105

Index No.:

2.

manufactures 5000 cylindrical components in a five-hours A machine value mean of the diameter being 0.500 with standard the cm day, 0.30mm. deviation (a) sampte A random of 25 components is takenevery15 minutes. the meanof the sampling distribution of the means Determine and the standard errorof the means,correct to four significant figures, for one day's outputfrom the machine, if the sarnples weretaken (i) replacement without (3 marks)

,i

(ii)

withreplacement. (2 marks)

'i

,)

{
i t

CodeNo.:MTE3105 (b)

lndex No.:

is takenandthe mean of 50 components Another sample is foundto be 0.550cm. Findthe 95%confidence diameter mean. interval of the population (2 marks)

3.

(c)

(i)

interval of the population Findalsothe 99%confidence in (b). meanfor thesample (2 marks)

(ii)

youranswers in (b)and(cXi), whatconclusion Compare you about them? make can

(1 mark)

i;

Code No.: MTE 3105

lndex No.:

3.

has run a surveyand claimsthat the traineesof A focal magazine publicintitutions watch less television than the generalpublic. The deviation of 2 is 25.4hoursper week,withthe"standard localaverage hours. (a) problems. List the stepsfor solvinghypothesis-testing

!1 )

(4 marks)

{.}

CodeNo.:MTE3105

Index No.:

(b) A sample and has takespartin the survey trainees of 30 institute a meanof 19 hours. Using the stepslistedin (a) , do you have the claimat c = A.U? evidence to support enough (6 marks)

3r

C o d e N o .: MT E 3 1 0 5

lndex No.:

whether of a town wishesto determine 4. The trafficcontroldepartment amongthe issuedhas an equaldistribution the numberof summons tabledisplays of variousage groups. The'following trafficoffenders for traffic for a sample of peoplesummoned the age groupdistribution offences. 5. >50 <20 4049 20-29 30-39 Age group Summoned 31 20 15 10 4

test to test whether the number of You will use the chi-square the age groups. distributed among are equally summons (a) test? in a chi-square (i) Whatis'Low Expected Values'

({ mark)

you do if (a) happen? (ii) Whatshould

rb

(1 mark)

{ t
I

Code No.: MTE3105

lndex No.:

(b)

for each age group Test the claim that the distribution q = 0.01by usingthe following is the same at summoned steps: (i) to testthe claim. Statethe hypotheses

H r:

(2 marks)

(ii)

Statethe degreeof freedomin the testand the critical value.

Value: Critical (2 marks)

l:'|l

GodeNo.: MTE3105

lndex No.;

(iii)

formula. Calculate the test-statistics by usingappropriate (3 marks)

it

(iv)
iF

of yourtestabove. Writea conclusion

(1 mark)

10

Code No.: MTE 3105

lndex No.:

5.

wantsto know if there is a Supermarket The managerof Welcorne has to wait in a check'out in the average time a customer difference on the checkof datacollected counters. Analysis linein threedifferent is shownbelow: for threecounters out times(in minutes) CounterA
4

CounterB
5 .8

CounterC
1
J

3 5
6 4

I
6

4 2 7
6

3 5

xl -4 si
) -)

1=a
sl = 4'8

Xt =3'61 = 4'67 s2t

= 4.5556 Grandvariance= 4.4967 Grand Mean (a) willtheManager usein an ANOVA andclaim Whathypotheses test?
Ho:

H r: (2 marks)

(b)

in (a): testthe hypptheses At q =0.01, (i) for numerator of freedom and Statethe degree findthe critical value. hence denominator,

d.f. (numerator): d.f. (deryominator): CriticalValue: (2 marks)

Code No.: MTE 3105

Index No,:

groups (ii) Evaluate the variance between andthe variance withingroups, and hence value. the F-test (5 marks)

,,

.i

.L

(iii)

aboutthetestabove. Makea decision (1 mark)

t2

Code No.: MTE 3105

B SECTION (50 marks) Answer any two (2) questions in thissection. 1. withthe of 895 hours of 50 bulbshasthe meantimeto failure A sample interval for a 99%confidence deviation of 49 hour. Construct standard of the bulbs. the meantimeto failure (a) Explainhowthe confidence in the be affected intervalwill following cases: (i) (ii) than50 was used. A bigger sample of 500 rather of bulbs.has standard lt is given thatthe population deviation of 45 hours (12marks) (b) lf the population of 900 hours of bulbshasa meantimeto failure that determine the probability deviation of 45 hours, and standard the meantime to failureof a randomsampleof 36 bulbswill be 890 hoursand 915 hours. between (5 marks) that the that he is 95% confident A production manager claimed hours, for any sample 852to 948 meantimeto failureis between = wheno 45 hours. Showwhether the takenfromthe population, of 30 bulbs and the mean of 892 size claimis truewitha sample if he wantsto be hours. How largemusta samplebe selected differs from the sample meanby true mean 90%confident of the 5 hours? (8 marks)

Code No.: MTE 3105

2.

purchases X. A fromsupplier steelcables A construction cornpany (in kg)of strength andthe breaking is selected, of 14 cables sample is below. The data shown eachis found. 907, 906, 908, 906, 909, 1000,908, 9,0 9 , 9 0 7 , 9 0 5 , 9 0 8 , 9 0 9 1001,10 0 2 Given that the breakingstrengthof the lteel cables is normally deviation being 30 kg. withthe population standard distributed (a) deviation of the sample. Determine the meanandthe standard The lot of cables is rejectedif the standarddeviationof the the lot be than 30 kg. At q = 0.01,should sampleis greater rejected? (15marks) more steel cablesfrom companypurchases The construction of the breaking anothersupplierY. The standarddeviation (in kg) for this population is 28 kg. A sampleof 30 strength cablesis takenand it is foundthat the meanis 930 kg. At o = difference in thatthereis no significant 0.05,can it be concluded fromthe two suppliers? of the cables the breaking strength

(b)

(10marks)

I4

'J
C o d e N o .: MT E 3 1 0 5

3.

for required testandthe conditions two usesof the chi-square Explain the use' (6 marks)

A study is being conductedto determinewhether there is a physical and bloodpressure.A random exercise between relationship and' they are classifiedinto selected, sample of 206 subjects is as shownin the tablebelow.At q = 0.01,testthe claimthat categories are not related. physical and bloodpressure exercise

Exercise Status Low Exerciseregularly No exercise 30 15

Blood Pressure Moderate 56 60 High 20 25

(19marks)

r-

'.

,
t

15

,r."\

APPENDIX I1 9

(MTE 310s) lN STATISTICS LlsT oF FORMULAE PROBABILITY

(1) (21 GeneralAddition Rule : Genral MultiplicationRule :

P(AU B) = P(A) + P(B)- P(AnB) P ( A O B ) = P ( A )x P ( B )

THEORY AND ESTIMATION SAMPLING ({) Standarderror of the means (Samplesdrawn from a finite population)

6i=(17){l,'_
where or o ,l/ n -

.o - W:"

the means distribution of the sampling deviation Standard of thepopulation deviation Standard size Population size Sample

(21

Standarderror of the means (Samplesdrawn from an infinite population)

oi=

o
.rl n

(3)

to z-score Transformation

Z_

X-p
o

where
a

Z - Standardized score X - Valueof variable of the distribution It - Mean deviation of the distribution o - Standard

I
I

Code No.: MTE 3105

4.

(a)

'thelineof bestfit' in the regression analysis. Define (3 marks)

(b) Data from a sampleof 10 randomlyselectedstudentswas regardingthe numberof hoursthey spent in a week collected studying for final examinationand their scores on that Thedatawas as shownbelow. examination.

Hours 6
Score 60

5 45

I 80

11
85

5 65

10 82

6 50

15 90

76

45

Drawa scatterplotfor the data. and use it to predict equation the score Determine the regression 12 hoursperweekfor the examination. whostudies of a student (20marks) the meaning of residual of points, in yourownwords, Explain, equation obtained. andthe slopein yourregression (3 marks)

, i'i

2008(07) of Malaysia @Government

t6

APPENDIX 2/9

(4)

limitsof the meanof the samplefrom a finite The confidence population

xt,.L - -a.ly:! t2
Ji \ (5)

w -t

The confidence limits of the mean of the santplefrom an infinite population

x *, 6 zo''' \tn -

(6)

( pl limitsof the meanvalueof the population Theconfidence

/t, + za rz.o z
where of the means Ft - Mean of sampling distribution coefficient zat2 - Confidence 6i - Standarderrorof the means

(71

The confidence limits of the standard deviation of the population ,s + zatz'oi where of a sample deviation s - Standard

(8)

(basedon limitsof the meanvalueof the population The confidence small samplesize)
x-tf.

- 4n-l

where t" - Confidenoe coefficient of smallsample of a sample deviation s - Standard n - Sample size

,i

APPENDIX 319 TEST HYPOTHESIS CHI-SQUARE (1) When expectedfrequenciesare equal

H u-

n
-_

where n k frequencies Sumof all observed of categories Number

(21

are not all equal frequencies Whenexpected E =np where frequencies of allobserved n - Sum forthecategory p - Frobability

(3)

TestStatistic Ghi-Square
/1

,,2 -T(ro -n>';

" [E )

where
\

frequencies O - Observed frequencies E - Expected (ANOVA) OFVARIANCE ANALYSTS with equalsample ANOVA (Catculations for One-Way (1) TestStatistic sizes) Variancebetweensamples _y! O _ Variancewithinsamples s', where
t

means of sample sj - Variance variances variance or themean of thesample s; - Pooled

)-

{ I ,

APPENDIX 4/9

(2). Test Statistcfor One-Way ANOVA(Calculations with unequal sample sizes)

r-

Variance betweensampIes Variance within samples

1r",6,-;I I
F_

L ft{l
z(n,-r) s!
>(", -l)

where i k scores combined - rn?fiof all sample of population means being compared - number

t1i - number of valuesin the rthsample sf - variance of values in the r'th sample

(3)

Key Components of ANOVA Method

SS(Total) = lx
SS (Betweeo)=

,_(zn'
// n

z,:(Zxt'
.Ar

- Ss(Between) SS(Within) = SS(Total) Where

N - Total number in allthegroups of elements Ti - Sumof elem,entS in eachgroup n of elements in eachgroup - Number

.""4
I

APPENDIX 519

REGRESSION LINEAR (1) equationin linearregression Prediction

Y =b ,,+b rx where

b,='Za ,
and b,,= Y -bri

NZ"

i (21 Goefficient of determination R2

ft=

l"Zx' - (Zx)'ll"ZY' - (I rl' l

"Zxr - (IxXZr I

TESTING HYPOTHESIS (1) Testingclaimsabout a populationstandarddeviationor variance ,

t - --;-

(n - 1 )sl
o-

where n .r' o' Samplesize Samplevariance Population variance

(21 Testing claimsabouta population meanbased on smallsample using

Student f - distribution t-

X-Fx
ln

s r

t
I

APPENDIX 6/9

(3)

Testingclaims about a populationmean basedon big sample using standard Normal distribution

X-ltx o r
"rln
i

(4)

Testinga claimabouta population proportion p-p

1t

lp q

Yn

where n - number of trials

proportion) t, - x ln (sample p - population proportion (used in the nullhypothesis) q 1-p

(5)

Testing the differencebetweentwo population means

_ _ ( in - iu ) - (pn-ltn)

lol , o; .l --1- VM, where ,l/ i p 6' Sample size Sample mean

t),,

NB

Population mean

- Population variance

."\
j

APPENDIX 719

TABLES
NORMAL(z) DISTIBUTION 1. TABLE OF THE STANDARD

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.0 0 .1

o.2
0.3 0.4 0 .5 0.6 0 .7 0 .8 0.9 1 .0
1. 1

0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.01600.0199 0.02390.0279 0.03190.0359 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0 . 0 7 1 4 0.0753 026 0.10640,11030 . 1 1 4 1 0.07930.0832 0.0871 0.09100.0948 0.0987 0.1 0.13680.14060.'t443 0 . 1 4 8 0 0.1517 0 .1 1 7 90 .1 2 1 70 .1 2 5 5 0.1293 0.'1331 0.1554 0.1591 0 .1 6 280.1664 0.1700 0 . 1 7 3 6 0.17720.1808 0.1844 0.1879 0 .1 91 5 0.1 950 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 o.2157o.2190 0.2224 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549 0.2580 0.2611 o.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852 0.2881 0.29100.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.30510.3078 0.31060.3133 0 .3 1 s 90. 3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.32890.33150.3340 0.3365 0.3389 0 .3 4 1 30.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.35080.3531 0.3554 0.3577 n ?6()0 0.3621 0.3643 0.36650.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.37700.3790 0.38100.3830
0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0 . 4 0 1 5

1 .2 1 .3 1 .4 1 .5
1. 6
l-t

0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0 . 4 1 3 1 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177 0.4192 o_4207o.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319 0.4332 0.4345 4.4357 0.4370 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441
0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0 . 4 5 1 5 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.45910.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633 0.4641 0.4649 0.46s6 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706 o.4713 0.4719 o.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.4750 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767

1. 8 1. 9

2 .0 2 .1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2 .5

z- o

0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.48120.4817 0.4821 0.4826 0.4830 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.4850 0.4854 0.4857
0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.4890

0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.49110.49130.4916

0.4918 0.4920 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.49310.4932 0.4934 0.4936 0.4938 0.4940 o.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0_4951 0.4952

0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.4960 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964
0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.4970 0.497'l 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 o.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.4980 0.4981 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990

2 .7 2 .8 2 .9 3 .0 3 .1 3 .2 3 .3 3.4

0.4990 0-4991 0.4991 0.4991 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4993 0.4993 0.4993 0.4993 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.499s 0.4995 0.4995
0.4995 0.4995 0.4995 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4998

'l t

APPENDIX 8/9

2.

(x' ) TABLE CH|-SQUARE

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r. 4

APPENDIX 9/9

3.

TABLE F. DISTRIBUTION

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dflfl
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a

e*dom Itumer<rf or Degrear,cff r,

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