Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Feasibility & Viability Research
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Feasibility & Viability Research
primarily upon the probable operating experience of the property relative to gross operating
revenues, typical expense levels, and resultant net cash flow. Estimates of operating revenues
were based upon market data relative to industry standards and comparable properties in the
subject area. Expense levels were estimated based upon industry standards and operating
histories of similar properties.
Demographic factors
The survey was completed by 666 people. The study population was assumed to exclude minors
hence the figures from the market survey are targeted to include only age and income qualified
population which is assumed to start from age 18 and above. As seen in the table below, the
highest percentage of respondents was between 24-30 years (36.2% of the market survey). The
highest percentage of the respondents was single 52% in all and 24.8% of the respondents had
family sizes of 4 and 5 each.
Table 1: Age
18-23
24-30
31-40
41 above
Total
Frequency
162
241
144
117
664
Percent
24.3
36.2
21.6
17.6
99.7
Percent
52.0
44.4
1.7
0.3
0.2
98.80
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Percent
2
3
4
5
others
90
110
165
165
88
13.5
16.5
24.8
24.8
13.2
Total
625
93.8
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Feasibility & Viability Research
The delineation of market zones above has not been done to any scale, its only descriptive
estimate to show the proximity of the other states understudied to ondo state. The Markets
understudied are the Recreation market In Ondo state, Ekiti state, Osun state and Oyo state. The
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Feasibility & Viability Research
main market is the proposed Chief Michael Adekunle Ajasin Amusement park which will be
located in ondo state as seen above.
Market Population Analysis
Consultants have adopted a three stage methodology for market demand assessment for the
proposed recreational facility at Ondo state. Demand for any activity is a resultant of several
factors, which are sources of generation of demand. Understanding of those factors is critical for
estimation of actual demand or demand generators. Firstly the indicators and factors are
described and illustrated. In the study, the catchment area for the proposed recreational facility is
delineated. The report presents a detailed analysis of the indicators and factors affecting the
demand for the proposed recreational hub with respect to the catchment area, with an objective
of estimation of the demand generating potential of these factors.
The Population:
First and most importantly is the population resident in an area, this is a major indicator of
market demand. The greater the population of an area, the greater the likelihood that demand will
be generated in the area. This however, is still subject to varying constraints which the analysis
of the market survey has been able to put into consideration in determining total expected market
demand.
2006, Nigeria Census figures show:
Ekiti = 2,398,357 people
Ondo = 3,346,087 people
Osun = 3,416,959 people
Oyo = 5,580,894 people
Others = an Estimate of 4,000,000 average
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Feasibility & Viability Research
The process for population analysis is in three steps which are described as follows:
1. Cross-tabulations, describing, the various percentages of each state or group of regions
who expressed willingness to visit the park were applied to the population from each
state. Assumption being that the market survey is evidence enough to serve as a basis of
generalization.
2. Weighted average of frequency of visits in a year: The total percentage of the respondents
who said they would visit always, sometimes, occasionally and never were weighted by a
probability of 0.4, 0.3, 0.2 and 0.1 respectively.
3. Market pull: In this step, the respondents where divided into 5 market areas, Ondo, Ekiti,
Osun, Oyo and Others. The percentage of the population who were attracted to the
competing recreational facilities were evaluated
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Percentages
7
50
57
12.28
87.72
no
yes
10
93
103
9.71
90.29
no
yes
6
107
113
5.31
94.69
no
yes
11
90
101
10.89
89.11
no
yes
132
5.30
94.70
no
yes
Total
yes
Others
Ondo
Ekiti
Osun
Oyo
no
12
1
1
1
28
4
1
0
1
1
65
23
5
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
9
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
91
9
1
2
4
1
1
65
8
7
1
1
1
1
1
28
1
1
89
3
466
0
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
0
41
7
125
522
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Feasibility & Viability Research
replies unaccounted
506
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Table 2: Evaluation of respondents frequency of visits
0gun
abuja
Anambra
benin
enugu
Kaduna
lagos
Lagos
Lagos st
Minna
Niger
ogun
Ogun
Others Totals
Percentage
ado
ado ekit
Ado Ekit
Ado-Ekit
Ikere
ekiti
Ekiti
Ekiti st
Oworo ek
Ekiti Total
Percentage
iabdan
ibadan
iibadan
ikire
0y0
1badan
kwara
Kwara
owo
oyo
Always%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1.190
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
4
3.008
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
Frequency of visits
Sometimes% Occasionally% Never%
2
14
7
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
24
12
1
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
48
29
7.143
57.143 34.524
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
30
55
20
1
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
37
68
24
27.820
51.128 18.045
0
1
0
9
19
9
0
0
1
1
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
29
52
17
Total
84
133
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Oyo
Oyo Total
Percentage
ife
Ejigbo
0sun
ilesa
Iresi
osun
Osun
osogbo
Osun Total
Percentage
akure
ondo
Ondo
Ondo Total
1
5
3.165
0
1
0
0
0
7
0
0
8
7.018
0
3
0
3
2.040
21
Source: Market Survey, 2013.
Competing
Facilities
0
40
25.316
0
0
0
0
0
14
3
0
17
14.912
2
16
5
23
15.646
123
Market population
attracted
12
9
4
64
14
18
109
108
36
391
10
Akure
Abuja
Delta
Lagos
North
Others
Ibadan
Ekiti
None
Osun
Captured market(%)
41.291
3
82
51.899
2
0
1
0
0
50
7
4
64
56.140
5
48
16
69
46.939
331
1
31
19.620
0
0
0
1
1
22
0
1
25
21.930
1
44
7
52
35.374
161
16.366
16.216
5.405
58.709
1.502
Uncaptured Market(%)
58.709
158
114
147
638
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Feasibility & Viability Research
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Feasibility & Viability Research
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Cost Items
Monument, Fountain and other
Facilities
39,000,000.00
Art Gallery
90,000,000.00
Museum
100,500,000.00
V.I.P Lodge
87,000,000.00
Accomodation Suite
183,300,000.00
Administrative Block (A storey
Building)
130,200,000.00
Shopping Complex (A Storey
Building)
276,000,000.00
Multipurpose/conference Hall
83,100,000.00
Park's Clinic
42,000,000.00
Hotel
72,000,000.00
Restaurant
30,000,000.00
Sport's Block
107,700,000.00
Mechanical workshop
35,100,000.00
Fence
219,000,000.00
Sports Arena
990,000,000.00
Animal Garden
1,680,000,000.00
Saro Wiwa Parking lots
75,000,000.00
Sculptural Garden
721,200,000.00
Children Amusement Park
924,000,000.00
Adults Amusement Park
702,000,000.00
Swimming Pools
72,000,000.00
Artificial Lake
1,050,000.00
All Roads with Drainage
6,000,000.00
Power house
15,000,000.00
Electricity/ Generator/
Beautification Lights
1,200,000.00
Water Supply/ Boreholes/ Pipes
etc
9,000,000,000.00
Landscaping
210,000,000.00
Others
240,000,000.00
Total
16,132,350,000.00
Land Cost Per plot
100 Acres (6 plots per acre)
Land Cost
Agency& Legal @ 10%
400,000.00
600.00
240,000,000.00
24,000,000.00
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Stamp duty @ 2%
Total Land Cost
Construction&Land Cost
4,800,000.00
268,800,000.00
18,320,899,650.00
Average Fee
per visit(#)
Percentage
Visit per
specific Facility
(%)
Real Return(#)
Gate Fee
Monument, Fountain and
other Facilities
100
125,478,400.00
100
125,478,400.00
100.00
125,478,400.00
67.9
85,199,833.60
Art Square
250.00
313,696,000.00
64.3
201,706,528.00
Museum
200.00
250,956,800.00
79.3
199,008,742.40
10,000.00
12,547,840,000.00
5.1
639,939,840.00
500.00
627,392,000.00
8.2
51,446,144.00
500,000.00
627,392,000,000.00
3.4
21,331,328,000.00
2,000.00
2,509,568,000.00
5.1
127,987,968.00
Sport's Block
200.00
250,956,800.00
64.3
161,365,222.40
Animal Garden
200.00
250,956,800.00
72.8
182,696,550.40
50.00
62,739,200.00
100
62,739,200.00
Sculptural Garden
150.00
188,217,600.00
100
188,217,600.00
100.00
125,478,400.00
67.3
84,446,963.20
200.00
250,956,800.00
100
250,956,800.00
Swimming Pools
250.00
313,696,000.00
64.3
201,706,528.00
Artificial Lake
200.00
250,956,800.00
65.9
165,380,531.20
Games
150.00
188,217,600.00
72.1
135,704,889.60
fountain
100.00
125,478,400.00
67.1
84,196,006.40
V.I.P Lodge
Accomodation Suite
Multipurpose/conference Hall
Hotel
645,774,585,600.00
24,279,505,747.20
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Gross Return =
# 24,279,505,747.20
30%
Allowance for
Depreciation @
5%
Annual Maintenance 5%
Total
Net Return
80%
#19,423,604,590.00
#4,855,901,150
Approx. #4,900,000,000.
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Repayments
Year
Income (3%
growth in 2years)
Capital
Interest(21%)
Total
Interest (21%)
3,927,000,000.00
3,927,000,000.00
3,927,000,000.00
4,900,000,000.00
148,330,000.00
4,751,670,000.00
4,900,000,000.00
4,751,670,000.00
4,900,000,000.00
179,479,300.00
4,720,520,700.00
4,900,000,000.00
4,720,520,700.00
5,047,000,000.00
364,169,953.00
4,682,830,047.00
5,047,000,000.00
4,682,830,047.00
5,047,000,000.00
440,645,643.00
4,606,354,357.00
5,047,000,000.00
4,606,354,357.00
5,198,410,000.00
684,591,228.00
4,513,818,772.00
5,198,410,000.00
4,513,818,772.00
5,198,410,000.00
828,355,386.00
4,370,054,614.00
5,198,410,000.00
4,370,054,614.00
5,354,362,300.00
1,158,262,317.00
4,196,099,983.00
5,354,362,300.00
4,196,099,983.00
5,354,362,300.00
1,401,497,404.00
3,952,864,896.00
5,354,362,300.00
3,952,864,896.00
5,514,993,169.00
1,856,442,728.00
3,658,550,441.00
5,514,993,169.00
3,658,550,441.00
5,514,993,169.00
2,246,295,701.00
3,268,697,468.00
5,514,993,169.00
3,268,697,468.00
5,680,442,964.00
2,883,467,593.00
2,796,975,371.00
5,680,442,964.00
2,796,975,371.00
5,680,442,964.00
3,488,995,787.00
2,191,447,177.00
5,680,442,964.00
2,191,447,177.00
12
Capital Borrowed
18,700,000,000.00
22,627,000,000.00
22,478,670,000.00
22,299,190,700.00
21,935,020,747.00
21,494,375,104.00
20,809,783,876.00
19,981,428,489.00
18,823,166,172.00
17,421,668,768.00
15,565,226,040.00
13,318,930,339.00
10,435,462,746.00
13
-6,946,466,959.00
5,850,856,253.00
4,392,098,192.00
1,458,758,061.00
5,850,856,253.00
1,458,758,061.00
14
-2,554,368,767.00
5,850,856,253.00
5,314,438,812.00
536,417,441.00
5,850,856,253.00
536,417,441.00
15
2,760,070,045.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
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Feasibility & Viability Research
Conclusion
From the market survey report and analysis, It has been derived that subject to the assumptions
made in this report, the project should reasonably payback within the first 15years of its life. The
project derived an estimated 1,254,784 visits per year from the markets identified, and the cost of
establishing the project was estimated at #18,320,899,650.00. The Net annual return was
approximately summed up to #4,900,000,000 and based on this estimate of cost and revenue, the
pay-back period was derived to be 15 years.