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Notes 1. Enter all of your information in the light green cells, such as this: 2. 6ress 7Ctrl+S i!t+"8 to see the 96ost $ull+do:n menu ;Optional<. . =or statistical inter$retations of generali>ed ordered logit, see http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~vfu/gologitfaq.html
Table $. Descriptive Statistics "or % & optional & Name Mean Std Min Max WARM 2.61 0.9 1.00 !.00
Table 3. Descriptive Statistics, Variable Types, and Base Values #nde$ Std. %aria&le %aria&le Mean (e). Min Max *y$e
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
'ase %alue
+++
M M M M M M
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or columns.
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Table . !stimates o" #ogit Coe""icients Logit quation ! " # 1..0/0 0./19. +1.0022 0.900. 0.0 6! 0. 12 +0. 010 +0./1.0 +1.0.06 +0.02./ +0. !92 +0. //0 +0.016 +0.0200 +0.01./ 0.10 2 0.0009 0.006/ +0.001/ 0.009. 0.00!9
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Cal#$lator
Notes 1. Enter all of your information in the light green cells, such as this: 2. 6redicted $ro&a&ilities are gi)en for &ase )alues sho:n in *a&le 2. Note &ase )alues can only &e changed in the # . #n the green cells you can choose three )aria&les and s$ecify u$ to fi)e )alues for that )aria&le. 6redicted $ro&a&i com$uted at these )alues :ith other )alues e@ual to the &ase )alues in *a&le 2.
'ase A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC Mean A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC Minimum A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC Maximum A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC ,ith other variables held at their base valuesvar. the following variables and calculate the predicted probabilities at the specified values.
S( A%12BEC A%12BEC ( A%12BEC A%12BEC 1 A%12BEC A%12BEC 6redicted 6ro&a&ility S1 A%12BEC A%12BEC
0 1
1. ,r.9
0 1
2. 3hite
A%12BEC A%12BEC
A%12BEC A%12BEC
A%12BEC A%12BEC
A%12BEC A%12BEC
1ge
20 0 !0 00 60
0 1
1. ,r.9
S( A%12BEC A%12BEC
( A%12BEC A%12BEC
1 A%12BEC A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
1
2. 3hite
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
1ge
20 0 !0 00 60
ues can only &e changed in the #n$ut sheet. that )aria&le. 6redicted $ro&a&ilities are
%alues
0.! 0.!/ 0... !!.9! 12.22 9.09 +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
Plotter
Do not add or delete any rows or columns. Notes 1. Enter all of your information in the light green cells, such as this: 2. Enter information in *a&le 1 a&out your gra$h. Note you can edit the gra$h as :ith any Excel chart.
Table $. Speci"ication o" (&variable. 9+)aria&le to )ary age 3ith other )aria&le at the &ase, )ary this )aria&le. Start %alue 10 Enter the start )alue for the x+axis. End %alue /0 Enter end )alue for the x+axis. A of 6oints 10 2 to 20 $oints allo:ed
12.00
10.00
6rediected 6ro&a&ility
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00 10 17 23 30 37 43 50 57 63 70
Age
SD
1.00 0.90 0.80
SA
"umulati)e 6ro&a&ility
Age
%alues
0.! 0.!/ 0... !!.9! 12.22 9.09 +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
S(
A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC
(
A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC
1
A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC
63
70
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
S1
A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC A%12BEC
Di%#rete C ange
Notes 1. 2.
*his $age com$utes discrete change using the &ase )alues s$ecified on the #n$ut sheetE these )alue on *a&le 2 &elo:, &ut can only &e changed on the #n$ut sheet. *here is nothing you can change on (o not add or delete any ro:s or columns.
/hange
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*verage
A%12BEC
S(
A%12BEC
(
A%12BEC
1
A%12BEC
S1
A%12BEC
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2334! 1ange
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
,+67
2334!
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
A%12BEC
1ange !
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1ange !
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or columns.
on the #n$ut sheetE these )alues are sho:n e is nothing you can change on this $age.
Table 2. )actor C*ange %ar ,-.9 M12E 34#*E 15E E( 6-S* b 0.900. +0. 010 +0.02./ +0.016 0.10 2 +0.001/ quation ! e<b e<=b>std? 2.601 0./!0 0.0.9 0.9.! 1.109 0.99. 1.09/ 0..60 0..!0 0./60 1. .6 0.9/6
E@uation 2 e<b e<=b>std? 1./10 0.!.. 0./00 0.9/0 1.00/ 1.010 1. 01 0.69. 0..91 0.60. 1.19 1.10
quation # e<b e<=b>std? 1. 9 0. . 0.6.6 0.9.1 1.00. 1.000 1.1/6 0.0.1 0... 0./ 1 1.196 1.0/!
Table 3. Base Values b E@uation . e<b e<=b>std? b quation ) e<b e<=b>std? %ars
,-.9 M12E 34#*E 15E E( 6-S* +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
%alues
0.! 0.!/ 0... !!.9! 12.22 9.09 +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
+++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++
Base Values