Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Infrastructure
Water
Land Poverty
Education
Employment
www.managementconsultants.pk
Official Consultants: National Management Consultants (Pvt.) Ltd. 1st Floor, PIDC House, M.T. Khan Road Karachi-Pakistan. Tel: 021-5216396, 5633801 Fax: 021-5217725 E-Mail: nmc@super.net.pk URL: www.managementconsultants.pk
Consider the flight of time! Verily man is bound to loose himself. Unless he be of those who attain to faith, and do good works. And enjoin upon one another keeping to truth. And enjoin upon one another patience in adversity.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Above all we thank Allah Subahanah-u-Taala for giving us this opportunity for developing Sindh Vision 2030. We are grateful to him for all his blessings that he continues to bestow upon all of us. We are grateful to Planning & Development Department, Government of Sindh and all its Senior officials including Mr. Ghulam Sarwar Khero Additional Chief Secretary (Development), Mr. Yahya Wali Ullah Secretary P&DD, Mr. Muhammad Ali Khaskheli Chief Economist, Mr. Manzoor Ahmad Hashmi Chief (Vision) and others for their help, assistance and guidance throughout the study. Without active participation of the Government officials at the district levels, members of the civil society, NGOs, agriculturists, business community, academia and sector specialists who participated in the eleven (11) consultative workshops and gave valuable inputs, it would not have been possible for us to develop the Sindh Vision 2030. We are extremely grateful to all the 585 participants who gave their time, participated actively and gave highly pertinent comments, which form the basis of this document. The consulting team is most grateful to various experts belonging to different areas for giving their inputs in writing. In particular we are grateful to Mr. Kazi Abdul Majeed, Mr. Nisar Shekhani, Mr. Sikandar Brohi, Mr. Mohibullah Shah, Mr. Samir S. Amir, Mr. Khalid Hashmi, Mr. Fayaz Khaskheli, Mr. Ali Nawaz Memon, Cleaner Production Institute, Indus for All Programme Team of WWF Pakistan, Karachi, InterCooperation Pakistan (NWFP). Last but not the lease we are grateful to the different secretaries of the Government of Sindh and their colleagues as well as to all the section chiefs of Planning & Development Department for their valuable inputs.
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ....................................................................ix EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................... 1 A: SINDH VISION 2030 ...............................................................................1 A.1: REALIZING SINDH VISION 2030.........................................................2 A.2: SYNTHESISING THE VISION ELEMENTS...............................................3 DEMOGRAPHICS POPULATION SIZE ........................................................3 WATER AND SINDH.................................................................................4 C.1: WATER AND INDUSTRY .....................................................................5 C.2: WATER AND ENERGY ........................................................................6 C.3: WATER, EMPLOYMENT AND ACCESS TO OPPORTUNITIES .......................7 C.4: WATER AND SANITATION ..................................................................7 C.5: IRRIGATION AND POWER ..................................................................7 C.6: WATER FOR BIODIVERSITY MANAGEMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ...............................................................................................8 C.7: WATER, SANITATION AND HEALTH ................................................... 10 C.8: WATER AND INLAND TRANSPORT ..................................................... 11 C.9: WATER SOURCING THROUGH CONSERVATION AND EFFICIENT DELIVERY 11 C.10: SINDHS WATER VISION ................................................................. 12 AGRICULTURE ...................................................................................... 12 D.1: VALUE ADD AGRICULTURE AND AGRO BASED INDUSTRY..................... 13 D.2: LIVESTOCK AND MEAT .................................................................... 14 D.3: OTHER SUB-SECTORS OF FRUITS, FLORICULTURE AND EDIBLE OIL SEEDS 15 FISHERIES........................................................................................... 16 INDUSTRY ........................................................................................... 16 ENERGY............................................................................................... 17 HEALTH ............................................................................................... 18 POVERTY ALLEVIATION.......................................................................... 20 EDUCATION ......................................................................................... 22 ECONOMIC PRODUCTIVITY..................................................................... 23 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY.............................................. 24 EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE, JUSTICE AND PROSPERITY................................ 25 INFRASTRUCTURE................................................................................. 26 THE WAY FORWARD TO LAUNCHING THE SV2030 ..................................... 28
B: C:
D:
E: F: G: H: I: J: K: L: M: N: O:
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.2: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ........................................................................ 32 1.3: STRUCTURE OF THIS VISION DOCUMENT .................................................... 33 CHAPTER 02: THE SYNTHESIS MATRIX; AN INTEGRATED APPROACH.............. 35 2.1: PRIMARY DATA ........................................................................................ 35 2.1.1: SUGGESTIONS FROM THE CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOPS ........................ 35 2.1.2: SV2030 OPINION SURVEY.................................................................. 36 2.2: SECONDARY DATA.................................................................................... 38 2.2.1: INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ......................................................... 39 2.2.2: WORLD LENSES FOR MEASURING PERFORMANCES OF COUNTRIES ......... 39 2.3: INTEGRATED APPROACH TO VISION FORMULATION ...................................... 39 2.4: SINDH VISION 2030 SYNTHESIS MATRIX (SYNMAT)...................................... 41 2.4.1: STRUCTURE OF THE SYNMAT ............................................................. 42 2.4.2: ADVANTAGES OF MATRIX .................................................................. 44 2.5: THE WAY FORWARD TO LAUNCHING THE SV2030 ......................................... 44 CHAPTER 03: INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES AND LENSES........................... 51 3.1: GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES............................................................................. 51 3.2: MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS (MDGS) ............................................... 51 3.3: INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM (IOEF) ....................................................... 54 3.4: INDEX OF DEMOCRACY (IOD) .................................................................... 56 3.5: GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS INDEX (GCI) .................................................... 58 Chapter 04: DEMOGRAPHIC OVERVIEW.......................................................... 59 4.1: BACKGROUND.......................................................................................... 59 4.2: DEMOGRAPHY OF PAKISTAN ...................................................................... 60 4.3: PROVINCES OF PAKISTAN: THEIR COMPARATIVE POSITION ........................... 61 4.4: SINDH RETROSPECT ................................................................................. 62 4.5: SINDH: PROSPECTS; DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS FOR THE NEXT DECADE .... 63 Chapter 05: POVERTY AND HEALTH ................................................................ 65 5.1: OVERVIEW .............................................................................................. 65 5.2: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE .......................................................................... 67 5.3: ACCESS TO JUSTICE ................................................................................. 68 5.4: AGRICULTURE, EDUCATION AND WOMEN .................................................... 69 5.5: HEALTH AND GENDER ............................................................................... 70 5.6: POOR INFRASTRUCTURE ........................................................................... 75 5.7: KHUSHAL PAKISTAN PROGRAMME-1 ........................................................... 75 5.8: ENVIRONMENT ......................................................................................... 77 Chapter 06: EDUCATION ................................................................................ 79 6.1: OVERVIEW .............................................................................................. 79
ii
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
6.2: EDUCATION FOR ALL PROGRAMME (EFA) ..................................................... 79 6.3: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE .......................................................................... 81 6.4: WOMEN CHILDREN AND OUR YOUTH........................................................... 83 6.5: WATER.................................................................................................... 84 6.6: AGRICULTURE.......................................................................................... 84 6.7: EDUCATION LANGUAGE............................................................................. 85 6.8: HEALTH................................................................................................... 85 6.9: HERITAGE, CULTURE & TOURISM................................................................ 85 6.10: INDUSTRY ............................................................................................. 87 6.11: ENERGY ................................................................................................ 87 6.12: INFRASTRUCTURE .................................................................................. 87 6.13: ENVIRONMENT ....................................................................................... 88 6.14: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY.................................................................... 88 6.15: FUTURE DIRECTIONS .............................................................................. 89 Chapter 07: EMPLOYMENT - ACCESS TO OPPORTUNITIES ............................... 91 7.1: OVERVIEW .............................................................................................. 91 7.2: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE .......................................................................... 95 7.3: CAPITALISING ON ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES FROM INWARD MIGRATION ..... 96 7.4: WOMEN CHILDREN AND OUR YOUTH........................................................... 96 7.5: YOUTH .................................................................................................... 99 7.6: WATER.................................................................................................... 99 7.7: AGRICULTURE........................................................................................ 100 7.7.1: RURAL NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT....................................................... 100 7.7.2: MEAT ............................................................................................ 101 7.7.3: FISHERIES..................................................................................... 102 7.7.4: FRUITS ......................................................................................... 102 7.7.5: FLORICULTURE............................................................................... 102 7.7.6: EDIBLE OIL SEEDS ......................................................................... 103 7.7.7: SPICES AND DRY FRUITS................................................................. 103 7.8: EDUCATION........................................................................................... 103 7.9: HEALTH................................................................................................. 103 7.10: HERITAGE, CULTURE & TOURISM ............................................................ 104 7.10.1: ECO TOURISM .............................................................................. 105 7.10.2: SPIRITUAL TOURISM ..................................................................... 106 7.10.3: HERITAGE.................................................................................... 106 7.10.4: PROJECTS TO PROMOTE TOURISM IN SINDH .................................... 107 7.11: THE HOTEL AND MOTEL INDUSTRY ......................................................... 109 7.12: EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR ............... 109 7.13: EMPLOYMENT IN TRADE SECTOR ............................................................ 109 7.14: ENERGY .............................................................................................. 110 7.15: EMPLOYMENT THROUGH INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS............................... 110
iii
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
7.16: TRANSPORT SECTOR............................................................................. 111 7.17: HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION .................................................................. 112 7.18: ENVIRONMENT ..................................................................................... 113 7.19: OVERSEAS EMPLOYMENT ....................................................................... 114 Chapter 08: JUSTICE, HUMAN RIGHTS AND PROSPERITY ..............................117 8.1: OVERVIEW ............................................................................................ 117 8.2: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE ........................................................................ 119 8.3: JUST SOCIETY ....................................................................................... 120 8.4: SINDH: AN AUTONOMOUS FEDERATING UNIT ............................................ 121 8.5: THE CITIZENS OF SINDH IN 2030............................................................. 121 8.6: WATER AND SANITATION ........................................................................ 122 8.7: CULTURE, DIVERSITY AND SOCIETY ......................................................... 123 8.8: INFRASTRUCTURE .................................................................................. 124 8.9: A HOUSE OF ONES OWN......................................................................... 124 8.10: INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTHENING AND TRANSPARENCY ............................ 125 8.11: TRANSPARENT ADMINISTRATION............................................................ 127 8.12: POLICE AND JAIL REFORMS ................................................................... 127 8.13: TRANSPARENCY AND ACCOUNTABILITY: .................................................. 128 8.14: VISION STATEMENT FOR 2030: PROSPERITY IN SINDH THROUGH EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE .............................................................................................. 128 Chapter 09: LAND .........................................................................................129 9.1: OVERVIEW ............................................................................................ 129 9.2: AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK ................................................................ 129 9.3: AGRICULTURE........................................................................................ 131 9.4: LIVESTOCK............................................................................................ 133 9.5: EDUCATION (RESEARCH AND EXTENSION) ................................................ 134 9.6: FARMER FIELD SCHOOLS AND IPM............................................................ 134 9.6.1: GROW HEALTHY CROPS................................................................... 135 9.6.2: UNDERSTAND AND CONSERVE DEFENDERS ....................................... 135 9.6.3: OBSERVE THE FIELD REGULARLY...................................................... 136 9.6.4: FARMERS BECOME EXPERTS IN CROP MANAGEMENT ........................... 136 9.7: AGRO-RELATED INDUSTRIALISATION ....................................................... 136 9.8: ECOLOGY - FOREST AND WILDLIFE........................................................... 137 9.8.1: IMMEDIATE ACTION........................................................................ 138 9.8.2: MEDIUM-TERM INTERVENTIONS ....................................................... 138 9.8.3: LONG-TERM INTERVENTIONS ........................................................... 139 9.9: SALINITY AND WATER LOGGING .............................................................. 139 9.10: DIRECTION FOR THE FUTURE ................................................................. 140 Chapter 10: WATER .......................................................................................143
iv
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
10.1: OVERVIEW........................................................................................... 143 10.2: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE ...................................................................... 145 10.2.1: WATER ESCAPAGES BELOW KOTRI. ............................................... 145 10.2.2: COST RECOVERY OF WATER ........................................................... 146 10.3: JUSTICE, HUMAN RIGHTS, PROSPERITY ................................................... 149 10.4: GENDER .............................................................................................. 152 10.5: AGRICULTURE ...................................................................................... 153 10.6: EFFECTIVE UTILITY OF ALREADY AVAILABLE WATER FOR IRRIGATION ......... 153 10.7: FISHERIES........................................................................................... 154 10.8: EDUCATION ......................................................................................... 155 10.9: HEALTH............................................................................................... 157 10.10: TOURISM ........................................................................................... 158 10.11: INDUSTRY.......................................................................................... 159 10.12: ENERGY............................................................................................. 160 10.13: INFRASTRUCTURE............................................................................... 161 10.14: ENVIRONMENT ................................................................................... 162 10.14.1: DEFORESTATION AND DESERTIFICATION ....................................... 162 10.14.2: MANGROVE FOREST DESTRUCTION ............................................... 162 10.15: VISION STATEMENT; SINDH WATER VISION 2030 ................................... 165 Chapter 11: INFRASTRUCTURE ......................................................................167 11.1: OVERVIEW........................................................................................... 167 11.2: EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE ...................................................................... 168 11.3: WOMEN CHILDREN AND OUR YOUTH ....................................................... 169 11.4: WATER ................................................................................................ 169 11.4.1: INLAND WATER TRANSPORT........................................................... 169 11.4.2: DESALINISATION PLANTS .............................................................. 170 11.4.3: CONSERVATION OF WATER THROUGH EFFICIENT DELIVERY SYSTEMS . 170 11.4.4: WASTE WATER TREATMENT PLANTS ................................................ 170 11.5: AGRICULTURE ...................................................................................... 171 11.6: EDUCATION ......................................................................................... 171 11.7: HERITAGE, CULTURE & TOURISM ............................................................ 172 11.8: INDUSTRY ........................................................................................... 172 11.9: ENERGY .............................................................................................. 173 11.9.1: SINDH AND THE ENERGY CRISIS .................................................... 174 11.9.2: THE CASE FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY ............................................... 175 11.9.3: INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK ......................................................... 175 11.9.4: POLICY FRAMEWORK ..................................................................... 176 11.9.5: SOURCES OF RENEWABLE ENERGY.................................................. 177 11.9.6: COAL IN THE CONTEXT OF SINDH ................................................... 181 11.10: TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION....................................................... 184 11.11: ELECTRIFICATION ............................................................................... 185 11.12: CITY PLANNING .................................................................................. 186
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
11.13: ROADS NETWORK ............................................................................... 187 11.14: AIRPORTS.......................................................................................... 187 11.15: INTER-CITY BUS COMPANIES AND TERMINALS ....................................... 188 11.16: EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT .................................................................. 188 11.17: ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH ................................................................ 189 11.18: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY ................................................................ 190 11.19: VISION STATEMENT: INFRASTRUCTURE VISION 2030.............................. 192 CHAPTER 12: INDUSTRY AND ENVIRONMENT................................................193 12.1: OVERVIEW........................................................................................... 193 12.2: POLLUTION DIMENSIONS OF INDUSTRIAL SUB-SECTORS .......................... 193 12.2.1: WATER POLLUTION ....................................................................... 194 12.2.2: AIR EMISSION.............................................................................. 196 12.2.3: SOLID WASTE .............................................................................. 199 12.2.4: ENERGY....................................................................................... 201 12.3: OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH & SAFETY (OH&S) .............................................. 203 12.4: REDRESSAL MECHANISM FOR INDUSTRIAL POLLUTION ISSUES .................. 203 12.5: EFFORTS NEEDED AT THE INDUSTRIAL ASSOCIATION LEVEL...................... 204 12.6: EFFORTS NEEDED AT THE INDUSTRIAL UNIT LEVEL .................................. 205 12.6.1: WATER POLLUTION ....................................................................... 205 12.6.2: AIR POLLUTION ............................................................................ 206 12.6.3: SOLID WASTE .............................................................................. 207 12.6.4: ENERGY CONSERVATION ............................................................... 208 12.6.5: OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH & SAFETY ISSUE ........................................ 209 12.6.6: SOIL POLLUTION .......................................................................... 209 Appendix 1: Commonalities matrix................................................................211 Appendix 2: Opinion Survey ..........................................................................218 Appendix 3: Industry-Environment and the NEQS .........................................224 Appendix 4: Bibliography ..............................................................................230
List of tables Table A: Projected Population of Sindh up to 2030 ........................................... 4 Table B: Healthcare targets for 2030 .............................................................. 19 Table 2.1: Distribution of suggestions by sector sorted by highest counts ...... 35 Table 2.2: Priority rankings against the defined statements ........................... 37
vi
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Table 2.3: Agreements on priority rankings.................................................... 38 Table 2.4: The Synthesis Matrix...................................................................... 46 Table 3.1: Comparison of South Asian nations across critical gender indicators ...................................................................................................................... 53 Table 3.2: Index of Economic Freedom rating for Pakistan ............................. 55 Table 3.3: Comparison of parameters between the GCI indices ...................... 58 Table 4.1: Percentage change and annual rate of growth, Pakistan (1901-1998) ...................................................................................................................... 60 Table 4.2: Province Wise Growth Rate - 1998 Census ..................................... 61 Table 4.3: Projected Population by province up to 2030 ................................. 63 Table 5.1: Percentage change in PRSP expenditures between Q3 FY06 and Q3 FY05 by sector and region.............................................................................. 67 Table 5.2: Progress in health status of South Asia (selected indicators) ......... 70 Table 5.3: Percentage distribution of health expenditures by sectors ............. 71 Table 5.5: Health Facilities ............................................................................. 74 Table 5.6: KPP-1 schemes approved for Q3 FY05-06 and Q3 FY04-05............. 76 Table 6.1: Allocated and actual expenditures on education............................. 82 Table 6.2: Comparison of basic facilities between rural and urban Sindh ........ 88 Table 6.3: Primary School operational targets 2007-2030 .............................. 89 Table 6.4: Curricular/area etc. plans e.g. for Science Department .................. 90 Table 7.1: Distribution of Labour Force by Area And Sex ................................ 93 Table 7.2: Distribution of Employed Labour Force by Area And Sex ................ 94 Table 7.3: Integrated approach towards tourism...........................................104 Table 9.1: Issues listed by P&DD for land, agriculture and water...................130 Table 9.2: Irrigated areas affected by salinity ...............................................140
vii
SV2030
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Table 9.3: Issues-Strategy table for land, agriculture and water related issues .....................................................................................................................141 Table 10.1: Pakistans water requirements....................................................144 Table 10.2: Variations in definition of safe water by a number of agencies ....150 Table 10.3: Children <5 age with Diarrhoea in 2 weeks prior to the Surveys .157 Table 10.4: Mangrove forest extent change 1992-2000 .................................163 Table 11.2: Interventions Required in Different Areas ...................................189
List of figures and charts Figure 2.1: SV2030 and the linkages to the MDGs........................................... 40 Figure 2.2: Structure of the SynMat................................................................ 43 Figure 3.1: Pakistan through the Index of Democracy lens ............................. 57 Figure 7.1: Pakistan - Unemployment rates compared to total population ...... 91 Figure 8.1: Characteristics of Effective Governance and their effect ..............119 Figure 10.1: Satellite images illustrating the extent of the oil spill ................155
viii
SV2030
ix
SV2030
EEPAL EIA EMP EMS ENERCON EOP EPA ESRA ETPI EU FAO FBS FDI Fe FFC FPAP Ft FY GAD GCA GCI GDI GDP GIS GoP GoS GPS GST GTZ GWh H2SO4 HBFC HDI HDIP HPI HR HVLP Hz IBT ICID ICTP IEE IFAP IFI/IFIs INGAD IoD IoEF IPP IRR ISO IT ITAA IUCN JICA KANUPP KESC KM/Km/km
Environmental Education through Participatory Action Learning Environmental Impact Assessment Environmental Management Programme Environmental Management System National Energy Conservation Centre End-of-Pipe Environmental Protection Agency Education Sector Reforms Assistance Environmental Technology Programme for Industry European Union Food and Agricultural Organisation Federal Bureau of Statistics Foreign Direct Investment Iron Federal Flood Commission Family Planning Association of Pakistan Feet Fiscal Year Gender and Development Gross Command Area Global Competitiveness Index Gender Development Index / Gender Related Development Index Gross Domestic Product Geographic Information System Government of Pakistan Government of Sindh Geographic Positioning System General Sales Tax German Technological Corporation Giga Watt Hours Sulphuric Acid House Building Finance Corporation Human Development Index Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan Human Poverty Index Human Resource High Volume Pressure Hertz Indus Basin Treaty International Conference on Irrigation and Drainage Introduction of Cleaner Technology Programme Initial Environmental Evaluation Indus For All Programme 2006-2055 International Finance Institutions Interagency Gender and Development Group Index of Democracy Index of Economic Freedom Independent Private (Power) Producer Internal Rate of Return International Standards Organisation Information Technology Information Technology Association of America International Union for the Conservation of Nature Japanese International Cooperation Agency Karachi Nuclear Power Plant Karachi Electricity Supply Corporation Kilometre
SV2030
kWh kWh/m2 KWSB LBOD LEAD LFS LGO LHV LoLo LPG Ltd. LWP m m3 MAF MC MCWAP MDG/MDGs MICS mm mmcft MoE MoU MoWD MSDS Mt MTDF MTOE MTY MW NADRA NCHD NCS NDWP NEAP NEP NEPRA NEQS NGO NHP-HFA Ni NIH NIST NMC NOC NOX/NO2 NPA NPA-EFA NPDEW NPSL NRM NRSP NSC NTRC NWFP NWP O&G
Kilowatt hour Kilowatt hour per square metre Karachi Water and Sewerage Board Left Bank Outfall Drain Leadership for Environment and Development Labour Force Survey Local Government Organisation Lady Health Worker Load-On, Load Off Liquid Petroleum Gas Limited Living Waters Programme Metre Metre Cube Million Acre Feet Municipal Committee Maternity & Child Welfare Association of Pakistan Millennium Development Goals Multiple Integrated Cluster Survey Millimetres Million Cubic Feet Ministry of Environment Memorandum of Understanding Ministry of Women Development Material Safety Data Sheet Million Tons Medium Term Development Framework 2005-10 Million Tons of Oil Equivalent Million Tons per Year Mega Watt National Database Registration Authority National Commission for Human Development National Conservation Strategy National Drinking Water Policy 2015 National Environmental Action Plan National Environmental Policy 2005-2015 National Electric Power Regulatory Authority National Environmental Quality Standards Non-Governmental Organization National Health Policy/Vision that is based on the Health for All Nickel National Institute of Health National Institute of Silicon Technology National Management Consultants (Pvt.) Limited No Objection Certificate Oxides of Nitrogen National Plan of Action National Plan of Action on Education For All (2001-2015) National Policy for Development and Empowerment of Women National Physical and Standards Laboratory Natural Resource Management National Rural Support Programme National Conservation Strategy 1992 National Transport Research Centre North-West Frontier Province National Water Policy 2025 Oil and Gas
xi
SV2030
O&M C ODS OGRA OHS OVI P&D P&DD PAEC PAK-EPA Pb PCAP PCAT PCP PCRET PCRWR PCSIR PDF PDS PE PEE PEER PEMRA PEPA PEPC PIED PIEDAR PKR PM PMD PMN PNSC PP PPA PPAF PPIB PPP PREM PRSP PRSP PSDP PSI PSQCA PTA PTDC PV PV2030 PVDP Pvt. PVTC PWP PWP RBOD RDF REN RNE RoRo
Operations and Maintenance Degrees Centigrade Ozone Depleting Substances Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority Occupational Health and Safety Objectively Verifiable Indicator Planning and Development Planning and Development Department Pakistan Atomic Energy Agency Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency Lead Pakistan Clean Air Programme Pakistan Council for Appropriate Technology Pakistan Centre for Philanthropy Pakistan Council of Renewable Energy Technologies Pakistan Council for Research in Water Resources Pakistan Council of Scientific and Industrial Research Pakistan Development Forum Pakistan Demographic Survey Polyethylene Public Expenditure on Environment Public Environmental Expenditure Review Pakistan Electronic Media Regulatory Authority Pakistan Environmental Protection Act 1997 Pakistan Environmental Protection Council Pakistan Institute for Economic Development Pakistan Institute for Development Action Research Pakistan Rupee(s) Particulate Matter Pakistan Meteorological Department Pakistan Microfinance Network Pakistan National Shipping Corporation Polypropylene Power Purchase Agreement Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund Private Power and Infrastructure Board Public-Private Partnership Poverty Reduction Environmental Management Pakistan Rural Support Programme Pakistan Poverty Reduction Strategy Public Sector Development Programme Pakistan Standard Institute Pakistan Standards and Quality Control Authority Pakistan Tanners Association Pakistan Tourism Development Corporation Photo Voltaic Pakistan Vision 2030 Working Draft Pakistan Village Development Programme Private Punjab Vocational Training Council Pakistan Water Partnership Pakistan Wetlands Management Programme Right Bank Outfall Drain Refuse Derived Fuel Renewable Energy Royal Netherlands Embassy Roll-On, Roll-Off
xii
SV2030
SAP SBP SCARP SCEA SDPI Sindh EPA Sindh RSP SIP SMC SME SoE SOV SOx SP-SBP SPDC sq.km SSP SSSD SUPARCO SV2015 SV2030 SWM SWOT SynMat TCE TDS TEVTA TKN TMA TOR TPS TPY TRDP TSS TTA TTC TWAA UC UDHR UHT UN UNDP UNEP UNFCCC UNICEF USAID USD VC VLUPs VOC VTC WAPDA WASA WB WEF WEHAB
Social Action Programme State Bank of Pakistan Salinity Control and Reclamation Projects Strategic Country Environmental Assessment Sustainable Development Policy Institute Sindh Environmental Protection Agency Sindh Rural Support Programme School Improvement Plan School Management Committee Small and Medium Enterprise State of the Environment (Sindh Report) Source of Verification Sulphur Oxide Strategic Plan 2005-10 Social Policy and Development Centre Square Kilometre Soil Survey of Pakistan Sindh Strategy for Sustainable Development (2006) Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission Sindh Vision 2015 (working draft) Sindh Vision 2030 (working papers) Solid Waste Management Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunity, Threats Synthesis Matrix Trichloroethylene Total Dissolved Solid Technical Education and Vocational Training Authority Total Kjeldahl Nitrogen Tehsil Municipal Administration Terms of Reference Thermal Power Stations Tons per Year Thardeep Rural Development Programme Total Suspended Solids Tolyltriazole Technical Training Centre The Water Apportionment Accord 1991 Union Council Universal Declaration for Human Rights Ultra High Treatment/Treated United Nations United Nations Development Programme United Nations Environmental Programme United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change United Nations Children's Fund (also written as United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund) United States Assistance for International Development United States Dollar Village Council Village Land Use Plans Volatile Organic Compounds Vocational Training Centre Water and Power Development Authority Water and Sanitation Authority World Bank World Economic Forum Water, Environment, Health, Agriculture and Biodiversity
xiii
SV2030
WHO WHR WID WPF-P WS&S WSSD WWF WWF-P www Zn ZTBL
World Health Organisation World Health Report Women in Development World Population Foundation - Pakistan Water Supply and Sanitation World Summit on Sustainable Development World Wide Fund for Nature World Wide Fund For Nature - Pakistan World Wide Web Zinc Zarai Taraqiyati Bank Limited
xiv
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This document is not a progress report! Nor is it a critique on the people or the government, of Sindh! It is quite simply, and yet most importantly, a synthesis of the mission statements that embody the aspirations of the people of Sindh in working towards a healthy, productive and prosperous nation. The contents of this document clearly and comprehensively state the symbiotic dynamics of socioeconomic developments, in its entirety, from the perspective of Sindh nestled within the vision of the government of Pakistan. Embarking upon an effort to visualize the scenario of 25 years into the future is, at the best of times, a daunting task. More so when one is trying to do it for a place having as multi-faceted social and physical environment as does our province. However, having some plan for the future is far better than having none at all. Therefore, the efforts of the Sindh Government and other stakeholders for forming Sindh Vision 2030 are heart warming. What makes one excited and really hopeful though, is the fact that this exercise has been carried out in the best way possible, taking all stakeholders into the loop, and formulating practicable strategies rather than hollow words. Preparing the Sindh Vision for 2030 was a overwhelming challenge and required quite a few adjustments in how we, the Government of Sindh, approached and facilitated the development processes. Based on our commentary on the Pakistan Vision 2030 we too have strategically anchored the Sindh Vision 2030 into the Government of Pakistan obligations to the Millennium Development Goals under the Poverty Reduction Strategy. We are of the view that the: MDGs require all developing nations including Pakistan to reduce poverty to half by 2015. Our priority is to further reduce it by another 25% by the year 2030 MDGs require that the population living on less than a dollar a day and the population of people who suffer from hunger, be reduced to half by 2015. Our priority in this context is to further reduce the population under this line by another 40% by the year 2030.
Similarly, we have ascertained that the goals of the Sindh Vision 2030 related to industry and the macroeconomic framework need to be embedded in the World Economic Forum (WEF) obligations and to the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) currently under the purview of the Ministry of Finance through its Competitiveness Support Fund (CSF). In this context we have structured the Sindh Vision 2030 to be aligned to the pillars of the Poverty Reduction Strategy, the Millennium Development Goals and to the Global Competitiveness Index by devising an integrated framework. The integrated approach in processing all the inputs from the consultations, document reviews and guidance from experts and civil society representatives yielded the SV2030 Synthesis Matrix (SynMat).
A:
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A united, just, resilient, productive, innovative, industrialised and prosperous Sindh with a disciplined, caring society comprising of healthy, happy and educated people and built upon the enduring pillars of self-reliance, respect, tolerance, equity and integrity
A.1:
1. Every citizen of Sindh must have equal opportunity to achieve his/her fullest potential; 2. All citizens of our province enjoy a good quality of life, where quality health care is available to all and where peaceful, secure and environmentally friendly communities are nurtured and maintained; 3. The young and old are empowered to help themselves through sound education systems customised to meet the human resource needs of a modern, progressive technologically competitive province, and Pakistan; 4. Judicious use is ensured of all natural resources and not at the cost of current and future generations; 5. There is respect for the rule of law, human rights, security and democracy is guaranteed for all citizens regardless of creed, class and origin; 6. The diversity and originality of its entire people are valued and nurtured and where heritage is protected and promoted. The path to the envisioned Sindh in 2030 involves the will, skill and resources of the public sector, the private sector, civil society and individual citizens; quite simply EVERYBODY COLLECTIVELY. Governing effectively will be the mandate of the Sindh Government and ensuring transparency and effectiveness should be the mandate of the citizens and of civil society. To do so one must always aspire to take informed actions and decisions. With the revolution of Information & Technology, processed data is available to all. With this availability comes knowledge of what has been taking place. It is unfortunate that we remain distant from using timely information to steer development towards sustainable successes. The amount of money spent on studies, development of strategies & plans, and on the initiation of programmes for the betterment of the province of Sindh is alarmingly high with slow and/or unacceptable results. What remains is a plethora of weakly founded programs that were initiated with the best of intentions. To be accurately demand driven we need to structure a knowledgebase that sufficiently provides information that can be used to deter unwarranted interference and to assimilate evidences of progress. Both aspects feed into better and sustained development. Participatory monitoring that facilitates implementation through timely backstopping and steerage has proved a difficult goal. This situation may well be due to differences in approach and/or the appropriateness of the approach. An integrated, articulated, and accessible system needs be created where everyone would actually be accountable for
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
his/her actions. The P&DD department has made a lot of progress in the abovementioned area. However, we need to be able to communicate and share the initiatives and associated information sets to bring a more progressive and consultative approach with backstopping (as opposed to blame throwing) as its main component. The corner stone of effective governance is an informed government and all the people that collectively work for a better future. In this context the vision statement for an informed state is framed as We will by the year 2030 have timely, authentic and easily accessible datasets to review our progress and for pragmatic policy formulations
A.2:
SYNTHESISING THE VISION ELEMENTS The following development priorities were identified during the extensive consultation process: 1. Nurturing a caring society; 2. Developing innovative people; 3. Governing effectively and without debt; 4. Enabling competitiveness in agriculture, business and industry; 5. Securing and investing in sound infrastructure and in the Environment. These development priorities have been mapped to the eight goals of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The resultant map represents the crosscutting issues that are applicable across the development and/or implementation sectors defined along the rows. Though the Sindh Vision 2030 document is structured according to the thematic areas of poverty, health, education, effective governance, land, water and infrastructure, this Executive Summary is narrated using a sector-based approach to facilitate comprehension using the administrative lens. Demographics, water and the productive sectors are summarised first and followed by the social sectors. The Sv2030 document contains a Synthesis Matrix in both formats and can be used effectively for national/global subscriptions through the thematic approach and for administrative execution using the sectorbased approach. It is important to state that no other province in Pakistan has taken such innovate, integrated and comprehensive approach in compiling the respective Provincial Vision 2030 documents. Furthermore, the level of consultations achieved through discussions, meetings, workshops and e-mail correspondence exceed 1000 persons from all walks of life. This achievement as well, is another novelty for the Government of Sindh and one that far out does all other provinces.
B:
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
trends during the intercensal period of 1981-98 have provided the basis for these projections. If things move with the current pace and direction, the likely scenario of the province after a decade will be, as shown in Table 4.3. Table A: Projected Population of Sindh up to 2030 S# Province Pakistan Sindh Population, In millions 2020 2025 2030 245.6 63.5 272.1 64.2 326.0 89.8
In 2007, Karachi remained the largest city and Tando Muhammad Khan the smallest districts of Sindh even though their shares in total population changed. The share of Karachi increased from 32.38% in 1998 to 32.4% in 2007, whereas the shares of Nawabshah, Naushero Feroze, Hyderabad, Khairpur and Jacobabad appear to decline because of the low growth rates. The share of Tharparkar will rise substantially from 7.9% to about 9% percent of the total. If the current trends prevail the Government of Sindh is looking at addressing and managing the needs of approximately 90 million people by the year 2030.
C:
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Sindh has had a long-standing issue with the distribution of water and its share. The issue came to the fore in 1901, when the Indian Irrigation Commission prohibited Punjab from taking even a drop of water from Indus without the approval of Sindh. Numerous efforts have been invested since then in alleviating Sindh from being water starved yet the situation prevails. In 1977, the Government of Pakistan established another commission comprising the Chief Justices of the High Courts of the Provinces, headed by the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court to examine the issue of water apportionment. The report of this commission is still pending with the Government of Pakistan. It was finally the Chief Ministers of the provinces who managed to reach consensus on the contentious issue. The breakthrough came in a series of meeting, first in Lahore and finally on March 16 in Karachi (WA 1991). Apparently, the accord has not been implemented. Integrated part of NWP is the implementation of the water accord, acknowledging the fact that the water accord hasnt been implemented. The Government of Sindh has voiced its reservations on the NWP and has reiterated the need to implement the Water Accord. Doing so however, warrants a well thought-out proactive solution. Sindh faces serious problems of water logging and salinity due to the nominal gradient, accretion of riverbeds, inadequate salt exit and traditional watering of crops. The problems of water logging and salinity pose a major threat to sustainability of irrigated agriculture on about 30 percent of irrigated lands in Sindh (2003 FAO). The problem of water logging and salinity coupled with the floods and droughts have adverse effects on the cultivated land hence on the people of Sindh. Effective measures should be taken to deal with these problems if any development is to be foreseen in the province.
C.1:
WATER AND INDUSTRY Water is used by industry in a myriad of ways: for cleaning, heating and cooling; for generating steam; for transporting dissolved substances or particulates; as a raw material; as a solvent; and as a constituent part of the product itself (e.g. in the beverage industry). The water that evaporates in the process must also be considered in accurate assessments as well as the water that remains in the product, by-products, and the solid wastes generated along the way. The balance is discharged after use as wastewater or effluent. The total water withdrawal from surface water and groundwater by industry is usually much greater than the amount of water that is actually consumed. For operational purposes, most industries require processed water. Thus, the provision of processed water to industries is very important. There are many negative industrial impacts on the water environment. The greater concern than the actual volume of water used by industry is the negative impact of industry on the water environment. Water quality is deteriorating all over Sindh, and the marine environment is also being affected by industrial pollution. Much of the water used by industry is usually disposed off to drain. This can mean one of the following things: Direct disposal into a stream, canal or river, or to sea; Disposal to sewer (which may be discharged, untreated, further downstream, or may be routed to the nearest municipal sewage treatment plant);
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Treatment by an on-site wastewater treatment plant, before being discharged to a watercourse or sewer treatment in a series of open ponds.
Major concerns are the situations in which the industrial discharge is returned directly into the water cycle without adequate treatment. If the water is contaminated with heavy metals, chemicals or particulates, or loaded with organic matter, this obviously affects the quality of the receiving water body or aquifer. It is paramount to ensure that disposal of industrial wastewater is dealt with by considering cleaner production practices and cleaner technology solutions in mind. The example is of the Combined Effluent Treatment Plant (CETP) in Korangi which is owned and operated by the Environmental Society of the Pakistan Tanners Association-Southern Zone. Numerous evaluators have rated this Plant as the only project in Pakistan that is completed within budget in spite of escalations in the cost of raw materials over the last five years1. The CETP also serves as a replicable example of Public-Private Partnerships. The Plant is designed to keep the effluent of 170 tanneries operating in sectors 7-A and 15 in the Korangi industrial area. More CETPs are needed in all the industrial areas of Sindh such as Korangi SITE Karachi, Landhi, North Karachi, F.B. Area, Kotri, Sukkur etc.
C.2:
WATER AND ENERGY There are different kinds of renewable energy sources using water which include; Ocean based - Ocean energy sources include, wave energy, tidal energy and thermal energy, or River based-River sources and Canals are primarily hydroelectric schemes of varying sizes, many of them associated with irrigation or flood mitigation schemes, such as dams, water turbines etc Construction of large dams is a heavily debated issue in Pakistan and from the Sindh perspective such ventures will be detrimental. There at least four clear reasons for not opting for large dams and these are narrated below: Building a large dam will flood a very large area upstream and dry a lot of area downstream, causing problems for people and animals that used to live there; Finding a suitable site can be difficult - the impact on residents and the environment may be unacceptable; Water quality and quantity downstream can be affected, which can have an impact on human as well as plant life; Capital costs are high.
Instead of constructing large dams attention should be paid to the construction of small hydel projects and water turbines (run of the river or canal) for generation of energy using water.
RNE External Monitoring & Evaluation Reports 2006; PTA-SZ Environmental Society Archives 2006
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
C.3:
WATER, EMPLOYMENT AND ACCESS TO OPPORTUNITIES In order to combat the problem of scarcity of water it is mandatory for the government to incorporate strategies which would enhance the knowledge and importance of water amongst both, rural and urban, students, beginning at primary levels. To ensure that water based knowledge is not wasted, schemes should be deployed which would motivate the rural and urban masses to deploy their acquired knowledge. Massive job opportunities will be initiated to facilitate sector-oriented employment by the government. Another important issue that will be tackled concerning water is that of teaching the general masses to be equipped to respond emergencies. Training projects should be initiated, dealing with first aid etc. Flood relief trainings will be given to people located in areas where there is a frequency of floods.
C.4:
WATER AND SANITATION The National Drinking Water policy describes what should be the role of provincial and local governments to develop medium term plans for the drinking water sector in keeping with the Medium-Term Development Framework in conjunction with relevant municipal authorities to guide and steer the future developments in the sector. Safe drinking water is a core issue of urban and rural populations particularly the poor in rural areas as well as urban slums. The SV2030 element with reference to safe drinking water and sanitation is that all people of Sindh are provided safe drinking water and to fully functional sanitation and sewerage facilities by 2030. The main elements of the strategy will include the following: Adoption of an integrated approach, rational resource use, and the introduction of water efficient techniques; Containment of environmental degradation; Institutional strengthening, capacity building & human resource development as emphasized by the participants during the consultative process; Improving performance and utilization of local systems through better planning, management and community participation; Improving quality of, and easy access to water supply, especially for women; Improving sanitation through sewerage and drainage schemes; Promoting increased standards of household sanitation. Improve supply levels (volume, flow, and head) to ensure delivery of water at homes etc. without the need for energy-consuming suction pumps.
C.5:
IRRIGATION AND POWER The entire irrigation network requires continual rehabilitation to keep it strengthened and functioning efficiently and effectively. Pakistan, despite being an agrarian country, has demonstrated extremely low irrigation efficiencies, creating problem related to water conservation and water logging and salinity. The crop yield in Pakistan remains on the lower side of its potential given better water circumstances. This is due to lack of timely and relevant research and from
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
inadequate extension services. Improvement in government policies and legal and institutional framework for water management will play an important and effective role in achieving large gains in agricultural output. Functioning for decades, the irrigation and drainage infrastructure is in an alarming and precarious condition. The system has either deteriorated partly or outlived its life, especially due to inadequate maintenance resulting from inadequate funds and due the fact that the structures are being stressed beyond design capacity at higher water withdrawals during Kharif. Consequently, the following conditions prevail: Canal prism/profile is deteriorated. Berms are eroded away. Canal Banks have been rendered week. Damages have occurred at Cross and Head Regulators. Bridges have either collapsed or sustained heavy damages. Silting has occurred in tail reaches of canals due to inadequate variable flows. River training bunds have gone weak.
Special priority attention will therefore be given to irrigation and drainage by undertaking timely maintenance and repair works (properly) and by strengthening the worst affected sections/elements through special repairs. Furthermore, all related development programmes will also to be streamlined. With regard to irrigation the I&P Departments 54-point Water Vision 2030 will be implemented.
C.6:
BIODIVERSITY
MANAGEMENT
AND
ENVIRONMENTAL
Due to continuous increase in the Indus withdrawals in upstream; the outflow to sea has reduced to a great deal. Consequently, the costal ecosystem has been damaged. The degeneration of the natural resources has deteriorated human settlements compelling people of the coast to migrate to other areas in search of water and food. The coastal environment has changed over time, partly as a result of the massive take-off from the Indus River for irrigation and extensive pollution from domestic and industrial waste, particularly around the Karachi area. Most striking is the reduction in the mangrove forests, which has adversely affected fish and shellfish nurseries. Construction of barrages has reduced the size of fish catches and reduced the sediment load reaching the ocean, causing coastal erosion. For the most part, marine and coastal zone pollution in Pakistan is limited to Karachi, a city of 14 million people that accounts for about 45 percent of the countrys industry. All of Karachis industrial waste, effluents, and domestic sewage, and all of the agricultural run-off from the hinterland and the Indus River find their way, untreated, into the sea. Oil pollution is also a problem; of the 4 million tons of oil imported in 1986, 20,000 tons were believed to have leaked into coastal waters (SCEA 2005). The Convention on Wetlands, signed in Ramsar, Iran, in 1971, is an intergovernmental treaty which provides the framework for national action and international cooperation for the conservation and wise use of wetlands and their resources (Ramsar 1971). There is a Ramsar list of the world in which 19 sites are found in Pakistan. Of those 19 sites, 10 are found in Sindh.
SV2030
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Mangroves cover a total of 257,500 hectares in Pakistan. Those in the Indus Delta (Sindh) are the world's sixth largest contiguous mangrove forests. The mangrove ecosystem is constantly under pressure from increased human settlement, pollution, freshwater scarcity and over- harvesting (WWF-2006). If water is not allowed to flow in sufficient quantity below Kotri barrage for most of the year, as is the practice now, the mangrove forests will be devastated due to loss of nutrients and silt from the fresh water outflow, increase of salinity in the soil-pore water due to seawater, and rising sea levels. The human population in and around mangrove forests is estimated at 1.2 million people, of which 0.9 million reside in the Indus Delta (Ashraf 2002 WWF Pak/IUCN May 2003), and about 135,000 people depend on the mangroves resources for livelihood (Shah 1998). The annual value of catch from mangrovedependent fish species is estimated at US$20 million, shrimps, particularly important, have a domestic value of US$70 million. Reduced freshwater flows and consequent ecosystem degradation had a negative effect on livelihoods, namely; a steady decline in crop and fish production with an increase in salinity, and (from a case study) approximately 300,000 households have lost about $70,000 in crop damage and $45,000 from decreased fish catch (SCEA 2005). The change in Mangrove forest cover between the years 1992 and 2000 is given in Table 10.4 in Chapter 10. Riverine forests along the River Indus are threatened due to reduced flow in the Indus, as the river water is the only source of regeneration and growth of these forests. Due to upstream water diversion and storage the intensity of floods has been adversely affected. The deforestation followed by soil degradation, salinity, and erosion will then lead to desertification rendering once fertile lands to barren deserts. The Forest Department goals for 2030 are: Develop and implement policies that integrate the objectives of conservation and development to reduce pressure on natural forests, protect their environmental values and conserve biodiversity; Alleviate poverty through creation of forest based income generating opportunities; Continue to meet needs of local people for timber, fuel-wood, fodder and miscellaneous non-wood product from the forest; Rehabilitate degraded ecosystems and create environmental awareness.