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Issue Size: Rs. 67.5 cr – Rs 75 cr GSL is engaged in the business of manufacture, marketing and sale of Industrial
Alcohol comprising Rectified Spirit and Extra-Neutral Alcohol, Country Liquor, and
Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL). GSL has established its identity in Country
Issue Size: 75,00,000 equity shares Liquor and IMFL business with steady growth and production of high quality liquor.
GSL has a brand portfolio of its own in the Country Liquor segment, and caters to
QIB upto 37,25,000 eq sh
reputed Indian brands in the IMFL segment. GSL has already launched its own
Retail upto 26,07,500 eq sh
Non Institutional upto 11,17,500 eq sh IMFL brands in the north Indian state of Haryana and proposes to launch the
Employee 50,000 eq sh brands in six more states in North India and four states in South India.
Both the distilleries have modern bottling facilities equipped with bottling machines,
Lead Manager: SREI Capital Markets Ltd which caters to its own production of Country Liquor and IMFL brands. Also, the
Keynote Corporate Services Ltd Company has tie-ups for bottling IMFL products for other brand owners.
Objects of Issue:
The Objects of the Issue are as stated below:
§ Installation of a Multi-Pressure Distillation Plant to produce quality Extra Neutral Alcohol (ENA) of 35,000 Litres per day from both
Molasses and Grain at Behror U nit in Rajasthan
§ Installation of a Multi-Pressure Distillation Plant to produce quality Extra Neutral Alcohol (ENA) of 35,000 Litres per day from Grain at
Samalkha Unit in Haryana
§ Capacity expansion of Total Spirit-based Starch Liquefaction section from 60 KLPD to 75 KLPD, with modernization at Behror Unit,
Rajasthan
§ Installation of a High-Pressure Boiler and Back–Pressure Turbine, which would use Biogas and Biomass as fuel; and implementation
of Green House Gas Abatement project at both units
§ Brand development for marketing IMFL brands in 10 more States/Union Territories
§ Acquisition of Canteen Stores Department (CSD) registered IMFL Brands
§ Revamping of existing storage/bottling capacity at Samalkha Unit
§ To meet the expenses of the issue
§ To list the equity shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), the Designated Stock Exchange; and National Stock
Exchange of India Limited (NSE), which will enhance GSL’s brand name and provide liquidity to its shareholders
Schedule of Implementation:
S. No. Particulars Commencement Completion
Multi-Pressure Distillation Plant to produce quality Extra Neutral Alcohol (ENA) of 35,000 Litres per
1
day from both Molasses and Grain at Behror Unit May 2007 March 2010
Installation of a Multi-Pressure Distillation Plant, including Slurry mixing and Liquefaction,
saccharification-cum-Fermentation along with auxiliaries etc., to produce quality Extra Neutral Alcohol
2 (ENA) of 35,000 Litres per day from Grain at Samalkha Unit in Haryana May 2007 March 2010
Capacity expansion of Total Spirit-based Starch Liquefaction section from 60 KLPD to 75 KLPD with
3 modernization May 2007 March 2010
4 Installation of a High-Pressure Boiler, which would use Biogas and Biomass as fuel January 2007 March 2010
5 Back-Pressure Turbine January 2007 March 2010
6 GHG Abatement project under the clean development mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protoco November 2006 March 2010
7 Brand promotion & IMFL launch operations in North & South India December 2006 March 2010
8 Acquisition of CSD registered IMFL brands August 2007 March 2010
Completed in March
9 IMFL Bottling Section at Samalkha Unit January 2007 2009
10 IMFL Bottling Section at Behror Unit August 2008 March 2010
Completed in March
11 Civil & Structural May 2007 2009
(Source: RHP)
20%
annum
15%
%
1.5 14%
15%
0 0%
Rajasthan Haryana New Delhi Chandigarh
State
LHS - Million Cases per annum RHS - Market Share%
(Source: RHP)
Value Chain
Government/Private
North India
Conversion to alcohol
Government/Private
G
R To be a branded player in IMFL and has
O launched a portfolio of brands as an
W initiative
T
H
Maintain leadership in country liquor, which
S is currently growing at 7-8% p.a.
T
R
A
T Strengthen IMFL franchise and ENA
E business
G
Y
Liquor industry is unique as th ere are certain key variable factors that influence its viability and growth such as duty structures, excise
rules and regulations, product-pricing, marketing initiatives to promote the brand, distribution and several regulatory issues like licenses
to manufacture, labelling etc. On issues of excise and duties, these are fast coming to World Trade Organization (WTO) levels. The
industry does not have many entry barriers and with the opening up of the economy there are multiple ways of market entry; it could be
Bottled in India (BII) or Bottled in Origin (BIO) or Bulk Import and locally bottled. While this will enable world-class quality brands to
enter India, there is a fear that the stagnating markets overseas may trigger dumping of cheap liquor into the In dian market, which will
not be a healthy trend for both the Indian consumer as well as the domestic liquor players.
Taxation being a major contributing factor to the increase in the price at the consumer level, the trend to go in for cheaper products in
key whisky and rum segment has been on the increase of late. The lower category whisky segment has been growing rapidly in recent
years. The lower per capita consumption in India, the high volume in the unorganized cheap segment of the spirits business with its
likely transition into the organized sector, the changing consumer perception of alcohol and the progressive regulatory changes are the
key drivers to the growth of this industry
Each State levies taxation and duties on alcohol at its own decided rates. Each State also levies excise duties and also regulates
distribution channels of alcohol in its own way. Liquor happens to be a major contributor to the state’s exchequer. Some states, have, in
the past, taken firm action in terms of banning the sale of alcohol within their state, but their decision had its own political fallout, and the
ban had to be withdrawn.
Currently the industry is dominated by 3 brewers, the United Breweries, Shaw Wallace and Mohan Meakins. However, a number of
international brewers are starting to become established. Joint ventures could continue to be more important as the distribution network
in India is complex.
India is the largest producer of sugarcane in the world and sugar industry is the second largest agro-based industry of India, textiles
industry being the largest. Production of molasses has increased from 0.4 million tonnes in 1950-51 to 8.29 million tonnes in 1995-96.
The Government has already decontrolled the prices and movement of molasses. (Source: Financial Appraisal Report of SBI dated
September 5, 2008)
Advertising of alcohol and alcohol-related products is officially banned and considered illegal. Major liquor manufacturers, however,
spend heavily on surrogate brands under the same brand names such as glasses, mineral water, music items, fashion articles etc.
Satellite and cable television however, being uplinked from outside India, have allowed liquor advertising by Indian brands.
As regards the distribution system, all outlets have to be licensed; Wholesalers, Retailers, Bars and Restaurants, and Bonded
Warehouse operators. The Distribution system is still the same for Beer as for Spirits and Wine. They pay the, varying, States licence
fees. These can, at present, only sell Indian-made Liquor over most States. It continues to be expected that Beer and Wine may shortly
be permitted to sell in more outlets.
The liquor industry is suffering from over-taxation and over-regulation, which has impeded the profitability even in the face of continuing
growth in demand for liquor products. Further widening the scope of service tax and increase in the rate of service tax has had a direct
impact by way of increased expenditure on the Company.
Distribution of IMFL is also regulated in some states either through auctions or through government procurement agencies (as in Tamil
Nadu and Andhra Pradesh etc.) These regulations create monopolistic environment, stifle entrepreneurship spirit and hamper growth.
The present distribution system is affecting the revenue collections of the states, and the state governments are increasingly looking to
liberalize the distribution system. Uttar Pradesh is a good case in point where the excise revenues witnessed a substantial jump once
The foreign players are likely to have market grip over the super premium and premium segments and the Indian manufacturers would
see a reduced market share. The domestic majors will nevertheless upgrade the large Country Liquor market into IMFL. Local players
have all along dominated the Country Liquor segment wherein there are no large players or multinationals coming in to this specifi c
segment.
Even amongst the various IMFL segments, Vodka, White Rum, and Brandy are expected to grow at above-industry growth rates albeit
on a very low base.
The demand for Alcoholic Beverages has been growing at a steady pace of approximately 10% p.a. and (this growth rate) is expected
to continue to grow at this rate in the future. Supply is expected to match the demand over the medium term. The overall profitability of
the industry would continue to be subject to the prices of molasses and the extent of competition besides the duties levied by State
Governments. (Source: Financial Appraisal Report of SBI dated September 5, 2008)
Concerns:
§ Constraint in the availability of and increase in prices of raw materials viz., Molasses and Grain may affect the Company’s
operations and in turn the profitability of the Company:
Alcohol industry being a raw material intensive industry, the Company is exposed to possible unpredictability in the supply of raw
materials, be it molasses or grain. Disruption in the supply of raw material may lead to hampering of the production process flow.
Uncertainty over the availability of raw materials such as molasses, grain and other sources such as water, power, skilled manpower
etc may also affect the Company’s operations and in turn the future profitability of the Company, which cannot be quantified.
Shortage of sugar cane and drought like conditions may result in higher prices of molasses and grains.
§ Entry of more domestic and multinational players in the IMFL industry may force the Company to reduce the prices of its products
which may reduce its revenues and margins which could have a materially adverse effect on its business, financial condition and
results of operation.
§ The company as of date has no major brand presence in the IMFL segment and has a limited distribution network in the IMFL
segment.
§ The IMFL industry has negative perception in the Indian cultural context. This leads to circumstances like ban on advertising of
alcoholic beverages in the print/TV media, which is not conducive to business development.
§ The promoters have interest in 3 other distillery/alcohol businesses. In future there could arise potential areas of conflict due to this.
Book
Net Sales (Rs. Value RONW CMP
Cr) OPM % NPM % (Rs) % (Rs) EPS (Rs) P/E (x)
Company Q1FY10 FY09 Q1FY10 FY09 Q1FY10 FY09 FY09 Q1FY10 FY09 #Q1FY10 FY09
Associated Alcohol 23.4 105.0 9.5% 8.0% 3.0% 2.3% 47.5 19.3% 22.7 0.8 2.6 7.3 8.7
Khoday India 27.2 116.5 6.2% 15.0% -13.2% -1.0% 26.4 - 62.3 0.0 0.0 - -
Radico Khaitan 183.5 655.4 18.5% 12.3% 5.8% 1.0% 106.3 - 226.5 1.0 0.6 54.4 353.8
Tilaknagar Industries* 52.5 237.0 14.6% 19.6% 5.5% 9.0% 106.3 41.6% 226.5 4.6 37.1 12.4 6.1
United Spirits 1241.7 4089.5 24.2% 16.9% 14.1% 7.3% 228.8 18.6% 955.1 16.5 27.5 14.5 34.7
At Rs. 90-6.6 At Rs. 90- 13.8
GSL$ 156.93 112.00 13.9% 13.4% 8.1% 7.7% 48.8 21.6% 90-100 3.4 6.5At Rs. 100-7.4 At Rs. 100- 15.4
*=Consolidated for FY09, $= EPS calculated on fully diluted equity, # = P/E for Q1FY10 for all companies calculated on annualised EPS
(Source: Capitaline, RHP)
Conclusion:
Alcohol industry is relatively insulated from the economic cycles as compared to other industries. Increasing disposable incomes,
favourable demographics and lower penetration of alcohol in the country offers opportunities for players in the sector. GSL has clocked
about 35% growth both in the bottom line and top line on an average in the last five years. As GSL’s facilities works on molasses and
grain, it could be able to maintain its margins through the lean sugar season expected. Launch of its own IMFL brands and increasing
it’s spread on a Pan-India basis, could help improve numbers. Its presence in Rajasthan and Haryana give it a locational advantage.
However, the industry suffers from excessive regulation by the different state governments. It faces stiff competition from established
brands in the states in which it has l aunched its brands.
GSL appears less expensive when compared to peers on an annualised EPS basis as of Q1FY09. At the upper price band, GSL is
valued at 7.4x Q1FY10 annualised EPS and at the lower price band at 6.6x, which is cheaper than big players like United Spirits and
other small players who are of similar size as GSL like Tilaknagar Industries, Radico Khaitan, etc. However only 6-7% of its sales
currently are from its own IMFL brand sales and the rest from bottling for other breweries, own brand country liquor sales and industrial
liquor. The margins in own brand sales is apparently higher than those earned on others. Valuation may expand over time as its gets a
larger pie of sales from own IMFL brands,
The issue looks fairly priced given the growth opportunities and the growth strategy of GSL. While possibility of listing premium cannot
be ruled out, the share price may not rise majorly in the near term from the initial listing price. Medium term appreciation in price could
happen once the strategies laid out are implemented over the next few quarters.
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