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December 2013

C O N T E N T S
Managing Director's Message

Article

Repo Market - A Tool to Manage Liquidity in Financial Institutions

Infocus

Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India - 2012-13

29

Briefing
Article Summary
Measuring Capital Adequacy Supervisory Stress Tests in a Basel World

48

What's New

50

Speeches

58

Market Roundup
Macro-Economic Overview

63

Market Overview

70

Key Macroeconomic Indicators


Domestic

78

World

80

Outstanding Government Debt

81

CCIL Indices

93

Primary Market Analysis

95

Statistics

97

Government Securities Market

100

Money Market

118

Foreign Exchange Market

125

Derivatives

131

Interest Rate Movement

134

Corporate Bonds

137

Milestones

146

Key Personnel

149

STATISTICS
TABLES
TABLE 1

DOMESTIC INDICATORS ......................................................................................................... 78

TABLE 2

WORLD ECONOMIC INDICATORS ...................................................................................... 80

TABLE 3

OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT .............................................................................

81

TABLE 4

STATE DEVELOPMENT LOANS (SDLS) OUTSTANDING............................................

89

TABLE 5

CONSOLIDATED OUTSTANDING .......................................................................................

90

TABLE 6

ANALYSIS OF OUTSTANDING BONDS ..............................................................................

92

TABLE 7

INDEX COMPOSITION .............................................................................................................. 93

TABLE 8

INDEX PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS .....................................................................................

94

TABLE 9

SECURITIES & MONEY MARKET (PRIMARY) : COMPARATIVE DATA ..................

95

TABLE 10 :

LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................ 96

TABLE 11 :

CCIL SETTLEMENT DETAILS ................................................................................................. 97

TABLE 12 :

CATEGORYWISE BUYING ACTIVITY ..................................................................................

98

TABLE 13 :

CATEGORYWISE SELLING ACTIVITY ................................................................................

98

TABLE 14 :

COMPARABLE RATES (%) ......................................................................................................... 99

GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET


TABLE 15 :

PROPRIETARY / CONSTITUENT SETTLEMENT ANALYSIS .......................................... 100

TABLE 16 :

DEAL SIZE ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................. 100

TABLE 17 :

INSTRUMENT WISE BREAKUP OF OUTRIGHT TRADES ........................................... 101

TABLE 18 :

TENOR WISE ACTIVITY - CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DATED SECURITIES ......

TABLE 19 :

NETTING FACTOR - FUNDS ................................................................................................... 103

TABLE 20 :

NETTING FACTOR: SECURITIES ........................................................................................... 103

TABLE 21 :

LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS FOR CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SECURITIES TRANSACTED


DURING THE MONTH ................................................................................
104

TABLE 22 :

MARKET SHARE OF TOP 'N' SECURITIES ........................................................................ 107

TABLE 23 :

MARKET SHARE OF MEMBERS IN OUTRIGHT SETTLEMENT ................................. 107

TABLE 24 :

MARKET SHARE OF TOP FIVE MEMBERS (CATEGORYWISE) ................................... 108

TABLE 25 :

TRADING PLATFORM ANALYSIS OF OUTRIGHT TRADES ........................................ 108

TABLE 26A :

WHEN-ISSUED TRADING DETAILS ..................................................................................... 109

TABLE 26B :

WHEN-ISSUED TRADING - HISTORICAL ......................................................................... 109

TABLE 27 :

MARKET SHARE IN PROPRIETARY TRADES ...............................................................

TABLE 28 :

MARKET SHARE IN CONSTITUENT TRADES ................................................................ 110

TABLE 29 :

TURNOVER RATIO .................................................................................................................... 110

TABLE 30 :

NET MARKET ACTIVITY IN G-SEC TRADING ................................................................ 110

102

109

TABLE 31 :

TRADING SUMMARY ................................................................................................................

111

TABLE 32 :

G-SEC TRADING ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................

112

TABLE 33 :

T-BILL TRADING ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................

113

TABLE 34 :

SDL TRADING ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................

114

TABLE 35 :

LIQUIDITY OF TRADES GREATER THAN 5 CRORE (G-SEC) ....................................

115

TABLE 36 :

LIQUIDITY DISTRIBUTION (G-SEC) ....................................................................................

117

MONEY MARKET
TABLE 37 :

MONEY MARKET COMPARISON .......................................................................................... 118

TABLE 38 :

CBLO TRADING...........................................................................................................................

TABLE 39 :

REPO TERM ANALYSIS .............................................................................................................. 119

TABLE 40 :

INSTRUMENTWISE SETTLEMENT OF REPO TRADES ................................................

TABLE 41 :

CROMS TRADING ACTIVITY .................................................................................................. 120

TABLE 42 :

CROMS HISTORICAL SUMMARY............................................................................................ 121

TABLE 43 :

TOP 5 SECURITIES - BASKET REPO .....................................................................................

121

TABLE 44 :

TOP 5 SECURITIES - SPECIAL REPO ....................................................................................

121

TABLE 45 :

DEALT TRANSACTIONS ON THE NDS-CALL PLATFORM .......................................... 122

TABLE 46 :

OTC DEALS REPORTED ON THE NDS-CALL SYSTEM .................................................. 123

TABLE 47 :

NDS-CALL HISTORICAL .................................................................................................

118

119

124

FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET


TABLE 48 :

FOREX SETTLEMENT ................................................................................................................

125

TABLE 49 :

FOREX TRADE TYPE ANALYSIS ...........................................................................................

126

TABLE 50 :

FOREX DEAL SIZE ANALYSIS ................................................................................................

126

TABLE 51 :

TENORWISE FORWARD TRADES ANALYSIS ...................................................................

127

TABLE 52 :

MARKET SHARE - FOREX ........................................................................................................ 127

TABLE 53 :

CATEGORYWISE FOREX ACTIVITY - DEAL TYPE ........................................................

128

TABLE 54 :

NETTING FACTOR - FOREX ...................................................................................................

128

TABLE 55 :

CLS SETTLEMENT ....................................................................................................................... 129

TABLE 56 :

CURRENCY WISE GROSS SETTLEMENT ...........................................................................

129

TABLE 57 :

TOP 5 CURRENCY PAIRS - CLS .............................................................................................

130

TABLE 58 :

TRADING DETAILS - FX CLEAR ............................................................................................

130

DERIVATIVES
TABLE 59 :

INTEREST RATE SWAP TRANSACTIONS (MATCHED) .................................................

131

TABLE 60 :

INTEREST RATE SWAP (MIBOR) MARKET SHARE ........................................................

131

TABLE 61 :

INTEREST RATE SWAP (MIFOR) MARKET SHARE ........................................................

132

TABLE 62

TOP N MARKET SHARE - IRS ..............................................................................................

132

TABLE 63

IRS TRADE SUMMARY (MATCHED) ...................................................................................

132

TABLE 64

OUTSTANDING POSITION IN IRS TRANSACTIONS ..................................................... 133

TABLE 65

NETTING FACTOR - IRS NON-GUARANTEED SETTLEMENT ................................

133

INTEREST RATE MOVEMENT


TABLE 66

SPREAD ANALYSIS - SDL ..........................................................................................................

135

TABLE 67

YIELD MOVEMENT .................................................................................................................... 136


CORPORATE BONDS

TABLE 68

PRIMARY MARKET ISSUANCE OF CORPORATE BONDS ............................................ 137

TABLE 69

ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE ................................................................ 138

TABLE 70

RATING ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCES ...........................................

TABLE 71

TOP 5 ISSUANCES........................................................................................................................ 139

TABLE 72

SECTOR ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................... 139

TABLE 73

CATEGORY ANALYSIS ...............................................................................................................

139

TABLE 74

NON-FIXED RATE BOND ISSUANCE ANALYSIS .............................................................

139

TABLE 75

CORPORATE BONDS TRADING DETAILS .......................................................................

140

TABLE 76

HISTORICAL SUMMARY .......................................................................................................

141

TABLE 77

TRADING ANALYSIS ...............................................................................................................

141

TABLE 78

RATING ANALYSIS ..................................................................................................................

142

TABLE 79

CATEGORY ANALYSIS ..........................................................................................................

142

TABLE 80

BOND TYPE ANALYSIS ...........................................................................................................

142

TABLE 81

SPREAD ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................................... 142

TABLE 82

TOP 25 TRADED CORPORATE BONDS .............................................................................. 143

138

CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT AND COMMERCIAL PAPERS


TABLE 83

CDs AND CPs TRADING DETAILS ........................................................................................ 144

TABLE 84

HISTORICAL SUMMARY - CP AND CD ............................................................................ 144

TABLE 85

TENORWISE TRADING ANALYSIS ....................................................................................... 145


CHARTS

CHART 1

ZERO COUPON YIELD CURVE .............................................................................................. 134

CHART 2

SOVEREIGN YIELD CURVE ....................................................................................................

134

Message from MD
Dear Colleagues,
The recent economic indicator data releases show challenging industrial
production scenario coupled with higher levels of wholesale and consumer
inflation. These negative factors affected market sentiment and market started
anticipating a hike in policy Repo rate to tackle inflation level. Liquidity situation is
slowly improving and banks are borrowing relatively lower amount in MSF window
of RBI. The support from RBI through term repo has also helped the market. The
stability of oil prices and fall in gold imports have helped in bringing down Current
Account Deficits (CAD) and this has helped the Indian Rupee to stabilize against
global currencies.
CCIL business volumes in Oct'13 decelerated in all segments except Forex. Daily
average volume of outright Government Securities transactions settled, decreased
by 12% while daily Repo transactions dropped by about 14%. Daily average Forex
settlement witnessed a marginal increase of 5% while CBLO daily average volume
dropped by 6%.
RBI has issued a notification on December 5, 2013 introducing cash settled Interest
Rate Futures on 10-year Government of India security. The cash settled Interest
Rate Futures (IRF) on 10-year Government of India security shall have as underlying
either a coupon bearing Government of India security or coupon bearing notional
10-year Government of India security with settlement price based on basket of
securities. The final settlement price for the IRF contract would be weighted
average price of the underlying security based on prices during the last two hours of
the trading on NDS-OM system. If less than 5 trades are executed in the underlying
security during the last two hours of trading, then FIMMDA price shall be used for
final settlement.
R. Sridharan

h
t
n
o
m
of the
CCIL Forex Segment has settled 34,418 deals on 29th November
2013, the highest recorded so far.

ARTICLE

Repo Market - A Tool to Manage Liquidity in Financial Institutions


Dr. Golaka C Nath

Abstract

Repo is used in India as an instrument for monetary policy by institutionalizing daily Liquidity
Adjustment Facility (LAF) which allows banks and Primary Dealers to manage their liquidity needs.
Liquidity stress in the market has an impact on the short term interest rate. Entities not having
adequate securities balances borrow funds from inter-bank uncollateralized call market and the call
rates are prone to liquidity shocks in the system. The spread between Call and Repo rates is likely to
widen when there is liquidity stress in the market. The study tried to find the determinant of the
spread. It found that LAF window activity as well as total money market activity has an impact on
the spread. In order to understand if the spread behaves in a different manner when the system has
excess liquidity vis--vis shortage of liquidity, a Regime Switching model using Goldfeld and
Quandt's D-method for switching regression was used. The tests found that the monetary policy is
stable in both the regimes and the effectiveness of monetary policy in both the regimes are not
statistically different.

For Correspondence with author - gcnath@hotmail.com

Dr. Golaka C Nath is Senior Vice President, Economic Research & Surveillance, Membership, HRD,
CCIL

CCIL

Keywords: Repo, CBLO, Call, India, RBI, liquidity, financial crisis, central bank refinancing, spread,
interbank market.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

JEL classification: G10, G20, G21, E52, C30.

ARTICLE

Introduction

trillion in July'132, down 35 percent from a peak


of $7.02 trillion in the first quarter of 2008. Post
financial crisis, many regulations have been
framed to secure the banking business as the
transmission from banking channel hurts the
society most in the times of stress. Regulators
feel that reforming the repo market is the top
priority. They fear that repo market makes the
banks vulnerable to sudden collapse should
counterparties become nervous about doing
business with them for some reason, as
repeatedly happened around the time of the
financial crisis. The repo market is believed to be
a key channel through which the last Financial
Crisis was transmitted. Repo being a

Unlike the global repo market, Indian repo


market predominantly uses sovereign securities,
though repo is allowed on corporate papers. The
dominance of low-risk collateral means that it is
much less likely to transmit shocks to other
markets in case there is stress condition in the
market. Repo market in India does not pose a
systemic risk to the wider financial system.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Repo is abbreviated form of Repurchase


Agreement - a form of lending and borrowing
mechanism used by Central Banks and Banking
and near Banking Institutions all over the world
to manage liquidity. Predominantly Repos are
used by an institution for managing short-term
liquidity fluctuations and not for funding
general balance sheet. However, institutions
may use the facility to fund leveraged positiontaking in various securities. A survey by
European Repo Council (ERC) of the
International Capital Market Association
(ICMA) in June'13 found that the total value of
the repo contracts outstanding on the books of
the 65 institutions was EUR 6.01 trillion,
compared with the EUR 5.6 trillion in December
2012, (EUR 4.6 trillion in December 2008 and
the pre-crisis peak of EUR 6.8 trillion in June
2007). The U.S. repo market shrunk to $4.6

collateralized transaction, repo lenders


demanded higher collateral for a given level of
cash lending during the crisis as asset prices
declined. Investors holding leveraged portfolios
of securities were required to post higher
margins. The funding shortfall forced investors
to sell assets which resulted in further decline in
asset prices, creating a 'vicious cycle'. The
problem was acute as a major part of the repo
market used non-sovereign papers for the repo
transaction. The financial market crisis
witnessed the demand for quality collaterals as
the value of the corporate papers started dipping.
More recently, the regulatory focus on repo
markets has intensified to ensure that the market
remains stable at the time of stress. The Basel III
Accord introduced quantitative liquidity
requirements that stress-test large-bank funding
practices and force firms to move from primarily
overnight funding to longer-term financing
arrangements. Additionally, the global
regulators are focusing on banks' reliance on
short-term funding and on reform measures to
more closely link capital and liquidity
regulation. These efforts are likely to materially
alter the way banks fund themselves and change
the repo market for the better.

Based on recent Federal Reserve data compiled from its 21 primary dealers.

ARTICLE

Repo is defined as an agreement in which one


party sells securities or other assets to a
counterparty, and simultaneously commits to
repurchase the same asset, at an agreed future date
at a repurchase price. The said repurchase price
would cover the original sell price plus a return
on the use of the sale proceeds during the term of
the repo. It is a financing arrangement used
primarily in the government securities markets
whereby a dealer or other holder of government
securities sells the securities to a lender and agrees
to repurchase them at an agreed future date at an
agreed price which will provide the lender with
an extremely low-risk return. Such a transaction
is called a repo when viewed from the perspective
of the supplier of the securities (the party
acquiring funds) and a reverse repo or matched
sale-purchase agreement when described from
the point of view of the supplier of funds. Repos
are hybrid transactions that combine features of
both secured loans and outright purchase and
sale transactions but do not fit cleanly into either
classification. The use of margin or haircuts in
valuing repo securities, the right of repo
borrowers to substitute collateral in term

Repo markets are generally separated into


markets for general and specific collateral.
In case of specific collateral, a piece of specific
collateral is identified in the repo contract
making it possible to obtain specified securities.
Repos can be divided into four broad categories (a) Classic Repo (US style); (b) Buy-Sell Back
Repo (Indian market follows this type) and (c)
Securities Lending for a fee and (d) Tri-party
Repo. Classic repo involves an initial sale of
securities with a simultaneous agreement to
repurchase them at a later date where the start and
end prices of the securities are the same and a
separate payment of "interest" is made. Classic
repo makes it explicit that the securities are only
collateral for the loan and the coupon income
will be accrued to the seller of the security. The
principal difference between a repurchase

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

1. Repo Market Microstructure

agreements, and the use of mark-to-market


provisions are examples of repo features that
typically are characteristics of secured lending
arrangements but are rarely found in outright
purchase and sale transactions. The repo buyer's
right to trade the securities during the term of the
agreement, by contrast, represents a transfer of
ownership that typically does not occur in
collateralized lending arrangements. Repos are
popular because they virtually eliminate credit
problems. Repos can be traced back to the birth
of Federal Reserve System and to the inception of
the Bankers' Acceptances market at the close of
World War I (in 1918). In 1923, the Fed began to
use short term repos against Governments as a
tool for altering bank reserves. Central Banks
around the world use Repos to moderate money
supply in the economy by way of providing
liquidity at the time of stress and absorbing
liquidity at the time of excesses.

CCIL

The objective of the current study is to


understand various dimensions of the Indian
repo market functioning and its important role
as a tool to manage liquidity in the system. The
rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 1
details current repo market microstructure,
Section 2 details the RBI repo system, Section 3
details the market activity, Section 4 details the
types of collaterals used in the system, Section 5
details the statistical analysis of the market and
determinants of the spread and Section 6 gives
the concluding remarks.

ARTICLE

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

agreement and a buy/sell- back stem from the fact


that repurchase agreements are always
documented, while buy/sell-backs are not
required to be documented as there are implicitly
two separate contracts. Most of the repo terms are
taken from standard legal agreements - General
Master Repo Agreement (GMRA). Buy/sell-back
agreements and securities lending versus cash
transactions have somewhat different legal and
accounting treatments but these are equivalent
economic functions and also referred to as repo
market transactions. Under a Tripartite repo, a
common custodian /clearing agency arranges for
custody as well as clearing and settlement of
repos transactions. The system starts with signing
of agreements by all parties and the agreements
include Global Master Repurchase and Tripartite
Repo Service Agreements. This type of
arrangement minimizes credit risk and can be
utilized when dealing with clients with low credit
rating.

10

The maturity of repo agreements typically fall


into at least three descriptive categories:
overnight, open and term. Overnight refers to
repos with a single-day maturity (this should also
typically cover repos conducted in the Indian
market on Fridays) and the Indian market uses
this form of the market quite efficiently. Term
maturity refers to repos that have a fixed
maturity longer than one day - recently Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) introduced term repo for 7
and 14-days on reporting Fridays to mitigate the
liquidity shortage in the system. Open maturity
repos are those transactions where both parties
have the option to terminate the repo each day.
The open maturity structure permits entities in
the repo transaction to continuously roll over
overnight repos. In a securities lending

transaction, two securities are swapped for a


certain period of time. This typically happens
when funds are perceived to have higher
reinvestment risk which may result in bid-ask
bounce for the repo seller of the securities.
Repo are used by traders to obtain cash or to
obtain securities. Repo and reverse repo are two
parts of the same transaction. A bank needing
cash but having required securities can enter into
a repo transaction with another institution by
selling the securities under repo to acquire cash.
In this case, the lender of the cash uses the
securities as collateral. Repo transactions are
typically used to fund long positions in
securities - used to build up leveraged long
positions in securities markets. A trader uses cash
raised through an initial repo transaction to buy
securities which, in turn, are repoed out to raise
more cash to buy more securities and so on. With
each transaction the leverage ratio is increased.
The maximum extent of leverage that can be built
up through this process is determined by the
margin or haircut. Haircut depends on the
credit worthiness of the borrower of funds and
the price volatility of the collateral. Haircuts for
low-risk borrowers like banks using less-volatile
collateral like sovereign bonds can be very low.
The Repo market is probably the lowest-cost
source of leverage. In the reverse case, a bank
might have short sold a particular security with a
view on future price of the security and would
like to borrow the same for delivery purpose. The
short sale position results in cash inflows which
can be used in the repo transaction to acquire
securities for delivery purpose as no naked short
sales are typically allowed in institutional
markets. Or a bank in India can enter into a
reverse repo transaction to borrow securities

ARTICLE

from another bank by lending cash but the


purpose of the same is to maintain regulatory
investment norms in Statutory Liquidity Ratio
(SLR). As Indian market follows a buy/sell-back
repo mechanism, it allows the borrower of the
security to use the same for achieving the SLR
level specified by RBI. In markets where interest
rate futures are liquid, securities are borrowed to
manage delivery against the deliverable positions
by the sellers in the futures market. Depending
on their uses, either the securities or the cash
serve as collateral for a particular transaction. In
the case of specific collateral repos, the
transaction enables participants to obtain
particular securities.
Repo yield depends on whether the transaction
involves general or specific collateral. In case of
general repo, the yield is roughly comparable to
other short-term money market interest rates. In
case of special repo, the yield reflects the value of

making and speculative activity are important


facets of the repo market. The repo lender of the
security has to maintain inventory of collaterals
and has to price the same in such a manner to
recover his holding cost and the security
borrower should make money from short sale
deals to make the same transaction viable. The
speculator takes a view on interest rate and
accordingly creates leveraged positions. Direct
trading of the repo rate itself is commonly
known as matched-book trading. It involves the
borrowing of securities or cash through the repo
markets with the intention of re-lending the cash
or securities at more favorable rates in the same
market. Speculative trading activity involves
taking a position on the basis of forecast of the
direction of interest rates - speculating on the
future direction of repo rates. If a trader expects
rates to rise, one could borrow money for term
and lend money overnight.

Figure: 1: Repurchase Agreement Structure


First Leg (Ready leg): Initial Transaction
Cash - Haircut

Security Buyer / Cash Lender

Second Leg (Forward Leg): Forward Contract


Cash + Interest
Security Seller / Cash Borrower
Securities

Security Buyer / Cash Lender

Security Seller / Cash Borrower

the collateral in the securities loan. In rare


circumstances, participants sometimes transact

CCIL

at negative special repo rates3. Repo market


facilitates arbitrage and speculative activity as it
allows a trader to take leveraged positions by
posting a small margin. Arbitrage, market-

The above figure can be better explained using an


example of Buy/Sell Back Repo. Bank A would
like to do a repo to borrow funds from Bank B
using a security (7.16% GOI 2023 issued on 20May-2013) on Oct 21, 2013 for 21 days
(repayment on Nov 11, 2013) for a Face Value of

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Securities

When the chance of penalties is high for failure to deliver the security.

11

ARTICLE

`500million at 8.36%. The underlying bond is

trading at 8.80% for settlement on Oct 21, 2013.


The underlying security has a Clean Price of
`89.5197 (using 30/360E criteria) and has 151

days of accrued interest amounting to 3.0032


giving us a Dirty Price of `92.5229. The
consideration in the First Leg (Ready Leg)
becomes `462, 614,725. The repo interest will be
charged on the above funds at 8.36% for 21 days.
The same works out to `2, 225,113 using Act/365
criteria. So the Borrower (Bank A) will pay to

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Bank B `464, 839,838 on Nov 11, 2013 and take


back the security. But in a buy/sell-back repo, the
transaction is divided into two separate deals - in
the second leg the repayment becomes the
consideration and the Bank B must account the
same in terms of a Clean Price and Accrued
Interest. This is done to have proper accounting
in the books as Clean Price is a part of the
Balance sheet (Asset side when it enters the book)
while accrued interest is absorbed in the Profit
and Loss Account. The repayment amount in the
second leg (forward leg) can be converted into a

12

Dirty Price of `92.9680 out of which 3.4010 is the


accrued interest for 171 days as on 11-Nov-2013.
The implied Clean Price will be the difference
between Dirty price and Accrued Interest. The
same will re-enter the books of Bank A at
`89.5670 resulting in a small capital gain as it left

the Book at `89.5197. For Bank B, it can be a


capital loss and can be leveraged for tax purposes.
By doing the repo deal at the agreed rates, the

traders have also given their expectation about


the future yield of the bond. The forward price of
`89.5670 implies a yield of 8.80% for the security

on 11-Nov-2013. This implies that traders do not


expect much change to the yield curve in next
three weeks - expectation of a flat yield structure
for next 3 weeks.
An important distinction between repo lending
and a collateralized loan is that legal ownership
of the security is transferred to the lender of
funds which provides the repo lender with better
control over the collateral in case the
counterparty defaults. At times, repo transaction
also provides for collateral substitution rights to
the lender of security. Right of substitution may
make the repo transaction restrictive as the
borrower of the security has to maintain the
collateral inventory or should be in apposition
to borrow the same through another repo
transaction if the lender of the security demands
the same.
Indian repo market is predominantly an
overnight repo market - dominated by banks and
institutions. The market uses sovereign securities
as collateral. The repo market in India was a pure
OTC market where both lenders and borrowers
to talk to each other to finalize a deal. The
anonymous online repo dealing system
introduced by Clearing Corporation of India
Ltd. (CCIL) helped the market to go for a radical
change - moving from OTC market to an

The repo interest is for 21 days while bond interest accrued is for 20 days - the one day shortfall is because
of the different day count convention used for repo market (ACT/365) and bond market (30/360E).

CCIL introduced CROMS platform in Jan'09 for allowing institutions to deal in repo using both Basket
and Special windows.

ARTICLE

The Indian Repo market has three different


segments - RBI Repo (daily LAF at a fixed rate),
Market repo among banks and institutions at
market determined rates and Collateralised
Borrowing and lending Obligations (CBLO) - a
repo variant with the combined structure of heldin-custody and tripartite repo in which the
contract can be traded, unlike other standard
repo in which the security under repo can be
traded but the contract cannot be unwound till
the end of the contract. CBLO market has been

which are immobilized at the service provider6.


CCIL allows entities to borrow from the market
against Government securities after applying the
applicable haircuts to manage risk. Both Market
repo and CBLO trades are guaranteed by CCIL
which plays the role of a CCP7.
2. Central Bank Repo
Central Bank Repo is one of the oldest
instruments of monetary policy. Federal Reserve
started using a type of repo in 1920s, while Bank
of Canada used repos since 1953. Bank of
England started using repos with government
securities in 1997, while Japan and Switzerland
started using repos in 1997 and 1998,
respectively. Canada, Italy and Sweden use the
buy/sell-backs, while Japan uses securities
borrowing with cash collateral. The Netherlands
uses a special loans system in which loans are
collateralised via pledge on a pool of collateral
(general). Most of the countries use the forms of
repo keeping in mind the legal and institutional
framework that prevails in each country. The use
of repos as a monetary policy instrument is more
justified from the fact that repos are well suited to
influence the interest rate level through two of
the main channels used to implement monetary
policy - for moderating or controlling liquidity

CCIL offers CBLO trading platform for the market participants to trade. The system allows non-bank
entities like Non-Banking Finance Companies, Large Corporates investing in Government securities, Large
Oil Companies, etc. having stocks of Government bonds issues to support oil pool deficit.
7

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

The trading activity in repo market indicates


leverage positions taken by traders. A relatively
higher volume in Special window would indicate
traders are borrowing specific securities for their
leveraged positions like delivery against short
sale position or delivery against a forward
contract like Interest Rate Futures. Buyers of the
securities (having long positions with an interest
rate view) in the outright market may also use the
security in repo window to lend the same to other
users. If the trading activity in the Basket window
is higher, it would indicate traders are using the
same more as a collateral to lend funds or some
traders may be using the same for regulatory
purpose like maintaining SLR.

the most liquid form of the short term market


with more than 60% of the short term market
share. CBLO provides an anonymous order
matching system for trading funds against the
collaterals in the form of Government securities

CCIL

anonymous order driven market resulting in true


price discovery of the repo yield. It provides for
both General (Basket) and Special repo dealing.
Large part of the repo market moved to this
platform, while a very small part still remains
outside this platform.

Central-Counter Party guarantees settlement of all trades in Market repo and CBLO.

13

in money markets and an effective mechanism


for signaling to markets the desired level of
interest rates. A central bank repo indicates the
rate at which the Central Bank is willing to lend
money against acceptable collaterals to banks - to
infuse liquidity to the system where there is
shortage of funds. Most central banks follow an
interest rate corridor to set a rate below the repo
rate at which the Central Bank is willing to
absorb excess liquidity in the banking system if
the need arises. So the repo and reverse repo rates
indicate both support and resistance level for
money market funds. The market logically has to
operate within the interest rate corridor as a
trader having excess cash would demand the
minimum rate from a borrower of funds which
she can get from the Central Bank by pledging
excess cash with her. If a bank has faced shortage
of liquidity, then it can approach the Central
bank with acceptable collaterals to pledge and
borrow funds at the repo rate. By changing the
repo rate, the central banks indicate the interest
rate direction. A shift in monetary policy can be
signaled by adjusting the interest rate corridor.
Central Banks use repo to infuse liquidity to the
system. During the financial crisis, central banks
around the world infused unprecedented level of
liquidity to the financial system by lowering the
quality of acceptable collaterals thereby
facilitating availability of credit to the economy
from the banking system. McAndrews et al.
(2008), Ashcraft et al. (2009), and Christensen et
al. (2009) find that the liquidity measures
adopted by the Federal Reserve were effective
during the 2007-08 financial crisis. When
liquidity dries up, central banks have two unique

abilities: to provide liquidity in sufficient


amounts in response to abnormal shocks
(Bhattacharya and Gale, 1987; Acharya et al.
2008) and to diversify risk across many illiquid
banks (Flannery, 1996; Rochet and Vives, 2004).
RBI uses a system called Liquidity Adjustment
Facility (LAF) for moderating liquidity situation
in the banking system. It has specific timing
windows (typically at the beginning of market
hours) within which banks are required to access
funds or park funds in which RBI is the counterparty. The rates at which such transactions take
place are fixed and are changed by RBI from time
to time depending upon its monetary policy
considerations. Currently, it uses repo rate for
lending money to Banks and Primary Dealers
against acceptable Government securities.
However, it currently restricts the said borrowing
with a cap of 0.5% of the Net Demand and Time
Liabilities (NDTL) of a Bank. In case the Bank
still requires more funds, it can access another
window called Marginal Standing Facility (MSF)
to borrow funds upto 1% of its NDTL. Recently
RBI introduced longer term repos under 7-day
and 14-day windows on reporting Fridays8 with a
market determined interest rate using auction
mechanism. RBI also conducts the LAF fixed rate
repo auction for a second time in the afternoon
on reporting Fridays to ensure that the liquidity
is fully absorbed though currently it opens a
second LAF window to allow banks to park
surplus funds with RBI. The RBI has also made
changes to the MSF window's timing making it
the last time slot (7PM - 7.30PM) in the banking
channel for borrowing funds from RBI.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

ARTICLE

Alternate Fridays are reporting Fridays for Banks in which their NDTL is calculated for Regulatory
maintenance of Cash Reserve Ratio and Statutory Liquidity Ratio.

14

ARTICLE

Ledger (SGL)9 account of the Banks.

In Indian market, RBI support to the banking


system through daily LAF has been a major
liquidity management tool since its inception.
However, the substantial liquidity injected10 to
the banking system in a very short span of time
soon after the financial crisis resulted in interest
rates moving to their lowest levels in short term
money market and Treasury bills market. Since
June'10, RBI has been continuously supporting
the market with infusion of liquidity through
daily LAF.
Table -1: RBI Injection of Liquidity to Banking System
(Apr07 to Nov13)
Net RBI Support (` Crore)
Parameters
Mean

7871

Standard Error

5890

Median

-1696

Standard Deviation

64252

Minimum

-130978

Maximum

146789

Months

119

Historically, the current stretch has been the


longest period in which banks have been
continuously borrowing funds from RBI (almost
42 months with a daily average borrowing of
more than `75000crores which is almost 1% of
the current NDTL of the banking system).
However, at times the liquidity support has been
very high and touched about 2% of the NDTL of
the banking system.

Banks have to maintain SGL account with RBI for keeping their Securities balances.

RBI injected about `500,000Crores (1Crore is 10million) in a short span of time to fend off the impact of
financial crisis on the Indian financial system.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

The securities used in the daily RBI LAF repo by a


Bank (while borrowing money from RBI) can be
considered under SLR requirement, while the
reverse repo deals entered with the RBI by a Bank
does not provide SLR benefit as RBI does not use
a pure Buy/Sell-Back mechanism but credits the
securities to a kind of pool account and not to
the account of the individual Subsidiary General

3. Market Activity

CCIL

Repos are useful for monetary policy because


they have a number of features: (a) they carry a
low credit risk as they are collateralized; (b) they
are relatively flexible and their features can be
tailored by the central bank according to
liquidity conditions; (c) repos do not affect
securities prices or yield curve in general; and (d)
Central banks can reach out to a broader range of
institutions in case of need (viz. extending
facility to select non-bank entities at the time
financial crisis). Repo market also gives the credit
spread to understand the stress in the market.
The spread between clean Call rate and Market
Repo Rate gives the perceived credit risk in the
system. At the time of stress, the spread widens
and at the time of ample liquidity, the spread
shrinks.

10

15

ARTICLE

Daily liquidity Support from RBI (` Crore)

May-13

Apr-09

Oct-12

-150000
Mar-12

3.00
Aug-11

-100000

Jan-11

4.00

Jun-10

-50000

Nov-09

5.00

Sep-08

Feb-08

6.00

Jul-07

50000

Dec-06

7.00

May-06

100000

Oct-05

8.00

Mar-05

150000

Aug-04

9.00

Jan-04

Policy Repo/Reverse Repo Rate (%)

Chart - 1: RBI Policy Rate and Net Systemic Liquidity Support

Month/Year
LAF

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Net support to the banking system has a positive


correlation with the policy rates - with Repo rate
about 68% co-movement and with reverse repo
about 78% co-movement. In recent times, Banks
have been continuously borrowing funds from
the RBI. In 2009, the banks parked large sum of
funds with the RBI's reverse repo window due to
availability of excess liquidity in the system (as a
fallout of financial crisis). Daily money market

CCIL

Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
11

16

RP

REVRP

activity has not seen substantial variation during


2004-2013 and remained at about 1% of NDTL.
Daily RBI LAF window witnessed wide variations
in liquidity as banks have to manage systemic
liquidity with the help of this window.
Market has been using the RBI LAF system as a
most important support system to ensure proper
liquidity management. However, fixed policy
rate repos provide direction of the interest rate in

Table -2: Repo Rate, Spread, LAF Support and Market Activity (Daily Average)
Repo Rate Rev. Repo Rate Call Rate Spread Net LAF Support Money Market activity11
6.25
4.54
4.60
0.39
-35600
15195
6.05
4.96
5.10
0.19
-19858
22969
6.78
5.74
6.42
0.37
-21748
35794
7.67
6.00
6.65
1.00
-6334
48917
8.01
5.94
7.74
0.60
5146
56466
4.92
3.42
3.47
0.60
-94805
81625
5.47
4.15
4.90
0.59
9063
69913
7.48
6.48
7.55
1.01
64524
67252
8.14
7.14
8.30
1.29
94044
70678
7.50
6.50
8.16
1.22
88788
97167

Total daily average trading activity in Call, Repo and CBLO markets.

ARTICLE

the market. The market uses the said information


to firm up other interest rates in the system like
inter-bank call, market repo and CBLO rates.
These three forms of short term market in India
form the backbone of the money market system
and these rates typically hover around the policy
rates - at the time of excess liquidity in the system,
the rates are around the reverse repo rate while at
the time of shortage, the same hovers around
repo rate. The introduction of CBLO changed
the structure of the money market in India.
Before 2004, the market heavily depended on the
uncollateralized overnight inter-bank call
market for funding. RBI made some policy
changes and restricted the exposure to
uncollateralized market by putting exposure
controls as high dependence on uncollateralized
call market envisaged systemic risk to the entire
system. In Jan'04, uncollateralized call market

accounted for 62% of the market share while


market repo accounted for 35% and CBLO
accounted for less than 3% of the market share.
Non-bank entities12 (excluding Primary Dealers)
were phased out from the uncollateralized call
market and were advised to move to
collateralized markets like Repo and CBLO. As
of October'13, the CBLO accounted for about
59% of the market while market repo accounted
for 28% market share and uncollateralized call
market accounted for 14% of the market share.
RBI has been successful in moving larger
volumes in the short term market to the
collateralized segment from the clean call
market. This has helped in removing systemic
risk as well as created demand for securities as
traders have to hold securities against which they
can borrow funds from counter-parties.

Chart - 2: Market Share in Money Market

70%

61%
50%

50%

61%
55%

53%

59%

44%

40%

32%

30%
20%

16%

10%
0%
2005

2006

2007

2008 2009
Year

2010

Call

Repo

CBLO

2011

2012

2013

CCIL

2004

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Market Share

60%

65%

12

Non-bank entities like Mutual Funds, Non-Banking Finance Companies and Insurance Companies were typically
lenders in the call market and were phased out from the call market in a calibrated manner.

17

ARTICLE

Money market consolidated trading activity


indicates the level of liquidity absorbed by the
system. It has a very strong correlation with the
systemic liquidity support from RBI. The
correlation between absolute of net RBI LAF
activity and consolidated money market volume
has been found to be about 53% (monthly data
from Jan'04 to Nov'13), while the correlation
between the spread between Call and market repo
rates and consolidated money market volume is
about 31% (monthly data Jan'04 to Nov'13)
while with daily LAF, the correlation was 44%.

The interest Rate Corridor as measured by the


difference between policy Repo and Reverse
Repo rate had expectedly negative correlation
with LAF (-35%) and money market activity level
(-22%). The short term market predominantly
remains a pure overnight market and hence is
exposed to high rollover risk. It will be
interesting to see how far the recent introduction
of term repos of 7 and 14-day on reporting
Fridays is going to help in developing the term
market in India.

1.40

120000

1.20

100000

1.00

80000

0.80
60000
0.60
40000

0.40

20000

0.20
0.00

Monthly Money Market Trade Value


( ` Crore)

Spread between Call and Repo (%)

Chart - 3: Spread and Money Market Activity

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

MM

CV
CV
RV
CBV
Spread
MM
LAF
Abs (LAF)

18

1
0.85
<.0001
0.787
<.0001
0.68
<.0001
-0.05
0.60
0.10
0.33
-0.20
0.04

Spread

Table - 3: Pearson Correlation Coefficients


Prob > |r| under H0: Rho=0
RV
CBV
Spread
MM
0.85
0.79
0.68
-0.05
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
0.604
1
0.74
0.55
-0.06
<.0001
<.0001
0.564
0.743
1
0.50
0.22
<.0001
<.0001
0.022
0.55
0.50
1
0.31
<.0001
<.0001
0.001
-0.06
0.22
0.31
1
0.56
0.02
0.001
-0.15
-0.02
0.44
0.26
0.13
0.88
<.0001
0.004
-0.24
-0.07
0.36
0.53
0.01
0.50
<.0001
<.0001

LAF
0.10
0.33
-0.15
0.125
-0.02
0.878
0.44
<.0001
0.26
0.004
1
0.25
0.01

Abs
-0.20
0.041
-0.24
0.014
-0.07
0.503
0.36
<.0001
0.53
<.0001
0.25
0.01
1

ARTICLE

At the time of severe liquidity crunch, the rates


move to unprecedented high levels. The volatility
measured by the difference between daily high
and low call rates and the spread between daily
call and market repo rate have a correlation 0.68.

different permissible Government securities like


Floating Rate Bonds, State Development Loans,
Special securities like Oil Bonds issued by
Government to fund oil pool deficits (subsidy
payments), and Treasury Bills, traders have been

Table - 4: Descriptive Statistics of Volatility, Spread and market Activity


Variable

Minimum

Maximum

Mean

Std Dev

Range

MM

119

10323

116450

55987

26097

106128

LAF

119

-130978

146789

7871

64252

277766

Abs

119

13

146789

51160

39387

146775

Spread

119

0.04

5.14

0.72

0.64

5.10

CV

106

0.76

13.92

2.10

1.48

13.16

RV

106

0.30

7.45

1.15

0.81

7.14

CBV
106
0.28
5.43
1.35
0.89
5.15
MM - Daily Money market activity; Abs - Daily average LAF support (absolute); CV, RV and CBV - Volatility in Call Repo and
CBLO markets

4. Securities Used in Repo Transactions

using pure Government securities, though in


recent times, the Treasury Bills have been
contributing to a sizeable share in total repo
deals. This increase in market share for Treasury
Bills is mainly due to high value of Treasury Bills

Repo transactions in Indian repo market use


mostly Government securities though corporate
bonds can also be used for such transactions.
Very few transactions take place using corporate
bonds. Though market has a choice of using

issued since last three years13.

Table - 5: Descriptive Statistics of Maturity of Securities used in Repo Deals


Value

Share

Cumulative

4727

1190017

5.66%

5.66%

12103

3093265

14.72%

20.39%

13475

3071121

14.62%

35.00%

7213

1622740

7.72%

42.73%

8462

1970000

9.38%

52.10%

9192

1728779

8.23%

60.33%

6396

802253.8

3.82%

64.15%

7915

1263331

6.01%

70.16%

6195

921031.5

4.38%

74.55%

9545

1062864

5.06%

79.60%

10

15383

1812031

8.62%

88.23%

CCIL

<1

Deals

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

MATURITY

13

Government has issued high value of short term Treasury Bills and Cash Management Bills in the aftermath of
Financial crisis. The notified amounts for Treasury Bills have increased substantially in recent times.

19

ARTICLE

Traders use the repo market in India more for


liquidity management and less for managing
portfolio of securities as can be seen from the
portfolio of underlying securities used in the

repo transactions. The market uses very short


term securities and securities upto 2 years
account for 35% of total repo deals in terms of
value.

Table - 6: Descriptive Statistics of Securities used in Repo Transactions


Year 2007
Year
Securities

FRB

GS

SDL

SPL

TB

48

44

18

101

Value

1841

2234434

26481

253690

240102

Share

0.1%

81.1%

1.0%

9.2%

8.7%

Deals

55

13633

797

2945

2194

50

50

25

106

2863365

56792

635302

346845

73.4%

1.5%

16.3%

8.9%

14336

1022

5710

2005

Year 2008
Securities
Value
Share

Deals

Year 2009
Securities

58

75

22

120

Value

466

4936353

27613

327974

905559

Share

0.01%

79.6%

0.4%

5.3%

14.6%

Deals

21308

918

3331

5277

Year 2010
Securities

61

62

15

133

Value

16728

3316671

16500

190150

847600

Share

0.38%

75.6%

0.4%

4.3%

19.3%

Deals

215

17931

703

2091

5864

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Year 2011
Securities

62

67

151

Value

55503

2202319

19475

206255

1468191

Share

1.40%

55.7%

0.5%

5.2%

37.2%

Deals

324

16383

571

1900

9619

Year 2012
Securities

64

92

148

Value

103000

2256932

70177

78166

2101344

Share

2.2%

49.0%

1.5%

1.7%

45.6%

Deals

825

21145

1054

635

15087

139

Year 2013

CCIL

Securities

20

62

66

Value

1861

3200473

24508

1068

2831606

Share

0.0%

52.8%

0.4%

0.0%

46.7%

Deals

23

22618

543

22

16007

ARTICLE

The most liquid securities in the underlying


outright market are typically benchmark
securities like 10-year and 5-years bonds. The
market share of these securities in repo deals is
about 8% each vis--vis about 40% for 10-year
bonds in outright underlying market. From the
behavior of the repo market transactions, it can
be implied that the market uses the repo deals to
manage liquidity and not for leveraging
securities portfolio holding. This may be due to
the fact that the lending side of the market in
repo is dominated by Insurance Companies and

and spread between collateralized and


uncollateralized rates widens when the stress goes
up in the market. However, empirically,
volatility in Call market is relatively higher than
the repo and CBLO markets. Call market is
preferred by borrowers only when the avenues to
access funds using collaterals are exhausted and
can be said as a residual borrowing by Banks and
Primary Dealers. Lenders would charge a premia
when lending it in Call as they perceive the
market as relatively riskier vis--vis other
collateralized markets.

4.1

100000

3.6

90000

3.1

80000
70000

2.6

60000

2.1

50000

1.6

40000

1.1

30000

0.6

20000

0.1
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

10000
2013

Daily Money Market / LAF Activity


(` Crore)

Spread, Volatility (%)

Chart 4: Spread and Volatility vis-a-vis Market Activity

Year
CV

Mutual funds who typically do not have trading


interest in securities and accept the securities as
collaterals against funds lent. As such the market
does not witness significant short selling nor is
there a Interest Rate Futures (IRF) market in
India which requires borrowing of securities for
delivery against obligations.
5. Determinants of Spread
Spread and volatility are important factors in
understanding the stress in the market. The tight
liquidity implies higher credit risk in the system

RV

CBV

Spread

The daily LAF activity gives the systemic


liquidity shortage or excess as Banks and Primary
Dealers would use this window to manage their
balance sheet. If LAF support is not sufficient
due to quantitative limits or if the LAF policy
rate is lower than in other comparable markets
like CBLO and market repo, then borrowers
having securities would like to use these markets
to borrow. Theoretically, the spread should be
dependent on the amount of LAF support,
money market activity, lagged spread (to find it
there is any autoregressive structure) because past

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

LAF(Abs)

CCIL

MM

21

ARTICLE

spreads indicate the continuity of stress


condition. Further, the interest rate corridor has
great significance to understand the monetary
policy stance of the central bank. In a channel
system like LAF, RBI offers two standing
facilities: a lending facility where it is ready to
supply money overnight at a given lending rate
against collateral and a deposit facility where
banks can make overnight deposits to earn a
deposit rate. The interest-rate corridor is chosen

from central bank is relatively costlier than


placing money with the central bank. Hence, the
interest rate corridor should also give some
indication of the spread. The typical corridor
used by RBI in normal circumstance has been
100bps. Hence, if the same goes beyond 100bps,
we assume the tightening of the policy. We have
used the corridor as a dummy variable in the
regression model. The linear regression model is
likely to provide the determinants of the spread.

Table - 7: General Linear Model Results (Jan04 - Nov13 excluding Mar-Apr07)


Parameter

Estimate

Intercept

Standard Error

0.1213

0.0816

1.49

0.1401

1.91E-06

5.91E-07

3.23

0.0016

MM

3.71E-06

1.22E-06

3.04

0.0029

LS

0.5078

0.0939

5.41

<.0001

LS1

-0.0781

0.0659

-1.18

0.2388

LS2

0.0715

0.0515

1.39

0.1677

COR1

-0.0386

0.0688

-0.56

0.5756

903
0.2894

AIC
48.2832

Durbin h14
-0.4518(0.3257)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

* Indicates significant at 99%

to keep the overnight interest rate in the money


market close to the target rate. In a pure channel
system, a change in policy is implemented by
simply changing the corridor without any open
market operations. Central banks typically react
to changing economic conditions by increasing
or decreasing their interest-rate corridor. The
money market rates should be in the middle of
the corridor. Widening of the corridor implies
tighter monetary policy stance as borrowing
14

The estimated model indicates lag spread has no


significant influence on the current spread.
However, the spread is influenced by the LAF
support and total money market activity and the
relationships are positive. The original dataset
contained two months of data which were found
to be extreme outliers due to some extraordinary
liquidity measures15 introduced in March'07. The
effect of the same continued till April'0716 and
the spread for March'07 was more than 5% while

Since lagged values are included in the equation, DW stat is not strictly valid. Durbin h is reported.

Starting March 5, 2007, daily reverse repo absorptions was limited to a maximum of `3,000crore each day comprising
`2,000crore in the First LAF and `1,000crore in the Second LAF. This was announced at a time when Banks were parking
about `30000crores in RBI LAF window (on March 1, 2007).
15

CCIL

Pr > |t|

LAF

R-Square
0.6484

16

22

t Value

The restriction on reverse repo quantum was withdrawn in July'07.

ARTICLE

distributed (Kolmogorov-Smirnov D stat of


0.079 (p value >0.08) indicating a better fit of the
model.

for April, the same was more than 2%. We


publish the above results after dropping these
two data outlier points. The Durbin-h stat clearly
shows that h statistic is -0.4518 which is not

Chart 5: Distribution of Residual


35

N
30

114
D 0.080

Normal Pr >

Percent

25
20

15

10
5
0

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

CCIL

statistically significant
Chart-6: Kernel Density for Spread and Residual of Regression Model
with a p-value of 0.3257,
indicating no
autocorrelation. Interest
Rate corridor was not
found to be statistically
significant. Hence we
dropped the same and the
results did not change
substantially (R-Sq changed
from 0.6484 to 0.6474). The
results show that LAF
activity and consolidated
money market activity
along with one period
lagged Spread has
significant influence on the
spread. The residual of the
regression is normally

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Residual

23

ARTICLE

Determinants of Spread when Central Bank


Absorbs Liquidity vs. Injecting Liquidity
Central bank liquidity support structure is the
driver of systemic liquidity while the interbank
market is the main market for trading in
liquidity at appropriate cost. Central bank
liquidity support (both infusion and injection)
can be viewed as the market for primary liquidity
whereas the interbank market can be considered
as the secondary market for liquidity, where the
liquidity obtained in the primary market is

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

reallocated with appropriate risk cover17. The


study tried to understand if the spread behavior
is different in different scenarios - excess
secondary market liquidity in which the Central
Bank absorbs liquidity and shortage of
secondary market liquidity in which the Central
Bank infuses liquidity to the system. We divided
the dataset (Jan'04-Nov'13 excluding Mar-Apr'07
for specific reason already explained earlier in
this paper) into two panels of datasets Absorption and Injection.

24

Surplus liquidity may have no material influence


on policy effectiveness, as has been the case in
Hungary and South Africa (De Bondt (2002)).
With surplus liquidity, monetary policy
transmission mechanism can break down or
become weakened. If the banks have surplus
funds, the commercial bank will have discretion

17

as to whether they lend their surplus to the


central bank at the policy rate or create more
credit by lowering credit standard if the policy
rate is not attractive and the banks have the risk
appetite. In case of surplus, the central bank's
ability to transmit its preferred interest rate
structure (yield curve direction) into the market
gets weakened. The central bank being the
monopoly supplier of funds in case of a shortage
situation (banker of the last resort for
commercial banking system), it works as a price
setter - thereby indicating the marginal price of
the banks' credit to commercial sector. If the
shortage is a continuing feature of the market,
the central bank becomes a net creditor of the
banking system and the effectiveness of the
monetary policy is likely to be stronger. However,
the level of acceptable shortage for effectiveness
of the monetary policy is a debate in itself.
In order to understand if the determinants of the
spread are different in different market situation,
we divided the data into two categories absorption and injection of liquidity by RBI
using the Linear Regression model in Eq 1. The
result showed that in case of Injection of
liquidity, lagged spread is significant along with
LAF activity but in case of absorption, only LAF
activity is significant. However, the results for
INJECT shows AR structure.

A bank may obtain Central Bank liquidity by using its excess holding of approved securities and use the
same in the inter-bank Call market to lend at higher rate to a bank which does not have required securities to
obtain funding from Central Bank.

ARTICLE

Table - 8: General Linear Model Results (Jan04 - Nov13 excluding Mar-Apr07)


Parameter Estimates - ABSORB
Estimate

Intercept

0.0285

Error

t Value

0.0515

0.55

Parameter Estimates -INJECT


Approx
Pr > |t|
0.583

Estimate

Standard
Error

0.3082

0.1462

t Value

Approx
Pr > |t|

2.11

0.0399

LAF

-0.000003

0.000001

-3.79

0.0004

0.000004

0.000002

2.58

0.0128

MM

0.000002

0.000001

1.58

0.1202

0.000000

0.000003

-0.06

0.949

LS

0.1829

0.1116

1.64

0.1075

0.4394

0.1336

3.29

0.0018

LS1

0.1022

0.1088

0.94

0.3518

-0.0968

0.0818

-1.18

0.2425

LS2

0.0296

0.0488

0.61

0.5468

0.1294

0.1324

0.98

0.3331

R-Sq

RMSE

Durbin h

R-Sq

RMSE

Durbin h

0.59

0.16983

0.56(0.29)

0.55

0.3316

-30.24(.01)

Further, to understand if the spread behaves in a


different manner when the system has excess
liquidity vis--vis shortage of liquidity, we used a
Regime Switching model using Goldfeld and
Quandt's D-method for switching regression.
Assuming that observations exist on some
exogenous variables, z1i, z2i, .., zpi, where z
determines whether the i th observation is
generated from one equation or the other. The
equations are given as follows:

where pj are unknown coefficients to be

The parameters to estimate are now the k b1's, the


k b2's,s1 , s2 , p p's, and the s introduced in the
2

d(zi) equation. The can be considered as given a


priori, or it can be estimated, in which case, the
estimated magnitude provides an estimate of the
success in discriminating between the two
regimes (Goldfeld and Quandt 1976). Given the
preceding equations, the model can be written as:

Where W = (1 - D) * U1 + D*U2, and W is a vector


of unobservable and heteroscedastic error terms.
The covariance matrix of W is denoted by W,
where W = (1 - D)2 * s12 + D2 * s22. The maximum
likelihood parameter estimates maximize the
following log-likelihood function.

CCIL

estimated. Define d (zi) as a continuous


approximation to a step function. Replacing the
unit step function with a continuous
approximation by using the cumulative normal
integral enables a more practical method that
produces consistent estimates.

consisting of d(zi)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Variable

Standard

D is the n dimensional diagonal matrix

25

ARTICLE

The parameter estimates and ANOVA table from


this regression are shown below.

significant difference in the AR term on the


Spreads.

Table 9 : Nonlinear Likelihood Parameter Estimates for the Regime Switching Model
Parameters for Two Regimes

Estimate

Approx Std Err

Approx

t Value

Pr > |t|

sig1

0.299759

0.0294

10.2

<.0001

sig2

0.301833

0.0267

11.31

<.0001

intercept1

0.176698

0.216

0.82

0.4151

LS

0.636381

0.0997

6.38

<.0001

COR

-0.03858

0.1

-0.39

0.7004

MM

2.43E-06

1.88E-06

1.29

0.1994

intercept2

-0.06541

0.1596

-0.41

0.6828

LS

0.732519

0.1028

7.12

<.0001

COR

0.064435

0.1007

0.64

0.5239

MM

2.96E-06

1.75E-06

1.69

0.0943

445.2923

Nonlinear Likelihood Summary of Residual Errors


Equation

DF Model

spread

11

DF Error
105

SSE

MSE

10.5031

R-Square
0.5905

Adj R-Sq
0.5515

Repo is used by market participants to obtain


funds or to obtain securities depending on the
need. This latter feature of the instrument is
valuable to traders as it helps them to meet their
contractual obligations, such as to make delivery
for a short sale or against a futures contract.
Repos are also used for leverage, to fund long

Table - 10: Test Results from Regime Switching Model (test of Coefficients)
Test

Type

Statistic

Pr > ChiSq

L.M.

0.8

0.3711

int1 = int2

Test1

L.M.

18372*

<.0001

b11 = b21 18

Test2

L.M.

0.52

0.4702

b13 = b23

Test3

L.M.

3.14E+22*

<.0001

b14 = b24 19

Test4

L.M.

0.9584

sig1 = sig2

CCIL

19

Label

Test0

* indicates significant at 1%

18

26

0.3163

Conclusion

We have included five TEST statements to test the


hypothesis that the parameters are the same in
both regimes. The test results shown suggest that
the variance Spreads, Sig1 and Sig2, are not
significantly different in the two regimes. This
clearly tells that the monetary policy is stable in
both the regimes and the effectiveness of
monetary policy in both the regimes are not
statistically different. The tests also show a
Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Root MSE
0.1

Significant at 1% for Coefficient of Lag of Spread (AR term) in both regimes.


Significant at 1% for Coefficients of Money Market Volume in both regimes

ARTICLE

Liquidity stress in the market has an impact on


the short term interest rate. The entities who do
not maintain sufficient amount of Government
securities in their portfolio may have to borrow
funds in the inter-bank call market at higher
interest rate. The spread between Call and Repo
rate widens when there is liquidity stress in the
market. The current study has explored the
determinant of the spread. It found that LAF
window activity as well as total money market
activity has an impact on the Spread. In order to
understand if the spread behaves in a different
manner when the system has excess liquidity vis-vis shortage of liquidity, we used a Regime
Switching model using Goldfeld and Quandt's
D-method for switching regression. The tests

References
Ashcraft, A., McAndrews J. and D. Skeie (2009).
Precautionary Reserves and the Interbank
Market. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff
Reports, 370.
Ashcraft, A.B., Bech, M.L., Frame W.S., 2008. The
Federal Home Loan Bank System: The Lender of
Nextto-Last Resort? Federal Reserve Bank of New
York, Staff Report no. 357.
Acharya V.V., Skeie, D., 2011. A Model of
Liquidity Hoarding and Term Premia in InterBank Markets, CEPR Discussion Paper No.
8705.
Acharya, V., Gale, D., and Yorulmazer T., 2009.
Rollover Risk and Market Freezes", New York
University working paper,
http://www.nyu.edu/econ/user/galed/papers/p
aper09-08-31.pdf
Acharya, V.V., Gromb, D., and Yorulmazer, T.,
2008. Imperfect Competition in the Interbank
Market for Liquidity as a Rationale for Central
Banking. Working Paper, London Business
School.
A c h a r y a , V. V. , M e r ro u c h e , O . , 2 0 1 0 .
Precautionary Hoarding of Liquidity and InterBank Markets: Evidence from the Sub-prime
Crisis, NBER Working Paper No. 16395.
Affinito, M., 2012. Do interbank customer
relationships exist? And how did they function
in the crisis? Learning from Italy. Journal of
Banking and Finance, 36.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

In India, RBI has been using Repo as an


instrument for monetary policy by
institutionalizing daily Liquidity Adjustment
Facility which allows banks and Primary Dealers
to manage their liquidity needs. Market
participants also trade in Repo using
Government securities. The Repo market in
India has been growing steadily and both Repo
and CBLO account for a large part of the total
short-term money market transactions.

found that the monetary policy is stable in both


the regimes and the effectiveness of monetary
policy in both the regimes are not statistically
different.

CCIL

positions in securities and to fund short


positions for hedging interest rate risks. Repo
markets have strong linkages with securities and
derivatives markets. Repos are used by central
banks both as a monetary policy instrument and
as a source of information on market
expectations. Repos carry low credit risk as these
are fully collateralized transactions and are used
by central banks for liquidity management.
Central banks also use Repo as an effective
mechanism for signaling the stance of monetary
policy.

27

ARTICLE

BIS (1999), Implications of repo market for


central banks, CGFS Publications No. 10.
Bhattacharya, Sudipto, and Douglas Gale. (1987)
Preference Shocks, Liquidity and Central Bank
Policy. In New Approaches to Monetary
Economics, edited by William A. Barnett and
Kenneth J. Singleton, pp. 69-88. New York:
Cambridge University Press.
Christensen J.H.E., Lopez J.A., Rudebusch G.D..
2009. Do Central Bank Liquidity Facilities Affect
Interbank Lending Rates? Federal Reserve Bank
of San Francisco, Working paper series 13.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Flannery, M.J., 1996. Financial crises, payment


system problems, and discount window lending.
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 28, 804824.

28

McAndrews, J., A. Sarkar and Z. Wang (2008)


.The Effect of the Term Auction Facility on the
London Inter-Bank Offered Rate, .Staff Reports
335, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
S.M. Goldfeld & R.E. Quandt (1973), Estimation
of Structural Shifts by Switching Regressions,
Econometric Research Program, Research
Memorandum 147
S.M. Goldfeld & R.E. Quandt (1965), Some Tests
for Homoskedasticity. Journal of the American
Statistical Association 60, 539-547
Rochet J and Vives X (2004) Coordination
failures and the lender of last resort: Was Bagehot
right after all? Journal of the European
Economic Association December 2004
2(6):1116-1147

INFOCUS

Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India - 2012-13

Policy Responses
Move towards risk-based supervision aimed at
enhancing the efficacy of the supervisory review
process: The Reserve Bank is entrusted with the
responsibility of supervising the Indian banking
system under various provisions of the Banking
Regulation Act, 1949 and the RBI Act, 1934. While
the banking landscape has witnessed considerable
changes over the last two decades, supervisory
resources and processes based on the CAMELS
framework within the Reserve Bank have remained
more or less the same. Post the global financial
crisis, there has been a shift towards RBS away from
the erstwhile CAMELS approach. CAMELS is
essentially a scorecard based approach which is
more of a backward looking methodology and

Policy initiatives for improved cross border


supervision and cooperation: The cross border
operations of Indian banks are rapidly increasing.
In view of this, the formalisation of the
relationship between Home and Host
supervisors, by way of a Memorandum of
Understanding (MoU), has become an important
channel for the Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank
has initiated the process of signing MoUs with
overseas regulators on supervisory cooperation and
exchange of information. The Reserve Bank has
executed MoUs with 16 overseas supervisors. In
addition, proposals with respect to 28 other
overseas supervisors are in various stages of
arriving at a mutually agreeable format of MoUs.
Steps initiated to enhance oversight of financial
conglomerates: An institutional structure for the
oversight and monitoring of Financial
Conglomerates has been set up in the form of an
Inter-Regulatory Forum (IRF) modeled around the
lead regulator principle. IRF has identified 12
FCs for monitoring, each having a significant
presence in two or more market segments from
amongst banking, insurance, capital market,

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Global growth continued to remain sluggish in


2012-13. Adverse international economic
developments combined with the loss of growth
momentum in the domestic economy posed
challenges to the banking sector in India during
2012-13. There was a rise in asset impairment
coupled with a dip in profitability. Considering
the implications of various emerging international
and domestic factors on the banking system,
regulatory and supervisory policy responses during
the year pertained to initiatives for implementing
risk-based supervision (RBS), enhanced oversight
of financial conglomerates and steps towards
improved coordination among regulators, besides
positioning banks to meet the needs of inclusive
growth. Further, several forward looking initiatives
were undertaken to expand the banking system,
increase competition, further strengthening the
payments and settlement mechanism and
fortification of capital.

transaction testing model operating with a lag.


RBS, on the other hand, is a forward looking
approach inasmuch as it assesses the risk buildup in
banks. Based on the principles and approach for
RBS as suggested by High-level Steering
Committee and after taking into account the
uniqueness of the Indian banking system, the
Reserve Bank has finalised the supervision
framework under RBS. As part of RBS phase I
rollout, 29 banks have been brought under RBS
from 2013-14 constituting approximately 66 per
cent of the total assets of the Indian banking
system.

CCIL

Perspectives on the Indian Banking Sector

29

INFOCUS

pension fund and non-banking finance. Of the 12


identified FC groups, the Reserve Bank is the lead
regulator for five identified FC groups, IRDA is the
lead regulator for four and SEBI is the lead
regulator for three FC groups.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Structured and planned approach to further


financial inclusion: The Reserve Bank has been
furthering financial inclusion (FI) through a
combination of strategies including relaxing
regulatory guidelines and providing new products
and other supportive measures to achieve
sustainable and scalable financial inclusion. The
Reserve Bank has adopted a bank-led model for
financial inclusion which seeks to leverage on
technology. A structured and planned approach
was followed under financial inclusion wherein all
banks were advised to implement Board-approved
Financial Inclusion Plans (FIPs) congruent with
their business strategies and comparative
advantage for a three-year period (2010-2013). The
implementation of these plans was closely
monitored by the Reserve Bank. In order to take
financial inclusion to the next stage of universal FI
in which all eligible individuals will have
transactional accounts, banks were advised to draw
up FIPs for 2013-16, which have since been
submitted by the banks.

30

Issue of new bank licenses to further improve


competition and enhance access to banking
Services: The Reserve Bank invited applications for
Licensing of New Banks in the Private Sector. It
received 26 applications for new bank licenses. The
Reserve Bank will soon issue new bank licenses
consistent with the highest standards of
transparency and diligence.
Capital infusion in public sector banks to enhance
capital adequacy: The Basel III capital regulation
has been implemented in India from April 1, 2013
in phases and will be fully implemented as on

March 31, 2018. These norms lay more focus and


importance on quality, consistency and
transparency of the capital base. The Reserve Bank
has estimated the additional capital requirements
of domestic banks for full Basel III
implementation till March 2018. The estimates
suggest that public sector banks will require an
additional capital to the tune of `4.15 trillion, of
which equity capital will be of the order of `1.4 - 1.5
trillion. Being the majority stakeholder,
Government has been infusing capital in these
banks. During the last five years, the Government
has infused `477 billion in the public sector banks.
The Government will infuse `140 billion in the
public sector banks during 2013-14.
Need for improving the asset quality of bank:
While the primary driver of the deteriorating asset
quality was the domestic economic slowdown, the
contribution of other factors like delays in
obtaining statutory and other approvals as well as
lax credit appraisal/monitoring by banks was also
significant. In order to upgrade the banks' credit
monitoring system, the Reserve Bank advised them
to have a robust mechanism for early detection of
signs of distress and to use such early warning
signals to put in place an effective preventive asset
quality management framework. The Reserve Bank
has also advised banks to strengthen the
information sharing mechanism among lenders by
making it compulsory for banks to receive/share
information on borrowers before sanctioning
loans.
The Way Forward
Effective reduction in NPAs and improvements in
the loan recovery process: Banks need to not only
follow the various measures put in place by the
Reserve Bank and the Government of India
effectively for resolution and recovery of bad loans
but also strengthen their due diligence, credit

INFOCUS

Increasing the presence of foreign banks: The


objective of foreign banks' participation in India
was primarily to increase competition, promote
efficiency of the local banking system and also
adapting their sophisticated financial services and
products with respect to domestic banks. At present
foreign banks are operating in India as branches.
From the perspective of financial stability, a move
towards subsidiarisation of foreign banks should
be welcome. India needs foreign banks to
participate more in the growth process, but in
exchange it is important to have more regulatory
and supervisory control over their local operations.
Need to liberalise licensing policies: Regulators
need to ensure that their regulatory stance does not
create barriers to the entry or exit of institutions or
result in unwarranted costs to the economy and
consumers. Accordingly, the Reserve Bank's
Discussion Paper 'Banking Structure in India : The
Way Forward' favours continuous authorisations
of new banks and explores the possibility of

Operations and Performance of Commercial


Banks
The Indian financial landscape is dominated by the
banking sector with banking flows accounting for
over half of the total financial flows in the
economy. Banks play a major role in not just
purveying credit to the productive sectors of the
economy but also as facilitators of financial
inclusion. Although the Indian banking sector
exhibited considerable resilience in the immediate
aftermath of the global financial crisis, it has been
impacted by the global and domestic economic
slowdown over the last two years.
Against the backdrop of a slowdown in the
domestic economy and tepid global recovery, the
growth of the Indian banking sector slowed down
for the second consecutive year in 2012-13. There
was also a decline in the growth of profits of
scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) as credit offtake slowed down and interest rates softened. The
asset quality also deteriorated, more perceptibly for
public sector banks. On the positive side, capital
positions of Indian banks, including public sector
banks, remained strong and above the stipulated
minimum to face any unforeseen losses. There was
also a significant expansion in the outreach of
banking in unbanked rural centres, as financial
inclusion plans completed three years. The short
term target for the banking system could be to lend
support to productive sectors facilitating
economic recovery without hampering asset
quality. In the medium to long-term, sustained
improvements in efficiency and inclusiveness
remain key areas of concern.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Continued need to reduce pre-emption of banks'


resources: One of the mandates for the Reserve
Bank in the RBI Act is ensuring the flow of credit to
productive sectors of the economy. In this context,
it is necessary to reduce banks' requirements of
investing in government securities in a calibrated
way, to what is strictly needed from a prudential
perspective. It is recognised that the scope for such
reduction will increase as government finances
improve. Further, as the penetration of other
financial institutions, such as pension funds and
insurance companies increases, it will be possible
to reduce the need for commercial banks to invest
in government securities.

introducing differentiated licences for small and


wholesale banks and the possibility of converting
large urban co-operative banks into commercial
banks to impart dynamism to the banking system.

CCIL

appraisal and post sanction loan monitoring


systems to minimize and mitigate the problems of
increasing NPAs.

31

INFOCUS

Balance Sheet Operations of Scheduled


Commercial Banks
In continuation with the trend during 2011-12, the
overall growth in balance sheet of banks moderated
further in 2012-13. Slowdown in real economic
activity along with the higher risk aversion by
banks resulted in moderation in credit growth.
Deposits, however, maintained their growth in
2012-13 on account of a revival in the growth of
current and savings account (CASA) which was
held at 33 per cent. In 2012-13, growth in CASA for
new private sector banks, at 18.5 per cent, was the

highest among all bank groups. In part, this could


be attributed to improved competition among
banks in attracting savings deposits following the
deregulation of the savings deposit rate. The share
of savings deposits for new private sector banks
stood at around 25 per cent of their total deposit
base and was the highest among all bank groups in
2013. The Credit - Deposit ratio for all SCBs, on an
outstanding basis, remained broadly unchanged at
about 79 per cent. The incremental C-D ratio of
SCBs posted a declining trend over a major part of
2012-13.

Growth in Balance Sheet of Scheduled Commercial Banks (Per cent)


Item

Public Sector
Banks

Private Sector
Banks

Old private
Sector Banks

New private
Sector Banks

Foreign Banks

All SCBs

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

2011-12 2012-13 2011-12 2012-13 2011-12 2012-13 2011-12 2012-13 2011-12 2012-13 2011-12 2012-13

32

1. Capital

-4.2

4.3

4.5

-4.2

6.1

1.7

3.9

15.6

13.9

8.0

10.4

2. Reserve and Surpluses

24.4

15.5

15.5

21.6

18.5

18.9

14.9

22.2

15.6

15.2

20.8

17.2

3. Deposits

14.4

14.9

17.1

18.8

19.6

18.4

16.3

19.0

15.1

4.0

14.9

15.1

3.1. Demand Deposits

-6.3

16.8

4.4

15.4

6.5

15.6

4.0

15.4

9.9

-7.8

-1.8

13.3

3.2. Savings Bank Deposits

12.1

14.4

19.1

19.3

16.3

14.9

19.9

20.5

5.6

2.9

13.1

15.0

3.3. Term Deposits

18.2

14.8

19.7

19.4

22.1

19.5

18.6

19.4

21.0

10.4

18.6

15.4

4. Borrowings

17.2

19.8

38.9

16.1

80.3

28.3

36.4

15.1

29.7

27.4

24.9

19.8

5. Other Liabilities and Provisions

-7.5

15.4

42.1

0.2

12.5

9.6

47.1

-1.0

26.9

-25.1

8.6

2.2

Total Liabilities/Assets

14.1

15.3

21.1

17.5

21.3

18.6

21.0

17.2

19.8

5.7

15.8

15.1

1. Cash and Balances with RBI

-20.5

-0.2

-18.1

5.4

-7.9

-0.2

-20.8

7.1

14.2

-7.4

-18.5

0.4

2. Balances with Banks and Money


at Call and Short Notice

40.7

38.0

15.6

57.9

80.4

52.6

6.5

59.2

13.7

10.7

32.4

37.5

3. Investments

12.8

16.7

24.6

19.0

18.0

23.0

26.5

18.0

21.2

13.7

16.1

17.0

4. Loans and Advances

17.3

15.4

21.2

18.3

24.6

17.3

20.1

18.6

17.6

14.7

18.1

15.9

5. Fixed Assets

5.9

11.2

3.0

8.3

6.9

14.9

2.1

6.6

1.2

20.4

4.8

11.3

6. Other Assets

14.9

2.8

67.5

-7.9

26.9

8.0

74.5

-9.9

26.9

-31.0

27.9

-9.5

Source: Balance Sheets of respective banks.

INFOCUS

While there was a spurt in international liabilities


of banks located in India, international assets of
these banks remained almost unchanged. Maturity
mismatch has always been an area of concern for
the banking sector as long-term infrastructural
loans are financed primarily from deposits of
shorter maturities putting strain on liquidity,
earning and at times, solvency of the bank.
Maturity mismatch analysis suggested a positive
gap (liabilities-assets) in the shortest maturity
bucket of up to 1 year.
Financial Performance
Commercial Banks

of

Scheduled

general, and nationalized banks in particular. New


private sector banks and foreign banks reported an
increase in RoA in 2012-13 as against nationalised
banks and SBI Group. Although the interest
income of new private/foreign banks posted a
lower growth during the year, they could manage to
maintain their profits growth through a reduction
in the growth of their operating expenses,
particularly wage bill. There was a fall in both net
interest margin (NIM) and spread (difference
between return and cost of funds) at the aggregate
level suggesting some improvement in operating
efficiency of SCBs.

Trends in Income and Expenditure of SCBs (Amt in ` Billion)


2011-12
Percentage Variation

Amount

Percentage Variation
16.2

1. Income

7,416.0

29.8

8,614.0

a) Interest Income

6,553.0

33.4

7,636.0

16.5

863.0

8.1

978.0

13.3

2. Expenditure

6,600.0

31.8

7,702.0

16.7

a) Interest Expended

4,304.0

44.0

5,138.0

19.4

b) Operating Expenses

1,376.0

11.7

1,566.0

13.8

of which: Wage Bill

780.0

7.3

873.0

11.9

920.0

16.8

998.0

8.5

1,737.0

16.5

1,910.0

10.0

817.0

16.1

912.0

11.6

2,249.0

16.9

2,498.0

11.1

b) Other Income

c) Provisions and Contingencies


3. Operating Profit
4. Net Profit
5. Net Interest Income (1a-2a)
Net Interest Margin (as % of average assets)

2.9

2.8

Source: Annual Accounts of respective banks.

In 2012-13, interest earnings were adversely affected


with credit growth slowing down and softening of
the interest rates. Interest expended also grew at a
slower pace during the year but its growth was
higher than that of interest earned, thereby putting
a downward pressure on the growth in both
operating and net profits of banks. Return on assets
(RoA), the most commonly used indicator of
profitability, showed a further reduction by about
5 basis points in 2012-13. This reduction was
discernible in the case of public sector banks in

An analysis of the standard accounting measures


and the Data Envelopment Analysis showed an
improvement in the efficiency in the banking
sector over recent decades.
Soundness Indicators
The capital to risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR)
remained above the stipulated 9 per cent norm
both at the system and bank group levels in 2012-13
but showed a declining trend. The core CRAR (Tier
I) under Basel II too showed a moderate decline.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Amount

2012-13

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Item

33

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end-March 2013. With the gross NPA ratio reaching


about 3.6 per cent by end-March 2013, the
nationalized banks were positioned next to the SBI
Group. There were also signs of a deepening
deterioration within NPAs with an increase in the
proportion of doubtful loan assets. The slippage
ratio, defined as additions to NPAs during the year
as per cent of standard advances at the beginning of
the year, also showed an increase during 2012-13. At
the aggregate level, the ratio of restructured

The decline in capital positions at the aggregate


level, however, was on account of deterioration in
the capital positions of public sector banks. Public
sector banks remain above the statutory norm for
CRAR. However, as they migrate to the advanced
Basel III framework, both the quantity and quality
(common equity) of capital will need to be
improved, while meeting the growing credit needs
of the economy and maintaining the floor for
public ownership.

Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio under Basel I and Basel II - Bank Group-wise (per cent)
(As at end-March)
Item/Bank Group

Basel I

Public Sector Bank

Basel II

2012

2013

2012

2013

11.88

11.31

13.23

12.38

Nationalized banks*

11.84

11.39

13.03

12.26

SBI Group

11.97

11.14

13.70

12.67

Private Sector Bank

14.47

15.10

16.21

16.84

Old Private Sector Bank

12.47

12.33

14.12

13.73

New Private Sector Bank

14.90

15.71

16.66

17.52

Foreign Banks

17.30

18.76

16.75

17.87

Scheduled commercial Banks

12.94

12.77

14.24

13.88

Note: *: Includes IDBI Bank Ltd.


Source: Based on off-site returns.

Component-wise Capital Adequacy of SCBs (As at end-March)

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Item

34

Basel I

(Amount in ` billion)
Basel II

2012

2013

2012

2013

1. Capital funds (i+ii)

7,810

8,906

7,780

8,879

i) Tier I capital

5,686

6,595

5,672

6,580

ii) Tier II capital

2,124

2,311

2,109

2,299

2. Risk-weighted assets

60,376

69,742

54,621

63,969

3. CRAR (1 as % of 2)

12.94

12.77

14.24

13.88

9.42

9.46

10.38

10.29

3.52

3.31

3.86

3.59

of which: Tier I
Tier II
Source: Based on off-site returns.

The gross NPA ratio at the aggregate level stood at


3.6 per cent at end-March 2013 up from 3.1 per cent
at end-March 2012. The deterioration in asset
quality was most perceptible for the SBI Group
with its NPA ratio reaching a high of 5 per cent at

standard advances to gross advances stood at 5.8


per cent at end-March 2013. It was the highest for
nationalized banks (at 8.3 per cent) followed by the
SBI Group (at 4.7 per cent).

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Trends in Non-performing Assets - Bank Group-wise (Amount in ` billion)


Private
Public
Foreign
Nationalized
SBI
sector
Item
sector
banks
banks*
Group
banks
banks

Scheduled
commercial
banks

Gross NPAs
Closing balance for 2011-12

1,178.00

696.00

482.00

187.00

62.00

1,429.00

Closing balance for 2012-13

1,650.00

1,022.00

627.00

210.00

79.00

1,940.00

Gross NPAs as per cent of Gross Advances**


2011-12

3.30

2.80

4.60

2.10

2.60

3.10

2012-13

4.10

3.60

5.00

2.00

2.90

3.60

Closing balance for 2011-12

593.00

391.00

202.00

44.00

14.00

652.00

Closing balance for 2012-13

900.00

619.00

281.00

59.00

26.00

986.00

2011-12

1.50

1.40

1.80

0.50

0.60

1.30

2012-13

2.00

2.00

2.00

0.50

1.00

1.70

Net NPAs

Net NPAs as per cent of Net Advances

Notes: 1. *: Includes IDBI Bank Ltd.


2. **: Calculated taking gross NPAs from annual accounts of respective banks and gross advances from off -site returns.
Source: Annual Accounts of banks and off-site returns.

The year 2012-13 was marked by a slowdown in the


growth of credit to all productive sectors, viz.,
agriculture, industry and services. The slowdown
was the sharpest for agriculture and allied activities
(from 14.1 per cent in 2011-12 to 7.6 per cent in
2012-13). There was a slowdown in the growth of
credit to the infrastructural sector within industry
(from 20.8 per cent to 15.8 per cent). The slowdown
in credit to NBFCs (from 24.0 per cent to 12.8 per
cent) - accounting for about one-fifth of the total
credit to the services sector - was an important
reason behind an overall slowdown in the growth
of services sector credit. By contrast, retail loans
was the only segment, which maintained its growth
in 2012-13 (from 15.7 per cent to 12.0 per cent). It is
noteworthy that even in a period of overall
slowdown in credit growth; retail credit maintained
its growth. Growth in retail loans was maintained
in 2012-13 on account of a sustained double digit
growth in housing loans - the largest segment of
retail loans, and a rising growth in auto loans - the
third major segment of retail loans. The increase in

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Although there was a rise in the gross NPA ratio in


2012-13, the provisioning coverage ratio (PCR),
defined as provisions for credit loss as per cent of
gross NPAs, showed a marginal decline during the
year at the aggregate level. The decline was most
perceptible for nationalized banks.

Sectoral Distribution of Bank Credit

CCIL

In 2012-13, there was a growth of about 37 per cent


in the total number of cases approved for
restructuring under corporate debt restructuring
(CDR) mechanism and the debt thus restructured
posted a growth of 52 per cent, marking a sharp
increase over its corresponding growth in 2011-12.
The growth in the number of cases and amount of
debt receded marginally in the first quarter of 201314. The sectors that witnessed the maximum
distress were iron and steel, and infrastructure. At
end-March 2013, iron and steel accounted for 23
per cent of the total restructured debt, while
infrastructure (including power and
telecommunications) held an almost comparable
share of 22.7 per cent in the total restructured debt.

35

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the growth in credit card receivables too


contributed to the overall growth in retail loans,
although their share in total retail loans was less
than 4 per cent.
There was a rise in the growth of priority sector
credit in 2012-13 against a drop in overall credit
growth during the year. The growth in priority
sector credit, however, remained lower than the
growth in overall credit. In 2012-13, credit to
priority sectors by public and private sector banks
was 36.3 per cent and 37.5 per cent (of Adjusted Net
Bank Credit/ Credit equivalent of Off-Balance
Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher) respectively,
indicating a shortfall against the overall target of 40
per cent.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Policy Environment

36

Though the Indian banking industry weathered the


recent global financial crisis largely unscathed,
weakening asset quality has emerged as a major
concern. The global financial crisis has brought
into sharp focus, the need for reorienting
prudential policies to have a macro dimension. In
this evolving global and domestic environment,
the Reserve Bank has been constantly reviewing
and fine-tuning its regulatory and supervisory
policies to ensure a sound, resilient, robust and
inclusive banking system that is capable of taking
on various challenges effectively.
Monetary Policy
The monetary policy stance during 2012-13 was
geared towards addressing the sharp slowdown in
growth while not jeopardising the objective of
reigning in inflation. While there was a frontloading of easing of the key policy rate, the repo
rate, by 50 basis points in April 2012, the Reserve
Bank further reduced the repo rate by 25 basis
points each in January and March 2013 using the
policy space made available by the softening of

WPI inflation in the second half of 2012-13,


thereby, leading to a cumulative 100 basis points
easing in 2012-13. The repo rate was further
reduced by 25 basis points in May 2013 to 7.25 per
cent to address the accentuated risks to growth
while noting that upside risks to inflation were still
significant. Considering the imperative need to
curb the mounting inflationary pressures and
anchor inflation expectations and thereby
strengthen the foundations of growth, the repo rate
was increased by 25 basis points each in the midquarter review of September and the second quarter
review of October 2013 to 7.75 per cent.
The year 2012-13 was marked by periods of
significant stress in liquidity conditions. These
were brought on by a number of factors including
high government cash balances maintained with
the Reserve Bank, strong seasonal demand for
currency, the Reserve Bank's intervention in the
foreign exchange market and divergence between
deposit mobilisation and credit off-take of banks.
A number of measures were undertaken for
liquidity management. The cash reserve ratio
(CRR) was reduced in three stages by a cumulative
75 basis points in 2012-13, taking it to 4.0 per cent
of net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) of
banks, its lowest level since 1974. The statutory
liquidity ratio (SLR) was reduced by 100 basis
points to 23.0 per cent of NDTL of banks in August
2012. Besides the liquidity injected through the
daily liquidity adjustment facility (LAF)
operations, the Reserve Bank purchased
government securities worth `1.5 trillion through
open market operations (OMOs) during 2012-13.
During early 2013-14, liquidity conditions
generally improved mainly because of drawdown
of government cash balances and narrowing of the
gap between deposit and credit growth. In order to
contain exchange rate volatility in the domestic
forex market, the Reserve Bank undertook a

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Credit Delivery
In order to increase flow of credit to certain
segments covered under the priority sector, loan
limits were raised with effect from April 1, 2013.
With a view to encouraging exports, the
Government decided to continue to extend interest
subvention of 2 per cent on pre and post shipment
rupee export credit for certain employment
oriented sectors, while increasing the rate of
interest subvention from 2 per cent to 3 per cent,
effective August 1, 2013. In order to hasten the
process of identifying a MSE unit as sick, early
detection of incipient sickness and laying down a
procedure to be adopted by banks before declaring
a unit as unviable, the Reserve Bank issued revised
guidelines on November 1, 2012 for rehabilitation
of sick units in the MSE sector. In view of the
concerns emerging from the deceleration in credit
growth to the MSE sector, an Indian Banks'
Association (IBA) led sub-committee (Chairman:
Shri K.R. Kamath) was set up to suggest a
structured mechanism to be put in place by banks
to monitor the entire gamut of credit related issues
pertaining to the sector. Based on the
recommendations of the Committee, guidelines
were issued on May 9, 2013 for monitoring credit
growth to the MSE sector. The SHG-BLP is a savingled credit product for the unbanked poor. National
Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development
(NABARD) initiated the process of repositioning
the SHG-BLP as SHG2. This approach is basically
aimed at encouraging the poor to save.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

In the wake of improvement in exchange market


conditions, the Reserve Bank in its Mid-Quarter
Review on September 20, 2013 began calibrated
withdrawal of exceptional measures taken since
mid-July. The MSF rate was reduced by 75 basis
points to 9.5 per cent and minimum daily
maintenance of CRR was reduced to 95 per cent of
the average fortnightly requirement. Further, based
on the assessment of liquidity condition and in
anticipation of the seasonal pick-up in credit
demand, festival-related currency demand, and the
Government's borrowing programme in second
half of 2013-14, with a view to easing the liquidity
pressure the Reserve Bank conducted OMO
purchases of `99.74 billion on October 7, 2013.
Moreover, continuing with the gradual
normalisation process, the MSF rate was lowered by
50 bps from 9.5 per cent to 9.0 per cent, and
additional access to liquidity through term repo up
to 0.25 per cent of NDTL was announced on
October 7, 2013. As a result of these measures, the
liquidity situation eased in October 2013. The
Reserve Bank in its Second Quarter Review of
Monetary Policy 2013-14 reduced the MSF rate
further by 25 basis points to 8.75 per cent and hiked
the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.75 per cent;

thereby completing the process of realigning the


interest rate corridor to normal monetary policy
operations. Also, Reserve Bank increased the
liquidity access through term repos of 7-day and 14day tenor from 0.25 per cent of NDTL of the
banking system to 0.5 per cent.

CCIL

number of measures since mid-July 2013 such as


increasing the MSF rate and the bank rate by 200
bps to 10.25 per cent, announcing an auction of
`120 billion in open market sales of government
securities, capping LAF borrowing access for each
individual bank at 0.5 per cent of its NDTL and
increasing the minimum daily maintenance of
CRR from 70 per cent to 99 per cent of the daily
average requirement on a fortnightly basis. Further,
the Reserve Bank auctioned `960 billion of
Government of India Cash Management Bills in
the weeks following its announcement on August
8, 2013.

37

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CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Financial Inclusion

38

In order to facilitate the smooth implementation


of the Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) scheme for
routing MGNREGA wages, other social security
benefits including proposed cash transfers with
respect to subsidies on kerosene, LPG and
fertilisers, guidelines were issued on November 30,
2011 to all scheduled commercial banks to ensure
opening of Aadhaar-enabled bank accounts of all
the beneficiaries including those residing in
villages with less than 2,000 population. Banks
were advised to expand their reach in remote
locations either through a branch or Business
Correspondent (BC) or other modes as every
eligible individual should have a bank account for
DBT to take place. State Level Bankers' Committee
(SLBC) convenor banks of concerned states and
Lead banks of selected districts were advised in
October 2012 to co-ordinate with the state
administrator and field level implementing
agencies to ensure smooth rollout of Aadhaar
enabled payment systems. To facilitate speedier
branch expansion in unbanked rural centres for
ensuring a seamless roll-out of the DBT/EBT
scheme of the Government of India, instructions
were issued to banks on May 28, 2013 that they may
consider front-loading (prioritising) the opening
of branches in unbanked rural centres over a threeyear cycle co-terminus with their Financial
Inclusion Plan (FIP) for 2013-16. Various measures
were also taken to improve financial inclusion and
financial literacy for MSEs. In order to ease some of
the avoidable inconveniences faced by customers
due to some provisions in KYC guidelines, the
Reserve Bank initiated steps to reduce the
inconvenience a customer faces while opening a
bank account or when transferring his account to
another place.

In order to address gender related aspects of


empowerment and financial inclusion, Union
Budget 2013-14 announced to set up India's first
Women's Bank as a public sector bank with `10
billion as initial capital. As a follow up, the Reserve
Bank gave licence to the Bharatiya Mahila Bank
Ltd. on September 25, 2013. The registered office of
the proposed Bharatiya Mahila Bank Ltd. will be in
New Delhi.
Prudential Regulatory Policy
As per an announcement made in the Union
Budget 2010-11, the Reserve Bank put out draft
guidelines on licensing of new banks in the private
sector on August 29, 2011 for public comments
and the final guidelines were released on February
22, 2013 after amendments to the Banking
Regulation Act, 1949 were made in December 2012.
The last date for receipt of applications was July 1,
2013. The Reserve Bank received 26 applications
for new bank licences. The applications are being
processed. A High Level Advisory Committee will
screen the applicants and make its
recommendations to the Reserve Bank which will
make the final decision in this regard. The new
banks in the private sector will be set up through
wholly-owned Non-Operative Financial Holding
Companies (NOFHCs). The Reserve Bank also
released the framework for setting up of Wholly
Owned Subsidiaries (WOS) by foreign banks in
India on November 6, 2013. The policy framework
is guided by the two cardinal principles of
reciprocity and single mode of presence. As a
locally incorporated bank, the WOSs will be given
near national treatment which will enable them to
open branches anywhere in the country at par with
Indian banks (except in certain sensitive areas
where the Reserve Bank's prior approval would be
required). The policy incentivises the existing

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) and units of gold


mutual funds. However, banks can provide finance
for the genuine working capital requirements of
jewellers. The guidelines regarding bank lending
against gold were also rationalized.

With the objective of rationalising the branch


authorisation policy and to foster more
competition, bank branching was made completely
free for well managed domestic SCBs in every part
of the country. On September 19, 2013 Reserve
Bank extended the general permission to domestic
SCBs (other than RRBs) for opening branches
without its prior approval to branches in Tier 1
centres also, subject to certain conditions.

To enable banking companies in India to raise


capital in accordance with the international best
practices and to ensure that control of banking
companies is in the hands of fit and proper
persons, provisions were made in the Banking
Regulation Act, 1949, effected by an amendment
notified by the Government of India vide Banking
Law Amendments Act, 2012. The notification
stipulates that it would be mandatory for persons
to obtain prior approval of the Reserve Bank to
acquire five per cent or more of the share capital of
a banking company. The notification confers
power upon the Reserve Bank to impose such
conditions as it deems necessary while granting
such approvals. In this regard guidelines are being
issued to banks shortly.

A comprehensive provisioning framework for


banks with dynamic and countercyclical elements
is being contemplated to overcome the limitations
of the current provisioning policy. In this regard, a
Discussion Paper on 'Introduction of Dynamic
Provisioning Framework for Banks in India' was
released on March 30, 2012 for public comments.
The primary objective of the dynamic provisioning
framework is to smoothen the impact of incurred
losses on the profit and loss account through the
cycle. With identification of bulk deposits being
important from the viewpoint of asset-liability
management (ALM), it has been decided that with
effect from April 1, 2013 the expression 'bulk
deposits' would be used only for single Rupee term
deposits of `10 million and above.
Addressing the concern that direct bank financing
for purchase of gold in any form, viz.,
bullion/primary gold/jewellery/gold coins could
lead to fuelling of the demand for gold for
speculative purposes, the Reserve Banks directed
that with effect from November 19, 2012, no
advances should be granted by banks for purchase
of gold in any form including primary gold, gold
bullion, gold jewellery, gold coins, units of gold

On request from a depositor, a bank shall allow


withdrawal of a rupee term deposit of less than `10
million, before the completion of the period of the
deposit agreed upon at the time of making the
deposit. However, banks will have the freedom to
determine their own penal interest rates on
premature withdrawal of term deposits. Banks
should ensure that the depositors are made aware of
the applicable penal rates along with the deposit
rates. The issue of Intersol charges was deliberated
upon by the Committee on Customer Service in
Banks (Chairman: Shri M. Damodaran) and, banks
were advised by the Reserve Bank on July 1, 2013
that if a particular service is provided free at home
branch then the same should be available free at
non-home branches also.
Reserve Bank issued draft guidelines on July 2,
2013 on the methodology to be followed for

CCIL

foreign bank branches to convert into WOS due to


the attractiveness of near national treatment. Such
conversion is also desirable from the financial
stability perspective, factoring in the lessons from
the global economic crisis.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

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39

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CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

computing incremental provisioning and capital


requirements for exposure to corporates having
unhedged foreign currency exposures. Draft
guidelines also require banks to factor in the risk
arising from high forex exposures of corporates in
their internal rating processes and share this data
with the concerned credit rating agencies so that
the external bank loan rating may also factor in this
risk. Based on the comments/feedback received,
the Reserve Bank will finalise the guidelines and
banks will be required to implement the same from
October 1, 2013.

40

Commercial Real Estate (CRE) being a sector


prone to volatility has attracted stricter prudential
norms from regulators globally. The Reserve Bank
has also prescribed stricter prudential norms in
terms of higher risk weight at 100 per cent and
higher provision at 1.0 per cent for CRE standard
assets as against generally a lower provision of 0.40
per cent for other standard assets. Guidelines were
issued to banks on June 21, 2013 regarding carving
out a Commercial Real Estate - Residential
Housing (CRE-RH) segment from CRE with lower
risk weight at 75 per cent and lower provisioning at
0.75 per cent for standard assets as compared to
CRE. CRE-RH would consist of loans to
builders/developers for residential housing
projects (except for captive consumption). It was
also advised that such projects should ordinarily
not include non-residential CRE.
Some of the existing prudential guidelines on
restructuring of advances by banks/financial
institutions have been revised following the
recommendations of the Working Group
(Chairman: Shri B. Mahapatra) to Review the
Existing Prudential Guidelines on Restructuring
of Advances by Banks/Financial Institutions.
Accordingly, the regulatory forbearance on asset
classification will stand withdrawn from April 1,
2015 except in case of change of date of

commencement of commercial operation (DCCO)


of infrastructure and other project loans. Further,
provisioning requirement on all fresh standard
restructured accounts has been increased to 5.00
per cent with effect from June 1, 2013. The
increased provisioning requirement for the stock
(as on May 31, 2013) of restructured standard
accounts will be implemented in a more gradual
way i.e. 3.50 per cent - with effect from March 31,
2014 (spread over the four quarters of 2013-14);
4.25 per cent - with effect from March 31, 2015
(spread over the four quarters of 2014-15); and 5.00
per cent - with effect from March 31, 2016 (spread
over the four quarters of 2015-16). With a view to
enabling the upgradation of risk management
framework as also capital efficiency likely to accrue
to the banks by adopting the advanced approaches
envisaged under the Basel II Framework and the
emerging international trend in this regard,
guidelines on Advanced Measurement Approach
(AMA) were issued on April 27, 2011. Applications
for migration to advanced measurement approach
were opened for banks with effect from April 1,
2012.
Supervisory Policy
The Board for Financial Supervision (BFS), which
was constituted in November 1994, continued to
be the principal force behind the Reserve Bank's
supervisory and regulatory initiatives. In BFS
meetings, it was decided to make the format of the
inspection report more risk focussed and a
Monitorable Action Plan (MAP) with a timeline
for completion was issued to the banks. This
resulted in focussed supervisory attention on key
supervisory concerns. Based on BFS'
directions/guidance, thematic reviews were
conducted in certain areas such as the KYC/AML
environment in banks, banks' exposure to the real
estate/housing sector and major frauds beyond a
threshold limit. Under directions from BFS,

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In March, 2013, an online media portal raised


certain allegations against three private sector
banks that these banks were indulging in practices
that encouraged money laundering, sale of gold
and other third party products such as insurance
and wealth management. The allegations by media
against banks accelerated the process of
undertaking scrutiny in 39 banks by the Reserve
Bank during March-May, 2013. Based on the
findings of the scrutinies, 36 banks were issued
show cause notices for violation of certain
regulations and instructions issued by the Reserve
Bank. After considering the facts of each case and
the individual bank's reply, the Reserve Bank came
to the conclusion that some of the concerns were
substantiated and warranted imposition of
monetary penalty. Monetary penalty was imposed
on 31 banks. The thematic reviews of KYC/AML
systems and compliance in banks revealed the need

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

In order to have a strong internal audit control


framework, banks were advised on June 26, 2012 to
put in place similar policy guidelines and
procedures as applicable in the case of compliance
officers of banks for appointment/changes of the
head, internal audit. Banks were advised on
September 13, 2012 to ensure strict adherence to
the KYC/AML guidelines issued from time to time
in opening, risk categorisation and monitoring of
transactions in customer accounts. Banks were
further advised that they will be held responsible
for losses incurred by customers by way of
deposits/remittances from such accounts if they
are found to be in violation of extant
regulations/statutory requirements, besides
inviting supervisory action. The Reserve Bank
advised the PSBs on November 30, 2012 that they
should take adequate steps to strengthen their risk
management systems, credit appraisal and sanction
process, post-sanction monitoring and follow-up
and have a robust MIS mechanism for early
detection of incipient weaknesses/distress and for
taking steps for remedial measures and recovery of
bank's dues. They were also advised that the
restructuring of advances should be undertaken in
a transparent and objective manner and in
conformity with regulatory guidelines. The
progress in reduction in NPAs and restructured
accounts should be regularly reviewed.

In the light of the recommendations of the High


Level Steering Committee (HLSC) (Chairman: Dr.
K. C. Chakrabarty) to review the supervisory
processes for commercial banks, on September 28,
2012 banks were informed of the imminent
transition to a risk-based approach to supervision
from the supervisory cycle beginning April 2013 in
two phases. They were also asked to put in place an
institutional mechanism to monitor the progress
made and ensure compliance to the best practices
on risk management systems. In order to
rationalise processes and procedures in the Reserve
Bank and to provide increased operational
autonomy to the top management of banks, the
existing guidelines which require furnishing of a
report on cases of attempted fraud involving an
amount of `10 million and above to the Reserve
Bank was dispensed with from November 15, 2012.
However, the banks were advised to continue to
place individual cases involving `10 million and
above before the Audit Committee of their Boards.

CCIL

guidelines on a revised compensation structure


have been issued to private sector and foreign
banks. With regards to supervision over urban cooperative banks (UCBs), BFS approved the Revised
Graded Supervisory Action, financial restructuring
of UCBs under directions and made the rating
model for UCBs less complex. The BFS reviewed
the regulations regarding rural credit institutions
and approved a proposal to issue directions to
unlicenced district central co-operative banks
(DCCBs).

41

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for better regulatory compliance by banks. Certain


corrective measures were envisioned and
subsequently various guidelines were issued to
banks: (i) draft guidelines on wealth management
services offered by banks; (ii) detailed guidelines on
marketing and distribution of third party financial
products; and (iii) detailed guidelines on KYC
norms/AML standards/Combating of Financing
of Terrorism (CFT).

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Based on the thematic reviews and the follow-up


action taken, the Reserve Bank has provided a list
of actionable issues to banks. It has been felt that
inspections and scrutinies have to be more targeted
and the focus should be on 'the results' rather than
'the mere processes'. Therefore, with a view to
improving the focus and quality of inspections and
scrutinies of the Reserve Bank, a Guidance Note for
inspecting officers, on the areas that may be
concentrated upon while assessing the adherence to
KYC/AML guidelines by banks was issued.

42

The Reserve Bank advised banks on June 7, 2013 to


subject title deeds and other documents with
respect to all credit exposures of `50 million and
above to periodic legal audit and re-verification of
title deeds with relevant authorities as part of a
regular audit exercise till the loan stands fully
repaid. Banks were also advised to furnish a review
note to their Boards/audit committees of the Board
at quarterly intervals on aspects such as number of
loan accounts due for legal audit for the quarter,
total accounts covered, list of deficiencies observed
by the auditors, number of accounts in which the
rectification could not take place and course of
action to safeguard the interests of the bank in such
cases.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS)
initiated a Quantitative Impact Study (QIS) to
assess the potential impact of a consultative

document published in March 2013, Supervisory


Framework for Measuring and Controlling Large
Exposures. The Reserve Bank, being a member of
the Large Exposure Group, has initiated QIS in its
jurisdiction by seeking details from six large banks
(three from the public sector and three from the
private sector). The results of data so collected have
been submitted to BCBS for further analysis.
With the implementation of core banking solution
(CBS) in public sector banks (PSBs) with
concomitant centralisation of
information/documents, streamlining of MIS and
increased operational efficiency, it was considered
necessary to revise the professional and other
norms for selecting statutory auditors and for
rationalising the existing system of extensive
branch audit of PSBs. As per revised norms, besides
prescribed experience, at least two partners of the
firm or its paid Chartered Accountants must
possess DISA/CISA/ISA or any other equivalent
qualification. The Financial Stability Board (FSB)
undertook a peer review on resolution regimes with
the objective of evaluating the FSB jurisdictions'
existing resolution regimes and any planned
changes to those regimes using key attributes (KAs)
as a benchmark. Among others, the resolution
regime in India, which is a member of FSB, was also
evaluated and a number of areas for reforms were
identified.
During 2012-13, the Deposit Insurance and Credit
Guarantee Corporation (DICGC) settled aggregate
claims for `1,998 million with respect to 63 cooperative banks (15 main claims and 154
supplementary claims) as compared with claims for
`2,873 million during the previous year. The size of
the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) stood at `361
billion as on March 31, 2013, yielding a Reserve
Ratio (DIF/Insured Deposits) of 1.7 per cent.

INFOCUS

Given the problems being faced by NBFCs-MFI,


the margin cap for lending by NBFCs-MFI
irrespective of their size stands at 12 per cent till
March 31, 2014. With effect from April 1, 2014,
margin cap as defined by the Report of the SubCommittee of the Central Board of Directors of

Customer Service in Banks


An internal Working Group for revision and
updation of the Banking Ombudsman Scheme
(BOS), 2006 was constituted by the Reserve Bank in
July 2012 and its recommendations are being
examined by the Reserve Bank for implementation.
The Committee on Customer Service in Banks
(Chairman: Shri M. Damodaran) had made 232
recommendations in its report. Of these, 155
recommendations stand implemented. Some of the
important recommendations which are yet to be
implemented are: minimum account balancetransparency, uniformity in charges for nonmaintenance, charges for basic services,
compensation for wrong returns of cheques by
banks, internet banking - secure total protection
policy, home-loans - non-discrimination between
existing and new borrowers with floating interest
rate and onus on banks to prove customer
negligence. The Reserve Bank is in consultation
with the Indian Banks' Association (IBA) for early
implementation of these recommendations.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

During 2012-13, a new category of NBFC, viz.,


Non-Banking Financial Company - Factors was
created and a regulatory framework in the form of
entry point capital and prudential regulations was
placed on them. NBFCs lending against collateral
of gold jewellery were advised to maintain a loan-tovalue (LTV) ratio not exceeding 60 per cent and to
disclose in their balance sheets the percentage of
such loans to their total assets. If the loans extended
by a NBFC comprise 50 per cent or more of its
financial assets, it shall maintain a minimum Tier-l
capital of 12 per cent by April 01, 2014. All NBFCs
were advised that no advances should be granted by
them for purchase of gold in any form. The
recommendations of the Working Group to Study
the Issues Related to Gold Imports and Gold Loans
NBFCs in India (Chairman: Shri K.U.B. Rao) set
up by the Reserve Bank and relating to NBFCs
lending against the collateral of gold jewellery, were
broadly accepted by the Reserve Bank and
guidelines were issued covering inter alia aspects
such as appropriate infrastructure for storage of
gold ornaments, prior approval of the Reserve
Bank for opening branches in excess of 1000 in
number, standardisation of value of gold in
arriving at LTV Ratio, verification of the ownership
of gold jewellery and process and procedures for
auction of gold jewellery. The Fair Practices Code
has been revised to include sector specific features
to enhance transparency and fair practices relating
to micro lending and lending against collateral of
gold in the light of operational issues surrounding
these activities.

Reserve Bank of India to Study Issues and


Concerns in MFI Sector (Chairman: Shri Y.H.
Malegam) shall not exceed 10 per cent for large
MFIs (loans portfolios exceeding `1 billion) and 12
per cent for others. In view of their unique business
model a separate set of guidelines were issued for
core investment companies (CICs), registered with
the Reserve Bank, for their entry into insurance
business. A separate set of regulations have been
placed on overseas investments by CICs.
Guidelines were issued with regard to private
placement of non-convertible debentures by
NBFCs after certain adverse features came to the
notice of the Reserve Bank. The guidelines aim to
bring NBFCs at par with other financial entities as
far as private placement is concerned by restricting
the maximum number of subscribers.

CCIL

Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)

43

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

INFOCUS

44

The Reserve Bank undertook policy initiatives as


outlined in the Payment System Vision Document
2012-15 focusing on migrating payment
transactions from cash/paper modes to electronic
modes and also increasing the accessibility of
payment systems to people who are presently
excluded. The major policy initiatives taken during
the year such as widening access to centralised
payments systems, various measures undertaken to
make NEFT more efficient and rationalization
Merchant Discount Rates (MDR) for debit card
transactions to encourage its usage even for small
value transactions. An oversight framework
commensurate with international standards
prescribed by the Committee on Payment and
Settlement Systems (CPSS) has been put in place to
monitor the activities of the 44 authorised entities
(both bank and non-bank) operating payment
systems in the country. Also, the Clearing
Corporation of India Limited (CCIL) was assessed
against the new PFMI principles. The Technical
Committee to Examine Uniform Routing Code
and Account Number Structure (Chairman: Shri
Vijay Chugh) recommended continuation of IFSC
and implementation of International Bank
Account Number (IBAN). However, the
Committee noted that IBAN will not bring in
portability of accounts across banks. The Report of
the Committee is under examination.
To address the issue of absence of a dedicated
system for facilitating bill payments and for
providing common infrastructure for all bill
payment needs of the public, Committee to Study
the Feasibility of Implementation of Giro based
Payment System in India (Chairman: Shri G
Padmanabhan) was constituted which
recommended that a giro based payment system
christened the India Bill Payment System (IBPS)
may be designed and implemented in the country
which will provide bill payment services to all
stakeholders at one single place. The Report has

been examined and the proposal to set up the Giro


Advisory Group has been approved by the Board
for Regulation and Supervision of Payment and
Settlement Systems (BPSS).
To strengthen electronic modes of payments and
further mitigate the risks faced by
customers/banks, guidelines have been issued to
banks and other stakeholders to put certain security
measures in place in a time bound manner. In view
of the increasing volumes and changing business
requirements, the Reserve Bank is replacing the
existing RTGS with a new system which provides
for improved functions and features. Some of the
new features implemented in the new system are
advanced liquidity management facility; Extensible
Markup Language (XML) based messaging system
conforming to ISO 20022; real time information
and transaction monitoring and control systems;
and gridlock avoidance mechanism and advanced
queue management techniques. In NG-RTGS, the
ISO 20022 message formats are being used for
transmitting RTGS messages, this is first instance
across the globe, of usage of this message formats
for high value payment systems.
Banking Sector Legislation
The Banking Laws (Amendment) Act, 2012 came
into force from January 18, 2013 enhancing the
powers of the Reserve Bank. The Enforcement of
Security Interest and Recovery of Debt Laws
(Amendment) Act, 2012 (except Section 8 and
Section 15 (b)) that was brought into force with
effect from January 15, 2013, amends the
Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial
Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act,
2002 (SARFAESI Act) and the Recovery of Debts
Due to Banks and Financial Institutions Act, 1993
(RDDBFI Act). The definition of bank both in
the SARFAESI Act and in the RDDBFI Act is
amended to include 'multi state co-operative bank'
so that the provisions of said Acts apply to multi-

INFOCUS

Co-operative banks play an important role in


meeting the credit requirements of both the urban
and rural India. Though they account for a small
share in the total credit they hold a significant
position in credit delivery as they cater to different
geographic locations and demographic categories.
Urban Co-operative Banks
The total number of UCBs at end-March 2013
stood at 1,606 as against 1,618 at end-March 2012.
There has been an increase in asset concentration
within the UCB sector in recent years, partly as an
outcome of consolidation. The assets of UCBs
increased by 11.4 per cent in 2012-13. On the other
hand investments of these institutions showed
relatively higher growth in 2012-13 on account of a

Rural Co-operatives
The share of short-term credit co-operatives,
comprising State Co-operative Banks (StCBs),
District Central Co-operative Banks (DCCBs) and
Primary Agricultural Credit Societies (PACS),
continued to be above 90 per cent of the total assets
of the rural co-operative credit institutions at endMarch 2012 while the long-term credit cooperatives accounted for the remaining 10 per cent
of total assets. The financial performance of shortterm credit co-operatives, at the aggregate level,
showed losses in 2011-12 in contrast to profitability
in the preceding three years primarily due to the
losses incurred by the primary agricultural credit
societies. While the StCBs and DCCBs reported net
profits during 2011-12, the extent of losses incurred
by PACS, outpaced the profits of the other two tiers.
Long-term credit co-operatives showed a continued
deterioration in profitability.
The growth in the balance sheet of StCBs was
sustained in 2011-12. The StCBs' net profits in

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Developments in Co-operative Banking

sharp increase in SLR investments. UCBs' net


profits witnessed a moderation during 2012-13.
There was a sharp increase in both their interest and
non-interest income. The share of non-interest
income remained nearly stable both for SCBs and
UCBs. However, UCBs' total expenditure also rose
during the year primarily due to a pick-up in the
interest component of expenditure. Major
indicators of profitability like Return on Assets and
Return on Equity remained largely at previous
year's levels. The gross non-performing assets
(NPAs) of UCBs exhibited a decline in absolute
terms as well as per cent to total advances in 2012-13
vis-a-vis 2011-12. About 88 per cent of UCBs
reported CRAR above the statutory minimum in
2012-13. The banking business of UCBs
comprising of deposits plus advances continued to
be concentrated largely in the western region.

CCIL

state co-operative banks and the measures for


recovery through the Debt Recovery Tribunals
(DRTs) would now be available to them.
Securitisation and reconstruction companies can
now convert any part of the debt into equity/shares
of a borrower company. Secured creditors can
acquire the immovable property in full or partial
satisfaction of their claim against the defaulting
borrower, in times when no buyer for the amount
of reserve price is available. The National Housing
Bank (Amendment) Bill, 2012 was introduced in
the Lok Sabha on April 30, 2012. It seeks to amend
the National Housing Bank (NHB) Act, 1987. The
Bill provides for transfer of shareholding of the
Reserve Bank in NHB to the Central Government
to avoid conflict of ownership and regulatory role.
The Micro Finance Institutions (Development and
Regulation) Bill, 2012 was introduced in the Lok
Sabha on May 22, 2012 with a view to provide a
statutory framework for promotion, development,
regulation and orderly growth of micro finance
institutions (MFI) and thereby to facilitate
financial inclusion.

45

INFOCUS

2011-12 were more than double the amount


recorded by these institutions in 2010-11 as growth
in income outpaced that of expenditure. There was
a decline in the amount of NPAs of StCBs in 201112 largely due to decline in sub-standard and
doubtful assets. District Central Co-operative
Banks (DCCBs) witnessed near stable growth in
their balance sheet in 2011-12. They also reported
better performance in terms of net profit in 2011-12
as compared to 2010-11 facilitated by an increase in
interest income. The asset quality of DCCBs
improved in 2011-12 with the NPA ratio showing a
decline.
Non-Banking Financial Institutions
Non-Banking Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are a
heterogeneous group of institutions that cater to a
wide range of financial requirements and can
broadly be grouped as financial institutions (FIs),
non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and
primary dealers (PDs).

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Financial Institutions

46

As at end-March 2013, there were four financial


institutions (FIs) the Export-Import Bank of India
(EXIM Bank), National Bank for Agriculture and
Rural Development (NABARD), National
Housing Bank (NHB) and Small Industries
Development Bank of India (SIDBI). The
combined balance sheet of all the four
FIs expanded by 15.9 per cent during 2012-13. On
the liability side, deposits along with bonds and
debentures constituted more than 60 per cent of
total liabilities. On the assets side, loans and
advances continued to be the single largest
component, accounting for 88.8 per cent of total
assets. Commercial papers (CPs) were the major
instruments for raising funds from the money
market for all the four FIs during 2012-13.
Financial performance of FIs improved during

2012-13 as both their operating and net profits


increased. As compared to last year, net NPAs of FIs
at aggregate level increased mainly on account of
higher net NPAs in respect of EXIM Bank, SIDBI
and NHB. All the four FIs maintained a CRAR
higher than the minimum stipulated norm of 9 per
cent.
Non-Banking Financial Companies
Based on liabilities, NBFCs are classified into two
categories - Category A companies (NBFCs-D),
and Category B companies (NBFCs not raising
public deposits or NBFCs-ND). During 2012-13,
various policy measures were introduced to
improve the regulation and supervision of NBFCs.
During the year, the consolidated balance sheet of
NBFCs-D expanded marginally by 2.2 per cent. On
the liability side, during 2012-13, borrowings from
banks, albeit declined, constituted the biggest
source of funding for NBFCs-D. Debentures and
public deposits were the next important sources of
finance. Borrowings from FIs were relatively
minimal but this picked up dramatically by 170 per
cent during the year. On the contrary, borrowings
from government and inter-corporate borrowings
declined substantially. On the asset side, loans and
advances of NBFCs-D constituted close to threefourth of their assets. The investments declined
during the year mainly on the back of a decline in
investments in equity shares. The investments in
commercial paper also declined substantially.
Investment in government securities, debentures &
bonds, and mutual funds schemes, however,
showed an increase. Notwithstanding a decline in
the asset size of LCs, the total assets of the NBFCs-D
sector registered a marginal increase during 2012-13
mainly due to rise in assets of AFCs. During 201213, the net profit of NBFC-D showed marginal
improvement, while the cost-to-income ratio rose.
They also witnessed deterioration in asset quality.

INFOCUS

NBFCs-ND-SI
The consolidated balance sheet of NBFCs-ND-SI
expanded by 19.5 per cent during 2012-13. The
NBFCs-ND-SI borrowed mainly by floating
debentures, followed by borrowings from banks
and FIs, commercial paper, and intercorporate
borrowings. Unsecured borrowings of NBFCs-NDSI, constituting slightly less than half the total
borrowings, expanded significantly and outpaced
the growth in secured borrowings. The asset
position of NBFCs-ND-SI further strengthened in
2012-13. Loans and advances, which form a major
part of the assets, increased by 22 per cent. The
financial performance of the NBFCs-NDSI sector
improved as reflected in an increase in their net
profit during 2012-13. As at end-March 2013, a
majority of the reporting companies maintained
the stipulated minimum norm of 15 per cent
capital adequacy as measured by CRAR.
Primary Dealers
As at end-June 2013, there were 21 Primary Dealers
(PDs) operating in financial markets, of which 13
were run by banks and were called as bank-PDs and
the remaining eight were non-bank entities, which
are known as standalone PDs. During 2012-13, the
bid-to-cover ratio in both dated Government of
India (GoI) securities and treasury bills of PDs were
marginally higher than they were in the previous
year. All the PDs achieved the stipulated minimum
success ratio (bids accepted to the bidding

Though the capital of PDs declined by 2.2 per cent


in 2012-13, it was more than compensated by a
sharp rise in reserves and surplus resulting in an
increase in the net owned funds (NOF) to the tune
of 5.8 per cent. Borrowings remained the major
source of funds, accounting for 84 per cent of the
total funds. They had significant increase in
investments in commercial papers (CPs), bonds and
equities. The profit after tax of standalone PDs
showed a significant increase of 146 per cent during
2012-13 on account of huge growth in trading
profits on the back of declining interest rate
scenario for the later part of 2012-13. Reflecting
their increase deficiency, PDs witnessed an increase
in RoNW and RoAA and a decline in cost-toincome ratio. Their CRAR declined from 53.8% as
of March 2012 to 39.4% as of March 2013, due to
significant rise in their holding of risk-weighted
assets.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

The assets of RNBCs declined marginally during


the year ended-March 2013. Both the income and
expenses of RNBCs declined during 2012-13. As the
decline in total income of RNBCs was less than the
decline in total expenditure, their operating profits
increased modestly and further due to lesser tax
outgo their net profit increased by 9.1% during
2012-13.

commitment) of 40 per cent for treasury bills (TBills) and cash management bills (CMBs) put
together. In the auctions of dated securities, the
share of PDs (bids accepted to the securities issued)
increased from 47.7 per cent in 2011-12 to 51.1 per
cent in 2012-13. As compared to 14 instances of
partial devolvement for `121.1 billion on the PDs
in 2011- 12, there were only two such instances for
`18.3 billion during 2012-13, which reflected
favourable bond market conditions during the year.
In the secondary market, PDs individually achieved
the required minimum annual total turnover
(outright and repo transactions) ratio of 5 times in
G-Secs and 10 times in T-Bills. PDs also achieved the
minimum annual outright turnover ratio of 3 times
in G-Secs and 6 times in T-Bills. Despite their higher
turnover, the share of standalone PDs declined,
from 26.3 to 16.4 per cent in outright transactions
and from 20.3 to 19.2 per cent in repo transactions,
respectively during the year.

CCIL

Residuary Non-Banking Companies (RNBCs)

Source: www.rbi.org.in

47

ARTICLE
SUMMARY

Measuring Capital Adequacy Supervisory Stress Tests in a Basel World


Larry D. Wall/Research Department/Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta/WP

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Prior to 2009, capital adequacy ratios have been an


important tool of prudential supervision and the
focus was to analyze the overall financial stability of
the banking system along with the risk in selected
parts of banks' balance sheet. After 2009, two
relatively sophisticated approaches - Basel III and
Stress Tests are emphasized for measuring capital
adequacy, but both are costly risk-based measures
for bank's capital adequacy requirement. The paper
explores strengths and weaknesses of both
approaches - stress testing and Basel III and analyzes
how stress testing could mitigate weaknesses in the
way Basel III measures credit, interest rate risk and
bank capital and how it creates countercyclical
capital buffers. The primary reason for comparing
strengths and weaknesses of both is that the
supervisors have considerably more flexibility in
the implementation of the stress tests and can use
that flexibility to minimize the impact of Basel III's
weakness. The secondary reason is that Basel III
purports to measure the full range of bank risks
whereas the stress tests only measures the losses
associated with a handful of specific scenarios.

48

As stress testing is in place for risk measure across


the globe, the question of concern is what the
incremental value of Basel III implementation is.
The paper also discusses the potential contributions
of stress testing to overcome weaknesses in Basel
III's approach to measuring credit risk, interest rate
risk and bank capital. The paper finds that stress
testing could provide an alternative method of
implementing countercyclical capital buffers that
may be less subject to political pressures than the
mechanism in Basel III.
Both stress testing and Basel III are costly risk-based
measurements and rely on projections of losses in

an extreme scenario to evaluate the adequacy of


individual bank's capital. Both measures require the
estimation of statistical models, but differ in some
fundamental ways. The stress tests as currently
applied to measuring individual bank capital
adequacy are conditional measures with the risk
adjustment occurring via reductions in capital (the
numerator of the capital adequacy ratio). The stress
tests begin with several different regulatory
measures of capital adequacy. The stress tests are
dynamic as they simulate how these regulatory
ratios would evolve over time and are conditional in
that results are calculated for a specific scenario for
the economy. The primary focus of the stress tests
has been on estimating changes in accounting
capital following the standards set by the Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) in the US or
the International Financial Reporting Standards
(IFSR) in the EU. The estimates of the change in
accounting capital are based in part on estimates of
each bank's losses in each portfolio in each period.
The first step in conducting a stress test is to
estimate the historic impact of economic variables
such as GDP growth on bank's losses and preprovision net revenue (PPNR) given certain
important characteristics of each bank's portfolio.
The next step is to develop one or more internally
consistent scenarios for the future evolution of the
economy. Estimates of losses and PPNR for each
period in each scenario are then obtained by
plugging in the characteristics of the bank's
portfolio and the stress scenario into the bank's and
the supervisor's model estimated using historical
data. The projected losses and projected capital
distribution are subtracted from PPNR to estimate
each period's change in capital. The capital at the
end of each period is then its value at the start of the

ARTICLE
sUMMARY

Basel III provides three different methods of risk


weighting assets. In the Standardized Approach, the
supervisors provide the risk weights to the banks
based on the supervisor's estimates of the riskiness
of different assets. In the internal rating based (IRB)
approach banks supply their own estimates of the
probability of default which is then entered into
supervisory models to obtain risk weights. Finally,
in the advanced IRB approach, banks also come up
with their own estimates of loss given default and
exposure at default along with their estimate of the
probability of default. Basel III uses three different
measures of capital - common equity Tier 1 capital,
Tier 1 capital and Tier 2 capital. Common Equity
Tier I capital includes items such as common equity
and retained earnings that are available to absorb
losses on a going-concern basis, while Tier 1 capital
includes other perpetual instruments that are
subordinated to the deposits and subordinated debt
of the bank and meet additional criteria. Tier 2

In its concluding remarks, the paper finds that Basel


III casts a dim light over a wide range of possible
scenarios and predicts losses in tail of the
distribution across a wide variety of scenarios. Basel
III also cannot say very much about what may
happen in any particular scenario. In contrast, each
individual stress test casts a very bright light, but
only on one particular scenario. The stress test is
intended to provide a good estimate of what
happens in a particular scenario. Moreover, there is
no reason to expect that any given scenario will be
predictive of the results of a very different stress
scenario. The weaknesses in Basel III can be
mitigated by stress testing because of differences in
the way the two measures are structured and
implemented.
Stress testing can mitigate the incentives created by
Basel III credit risk underestimation for three
reasons. First, stress test errors are unlikely to be
perfectly correlated with Basel III errors. Second
stress tests are less reliant on models run by the
banks, and third stress test scenarios can be designed
to address weaknesses in both the Basel III risk
weightings and supervisors' perception of
estimation error in the stress test models. Stress
testing could mitigate the failure of Basel III to
include an explicit interest rate risk component by
including an interest rate stress scenario in the
analysis and using more granular data on
individual bank's current exposure. Stress testing
can mitigate Basel III's use of possibly overvalued
book capital by forcing banks to estimate losses over
a multiyear period in scenarios in which economic
conditions do not improve enough to make good
embedded credit losses.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

In contrast, Basel III provides an unconditional


static measure with the risk adjustment occurring in
the risk weighting of assets (the denominator of the
capital adequacy ratio) at a single point in time
using a process that does not depend upon
projections of the future state of the economy. The
calculation of the Basel III ratios depends on past
performance to estimate the loss distributions
associated with various portfolio positions. The
estimated loss distributions are then used to
calculate the expected losses in the extreme tail of
the distribution. The current portfolio positions
(assets and derivatives) are then summed using
weights derived from the expected losses to calculate
the denominator of the Basel III ratios. In effect,
Basel III derives a generic severely adverse scenario
for each portfolio category from that category's own
(recent) past experience.

capital includes items available to absorb losses


only on a gone-concern (in resolution) basis such as
subordinated debt.

CCIL

next period.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

49

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
International
Developments

The Governing Council of the ECB cut the interest rates on the main
refinancing operations of the Eurosystem and the marginal lending facility
by 25 bps each to 0.25% and 0.75% respectively, w.e.f November 13, 2013 in
a bid to prevent slowing inflation from taking hold in a still-fragile euro-area
economy. The interest rate on the deposit facility was left unchanged at
0.00%.
Reserve Bank of Australia the cash rate unchanged at 2.5% stating that a
lower currency will be needed to achieve balanced growth. In its quarterly
monetary policy statement, it forecast below-trend growth and rising
unemployment in 2014 as resource investment drops and renewed currency
strength drags on the economy, leaving open the chance of lower interest
rates.
Denmark held its key policy rate unchanged at 0.2%, breaking with a custom
of following the ECB after it unexpectedly lowered its benchmark rate to
rekindle inflation in the euro area.
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart said the central
bank will consider reducing its bond-buying program at next month's policy
meeting.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said a process under


development that would allow regulators to take down a failing bank will
help ensure investors discipline weak firms and prevent them from taking
risks without consequence.

50

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the labor market has shown
meaningful improvement since the start of the central bank's bondbuying program and that the benchmark interest rate will probably stay low
long after the purchases end.
Federal Reserve Vice-Chairman Janet Yellen told the Senate Banking
Committee that supporting the recovery is the surest path to returning to a
more normal approach to monetary policy.
As per the minutes of their last meeting, Federal Reserve might reduce their
$85 billion in monthly bond purchases in coming months as the economy
improves.
China's central bank will basically end normal intervention in the
currency market and broaden the yuan's daily trading limit, Governor Zhou
Xiaochuan said, without giving a timeframe.

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
The People's Bank of China said the country does not benefit any more from
increases in its foreign-currency holdings.
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said that while the
central bank has been unconvinced about the effectiveness of trying to drive
down the Aussie, he remains open-minded on currency intervention.
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart said he thinks
the central bank can handle its exit from quantitative easing.
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney took action to restrain the U.K.'s
house-price boom by ending incentives for mortgage lending in a package
aimed at curbing evolving risks to financial stability.
The Swiss National Bank will maintain the cap on the franc as the global
economic recovery proceeds sluggishly, board member Fritz Zurbruegg said.
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said keeping interest rates
low for an extended period carries risks that policy makers weighed carefully
before they reduced the benchmark rate to a record low.
Acceleration of yuan convertibility and liberalization of interest rates were
among the key reform proposals decided on at the Third Plenum of the
Chinese Communist Party.
Premier Li Keqiang said China needs 7.2% growth to keep unemployment
stable and signaled reluctance to widen the budget deficit or ease monetary
policy to ensure expansion. China's growth has entered a stage of mediumto-high speed, meaning about 7.5% or above 7%, he said.

France's credit rating was cut to AA from AA+ by S&P which said President
Francois Hollande's policies will fail to spur growth and fix public finances.
S&P lowered Netherland's credit rating to AA+ while rewarding Spain for
moves to reform public finances with an improved stable outlook. Real GDP
in the United States increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter
of 2013 as per the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic
Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.5%.
The data released by Eurostat showed that the 17-country Eurozone's GDP
expanded at 0.1% during July-September 2013 compared with the previous
quarter when GDP had grown at 0.3%.
Japan's economy slowed less than expected in July-September quarter to
0.5% vis--vis previous quarter growth of 0.9%.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

China released a raft of detailed reform plans promising sweeping changes


to the economy.

CCIL

International
Developments

51

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
International
Developments

China's exports rose 5.6% in October from a year earlier, while imports rose
7.6% leaving a trade surplus of $31.1 billion, the biggest this year.
Japan's trade deficit widened to $10.9 billion in October.
Britain's trade gap widened to GBP 9.72 billion, the most in more than a year
in the third quarter as imports rose to a record, holding back the economic
recovery.
The US consumer-price index declined 0.1% in October, the first decline in
six months.
China's consumer price index rose 3.2% in October from a year earlier.
U.K. inflation dipped to 2.2% in October from 2.7% in September 2013.
Eurozone inflation rose to 0.9% in November from 0.7% in October.
The European Union trimmed its forecast for euro-area growth next year to
1.1% as the economy struggles to gain momentum with the continuing debt
crisis and record unemployment.
The US budget deficit in October 2013 narrowed to $91.6 billion as rising
employment contributed to the strongest October revenue on record.

Indian Economy

As per estimates released by the CSO, quarterly GDP at factor cost at


constant (2004-2005) prices for Q2 of 2013-14 is estimated at `13.69 lakh
crores, as against `13.06 lakh crores in Q2 of 2012-13, showing a growth rate
of 4.82%. The WPI has risen by 6.1% during Q2 of 2013-14 over Q2 of 201213, while the CPI-IW has shown a rise of 10.90% during the period.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

India registered a fiscal deficit of `45,798 crore during October 2013

52

representing an increase of 47.67% over the fiscal deficit of `31,016 crore in


October 2012. The fiscal deficit during April-October 2013 accounted for
84.4% of the budgeted estimates of `5,42,499 crore for 2013-14.
India's exports grew 13.47% in October 2013 to $27.27 billion from $24.03
billion in October 2012. Imports declined 14.50% to $37.83 billion from
$44.24 billion in October 2012. The trade deficit for April-October 2013-14
was estimated at $90.68 billion which was lower than the deficit of $112.03
billion during April-October 2012-13.
The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) registered a growth of 2.00% in
September 2013 as compared to a negative growth of 0.70% in September
2012. The cumulative growth during April-September 2013-14 was 0.40% as
against a growth of 0.10% during April-September 2012-13.

briefing

WHAT'S NEW

The eight core industries with a combined weight of 37.90% in the Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) contracted 0.60% in October 2013 compared to
7.80% growth in October 2012. Cumulative growth for April-October 2013
was 2.60% as against 6.80% in April-October 2012.
The annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, stood at 7.00%
(Provisional) for the month of October 2013 as compared to 6.46% in
September 2013 and 7.32% during October 2012. The annual rate of
inflation based on final index for August 2013 stood at 6.99% as compared
to 6.10% reported earlier.
Provisional annual inflation rate based on all India general CPI (Combined)
for October 2013 on point to point basis was 10.09% as compared to 9.84%
(final) for September 2013. The corresponding inflation rates (provisional)
for rural and urban areas were 10.11% and 10.20% respectively (were 9.71%
and 9.93% respectively in September).
The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 11.06%
for October 2013 as compared to 10.70% in September 2013 and 9.60%
during October 2012.
Point to point rate of inflation based on the CPI-AL decreased from 12.78%
to 12.65% in October, 2013 while for CPI-RL increased from 12.44% to
12.48% in October, 2013.
India's holding of US Treasury Securities at the end of September 2013 stood
at $56.80 billion vis--vis $57.0 billion at the end of August 2013.
Gross direct tax collections during April-October 2013-14 was up by 11.58%
at `3,37,907 crore as against `3,02,844 crore in the same period last year. Net
Collection of indirect taxes excise, stood at about `2,69,100 crore during
April-October 2013-14, up 5.3% from the same period last fiscal year.
The total debt of the government increased by 6.7% in the second quarter
ended September 2013 to `45,80,472 crore.
On November 19, 2013 IFC issued the first tranche of US$161 million
under its USD 1 billion Global Rupee Bond Program.
Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said
that Indian economy will get back on the targeted growth trajectory of 8%
after two years.
According to the PMEAC chairman C Rangarajan, India will see distinctly
better economic growth in the second half of the current fiscal on
improvement in manufacturing (growth is anticipated to touch 3%) and

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

direct tax collections rose 13.33% to `2,84,339 crore.

CCIL

Indian Economy

53

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
Indian Economy

good monsoon this season.


In the second OECD Economic Outlook India's GDP has been projected to
grow 3.4% in the current financial year, almost same as the 3.3% growth
recorded last year.
Narrowing current account deficit will not be enough to shield India from
pressures tied to Fed tapering, said Fitch Ratings. It added that India's
economy has "not lost much momentum" on the back of "resilient"
agriculture and exports, and predicted economic growth of 4.8% in 2013-14
and 5.8% in 2014-15.
Moody's maintained its negative outlook on India's banking system,
reflecting the negative effects of currency volatility, persistent inflation, and
slowing economic growth.
Fitch said the government may have to shift part of the soaring oil subsidy
bill of the current financial year to the next fiscal.
Moody's Investors Service attributed half of India's slowdown to structural
problems.
Goldman Sachs expects India's GDP to gradually pickup to 5.5% in FY 15,
higher than earlier forecast of 5.4% based on the slight uptick in capital
investment and the normal post-election pickup in growth.
India is exploring local currency trade with Japan and South Korea as it seeks
to cut outflow of dollars needed to finance its current account deficit.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

S&P warned it may cut India's sovereign rating to below investment grade
should the next government fail to provide a credible plan to reverse the
country's low economic growth.

54

A report on Asia Pacific Economics by Morgan Stanley Research expects


India's exports to grow by 7.2% in 2014 fiscal as against -1% in 2013 on the
back of improvement in growth of developed markets.

Reserve Bank of India: RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan's reassurance to the market clarifying on
(Source:
RBI's interpretation of economic events and the likely direction of policies
http://rbi.org.in)
at times of uncertainty:
o The Current Account Deficit (CAD) for this year is expected at $56 bn, less
than 3% of GDP and $ 32 billion less than last year.
o The lower CAD to be financed and the money raised through new channels
will help break even on capital flows.

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
Reserve Bank of India: o Fears of the return of oil marketing companies are unfounded as the market
(Source:
has unknowingly but smoothly absorbed the demand for dollars generated
http://rbi.org.in)
by their return to the market.
o Fears of a downward pressure on the rupee in case of repayment of dollars by
the OMCs to RBI was a non-issue as the RBI had 3 ways to manage it: i)
OMCs buy in the market if markets are calmer; ii) Rollover of the swaps so
they mature at a calmer time; iii) Settle swaps by making net payments in
rupees and avoid need for them to go to the market.
o Good monsoon, associated pickup in consumption, healthy exports strong
growth in power sector could lead to good IIP numbers.
o Despite high CPI inflation, the decline in core inflation in September is
heartening.
o Reassurance that the RBI is concerned about the weak economy as well as
high inflation. Weak economy, increase in food supply and recent policy
hikes will provide a disinflationary impetus over time.
o RBI will conduct OMO on November 18 for `8000 crore to alleviate the
liquidity tightness.
The aggregate Normal Ways and Means Advances (WMA) limit for the State
Governments inclusive of Union Territory of Puducherry has been increased
by 50% to `15,360 crore with effect from November 11, 2013.

RBI released the framework for setting up of Wholly Owned Subsidiaries


(WOS) by foreign banks in India.
RBI clarified on the taxation matters in the framework for setting up of
wholly owned subsidiaries by foreign banks in India.
RBI further liberalized the procedure relating to payments for
exports/imports.
RBI has allowed unlisted companies incorporated in India to raise capital
abroad, without the requirement of prior or subsequent listing in India,
initially for a period of two years, subject to conditions.
Banks were advised to put in place systems that will enable them to provide
Form 16A to the customers within the time-frame prescribed under the

CCIL

RBI will henceforth make available the money market data on RBI website
around 10.30 a.m. in view of the change in the timings of the Marginal
Standing Facility (MSF) operations.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

RBI, in consultation with Government of India, has decided to launch


Inflation Indexed National Savings Securities-Cumulative (IINSS-C) for
retail investors in the second half of December 2013.

55

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
Reserve Bank of India:
Income Tax Rules.
(Source:
Banks were directed to levy SMS alert charges on all customers on actual
http://rbi.org.in)
usage basis.
RBI has included the incremental bank loans to medium manufacturing
enterprises (as defined in the MSMED Act, 2006), extended after November
13, 2013, as priority sector advances.
RBI has released 'Draft Guidelines on Entry of Banks into Insurance
Business Insurance Broking Business' on its website for comments and
feedback.
RBI extended liquidity support to Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises.
RBI shifted the arrangement for reporting of data on issuance of
guarantees/LoUs/LoCs by all AD banks to the online mode.
The Government of India further updated the Harmonised Master List of
Infrastructure sub-sectors.
RBI issued directives on security and risk mitigation measures for card
present transactions.
RBI allowed banks to pay interest on Rupee savings and term deposits at
intervals shorter than quarterly intervals.
RBI has raised the total FDI and FII investment in credit information
companies to 74% from 49%.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

RBI has kept interest rate ceilings on FCNR (B) deposits for maturity period
of one year to less and interest rate offered by bank on incremental NRE
deposits with maturity of 3 years and above without any ceiling unchanged
till January 31, 2014.

56

RBI notified relaxations regarding overseas foreign currency borrowings by


AD banks.
RBI received $17.5 billion under special concessional window for swapping
foreign currency non-resident bank deposits and foreign currency
borrowings.
RBI has received US$ 22.7 billion under the Forex Swap Window till
November 20, 2013.
All RRBs have to maintain a minimum CRAR of 9% with effect from March
31, 2014.
RBI notified revised rules regarding participation of NBFCs in insurance
sector.
RBI issued directions to NBFCs for migration of post-dated cheques
(PDC)/equated monthly installment (EMI) cheques to electronic clearing
service (Debit).

briefing

WHAT'S NEW
Reserve Bank of India: RBI asked NBFCs to get ready for settlement of dues through Lok Adalat to
(Source:
be held on November 23, 2013.
http://rbi.org.in)
RBI has invited applications for a Self Regulatory Organization (SRO) for
NBFC-MFI.
RBI launched the 23rd round of its Order Books, Inventories and Capacity
Utilisation Survey (OBICUS). The survey is for the reference period JulySeptember 2013.
RBI launched the 64th round of the Industrial Outlook Survey (IOS) for
reference period October-December 2013.
RBI issued Sectoral Deployment of Bank Credit for October 2013.
RBI released the data on ECB/FCCB for September 2013.
RBI released the data on Overseas Direct Investment for October 2013.
RBI released the minutes of the October 23rd, 2013 meeting of the Technical
Advisory Committee on Monetary Policy.
RBI released the statutory Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India
2012-13.
RBI released its monthly bulletin for November 2013.
RBI released monthly data on India's International Trade in Services for the
month of September 2013.
RBI released the Statistical Tables Relating to Banks in India 2012-13.
RBI signed MoU on Supervisory Cooperation and Exchange of
Supervisory Information with Supervisors in Australia and New Zealand.

CCIL

CCIL Forex Segment has settled 34,418 deals on 29th November 2013, the
highest recorded so far.

CCIL

RBI has cancelled the Primary Dealer authorisation of Royal Bank of


Scotland N.V with effect from December 02, 2013.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Tata Sons Limited has withdrawn its application made on July 1, 2013 for a
new bank licence.

57

Speech

The Five Pillars of RBI's Financial Sector Policies

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Speaking on the opportunities for growth in India,


Mr. Raghuram Rajan said that the Indian
population is young, India's infrastructure is
inadequate, and too many Indians are poorly
educated, poorly fed, and poorly connected. These
are precisely the reasons for plentiful opportunities
for betterment in the coming years. While some are
of the opinion that India needs to focus on
manufacturing, some others point out the need for
industries such as electronics or computer chips. It
is essential to focus on improving the overall
conditions for growth instead of targeting specific
industries for governmental attention, which risks
bringing back of the Licence Permit Raj.
The measure of success should be achieved by
developing a facilitating, though competitive,
environment that will result in the emergence of the
best solutions. This requires a disciplined focus on
four issues. First, the need to improve the quality of
infrastructure, especially the logistical support and
power that industry and services need. Second, the
youth need education and training for the jobs that
will be created. India can be at the forefront of
providing mass technology-enabled education
laced with appropriate human inputs to the world.
Third, the need for better business regulation that
is appropriate to the objective and that is enforced.
We have strong labour laws in theory that are meant
to protect employees, but in practice we have a very
flexible system with no incentive for firms to invest
in their workers or hold on to them, and no loyalty
towards the firms from workers. This needs to
change if we are to have more skilled
manufacturing jobs. Fourth, the need for a better
financial system, which will finance the needed

infrastructure and the expansion of every producer


ranging from the kirana shop owner to the
industrialist even as it allows households to save
safely with positive real returns, insure themselves
against health emergencies or old age costs, and
borrow at low cost to finance consumption.
Importantly, the financial system should not
require constant subsidies to bail it out.
Focussing on what the Reserve Bank is doing to
improve the financial system he said that they plan
to build the RBI's developmental measures over the
next few quarters on five pillars. First, we are among
the large countries with the highest consumer price
inflation in the world, even though growth is
weaker than we would like it to be. Much of the
inflation is concentrated in food and services.
Inflation comes from demand exceeding supply,
and it can be curtailed only by bringing both in
balance. There is a need to reduce demand without
having serious adverse effects on investment and
supply. Thus there is a need for clarifying and
strengthening the current monetary policy
framework. Second is strengthening banking
structure through new entry, branch expansion,
encouraging new varieties of banks, and moving
foreign banks into better regulated organisational
forms.
Third is broadening and deepening financial
markets and increasing their liquidity and
resilience so that they can help allocate and absorb
the risks entailed in financing India's growth.
Liquid markets will help banks offload risks they
should not bear, such as interest rate or exchange
risk, and it will also help promoters raise equity.

Address by Raghuram G. Rajan at BANCON 2013, Mumbai on November 15, 2013

58

Speech

Further, it will also allow banks to sell assets that


they have no comparative advantage in holding,
such as long term loans to completed infrastructure
projects, which are better held by infrastructure
funds, pension funds, and insurance companies.
The Reserve Bank plans to roll out more
recommendations of the Gandhi Committee
report to improve the liquidity and depth of the GSec market, and then turn to money markets and
corporate debt markets. It also plans to introduce
new variants of interest rate futures and products
like inflation indexed certificates, and work to
improve liquidity in derivative markets.

correspondents to link people up to the formal


financial system. The Dr. Nachiket Mor
Committee is helping with possible models, and at
a more detailed level, committees like the
Sambamurthy Committee have been set up to
advise on how to expand mobile banking in India
through encrypted SMS based funds transfer in any
type of handset. Lastly, there is a need to ensure that
the system recognises financial distress early, and
improves the system's ability to deal with corporate
distress and financial institution distress by
strengthening real and financial restructuring as
well as debt recovery.

Fourth is the need for financial inclusion by


expanding access of financial services to small and
medium enterprises, the unorganised sector, the
poor, and remote and underserved areas of the
country through technology, new business
practices, and new organisational structures. Many
experiments are under way to use technology,
mobile phones, new products such as mobile
wallets, and new entities as business

In conclusion he said that India is going through a


period of great cynicism about what it can do.
Moreover, every policy is greeted with suspicion
and scrutinised for evidence of malfeasance, and
decision making has slowed. Thus, the solution lies
in action that is, and is seen to be, purposeful,
unbiased, and effective, and the Reserve Bank of
India aims to play its part in making this happen.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Source: www.rbi.org.in

59

Speech

Ebbing global liquidity and monetary policy interactions


Drawing reference from his earlier speech in which

currencies. It was also seen by plotting average

Jaime Caruana had highlighted the interactions

policy interest rates against those indicated by a

between accommodative monetary policies in

Taylor rule with fairly conventional parameters.

major countries and emerging markets by five

Such rule of thumb suggested that policy rates have

distinct overlapping channels, he said that the

been low since well before the global financial

experience in 2013 has taught about each of the five

crisis. The reason for variation in follow the leader

channels, and how important policy spillovers

were currency appreciation and its potential to

were, are and will be. This evidence strengthens the

damage the traded goods sector in some places and

case for policymakers to take into account these

the threat of capital flows financing unsustainable

interactions when setting their own policy.

and potentially damaging credit extension in

Furthermore, policymakers in small open

others. However, between May - August 2013 the

economies need to take advantage of the temporary

process reversed. The mere prospect of tapering in

lull to undertake prudent measures to make their

bond buying sent the exchange rates of many

economies more robust when the exit really

commodity exporters and emerging markets down,

happens. Proposing a new theme, he said that

risked higher inflation. Thus, some emerging

capital flows have become even less reliable as an

market central banks that had maintained interest

indicator of overall positioning. The development

rate differentials at prudent but often

of hedging markets means that investors can reduce

uncomfortable levels have been able to cut their

their exposure with little outright selling.

policy rates since May, notwithstanding the


pressure on their currencies.

international monetary interactions, which

Second channel is through the integration of global

include: (i) follow-the-leader behaviour in setting

bond markets. In 2013, authorities had succeeded

low short-term policy rates; (ii) diffusion of low

in putting their thumb on the scale in the global

bond yields to local bond markets; (iii) exchange

bond market by making the investors pay away

rate appreciation; (iv) booming dollar credit

about 1% of the expected short term rates over the

growth; and (v) capital inflows.

next 20 years for securing a yield. Investors in

Focusing on the follow-the-leader behavior, he


suggested that central banks tend to set their
domestic policy rates on the low side in the face of
very accommodative monetary policy in the major

sovereign and corporate dollar or euro bonds were


not surprised that these underperformed US
Treasuries or German bunds, respectively. What
came as a surprise to many, perhaps, was the

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

He then discussed about the five channels of

Address by Jaime Caruana in Santiago Chile on 15 November 2013

60

Speech

underperformance of many local government

t h e i r d e b t i n m a j o r c u r re n c i e s . S u c h

bonds. Domestic bonds did offer some

redenomination tends itself to put upward pressure

diversification benefits in economies where

on domestic currencies and creates the possibility

previous prudence in policy rate setting allowed the

of a scramble to hedge if the environment changes.

doubt some merit in the popular identification of


the worst performers as countries that both ran
current account deficits and depended on bond
inflows.

From the borrowing country perspective, dollar


credit in Asia was growing faster than credit
denominated in domestic currency. In Latin
America it was growing about as fast. At the same
time, important changes have occurred that deserve
some attention, in particular the rapid increase in

The third channel works through currency

emerging market corporate bond issuance in

depreciation. Many studies had suggested that

foreign currencies. Bond market borrowing by

emerging market and other advanced economy

emerging market firms has advantages and

c u r re n c i e s a p p re c i a t e d i n re s p o n s e t o

disadvantages from a financial stability point of

announcements of large-scale bond purchases. Yet

view. In contrast to firms borrowing from banks

most of these studies, like those that analysed the

and banks in turn funding themselves with short-

global diffusion of lower bond yields from the

term loans, bond market finance tends to bind

same announcements, examined relatively short

investors and issuers over the medium term. This

windows and left open the question of the

makes sudden reversals of dollar credit less likely.

persistence of any currency appreciation. It was

However, the longer-term funding available in

observed that over a four-year period since mid-

dollars may tempt emerging market firms to run

2008, the US dollar had depreciated just a bit

currency mismatches.

against emerging market currencies.

The last channel includes capital outflows. Central

The fourth channel was dollar credit growth

banks said at different meetings about derivatives

outside the United States. Continued growth in

transactions that allow what might be called virtual

dollar bank credit to borrowers outside the United

selling by non-residents. Investors engaged in such

States was all the more remarkable in view of the

virtual selling through sales of the domestic

retreat of the largest providers of such credit,

currency forward (and perhaps interest rate swaps)

namely European banks. Their deleveraging has

rather than cash selling. Instead of non-resident

constrained the supply of dollar credit to borrowers

investors, including multinationals with local

outside the United States. The argument

operations, liquidating positions, they hedged

mentioned that if domestic currencies carried

them through forward sales of the currency (often

higher yields, if they were expected to appreciate

offshore). Such virtual selling amounts to cross-

and if volatility were priced cheaply, firms (and, in

border risk flows rather than cross-border capital

places, households) were tempted to redenominate

flows alone. This reinforces the point that capital

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Without attempting a full analysis, there is no

CCIL

central bank to stand pat, or even to lower rates.

61

Speech

flows, like currency moves, cannot serve as a

effect of accommodative monetary policy in major

summary statistic of the manifold monetary policy

countries in (i) lowering emerging market policy

interactions.

rates; (ii) lowering local currency bond yields; (iii)

Conclusion

propelling capital flows. He further stated that

flows; global bond markets can move in sympathy

policymakers can use the current interval - however

without flows; dollar credit can be funded

long it proves to be - to bolster their resiliency in the

domestically; and non-residents can trade in

face of monetary policy normalization and the

derivatives markets, leaving no trace in capital

inevitable ebbing of global liquidity.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

August 2013 can be read as evidence of the previous

CCIL

of corporate liabilities to dollars and euros; and (v)

Policy rates may be set precisely to avoid capital

flows. All in all, the experience of May through

62

appreciating currencies; (iv) inducing the shifting

Source: www.bis.org

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview

Market Roundup
Domestic Economy
Macro-economic Overview: Domestic Economy
According to the Central Statistics Office (CSO) provisional estimates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for
the second quarter (July - September) of 2013-14 at factor cost (at 2004-05 prices) registered the four-quarter
highest growth at 4.83% (Y/Y) compared to 4.35% in the previous quarter, but stood lower than 5.19% in
2012-13:Q2. The marginal improvement in economic performance was driven mainly by strong growth in
agriculture production (4.63% in 2013-14:Q2 against 1.68% in 2012-13:Q2) and impressive growth in
industrial output (2.35% against 1.27%). But the slowdown in service sector output (5.94% against 7.64%)
reduced the magnitude of recovery of overall GDP growth.
The generous rise in agriculture & allied sector output was mainly on account of better Kharif crops'
production along with strong production of fruits & vegetables, livestock products, forestry and fisheries.
The impressive growth in industrial production was driven primarily by sharp increase in electricity
generation, gas & water supply (7.73% in 2013-14:Q2 against 3.19% in 2012-13:Q2) and noticeable rise in
manufacturing production (1.01% against 0.06%). But mining production is still in contraction trajectory
with contraction rate of 0.41% in the same quarter. However, slowdown in the services sector output was
factored by sharp decline in growth pace of Community, Social and Personal Services (4.24% in 2013-14:Q2
against 8.40% in 2012-13:Q2).
Table M1: Sector-Wise Growth Rates (%)
2012-13
2012-13 : Q3 2012-13 : Q4 2013-14 : Q1 2013-14 : Q2
(PE)
1.91
1.80
1.35
2.72
4.63

Industry

3.49

2.08

2.49

2.66

0.21

2.35

Mining & Quarrying

-0.63

-0.58

-0.69

-3.07

-2.79

-0.41

Manufacturing

2.69

1.05

2.48

2.58

-1.19

1.01

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply

6.51

4.15

4.50

2.78

3.69

7.73

Construction

5.56

4.33

2.87

4.38

2.78

4.29

Services

8.20

7.11

6.65

6.57

6.63

5.94

Trade, Hotels, Transport & Communication

7.03

6.37

6.39

6.21

3.88

4.04

11.67

8.63

7.81

9.10

8.94

9.97

Financing, Insurance, Real Estate


Community Services

6.01

6.57

5.55

4.05

9.42

4.24

GDP at Factor Cost (at 2004-05 Prices)

6.21

4.99

4.71

4.78

4.35

4.83

Source: Central Statistical Office (CSO)

According to the RBI's latest data release on Balance of Payment (BoP), India's current account deficit (CAD) in
the second quarter of 2013-14 contracted sharply by 75.5% (Y/Y) to $5.17 billion compared to $21.13 billion in
2012-13:Q2. The nose-diving drop in CAD comes mainly from joint effect of impressive growth in exports
(11.9% on Y/Y basis and 9.9% on Q/Q basis) and noticeable fall in imports (4.8% on Y/Y basis and 7.9% on
Q/Q basis) in the second quarter of current financial year. The Y/Y growth of 5.5% in invisibles also
contributed significantly in bringing down the CAD to 1.2 percent of the GDP compared to 5.0 percent of GDP
in 2012-13:Q2.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing

2011-12
(RE)
3.65

CCIL

Sectors

63

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview
The analysis of other components of BoP indicates that Capital Account balance fell sharply to a deficit of
$5.36 billion in the second quarter of 2013-14 against surplus of $20.51 billion in the previous quarter and
$20.75 billion in the corresponding quarter a year ago. The substantial decline in Capital Account was driven
mainly on capital outflows from portfolio investment ($6.60 billion against inflows of $7.72 billion in the
same quarter a year ago) - which left total foreign investment to net inflows of $0.29 billion against net
inflows of $15.88 billion in the same period. The severe deterioration in Capital Account balance brought the
overall BoP to deficit of $10.36 billion (against $0.35 billion in the previous quarter) - which was mainly
financed by foreign exchange reserves.
Table M2: India's Balance of Payment: Second Quarter of 2013-14

Net ($ Billion)
Current Account Balance

July - September April - June July - September Growth Rate Growth Rate
2012 PR
2013 P
2013 P
(%) (Q/Q)
(%) (Y/Y)
-21.13
-21.79
-5.17
-76.27
-75.53

Merchandise

-47.79

-50.48

-33.31

-34.03

-30.31

Invisibles

26.66

28.69

28.14

-1.95

5.52

Capital Account Balance

20.75

20.51

-5.37

-126.20

-125.91

Foreign Investment

15.88

6.27

0.29

-95.41

-98.19

Foreign Direct Investment

8.16

6.49

6.89

6.07

-15.56

Portfolio Investment

7.72

-0.22

-6.60

-185.54

Others

4.87

14.24

-5.66

-139.75

-216.31

Errors & Omissions

0.23

0.93

0.19

-79.58

-16.02

D. Overall Balance (A+B+C)

-0.16

-0.35

-10.35

5.00

4.90

1.20

Current Account Deficit (CAD) as % of GDP

Source: RBI BoP Press Release

As per cyclic trend in the first month of 2013-14:Q3, the central government's revenue recorded a decline on
M/M basis to `67161 crore in October'13, but on Y/Y basis, the government receipts rose at 23.4% due to
impressive growth in both - tax revenue (22.13%) and non-tax revenue (28.95%) receipts. The cumulative

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

revenue receipts during April - October'13 stood at `4,64,123 crore, 12.78% higher than `4,11,547 crore in

64

the corresponding period a year ago - which constitutes 41.34% of BE: `11, 22,799 crore for 2013-14). Both
revenue receipts and non-debt capital receipts also registered significant growth of 12.8% and 11.48%
respectively in the same period.

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview
(` Crore)

Table M3: Central Government's Income - Expenditure Details

BE: 2013-14

April - October 2013

% of Actuals to BE

Total Receipts

1122799

464123

41.34%

Revenue Receipts

1056331

456041

43.17%

66468

8082

12.16%

1665297

922009

55.37%

555322

268059

48.27%

Non-Debt Capital Receipts


Total Expenditure
Plan Expenditure
Non-plan Expenditure

1109975

653950

58.92%

Fiscal Deficit

542499

457886

84.40%

Revenue Deficit

379838

353010

92.94%

Primary Deficits

171814

273464

159.16%

Source: Controller General of Accounts (CGA)

The expenditure-profile shows a robust growth of 32.2% (Y/Y) in total central government expenditure to
`1,12,959 crore in October'13 on account of sharp rise in both plan expenditure (43.8%) and non-plan
expenditure (28.1%). However on M/M basis, both categories of expenditure - plan and non-plan stood lower
at `31,943 crore (39.8%) and `81,016 crore (13.0%) respectively in the same month. The cumulative
expenditure of central government during April - October'13 stood at `9,22,009 crore (55.4% of BE:
`16,65,297 crore). Relatively steeper growth in the total expenditure (18.29%) than total receipts (12.78%) led
to sharp rise in fiscal deficit to `4,57,886 crore (84.40% of BE: `5,42,499 crore) in the same period.
The cyclic trend continued in direct tax collection (`31,223 crore) during October'13 with sharp fall on M/M
basis in - both corporate tax collection (82.1%) and personal tax collection (40.5%) to `14,534 crore and
`16,689 crore respectively. But indirect tax collection followed a growth trend at 8.1% (M/M) to `42,072 crore
in the same month. However on Y/Y basis, both direct tax and indirect tax collection rose at 34.81% and
10.62% from `23,161 crore and `38,034 crore in October'12 respectively. The net tax revenue stood at `74,050
crore in October'13. On cumulative basis, net direct tax collection during April - October 2013 grew at 13.7%
to `2,82,724 crore on account of impressive growth in corporate tax (9.85)% and personal tax collection

Items
Corporate Tax
Personal Tax

Net Direct Tax Collection


April October 2013
168262
114462

Growth (%)
9.85%
19.80%

(Amount in ` Crore)

Net Indirect Tax Collection


April Items
Growth (%)
October 2013
Customs Duty
97206
5.92%
Central Excise Duty

74386

-7.03%

Net Direct Tax


282724
13.67% Service Tax
Other Tax (including
5368
7.73% Total Indirect Tax
Wealth Tax & STT)
Source: Press Information Bureau/Ministry of Finance, CGA (www.cga.nic.in)

72537

18.27%

244129

4.72%

CCIL

Table M4 : Direct & Indirect Tax Collection Details

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

(19.8%). The cumulative net indirect tax collection in the same period rose by 4.72% to `2,44,129 crore.

65

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview

Oct-13

Sep-13

Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Jan-13

Feb-13

-6000

Dec-12

-3000

Nov-12

Amount (USD Million)

Oct-12

Chart M1: Monthly Trade Deficit

-9000
-12000
-15000
-18000
-21000
-24000

Export kept its growing (Y/Y) trend in tact with higher gravity at 13.5% to $27.27 billion in October'13 from
$24.03 billion in the same month a year ago. However on M/M basis, exports discontinued its 3-month
continual growth trend in a row. On other hand, imports continued to shrink at 14.5% (Y/Y) to $37.83 billion
in same month, but on M/M basis, the imports grew at 9.8% - which lead to higher trade deficit of $10.56
billion in October'13 (against $6.76 billion in the previous month). However on Y/Y basis, the trade deficit
stood almost half of $20.21 billion in October'12. On cumulative basis, the exports grew at 6.34% to $179.38
billion during April - October 2013, while imports rose to $270.06 billion - which was 3.53% lower than
$279.93 billion in the same period a year ago.
Table M5: Trend in Exports and Imports

Year/Month

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

2010-11

66

Export

Growth (%)

(Amt. in USD Million)

Import

Growth (%)

Trade Balance

251136

40.49

369769

28.23

-118633

2011-12

305964

21.83

489320

32.33

-183356

2012-13

300571

-1.76

491487

0.44

-190917

Apr-13

24164

1.68

41952

10.96

-17787

May-13

24506

-1.11

44649

6.99

-20144

Jun-13

23786

-4.56

36035

-0.37

-12249

Jul-13

25834

11.64

38103

-6.20

-12268

Aug-13

26136

12.97

37054

-0.68

-10918

Sep-13

27679

11.15

34440

-18.10

-6760

Oct-13

27271

13.47

37827

-14.50

-10556

Source: Ministry of Commerce / Trade Statistics

WPI inflation rose to an eight-month high of 7.0% (Y/Y) in October'13 (against 6.46% in previous month and
stood lower than 7.32% figure a year ago. The soaring price rise (a 30-month high) in primary articles (14.68%
against 7.81% a year ago) has caused the sharp rise in WPI inflation, though fuel & power inflation (10.33%)
and manufacturing products inflation (2.50%) also contributed to the rise in WPI inflation to some extent.
The WPI inflation for August'13 was revised upward to 6.99% from a provisional figure of 6.10%.

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview
Table M6: Indian Inflation Environment: Inflation (Y-o-Y) Rate (%)

CPI Inflation
Rate

WPI Inflation Rate

Type

Items

October'13:
P

September'13:
R

3 Months Ago:
R

6 Months Ago:
R

1 Year Ago:
R

Primary

14.68

13.54

9.68

5.06

7.81

Food Articles

18.19

18.40

12.29

6.08

6.72

Fuel

10.33

10.08

11.36

8.33

11.65

Manufacturing

2.50

2.03

2.60

3.69

5.95

WPI

7.00

6.46

5.85

4.77

7.32

CPI-Rural

10.11

9.71

9.14

9.16

9.90

CPI-Urban

10.20

9.93

10.18

9.73

9.46

CPI-Combined

10.09

9.84

9.64

9.39

9.75

Source: Office of the Economic Advisor & MOSPI (Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation

Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13

The volatility in Index of Industrial 5.00


Production (IIP) growth trend 4.50
continued in the month of 4.00
September'13, with a sharp rise in
industrial production growth to
1.96% against 0.43% in the previous
Revised
Provisional
month and also was significantly
higher than the contraction of 0.73% in September'12. The noticeable improvement in industrial production
was factored mainly by significant rise (3.33%) in mining output after 11-month of continual contraction

CCIL

The retail inflation - measured by CPI-Combined rose above 10% after six months and stood at 10.09%
(provisional) in October'13 against 9.84% (final) in the previous month and 9.75% a year ago. This upsurge in
retail consumer prices comes mainly from price rise in food, beverage and tobacco -FB&T (12.28% against
11.33% a month ago), while other
Chart M2: Monthly WPI Inflation Rate (%)
major sub-groups recorded some
moderation in prices, but failed to 9.00
balance off the impact of rise in 8.50
FB&T prices. The rural and urban 8.00
area CPI inflation also witnessed
7.50
some spikes to 10.11% (against
7.00
9.71%) and 10.20% (against 9.93%)
respectively in the same period - 6.50
indicting upward pressured of 6.00
5.50
supply side constraints.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

* P stands for Provisional Inflation Rate; R for Revised Rate for WPI; F for Final Inflation Rate for CPI

67

MArket Roundup

Macro-Economic Overview
averaged at 3.45% during October'13 - August'13. The other important contributor in better industrial
production was electricity generation - which grew by 12.9% against 7.16% growth in August'13.
Manufacturing also witnessed marginal growth of 0.57% in the same month. In Used-based classification, the
production of capital goods (which indicates investment pattern) declined at intensified pace of 6.84%.
Table M7: International 10-year Yield Movements (% p.a.) (Month-End)
Category

Sep-13

Aug-13

3 Months Ago

6 Months Ago

1 Year Ago

Sectoral
General

1.96

0.43

-1.85

3.52

-0.73

Mining

3.33

-1.05

-4.59

-2.14

2.21

Manufacturing

0.57

-0.17

-1.74

4.33

-1.58

12.89

7.16

0.00

3.53

3.89

Basic Goods

5.42

1.07

-1.85

3.25

2.71

Capital Goods

-6.84

-2.04

-6.55

9.58

-13.28

Intermediate Goods

4.08

3.69

1.31

2.06

1.72

Electricity
Use-Based Classification

Consumer Goods

0.56

-0.92

-1.45

1.81

0.00

Consumer Durables

-10.83

-7.70

-10.12

-4.86

-1.46

Consumer Non-Durables

11.27

4.82

6.17

7.30

1.43

Source: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI)

The performance of eight core industries witnessed sharp reversal in October'13 with overall contraction of
0.64% against impressive growth of 7.98% in September'13 and average of 3.25% during April - September'13.
Many industries registered either contraction or sharp slowdown in their production activities. The
production of Coal, crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products recorded decline at 3.93%, 0.77%, 13.59%
and 4.78% respectively in October'13, while other four industries - Fertilizers, Steel, Cement and electricity
generation registered slowdown at 4.12% (against 5.26% a month ago), 3.51% (against 6.63%), 0.96%
(11.52%) and 1.33% (12.61%) respectively in the same period.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Global Economic Development and Prospects

68

After five years of turbulence, in which businesses have faced the near-collapse of the financial system, a
global recession and the euro zone's debt crisis, the world economy seems to be moving onto a firmer footing
in the second half of 2013. Though direct/indirect effects of these events are still being felt - from austerity in
Euro area to currency jitters in emerging market economies, the economic outlook is becoming more settled reflected from the steadier upswing in the peaks and troughs of the past few years. In 2014, the largest rich
economies - the US, the Euro zone and Japan are expected to grow all together for the first time in the last four
years indicating better prospects of global recovery.

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
Table M8: GDP Growth (on Quarter--on- Quarter basis) Rate (%)

Country

2012:Q2

2012:Q3

2012:Q4

2013:Q1:R

2013:Q2:R

2013:Q3:P/R

US

1.20

2.80

0.10

1.10

2.50

2.80

EURO 16

-0.20

-0.10

-0.60

-0.30

0.30

0.10

Japan

-0.20

-0.90

0.30

1.00

0.60

0.50 : R

UK

-0.50

0.70

-0.20

0.30

0.70

0.80

Australia

0.50

0.80

0.70

0.60

0.60

China (On Y-o-Y basis)

7.60

7.40

7.90

7.70

7.50

7.80

Source: National Central Banks

The growth projection for advanced economies improved in the third quarter. The US economy is projected
to grow at 2.8% (Q/Q) in the third quarter of 2013, up from 2.5% in the second quarter. The UK economy is
also expected to pick up at 0.80 percent in the same quarter, up from 0.7% in the second quarter. The Chinese
economy registered a sound recovery at 7.8% (Y/Y) against 7.5% in the same period. However the growth pace
of Euro area economy and Japan has been projected with some slowdown to 0.10% and 0.50% for the third
quarter respectively.
Except Japan, the majority of advanced economies experienced moderation in consumer price inflation in
September'13, a fourth third month in a row since July'13. The US CPI inflation moderated to 1.0% from
1.18% in the previous month, while in UK it declined significantly to 2.20% (against 2.67%) in the same
period. The Euro area CPI eased to 0.70% from 1.10% in the same period. However, Japanese CPI rose to
1.10% (against 1.00%) in the same period. The emerging economies except Brazil registered significant rise in
October'13. Chinese CPI rose to 3.20% (against 3.10%) and Russian CPI went up to 6.30% (against 6.10%),
but Brazilian CPI moderated fractionally to 5.84% (against 5.86%) in the same period.
Table M9: International 10-year Yield Movements (% p.a.) (Month-End)

Oct-13

3 Months Ago

6 Months Ago

1 Year Ago

US

2.74

2.55

2.77

2.13

1.62

UK

2.77

2.62

2.77

2.00

1.76

Japan

0.61

0.60

0.72

0.86

0.72

Germany

1.69

1.67

1.86

1.51

1.37

Australia

4.22

4.02

3.91

3.36

3.17

Source: Bloomberg

Treasury yields across most of advanced economies closed up at end-November 2013. However, on Y/Y basis,
treasury yields also hardened for all major advanced economies except for Japan - which is eased by 11 bps
from 0.72%, while the US yield stood 112 bps higher than 1.62% in November'13.
Standard & Poor's removed one of the euro zone's few remaining AAA credit ratings and cut the Netherlands
to AA+, while rewarding Spain for moves to reform public finances with an improved stable outlook. With
this change, only three countries - Germany, Luxembourg, and Finland in the currency bloc are left with the
top credit rating. However, both Moody's and Fitch still rate the Netherlands as AAA.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Nov-13

CCIL

Country

69

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
Money Market Review
Easy liquidity conditions as compared to the previous months resulted in decline in short term rates by close
to 50 bps. Average rates which were in double digit for more than a month since mid-August, fell to 8.50%
during November 2013. Weighted average rates in the Call and the Repo markets fell by over half a percentage
point from 9.03% and 9.07% in October to 8.50% and 8.56% respectively. CBLO rates, too, eased by 46 bps
from 8.88% to 8.42% m-o-m. Except during the first three trading days of the month and reporting Fridays
when money market rates were close to 7.80%, weighted average rates remained range bound between 8.00%
and 8.75%.
As far as trading volumes are concerned, only the Call market witnessed m-o-m growth of 11% with the market
share climbing from 14% to 17%. The other two segments, namely Repo and CBLO, observed m-o-m volume
decrease of 17% and 11% respectively.
The ensuing tables give the comparative weighted average rates over a period of time and the comparative
statistics of volume and rates across the different sub-groups of the money market.
TABLE M10: Comparative Weighted Average Money Market Rates (%)
Nov-13

Oct-13

3 Months ago

6 Months ago

Year ago

CALL

8.50

9.03

9.93

7.29

8.04

REPO

8.56

9.07

9.93

7.28

7.99

CBLO

8.42

8.88

9.77

7.10

7.94

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Table M11: Comparative Money Market Volumes and Rates

70

Gross

Daily Average

Std

Minimum

Maximum

Market Share

Volumes (` Cr)

Volumes (` Cr)

Dev

Rate (%)

Rate (%)

(%)

Nov-13

Oct-13

CALL

351,849.26

317,433.39 18,518.38 15,115.88

0.33

0.25

7.62

8.67

8.75

9.55

16.81

13.69

REPO

539,334.59

651,575.42 28,386.03 31,027.40

0.29

0.27

7.79

8.63

8.75

9.63

25.76

28.10

1,202,388.75 1,350,064.00 63,283.62 64,288.76

0.47

0.51

6.99

7.23

8.75

9.50

57.43

58.22

CBLO

Nov-13

Oct-13

Nov-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Oct-13

Liquidity Adjustment Facility


Operationalization of the term repo upto 0.50% of
NDTL of the banking system, reduction in MSF
rate and conduct of OMOs had impact on the
liquidity available with the banks during
November 2013. Total as well as the average
volumes absorbed by the RBI via LAF Reverse Repo
window leapt sharply by 318% and 362%
respectively m-o-m. Total and average volumes

which were `3,850 crore and `183 crore respectively


during October 2013, shot up to reach `16,079
crore and `846 crore during November.
On the other hand, total amount lent by the RBI to
banks through LAF Repo auctions declined by 13%
from `8,45,568 crore to `7,37,348 crore. The
average amount, too, fell marginally to `38,808
crore - decline of 4%.

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
Banks' average borrowing through MSF continued

highest since 2011), 18 SDLs for `14,734.88 crore

to slide from the peak of `69,517 crore in

and treasury bills worth `71,283.00 crore during


November 2013. RBI purchased 4 securities under

September 2013 to `37,107 crore in October 2013


and further down to `11,923 crore during the
month under consideration.
Government Securities Market
Primary Market
RBI auctioned 21 government securities for
`74,000 crore (includes new 10-year benchmark

OMOs for `6,156.74 crore on November 18. There


wasn't any auction of short term treasury bills
called CMBs during the month under review.
The following tables provide the details of the
auctions of government securities, OMOs, SDLs
and treasure bills along with its average cut-off
yields over a period of time.

security for `7,000 crore with the coupon of 8.83% -

95.27

8.8774

0.00

2,000.00

101.77

8.9925

0.00

8.83% G.S. 2041

2,000.00

97.17

9.1092

0.00

7.28% G.S. 2019

4,000.00

92.84

8.9400

0.00

08-Nov-13

7.16% G.S. 2023

7,000.00

88.76

8.9368

0.00

08-Nov-13

8.32% G.S. 2032

2,000.00

91.05

9.3378

0.00

08-Nov-13

8.30% G.S. 2042

2,000.00

89.67

9.3351

0.00

14-Nov-13

8.12% G.S. 2020

4,000.00

95.46

9.0008

460.50

14-Nov-13

8.28% G.S. 2027

7,000.00

93.67

9.0904

0.00

14-Nov-13

9.20% G.S. 2030

2,000.00

100.26

9.1671

0.00

14-Nov-13

8.83% G.S. 2041

2,000.00

95.43

9.2894

0.00

22-Nov-13

7.28% G.S. 2019

3,000.00

92.97

8.9190

0.00

22-Nov-13

8.83% G.S. 2023

7,000.00

100.00

8.8300

0.00

22-Nov-13

8.32% G.S. 2032

2,000.00

91.87

9.2391

0.00

22-Nov-13

8.30% G.S. 2042

3,000.00

90.29

9.2679

0.00

26-Nov-13

1.44% IIB 2023

1,000.00

82.50

3.6301

0.00

29-Nov-13

8.12% G.S. 2020

3,000.00

96.25

8.8476

0.00

29-Nov-13

8.24% G.S. 2027

6,000.00

93.73

9.0609

0.00

29-Nov-13

9.20% G.S. 2030

2,000.00

100.92

9.0895

0.00

29-Nov-13

8.83% G.S. 2041

3,000.00

96.39

9.1903

0.00

8.12% G.S. 2020

Cut-off Price
(`)
96.76

01-Nov-13

8.28% G.S. 2027

6,000.00

01-Nov-13

9.20% G.S. 2030

01-Nov-13
08-Nov-13

Yield (%)

CCIL

8.7396

Devolvement on
PDs (` Crore)
0.00

Amount
(` Crore)
4,000.00

Paper

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Table M12: Dated G-Sec Auction/Issue


Date of Issue/
Auction
01-Nov-13

71

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
TABLE M13: DETAILS OF SDL AUCTIONS/ISSUE
Date of Issue/
Auction

Amount
(` Crore)

Paper

Cut-off Price
(`)

Yield
(%)

Undersubscription

05-Nov-13

9.30% Madhya Pradesh SDL 2023

500.00

9.30

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.32% Kerala SDL 2023

500.00

9.32

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.33% Rajasthan SDL 2023

500.00

9.33

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.34% Punjab SDL 2023

600.00

9.34

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.35% Meghalaya SDL 2023

100.00

9.35

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.36% Maharashtra SDL 2023

1,500.00

9.36

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.37% Tamil Nadu SDL 2023

1,250.00

9.37

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.40% Uttar Pradesh SDL 2023

750.00

9.40

0.00

05-Nov-13

9.42% West Bengal SDL 2023

1,500.00

9.42

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.37% Kerala SDL 2023

750.00

9.37

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.39% Andhra Pradesh SDL 2023

1,004.88

9.39

745.12

19-Nov-13

9.39% Gujarat SDL 2023

1,000.00

9.39

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.39% Maharashtra SDL 2023

1,500.00

9.39

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.39% Tamil Nadu SDL 2023

1,500.00

9.39

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.40% Goa SDL 2023

150.00

9.40

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.40% Nagaland SDL 2023

130.00

9.40

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.40% Rajasthan SDL 2023

500.00

9.40

0.00

19-Nov-13

9.42% West Bengal SDL 2023

1,000.00

9.42

0.00

TABLE M14: DETAILS OF OMOs AUCTIONS

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Date of Repurchase

72

Amount Accepted (` Crore)

Paper

Cut-off Price (`)

Yield (%)

18-Nov-13

7.17% G.S. 2015

3,732.98

98.08

8.4963

18-Nov-13

7.59% G.S. 2016

1,000.60

97.93

8.5573

18-Nov-13

7.83% G.S. 2018

382.05

97.10

8.6332

18-Nov-13

8.20% G.S. 2025

1,041.11

93.16

9.1552

TABLE M15: DETAILS OF T-BILLS AUCTIONS

91 day T-Bill
Date

Amt
(` Cr)

MSS
(` Cr)

Price
(`)

182 day T-Bill


YTM
(%)

Amt
(` Cr)

MSS
(` Cr)

364 day T-Bill

Price
(`)

Amt
(` Cr)

YTM
(%)

MSS
(` Cr)

Price
(`)

YTM
(%)

06-Nov-13

9,510

0.00

97.91

8.5619

6,000

0.00

95.81

8.7705

13-Nov-13

8,806

0.00

97.81

8.9807

4,901

0.00

91.77

8.9927

20-Nov-13

12,806

0.00

97.82

8.9388

6,000

0.00

95.65

9.1206

27-Nov-13

17,260

0.00

97.82

8.9388

6,000

0.00

91.82

8.9332

48382.00

0.00

12000.00

0.00

10901.00

0.00

Total

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
TABLE M16: Average T-Bills Cut-Off Yields (%)

3 Months ago

6 Months ago

91-day T-Bill

8.8551

8.9391

11.3532

182-day T-Bill

8.9456

8.7269

11.5051

7.3924

8.1606

364-day T-Bill

8.9630

8.7355

9.9113

7.2528

8.1069

Secondary Market
Secondary market for the government securities
witnessed down trend in the trading activity with
number of trades falling by 20% whereas trading
volume by 19%. In absolute terms, number of
trades, during November, stood at 50,819 with the
volume at `5,05,637 crore.
The same was the case with the settlement numbers.
CCIL settled total volume of `4,99,569 in a month 20% lower than the previous month's settlement
volume of `6,27,706 crore.
During November, total trades transacted in the
When Issued market jumped to 195 having the
total value of `1,605 crore. Out of which, 10 trades
of 8.12% G.S. 2020 for `50 crore, 58 trades worth
`395 crore of a new 10-year benchmark 8.83% G.S.

2023, 92 trades of 8.24% G.S. 2027 for `965


crore and 35 trades worth `195 crore of 8.28% G.S.
2027 were transacted on the said platform.
Yield Movement
10-year G-Sec yields hardened by 30-35 bps during
the month with average yield standing at 8.89%. It
fluctuated between 8.66% and 9.09% during the

7.3417

Year ago
8.1753

month under consideration. First three weeks of


the month witnessed benchmark yields remaining
at an elevated level (around 9% after mid-August)
mainly because of the domestic factors like selling
of bonds by FIIs, absence of OMO announcement,
higher inflation along with the external
data/statement such as warning by Standard &
Poor's to downgrade the country's sovereign rating
if the next government fails to provide a credible
plan to revive growth and stronger-than-expected
US economic growth giving rise to anticipation of
early tapering of QE3 measures.
Towards the end of the month, nonetheless, yields
settled near 8.70% as market awaited key GDP
figures for the Q2 of FY13-14 and fiscal deficit data
for the month of October. Surprise release of
India's BoP data for Q2 of FY13-14, one month
prior to the scheduled publication, showing sharp
contraction in the CAD as compared to the Q1 of
FY 13-14 as well as corresponding quarter previous
year boosted the market sentiments.
The yields of various tenors prevailing on the last
working day of the month and the spread analysis
of different tenors over a period of time are
provided in the following tables.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Oct-13

CCIL

Nov-13

73

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
TABLE M17: YIELD MOVEMENTS (%)*
Tenor

Nov-13

Oct-13

3 Months ago

6 Months ago

Year ago

O/N

7.7374

8.7370

10.3903

7.2662

8.0868

3 month

8.9283

8.4709

11.4573

7.4129

8.1230

6 month

8.7988

8.4522

11.0694

7.4062

8.1592

1 year

8.6341

8.3892

10.7186

7.2671

8.2316

2 year

8.4429

8.4004

10.1666

7.3763

8.1592

5 year

8.6566

8.5344

9.2728

7.2504

8.1696

10 year

8.7239

8.5504

8.7416

7.1104

8.1686

* on the last working day of the month


TABLE M18: SPREAD ANALYSIS
Period

G-Sec Spread (bps)


Nov-13

Oct-13

3 Months

15

-145

-2

-6

1 - 10 Years

29

37

-173

5 - 10 Years

27

22

-28

10 - 30 Years

24

25

32

23

The Indian currency started off the month on a


weaker note following speculation that oil
marketing companies have been advised to buy a
part of their US dollar needs from the market and
possible end of cheap money from the US Fed
following strong US jobs data. Rupee depreciated
Monthly Newsletter December 2013

by 2.83% (`1.73) between 1-13 November from

CCIL

1 Year

1 - 5 Years

Foreign Exchange Market

74

6 Months

`61.90 per dollar to `63.65 per dollar. RBI


governor Raghuram Rajan's confidence that the
country would have adequate foreign exchange
resources to finance the CAD and his assurance
that dollar repayments by oil marketing companies
to the central bank could be rolled over saw the
rupee recover smartly. News from the international
markets like statement by Yellen of the FRB on

continuation of the monetary stimulus in the face


of labour market performing far short of their
potential and China's ambitious economic reforms
agenda also helped the rupee to appreciate to
`62.23 per dollar by November 19.
After weakening to `63.02 a dollar till November
22, rupee recovered to `62.39 at the end of the
month on optimism of a smaller CAD, higher FII
purchase of equities as well as Iran's landmark
agreement with western nations to halt nuclear
enrichment for six months in exchange for the
lifting of some sanctions.
The following tables give analysis of rupee
movement against major currencies and the
exchange rate prevailing on the last working day of
the month over a period of time.

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
TABLE M19: EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT
` / Euro

` / Pound

` / 100 yen

` / Dollar

Movement (%)

-1.31

-2.89

3.54

-0.79

Average Rate

84.53

100.88

62.63

62.63

Stdev

0.53

0.91

0.99

0.53

Max

85.55

102.06

63.97

63.65

Min

83.42

98.66

60.97

61.79

TABLE M20: EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT


Exchange Rate
` / Euro

Nov-13

Oct-13

3 Months ago

6 Months ago

Year ago

84.98

84.12

88.16

73.68

71.47

` / Pound

102.06

98.29

103.34

86.01

88.38

` / 100 yen

60.97

62.44

67.83

56.03

67.20

` / Dollar

62.39

61.41

66.57

56.50

55.20

The movement of 1-month, 3-months and 6-months forward premia over a period of time is exhibited in the
next table.
TABLE M21: MOVEMENT OF FORWARD PREMIA OVER A PERIOD OF TIME (MONTHLY AVERAGE)
Nov-13

Oct-13

3 Months ago

6 Months ago

Year ago

1-month

8.83

9.13

9.75

6.82

6.69

3-month

8.80

8.88

9.36

6.67

6.36

6-month

8.58

8.42

8.60

6.36

6.14

FII activity in the Indian markets remained modest during the month under review. They were net buyers
of equities worth $1.30 billion - a decline of $1.25 billion (49%) as against the previous month. On the
contrary, though they remained net sellers of debt for the sixth consecutive month - the amount of bond
selling reduced by $1.24 billion. The total Indian debt net sold by FIIs stood at $0.96 billion in a month vis-vis $2.20 billion during the previous month. Taking both the markets into an account, they were net

TABLE M22: MOVEMENT OF FII FLOWS


Quarter

Net Investment in Equity

Net Investment in Debt

Amount USD Mn.


Total

2008-09

-11826.40

470.10

-11356.30

2009-10

22780.66

7470.89

30251.55

2010-11

24294.73

7931.30

32226.03

2011-12

9011.66

8451.76

17463.42

2012-13

25832.61

5214.43

31047.04

Q1 2013-14

-1852.15

-5683.48

-7535.63

Q2 2013-14

144.71

-4475.89

-4331.18

Oct-13

2553.40

-2196.90

356.50

Nov-13

1300.71

-957.49

343.22

CCIL

information regarding FII flows is provided in the following table.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

buyers of $0.34 billion - marginally lower (-4%) than the previous month's $0.36 billion. The relevant

75

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
Reserve Bank of India said that the concessional swap facility will not be extended beyond November 30,
putting all speculation to rest, but allowed some breathing space for banks currently busy with negotiating with
global lenders for taking overseas loans. The central bank said it will allow banks to get the benefit if they get
firm commitment from global financial institutions on or before November 30, 2013. RBI had in September
allowed banks to borrow up to 100% of their Tier-I capital from overseas markets and swap dollar with it for
rupees. The measures were aimed at attracting dollar inflows and arrest the rupee's depreciation. It offered one
percentage point lower swap rate than the market rate till November 30. As time was running out, RBI observed
that banks currently in the process of negotiation may not be in a position to draw the loan even after getting a
sanction and deliver it for swapping before the deadline. In such cases, a bank will be allowed to enter into a
forward-forward swap. In its first leg, the bank will sell forward the contracted amount of foreign currency
corresponding to the loan amount for delivery up to December 31, 2013. However, if the bank is not in a
position to deliver the contracted amount of foreign currency on the contracted date, it will have to pay the
difference between the concessional swap rate contracted and the market swap rate plus one hundred basis
points.
As per the figures released by the RBI, $34 billion has been mobilized from special concessional dollar swap
windows opened in September for deposits by non-resident Indians and overseas foreign currency borrowings
by banks.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

The RBI extended the stipulated date for relaxed norms on FCNR (B) deposits till January 31, 2014. In case of
non-resident external (NRE) deposits with maturities of three years and above, the central bank said banks will
be allowed to offer interest rates higher than those for domestic deposits. These deposits will continue to be
exempt from statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) and cash reserve ratio (CRR) requirements. The special window
allows banks to swap fresh FCNR (B) dollar funds, mobilised for a minimum tenor of three years, at a fixed rate
of 3.5% per annum. Similarly, for foreign currency non-resident (FCNR) (B) deposits, where RBI had raised the
ceiling on deposits with maturities between three and five years to 400 basis points over Libor from the earlier
ceiling of 300 bps over Libor, the new deadline will now be applicable.

76

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country declined by about 38%, year-on-year, to $2.91 billion in
September. In September 2012, the country had attracted foreign investment worth $4.67 billion. During the
April-September period of 2013-14 fiscal, FDI has thus dipped by 11% to $11.37 billion, from $12.84 billion in
the first half of 2012-13. Decline in FDI in sectors like services, telecom and metallurgical industries were
responsible for the fall in total FDI inflows. From April-September this fiscal, FDI in services, telecom and
metallurgical industries declined to $1.32 billion, $32 million and $240 million, respectively. In the first six
months of last fiscal, services had attracted $3.04 billion, telecom $43 million and metallurgical industries $685
million.
Indias foreign exchange reserves inched closer to the $300 billion mark. It surged to their highest level to over
six-month high as strong US dollar inflows via the Reserve Bank of India's concessional swap facilities added
$10 billion to reserves in a single month. Reserves have been depleting since May when the rupee started sliding
due to fears of a tightening in global liquidity conditions, forcing the RBI to intervene by selling dollars in the
market and also providing foreign exchange directly to oil importers. Foreign exchange reserves reached $291.30
billion during the week ended November 29 via-a-via $281.29 billion during the week ended November 01,
clocking a growth of 4%. The entire accretion was due to the rise in foreign currency assets which was $263.74
billion (November 29) against $253.61 billion (November 01).

MArket Roundup

Market Overview
CHART M3: FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES

325,000

USD Million

300,000
275,000
250,000
225,000
200,000
175,000

Ma
y
Au -07
g -0
No 7
v-0
Feb 7
Ma 08
y-0
Au 8
g
No -08
vFeb 08
Ma 09
y-0
Au 9
g
No -09
vFeb 09
Ma 10
y-1
Au 0
g
No -10
v-1
Feb 0
Ma -11
y
Au -11
g -1
No 1
v-1
Feb 1
Ma -12
y
Au -12
g -1
No 2
vFeb 12
Ma 13
y-1
Au 3
g
No -13
v-1
3

150,000

USD Million

19,500
14,500
9,500
4,500
-500
-5,500
-10,500
-15,500
-20,500
-25,500
-30,500
-35,500
-40,500

Change in Forex Reserves

Forex Reserves

Banking Sector
The non-food credit of scheduled commercial banks grew at a moderated pace of 15.92% year-on-year for the
fortnight ended November 15. According to the data, credit grew to `55,48,130 crore compared to `47,86,330
crore in the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, deposits grew at 15.28%. Total deposits grew to
`73,89,750 crore compared to `64,10,030 crore in the same period last year.
TABLE M23: TRENDS IN SCHEDULED COMMERCIAL BANKS' BUSINESS (` Cr.)
Oct-13

3 Months ago

8949240

8769700

6 Months ago
8519850

Year ago
7784590

Aggregate Deposits

7389750

7305820

7103690

6874300

6410030

Non-food Credit

5548130

5522380

5400640

5210260

4786330

Investment in G-Secs

2205750

2179890

2146710

2045030

1971190

TABLE M24: KEY BANKING RATES AND RATIOS (%)


Nov-13

Oct-13

Credit-Deposit Ratio

76.46

76.86

Investment-Deposit Ratio

29.88

29.87

10.00 - 10.25

9.80 - 10.25

8.00 - 9.05

8.00 - 9.05

4.00

4.00

Base Rate
Term Deposit Rate >1 Year
Savings Deposit Rate

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

9074140

CCIL

Nov-13
Money Stock

77

Key Macroeconomic Indicators


TABLE 1 : DOMESTIC INDICATORS
Sr.
No.

2
3

National Income
Gross Domestic Product at market price (at
2004-05 prices)
Fiscal Deficit
Industry
o

Item

General Index of Industrial Production

2000-01

Unit/Base

1990-91

` Crore

692871 (1)

1870387

` Crore

44632.00

118816.00

2004-05=100

212.60*

162.60

2011-12

2010-11

2012-13
(Latest
available
figures)

2013-14
(Latest
available
figures)

2006-07

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

3117372
(9.60%)
142793.00

3402716
(9.00%)
94283.00

4416350
(6.70%)
330114.00

4790847 5296108
(9.30%)
(8.60%)
412307.00 369043.00

5631379
(6.20%)
509731.00

5813664
(5.00%)$
489890

1430067
(4.80%)$
457886

284.50
(12.90%)

297.80
(3.90%)

297.90
(-2.30%)

401.20
(7.30%)

186.40
(-3.50%)

192.30
(2.50%)

166.30
(2.00%)

347.30
(13.50%)

Change
over
Previous
Month

45798
0.90

Money Supply, Banking & Interest Rates


M3

` Crore

265828

1313220

Aggregate Deposits

` Crore

192541

962618

Bank Credit

` Crore

116301

511434

7
8
9
10
11
12
13

S C Banks Investment in Govt. Securities


Credit - Deposit Ratio
Bank Rate
Cash Reserve Ratio
Repo Rate
Inter-bank call money rate (Mumbai)
Base Rate
Inflation
Wholesale Prices (Monthly)

` Crore
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent

49998
340035
60.40
53.39
7.00
10.00
8.00
15.00
4.00 - 70.00 4.00 - 19.00
-- 11.00 -12.00

9074140
8359280
7344070
5579567 6491756
4655831
3876926
3295644
(13.60%)
(8.30%)
(13.00%)
(14.90%) (16.00%)
(16.20%)
(17.10%)
(20.8%)
7389750
6751420
5903660
4486573 5204703
3732501
3075224
2594259
(14.30%)
(9.50%)
(13.40%)
(14.80%) (15.80%)
(16.80%)
(17.90%)
(23.0%)
4611630
5262830
3240399 3938659
5649910
1923192
2690513
2272603
(17.00%)
(12.60%) (21.40%)
(13.90%)
(14.10%)
(7.40%)
(27.6%)
(17.80%)
966516
1166237
771060
1375704 1495467
2205750
1733700
2003460
73.90
74.13
72.08
75.68
70.97
76.46
78.11
77.95
6.00
6.00
6.00
6.00
6.00
8.75
9.50
8.50
7.50
6.00
5.00
6.00
5.75
4.00
4.75
4.00
7.75
7.75
5.00
6.75
5.00
7.75
8.50
7.50
6.00 - 80.00
2.50 - 9.70 2.00 - 5.05 1.00 - 4.10 3.71 - 9.01 5.88 - 13.14 7.34 - 13.69 7.16 - 10.53
12.25 - 12.50 12.25 - 12.75 11.50 -12.50 11.00 - 12.00 8.25 - 9.50 10.00 - 10.75 9.70 - 10.25 10.00 - 10.25

124900
83930
34980
25860

14

208.10

210.00
(5.74%)
320.10

223.60
(6.68%)
341.00

227.30
(0.31%)
320.90

250.80
(9.90%)
361.80

148.00
(8.98%)
158.20

15

Consumer Price Index - New

2010=100

16

Consumer Prices-Industrial Workers


Balance of Trade****

2001=100

193.00

444.00

127.00

137.00

148.00

170.00

185.00

159.80
(6.89%)
174.00
115.50
(8.96%)
201.00

17

Value of Imports

US$ Million

24073

50536

18

Value of Exports

US$ Million

18145

44560

19

Balance of Trade

US$ Million

-5927

-5976

181368
(29.33%)
124629
(23.88%)
-56739

235911
(27.01%)
155512
(23.02%)
-80398

287759
(14.30%)
168704
(3.40%)
-119055

350695
278681
(-8.20%) (21.61%)
245868
176574
(-4.70%) (37.55%)
-102106 -104826.68

488640
(32.15%)
303719
(20.94%)
-184921.69

a. All Commodities

2004-05=100

182.70***

155.70

b. Fuel, power, light and lubricants

2004-05=100

175.80***

170.60
(5.96%)
195.90
127.50
(10.39%)
224.00

180.30
(7.00%)
209.40
137.50
(10.09%)
241.00

491487.22
(0.44%)
300570.58
(-1.76%)
-190916.64

270058.66
(-3.80%)
179376.37
(6.32%)
-90682.29

0.60
1.90
1.30
3.00
37827
27271
-10556

Key Macroeconomic
Indicators

78

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

CCIL

TABLE 1 : DOMESTIC INDICATORS


Sr.
No.

Item

Unit/Base

1990-91

2000-01

2006-07

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

254685.00 282037.00

2010-11

2011-12

2012-13
(Latest
available
figures)

2013-14
(Latest
available
figures)

260068.70

259725.90

258664.70

4161.30

27023.10

26292.30

21227.30

-538.10

Change
over
Previous
Month

Foreign Exchange Inflows/Outflows & Exchange Rate


20

Foreign Exchange Reserves****


a. Foreign Currency Assets

US$ Million

2236.00

39554.00

191924.00

294649.00

241597.00

b. Gold

US$ Million

3496.00

2725.00

6784.00

9558.00

9746.00

c. SDRs

17920.00

23790.00

US$ Million

102.00

2.00

2.00

18.00

1.00

5006.00

4671.00

4469.30

4327.60

4420.70

-48.70

21

Net FII Investment

US$ Million

--

399.00

6708.00

16039.80

-11356.30

30251.55

32226.03

17463.42

31047.06

-3999.09

343.22

22

Cumulative Net Investment+

US$ Million

--

13416.00

51965.70

68005.40

56649.30

89332.60 121558.70

140481.70

171528.69

167529.61

343.20

227687

188205

306550

600409

558000

464000

74000.00

Central Government Borrowings (Dated Securities and 364 day T-bills)


23

Government Borrowings****
Gross

` Crore

--

115183

Net

` Crore

--

73787

24

Outstandings (Dated Securities)

25

CCIL Settlement Statistics****


a. Securities (F.V.)

479482

146574

106895

230018

313010

323661

473952

467384

389265

74000.00

` Crore

1181604

1434086

1706083

2033452

2349966

2782985

3244536

3633801

74000.00

` Crore

3578037**

5602602**

6254519

8986719

6970236

7252080

11994797

11711154

-18.74%

US$ Million

--

--

1776981 **

3133664**

3758904

2988971

4191037

4642573

4830933

3147760

-11.06%

c. CBLO (F.V.)

` Crore

--

--

4732271 **

8110828**

8824784

15541378

12259745

11155428

12028040

12065130

-9.62%

Gilts Turnover Ratio#

Per cent

--

--

0.40^

0.69^

0.94^

0.69^

0.71^

0.72^

1.92^

1.34^

b. Forex
26

459497

79

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

^ Turnover Ratio as on November 29, 2013


(1) At 1993-94 prices
$: GDP for Jul - Sep (Q2) of 2013-14. GDP for Jul-Sep (Q2) of 2012-13: `13,53,630 Crore - (5.2%).
: Excluding acquisition cost of RBI stake in SBI (` 35,531 crores)
o: GDP data till 2008-09 are calculated taking 1999-00 prices as the base.
: Base Rate relates to five major banks since July 1, 2010. Earlier figures relate to
Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR).
: Inflation data till 2009-10 are calculated taking 1993-94 as base
: IIP data till 2010 - 2011 are calculated taking 1993-94 as base

Key Macroeconomic
Indicators

Source: RBI Annual Report, Bulletin, Weekly Statistics, SEBI & CCIL
Notes:
Yearly figures are as in March-end
* : Base: 1980-81=100
*** : Base : 1981-82=100
**: Figure as at March-end
****: Figures are cumulative for the year
Q.E : Quick Estimate
R.E : Revised Estimate
A.E : Advance Estimate
B.E.: Budget Estimate
#Turnover Ratio=(Central Government Securities Volumes for 12 months/Market
Capitialisation during the month)*100
Percentage figures in brackets denote y-o-y growth

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 2: WORLD ECONOMIC INDICATORS


USA

UK

Japan

Euro

South Korea

China

India

Gross Domestic Product (%): 2013 Q3

0.80

3.60

0.50

0.10

1.10

2.20

4.8#

Fiscal Deficit: 2012 (% of GDP)

-6.10

-4.10 @

-9.20

-3.70

-1.10

-1.50

-4.80

Exports: September 2013

41.743 bn

$192.673 bn @

6104.51 bn@ 158.000 bn

$ 47.918 bn @

$ 185.406 bn @

$ 27.27 bn @

Imports: September 2013

45.011 bn

$233.334 bn @

7195.19 bn @

144.99 bn

$ 43.114 bn @

$ 154.299 bn @

$ 37.83 bn @

- 14.512 bn #

-$98.89 bn

587.30 bn^

14.04 bn ^

$ 9.51 bn ^ @

$ 39.70 bn @

-$ 5.20 bn @

Inflation (October 2013)

2.20

1.00

1.10

0.90 @

0.90 @

3.20

7.00

Industrial Production (%) (September 2013)

2.20

3.20@

5.10

1.10

3.00 @

10.30@

2.00

158.30

1178.10

61.90 (&)

55.60

1293.80

56.80

Exchange rate (per 1USD) ( November 29, 2013)

0.61

1.00

102.35

0.73

1057.64

6.13

62.39

10-yr Bond Yield (%) (November 29, 2013)

2.78

2.75

0.61

1.70(&)

3.67

4.40

8.72

Key Policy Rates (%)

0.50

0.00-0.25

0.00-0.10

0.25

2.50

6.00

7.75

Current Account (Q2 2013)

US Treasury Securities Holding (USD Billion)( September 2013)

@ Figures Refer to next period


# Figures Refer to previous period

: USA: Fed Funds Rate, UK: Official bank rate, Main refinancing operations (fixed rate), Japan: Uncollateralised Overnight rate, Germany: Main refinancing rate, South Korea:
Base Rate, China: One year Lending rate, India: Repo Rate
&: US Treasury Securities Holding of Germany
^: September 2013
Source: Respective countries central bank.

Key Macroeconomic
Indicators

80

CCIL

OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT


TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT

Sr.
No.

Security

ISIN No.

Issue
Date

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
(` Crore)
zation
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Modified
Previous
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Convexity
Duration
Yield
Duration
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Yield (%)
for
100bps
(%)

Expected
Price
price Change
Actual
Change
for a 100bps
Due to
Change
rise in
for 100pbs PV01
Convexity
yield due to
for
increase in
Duration and
100bps
yield
Convexity
(%)
Effect(%)

Central Government Securities


99.25 8.7800% 8.5366%

0.2111

0.20

100.58

101.00

0.09

-0.20

0.00

-0.20

-0.21 0.00

15273.60

15189 6.72% 99.45 8.9874% 8.8664%

0.2333

0.22

101.01

101.47

0.10

-0.22

0.00

-0.22

-0.23 0.00

16-Apr-02 16-Apr-14 16-Apr-14

42000.00

41781 7.37%

99.48 8.7168% 8.8117%

0.3778

0.36

100.01

100.75

0.27

-0.36

0.00

-0.36

-0.36 0.00

IN0020090018 6.07% GS 2014

15-May-09 15-May-14 15-May-14

40000.00

39495 6.07% 98.74 8.9127% 8.4878%

0.4583

0.44

98.56

99.43

0.39

-0.44

0.00

-0.44

-0.44 0.00

IN0019830010 10% 2014

30-May-83 30-May-14 30-May-14

2333.26

IN0020090067 7.32% 2014

20-Oct-09 20-Oct-14 20-Apr-14

18000.00

IN0019840084 10.50% 2014

29-Oct-84 29-Oct-14 29-Apr-14

IN0020080043 7.56% G.S. 2014

IN0020030105 5.32% 2014

16-Feb-04 16-Feb-14 16-Feb-14

5000.00

IN0020020221 6.72% 2014 (Pvt. Placement)

24-Feb-03 24-Feb-14 24-Feb-14

IN0020020049 7.37% 2014

4963 5.32%

0.48

100.01

100.97

0.46

-0.48

0.00

-0.48

-0.48 0.00

0.8711

0.83

98.81

100.47

1.10

-0.83

0.01

-0.83

-0.83 0.01

1755.10

1782 10.50% 101.54 8.6962% 8.4322%

0.8892

0.85

101.57

103.32

1.15

-0.85

0.01

-0.85

-0.85 0.01

03-Nov-08 03-Nov-14 3-May-14

41000.00

40563 7.56% 98.93 8.7737% 8.5145%

0.9067

0.87

98.64

100.37

1.18

-0.87

0.01

-0.86

-0.86 0.01

IN0019990137 11.83% 2014

12-Nov-99 12-Nov-14 12-May-14

11500.00

11819 11.83% 102.78 8.7088% 8.4509%

0.9225

0.88

102.46

104.29

1.22

-0.88

0.01

-0.88

-0.88 0.01

10

IN0020000132 10.47% 2015

12-Feb-01 12-Feb-15 12-Feb-14

6430.00

6555 10.47% 101.95 8.7028% 8.4340%

1.1276

1.08

103.96

106.23

1.74

-1.08

0.01

-1.07

-1.07 0.01

11

IN0020000033 10.79% 2015

19-May-00 19-May-15 19-May-14

2683.45

2762 10.79% 102.92 8.6293% 8.3749%

1.3952

1.34

101.88

104.64

2.48

-1.34

0.01

-1.33

-1.33 0.01

12

IN0019850034 11.50% 2015

21-May-85 21-May-15 21-May-14

3560.50

3699 11.50% 103.88 8.6398% 8.3746%

1.3966

1.34

102.78

105.57

2.49

-1.34

0.01

-1.33

-1.33 0.01

13

IN0020090026 6.49% 2015

08-Jun-09 08-Jun-15

8-Dec-13

40000.00

38880 6.49%

97.20 8.4874% 8.3688%

1.4279

1.37

98.94

101.69

2.63

-1.37

0.01

-1.36

-1.36 0.01

14

IN0020100023 7.17% GOVT.STOCK 2015

14-Jun-10 14-Jun-15 14-Dec-13

56000.00

55017 7.17% 98.24 8.4064% 8.3535%

1.4361

1.38

100.16

102.96

2.66

-1.38

0.01

-1.36

-1.36 0.01

15

IN0020000090 11.43% 2015 (Pvt. Placement)

07-Aug-00 07-Aug-15

7-Feb-14

12000.00

12510 11.43% 104.25 8.6503% 8.3827%

1.5339

1.47

106.27

109.44

3.01

-1.47

0.02

-1.46

-1.46 0.02

16

IN0020020130 7.38% 2015

03-Sep-02 03-Sep-15

3-Mar-14

63000.00

61819 7.38%

98.13 8.5384% 8.7490%

1.6528

1.59

98.34

101.51

3.38

-1.59

0.02

-1.57

-1.57 0.02

17

IN0020010099 9.85% 2015

16-Oct-01 16-Oct-15 16-Apr-14

10000.00

10203 9.85% 102.03 8.6451% 8.3770%

1.7429

1.67

101.53

104.98

3.72

-1.67

0.02

-1.65

-1.65 0.02

18

IN0020060219 7.59% 2016

12-Apr-06 12-Apr-16 12-Apr-14

68000.00

66834 7.59%

98.29 8.3969% 8.7658%

2.1886

2.10

97.24

101.41

5.64

-2.10

0.03

-2.07

-2.07 0.02

19

IN0020010016 10.71% 2016

19-Apr-01 19-Apr-16 19-Apr-14

9000.00

9390 10.71% 104.34 8.6502% 8.3914%

2.1506

2.06

103.41

107.76

5.52

-2.06

0.03

-2.03

-2.03 0.02

20

IN0020040013 5.59% 2016

04-Jun-04 04-Jun-16

4-Dec-13

6000.00

5592 5.59%

93.20 8.6598% 8.3866%

2.3045

2.21

93.85

98.08

6.25

-2.21

0.03

-2.18

-2.18 0.02

21

IN0019990129 12.30% 2016 (On Tap)

02-Jul-99

02-Jul-16

2-Jan-14

13129.85

14217 12.30% 108.28 8.6532% 8.4003%

2.2066

2.12

110.97

115.77

6.01

-2.12

0.03

-2.09

-2.09 0.02

81

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

outstanding
government debt

0.5000

98.82 8.7128% 8.4393%

2345 10.00% 100.49 8.9864% 8.4729%


17788 7.32%

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

ISIN No.

Security

Issue
Date

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
zation
(` Crore)
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Previous
Modified
Yield
Duration
Convexity
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Duration
Yield (%)
for
100bps
(%)

Expected
Price
price Change
Actual
Change
for a 100bps
Due to
Change
rise in
for 100pbs PV01
Convexity
yield due to
for
increase in
Duration and
100bps
yield
Convexity
(%)
Effect(%)

22

IN0020090059 7.02% 2016

17-Aug-09 17-Aug-16 17-Feb-14

60000.00

58033 7.02% 96.72 8.3883% 8.4098%

2.4655

2.37

96.43

101.10

7.11

-2.37

0.04

-2.33

-2.33 0.02

23

IN0020010107 8.07% 2017

15-Jan-02 15-Jan-17

15-Jan-14

69000.00

68034 8.07% 98.60 8.5843% 8.2343%

2.7396

2.63

99.00

104.34

8.81

-2.63

0.04

-2.58

-2.58 0.03

24

IN0020020031 7.49% 2017

16-Apr-02 16-Apr-17 16-Apr-14

58000.00

56001 7.49%

96.55 8.6840% 8.4688%

3.0131

2.89

94.70

100.33

10.34

-2.89

0.05

-2.84

-2.84 0.03

25

IN0020120021 8.07% 2017

03-Jul-12

03-Jul-17

3-Jan-14

50000.00

49335 8.07%

98.67 8.5033% 8.3925%

3.0845

2.96

99.00

105.04

11.13

-2.96

0.06

-2.90

-2.90 0.03

26

IN0020070010 7.99% 2017

09-Jul-07

09-Jul-17

9-Jan-14

71000.00

69468 7.99%

97.84 8.6948% 8.7583%

3.1029

2.97

98.02

104.03

11.22

-2.97

0.06

-2.92

-2.92 0.03

27

IN0020020098 7.46% 2017

28-Aug-02 28-Aug-17 28-Feb-14

57886.80

55603 7.46%

96.05 8.7112% 8.8663%

3.2638

3.13

94.96

101.09

12.20

-3.13

0.06

-3.07

-3.07 0.03

28

IN0020020163 6.25% 2018

02-Jan-03 02-Jan-18

2-Jan-14

16886.80

15466 6.25%

91.59 8.7377% 8.5413%

3.5504

3.40

91.02

97.43

14.38

-3.40

0.07

-3.33

-3.33 0.03

29

IN0020110014 7.83% G.S. 2018

11-Apr-11 11-Apr-18 11-Apr-14

73000.00

70870 7.83% 97.08 8.6422% 8.5289%

3.7309

3.58

94.71

101.74

15.83

-3.58

0.08

-3.50

-3.50 0.04

30

IN0020080019 8.24% GOVT. STOCK 2018

22-Apr-08 22-Apr-18 22-Apr-14

75000.00

73653 8.24%

98.20 8.7368% 8.5744%

3.7372

3.58

95.60

102.70

15.90

-3.58

0.08

-3.50

-3.50 0.04

31

IN0020010024 10.45% 2018

30-Apr-01 30-Apr-18 30-Apr-14

3716.00

3944 10.45% 106.14 8.7404% 8.5522%

3.6464

3.49

103.35

110.83

15.40

-3.49

0.08

-3.42

-3.42 0.04

32

IN0020030063 5.69% 2018 (conv)

25-Sep-03 25-Sep-18 25-Mar-14

16130.00

14205 5.69%

88.07 8.7764% 8.5984%

4.1933

4.02

85.60

92.76

19.58

-4.02

0.10

-3.92

-3.92 0.04

33

IN0019980286 12.60% 2018 (On Tap)

23-Nov-98 23-Nov-18 23-May-14

12631.88

14549 12.60% 115.17 8.7729% 8.6221%

3.9249

3.76

111.18

119.86

18.09

-3.76

0.09

-3.67

-3.67 0.04

34

IN0020030097 5.64% 2019

02-Jan-04 02-Jan-19

2-Jan-14

10000.00

8705 5.64%

87.05 8.8545% 8.6501%

4.3285

4.15

85.75

93.17

21.17

-4.15

0.11

-4.04

-4.04 0.04

35

IN0020080068 6.05% 2019

02-Feb-09 02-Feb-19

2-Feb-14

53000.00

46914 6.05%

88.52 8.8619% 8.6590%

4.3727

4.19

86.81

94.39

21.62

-4.19

0.11

-4.08

-4.08 0.04

36

IN0020130038 7.28% GS 2019

03-Jun-13 03-Jun-19

3-Dec-13

40000.00

37381 7.28%

93.45 8.8051% 8.6325%

4.4297

4.24

93.02

101.26

22.92

-4.24

0.11

-4.13

-4.13 0.04

37

IN0020030048 6.05% 2019 (conv)

12-Jun-03 12-Jun-19 12-Dec-13

11000.00

9664 6.05%

87.86 8.8740% 8.6783%

4.5772

4.38

86.81

94.76

23.97

-4.38

0.12

-4.26

-4.27 0.04

38

IN0020090042 6.90% 2019

13-Jul-09

13-Jul-19

13-Jan-14

45000.00

41169 6.90%

91.49 8.8525% 8.6807%

4.5762

4.38

90.10

98.35

24.12

-4.38

0.12

-4.26

-4.26 0.04

39

IN0020010065 10.03% 2019

09-Aug-01 09-Aug-19

9-Feb-14

6000.00

6303 10.03% 105.05 8.8755% 8.6799%

4.3807

4.19

103.72

112.80

22.82

-4.19

0.11

-4.08

-4.08 0.05

40

IN0020020171 6.35% 2020

02-Jan-03 02-Jan-20

2-Jan-14

61000.00

53777 6.35%

88.16 8.9093% 8.7227%

4.9260

4.72

86.61

95.18

27.90

-4.72

0.14

-4.58

-4.58 0.04

41

IN0020110071 8.19% G.S. 2020

16-Jan-12 16-Jan-20

16-Jan-14

74000.00

71484 8.42% 96.60 9.1523% 9.2337%

4.7351

4.53

95.35

104.38

26.44

-4.53

0.13

-4.40

-4.40 0.05

42

IN0020000025 10.70% 2020

22-Apr-00 22-Apr-20 22-Apr-14

6000.00

6514 10.70% 108.57 8.9091% 8.7235%

4.8157

4.61

104.79

114.91

27.48

-4.61

0.14

-4.47

-4.48 0.05

43

IN0020100015 7.80% G.S. 2020

3-May-10 3-May-20

3-May-14

60000.00

56770 7.80%

94.62 8.9166% 8.7341%

5.1026

4.88

90.69

100.00

29.88

-4.88

0.15

-4.74

-4.74 0.05

44

IN0020120054 8.12% Govt Stock 2020

10-Dec-12 10-Dec-20 10-Dec-13

65000.00

62507 8.12% 96.16 8.8641% 8.7182%

5.2470

5.02

95.14

105.19

33.04

-5.02

0.17

-4.86

-4.86 0.05

outstanding
government debt

82

CCIL

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

Security

ISIN No.

Issue
Date

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
(` Crore)
zation
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Previous
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Modified
Convexity
Duration
Yield
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Yield (%)
Duration
for
100bps
(%)

Price
Change
Due to
Convexity
for
100bps
(%)

Expected
price Change
Actual
for a 100bps
Change
rise in
for 100pbs PV01
yield due to
increase in
Duration and
yield
Convexity
Effect(%)

IN0020000124 11.60% 2020

27-Dec-00 27-Dec-20 27-Dec-13

5000.00

5679 11.60% 113.58 8.9639% 8.7696%

4.9412

4.73

113.08

124.30

30.39

-4.73

0.15

-4.58

-4.58 0.06

46

IN0020110022 7.80% G.S. 2021

11-Apr-11 11-Apr-21 11-Apr-14

68000.00

63699 7.80%

93.67 8.9897% 8.8018%

5.6150

5.37

89.82

100.01

36.79

-5.37

0.18

-5.19

-5.19 0.05

47

IN0020060318 7.94% G.S. 2021

24-May-06 24-May-21 24-May-14

49000.00

46225 7.94%

94.34 8.9956% 8.8088%

5.7169

5.47

89.48

99.82

37.92

-5.47

0.19

-5.28

-5.29 0.05

48

IN0020010040 10.25% 2021

30-May-01 30-May-21 30-May-14

26213.32

27996 10.25% 106.80 8.9844% 8.7953%

5.4853

5.25

101.38

112.60

35.74

-5.25

0.18

-5.07

-5.08 0.06

49

IN0020110030 8.79% G.S. 2021

08-Nov-11 8-Nov-21

8-May-14

83000.00

81834 8.79% 98.59 9.0400% 8.7810%

5.8308

5.58

93.80

104.87

40.25

-5.58

0.20

-5.38

-5.38 0.06

50

IN0020060037 8.20% Government Stock 2022

15-Feb-07 15-Feb-22 15-Feb-14

57632.33

54448 8.20%

94.47 9.1686% 8.9689%

5.9175

5.66

91.58

102.56

42.13

-5.66

0.21

-5.45

-5.45 0.05

51

IN0020020072 8.35% 2022

14-May-02 14-May-22 14-May-14

44000.00

42241 8.35%

96.00 9.0350% 8.8553%

6.1545

5.89

90.91

102.27

44.92

-5.89

0.22

-5.66

-5.67 0.06

52

IN0020120013 8.15% 2022

11-Jun-12 11-Jun-22 11-Dec-13

83000.00

74966 8.15% 90.32 9.8528% 8.8521%

5.9276

5.65

89.02

99.67

43.18

-5.65

0.22

-5.43

-5.44 0.05

53

IN0020070028 8.08% Government Stock 2022

02-Aug-07 02-Aug-22 2-Feb-14

61969.41

58402 8.08%

94.24 9.0488% 8.8703%

6.1513

5.88

91.41

102.82

45.94

-5.88

0.23

-5.66

-5.66 0.06

54

IN0020039031 5.87% 2022 (conv)

28-Aug-03 28-Aug-22 28-Feb-14

11000.00

8910 5.87%

81.00 9.0595% 8.8845%

6.6078

6.32

77.49

87.93

50.94

-6.32

0.25

-6.07

-6.07 0.05

55

IN0020070051 8.13% 2022

21-Sep-07 21-Sep-22 21-Mar-14

70495.28

66594 8.13%

94.47 9.0514% 8.8783%

6.2797

6.01

90.48

102.03

47.47

-6.01

0.24

-5.77

-5.78 0.06

56

IN0020030014 6.30% 2023

09-Apr-03 09-Apr-23 9-Apr-14

13000.00

10753 6.30%

82.71 9.0784% 8.9063%

6.8881

6.59

78.32

89.36

55.86

-6.59

0.28

-6.31

-6.32 0.06

57

IN0020130012 7.16% GOVT STOCK 2023

20-May-13 20-May-23 20-May-14

77000.00

68059 7.16% 88.39 9.0074% 8.5971%

6.8441

6.55

83.02

94.64

55.53

-6.55

0.28

-6.27

-6.28 0.06

58

IN0020030055 6.17% 2023

12-Jun-03 12-Jun-23 12-Dec-13

14000.00

11431 6.17%

81.65 9.0878% 8.9165%

6.8323

6.54

79.24

90.30

56.35

-6.54

0.28

-6.25

-6.26 0.06

59

IN0020130061 8.83% G.S. 223

25-Nov-13 25-Nov-23 25-May-14

7000.00

7049 8.83% 100.69 8.7241%

6.8396

6.55

94.49

107.72

57.05

-6.55

0.29

-6.27

-6.28 0.07

60

IN0020090034 7.35% 2024

22-Jun-09 22-Jun-24 22-Dec-13

10000.00

8865 7.35%

88.65 9.0397% 8.8771%

7.0562

6.75

85.95

98.37

62.30

-6.75

0.31

-6.44

-6.45 0.06

61

IN0020110048 9.15% G.S. 2024

14-Nov-11 14-Nov-24 14-May-14

92000.00

92736 9.15% 100.80 9.0323% 8.9683%

7.1296

6.82

94.61

108.44

63.40

-6.82

0.32

-6.50

-6.52 0.07

62

IN0020120047 8.20% G.S. 2025

24-Sep-12 24-Sep-25 24-Mar-14

90000.00

83904 8.20% 93.23 9.1466% 8.9813%

7.5107

7.18

88.25

101.88

71.48

-7.18

0.36

-6.82

-6.84 0.07

63

IN0020030071 5.97% 2025

25-Sep-03 25-Sep-25 25-Mar-14

16687.95

12969 5.97%

77.71 9.0821% 8.9248%

8.0434

7.69

73.03

85.18

79.16

-7.69

0.40

-7.30

-7.31 0.06

64

IN0020120039 8.33% G.S. 2026

09-Jul-12

9-Jan-14

90000.00

84554 8.33% 93.95 9.1463% 8.9825%

7.6198

7.29

90.48

104.68

76.06

-7.29

0.38

-6.91

-6.92 0.07

65

IN0020010081 10.18% 2026

11-Sep-01 11-Sep-26 11-Mar-14

15000.00

16236 10.18% 108.24 9.0736% 8.9133%

7.4851

7.16

102.96

118.81

73.87

-7.16

0.37

-6.79

-6.81 0.08

66

IN0020060078 8.24% Government Stock 2027

15-Feb-07 15-Feb-27 15-Feb-14

63388.55

59419 8.24% 93.74 9.0596% 9.1630%

7.9169

7.57

89.24

103.83

82.07

-7.57

0.41

-7.16

-7.18 0.07

83

CCIL

09-Jul-26

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

outstanding
government debt

45

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

ISIN No.

Security

Issue
Date

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
(` Crore)
zation
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Modified
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Previous
Convexity
Duration
Yield
Duration
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Yield (%)
for
100bps
(%)

Price
Change
Due to
Convexity
for
100bps
(%)

Expected
price Change
Actual
for a 100bps
Change
rise in
for 100pbs PV01
yield due to
increase in
Duration and
yield
Convexity
Effect(%)

67

IN0020070036 8.26% Government Stock 2027

2-Aug-07 2-Aug-27

2-Feb-14

73427.33

68412 8.26%

93.17 9.1425% 9.0987%

8.0112

7.66

88.92

103.65

85.05

-7.66

0.43

-7.24

-7.25 0.07

68

IN0020070069 8.28% 2027

21-Sep-07 21-Sep-27 21-Mar-14

68252.24

64017 8.28% 93.80 9.0743% 8.8373%

8.1592

7.81

88.34

103.26

87.35

-7.81

0.44

-7.37

-7.39 0.07

69

IN0020020247 6.01% 2028

07-Aug-03 25-Mar-28 25-Mar-14

15000.00

11301 6.01%

75.34 9.1278% 8.9745%

8.9048

8.52

70.29

83.34

101.51

-8.52

0.51

-8.01

-8.03 0.07

70

IN0020030022 6.13% 2028

04-Jun-03 04-Jun-28

4-Dec-13

11000.00

8374 6.13%

76.13 9.1307% 8.9772%

8.7068

8.33

72.92

86.13

100.04

-8.33

0.50

-7.83

-7.85 0.07

71

IN0020130053 9.20% GOVT. STOCK 2030

30-Sep-13 30-Sep-30 31-Mar-14

11000.00

11102 9.20% 100.92 9.0892% 8.9084%

8.7758

8.39

94.38

111.63

106.71

-8.39

0.53

-7.86

-7.89 0.09

72

IN0020110055 8.97% G.S. 2030

05-Dec-11 05-Dec-30 5-Dec-13

90000.00

88780 8.97% 98.64 9.1281% 9.0548%

8.5979

8.22

91.99

108.98

108.81

-8.22

0.54

-7.68

-7.96 0.08

73

IN0020060086 8.28% Government Stock 2032

15-Feb-07 15-Feb-32 15-Feb-14

90687.11

83477 8.28%

92.05 9.1844% 9.0425%

9.1222

8.72

86.75

103.29

118.24

-8.72

0.59

-8.13

-8.16 0.08

74

IN0020070044 8.32% Government Stock 2032

2-Aug-07 2-Aug-32

2-Feb-14

54434.05

50381 8.32% 92.55 9.1571% 9.0503%

9.1831

8.78

87.46

104.26

121.02

-8.78

0.61

-8.18

-8.21 0.08

75

IN0020020106 7.95% 2032

28-Aug-02 28-Aug-32 28-Feb-14

59000.00

52716 7.95%

89.35 9.1457% 8.9956%

9.3463

8.94

83.75

100.15

124.28

-8.94

0.62

-8.32

-8.35 0.08

76

IN0020070077 8.33% 2032

21-Sep-07 21-Sep-32 21-Mar-14

1522.48

1412 8.33%

92.75 9.1423% 8.9919%

9.3230

8.92

86.48

103.37

123.48

-8.92

0.62

-8.30

-8.33 0.08

77

IN0020040039 7.50% 2034

10-Aug-04 10-Aug-34 10-Feb-14

60000.00

50889 7.50%

84.81 9.1455% 8.9986%

9.7476

9.32

79.56

95.87

139.13

-9.32

0.70

-8.63

-8.67 0.08

78

IN0020050012 7.40% 2035

09-Sep-05 09-Sep-35 9-Mar-14

52000.00

43461 7.40%

83.58 9.1501% 9.0038%

9.9965

9.56

77.69

94.06

147.42

-9.56

0.74

-8.82

-8.87 0.08

79

IN0020060045 8.33% 2036

07-Jun-06 07-Jun-36

7-Dec-13

86000.00

79327 8.33%

92.24 9.1488% 9.0020%

9.6510

9.23

88.01

105.86

142.83

-9.23

0.71

-8.51

-8.56 0.09

80

IN0020080050 6.83% G.S. 2039

19-Jan-09 19-Jan-39 19-Jan-14

13000.00

10048 6.83%

77.29 9.1519% 9.0090% 10.4074

9.95

72.46

88.43

168.41

-9.95

0.84

-9.11

-9.17 0.08

81

IN0020100031 8.30% G.S. 2040

02-Jul-10

2-Jan-14

72000.00

65939 8.30%

91.58 9.1473% 9.0038% 10.1493

9.71

86.50

105.05

164.53

-9.71

0.82

-8.88

-8.94 0.09

82

IN0020110063 8.83% G.S. 2041

12-Dec-11 12-Dec-41 12-Dec-13

90000.00

86744 8.83% 96.38 9.1911% 9.0503% 10.0913

9.65

91.58

111.09

166.21

-9.65

0.83

-8.82

-8.88 0.10

83

IN0020120062 8.30% GOVT STOCK 2042

31-Dec-12 31-Dec-42 31-Dec-13

49000.00

44734 8.30% 91.29 9.1599% 9.0354% 10.3259

9.87

86.16

105.00

174.75

-9.87

0.87

-9.00

-9.06 0.09

02-Jul-40

3404627.28 3221632.61

5.8020

outstanding
government debt

84

CCIL

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

16
17

Security

Special Securities
7.61% Oil Marketing Companies GOI
IN0020050061
Special Bonds, 2015
7.59% Oil Marketing Companies GOI
IN0020050095
Special Bonds, 2015
IN0020009018 11.50% GOI (IIBI) Spl Securities 2021
8.01% Postal Life Insurance Government of
IN0020109016
India Special Security 2021
8.13% Oil Marketing Companies
IN0020060094
Government of India Special Bonds, 2021
IN0020019017 9.75% GOI (IFCI) SPL SEC 2021
7.75% Oil Marketing Companies
IN0020060128
Government of India Special Bonds, 2021
8.15% Government of India FCI Special
IN0020060110
Bonds, 2022
IN0020089028 7% FERT COS GOI SPL BOND 2022
6.20% Fertilizer Companies Government
IN0020089044
of India Special Bonds, 2022
6.65% Fertilizer Companies Government of
IN0020089051
India Special Bonds, 2023
8.08% Postal Life Insurance Government of
IN0020109024
India Special Security 2023
8.20% Oil Marketing Companies
IN0020089010
Government of India Special Bonds 2023
8.30% Fertilizer Companies GOI Special
IN0020079011
Bonds, 2023
8.01% Oil Marketing Companies
IN0020060052
Government of India Special Bonds, 2023
8.20% Oil Marketing Companies
IN0020060060
Government of India Special Bonds, 2024
8.35% SBI Rights Issue Government of
IN0020079045
India Special Bonds, 2024

85

CCIL

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
(` Crore) zation
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Convexity
for 100bps
(%)

Expected
price Change
Actual
for a 100bps
Change
rise in yield
for 100pbs
due to
increase in
Duration and
yield
Convexity
Effect(%)

07-Mar-06 07-Mar-15 7-Mar-14

1750.00

1726 7.61%

98.62 8.7633% 8.4782%

1.16

99.22

101.55

1.95

-1.16

0.01

-1.15

-1.15

0.01

23-Mar-06 23-Mar-15 23-Mar-14

1750.00

1725 7.59%

98.56 8.7564% 8.4712%

1.21

98.78

101.19

2.07

-1.21

0.01

-1.20

-1.20

0.01

30-Mar-01 30-Mar-21 30-Mar-14

100.00

113 11.50% 113.24 8.9903% 8.8138%

4.98

109.60

121.09

32.97

-4.98

0.16

-4.82

-4.82

0.06

31-Mar-11 31-Mar-21 31-Mar-14

4000.00

3789 8.01%

94.71 9.0066% 8.8332%

5.32

91.11

101.34

36.21

-5.32

0.18

-5.14

-5.14

0.05

16-Oct-06 16-Oct-21 16-Apr-14

5000.00

4749 8.13%

94.99 9.0302% 8.8616%

5.60

90.79

101.55

40.40

-5.60

0.20

-5.40

-5.40

0.05

30-Oct-01 30-Oct-21 30-Apr-14

400.00

416 9.75% 104.03 9.0240% 8.8540%

5.45

99.32

110.77

38.93

-5.45

0.19

-5.26

-5.26

0.06

28-Nov-06 28-Nov-21 28-May-14

5000.00

4640 7.75%

92.79 9.0350% 8.8678%

5.76

87.68

98.38

42.22

-5.76

0.21

-5.55

-5.55

0.05

16-Oct-06 16-Oct-22 16-Apr-14

5000.00

4724 8.15%

94.47 9.0670% 9.1996%

6.07

89.90

101.50

48.25

-6.07

0.24

-5.83

-5.84

0.06

10-Dec-08 10-Dec-22 10-Dec-13

6071.51

5304 7.00%

87.35 9.0819% 8.9220%

6.14

85.31

96.46

50.14

-6.14

0.25

-5.89

-5.90

0.06

24-Dec-08 24-Dec-22 24-Dec-13

491.41

405 6.20%

82.41 9.0873% 8.9288%

6.33

79.93

90.72

52.34

-6.33

0.26

-6.07

-6.07

0.05

29-Jan-09 29-Jan-23 29-Jan-14

1710.93

1455 6.65%

85.04 9.0869% 8.9284%

6.34

81.97

93.04

52.55

-6.34

0.26

-6.07

-6.08

0.06

31-Mar-11 31-Mar-23 31-Mar-14

3000.00

2812 8.08%

93.74 9.0852% 8.9257%

6.26

89.38

101.30

51.82

-6.26

0.26

-6.00

-6.01

0.06

10-Nov-08 10-Nov-23 10-May-14

22000.00

20713 8.20%

94.15 9.1056% 8.9487%

6.56

88.66

101.08

57.03

-6.56

0.29

-6.27

-6.28

0.06

7-Dec-07 7-Dec-23

7-Dec-13

3880.00

3677 8.30%

94.77 9.1070% 8.9500%

6.33

92.76

105.29

55.38

-6.33

0.28

-6.06

-6.07

0.06

15-Dec-06 15-Dec-23 15-Dec-13

4150.00

3854 8.01%

92.86 9.1089% 8.9524%

6.40

90.61

102.99

56.27

-6.40

0.28

-6.12

-6.13

0.06

12-Feb-07 12-Feb-24 12-Feb-14

5000.00

4699 8.20%

93.98 9.1158% 8.9596%

6.52

90.42

103.02

57.88

-6.52

0.29

-6.23

-6.24

0.06

27-Mar-08 27-Mar-24 27-Mar-14

9996.01

9490 8.35%

94.94 9.1136% 8.9578%

6.62

90.30

103.07

59.20

-6.62

0.30

-6.32

-6.33

0.06

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

outstanding
government debt

15

ISIN No.

Issue
Date

Price
Change
Due to
Previous
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Modified
Yield
Duration
Convexity
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Yield (%)
Duration
for
100bps
(%)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

Security

ISIN No.

18

IN0020099019

19

IN0020060011

20

IN0020089036

21

IN0020079029

22

IN0020079052

23

IN0020089069

24

IN0020079037

25

IN0020089077

26

IN0020060102

27

IN0020060029

Issue
Date

8.20% Oil Marketing Companies


Government of India Special Bonds, 2024
8.03% Government of India FCI Special
Bonds, 2024
6.35% Oil Marketing Companies
Government of India Special Bonds, 2024
7.95% Oil Marketing Companies
Government of India Special Bonds 2025
8.40% Oil Marketing Companies
Government of India Special Bonds, 2025
6.90% OIL MKTG COS GOI SB 2026
7.95% Fertilizer Companies Government of
India Special Bonds, 2026
8.00% OIL MKT COS GOI SB 2026
8.40% Oil Marketing Companies
Government of India Special Bonds, 2026
8.23% Government of India FCI Special
Bonds, 2027

Market
Next
Outstanding CapitaliMaturity
Coupon
Coupon Prices
(` Crore) zation
Date
date
(` Crore)

Price
Change
Due to
Modified
Mod V+ (for V- (for
Previous
Convexity
Duration
Yield
Duration 100bps) 100bps)
Duration
Yield (%)
for
100bps
(%)

10306.33

9656 8.20%

93.69 9.1285% 8.9744%

6.80

89.20

102.20

63.09

-6.80

0.32

-6.49

-6.50

0.06

15-Dec-06 15-Dec-24 15-Dec-13

5000.00

4620 8.03%

92.40 9.1362% 8.9829%

6.78

89.87

102.91

64.14

-6.78

0.32

-6.46

-6.47

0.07

23-Dec-08 23-Dec-24 23-Dec-13

22000.00

17769 6.35%

80.77 9.1495% 9.0539%

7.15

77.84

89.81

69.31

-7.15

0.35

-6.80

-6.81

0.06

18-Jan-08 18-Jan-25 18-Jan-14

11256.92

10330 7.95%

91.77 9.1412% 8.9882%

6.88

88.47

101.52

65.57

-6.88

0.33

-6.55

-6.56

0.07

28-Mar-08 28-Mar-25 28-Mar-14

9296.92

8816 8.40%

94.83 9.1392% 8.9864%

6.98

89.86

103.33

67.10

-6.98

0.34

-6.65

-6.66

0.07

04-Feb-09 04-Feb-26

4-Feb-14

21942.00

18312 6.90% 83.45 9.1825% 9.0732%

7.48

79.59

92.44

77.60

-7.48

0.39

-7.10

-7.11

0.06

18-Feb-08 18-Feb-26 18-Feb-14

3550.87

3236 7.95%

91.14 9.1676% 9.0171%

7.30

86.91

100.57

74.74

-7.30

0.37

-6.92

-6.94

0.07

23-Mar-09 23-Mar-26 23-Mar-14

10000.00

9149 8.00%

91.49 9.1641% 9.0139%

7.38

86.46

100.21

76.01

-7.38

0.38

-7.00

-7.02

0.07

29-Mar-07 29-Mar-26 29-Mar-14

4971.00

4694 8.40%

94.43 9.1603% 9.0097%

7.32

89.18

103.25

75.08

-7.32

0.38

-6.95

-6.96

0.07

12-Feb-07 12-Feb-27 12-Feb-14

6200.00

5751 8.23%

92.76 9.1845% 9.0354%

7.54

88.43

102.81

81.50

-7.54

0.41

-7.13

-7.15

0.07

Note: Prices in Bold are Last traded prices on November 30, 2013. Other prices are CCIL Model Prices
Duration is calculated considering November 30, 2013 as settlement date.
Duration
1 + Yield/2

2 V+ denotes the price due to 100 bps increase in yield; V- denotes the price due to 100 bps decrease in yield.
3

Convexity =

(V - ) + (V + ) - 2P0
P0 x (0.01 )
2

Where P0 denotes the current price before any change in yield.

4 Price Change Due to Modified Duration for 100bps (%) = Dur mod x ( 0 . 01) x 100 (A)
2
5 Price Change Due to Convexity for 100bps (%) = Convexity x ( 0 . 01) x 100 (B)
6 Expected price Change due to Duration and Convexity Effect (%) = (A) + (B)
7

Actual Change for 100bps (%) =

Expected
price Change
Actual
for a 100bps
Change
rise in yield
for 100pbs
due to
increase in
Duration and
yield
Convexity
Effect(%)

15-Sep-09 15-Sep-24 15-Mar-14

183823.91 166622.88

1 Modified Duration =

Price
Change
Due to
Convexity
for 100bps
(%)

V + - P0
x 100
P0

8 PV01 denotes the difference between the actual price and the price of the security for 1 bp change in the yield.

6.9968

outstanding
government debt

86

CCIL

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Contd.)


Sr.
No.

ISIN No.

Security

Issue
Date

Maturity Outstanding
(` Crore)
Date

Market
Capitalization
(` Crore)

Prices

Floating Rate / Inflation Linked Bonds


1

IN0020032010

FRB 2014 (7.54% - 364 day T-Bill)

IN0020042027

FRB 2015 (7.57% - 364 day T-Bill)

20-May-03 20-May-14

5000.00

4963

99.26

02-Jul-15

6000.00

5950

99.17

IN0020042035

FRB 2015 (II) (9.77% - 364 day T-Bill) 09-Aug-04 10-Aug-15

6000.00

6044

100.74

IN0020042019

FRB 2016 (7.62% - 364 day T-Bills)

6000.00

5947

99.11

IN0020022011

FRB 2017 (7.73% - 364 day T-Bills)

02-Jul-02

02-Jul-17

3000.00

3009

100.29

IN0020092071

FRB 2020 (7.34% - 182 day T-Bills)

21-Dec-09 21-Dec-20

13000.00

12855

98.89

IN0020130046

1.44% IIGS 2023

05-Jun-13 05-Jun-23

6000.00

4963

82.71

IN0020042050

FRB 2035 (7.17%- reset every 5 years)

25-Jan-05 25-Jan-35

350.00

344

98.21

45350.00

44074.80

01-Jul-04

07-May-04 07-May-16

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

12-Dec-12 12-Dec-13

5006.50

4995

99.77

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

26-Dec-12 26-Dec-13

5000.00

4968

99.36

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

09-Jan-13 09-Jan-14

5008.00

4955

98.94

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

23-Jan-13 23-Jan-14

5000.00

4935

98.69

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

06-Feb-13 06-Feb-14

5000.00

4916

98.32

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

20-Feb-13 20-Feb-14

5001.25

4906

98.10

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

06-Mar-13 06-Mar-14

5003.75

4892

97.77

IN002012Z029 364 DTB

20-Mar-13 20-Mar-14

5002.25

4865

97.25

IN002013Z027 364 DTB

03-Apr-13 03-Apr-14

5011.00

4862

97.03

10

IN002013Z027 364 DTB

17-Apr-13 17-Apr-14

5004.00

4844

96.80

11

IN002013Z035 364 DTB

30-Apr-13 01-May-14

5002.50

4825

96.45

12

IN002013Z043 364 DTB

15-May-13 15-May-14

5001.00

4808

96.14

13

IN002013Z050 364 DTB

29-May-13 29-May-14

5000.00

4791

95.83

14

IN002013Z068 364 DTB

12-Jun-13 12-Jun-14

5000.00

4776

95.51

15

IN002013Z076 364 DTB

26-Jun-13 26-Jun-14

5686.00

5410

95.15

16

IN002013Z084 364 DTB

10-Jul-13

10-Jul-14

5013.00

4757

94.89

17

IN002013Z092 364 DTB

24-Jul-13

24-Jul-14

5007.00

4734

94.54

18

IN002013Z100 364 DTB

07-Aug-13 07-Aug-14

5145.30

4853

94.33

19

IN002013Z118 364 DTB

21-Aug-13 21-Aug-14

5051.28

4747

93.98

20

IN002013Z126 364 DTB

04-Sep-13 04-Sep-14

5007.30

4688

93.63

21

IN002013Z134 364 DTB

18-Sep-13 18-Sep-14

5015.00

4681

93.33

22

IN002013Z142 364 DTB

01-Oct-13 02-Oct-14

6000.00

5582

93.04

23

IN002013Z159 364 DTB

15-Oct-13 16-Oct-14

6000.00

5562

92.70

24

IN002013Z167 364 DTB

30-Oct-13 30-Oct-14

6000.00

5548

92.47

25

IN002013Z175 364 DTB

14-Nov-13 13-Nov-14

4901.00

4519

92.20

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Treasury Bills

87

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 3: OUTSTANDING GOVERNMENT DEBT (Concld.)

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Sr.
No.

88

ISIN No.

Security

Issue
Date

Maturity Outstanding
(` Crore)
Date

Market
Capitalization
(` Crore)

Prices

26

IN002013Z183 364 DTB

27-Nov-13 27-Nov-14

6000.00

5525

92.08

27

IN002013Y053 182 DTB

05-Jun-13 05-Dec-13

5001.25

4994

99.86

28

IN002013Y061 182 DTB

19-Jun-13 19-Dec-13

5001.00

4977

99.52

29

IN002013Y079 182 DTB

03-Jul-13 02-Jan-14

5000.25

4960

99.19

30

IN002013Y095 182 DTB

31-Jul-13 30-Jan-14

5114.25

5036

98.46

31

IN002013Y103 182 DTB

14-Aug-13 14-Feb-14

5000.00

4912

98.24

32

IN002013Y111 182 DTB

28-Aug-13 27-Feb-14

5400.55

5289

97.93

33

IN002013Y129 182 DTB

11-Sep-13 13-Mar-14

5002.00

4882

97.61

34

IN002013Y137 182 DTB

25-Sep-13 27-Mar-14

5579.53

5428

97.29

35

IN002013Y145 182 DTB

09-Oct-13 10-Apr-14

6000.65

5816

96.93

36

IN002013Y152 182 DTB

23-Oct-13 24-Apr-14

6000.00

5794

96.56

37

IN002013Y160 182 DTB

06-Nov-13 08-May-14

6000.00

5780

96.33

38

IN002013Y178 182 DTB

20-Nov-13 22-May-14

6000.00

5759

95.99

39

IN002013X220 91 DTB

04-Sep-13 05-Dec-13

13242.30

13233

99.93

40

IN002013X238 91 DTB

11-Sep-13 12-Dec-13

7716.00

7698

99.77

41

IN002013X246 91 DTB

18-Sep-13 19-Dec-13

11103.00

11050

99.53

42

IN002013X253 91 DTB

25-Sep-13 26-Dec-13

17359.31

17250

99.37

43

IN002013X261 91 DTB

01-Oct-13 02-Jan-14

12317.00

12218

99.19

44

IN002013X279 91 DTB

09-Oct-13 09-Jan-14

11079.00

10971

99.02

45

IN002013X287 91 DTB

15-Oct-13 16-Jan-14

6000.00

5931

98.86

46

IN002013X295 91 DTB

23-Oct-13 23-Jan-14

8907.00

8791

98.70

47

IN002013X303 91 DTB

30-Oct-13 30-Jan-14

12554.40

12380

98.61

48

IN002013X311 91 DTB

06-Nov-13 06-Feb-14

9510.00

9355

98.37

49

IN002013X329 91 DTB

13-Nov-13 13-Feb-14

8806.00

8653

98.26

50

IN002013X337 91 DTB

20-Nov-13 20-Feb-14

12806.00

12563

98.10

51

IN002013X345 91 DTB

27-Nov-13 27-Feb-14

17260.00

16902

97.93

348625.62

339568.92

Note: Prices in Bold are Last traded prices on November 29, 2013.
Other prices are CCIL Model Prices.

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 4: STATE DEVELOPMENT LOANS (SDLS)

Andhra Pradesh

No. of Bonds
No.

%Share

Outstanding (` Crore)
Value

%Share

Wtd. Avg.
Coupon (%)

Wtd. Avg.
Maturity (yrs.)

107

7.00

99641.40

10.28

8.33

7.56

Arunachal Pradesh

25

1.64

872.54

0.09

8.11

6.42

Assam

28

1.83

9453.00

0.98

8.15

5.39

Bihar

39

2.55

27284.33

2.82

8.35

7.61

Chhattisgarh

11

0.72

5377.93

0.55

8.11

8.61

Goa

36

2.36

4347.33

0.45

8.30

7.60

Gujarat

79

5.17

78596.91

8.11

8.34

7.53

Haryana

58

3.80

34239.46

3.53

8.47

8.32

Himachal Pradesh

56

3.66

12765.27

1.32

8.16

6.42

10

Jammu & Kashmir

55

3.60

16624.98

1.72

8.50

7.36

11

Jharkhand

39

2.55

12160.93

1.25

8.23

7.34

12

Karnataka

40

2.62

43931.21

4.53

8.37

6.88

13

Kerala

84

5.50

56283.33

5.81

8.40

7.70

14

Madhya Pradesh

45

2.95

32978.39

3.40

8.25

7.07

15

Maharashtra

82

5.37

115897.32

11.96

8.34

7.57

16

Manipur

32

2.09

2369.34

0.24

8.04

6.35

17

Meghalaya

44

2.88

2478.70

0.26

8.24

6.80

18

Mizoram

37

2.42

1724.44

0.18

8.23

6.80

19

Nagaland

46

3.01

4140.40

0.43

8.25

6.86

20

Orissa

10

0.65

2921.09

0.30

6.46

2.45

21

Puducherry

13

0.85

2622.06

0.27

8.51

7.57

22

Punjab

100

6.54

48118.32

4.96

8.38

7.63

23

Rajastan

95

6.22

49565.80

5.11

8.25

7.28

24

Sikkim

24

1.57

1406.14

0.15

7.98

6.05

25

Tamil Nadu

99

6.48

89752.56

9.26

8.27

7.79

26

Tripura

30

1.96

2310.42

0.24

8.13

7.06

27

Uttar Pradesh

79

5.17

87154.67

8.99

8.30

6.94

28

Uttaranchal

33

2.16

8430.44

0.87

8.11

6.60

29

West Bengal

102

6.68

115789.08

11.95

8.40

7.43

1528

100

969237.80

100.00

8.14

6.53

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

State/Union Territory

CCIL

Sr.
No.

89

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 5: OUTSTANDING - GOVERNMENT SECURITIES, TREASURY BILLS AND STATE DEVELOPMENT LOANS
Amount ` Crore

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Month

90

Government
Securities

Special
Securities

Floating Rate
Bonds

Treasury
Bills#

State Development
Loans*

Total

Apr-06

931868.00

41903.69

46350.00

67072.91

239804.87 1326999.46

May-06

940819.00

41903.69

46350.00

76150.24

240104.87 1345327.79

Jun-06

955689.00

41903.69

46350.00

76537.87

240763.49 1361244.04

Jul-06

963689.00

41903.69

46350.00

84100.94

240763.49 1376807.12

Aug-06

970380.00

47152.47

46350.00

92801.37

242221.82 1398905.65

Sep-06

979380.00

47152.47

46350.00

95251.47

243271.82 1411405.75

Oct-06

988354.00

57152.47

46350.00

93358.52

243271.82 1428486.80

Nov-06

1002354.00

62152.47

44350.00

99852.39

243473.15 1452182.00

Dec-06

1011354.00

67413.26

44350.00

96859.85

245904.37 1465881.48

Jan-07

1020354.00

62564.48

44350.00

102420.08

247867.61 1477556.16

Feb-07

1028354.00

81999.14

44350.00

108913.26

247472.70 1511089.10

Mar-07

1058997.00

78256.88

44350.00

115473.69

251072.27 1548149.85

Apr-07

1071297.00

78256.88

44350.00

119965.64

254078.59 1567948.11

May-07

1077797.00

78256.88

44350.00

126189.40

250533.80 1577127.08

Jun-07

1102797.00

78256.88

44350.00

145981.76

252283.80 1623669.44

Jul-07

1128797.00

78256.88

44350.00

151565.34

255849.38 1658818.61

Aug-07

1169627.00

81937.41

44350.00

156379.61

253433.89 1705727.92

Sep-07

1191897.00

81237.41

44350.00

147411.54

256918.33 1721814.28

Oct-07

1236540.00

81237.41

44350.00

159450.17

259992.07 1781569.65

Nov-07

1256919.00

81237.41

44350.00

146252.36

262886.53 1791645.30

Dec-07

1263919.00

81238.20

44350.00

126327.36

268186.53 1784021.09

Jan-08

1273966.00

89369.64

44350.00

126951.13

276361.79 1810998.56

Feb-08

1288612.00

91655.10

44350.00

123605.11

289973.52 1838195.72

Mar-08

1288085.00

110948.03

44350.00

136139.95

302724.48 1882247.46

Apr-08

1319085.00

110948.03

44350.00

139593.07

310302.66 1924278.75

May-08

1320109.00

110948.03

44350.00

147979.97

307821.10 1931208.09

Jun-08

1332724.00

110948.03

44350.00

132825.20

311085.20 1931932.42

Jul-08

1347067.00

110948.03

44350.00

133659.95

313385.20 1949410.17

Aug-08

1348567.00

110948.03

44350.00

134160.86

313885.20 1951911.08

Sep-08

1361057.00

110948.03

44350.00

135751.52

315762.92 1967869.47

Oct-08

1371057.00

110649.56

44350.00

141434.52

318774.92 1986266.01

Nov-08

1371690.00

132649.56

44350.00

149632.01

319041.09 2017362.66

Dec-08

1374093.00

168649.56

44350.00

145070.40

327486.09 2059649.05

Jan-09

1403513.00

174649.56

44350.00

146566.95

338191.45 2107270.96

Feb-09

1421512.96

196591.56

44350.00

146762.02

356629.49 2165846.03

Mar-09

1468512.67

193220.17

44350.00

150273.80

369290.70 2225647.33

Apr-09

1478125.85

193220.17

44350.00

163472.50

414068.98 2293237.50

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 5: OUTSTANDING - GOVERNMENT SECURITIES, TREASURY BILLS AND STATE DEVELOPMENT LOANS
Amount ` Crore

Floating Rate
Bonds

Treasury
Bills#

State Development
Loans*

Total

May-09

1526423.69

193220.17

44350.00

148275.25

414563.33 2326832.44

Jun-09

1564423.69

193220.17

44350.00

146874.80

421563.33 2370431.98

Jul-09

1615423.69

193220.17

44350.00

141338.92

427513.33 2421846.11

Aug-09

1651423.69

193220.17

44350.00

138854.64

437472.91 2465321.41

Sep-09

1697423.69

203526.50

44350.00

141887.94

452223.35 2539411.48

Oct-09

1727423.69

203526.50

44350.00

134980.94

465742.01 2576023.14

Nov-09

1756423.69

203526.50

44350.00

134014.74

476964.28 2615279.21

Dec-09

1783423.69

203526.50

43350.00

134764.74

489096.47 2654161.40

Jan-10

1779887.91

202826.50

46350.00

134753.74

496442.94 2660261.09

Feb-10

1787887.91

199607.03

46350.00

134660.14

509676.73 2678181.82

Mar-10

1787887.91

199214.03

46350.00

137466.34

517405.62 2688323.90

Apr-10

1833887.91

199214.03

49350.00

136489.04

521551.88 2740492.86

May-10

1859011.69

199214.03

49350.00

144488.54

529259.38 2781323.64

Jun-10

1892238.66

199214.03

49350.00

131988.54

534974.23 2807765.47

Jul-10

1900110.16

199214.03

49350.00

116883.22

540925.06 2806482.48

Aug-10

1949367.38

199214.03

49350.00

122828.95

547425.91 2868186.27

Sep-10

1994117.38

199214.03

49350.00

123295.65

554535.06 2920512.12

Oct-10

2024969.09

199214.03

49350.00

127892.94

565736.86 2967162.92

Nov-10

2057964.09

199214.03

49350.00

117768.94

573111.86 2997408.92

Dec-10

2080492.84

199214.03

49350.00

125268.94

579026.86 3033352.67

Jan-11

2104647.19

199214.03

49350.00

126923.25

585834.62 3065969.09

Feb-11

2107564.66

199214.03

49350.00

127687.35

597643.35 3081459.39

Mar-11

2107564.66

200051.05

49350.00

141326.90

605803.69 3104096.30

Apr-11

2142091.74

200051.05

49350.00

169973.45

614026.69 3175492.93

May-11

2178091.74

200051.05

49350.00

201219.95

617839.16 3246551.90

Jun-11

2214091.74

200051.05

49350.00

221862.40

626839.16 3312194.35

Jul-11

2240091.74

193656.76

49350.00

245126.77

635951.08 3364176.35

Aug-11

2282230.38

193656.76

43350.00

258813.67

647703.99 3425754.79

Sep-11

2304230.38

193656.76

43350.00

221271.87

658253.99 3420762.99

Oct-11

2343983.47

193656.76

43350.00

224245.69

669335.66 3474571.58

Nov-11

2377983.47

193656.76

46350.00

230366.87

680524.30 3528881.40

Dec-11

2428983.47

193656.76

48350.00

212864.67

693052.62 3576907.52

Jan-12

2483983.47

193656.76

48350.00

232689.60

709031.96 3667711.78

Feb-12

2532978.47

193656.76

48350.00

271336.87

723972.96 3770295.05

Mar-12

2544978.47

189656.76

48350.00

267019.92

742411.75 3792416.90

Apr-12

2583978.47

189656.76

48350.00

302223.35

746077.40 3870285.98

May-12

2613978.47

189656.76

48350.00

308155.15

757649.21 3917789.59

Jun-12

2668404.34

189656.76

48350.00

328967.43

765210.46 4000588.98

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Special
Securities

CCIL

Month

Government
Securities

91

outstanding
government debt

TABLE 5: OUTSTANDING - GOVERNMENT SECURITIES, TREASURY BILLS AND STATE DEVELOPMENT LOANS
Amount ` Crore

Month

Government
Securities

Special
Securities

Floating Rate
Bonds

Treasury
Bills#

State Development
Loans*

Total

Jul-12

2719362.53

189656.76

48350.00

333413.61

779370.46 4070153.35

Aug-12

2794362.53

189656.76

48350.00

325173.76

789136.56 4146679.60

Sep-12

2829362.53

183893.91

48350.00

329499.27

806196.56 4197302.27

Oct-12

2868362.53

183893.91

48350.00

320097.07

828003.91 4248707.42

Nov-12

2933362.53

183893.91

43350.00

314675.75

842018.24 4317300.43

Dec-12

2969362.53

183893.91

43350.00

315530.69

852097.55 4364234.67

Jan-13

2981362.53

183893.91

43350.00

331630.52

868306.68 4408543.64

Feb-13

3017362.53

183823.91

43350.00

311164.52

874104.53 4429805.48

Mar-13

3017362.53

183823.91

43350.00

299764.15

889068.62 4433369.21

Apr-13

3062362.52

183823.91

43350.00

316620.40

897231.62 4503388.43

May-13

3121611.19

183823.91

43350.00

319429.14

900318.79 4568533.03

Jun-13

3167611.19

183823.91

45350.00

328052.31

904967.16 4629804.56

Jul-13

3227611.19

183823.91

45350.00

361888.95

908057.54 4726731.58

Aug-13

3291627.29

183823.91

45350.00

420017.27

919077.00 4861895.45

Sep-13

3283627.29

183823.91

43350.00

400722.16

933469.55 4847992.90

Oct-13

3328627.29

183823.91

44350.00

356220.45

954502.92 4870524.56

Nov-13

3404627.29

183823.91

45350.00

348625.62

969237.80 4951664.61

*Does not include Power Bonds


# Includes MSS Issuances

TABLE 6 : ANALYSIS OF OUTSTANDING BONDS


Percent

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Period

Market Share of
Outstanding
G-Sec
T-Bill
SDLs

CCIL

G-Sec

T-Bill

Annualized Change
SDLs

G-Sec

T-Bill

SDLs

2005-06

76.73

5.34

17.93

14.18

6.34

10.00

2006-07

76.32

7.46

16.22

16.00

62.86

5.50

15.13

32.82

7.63

2007-08

76.57

7.27

16.16

21.37

17.90

20.57

17.23

27.50

11.90

2008-09

76.66

6.75

16.59

18.97

10.38

21.99

17.67

22.89

14.40

2009-10

75.64

5.11

19.25

19.19

-8.52

40.11

17.98

15.73

19.21

2010-11

75.88

4.56

19.56

15.57

2.81

17.08

17.57

13.44

18.85

2011-12

73.38

7.04

19.58

18.43

88.94

22.55

17.69

22.12

19.38

2012-13

73.18

6.76

20.05

16.58

12.26

19.75

17.72

21.03

19.61

2013-14 (Upto Nov 2013)

73.39

7.04

19.57

14.97

10.79

15.11

17.78

21.37

19.15

*Includes FRBs and Special Securities

92

Change

CCIL Indices

CCIL Indices
TABLE 7: INDEX COMPOSITION
Broad Index

CASBI Index

7.16% GOVT STOCK 2023

7.16% GOVT STOCK 2023

6.49% GOVT.STOCK 2015

9.75% Jharkand 2023

8.28% GOVT.STOCK 2027

8.28% GOVT.STOCK 2027

7.17% GOVT.STOCK 2015

9.38% Andhra Pradesh SDL 2023

8.12% Govt Stock 2020

8.12% Govt Stock 2020

7.59% GOVT.STOCK 2016

9.28% Kerala SDL 2023

7.28% GS 2019

7.28% GS 2019

5.59% GOVT. STOCK 2016 9.29% Punjab SDL 2023

8.20% GOVT.STOCK 2025

8.20% GOVT.STOCK 2025

8.07% GS 2017

9.29% Madhya Pradesh SDL 2023

8.32% GOVT.STOCK 2032

8.07% GOVT.STOCK 2017

9.32% Tamil Nadu SDL 2023

9.20% GOVT. STOCK 2030

7.49% G. S. 2017

9.33% Maharashtra SDL 2023

8.33% GOVT.STOCK 2026

7.83% GOVT.STOCK 2018 9.35% West Bengal SDL 2023

8.07% GOVT.STOCK 2017

8.24% GOVT.STOCK 2018

9.22% Gujarat SDL 2023

10

8.30% GOVT STOCK 2042

7.28% GS 2019

9.25% Haryana SDL 2023

11

7.17% GOVT.STOCK 2015

8.19% GOVT.STOCK 2020

9.40% Bihar SDL 2023

12

8.83% GOVT.STOCK 2041

8.12% Govt Stock 2020

9.39% Karnataka SDL 2023

13

8.28% GOVT.STOCK 2032

7.80% GOVT.STOCK 2021

9.25% Rajasthan SDL 2023

14

6.49% GOVT.STOCK 2015

8.79% GOVT.STOCK 2021

9.75% Himachal Pradesh SDL 2023

15

8.15% GOVT.STOCK 2022

8.20% GOVT.STOCK 2022

16

8.97% GOVT.STOCK 2030

8.15% GOVT.STOCK 2022

17

7.83% GOVT.STOCK2018

7.16% GOVT STOCK 2023

18

8.19% GOVT.STOCK 2020

9.15% GOVT.STOCK 2024

19

9.15% GOVT.STOCK 2024

8.20% GOVT.STOCK 2025

20

7.59% GOVT.STOCK 2016

8.33% GOVT.STOCK 2026

21

8.28% GOVT.STOCK 2027

22

9.20% GOVT. STOCK 2030

23

8.97% GOVT.STOCK 2030

24

8.28% GOVT.STOCK 2032

25

8.32% GOVT.STOCK 2032

26

7.5% GOVT. STOCK 2034

27

7.40% GOVT.STOCK 2035

28

8.33% GOVT.STOCK 2036

29

8.30% GOVT.STOCK 2040

30

8.83% GOVT.STOCK 2041

31

8.30% GOVT STOCK 2042

SDL Index

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Liquid Index

CCIL

No.

93

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 8: INDEX PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS


Per cent

2008-09

2007-08

2006-07

2005-06

2004-05

2009 -10

2010-11

2011-12

2013-14 (Nov '13)

2012-13

Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Yearly
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Annualized
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
Return (%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)

Indices

Bond Index
Broad

TRI

-3.1192

-3.1192

3.1457

-0.0358

4.4156

1.4265

8.7180

3.2022 14.6533

5.3970

4.9645

5.3248

5.9700

5.4167

5.3764

5.4117

12.5434

6.1813

3.1205

5.6402

PRI

-10.5490

-10.5490

-5.0356

-7.8335

-3.8825

-6.5349

0.3991

-4.8476

6.0812

-2.7559

-2.6056

-2.7308

-1.7544

-2.5920

-2.4471

-2.5739

3.9053

-1.8744

-4.8572

-2.3896

Bond Index
Liquid

TRI

-4.8259

-4.8259

4.2365

-0.3977

4.9933

1.3678

7.1601

2.7858 14.9089

5.1035

3.5974

4.8510

6.1285

5.0326

5.4325

5.0825

10.4908

5.6701

0.3145

5.0424

PRI

-11.4388

-11.4388

-3.3270

-7.4717

-3.0496

-6.0206

-0.6675

-4.7100

6.4797

-2.5703

-3.4510

-2.7176

-1.6508

-2.5660

-2.8086

-2.5963

3.4935

-1.9378

-5.9967

-2.5684

TRI

-4.7886

-4.7886

2.2048

-1.3539

3.5553

0.2561

8.1171

2.1661 12.8054

4.2105

3.6406

4.1153

5.7445

4.3465

4.5829

4.3760

12.6371

5.2631

3.4506

4.8226

PRI

-11.1366

-11.1366

-5.1511

-8.1926

-4.0858

-6.8436

0.1014

-5.1539

5.0777

-3.1906

-2.6286

-3.0971

-6.0047

-3.5179

-2.0714

-3.3383

4.1990

-2.5285

-4.4630

-2.9623

Tenor
Index (upto
5 yrs)

TRI

1.9512

1.9512

5.2353

3.5802

4.3155

3.8247

9.4409

5.2012 10.8208

6.3018

6.4825

6.3319

3.7700

5.9621

5.3423

5.8844

9.7659

6.3088

6.8527

6.2121

PRI

-6.9090

-6.9090

-4.2334

-5.5807

-4.7466

-5.3034

0.2960

-3.9336

2.2316

-2.7310

-1.6107

-2.5452

-3.7924

-2.7244

-1.9219

-2.6244

1.5978

-2.1641

-1.1469

-2.2194

Tenor
Index
(5 -10 yrs)

TRI

-1.6974

-1.6974

3.3279

0.7839

4.5479

2.0233

9.0038

3.7253 12.9198

5.5023

3.7670

5.2111

5.6621

5.2754

5.0409

5.2460

11.8483

5.9599

3.8486

5.5211

PRI

-9.4569

-9.4569

-4.9089

-7.2107

-3.8357

-6.0991

0.4789

-4.4961

4.3543

-2.7882

-3.8358

-2.9636

-2.1813

-2.8522

-2.9799

-2.8682

3.4177

-2.1891

-4.1244

-2.5996

Tenor
Index
(10-15 yrs)

TRI

-2.5658

-2.5658

0.1106

-1.2366

4.0496

0.4949

7.8955

2.2961 14.0161

4.5395

4.2731

4.4950

6.8577

4.8293

4.7686

4.8217

13.0467

5.7052

2.3083

5.0822

PRI

-9.3205

-9.3205

-5.7221

-7.5388

-3.6066

-6.2462

-0.4663

-4.8335

5.5223

-2.8470

-3.4844

-2.9535

-1.3084

-2.7202

-3.4109

-2.8068

4.3128

-2.0404

-5.8453

-2.6779

Tenor
Index
(15-20 yrs)

TRI

-4.6626

-4.6626

1.9248

-1.4239

2.9959

0.0279

8.1429

1.9977 10.3660

3.6190

3.4365

3.5886

7.8264

4.1836

4.7491

4.2541

13.1055

5.2024

1.6309

4.5478

PRI

-10.9505

-10.9505

-6.3526

-8.6805

-3.7863

-7.0774

0.0010

-5.3562

4.5897

-3.4457

-4.4711

-3.6174

-0.5746

-3.1885

-3.3698

-3.2112

4.3310

-2.4008

-6.5452

-3.0851

Tenor
Index
(20-30 yrs)

TRI

-5.8697

-5.8697

1.0180

-2.4866

2.1018

-0.9806

7.2250

1.0100 16.1688

3.8746

2.5755

3.6570

7.4008

4.1837

4.5261

4.2264

14.1608

5.2861

0.6303

4.4426

PRI

-12.3719

-12.3719

-6.3404

-9.4063

-5.8226

-8.2272

-1.0090

-6.4735

7.1305

-3.8985

-5.3463

-4.1413

-1.0681

-3.7082

-3.9139

-3.7339

5.2615

-2.7736

-7.1376

-3.5622

3.4305

3.4305

3.9073

3.6686

3.8471

3.7281

5.0903

4.0670

5.4776

4.3476

2.5075

4.0386

3.3117

3.9345

5.0140

4.0688

5.8633

4.2514

5.5139

4.3220

3.4001

3.4001

3.8573

3.6284

3.7763

3.6777

5.1928

4.0544

5.8980

4.4205

2.6291

4.1198

2.9002

3.9447

4.7978

4.0510

6.1091

4.2583

5.4428

4.3143

TRI

7.5452

7.5452

8.2904

7.9172

9.6032

8.4763

7.2877

8.1779

3.1958

7.1626

12.5981

8.0499

5.1867

7.2385

PRI

-0.7103

-0.7103

-0.1136

-0.4124

1.5256

0.2295

-1.1795

-0.1247

-5.2726

-1.1761

3.5978

-0.3961

-3.6387

-1.2221

CASBI

T-Bill Index

Liquidity
Weight
Equal
Weight

SDL Index

CCIL Indices

94

CCIL

primary market
analysis

Primary Market Analysis


TABLE 9: SECURITIES & MONEY MARKET (PRIMARY): COMPARATIVE DATA
2013-14
2012-13
(upto November 2013) (upto November 2012)

2012-13

128
464000.00
14.32
8.28

120
474000.00
13.81
8.41

141
558000.00
13.60
8.36

Devolvements on PDs(F.V ` Crore)


Private Placements on RBI (F.V ` Crore)
Redemption (F.V ` Crore)
Net Borrowings(F.V ` Crore)
Total Borrowing (F.V ` Crore)
Budgeted Borrowing (F.V ` Crore)
% Completed of Total Borrowing

16836.16
74735.24
389264.76
464000.00
629008.84
73.77

1828.19
91378.79
382621.21
474000.00
569615.94
83.21

1828.19
90615.94
467384.06
558000.00
569615.94
97.96

Borrowing Under MSS


Total Outstanding (F.V. ` Crore)
MSS Ceiling (F.V. ` Crore)
Outstanding as percent of Ceiling (%)

0.00
50000.00
0.00

0.00
50000.00
0.00

0.00
50000.00
0.00

Purchases Under OMO


Dated Securities purchased under OMO
Amount of OMO dated securities purchased (F.V. ` Crore)

23
45057.67

18
54573.28

46
127179.74

2
2532.00

SDL
Total no of Issues
Gross Amount Borrowed (F.V ` Crore)
Weighted Average Coupon (%)

148
111705.75
8.94

141
111408.14
8.86

222
177278.62
8.80

Cash Management Bill


Amount (F.V ` Crore)
Weighted Average Cut -off (%)

107195.00
11.63

91 Day Treasury Bills


Amount (F.V Rs Crore)
Weighted Average Cut -off (%)

398687.00
8.98

395465.76
8.27

542925.51
8.22

182 Day Treasury Bills


Amount (F.V ` Crore)
Weighted Average Cut -off (%)

85103.48
8.85

85238.00
8.25

129434.08
8.17

364 Day Treasury Bill


Amount (F.V ` Crore)
Weighted Average Cut-off (%)

94844.38
8.54

90450.05
8.11

130470.80
8.05

8.75 (29-10-13)
4.00 (09-02-13)
6.75 (29-10-13)
7.75 (29-10-13)
7.16 - 10.53

9.00 (17-04-12)
4.25 (03-11-12)
7.00 (17-04-12)
8.00 (17-04-12)
7.34 - 9.32

8.50 (19-03-13)
4.00 (09-02-13)
6.50 (19-03-13)
7.50 (19-03-13)
7.34 - 13.69

Sale Under OMO


Dated Securities sold under OMO
Amount of OMO dated securities sold (F.V. ` Crore)
Buybacks
Auctions (F.V. ` Crore)
NDS-OM (F.V. ` Crore)

Benchmark Rates
Bank Rate(% p.a)(Effective Date)
CRR Rate (% p.a.)(Effective Date)
Reverse Repo Rate(%)(Effective Date)
Repo Rate (%) (Effective Date)
Call Money Range(%)

CCIL

GOI Borrowing
Total no of Issues (including reissues)
Gross Amount Borrowed Excluding MSS (F.V ` Crore)
Weighted Average Maturity (years)
Weighted Average Yield (%)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Dated Securities

95

primary market
analysis

TABLE 10: LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS


Amount ` Crore

Financial Year
Government Securities*

Gross
Borrowing

Redemption

Net Borrowing

Outstanding

Coupon
Payment

2006-07

195028.99

53295.84

141733.15

1181603.52

2007-08

194049.85

47937.53

146112.33

1434086.40

2008-09

277000.00

57697.89

219302.11

1706082.83

2009-10

428306.33

100937.22

327369.11

2033451.94

2010-11

437000.00

114323.25

322676.75

2349965.70

2011-12

510000.00

83975.48

426024.52

2782985.21

2012-13

558000.00

90615.94

467384.06

3244536.42

231643.31

2013-14 (Upto Nov 2013)

464000.00

74735.24

389264.76

3633801.19

177154.29

2006-07

20824.57

6550.85

14273.72

251072.27

2007-08

67778.59

11554.52

56224.07

302724.48

2008-09

118137.66

14371.33

103766.32

369290.70

2009-10

131121.69

16238.42

114883.27

517405.62

2010-11

104039.26

15641.19

88398.07

605803.69

2011-12

158632.30

21989.24

136643.06

742411.75

2012-13

177278.62

30621.75

146656.87

889068.62

46507.38

2013-14 (Upto Nov 2013)

111705.75

31536.56

80169.18

969237.80

46085.15

2006-07

220035.70

174367.69

45668.00

115473.69

2007-08

314495.65

347650.93

-33155.28

136139.95

2008-09

360912.12

329084.95

31827.17

150273.80

2009-10

385875.14

399148.80

-13273.66

137466.34

2010-11

355765.09

343438.33

12326.76

141326.90

2011-12

723813.16

498620.14

225193.02

267019.92

2012-13

802830.39

770087.16

32743.23

299764.15

2013-14 (Upto Nov 2013)

685829.86

529772.39

156057.47

348625.62

* including Special Securities and FRBs


State Development Loans**

** excluding Power Bonds

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Treasury Bills

96

Statistics
TABLE 11: CCIL SETTLEMENT DETAILS
Amount ` Crore

Repo

Outright
Settlement Period

Trades

Value

Avg.
Trades

Avg.
Val

Trades

Value

Avg.
Trades

Forex*
Avg. Val
Value
Avg.
Avg.
(USD
Trades
Trades (USD
Trades
Val
Million)
Million)
159
1496
1577 100232 136102
1101

CBLO**
Value

Avg.
Trades

Avg.
Val

2002-03

191843 1076147

646

3623

11672

468229

39

2003-04

243585 1575133

820

5303

20927

943189

71

3208

330517

501342

1425

2161

3060

2004-05

160682 1134222

550

3884

24364 1557907

83

5335

466327

899782

1976

3813

2005-06

125509

864751

467

3215

25673 1694509

88

5803

489649 1179688

2084

5020

2006-07

137100 1021536

562

4187

29008 2556501

99

8755

606808 1776981

2550

7466

2007-08

188843 1653851

765

6696

26612 3948751

91

13523

757074 3133665

3181

13167

113277

8110828

385

27588

2008-09

245964 2160233

1047

9192

24280 4094286

85

14266

837520 3758904

3657

16414

118941

8824784

414

30748

2009-10

316956 2913890

1332

12243

28651 6072829

101

21308

883949 2988971

3843

12996

142052 15541378

498

54531

2010-11

332540 2870952

1346

11623

27409 4099284

93

13943 1150037 4191037

4792

17463

145383 12259745

495

41700

2011-12

412266 3488203

1732

14656

29806 3763877

102

12934 1283178 4642573

5579

20185

143949 11155428

495

38335

2012-13

658055 6592032

2731

27353

41566 5402765

144

18695 1396138 4830933

6018

20823

156099 12028040

540

41620

852

16

76851

10

262

29351

976790

101

3345

67463

2953134

229

10045

85881

4732271

292

16096

Apr-13

87041 1021301

4836

56739

3931

603520

179

27433

120500

465667

6694

25870

12372

1298341

562

59015

May-13

147290 1912565

6695

86935

4949

763713

198

30549

139715

462444

6653

22021

13526

1217645

541

48706

Jun-13

76678

903288

3834

45164

4223

613400

169

24536

140218

402295

7011

20115

14317

1538959

573

61558

Jul-13

69722

718259

3169

32648

4159

670303

160

25781

142541

414482

6788

19737

17508

1976477

673

76018

Aug-13

41021

424780

2051

21239

3596

564856

144

22594

126481

356554

6324

17828

15864

1734095

635

69364

Sep-13

55768

579258

2788

28963

3710

617125

155

25714

129061

354639

6793

18665

15059

1668333

627

69514

Oct-13

63519

627706

3025

29891

4209

651575

168

26063

126883

366083

6344

18304

14285

1382101

571

55284

Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto
November 2013)

50539

499569

2660

26293

3692

539935

154

22497

110011

325595

6471

19153

13909

1249180

580

52049

591578 6686726

3652

41276

32469 5024428

166

25635 1035410 3147760

6637

20178

116840 12065130

596

61557

*Commenced operations from November 12, 2002, Cash and Tom settlement is with effect from February 5, 2004.
** Commenced operations from January 20, 2003.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

statistics

97

CCIL

statistics

TABLE 12: CATEGORYWISE BUYING ACTIVITY


Percent

Outright

Reverse Repo
(Funds Lending)

CBLO
Lending

Uncollateralised Money
Market Lending*

Forex

Co-operative Banks

2.44

0.26

2.20

24.21

0.14

Financial Institutions

0.37

0.69

1.89

0.01

28.60

6.76

3.51

6.22

44.36

75.93

78.39

1.81

6.12

11.15

16.58

44.54

60.29

2.41

0.00

3.22

Primary Dealers

17.73

1.53

0.03

0.00

12.53

0.00

Private Sector Banks

12.92

6.15

2.14

6.22

20.78

10.60

21.61

Public Sector Banks

17.15

33.95

15.57

63.34

34.71

0.93

0.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00 100.00

100.00

100.00

Category

Foreign Banks
Insurance Companies
Mutual Funds
Others

Total

IRSIRSMIBOR MIFOR

* Call and Term Money segment.

TABLE 13: CATEGORYWISE SELLING ACTIVITY

Monthly Newsletter December 2013


CCIL

98

Forex

Percent
IRSMIFOR

Outright

Repo

Co-operative Banks

1.98

2.27

1.77

1.76

0.16

Financial Institutions

0.08

0.00

4.04

0.01

Foreign Banks

31.21

42.40

19.88

15.33

44.25

72.27

48.80

Insurance Companies

1.15

0.00

0.06

Mutual Funds

16.03

0.00

1.81

Others

1.43

4.20

17.20

Primary Dealers

23.03

35.89

3.60

17.55

15.22

0.00

Private Sector Banks

12.35

9.15

22.41

37.31

20.32

12.46

51.20

Public Sector Banks

12.74

6.10

29.24

28.06

35.26

0.05

0.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

Category

Total

* Call and Term Money segment.

Uncollateralised Money
Market Borrowing*

IRSMIBOR

CBLO
Borrowing

TABLE 14: COMPARABLE RATES


Money Market Rates (WAR)
Date

Call

Repo

CBLO

Benchmark Rates
CCIL10Y
CCBOR
MIBOR
Benchmark
(10:00 A.M.)
(WAY)
(10:00 A.M.)
7.0611
8.7236
8.6557
8.4230
8.6203
8.7090
7.7417
7.8929
8.7807
8.0784
8.1696
8.8235
8.5247
8.5838
8.9144
8.7333
8.7597
9.0395
8.7480
8.7884
9.0413
8.7558
8.8178
9.0406
7.9365
8.8000
8.9394
8.7415
8.7650
9.0492
8.7403
8.7552
9.0187
8.7403
8.7609
9.0502
8.7413
8.7600
9.0839
8.7080
8.7484
9.0921
8.7072
8.7462
8.7398
8.7047
8.7518
8.7261
8.6356
8.7339
8.7063
8.5452
8.6792
8.7006
7.2527
7.7374
8.7239
-

Auction Cut-offs
91 DTB

182 DTB

364 DTB

8.5619
8.9807
8.9388
8.9388
-

8.7705
9.1206
-

8.9927
8.9332
-

Policy Rates
LAF
LAF Repo
Reverse
Repo
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75
6.75
7.75

8.5900
7.6700
8.1100
7.9800
8.1900
8.5400
6.7700
8.6900
8.7200
8.7500
8.7300
8.0000
8.7100
8.7000
8.6900
8.6900
8.6800
7.4900
8.6900
8.6800
8.6400
8.0400
7.6200
5.4600

8.6253
8.4480
7.9427
8.1031
8.4948
8.7203
8.7527
8.7535
8.6521
9.1000
8.7200
8.7399
8.7458
8.7440
8.7009
8.7011
8.7122
8.6680
8.5507
7.7867
-

7.8824
5.1600
7.9026
7.9476
8.2814
8.6553
5.9374
8.7387
8.7504
8.7475
7.0000
8.1718
8.7270
8.7328
8.7373
8.7079
8.6576
8.1500
8.7165
8.6850
8.6283
8.2815
6.9946
5.2000

Average

8.2013

8.5831

7.9747

8.3957

8.6102

8.8860

8.8551

8.9456

8.9630

6.75

7.75

Max

8.7500

9.1000

8.7504

8.7558

8.8178

9.0921

8.9807

9.1206

8.9927

6.75

7.75

Min

5.4600

7.7867

5.1600

7.0611

7.7374

8.6557

8.5619

8.7705

8.9332

6.75

7.75

SD

0.7814

0.3078

1.1114

0.5301

0.3149

0.1611

0.1964

0.2476

0.0421

0.00

0.00

99

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

statistics

1-Nov-13
2-Nov-13
5-Nov-13
6-Nov-13
7-Nov-13
8-Nov-13
9-Nov-13
11-Nov-13
12-Nov-13
13-Nov-13
14-Nov-13
16-Nov-13
18-Nov-13
19-Nov-13
20-Nov-13
21-Nov-13
22-Nov-13
23-Nov-13
25-Nov-13
26-Nov-13
27-Nov-13
28-Nov-13
29-Nov-13
30-Nov-13

statistics

GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET


SETTLEMENT ANALYSIS
Number of Participants: 191
TABLE 15 : PROPRIETARY / CONSTITUENT SETTLEMENT ANALYSIS
Settlement Period
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Outright
Proprietary
Constituent
Trades
Value
Trades
Value
80.54
87.54
19.46
12.46
75.82
85.03
24.18
14.97
75.96
81.95
24.04
18.05
78.55
85.37
21.45
14.63
87.78
90.06
12.22
9.94
90.26
90.55
9.74
9.45
89.48
88.32
10.52
11.68
90.16
90.56
9.84
9.44
89.23
89.92
10.77
10.08
90.81
88.35
9.19
11.65
89.69
87.05
10.31
12.95
91.32
86.25
8.68
13.75
90.98
87.12
9.02
12.88
90.41
86.17
9.59
13.83
89.48
86.16
10.52
13.84
82.26
79.40
17.74
20.60
84.56
81.44
15.44
18.56
86.71
82.80
13.29
17.20
90.04
88.76
9.96
11.24
89.03
85.49
10.97
14.51

Repo
Proprietary
Constituent
Trades
Value
Trades
Value
99.58
99.81
0.42
0.19
88.11
89.96
11.89
10.04
81.83
86.21
18.17
13.79
70.00
82.77
30.00
17.23
70.67
85.01
29.33
14.99
70.74
83.79
29.26
16.21
72.60
87.98
27.40
12.02
81.01
94.03
18.99
5.97
80.58
89.37
19.42
10.63
81.39
88.46
18.61
11.54
90.89
92.91
9.11
7.09
92.83
94.50
7.17
5.50
93.23
95.51
6.77
4.49
92.97
94.85
7.03
5.15
90.67
93.81
9.33
6.19
89.32
92.82
10.68
7.18
91.32
94.25
8.68
5.75
93.13
93.72
6.87
6.28
93.15
93.37
6.85
6.63
92.15
94.16
7.85
5.84

TABLE 16: DEAL SIZE ANALYSIS

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Settlement Period

100

2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

<5
% to
total
trades
10.22
12.23
14.24
15.26
8.30
5.30
5.69
5.35
6.34
5.32
4.21
2.66
2.20
2.56
3.62
7.92
5.28
3.92
4.42
3.54

Cr
% to
total
value
1.64
1.72
1.75
1.78
0.93
0.51
0.56
0.54
0.69
0.57
0.45
0.28
0.22
0.27
0.41
0.87
0.58
0.44
0.47
0.37

5 Cr
% to
% to
total
total
trades value
75.71
67.68
68.92
53.29
67.12
47.55
67.75
49.17
71.38
47.90
60.70
34.66
64.57
36.76
65.32
35.53
64.62
37.42
66.66
39.39
60.06
29.98
54.28
23.13
48.39
18.63
52.42
22.25
58.63
28.45
59.75
28.85
62.25
29.96
65.14
32.96
65.24
33.00
56.32
24.91

Percent

Percent

> 5 Cr <=10 Cr >10 Cr<=20 Cr


> 20
% to
% to
% to
% to
% to
total
total
total
total
total
trades value trades value trades
10.88
19.23
2.30
6.80
0.89
11.98
18.40
2.54
6.51
4.33
9.72
13.59
2.98
7.02
5.93
8.05
11.49
2.68
6.36
6.26
12.50
16.67
2.59
5.76
5.23
23.17
26.40
3.47
6.62
7.36
20.60
23.40
2.89
5.52
6.26
18.16
19.71
3.31
6.03
7.86
18.04
20.84
3.90
7.58
7.10
17.19
20.27
3.91
7.74
6.92
21.30
21.23
5.09
8.66
9.33
24.27
20.67
6.49
9.43
12.30
26.03
20.04
7.66
10.08
15.71
25.25
21.42
7.15
10.36
12.61
22.28
21.61
5.86
9.68
9.61
18.66
17.95
4.78
7.70
8.89
17.62
16.93
5.40
8.74
9.45
16.46
16.62
5.38
9.22
9.10
16.07
16.23
5.14
8.81
9.13
22.05
19.48
6.34
9.53
11.75

Cr
% to
total
value
4.65
20.09
30.09
31.20
28.75
31.81
33.76
38.20
33.46
32.03
39.68
46.49
51.03
45.70
39.85
44.62
43.78
40.76
41.49
45.70

statistics

TABLE 17: INSTRUMENT WISE BREAKUP OF OUTRIGHT TRADES


Amount ` Crore

State Development Loans

Volumes

Avg.
Volumes

%
Share

Volumes

Avg.
Volumes

%
Share

Volumes

2002-03

1032185

3475

95.91

37443

126

3.48

6519

22

0.61

2003-04

1458665

4911

92.61

102299

344

6.49

14169

48

0.90

2004-05

862820

2955

76.07

246703

845

21.75

24700

85

2.18

2005-06

657213

2443

76.00

189839

706

21.95

17700

66

2.05

2006-07

883248

4723

86.46

126956

679

12.43

11332

61

1.11

2007-08

1467704

5942

88.74

171914

696

10.39

14234

58

0.86

2008-09

1955412

8321

90.52

170436

725

7.89

34385

146

1.59

2009-10

2480850

10424

85.14

363283

1526

12.47

69757

293

2.39

2010-11

2552181

10333

88.90

275095

1114

9.58

43677

177

1.52

2011-12

3099108

13021

88.85

345237

1451

9.90

43859

184

1.26

2012-13

5920929

24568

89.82

552943

2294

8.39

118159

490

1.79

Apr-13

935699

51983

91.62

71689

3983

7.02

13914

773

1.36

May-13

1852003

84182

96.83

42917

1951

2.24

17646

802

0.92

Jun-13

844720

42236

93.52

46304

2315

5.13

12264

613

1.36

Jul-13

646106

29368

89.95

64739

2943

9.01

7413

337

1.03

Aug-13

307073

15354

72.29

103651

5183

24.40

14057

703

3.31

Sep-13

470541

23527

81.23

93993

4700

16.23

14724

736

2.54

Oct-13

538319

25634

85.76

76401

3638

12.17

12986

618

2.07

Nov-13

433209

22800

86.72

56185

2957

11.25

10175

536

2.04

6027670

37208

90.14

555877

3431

8.31

103178

637

1.54

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Avg.
%
Volumes Share

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Treasury Bills

CCIL

Cen. Govt. Dated Securities


Settlement Period

101

statistics

TABLE 18: TENOR WISE ACTIVITY - CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DATED SECURITIES


Percent

Year

Percent

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Nov-13 2013-14
0.06

1.82

1.31

0.04

2005

0.44

0.79

2.40

0.09

2006

0.32

0.49

2.01

2.04

0.20

2007

0.50

0.51

1.34

2.35

1.55

0.06

2008

3.58

2.73

2.04

2.06

1.44

0.31

0.00

2009

2.81

3.18

5.43

2.64

2.83

11.43

4.27

0.43

2010

5.14

4.20

10.39

12.56

2.91

6.29

3.50

3.38

0.59

2011

15.85

7.48

6.88

4.70

14.48

1.17

1.99

3.21

1.14

0.15

2012

21.42

12.04

4.66

8.19

4.27

0.56

1.04

2.94

2.38

0.82

0.05

2013

9.21

7.53

2.13

6.48

0.59

2.99

1.92

1.57

1.29

0.12

0.08

0.00

0.06

2014

0.44

5.51

6.04

12.79

6.12

1.49

6.75

10.24

0.82

0.12

0.07

0.76

0.20

2015

7.89

5.70

25.34

1.38

1.56

3.50

1.78

5.38

8.21

0.43

0.35

0.33

0.65

2016

2.98

0.88

2.07

0.26

32.66

1.00

1.63

13.70

5.12

0.80

0.13

0.24

0.25

2017

17.65

25.82

16.64

22.60

17.69

47.01

5.84

1.05

6.76

1.05

4.57

0.34

6.35

2018

0.51

6.96

3.73

1.38

0.14

0.08

42.75

0.15

0.04

6.55

1.56

0.03

1.90

2019

0.99

3.94

2.24

0.18

0.09

0.03

2.44

24.90

0.10

0.01

0.02

8.92

2.19

2020

0.06

3.75

1.73

0.10

0.10

0.01

0.02

19.27

32.76

1.56

7.77

9.64

4.62

2021

2.24

0.46

0.17

14.21

3.64

0.57

3.71

4.92

0.03

53.20

8.26

0.09

0.77

2022

2.77

2.66

1.44

1.13

0.52

5.82

1.56

1.43

35.55

13.87

25.16

0.09

17.03

2023

2.38

1.33

0.10

0.07

0.67

2.27

0.53

0.08

0.07

0.01

47.48

17.86

2024

0.01

0.69

1.08

1.24

0.19

17.58

12.68

0.05

1.29

2025

0.16

1.30

0.30

0.05

0.01

10.78

1.18

17.07

2026

2.22

0.22

0.08

0.08

0.00

0.22

0.74

0.80

0.38

0.14

21.30

0.58

20.87

2027

0.04

0.67

2.97

2.35

2.95

1.31

0.86

26.72

4.16

2028

1.14

0.98

0.09

0.06

0.03

0.04

0.01

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2029

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2030

0.95

3.88

0.93

2.44

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

0.40

2004

2031

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2032

0.74

0.29

0.30

0.35

0.27

2.46

7.71

0.62

0.72

0.27

0.31

1.60

0.95

2033

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2034

0.59

1.69

4.18

0.02

0.75

0.86

0.03

0.00

0.01

0.00

0.02

2035

2.55

0.08

0.01

0.26

0.26

0.01

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.10

2036

4.50

12.75

3.07

0.10

0.04

0.00

0.45

0.00

0.04

2037

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2038

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2039

0.63

0.38

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2040

0.75

0.62

0.11

0.00

0.03

2041

0.36

1.34

0.52

0.70

CCIL

2003

2042

0.25

0.49

0.43

102

Total

100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

statistics

NETTING FACTOR
Netting Factor denotes the extent of actual reduction achieved through multi-lateral offsetting of individual member
fund obligations (arising out of every trade) to a single net fund obligation. This process has significantly reduced
individual funding requirements for every member and also achieved reduction in market liquidity risk.
TABLE 19: NETTING FACTOR: FUNDS
Amount ` Crore

Settlement Period

Gross

Net

Netting Factor(%)

2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13

2324017
4038385
4582506
4460523
6275182
9646481
10756665
15502457
11233653
10996999
17585265

653519
979592
1037355
905062
968185
1596638
1674892
2642001
2561298
2191680
3101477

71.88
75.74
77.36
79.71
84.57
83.45
84.43
82.96
77.20
80.07
82.36

Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

2259001
3606734
2217646
1991334
1500787
1749375
1855848
1499640
16680367

400804
427103
378685
378470
398366
375461
307775
291044
2957708

82.26
88.16
82.92
80.99
73.46
78.54
83.42
80.59
82.27

2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Gross

Net
4250540
4384775
6123933
9536455
10365006
15056277
11078385
11011992
17395376
2207860
3415589
2140972
1975699
1548096
1815066
1921374
1560163
16584818

2462556
2012523
2418739
3776777
3750501
6461619
4883399
4139464
6568929
789856
957925
826715
794422
789780
843283
794093
670655
6466728

Amount ` Crore
Netting Factor(%)
42.06
54.10
60.50
60.40
63.82
57.08
55.92
62.41
62.24
64.23
71.95
61.39
59.79
48.98
53.54
58.67
57.01
61.01

CCIL

Settlement Period

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 20: NETTING FACTOR: SECURITIES

103

statistics

104

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 21: LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS FOR CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SECURITIES TRANSACTED DURING THE MONTH

Sr.
No.

Security

Value
Percent
traded in
No. of
Days
share in
Trades
Maturity traded (in last 12
last 12
(November
last 12
months
Date
months
(FV in
months)
2013)
Value
` Crore)

Value for
November 2013 (FV in
` Crore)

Average Daily Average Daily


Trading
Percent
Trading
Outstanding
Value in
share in
Turnover Value in last
(FV in
(November
12 months November Ratio*
` Crore)
(FV in
2013)
2013 (FV in
` Crore)
` Crore)

7.16% G.S. 2023

20-May-23

131

1035975

11.88

19379

169527

39.13

77000

220

7908

9418

8.28% G.S. 2027

21-Sep-27

193

249711

2.86

12257

114711

26.48

68252

168

1294

6037

8.12% G.S. 2020

10-Dec-20

235

281932

3.23

4410

41317

9.54

65000

64

1200

2175

7.28% G.S. 2019

03-Jun-19

119

131319

1.51

3759

38577

8.90

40000

96

1104

2030

8.83% G.S. 2023

25-Nov-23

35351

0.41

4361

35351

8.16

7000

505

7070

7070

8.32% G.S. 2032

02-Aug-32

184

36609

0.42

840

5582

1.29

57434

10

199

294

8.20% G.S. 2025

24-Sep-25

240

1581467

18.14

739

5100

1.18

90000

6589

268

9.20% G.S. 2030

30-Sep-30

40

10866

0.12

425

3541

0.82

11000

32

272

197

6.07% G.S. 2014

15-May-14

115

10423

0.12

72

2425

0.56

40000

91

202

10

8.83% G.S. 2041

12-Dec-41

227

85867

0.99

227

2251

0.52

89000

378

132

11

8.33% G.S. 2026

09-Jul-26

239

1921127

22.04

370

2206

0.51

90000

8038

123

12

8.30% G.S. 2042

31-Dec-42

177

40644

0.47

139

2140

0.49

49000

230

134

13

8.28% G.S. 2032

15-Feb-32

216

24448

0.28

216

1338

0.31

90687

113

79

14

8.24% G.S. 2027

15-Feb-27

104

3370

0.04

81

1046

0.24

63389

32

349

15

1.44% IIB 2023

05-Jun-23

54

4940

0.06

45

830

0.19

6000

14

91

104

16

6.72% G.S. 2014

24-Feb-14

27

1813

0.02

26

825

0.19

15274

67

92

17

8.07% G.S. 2017 (JUL)

03-Jul-17

234

540185

6.20

46

737

0.17

50000

2308

57

18

7.17% G.S. 2015

14-Jun-15

200

41126

0.47

60

618

0.14

56000

206

48

19

7.02% G.S. 2016

17-Aug-16

86

8356

0.10

10

600

0.14

60000

97

150

20

6.49% G.S. 2015

08-Jun-15

64

5062

0.06

21

487

0.11

40000

79

61

21

8.97% G.S. 2030

05-Dec-30

239

254006

2.91

177

475

0.11

90000

1063

25

22

8.19% G.S. 2020

16-Jan-20

192

124681

1.43

53

446

0.10

74000

649

45

TABLE 21: LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS FOR CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SECURITIES TRANSACTED DURING THE MONTH (Contd.)

Sr.
No.

Security

Value
Percent
No. of
Days
traded in
share in
Trades
Maturity traded (in last 12
last 12
last 12
(November
months
Date
months
(FV in
2013)
months)
Value
` Crore)

Value for
November 2013 (FV in
` Crore)

Average Daily Average Daily


Percent
Trading
Trading
Outstanding
share in
Value in
Turnover Value in last
(FV in
(November
Ratio*
12 months November ` Crore)
2013)
(FV in
2013 (FV in
` Crore)
` Crore)

7.59% G.S. 2016

12-Apr-16

130

9358

0.11

17

437

0.10

68000

72

44

24

8.07% G.S. 2017

15-Jan-17

122

6599

0.08

16

412

0.10

69000

54

82

25

8.15% G.S. 2022

11-Jun-22

228

1815059

20.82

38

324

0.07

83000

7961

27

26

7.38% G.S 2015

03-Sep-15

61

2166

0.02

310

0.07

63000

36

78

27

6.90% OMC SB 2026

04-Feb-26

97

4011

0.05

44

286

0.07

21942

41

36

28

8.79% G.S. 2021

08-Nov-21

166

48834

0.56

17

243

0.06

83000

294

35

29

9.15% G.S. 2024

14-Nov-24

214

127295

1.46

48

217

0.05

92000

595

18

30

7.99% G.S. 2017

09-Jul-17

114

9430

0.11

200

0.05

71000

83

50

31

7.80% G.S. 2021

11-Apr-21

169

20893

0.24

12

135

0.03

68000

124

27

32

7.49% G.S. 2017

16-Apr-17

101

2595

0.03

112

0.03

58000

26

56

33

7.83% G.S.2018

11-Apr-18

223

129812

1.49

14

109

0.03

73000

582

16

34

8.13% G.S. 2022

21-Sep-22

148

10812

0.12

71

0.02

70495

73

18

35

6.90% G.S. 2019

13-Jul-19

40

655

0.01

50

0.01

45000

16

13

36

7.40% G.S. 2035

09-Sep-35

109

6144

0.07

43

0.01

52000

56

11

37

7.95% OMC SB 2025

18-Jan-25

28

434

0.00

30

0.01

11257

16

30

38

10.79% G.S. 2015

19-May-15

26

0.00

25

0.01

2683

25

39

7.37% G.S. 2014

16-Apr-14

37

469

0.01

15

0.00

42000

13

40

6.05% G.S. 2019

02-Feb-19

28

433

0.00

15

0.00

53000

15

15

41

7.46% G.S 2017

28-Aug-17

73

793

0.01

10

0.00

57887

11

42

10.47% G.S. 2015

12-Feb-15

22

0.00

10

0.00

6430

10

43

6.25% G.S 2018

02-Jan-18

51

213

0.00

0.00

16887

44

8.26% G.S. 2027

02-Aug-27

153

7374

0.08

0.00

73427

48

105

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

statistics

23

statistics

106

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 21: LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS FOR CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SECURITIES TRANSACTED DURING THE MONTH (Contd.)
Sr.
No.

Security

Value
traded in
Days
Maturity traded (in last 12
last 12
months
Date
(FV in
months)
` Crore)

Percent
No. of
share in
Trades
last 12
(November
months
2013)
Value

Value for
November 2013 (FV in
` Crore)

Average Daily Average Daily


Trading
Percent
Trading
Outstanding
Value in
share in
Turnover Value in last
(FV in
(November
12 months November Ratio*
` Crore)
2013 (FV in
2013)
(FV in
` Crore)
` Crore)

45

6.35% G.S 2020

02-Jan-20

101

3396

0.04

0.00

61000

34

46

10.00% G.S. 2014

30-May-14

21

50

0.00

0.00

2333

47

10.50% G.S. 2014

29-Oct-14

17

32

0.00

0.00

1755

48

8.08% G.S. 2022

02-Aug-22

144

15970

0.18

0.00

61969

111

49

6.35% OMC SB 2024

23-Dec-24

67

3383

0.04

0.00

22000

50

50

6.17% G.S. 2023

12-Jun-23

25

106

0.00

0.00

14000

51

7.95% G.S 2032

28-Aug-32

93

986

0.01

0.00

59000

11

52

7.95% FERT SB 2026

18-Feb-26

52

406

0.00

0.00

3551

53

8.15% FCI SB 2022

16-Oct-22

27

53

0.00

0.00

5000

54

8.20% OMC SB 2024

15-Sep-24

32

97

0.00

0.00

10306

55

11.50% G.S. 2015

21-May-15

16

39

0.00

0.00

3560

56

Other Securities Traded During


The Past 12 Months But Not
Traded During The Month

60011

0.69

8717234

100.00

47997

433211

100.00

Total

*Turnover Ratio has been calculated as trading value as a percentage of outstanding of respective security.

statistics

TABLE 22: MARKET SHARE OF TOP 'N' SECURITIES


Top 10

Top 15

Top 20

39.01

57.30

70.28

79.43

2004-05

49.97

66.31

74.56

80.36

2005-06

63.75

82.82

89.67

92.85

2006-07

74.88

88.82

92.37

94.88

2007-08

66.35

83.84

92.54

95.79

2008-09

61.07

73.89

81.92

87.35

2009-10

60.71

79.08

86.48

90.54

2010-11

71.77

88.33

93.91

96.39

2011-12

85.51

94.15

97.07

98.68

2012-13

77.59

94.68

97.63

98.70

Apr-13

83.37

95.95

98.13

98.96

May-13

86.01

95.38

97.83

98.79

Jun-13

87.26

94.57

97.05

98.09

Jul-13

86.20

94.59

97.20

98.47

Aug-13

87.92

95.58

98.35

99.41

Sep-13

87.99

96.24

98.27

99.20

Oct-13

90.84

96.32

98.75

99.48

Nov-13

92.21

96.58

98.32

99.08

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

77.87

92.03

95.81

97.89

TABLE 23: MARKET SHARE OF MEMBERS IN OUTRIGHT SETTLEMENT


Settlement Period

Top 5

Top 10

Top 15

Percent

Top 20

2002-03

20.17

32.59

42.33

50.14

2003-04

19.02

31.58

40.63

48.49

2004-05

21.20

35.51

46.10

54.37

2005-06

21.84

37.47

49.11

57.64

2006-07

28.93

45.34

57.08

65.89

2007-08

27.42

43.65

56.17

65.31

2008-09

28.33

45.51

57.23

65.63

2009-10

28.74

44.32

55.32

63.35

2010-11

34.01

49.31

59.66

67.17

2011-12

30.04

47.85

60.10

68.81

2012-13

31.30

48.48

59.42

67.31

Apr-13

33.65

48.67

58.50

66.01

May-13

32.89

50.36

61.11

68.26

Jun-13

31.65

47.22

58.13

66.84

Jul-13

30.98

46.76

57.73

65.41

Aug-13

33.37

49.14

59.32

67.57

Sep-13

34.63

51.62

60.85

68.19

Oct-13

32.81

48.96

58.03

65.35

Nov-13

30.44

46.95

58.14

66.91

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

32.63

48.94

59.30

66.99

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Top 5

2003-04

CCIL

Period

Percent

107

statistics

TABLE 24: MARKET SHARE OF TOP FIVE MEMBERS (CATEGORYWISE)


Categories
No of Members

Cooperative
Banks
48

Foreign
Banks
36

Public Sector
Private
Banks
Sector Banks
27
19

Mutual
Funds
30

Percent

Primary
Dealers
8

2002-03

87.04

75.91

41.44

50.65

59.76

62.00

2003-04

76.72

75.48

43.88

53.33

55.47

62.96

2004-05

82.30

77.94

51.20

69.12

56.99

61.90

2005-06

75.10

77.91

53.45

71.55

56.49

56.95

2006-07

77.20

76.04

52.57

73.68

68.00

72.44

2007-08

86.70

74.99

55.29

73.01

70.20

86.20

2008-09

82.16

76.26

52.53

76.79

66.10

86.83

2009-10

72.08

79.86

47.99

79.61

64.19

82.44

2010-11

62.05

83.05

48.99

74.60

66.49

84.80

2011-12

61.15

75.91

51.48

74.43

68.01

82.38

2012-13

55.50

77.32

48.92

83.43

65.36

82.08

Apr-13

54.43

80.45

42.21

86.77

65.35

81.82

May-13

56.15

82.29

46.32

86.06

68.73

87.27

Jun-13

55.17

83.47

46.65

86.14

70.81

86.03

Jul-13

54.26

81.15

50.99

81.16

63.77

89.24

Aug-13

57.43

81.91

51.98

91.57

57.55

84.91

Sep-13

60.51

78.65

41.06

91.72

59.95

85.68

Oct-13

56.96

79.11

39.39

88.39

62.70

81.34

Nov-13

49.54

78.72

40.97

87.66

71.85

84.19

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

55.71

81.08

45.33

86.71

65.42

85.35

TRADING ANALYSIS
TABLE 25: TRADING PLATFORM ANALYSIS OF OUTRIGHT TRADES Amount ` Crore
OTC
Value

NDS-OM

% Share

% Share

Trades

Value

% Share

% Share

220890

49.64

43.02

2005-06

38809

292515

50.36

56.98

38251

2006-07

35322

368704

25.79

36.11

101641

652270

74.21

63.89

2007-08

31020

453226

16.43

27.42

157823

1199919

83.57

72.58

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Trades

2008-09

35288

613229

14.35

28.36

210585

1548906

85.65

71.64

2009-10

40736

798397

12.87

27.41

275769

2113896

87.13

72.59

2010-11

42710

622558

12.85

21.73

289636

2241886

87.15

78.27

2011-12

44908

731938

10.89

20.96

367495

2760795

89.11

79.04

2012-13

57757

1179701

8.79

17.91

599316

5408334

91.21

82.09

Apr-13

4770

147561

5.19

13.70

87077

929259

94.81

86.30

May-13

6616

191181

4.58

10.15

137892

1691531

95.42

89.85

Jun-13

4223

127548

5.48

14.16

72850

773525

94.52

85.84

Jul-13

4371

111540

6.57

16.30

62157

572715

93.43

83.70

Aug-13

5264

126766

12.54

29.08

36704

309120

87.46

70.92

Sep-13

5190

130964

9.41

22.85

49987

442272

90.59

77.15

CCIL

Period

Oct-13

4573

112696

7.20

17.96

58963

514802

92.80

82.04

4081

94134

8.03

18.62

46738

411503

91.97

81.38

39088

1042391

6.61

15.59

552368

5644726

93.39

84.41

Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

108

statistics

TABLE 26A: WHEN-ISSUED TRADING DETAILS


Amount ` Crore

Security Description

Maturity Date

Trades

Value

8.12% G.S. 2020

10-Dec-20

10

50

8.83% G.S. 2023

25-Nov-23

58

395

8.24% G.S. 2027

15-Feb-27

92

965

8.28% G.S. 2027

21-Sep-27

35

195

195

1605

Total

TABLE 26B: WHEN-ISSUED TRADING - HISTORICAL


Amount ` Crore

Period

Trades

Value

2006-07

154

1270

2007-08

169

1530

2008-09

335

3000

2009-10

320

3180

2010-11

306

2715

2011-12

391

2985

2012-13

1586

11805

Apr-13

173

1220

May-13

75

565

Jun-13

87

855

Jul-13

144

1080

Aug-13

255

1830

Sep-13

78

805

Oct-13

124

900

Nov-13

195

1605

1131

8860

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Category

Trades

Sell
Value

Trades

Value

Co-operative Banks

4.07

2.39

3.83

1.96

Financial Institutions

0.86

0.57

0.12

0.09

24.87

28.11

26.91

30.65

1.71

2.11

1.43

1.30

12.62

17.73

14.98

17.21

Foreign Banks
Insurance Companies
Mutual Funds
Others
Primary Dealers
Private Sector Banks
Provident Funds
Public Sector Banks

1.45

1.55

1.03

1.44

20.85

18.47

22.71

23.27

9.19

10.04

9.28

10.19

0.19

0.65

0.00

0.00

24.18

18.38

19.71

13.87

CCIL

Percent

Buy

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 27: MARKET SHARE IN PROPRIETARY TRADES*

* Trade Data

109

statistics

TABLE 28: MARKET SHARE IN CONSTITUENT TRADES*


Percent

Constituent Category

Buy

Sell

Trades

Value

Banks

Trades

0.00

Value

0.00

0.06

0.13

Co-operative Banks

19.66

5.79

8.75

2.15

Corporates

12.48

38.79

26.13

51.22

3.04

11.87

2.88

7.22

FIIs
Insurance Companies

12.28

12.63

7.67

8.60

Mutual Funds

2.96

2.05

4.22

2.94

Finance Cos.

21.20

13.26

35.91

16.13

Others

1.03

0.53

0.13

0.01

Primary Dealers

2.96

2.62

6.65

5.63

Provident Funds

24.40

12.46

7.60

5.97

*Trade data

TABLE 29: TURNOVER RATIO


Percent

Current Month
1.34%

Previous Month

3 Months

1.52%

6 Months

0.97%

12 Months

5.31%

1.11%

TABLE 30: NET MARKET ACTIVITY IN G-SEC TRADING


Percent

Foreign
Banks
-15.08

Mutual
Funds
4.35

5-Nov-13

-3.96

6-Nov-13

-10.81

7-Nov-13

-2.78

Date

3.57

-0.13

-0.92

-3.23

-0.31

8.55

0.90

1.81

-2.96

3.75

7.31

0.13

1.99

-4.00

-0.64

5.30

8-Nov-13

-4.43

1.19

8.07

-14.14

5.36

3.95

11-Nov-13

-5.16

5.79

0.84

-0.95

-3.08

2.56

12-Nov-13

-3.28

-1.94

1.04

-3.70

2.63

5.25

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Private Sector Public Sector


Banks
Banks
10.57
3.48

13-Nov-13

-1.20

-5.71

-0.47

3.58

3.75

0.04

14-Nov-13

-0.02

4.29

1.74

-7.27

-3.07

4.33

18-Nov-13

3.50

-2.50

2.99

-0.58

1.78

-5.18

19-Nov-13

4.24

-3.28

0.19

-0.66

1.06

-1.55

20-Nov-13

-3.95

0.32

1.04

-0.36

-2.68

5.62

21-Nov-13

-5.38

-2.73

0.80

-3.59

1.41

9.49

22-Nov-13

4.78

-5.49

5.13

-8.54

2.37

1.76

25-Nov-13

-3.01

-0.54

0.67

-1.65

-5.71

10.24

26-Nov-13

2.75

-5.29

0.42

-1.65

0.11

3.65

27-Nov-13

-1.10

0.50

0.54

1.68

-1.26

-0.35

28-Nov-13

-4.76

-0.88

2.26

-0.78

-2.81

6.97

CCIL

1-Nov-13

Primary
Dealers
-6.88

Others

29-Nov-13

-3.44

-0.54

3.92

-8.96

2.56

6.46

Net Activity in Nov-13

-2.52

-0.82

1.83

-3.22

0.93

3.81

110

TABLE 31: TRADING SUMMARY


Amount ` Crore

Date
1-Nov-13

SDL

Central Government
Trades
2166

Value
28171

Trades
17

T-Bills
Value
152

Trades
45

Total

Value
1320

Trades
2228

Repo
Value
29644

2-Nov-13

Trades

CBLO
Value

Trades

Forex*

Value

297

48046

524

28602

128

8327

Trades

Value

5276

17587

5-Nov-13

1376

11876

54

665

100

4880

1530

17421

199

34043

709

70078

4744

17789

6-Nov-13

2114

18679

67

353

127

4711

2308

23743

181

27641

700

65948

5345

16733

7-Nov-13

2438

19751

87

1049

75

3346

2600

24145

164

24465

729

63677

3604

13600

8-Nov-13

1885

19502

69

751

27

867

1981

21121

168

24284

706

53303

5487

15942

213

10954

9-Nov-13
11-Nov-13

2756

22709

54

422

27

1031

2837

24163

166

23246

637

54852

12-Nov-13

2563

21303

75

484

48

1908

2686

23696

159

23377

626

53755

9610

20881

13-Nov-13

3785

32047

69

349

105

4612

3959

37009

179

23441

647

62370

6004

14751

14-Nov-13

2413

22505

30

137

41

1887

2484

24530

360

50408

546

31847

193

4628

600

193

8057

16-Nov-13
18-Nov-13

1277

10596

51

325

29

520

1357

11441

166

23593

701

70301

12490

26739

19-Nov-13

3650

34485

111

2529

46

1628

3807

38642

170

22236

711

71872

5794

15988

20-Nov-13

2459

21828

106

815

113

5082

2678

27726

186

25310

766

75442

5577

15211

21-Nov-13

1745

13207

86

512

66

1087

1897

14806

162

23673

726

75880

6144

15676

22-Nov-13

2506

27163

65

216

56

2274

2627

29653

168

22513

785

75739

5825

12920

150

7370

25-Nov-13

2529

22362

32

194

79

3929

2640

26486

150

19730

731

76793

5935

13837

26-Nov-13

3824

33205

56

259

55

2774

3935

36238

148

21348

742

80584

5116

12023

27-Nov-13

3037

26846

73

349

146

6008

3256

33203

154

22707

746

83088

5658

13854

28-Nov-13

3162

26856

63

403

88

5432

3313

32691

181

27728

794

80833

29-Nov-13

2599

26766

43

274

54

2243

2696

29282

332

51544

521

27424

17209

77434

178

12083

23-Nov-13

30-Nov-13
Total

48284

111

CCIL

1208

10237

1327

55540

50819

505637

3692

539935

13909

1249180

110011

325595

23151

64

539

70

2923

2675

26612

154

22497

580

52049

6471

19153

86.99

2.38

2.02

2.61

10.98

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

statistics

Average
2541
Market
95.01
Share (%)
*Amount in USD Million

439861

statistics

112

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 32: G-SEC TRADING ANALYSIS


Amount ` Crore

Date
1-Nov-13

Total (Gilts)
Brokered Deals (Gilts)
NDS-OM (Gilts)
OTC (Gilts)
No. of
Market
No. of
Market
No. of
Market
No. of
Value
Trades
Value
Trades
Value
Trades
Trades
Value
Securities
Share (%)
Securities
Share (%)
Securities
Share (%)
Securities
6.51
23
2166
1833
6
59
28171
19
17
1987
8953
179
19218
31.78
68.22

5-Nov-13

49

13

1051

8.85

1327

14

10825

91.15

19

510

4.29

1376

17

11876

6-Nov-13

109

17

1661

8.89

2005

21

17019

91.11

26

10

573

3.07

2114

26

18679

7-Nov-13

107

15

1101

5.57

2331

21

18649

94.43

156

0.79

2438

27

19751

8-Nov-13

213

19

6471

33.18

1672

19

13031

66.82

32

10

1485

7.61

1885

24

19502

11-Nov-13

151

14

2142

9.43

2605

18

20567

90.57

22

831

3.66

2756

20

22709

12-Nov-13

152

16

2782

13.06

2411

16

18521

86.94

29

1827

8.58

2563

19

21303

13-Nov-13

144

18

2240

6.99

3641

17

29808

93.01

27

1127

3.52

3785

22

32047

14-Nov-13

142

17

2907

12.92

2271

17

19598

87.08

19

870

3.87

2413

21

22505

18-Nov-13

109

13

1598

15.08

1168

15

8998

84.92

26

723

6.82

1277

17

10596

19-Nov-13

149

13

3836

11.12

3501

19

30649

88.88

41

2060

5.97

3650

20

34485

20-Nov-13

120

16

1591

7.29

2339

15

20237

92.71

28

877

4.02

2459

21

21828

21-Nov-13

109

18

1153

8.73

1636

18

12054

91.27

15

585

4.43

1745

21

13207

22-Nov-13

183

18

5154

18.97

2323

14

22009

81.03

25

10

700

2.58

2506

20

27163

25-Nov-13

120

18

1614

7.22

2409

21

20748

92.78

26

10

861

3.85

2529

22

22362

26-Nov-13

161

20

2570

7.74

3663

24

30636

92.26

44

14

1252

3.77

3824

27

33205

27-Nov-13

94

18

754

2.81

2943

19

26092

97.19

19

425

1.58

3037

23

26846

28-Nov-13

162

22

1575

5.86

3000

18

25282

94.14

17

353

1.31

3162

25

26856

29-Nov-13

181

17

5127

19.16

2418

21

21638

80.84

35

1470

5.49

2599

24

26766

Total
Average
Percent
Market Share

2634
139

17

54281

45650

2857

2403
12.34

18

385580

518

20294

27
87.66

18517

48284

975

2541
4.21

439861
22

23151

TABLE 33: T-BILL TRADING ANALYSIS


Amount ` Crore

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

Market
Share (%)

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

Total (T-Bills)

Brokered Deals (T-Bills)

NDS-OM (T-Bills)

OTC (T-Bills)
Date

Market
Share (%)

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

Market
Share (%)

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

1-Nov-13

20

11

661

50.06

25

10

659

49.94

221

16.72

45

16

1320

5-Nov-13

19

12

1545

31.66

81

22

3335

68.34

11

1330

27.25

100

27

4880

6-Nov-13

38

13

1616

34.30

89

19

3095

65.70

470

9.98

127

24

4711

7-Nov-13

23

11

1276

38.13

52

13

2070

61.87

337

10.09

75

15

3346

8-Nov-13

14

572

65.92

13

296

34.08

235

27.13

27

15

867

11-Nov-13

17

11

931

90.30

10

100

9.70

540

52.35

27

14

1031

12-Nov-13

20

12

1143

59.91

28

765

40.09

697

36.52

48

16

1908

13-Nov-13

55

10

3057

66.28

50

17

1555

33.72

10

639

13.86

105

21

4612

14-Nov-13

25

14

1618

85.72

16

270

14.28

658

34.86

41

16

1887

18-Nov-13

168

32.29

20

15

352

67.71

149

28.70

29

18

520

19-Nov-13

10

432

26.56

36

11

1196

73.44

280

17.20

46

18

1628

20-Nov-13

69

18

4022

79.14

44

15

1060

20.86

14

12

1443

28.39

113

23

5082

21-Nov-13

28

10

367

33.75

38

10

720

66.25

100

9.17

66

14

1087

22-Nov-13

21

11

1434

63.06

35

10

840

36.94

10

820

36.06

56

16

2274

25-Nov-13

27

16

2394

60.92

52

14

1536

39.08

13

10

1585

40.34

79

24

3929

26-Nov-13

18

12

984

35.49

37

15

1790

64.51

832

30.00

55

20

2774

27-Nov-13

82

15

4545

75.65

64

21

1463

24.35

11

1178

19.60

146

27

6008

28-Nov-13

44

18

4182

76.99

44

17

1250

23.01

14

13

1797

33.08

88

26

5432

29-Nov-13

13

990

44.14

41

16

1253

55.86

315

14.05

54

18

2243

Total

552

Average

29

Percent Market
Share

775

1681

41
57.50

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

13

23602

150

1242

8
42.50

13626

1327

717

70

55540
19

2923

24.53

statistics

113

CCIL

12

31937

statistics

114

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 34: SDL TRADING ANALYSIS


Amount ` Crore

Total (SDLs)

Brokered Deals (SDLs)

NDS-OM (SDLs)

OTC (SDLs)

Market
Share
(%)
-

52.33

27.44

15

187

24.86

137

32.38

12

59

12.25

11

15

80

23.00

60

43.75

95.34

15

93.10

15

174

74.32

30

11

337

65.93

21

196

90.56

10

80

41.05

18

178

68.76

56

14

256

28-Nov-13

43

20

29-Nov-13

24

Market
Share
(%)
4.18

76.62

12

155

23.38

168

47.67

21

185

761

72.56

35

11

288

19

565

75.14

26

10

14

285

67.62

20

61

15

425

87.75

14

13-Nov-13

54

22

269

77.00

14-Nov-13

27

10

77

56.25

18-Nov-13

44

22

309

19-Nov-13

96

19

2354

20-Nov-13

76

21

606

21-Nov-13

65

16

22-Nov-13

59

12

25-Nov-13

20

26-Nov-13

39

27-Nov-13

1-Nov-13

14

146

Market
Share
(%)
95.82

5-Nov-13

42

15

509

6-Nov-13

46

14

7-Nov-13

52

15

8-Nov-13

43

11-Nov-13

34

12-Nov-13

Date

Total
Average
Percent
Market Share

Trades

No. of
Securities

895
47

15

Value

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

Trades

No. of
Securities

Value

17

152

54

17

665

20

5.64

67

18

353

375

35.74

87

22

1049

259

34.43

69

30

751

140

33.19

54

19

422

260

53.75

75

26

484

50

14.32

69

25

349

30

10

137

4.66

51

26

325

6.90

95

3.76

111

21

2529

209

25.68

15

1.84

106

24

815

174

34.07

86

18

512

20

9.44

78

35.92

65

14

216

12

115

58.95

25

12.86

32

11

194

17

81

31.23

50

19.34

56

20

259

73.53

17

92

26.47

120

34.41

73

17

349

215

53.36

20

188

46.64

63

21

403

179

65.60

19

94

34.40

50

18.28

43

20

274

7916

313

417

16
77.33

2321

72

122

4
22.67

1536

1208

81

64
15.01

10237
19

539

statistics

TABLE 35: LIQUIDITY OF TRADES GREATER THAN `5 CRORE (G-SEC)


ISINDESC

No. of
Trades

Value
(` Cr.)

7.16% G.S. 2023

18949

167255

38.15

18

18

8.28% G.S. 2027

12122

115143

26.26

19

19

8.12% G.S. 2020

4423

42360

9.66

19

19

8.83% G.S. 2023

4835

38946

8.88

7.28% G.S. 2019

3583

37249

8.50

18

18

8.32% G.S. 2032

583

5404

1.23

19

19

8.20% G.S. 2025

569

4739

1.08

19

19

8.24% G.S. 2027

251

4698

1.07

9.20% G.S. 2030

369

4025

0.92

18

14

10

8.83% G.S. 2041

184

2874

0.66

15

11

11

6.07% G.S. 2014

74

2440

0.56

13

12

8.30% G.S. 2042

115

2129

0.49

16

13

8.33% G.S. 2026

251

2093

0.48

18

16

14

6.72% G.S. 2014

31

890

0.20

10

15

8.28% G.S. 2032

104

827

0.19

12

16

1.44% IIB 2023

45

810

0.18

17

7.17% G.S. 2015

67

744

0.17

18

7.02% G.S. 2016

12

710

0.16

19

8.07% G.S. 2017 (JUL)

39

605

0.14

10

20

6.49% G.S. 2015

19

481

0.11

21

8.19% G.S. 2020

51

465

0.11

10

22

7.59% G.S. 2016

15

435

0.10

23

8.07% G.S. 2017

410

0.09

24

8.97% G.S. 2030

47

388

0.09

11

25

8.15% G.S. 2022

39

375

0.09

11

26

7.38% G.S 2015

310

0.07

27

6.90% OMC SB 2026

37

269

0.06

28

8.79% G.S. 2021

10

250

0.06

29

7.99% G.S. 2017

200

0.05

30

7.56% G.S. 2014

175

0.04

31

7.80% G.S. 2021

12

135

0.03

32

7.49% G.S. 2017

110

0.03

33

7.83% G.S.2018

95

0.02

Days
Traded

Days Traded with 5


trades or more per day

Days Traded with less


than 5 trades per day

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Market
Share (% )

CCIL

Sr.
No.

115

statistics

ISINDESC

No. of
Trades

Value
(` Cr.)

34

9.15% G.S. 2024

11

95

0.02

35

8.13% G.S. 2022

70

0.02

36

6.90% G.S. 2019

50

0.01

37

7.40% G.S. 2035

40

0.01

38

7.95% OMC SB 2025

29

0.01

39

10.79% G.S. 2015

25

0.01

40

6.05% G.S. 2019

15

0.00

41

7.37% G.S. 2014

15

0.00

42

10.47% G.S. 2015

10

0.00

43

7.46% G.S 2017

10

0.00

44

6.25% G.S 2018

0.00

45

10.00% G.S. 2014

0.00

46

8.26% G.S. 2027

0.00

46903

438412

100.00

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Sr.
No.

116

Market
Share (% )

Days
Traded

Days Traded with 5


trades or more per day

Days Traded with less


than 5 trades per day

statistics

TABLE 36: LIQUIDITY DISTRIBUTION (G-SEC)

5 or more Trades Per Day


Days
ISINDESC
Trades
Traded
8.28% G.S. 2027
19
12122

8.12% G.S. 2020

19

4423

42360

6.07% G.S. 2014

22

785

8.32% G.S. 2032

19

583

5404

8.97% G.S. 2030

17

133

8.20% G.S. 2025

19

569

4739

6.72% G.S. 2014

21

700

7.16% G.S. 2023

18

18949

167255

8.19% G.S. 2020

16

225

7.28% G.S. 2019

18

3583

37249

7.59% G.S. 2016

15

435

8.33% G.S. 2026

16

247

2043

8.28% G.S. 2032

17

115

9.20% G.S. 2030

14

360

3935

8.15% G.S. 2022

14

180

8.83% G.S. 2041

11

177

2819

8.07% G.S. 2017 (JUL)

150

10

8.30% G.S. 2042

102

1984

6.90% OMC SB 2026

13

99

11

8.83% G.S. 2023

4835

38946

7.83% G.S.2018

95

12

7.17% G.S. 2015

62

709

9.15% G.S. 2024

11

95

13

6.07% G.S. 2014

52

1655

1.44% IIB 2023

11

120

14

8.28% G.S. 2032

87

712

6.49% G.S. 2015

225

15

8.07% G.S. 2017 (JUL)

30

455

9.20% G.S. 2030

90

16

8.15% G.S. 2022

25

195

8.83% G.S. 2041

55

17

8.24% G.S. 2027

251

4698

7.02% G.S. 2016

475

18

1.44% IIB 2023

34

690

8.79% G.S. 2021

220

19

8.97% G.S. 2030

30

255

7.80% G.S. 2021

45

20

6.72% G.S. 2014

10

190

6.90% G.S. 2019

50

21

6.49% G.S. 2015

10

256

7.17% G.S. 2015

35

22

8.19% G.S. 2020

35

240

7.38% G.S 2015

310

23

7.02% G.S. 2016

235

7.99% G.S. 2017

200

24

8.07% G.S. 2017

200

7.37% G.S. 2014

15

25

6.90% OMC SB 2026

24

170

8.33% G.S. 2026

50

26

8.79% G.S. 2021

30

8.07% G.S. 2017

210

27

7.80% G.S. 2021

90

8.13% G.S. 2022

70

28

7.40% G.S. 2035

40

29

7.56% G.S. 2014

175

30

7.49% G.S. 2017

110

31

7.95% OMC SB 2025

29

32

10.79% G.S. 2015

25

33

6.05% G.S. 2019

15

34

10.47% G.S. 2015

10

35

7.46% G.S 2017

10

36

6.25% G.S 2018

37

10.00% G.S. 2014

38

8.26% G.S. 2027


Total
Expected Bond Days
Efficiency

57

5609
513
11.11

51710

Value
(` Cr.)
145

Total

151

281

5757

Expected Bond Days

924

Efficiency

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Value
(` Cr.)
115143

Less than 5 Trades Per Day


Days
ISINDESC
Trades
Traded
8.30% G.S. 2042
9
13

CCIL

Sr.
No.

16.34

117

statistics

MONEY MARKET
Amount ` Crore

TABLE 37: MONEY MARKET COMPARISON


Call
Period
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Value
2416589
3020846
3654936
3455931
3657632
2489975
2908906
4013031
4677777
440667
401567
388163
380929
330366
323593
321061
356312
2942658

Repo
Daily
Average
Value
8304
10310
12474
11835
12744
8737
9894
13886
16186
20030
16063
24536
14651
13215
13483
12842
14846
15014

Value
1560510
1694509
2556501
3948741
4094286
6072829
4099284
3763877
5402766
603520
763713
613400
670303
564856
617125
651575
539935
5024428

CBLO
Daily
Average
Value
5363
5783
8725
13523
14266
21308
13943
12934
18695
27433
30549
24536
25781
22594
25714
26063
22497
25635

Daily
Average
Value
3357
10079
16151
27777
30748
54531
41700
38335
41620
59015
48706
61558
76018
69364
69514
55284
52049
61557

Value
976789
2953132
4732272
8110828
8824784
15541378
12259715
11155428
12028040
1298341
1217645
1538959
1976477
1734095
1668333
1382101
1249180
12065130

COLLATERALISED BORROWING AND LENDING OBLIGATION (CBLO)


Number of Participants: 234
Amount ` Crore

TABLE 38: CBLO TRADING

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Period

118

2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Overnight
Trades

Value

Term
Trades

Total
Value

Trades

Daily Average
Value

Trades

Value

157
829
2280
58136
22802
768294
54026 2391854
69602 3860456
93282 6699077
94344 7099527
115171 12747733
121286 10516301
118699 9481527
129197 10194520

2
780
6549
13437
16279
19995
24597
26881
24097
25250
26902

23
18715
208497
561280
871815
1411751
1725258
2793645
1743444
1673901
1833520

159
3060
29351
67463
85881
113277
118941
142052
145383
143949
156099

852
76851
976790
2953134
4732271
8110828
8824784
15541378
12259745
11155428
12028040

3
10
101
229
292
385
414
498
495
495
540

16
251
3345
10045
16096
27588
30748
54531
41700
38335
41620

10066 1088727
11640 1088744
11913 1315710
14975 1693825
12416 1383690
12682 1447616
12071 1191393
11137 1042961
96900 10252667

2306
1886
2404
2533
3448
2377
2214
2772
19940

209614
128901
223249
282653
350405
220717
190708
206219
1812464

12372 1298341
13526 1217645
14317 1538959
17508 1976477
15864 1734095
15059 1668333
14285 1382101
13909 1249180
116840 12065130

562
541
573
673
635
627
571
580
596

59015
48706
61558
76018
69364
69514
55284
52049
61557

statistics

MARKET REPO
TABLE 39: REPO TERM ANALYSIS
4-7 days
%t to
% to
total no
total
of
value
trades
15.46
15.95
13.63
14.37
5.30
6.35
3.06
2.71
4.32
3.57
2.80
2.69
4.35
4.17
6.23
6.00
2.96
2.68
5.17
5.24
3.49
4.16
9.41
10.15
0.24
0.17
7.70
7.53
0.24
0.19
11.87
12.67
10.57
11.99
0.48
0.89
18.66
19.61
6.91
7.31

8-14 days
% to
% to
total no
total
of
value
trades
2.26
1.78
0.58
0.34
0.09
0.11
0.19
0.08
0.12
0.07
0.03
0.01
0.07
0.03
0.19
0.23
0.27
0.08
0.39
0.11
0.14
0.21
0.05
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.12
0.19
0.10
0.09
0.03
0.00
0.03
0.00
0.10
0.04
0.14
0.04
0.07
0.06

TABLE 40: INSTRUMENTWISE SETTLEMENT OF REPO TRADES


Cen. Govt. Dated Securities
Treasury Bills
Settlement Period
Avg.
%
Avg.
%
Values
Value
Value
Share
Value
Share
2002-03
403971
1360
86.28
64238
216
13.72
2003-04
874438
2974
92.71
59222
201
6.28
2004-05
1262149
4322
81.02
286955
983
18.42
2005-06
1369411
4674
80.81
277687
948
16.39
2006-07
2126634
7233
83.19
379165
1290
14.83
2007-08
3569960
12102
90.41
323984
1098
8.20
2008-09
3475348
12109
84.88
583335
2033
14.25
2009-10
5233295
18362
86.18
812537
2851
13.38
2010-11
3253965
11068
79.38
832632
2832
20.31
2011-12
2186877
7515
58.10 1554121
5341
41.29
2012-13
2918337
10098
54.02 2413144
8350
44.66
Apr-13
339880
15449
56.32
262403
11927
43.48
May-13
477785
19111
62.56
282180
11287
36.95
Jun-13
312330
12493
50.92
298809
11952
48.71
Jul-13
313089
12042
46.71
356846
13725
53.24
Aug-13
242467
9699
42.93
321197
12848
56.86
Sep-13
270291
11262
43.80
343247
14302
55.62
Oct-13
293186
11727
45.00
356612
14264
54.73
Nov-13
241205
10050
44.67
296341
12348
54.88
2013-14 (Upto November 2013) 2490233
12705
49.56 2517635
12845
50.11

>14 days
% to
% to
total no
total
of
value
trades
1.27
1.11
0.11
0.06
0.02
0.02
0.08
0.04
0.31
0.11
0.30
0.09
0.17
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.32
0.13
0.72
0.18
0.18
0.05
0.03
0.00
0.02
0.01
0.07
0.00
0.02
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.17
0.02
0.30
0.07
0.07
0.01
Amount ` Crore

State Development Loans


Avg.
%
Value
Values
Share
20
0
0.00
9530
32
1.01
8803
30
0.57
47411
162
2.80
50677
172
1.98
54807
186
1.39
35603
124
0.87
26996
95
0.44
12688
43
0.31
22878
79
0.61
71282
247
1.32
1237
56
0.21
3748
150
0.49
2261
90
0.37
368
14
0.05
1193
48
0.21
3587
149
0.58
1777
71
0.27
2389
100
0.44
16560
84
0.33

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

2-3 days
% to
% to
total no
total
of
value
trades
30.96
31.01
32.68
32.94
26.30
24.23
25.73
25.11
21.58
21.06
22.86
23.25
27.17
27.04
23.07
24.25
27.94
31.12
26.27
28.53
27.13
27.75
34.60
35.64
29.04
29.95
17.00
18.39
26.23
27.36
29.31
29.98
17.76
17.90
34.12
33.55
17.96
18.05
25.93
26.59

CCIL

O/N
% to
% to
Settlement Period
total no
total
of
value
trades
2002-03
50.05
50.15
2003-04
53.00
52.29
2004-05
68.29
69.29
2005-06
70.93
72.06
2006-07
73.68
75.19
2007-08
74.00
73.97
2008-09
68.24
68.69
2009-10
70.42
69.51
2010-11
68.51
65.99
2011-12
67.46
65.94
2012-13
69.06
67.82
Apr-13
55.91
54.04
May-13
70.70
69.88
Jun-13
75.11
73.89
Jul-13
73.41
72.35
Aug-13
58.79
57.34
Sep-13
71.64
70.10
Oct-13
65.15
65.51
Nov-13
62.95
62.23
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)
67.02
66.03

Percent

119

statistics

TABLE 41: CROMS TRADING ACTIVITY


Number of Participants: 148
CROMS SPECIAL

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Date

120

No. of
Value
Trades

CROMS BASKET

WAR

No. of
Trades

Value

Amount ` Crore

CROMS - TOTAL

REPO

WAR

No. of
Trades

Value

WAR

No. of
Trades

Value

% Share
of
CROMS
WAR in Repo
volumes

1-Nov-13

73

6413 8.6548

209

39937 8.6225

282

46350

8.6270

297

48046

8.6253

96.47

5-Nov-13

48

4562 8.6430

133

24926 8.4171

181

29488

8.4521

199

34043

8.4480

86.62

6-Nov-13

69

7468 8.1137

99

18630 7.8802

168

26098

7.9470

181

27641

7.9427

94.42

7-Nov-13

50

5203 8.0759

98

17704 8.1135

148

22907

8.1049

164

24465

8.1031

93.63

8-Nov-13

63

5393 8.4971

88

16354 8.4658

151

21747

8.4736

168

24284

8.4948

89.55

11-Nov-13

61

4905 8.6422

92

15764 8.7270

153

20669

8.7069

166

23246

8.7203

88.92

12-Nov-13

52

4714 8.7168

94

16505 8.7658

146

21219

8.7549

159

23377

8.7527

90.77

13-Nov-13

66

5036 8.6735

98

16422 8.7786

164

21458

8.7540

179

23441

8.7535

91.54

14-Nov-13

92

6005 8.6131

256

42856 8.6591

348

48861

8.6534

360

50408

8.6521

96.93

18-Nov-13

45

4548 8.6919

108

17561 8.7270

153

22109

8.7198

166

23593

8.7200

93.71

19-Nov-13

60

4459 8.7252

98

16241 8.7445

158

20700

8.7403

170

22236

8.7399

93.09

20-Nov-13

62

5215 8.7368

111

18439 8.7498

173

23654

8.7469

186

25310

8.7458

93.46

21-Nov-13

55

3998 8.7307

94

18096 8.7481

149

22094

8.7450

162

23673

8.7440

93.33

22-Nov-13

69

4261 8.6788

88

17042 8.7036

157

21303

8.6986

168

22513

8.7009

94.63

25-Nov-13

61

3989 8.6414

78

14232 8.7175

139

18221

8.7008

150

19730

8.7011

92.35

26-Nov-13

45

2782 8.6644

91

17087 8.7205

136

19869

8.7126

148

21348

8.7122

93.07

27-Nov-13

53

3534 8.6183

88

17789 8.6663

141

21323

8.6583

154

22707

8.6680

93.91

28-Nov-13

60

3826 8.4853

108

22186 8.5497

168

26012

8.5402

181

27728

8.5507

93.81

29-Nov-13

72

4405 7.9288

248

45361 7.7817

320

49766

7.7947

332

51544

7.7867

96.55

3690

539335

Total

1156 90716

2279 413133

3435 503849

93.42

statistics

TABLE 42: CROMS HISTORICAL SUMMARY


Amount ` Crore

CROMS-SPECIAL
Period
Trades

Value

CROMS-BASKET

% Share
Trades
in Repo

2008-09

957

93369

9.05

2009-10

5336

742575

2010-11

8718

26

Value

CROMS

% Share
Trades
in Repo

853

0.08

12.23

9888 3543468

810326

19.78

2011-12

12757 1333933

2012-13

18732 1936643

983

Total
Value

Daily
%
Average Sharein
Value
Repo

94222

2298

9.14

58.38

15224 4286042

17933

70.61

10181 2016259

49.21

18899 2826585

11398

68.98

35.45

9519 1233105

32.77

22276 2567038

10652

68.23

35.85

18543 2927336

54.19

37275 4863979

19692

90.05

Apr-13

1226

143152

23.72

2402

414427

68.67

3628

557579

30977

92.39

May-13

1766

213365

27.94

2947

525399

68.80

4713

738764

33580

96.73

Jun-13

1623

164191

26.77

2280

411263

67.06

3903

575454

27403

93.84

Jul-13

1354

125098

18.66

2089

330602

49.32

3443

455700

19813

67.98

Aug-13

936

90896

16.09

2189

384267

68.03

3125

475163

23758

84.12

Sep-13

1008

105897

17.16

2371

474264

76.85

3379

580161

29008

94.01

Oct-13

1133

106894

17.27

2772

503402

81.34

3905

610296

29062

98.61

Nov-13

1156

90716

16.82

2279

413133

76.60

3435

503849

26518

93.42

10202 1040209

21.17

19329 3456756

67.87

29531 4496966

27421

89.05

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

TABLE 43: TOP 5 SECURITIES - BASKET REPO


Amount ` Crore

24-04-2014 MATURING 182 DTB

Value

RATE

96

45519

8.5691

7.28% G.S. 2019

157

35886

8.6439

8.12% G.S. 2020

99

17431

8.5796

7.17% G.S. 2015

103

16537

8.4894

7.16% G.S. 2023

89

16068

8.3936

TABLE 44: TOP 5 SECURITIES - SPECIAL REPO


Amount ` Crore

SECURITY

TRADES

Value

RATE

7.28% G.S. 2019

74

13612

8.6338

7.16% G.S. 2023

209

11675

8.4911

8.12% G.S. 2020

66

10486

8.4887

8.28% G.S. 2027

191

9957

8.3410

38

9591

8.6368

08-05-2014 MATURING 182 DTB

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TRADES

CCIL

SECURITY

121

statistics

CALL MONEY MARKET


TABLE 45: DEALT TRANSACTIONS ON THE NDS-CALL PLATFORM
Amount ` Crore

CALL

NOTICE

Term

Total

Date

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Trade

122

Value

WAR

Trade

Value

WAR

Trade

Value

WAR

Trade

Value

1-Nov-13

11

805

7.0938

165

17262

8.6238

100

9.0000

177

18167

2-Nov-13

770

7.7403

770

5-Nov-13

138

12371

8.1098

112

9.3830

143

12483

6-Nov-13

154

13118

8.1334

203

9.1532

157

13321

7-Nov-13

149

15036

8.2688

25

8.3500

151

15061

8-Nov-13

305

8.4303

126

11187

8.6315

150

9.6000

131

11642

9-Nov-13

122

6.8004

122

11-Nov-13

151

13689

8.7555

303

9.1297

157

13992

12-Nov-13

175

16252

8.7685

200

8.8000

177

16452

13-Nov-13

164

15229

8.7905

34

8.8000

165

9.1591

167

15428

14-Nov-13

795

8.1604

194

20837

8.7555

300

9.2750

205

21932

16-Nov-13

13

706

8.7705

13

706

18-Nov-13

153

13442

8.7500

122

8.9139

156

13564

19-Nov-13

131

10707

8.7420

250

8.8800

135

10957

20-Nov-13

127

9895

8.7347

13

1267

8.7862

97

9.1231

142

11258

21-Nov-13

149

12960

8.7272

635

9.0524

156

13595

22-Nov-13

100

8.4500

158

14807

8.7215

35

9.2143

164

14942

23-Nov-13

215

8.0840

215

25-Nov-13

167

15163

8.7317

131

8.7882

170

15294

26-Nov-13

156

14727

8.7220

90

9.1000

157

14817

27-Nov-13

143

13031

8.6890

65

8.7984

147

13095

28-Nov-13

159

15783

7.9465

70

8.9286

161

15853

29-Nov-13

12

1200

7.4667

188

20513

7.6292

55

9.0318

202

21768

30-Nov-13

13

820

4.6110

13

820

2198

197240

845

85905

54

3107

3097

286252

Total

statistics

TABLE 46: OTC DEALS REPORTED ON THE NDS-CALL PLATFORM


Amount ` Crore

CALL

NOTICE

Term

Total

Value

1-Nov-13

17

162

2-Nov-13

28

5-Nov-13

Trade

Value

Trade

Value

WAR

Trade

Value

8.3192

169

2502

8.3746

17

187

2681

147

7.2971

30

7.2786

37

177

179

3365

8.1243

15

42

7.5405

194

3407

6-Nov-13

245

3811

7.4385

11

32

7.2755

257

3848

7-Nov-13

252

3577

7.8641

13

151

7.7112

267

3734

8-Nov-13

21

128

7.9547

250

3409

8.2302

272

3539

9-Nov-13

52

310

6.7326

52

310

11-Nov-13

255

3583

8.4583

17

62

8.3451

273

3646

12-Nov-13

261

3677

8.5017

17

71

8.1269

67

281

3815

13-Nov-13

144

2895

8.5676

130

941

8.3794

10

276

3838

14-Nov-13

18

153

8.2423

156

2829

8.5588

175

2984

16-Nov-13

49

404

6.7387

6.9444

52

413

18-Nov-13

250

3591

8.5390

24

221

8.4095

12

277

3823

19-Nov-13

189

2548

8.5091

75

1060

8.5610

10

265

3611

20-Nov-13

214

2839

8.5156

27

8.2962

222

2868

21-Nov-13

279

3753

8.5178

19

139

8.3004

298

3893

22-Nov-13

33

177

8.3119

267

3863

8.5169

11

302

4051

23-Nov-13

47

278

7.0249

43

7.6706

51

320

25-Nov-13

258

3700

8.5271

20

292

100

279

4093

26-Nov-13

260

3377

8.5007

14

318

8.6050

155

277

3850

27-Nov-13

262

3447

8.4881

12

249

8.3266

274

3695

28-Nov-13

269

3988

8.4209

19

391

8.5420

75

290

4454

29-Nov-13

29

171

7.1348

247

3716

7.5545

276

3887

30-Nov-13

48

472

6.7135

20

6.6250

50

492

3659

50551

1500

20418

25

460

5184

71428

Total

WAR

WAR

CCIL

Trade

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Date

123

statistics

Amount ` Crore

TABLE 47: NDS-CALL HISTORICAL*


Dealt
Period
Total

Monthly Newsletter December 2013


CCIL

Daily
Average

Total

Total Call

Daily
Average

Total

Daily
Average

% Share in Total Call


Dealt

Reported

2006-07

493219

3182

5422

35

2162259

12474

22.81

0.25

2007-08

2745948

9404

26089

89

3456187

11836

79.45

0.75

2008-09

3129843

10905

20480

71

3656962

12742

85.59

0.56

2009-10

2133034

6503

23792

73

2498354

7617

85.38

0.95

2010-11

2371700

9449

49464

197

2945857

11736

80.51

1.68

2011-12

3422484

11761

21071

72

4013031

13790

85.28

0.53

2012-13

3994931

13823

348914

1207

4677777

16186

85.40

7.46

Apr-13

381056

17321

58620

2665

440667

20030

86.47

13.30

May-13

334220

13369

65038

2602

401567

16063

83.23

16.20

Jun-13

313870

12555

74619

2985

388163

15527

80.86

19.22

Jul-13

306704

11796

73860

2841

380929

14651

80.51

19.39

Aug-13

266598

10664

63803

2552

330366

13215

80.70

19.31

Sep-13

250535

10439

70155

2923

323593

13483

77.42

21.68

Oct-13

256097

10244

69055

2762

321061

12842

79.77

21.51

Nov-13

283145

11798

70969

2957

356312

14846

79.47

19.92

2013-14 (Upto November 2013) 2392224

12205

546119

2786

2942658

15014

81.29

18.56

* excluding term money

124

Reported

FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET


FOREX SETTLEMENT
Number of Participants: 81
TABLE 48: FOREX SETTLEMENT*
Settlement
Period
2002-03
2003-04

Cash
Tom
Value
Value
Value
Value
Trades
Trades
(USD Mn) (` Cr)
(USD Mn) (` Cr)
1036

5951

26861

Spot
Value
Trades
(USD Mn)
74423
96483

Forward
Total
Value
Value
Value
Value
Trades
Trades
(` Cr)
(USD Mn) (` Cr)
(USD Mn)
462370 25809
39619 195665 100232
136102

Average
Value
Value
Value
Trades
(` Cr)
(USD Mn) (` Cr)
1496
7231
658035 1101

501342

2318531

1425

2161

9994

1555

9150

41335

251258

354541

1627644

76668

131700

622691 330517

2004-05

8747

69882

312311 16178

112750

504325

356382

533015

2389936

85020

184133

835863 466327

899780

4042435

1976

3813

17129

2005-06

12946

154626

686160 21307

199621

885585

371059

585089

2594240

84337

240352 1073689 489649

1179688

5239674

2084

5020

22296

2006-07

14292

233010 1050413 25708

316585 1427018

481702

884740

3993765

85106

342646 1551883 606808

1776981

8023078

2550

7466

33710

2007-08

15118

318055 1279466 25598

409979 1652802

609676

1595080

6426403 106683

810551 3368161 757074

3133665 12726832

3181

13167

53474

2008-09

15633

358244 1651695 26536

498767 2299036

675439

1815114

8263760 119912

1086778 4722998 837520

3758904 16937489

3657

16414

73963

2009-10

15733

363904 1719714 27643

484848 2295137

759149

1467601

6951459

81424

672619 3245177 883949

2988971 14211486

3843

12996

61789

2010-11

19778

508131 2311739 32118

651100 2964603

1007258

2119061

9650122

90883

912745 4233688 1150037

4191037 19160153

4792

17463

79834

2011-12

22838

548644 2624112 34391

691043 3304720

1115364

2326368 11141856 110585

1076517 5128924 1283178

4642573 22199612

5579

20185

96520

2012-13

23375

610559 3316787 37349

823910 4477478

1216860

2276085 12374662 118554

1120379 5948085 1396138

4830933 26117013

6018

20823

112573

Apr-13

2186

65740

357442

3577

90822

494171

102935

191502

1041587

11802

117603

657856 120500

465667

2551056

6694

25870

141725

May-13

2311

66392

364730

3672

85106

466107

124143

217569

1193004

9589

93377

527951 139715

462444

2551792

6653

22021

121514

Jun-13

1853

46284

269502

3361

68211

395599

126403

208340

1208909

8601

79460

452420 140218

402295

2326430

7011

20115

116321

Jul-13

2071

51830

309521

3049

59086

352570

128485

217769

1300925

8936

85797

497016 142541

414482

2460032

6788

19737

117144

Aug-13

1853

47411

298172

2955

58546

366591

113355

177543

1111737

8318

73055

425812 126481

356554

2202312

6324

17828

110116

Sep-13

2069

47947

304738

2865

54003

344048

116144

177398

1142003

7983

75291

448465 129061

354639

2239254

6793

18665

117855

Oct-13

2186

57031

351371

3236

68296

421626

113712

167589

1034013

7749

73166

440042 126883

366083

2247052

6344

18304

112353

1836
Nov-13
48314 301969 2636
56303 351425
2013-14 (Upto
16365
430949 2557446 25351
540374 3192136
November 2013)
Notes:
*Commenced operations from November 12, 2002,
# Cash and Tom settlement is with effect from February 5, 2004.
Note : Spot figures are inclusive of spot leg of swap

98481

152318

952344

7058

68661

417246 110011

325595

2022984

6471

19153

118999

923658

1510028

8984522

70036

3147760 18600912

6637

20178

119237

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

statistics

125

CCIL

666410 3866807 1035410

statistics

TABLE 49: FOREX TRADE TYPE ANALYSIS


Percent

Settlement Period
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Cash
Trades
Value
0.31
1.19
1.88
7.77
2.64
13.11
2.36
13.11
2.00
10.15
1.87
9.53
1.78
12.17
1.72
12.12
1.78
11.82
1.67
12.64
1.81
14.12
1.65
14.36
1.32
11.50
1.45
12.50
1.47
13.30
1.60
13.52
1.72
15.58
1.67
14.84
1.58
13.69

Tom
Trades
Value
0.47
1.83
3.47
12.53
4.35
16.92
4.24
17.82
3.38
13.08
3.17
13.27
3.13
16.22
2.79
15.54
2.68
14.88
2.68
17.05
2.97
19.50
2.63
18.40
2.40
16.96
2.14
14.26
2.34
16.42
2.22
15.23
2.55
18.66
2.40
17.29
2.45
17.17

Spot
Trades
Value
74.25
70.89
76.02
70.72
76.42
59.24
75.78
49.60
79.38
49.79
80.53
50.90
80.65
48.29
85.88
49.10
87.58
50.56
86.92
50.11
87.16
47.11
85.42
41.12
88.85
47.05
90.15
51.79
90.14
52.54
89.62
49.79
89.99
50.02
89.62
45.78
89.52
46.78
89.21
47.97

Forward
Trades
Value
25.75
29.11
23.20
26.27
18.23
20.46
17.22
20.37
14.03
19.28
14.09
25.87
14.32
28.91
9.21
22.50
7.90
21.78
8.62
23.19
8.49
23.19
9.79
25.25
6.86
20.19
6.13
19.75
6.27
20.70
6.58
20.49
6.19
21.23
6.11
19.99
6.42
21.09
6.76
21.17

TABLE 50: FOREX DEAL SIZE ANALYSIS


% to
total
trades
21.93
20.74
21.26
20.32
21.57
16.67
17.00
20.10
18.75
17.05
23.80
24.06
24.04
25.21
28.46
30.53
29.42
31.09
29.74

% to
total
value
7.23
6.07
4.77
3.66
3.29
1.81
1.64
2.55
2.21
2.00
2.79
2.58
2.98
3.48
3.98
4.35
4.36
4.45
4.13

% to
total
trades
52.61
49.79
44.14
42.70
39.00
33.75
32.19
44.55
46.50
48.47
46.36
45.73
48.77
49.27
45.76
43.54
46.44
45.74
46.41

% to
total
value
38.74
32.82
22.88
17.72
13.32
8.15
7.17
13.18
12.76
13.40
13.40
11.83
14.74
17.17
15.74
15.44
16.90
15.85
15.68

> 1 mn
<= 5 mn
% to
% to
total
total
trades value
24.53
46.47
28.02
50.16
31.22
47.19
31.55
40.18
32.03
34.85
36.19
29.18
35.41
25.85
25.18
23.58
24.77
21.89
22.93
20.98
18.86
17.81
18.05
15.08
17.84
17.21
17.26
19.22
16.57
18.13
16.98
18.89
15.68
18.18
15.05
16.55
15.53
16.68

27.74

3.72

46.52

15.30

16.65

< 1 mn

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Settlement Period

126

2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto
November 2013)

1 mn

17.44

> 5 mn
<= 10 mn
% to
% to
total
total
trades value
0.70
4.42
1.07
6.12
1.94
8.70
2.77
10.27
3.68
11.50
8.62
19.93
10.31
22.22
5.90
16.56
5.31
13.81
6.47
17.23
6.25
17.54
6.62
16.66
4.96
14.48
4.58
15.40
5.33
17.74
5.22
17.86
4.55
15.91
3.94
13.16
4.06
13.24
4.91

15.61

Percent
> 10 mn
<= 20 mn
% to
% to
total
total
trades value
0.19
2.25
0.30
3.18
0.97
8.21
1.58
11.18
1.95
11.41
2.13
8.78
2.16
8.20
1.93
9.78
1.92
9.18
2.13
10.24
1.96
9.88
2.10
9.52
1.63
8.61
1.52
9.15
1.56
9.33
1.45
8.85
1.61
10.02
1.56
9.35
1.56
9.13
1.62

9.23

> 20 mn
% to
total
trades
0.04
0.08
0.47
1.08
1.77
2.63
2.93
2.33
2.75
2.95
2.77
3.44
2.76
2.17
2.31
2.29
2.30
2.62
2.69

% to
total
value
0.89
1.65
8.25
16.99
25.64
32.15
34.92
34.35
40.15
36.16
38.57
44.33
42.00
35.59
35.08
34.60
34.63
40.64
41.13

2.56

38.70

statistics

TABLE 51: TENORWISE FORWARD TRADES ANALYSIS


% to
total
value
16.07
22.50
20.00
22.84
25.61
31.47
23.62
20.88
30.54
22.62
17.65
18.50
16.24
16.16
22.48
16.50
19.90
25.07
30.20

14.17

20.28

21.82

20.81

16.77

> 180 Days &


<= 365 Days
% to
% to
total no
total
of trades value
35.66
37.25
35.34
31.77
38.51
36.26
40.52
36.16
35.67
30.48
32.70
24.46
38.80
31.98
43.59
41.57
36.63
28.91
39.61
36.86
49.36
47.10
54.69
50.75
50.11
46.18
46.88
44.59
43.07
40.04
43.59
44.88
42.20
41.51
36.64
34.91
37.18
32.19

13.96

45.12

42.65

TABLE 52: MARKET SHARE - FOREX


Top 'n' Players

Top 5

Top 10

Percent

> 1 Year
% to
total no
of trades
0.96
0.70
2.16
2.15
1.79
1.44
1.90
1.50
1.64
2.00
2.54
1.47
3.46
1.71
1.86
1.27
1.54
4.13
1.66

% to
total
value
1.43
0.65
1.78
1.64
1.64
1.02
2.39
1.92
1.65
1.98
2.69
1.41
3.34
2.38
2.19
1.36
1.95
4.13
1.83

2.12

2.29

Percent

Top 15

Top 20

2002-03

33.65

57.73

72.42

83.30

2003-04

30.53

54.83

69.59

79.45

2004-05

29.00

49.45

63.61

73.61

2005-06

30.59

52.45

68.38

78.89

2006-07

31.15

50.93

65.08

73.69

2007-08

39.66

61.31

76.24

84.55

2008-09

39.65

62.30

76.97

85.71

2009-10

33.13

55.14

71.31

81.51

2010-11

34.94

57.30

73.56

82.97

2011-12

31.01

54.09

70.57

80.23

2012-13

31.53

52.64

68.22

78.40

Apr-13

28.30

49.27

66.42

78.68

May-13

28.18

48.89

64.71

76.16

Jun-13

26.68

47.17

63.24

74.63

Jul-13

29.07

49.63

65.32

75.45

Aug-13

32.87

52.93

66.31

76.68

Sep-13

29.24

50.20

64.25

74.08

Oct-13

27.67

48.57

63.47

74.81

Nov-13

29.34

50.19

64.16

73.85

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

28.83

49.53

64.78

75.67

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto
November 2013)

% to
total no
of trades
13.54
17.19
15.66
17.99
19.70
16.41
14.41
14.36
19.63
18.49
14.42
11.87
11.37
13.23
16.65
14.21
14.48
15.73
17.68

> 90 Days &


= 180 Days
% to
% to
total no
total
of trades value
26.49
22.35
22.80
20.24
19.88
17.86
17.55
15.18
19.06
17.21
22.63
17.22
21.08
18.59
18.47
15.06
17.15
14.99
16.91
15.79
14.25
13.49
11.88
10.02
16.40
14.36
15.79
14.20
15.56
13.71
18.01
16.26
18.29
13.68
19.58
14.49
21.96
17.47

CCIL

< 30 Days
Settlement
Period

> 30 Days &


<= 90 Days
%t to
% to
total no
total
of trades value
23.35
22.90
23.97
24.84
23.79
24.10
21.79
24.18
23.78
25.06
26.83
25.83
23.82
23.41
22.08
20.57
24.96
23.91
22.99
22.75
19.43
19.07
20.10
19.33
18.66
19.88
22.39
22.68
22.86
21.58
22.91
21.00
23.49
22.96
23.93
21.41
21.52
18.31

127

statistics

TABLE 53: CATEGORYWISE FOREX ACTIVITY - DEAL TYPE


Market Share (%)

CATEGORY

CASH

TOM

SPOT

FORWARD

Foreign Banks

47.69

47.75

40.16

48.29

Public Sector Banks

36.23

34.02

37.40

29.53

Private Sector Banks

15.86

18.07

22.25

22.13

Cooperative Banks

0.17

0.15

0.19

0.05

Financial Institutions

0.05

0.01

0.00

0.00

TABLE 54: NETTING FACTOR - FOREX


Amount in USD Million

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Settlement Period

128

Gross

Net

Netting Factor (%)

2002-03

136102

24687

81.86

2003-04

501342

83849

83.28

2004-05

899778

94395

89.51

2005-06

1179688

115909

90.17

2006-07

1776980

171832

90.33

2007-08

3133665

239169

92.37

2008-09

3758905

209822

94.42

2009-10

2988971

177192

94.07

2010-11

4191037

212265

94.94

2011-12

4642573

214730

95.37

2012-13

4830933

222470

95.39

Apr-13

465667

21843

95.31

May-13

462444

23933

94.82

Jun-13

402295

23308

94.21

Jul-13

414482

21825

94.73

Aug-13

356554

18346

94.85

Sep-13

354639

18972

94.65

Oct-13

366083

18893

94.84

Nov-13

325595

18698

94.26

3147760

165818

94.73

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

statistics

CONTINUOUS LINKED SETTLEMENT (CLS)


Number of Participants: 31
TABLE 55: CLS SETTLEMENT
Settlement Period

Trades

Gross Value

Amount in USD Million

Net Value

Netting Factor (%)

2005-06

39961

67858

10143

85.05

2006-07

138797

327380

33493

89.77

2007-08

188741

681369

51428

92.45

2008-09

247571

499318

53726

89.24

2009-10

295258

391932

52239

86.67

2010-11

394315

469873

60605

87.10

2011-12

441933

647151

76881

88.12

2012-13

570308

724121

55305

92.36

Apr-13

47796

56497

4780

91.54

May-13

54201

55542

3715

93.31

Jun-13

57076

57323

4333

92.44

Jul-13

60167

58666

4634

92.10

Aug-13

48544

47778

4668

90.23

Sep-13

47869

51671

4494

91.30

Oct-13

48449

52413

4833

90.78

Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

40919

44865

4606

89.73

405021

424755

36064

91.51

TABLE 56: CURRENCY WISE GROSS SETTLEMENT


Gross Volume in USD
(In millions)

18648.67

1.00000

18648.67

EURO

7745.87

1.36090

10541.35

GB Pound

4727.92

1.63471

7728.80

379641.82

0.00978

3712.11

Australian Dollar

2926.25

0.91244

2670.02

Singapore Dollar

606.41

0.79687

483.23

Swiss Franc

408.35

1.10651

451.85

Canadian Dollar

390.77

0.94592

369.64

NZ Dollar

217.69

0.81579

177.59

Swedish Krone

403.79

0.15278

61.69

SA Rand

338.65

0.09820

33.26

Danish Krone

167.71

0.18245

30.60

HK Dollar

125.10

0.12898

16.14

76.43

0.16356

12.50

Japanese Yen

Norwegian Krone
Total

44937.44

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

US Dollar

MTM Rates

CCIL

Currency

Currency Wise Gross Volume


(in millions)

129

statistics

TABLE 57: TOP 5 CURRENCY PAIRS - CLS


Amount in USD Million

Sr. No.

Currency Pair

Gross Volume

EUR/USD

14861

33.07

USD/GBP

12398

27.59

JPY/USD

5826

12.96

EUR/AUD

2663

5.93

AUD/USD

2505

5.58

Others

6684

14.87

44939

100.00

Total

FOREX TRADING PLATFORM: FX-CLEAR


Number of Participants: 73
TABLE 58: TRADING DETAILS
Amount in USD Million

Spot

Period

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Trades

CCIL

Value

Trades

Value

2003-04

881

646

2004-05

3329

2250

13

2005-06

16636

11893

67

48

2006-07

46553

33264

190

136

2007-08

73943

49139

297

197

2008-09

79125

46889

330

195

2009-10

99090

53435

415

224

2010-11

111023

58577

448

236

2011-12

124664

65197

522

273

2012-13

171398

87689

708

362

Apr-13

15345

7917

853

440

May-13

17629

9048

801

411

Jun-13

16609

8464

830

423

Jul-13

22351

11353

972

494

Aug-13

20184

10218

1009

511

Sep-13

21110

10737

1056

537

Oct-13

21960

11133

1046

530

Nov-13

18262

9264

961

488

153450

78134

941

479

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

130

Daily Average

statistics

DERIVATIVES
Number of Participants: 74
TABLE 59: INTEREST RATE SWAP TRANSACTIONS (MATCHED) - NOVEMBER 2013
Amount ` Crore

Volume

Trades

INBMK

Volume

Trades

TOTAL

Volume

Trades

Volume

Trades

1-Nov-13

59

7875

400

65

8275

5-Nov-13

43

2950

50

44

3000

6-Nov-13

48

4475

48

4475

7-Nov-13

53

3300

53

3300

8-Nov-13

75

7625

200

79

7825

11-Nov-13

74

6025

125

77

6150

12-Nov-13

102

8575

200

106

8775

13-Nov-13

72

8100

180

76

8280

14-Nov-13

88

8275

100

90

8375

18-Nov-13

27

4975

11

970

38

5945

19-Nov-13

48

2825

15

1080

63

3905

20-Nov-13

46

5175

160

50

5335

21-Nov-13

37

3000

490

43

3490

22-Nov-13

89

8050

105

91

8155

25-Nov-13

19

1350

100

22

1450

26-Nov-13

28

3730

12

925

40

4655

27-Nov-13

83

6875

11

550

94

7425

28-Nov-13

90

8350

310

98

8660

29-Nov-13

75

5575

325

81

5900

1156

107105

102

6270

1258

113375

61

5637

330

66

5967

Total
Average

TABLE 60: INTEREST RATE SWAP (MIBOR) MARKET SHARE - NOVEMBER 2013
Amount ` Crore and Share in %

Buy
Category
Foreign Banks

Sell

Total

Market Notional Market


Market Notional Market
Market Notional Market
Deals
Deals
Deals
Share Amount Share
Share Amount Share
Share Amount Share
840

72.66

81330

75.93

838

72.49

77405

12

1.04

1000

0.93

0.09

50

0.05

Primary Dealers

139

12.02

13425

12.53

157

13.58

16300

Private Banks

165

14.27

11350

10.60

160

13.84

13350

Nationalized Banks

Total

1156 100.00

107105 100.00 1156 100.00

72.27 1678

72.58

158735

74.10

13

0.56

1050

0.49

15.22

296

12.80

29725

13.88

12.46

325

14.06

24700

11.53

107105 100.00 2312 100.00

214210 100.00

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

MIFOR

CCIL

MIBOR
Date

131

statistics

TABLE 61: INTEREST RATE SWAP (MIFOR) MARKET SHARE - NOVEMBER 2013
Amount ` Crore and Share in %

Buy
Category
Foreign Banks

Sell

Total

Market Notional Market


Market Notional Market
Market Notional Market
Deals
Deals
Deals
Share Amount Share
Share Amount Share
Share Amount Share
81

79.41

4915

78.39

43

42.16

3060

Nationalized Banks

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Primary Dealers

0.00

0.00

0.00

21

20.59

1355

21.61

59

57.84

3210

Private Banks
Total

102 100.00

6270 100.00

102 100.00

48.80 124.00

60.78

7975

63.60

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

51.20

80.00

39.22

4565

36.40

6270 100.00 204.00 100.00

12540 100.00

TABLE 62: TOP N MARKET SHARE - IRS


Percent

MIBOR

MIFOR

Top 1

13.39

16.51

Top 5

56.69

63.84

Top 10

83.11

89.23

TABLE 63: IRS TRADE SUMMARY (MATCHED)


Amount ` Crore

MIBOR

MIFOR

INBMK

Period

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Trades

132

Value

Trades

Value

Trades

Value

2007-08

79495

4728077

18139

647609

385

14365

2008-09

40912

2644846

4799

223663

132

6575

2009-10

20352

1452058

1050

53867

77

5125

2010-11

33057

2359722

1291

74911

150

8775

2011-12

33642

2451048

2101

109973

14

860

2012-13

22713

2021607

1252

75435

11

635

Apr-13

2161

200500

132

6036

May-13

3179

231617

104

4702

Jun-13

3426

276495

131

7789

Jul-13

3984

347525

157

8059

Aug-13

2698

216545

115

4950

Sep-13

1729

141525

124

6205

Oct-13

1299

135575

121

8160

Nov-13

1156

107105

102

6270

19632

1656887

986

52171

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

statistics

TABLE 64: OUTSTANDING POSITION IN IRS TRANSACTIONS


Amount ` Crore

MIBOR
Period

MIFOR

INBMK

Trades

Notional
Sum

Trades

Notional
Sum

2007-08

61665

3655595

16528

611566

2008-09

23732

1394018

11803

2009-10

29853

1748787

2010-11

43197

2011-12

Total

Notional
Sum

Trades

Notional
Sum

368

13690

78561

4280852

468045

461

18715

35996

1880778

8201

326852

450

20385

38504

2096024

2645709

6357

270080

542

26910

50096

2942699

27613

1975121

6402

296491

520

25910

34535

2297521

2012-13

20958

1554242

6017

294937

489

24845

27464

1874024

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

21913

1678590

5727

280225

458

22820

28098

1981635

Trades

TABLE 65: NETTING FACTOR - IRS NON-GUARANTEED SETTLEMENT


Amount ` Crore

Number of Participants: 39

Net Amount

Netting %

2009-10

13827

3688

73.33

2010-11

22794

5250

76.97

2011-12

28328

7735

72.69

2012-13

23797

6732

71.71

Apr-13

1069

370

65.41

May-13

797

302

62.11

Jun-13

1251

454

63.73

Jul-13

1212

383

68.43

Aug-13

1448

400

72.37

Sep-13

1814

608

66.46

Oct-13

1685

663

60.65

Nov-13

1592

595

62.62

10867

3774

65.27

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Gross Amount

CCIL

Settlement Period

133

statistics

INTEREST RATE MOVEMENT


HIGHLIGHTS

prevailing a year back. In the last one month,


yields have, however, moved to lower levels
across the curve.

Zero coupon yields have moved to higher levels


across the curve as compared to the yields

Chart 1: Zero Coupon Yield Curve


9.30

Zero Coupon Rate (%)

9.00

8.70

8.40

8.10

7.80
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Tenor (In years)
November 29, 2013

October 31, 2013

November 30, 2012

CCIL

134

(%)

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Chart 2: Sovereign Yield Curve


9.30
9.20
9.10
9.00
8.90
8.80
8.70
8.60
8.50
8.40
8.30
8.20
8.10
1

11

13

15

17

19

21

23

25

27

29

31

Tenor
November 29, 2013

October 31, 2013

November 30, 2012

statistics

TABLE 66: SPREAD ANALYSIS - SDL


State
ANDHRA PRADESH

No. of Trades

Traded Volume (` Crore)

Average Spread (bps)

101

1070

36

BIHAR

72

42

CHHATTISGARH

25

GUJARAT

78

842

38

HARYANA

12

115

41

437

43

KARNATAKA

53

942

41

KERALA

25

270

37

90

41

283

2458

36

88

38

RAJASTHAN

26

288

35

TAMIL NADU

115

1543

37

23

196

40

WEST BENGAL

146

1593

41

Total

894

10009

38

HIMACHAL PRADESH

MADHYA PRADESH
MAHARASHTRA
PUNJAB

UTTAR PRADESH

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Note: Spread has been calculated on the basis of deals settled through CCIL taking into account only outright deals of `5 Crore and
above. The methodology and other information on the spread can be requested from Economic Research Department, CCIL

135

136

8.7548

8.4041

8.3870

8.5409

8.6510

8.6942

8.8641

9.0400

9.0840

9.0070

8.9824

9.1516

9.1486

9.0742

9.1910

9.0895

9.1655

9.2477

9.2732

9.1673

9.2861

9.1776

9.1916

9.1677

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2030

2032

2034

2035

2036

2039

2040

2041

2042

9.0393

9.0503

9.0438

9.1543

9.0420

9.1501

9.0357

9.0512

8.9870

9.0433

8.8378

8.9846

8.9809

8.9743

8.5970

8.7254

8.7810

8.7193

8.6325

8.5289

8.4907

8.5306

8.3535

8.5351

9.2805

9.3756

9.3214

9.4328

9.3136

9.4192

9.3013

9.2974

9.2952

9.2452

9.0778

9.2049

9.2209

9.0386

8.6789

9.2097

8.9326

8.9976

8.9453

8.8541

8.6984

8.7049

8.6279

9.0838

9.3175

9.3367

9.3239

9.4296

9.3026

9.2252

9.2821

9.3058

9.2123

9.2482

9.1131

9.0900

9.0720

8.9951

8.7426

9.0430

9.0841

9.2243

9.3078

9.2214

9.4271

9.8716

9.2322

10.8692

November October September August


29, 2013 31, 2013 30, 2013 30, 2013

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

2014

2013

Year

CCIL

8.7476

8.7229

8.7216

8.8216

8.6971

8.8034

8.6883

8.6540

8.7138

8.7550

9.1538

9.1224

8.6539

9.0672

8.2385

8.6130

8.6720

8.7530

8.9182

8.9766

8.9543

9.0953

9.3751

9.9125

July 31,
2013

7.8705

7.8652

7.8590

7.9618

7.8210

7.9421

7.9335

7.8250

7.8221

7.8267

7.7576

7.6550

7.6523

7.6709

7.4518

7.6347

7.6890

7.6710

7.6129

7.6482

7.5868

7.5378

7.5620

7.5735

June 30,
2013

Percent

7.4959

7.5273

7.5265

7.6270

7.5025

7.6152

7.6109

7.4992

7.4946

7.5699

7.4543

7.4373

7.4233

7.5116

7.2389

7.4602

7.4908

7.3524

7.4966

7.3802

7.3488

7.4684

7.3178

7.4977

7.9204

7.9760

7.9498

8.0636

7.9511

8.0583

8.0524

7.9204

7.9639

7.9632

7.8656

7.7946

7.7810

7.8722

8.2514

7.7393

7.7884

7.5327

7.7003

7.5730

7.5321

7.4598

7.4539

7.6674

8.1789

8.2249

8.2099

8.3166

8.1671

8.3150

8.3106

8.1826

8.2394

8.2313

8.1075

8.0679

8.0638

8.1265

8.1096

7.9536

8.0476

7.8340

8.0369

7.9510

7.8743

7.7948

7.7363

8.0151

8.0707

8.1036

8.0776

8.1831

8.0387

8.1735

8.1716

8.0572

8.0852

8.1123

8.0001

7.9411

7.9439

8.0440

8.0035

7.8459

8.0061

7.9406

8.0036

7.8801

7.8557

7.8370

7.7088

7.9495

8.0778

8.1051

8.0834

8.1925

8.0704

8.1778

8.1751

8.0719

8.0968

8.1502

8.0259

8.0001

7.9919

8.0788

8.0754

7.8934

8.0230

7.9726

8.0316

7.9574

7.8741

7.8739

7.7465

7.9743

8.2647

8.3077

8.2985

8.3982

8.2685

8.3779

8.3719

8.2365

8.2506

8.3225

8.2323

8.1683

8.1563

8.2530

8.2697

8.0601

8.1726

8.1122

8.2207

8.1143

8.0203

8.0425

7.9141

8.0177

73
13
-

74

75

76

76

75

80

70

75

74

87

86

66

65

92

80

68

40

47

39

47

43

14

13

13

13

12

21

11

10

15

24

16

17

41

36

26

14

12

-14

22

8.4576

8.4400

8.5362

8.4050

8.5094

8.5014

8.3622

8.3864

8.4385

8.3325

8.2774

8.2912

8.3215

8.3539

8.1680

8.2388

8.1837

8.2923

8.1802

8.1531

8.3054

7.9350

8.3239

Change in
YTM
YTM(bps)
May 31, April 30, March February January December November Month to Year on
31, 2013 28, 2013 31, 2013 31, 2012 30, 2012
2013
2013
Month
Year
8.1660
8.3460

TABLE 67: YIELD MOVEMENT

statistics

statistics

CORPORATE BONDS
Primary market issuances fell marginally to 168 in
November 2013, as against 170 issuances in October
2013. Finance and infrastructure companies were the
major issuers with 101 issuances (60%) and 62
issuances (37%), respectively. Among other issuers,
other corporates and manufacturing companies
accounted for a share of 2% and 1%, respectively.

Fixed coupon bonds constituted 79.76% (134


bonds) of the total issuances, while floating rate
bonds and zero coupon bonds had a share of 12.50%
(21 bonds) and 7.74% (13 bonds), respectively. Out
of 168 issues, 41 issuances were in the 2 to 5 year
tenor. The maturity-wise analysis of activity in the
primary corporate bond market is given below:

TABLE 68: PRIMARY MARKET ISSUANCE CORPORATE BONDS - NOVEMBER 2013


Tenor Buckets

No.

Fixed

Floating

Zero
Coupon

Avg. Fixed
Coupon (%)

Max.
Coupon
(%)

Min.
Coupon
(%)

Floating
Benchmark

<=1 year

10

10.90%

13.93%

9.38%

Nifty Linked

> 1 year -<=2 years

35

28

11.50%

20.00%

5.00%

Nifty Linked

> 2 years -<=5 years

41

22

14

12.89%

42.75%

8.70%

Nifty Linked

>5 years -<=10 years

35

34

9.93%

14.70%

8.70%

>10 years-<=15 years

30

30

8.91%

11.10%

8.01%

>15 years

17

17

8.67%

9.00%

8.38%

Source: NSDL

compared to `76,420 crore in October 2013. The


average traded volumes on the reporting platforms
were dispersed during the month with a significant
increase in average volumes reported on NSE
platform which stood at `937 crore compared to
`316 crore in the previous month, while the volumes
reported on the FIMMDA and BSE platforms fell to
`1774 crore and `266 crore, compared to `3044

Average AAA 5-year spreads increased to 91 bps from


76 bps in the previous month. In contrast to this, 10year AAA spreads narrowed to 55 bps compared to
82 bps in the previous month. Power Finance
Corporation and Housing Development Finance
Corporation were the two major traded corporates
in November 2013.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

25.97% to `56,574 crore in November 2013,

crore and `278 crore, respectively in the previous


month.

CCIL

Trading volumes in the secondary market fell by

137

statistics

PRIMARY ISSUANCE ANALYSIS


FIXED COUPON BONDS
TABLE 69: ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE
Type

Sector

Rating

No.

Avg.
Tenor

Max.
Tenor

Min
Tenor

Avg.
Coupon
(%)

Max.
Coupon
(%)

Min.
Coupon
(%)

PSU

Finance

AAA

15

10.54

20.01

3.00

8.91

9.75

8.18

PSU

Finance

NA

11.67

15.01

10.01

8.88

9.80

8.35

PSU

Infrastructure

AAA

42

9.82

20.01

2.00

8.73

8.92

8.18

PSU

Infrastructure

NA

6.67

10.01

5.00

9.37

9.80

8.50

PVT

Finance

AAA

15

7.72

20.01

1.01

9.29

10.70

8.01

PVT

Finance

AA

29

3.46

10.01

0.45

11.94

42.75

8.90

PVT

Finance

5.20

8.01

1.75

11.60

13.00

9.90

PVT

Finance

BBB

3.50

4.00

3.00

12.70

13.40

12.00

PVT

Finance

BB

5.00

6.00

4.00

14.70

14.70

14.70

PVT

Finance

NA

3.54

5.00

2.08

10.35

10.70

10.00

PVT

Infrastructure

AA

7.01

7.01

7.01

10.20

10.20

10.20

PVT

Infrastructure

2.26

5.00

1.01

11.95

13.00

11.60

PVT

Infrastructure

NA

10

4.18

8.59

1.99

15.18

21.00

11.60

PVT

Manufacturing

NA

2.00

2.00

2.00

5.00

5.00

5.00

PVT

Others

2.25

3.00

1.50

12.20

12.50

11.90

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 70: RATING ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCES

138

Rating

No.

Avg. Tenor Max. Tenor Min Tenor

Avg. Coupon
(%)

Max. Coupon
(%)

Min. Coupon
(%)

AAA

72

9.53

20.01

1.01

8.89

10.70

8.01

AA

30

3.58

10.01

0.45

11.88

42.75

8.90

3.23

8.01

1.01

11.89

13.00

9.90

BBB

3.50

4.00

3.00

12.70

13.40

12.00

BB

5.00

6.00

4.00

14.70

14.70

14.70

NA

19

5.57

15.01

1.99

12.22

21.00

5.00

statistics

TABLE 71: TOP 5 ISSUANCES


Company

No.

NHPC LIMITED

40

Avg.
Max.
Min.
%
Avg. Max. Min
Coupon Coupon Coupon
Share
Tenor Tenor Tenor
(%)
(%)
(%)
9.68 20.01
2.00
8.75
8.92
8.18 29.85

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

13.76

20.01

5.00

8.69

9.00

8.18

5.97

ECL FINANCE LIMITED

1.57

3.33

0.59

18.73

42.75

12.25

4.48

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

1.80

5.00

1.01

9.69

9.96

9.25

4.48

INDIA INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE COMPANY LIMITED

15.01

20.01

10.01

8.42

8.75

8.01

4.48

Sector

No.

TABLE 72: SECTOR ANALYSIS


Avg. Coupon Max. Coupon Min. Coupon
Avg. Tenor
Max. Tenor
Min Tenor
(%)
(%)
(%)

Finance

71

6.32

20.01

0.45

10.65

42.75

8.01

Infrastructure

60

8.17

20.01

1.01

10.08

21.00

8.18

Manufacturing

2.00

2.00

2.00

5.00

5.00

5.00

Others

2.25

3.00

1.50

12.20

12.50

11.90

Type

No.

TABLE 73: CATEGORY ANALYSIS


Avg. Coupon Max. Coupon Min. Coupon
Avg. Tenor
Max. Tenor
Min Tenor
(%)
(%)
(%)

PSU

63

9.93

20.01

2.00

8.81

9.80

8.18

PVT

71

4.51

20.01

0.45

11.76

42.75

5.00

VARIABLE/ZERO COUPON BONDS


TABLE 74: NON-FIXED RATE BOND ISSUANCE ANALYSIS
Avg. Tenor Max. Tenor

Min Tenor

Remarks

Floating Rate

21

2.63

3.89

0.76

CNX NIFTY INDEX LINKED

Zero Coupon Bond

13

2.12

5.00

0.26

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

No.

CCIL

Type

139

statistics

SECONDARY MARKET ANALYSIS


TABLE 75: CORPORATE BONDS TRADING DETAILS
Amount ` Crore

FIMMDA

NSE

BSE

Deals on Exchange

Total

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Date

140

Trades

Volume

Trades

Volume

Trades

Volume

Trades

Value

Trades

Volume

1-Nov-13

73

764

56

799

21

40

150

1603

5-Nov-13

57

885

30

617

16

70

103

1572

6-Nov-13

104

1017

52

491

29

441

185

1949

7-Nov-13

145

1897

38

331

33

334

216

2563

8-Nov-13

107

1156

44

437

28

575

179

2168

11-Nov-13

153

2291

65

1439

37

252

255

3982

12-Nov-13

132

1709

61

1005

34

287

227

3000

13-Nov-13

146

2965

83

2344

28

361

257

5669

14-Nov-13

142

2794

81

1945

19

84

242

4823

18-Nov-13

118

1309

35

109

16

57

169

1474

19-Nov-13

155

2422

83

1471

33

238

271

4131

20-Nov-13

128

1716

73

816

28

667

229

3199

21-Nov-13

156

1927

89

1297

31

363

276

3587

22-Nov-13

154

2060

76

1198

29

349

259

3607

25-Nov-13

124

1618

83

1056

25

129

232

2803

26-Nov-13

152

2228

65

628

31

270

248

3126

27-Nov-13

147

1805

96

888

36

350

279

3043

28-Nov-13

118

1450

69

357

20

102

207

1909

29-Nov-13

142

1704

62

572

18

91

222

2367

2453

33715

1241

17800

512

5059

4206

56574

129

1774

65

937

27

266

221

2978

Total
Average

statistics

TABLE 76: HISTORICAL SUMMARY


Amount ` Crore

Period
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
2013-14 (Upto
November 2013)

FIMMDA
Trades
31576
33126
36597
4440
4699
3199
4049
2989
2705
3614
2453

NSE

BSE

Values Trades Values Trades Values


59502
- 48832
- 37495
192994
- 154737
- 54426
408603
7544 149373
4675 40628
351873 11932 191316
6381 48790
443430 20875 236306
8708 56612
71452
2421 31396
1015 12394
75788
2299 35031
1089 11305
51666
1933 30444
721
5273
62891
2260 35984
1055 11813
41058
1514 20417
835
7244
38254
1388 17610
620
6570
63933
890
6645
569
5841
33715
1241 17800
512
5059

28148 438758

13946 195327

6416

65499

Deals on
Total
Average
Exchange
Trades Values Trades Value Trades Value
- 145828
621
- 402157
1690
- 43795 598604
177
2423
- 51439 591979
216
2487
- 66180 736347
275
3055
7876 115241
438
6402
65
7
8152 122131
371
5551
53
181
5906 87565
295
4378
32
20
7396 110708
336
5032
3
1
5341 68721
267
3436
1
4714 62434
236
3122
3
5076 76420
242
3639
4206 56574
221
2978
157

209

48667 699792

300

4320

TABLE 77: CATEGORYWISE TRADING ANALYSIS


Trades

Value (` Crore)

Avg. Tenor

Avg. Spread (bps)

FINANCE

AAA

2172

36789

4.73

84

FINANCE

AA

384

3585

4.79

147

FINANCE

A1

11

4.57

332

FINANCE

71

545

10.19

87

FINANCE

BBB

16

455

2.82

263

FINANCE

BB

2.45

116

FINANCE

NA

26

1.43

264

INFRASTRUCTURE

AAA

610

8159

6.90

77

INFRASTRUCTURE

AA

87

1500

7.89

70

INFRASTRUCTURE

A1

10

0.59

189

INFRASTRUCTURE

55

95

9.40

161

INFRASTRUCTURE

BBB

7.23

325

INFRASTRUCTURE

NA

245

2.00

864

MANUFACTURING

AAA

78

82

6.98

160

MANUFACTURING

AA

39

943

6.40

140

MANUFACTURING

A1

70

0.35

44

MANUFACTURING

4.09

287

MANUFACTURING

NA

202

6.12

101

OIL

AAA

66

2.95

107

OIL

AA

11

56

13.03

76

OIL

NA

20

4.24

95

OTHERS

AAA

71

818

6.75

82

OTHERS

AA

34

522

2.26

144

OTHERS

194

3.86

276

OTHERS

NA

143

2.88

211

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Rating

CCIL

CATEGORY

141

statistics

TABLE 78: RATING ANALYSIS


Rating

Value (` Crore)

Trades

AAA

Avg. Tenor

Avg. Spread (bps)

2,939

45,913

5.28

85

AA

555

6,606

5.40

134

A1

15

86

3.31

266

133

839

9.43

132

20

458

4.48

286

BB

2.45

116

NA

32

636

3.15

316

BBB

TABLE 79: CATEGORY ANALYSIS


Category

Value (` Crore)

Trades

FINANCE

Avg. Tenor

Avg. Spread (bps)

2,660

41,406

4.93

99

INFRASTRUCTURE

766

10,011

7.21

101

MANUFACTURING

126

1,302

6.50

148

24

142

8.00

90

119

1,676

5.01

124

OIL
OTHERS

TABLE 80: BOND TYPE ANALYSIS


Type of Bond
FIXED

Value (` Crore)

Trades
3,573

53,156

ZERO COUPON

65

Floating

46

NA

11

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 81: AAA SPREAD ANALYSIS

142

Maturity Buckets
<=1 year
> 1 year -<=2 years

Average Spread (bps)


103
97

> 2 years -<=3 years

99

>3 years -<=5 years

95

>5 years-<=7 years

84

> 7 years

58

Avg. Tenor

Avg. Spread (bps)


5.59

102

1,098

2.97

129

130

3.35

-2

154

3.82

195

NATIONAL HOUSING BANK

HDFC BANK LIMITED

EXIM BANK

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

23 INE040A08336

24 INE514E08BZ4

25 INE001A07JW2

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Note: Spread over comparable G-Sec


Deals apparently viewed as duplicate deals have been excluded.
Source for Corporate Bonds:
www.fimmda.org
www.nseindia.com
www.bseindia.com
www.nsdl.co.in

DEWAN HOUSING FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

22 INE202B07910

FINANCE

CRISIL AAA

FINANCE

FINANCE
CRISIL AAA

FINANCE
CRISIL AAA

FINANCE
CRISIL BBB+

CRISIL AAA

OTHERS

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

21 INE001A07KR0

CRISIL AA+

STERLITE INDUSTRIES (INDIA) LIMITED

20 INE268A07145

FINANCE

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

19 INE134E08EZ5

FINANCE

CRISIL AAA

AAA- ICRA

FINANCE

CRISIL AAA

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

18 INE134E08FU3

FINANCE
FINANCE

CRISIL AAA
[ICRA]AAA (Stable)

17 INE115A07DN2 LIC HOUSING FINANCE LIMITED

16 INE043D07DG4 IDFC LIMITED

15 INE557F08EK6

5-Dec-15

15-Oct-14

31-Oct-22

9-Oct-16

10-Oct-16

21-Nov-18

31

8.84

29-Oct-14

11-Dec-15

28-Dec-22

7-Nov-15

15-May-14

5-Apr-23

15-Oct-17

25-Jun-15

9.18

8.75

9.10

11.35

9.40

9.10

8.91

8.29

9.16

8.93
13-Feb-18

9.05

17

12

22

19

13

32

8.69
23-Dec-13

18

15

12

70

8.75

8.85

8.95

9.47

9.75

64

69

8.82
9.70

12

28

96

226

9.62

9.52

8.95

9.38

400

430

432

445

500

503

563

585

600

600

650

684

700

709

745

800

893

950

1007

1185

1270

1375

1753

3791

Volume
Coupon
Trades
(` Cr.)
(%)
9.81
461
4442

24-Aug-15

INFRASTRUCTURE 25-Mar-28

FINANCE

FINANCE

FINANCE

FINANCE

FINANCE

INFRASTRUCTURE 16-Oct-14

CRISIL AAA
CRISIL AAA

26-Feb-14

2-May-17

11-Mar-18

INFRASTRUCTURE 12-Apr-23

FINANCE

FINANCE

FINANCE

FINANCE

CRISIL AA-

CRISIL AAA

7-Oct-18

Maturity

INFRASTRUCTURE 6-Nov-18

FINANCE

Category

CRISIL AAA

DAMODAR VALLEY CO RPORATION

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

CRISIL AAA

CRISIL AAA

14 INE753F08028

INE001A07LU2

EXPORT IMPORT BANK OF INDIA

RURAL ELECTRIFICATION CORPORATION LIMITED

CRISIL AAA

INE514E08DD7

CRISIL AAA

EXPORT IMPORT BANK OF INDIA

INE020B08781

RURAL ELECTRIFICATION CORPORATION LIMITED

CRISIL AAA

CRISIL AAA

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

INE020B08831

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

13 INE514E08BW1

INE001A07KF5

CRISIL AAA

CRISIL AAA

12 INE134E08EY8

INE134E08EP6

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

RURAL ELECTRIFICATION CORPORATION LIMITED

HDFC BANK LIMITED

INE134E08FK4

CRISIL AAA

11 INE040A08328

INE020B07HY0

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

Rating

EXPORT IMPORT BANK OF INDIA

INE134E07406

Security Description

10 INE514E08CX7

ISIN No.

No.

TABLE 82: TOP 25 TRADED CORPORATE BONDS

9.7400

9.2355

9.6554

11.4784

10.2540

10.1070

9.7659

9.7986

9.8013

9.5233

9.6031

9.4787

9.1000

9.8140

9.3909

9.5988

9.8466

9.6491

9.7565

9.6987

9.7249

9.5597

9.7818

9.5594

Yield
(%)
9.7966

statistics

143

statistics

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT AND COMMERCIAL PAPERS


Amount ` Crore

TABLE 83: CDs AND CPs TRADING DETAILS


CDs

Date
Trades

CPs
Value

Trades

Total
Value

Trades

Value

1-Nov-13

101

4880

37

2578

138

7458

5-Nov-13

85

2940

27

1406

112

4346

6-Nov-13

65

2588

31

1720

96

4308

7-Nov-13

91

4725

47

2273

138

6999

8-Nov-13

68

2904

31

1143

99

4047

11-Nov-13

69

2736

24

544

93

3281

12-Nov-13

79

2965

30

1104

109

4069

13-Nov-13

114

4200

13

446

127

4646

14-Nov-13

96

4830

36

1063

132

5894

18-Nov-13

90

5685

23

935

113

6620

19-Nov-13

64

2931

20

1392

84

4323

20-Nov-13

88

4601

29

1499

117

6100

21-Nov-13

93

4607

24

1056

117

5664

22-Nov-13

96

4531

25

1471

121

6002

25-Nov-13

109

5708

37

2853

146

8561

26-Nov-13

104

4777

44

1723

148

6500

27-Nov-13

80

4344

35

2478

115

6823

28-Nov-13

86

4251

65

3801

151

8052

29-Nov-13

142

8669

64

4093

206

12762

1720

82877

642

33582

2362

116460

91

4361

34

1767

124

6129

Total
Average

Amount ` Crore

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

TABLE 84: HISTORICAL SUMMARY - CP AND CD

144

CDs
Period

CPs

2012-13

20584

1018664

Average
Value
7382

6663

379785

Average
Value
2752

Apr-13

4136

216936

12052

835

45728

2540

May-13

3415

Jun-13

3033

168659

7666

889

54120

2460

166302

8315

811

45937

2297

Jul-13

3259

173356

7880

5411

55587

2527

Aug-13
Sep-13

1892

67180

3359

585

29230

1462

2380

109513

5476

2855

23791

1190

Oct-13

1643

60599

2886

614

36099

1719

Nov-13

1720

82878

4362

642

33583

1768

21478

1045423

6453

12642

254394

1570

2013-14 (Upto November 2013)

Trades

Value

Trades

Value

statistics

TABLE 85: CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT - TENORWISE TRADING ANALYSIS


Traded Amount (` Crore)

WAY (%)

411

19640

8.6564

448

26221

9.0640

306

19618

9.0857

195

6932

9.1600

61

1622

9.0456

20

9.9366

17

553

9.3356

22

605

9.2168

176

9.4472

10

64

2090

9.4090

11

120

4024

9.3419

12

66

1372

9.2388

1720

82877

9.0092

Total

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Trades

CCIL

Residual Maturity
(Months)

145

Milestones

Milestones
November 5, 2012 - Launch of the Phase II
of the Reporting Platform for Inter-bank
OTC Forex Derivatives.
October 29, 2012 - Migration of Securities
Settlement to CBS.
July 9, 2012 - Launch of the Trade
Repository service for OTC Foreign
Exchange Derivatives. The first phase begins
with the capture of all inter-bank forex
forwards and swaps in the USD-INR
currency pair, and currency options in FCYINR.
June 29, 2012 - The web-based NDS-OM
module for online trading in secondary
market for Government Securities by gilt
account holders (GAH) was launched. The
module permits internet-based direct
participation of gilt account holders in
secondary market for G-secs.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

June 14, 2012 - The settlement MNSB files


for CCIL's Derivatives, Forex, CBLO and
Securities Segment migrated to Core
Banking Solution (CBS) of RBI from RTGS.

146

February 21, 2012 - The NDS-Auction


Web Based Module was launched to
facilitate direct internet based access to Gilt
Account Holders to directly participate in
Primary auctions of Gilts.
December 1, 2011 - The FIMMDA
Integrated Reporting Platform (F-TRAC),
developed and maintained by Clearcorp
Dealing Systems (India) Ltd., was launched.
The platform is for reporting deals in

Corporate bonds, Corporate bond Repo


and CDs/CPs.
December 1, 2011 - Credit Default Swaps
(CDS) for Corporate Bonds started, with
CDS trade reporting on CCIL's Online
Reporting Engines (CORE).
October 08, 2011 - Market Repos in
STRIPS instruments now facilitated on
CROMS New Version implemented
effective 08 Oct '11. Several other
functionality enhancements also form part
of the CROMS New Version.
July 28, 2011 - CCIL on July 28, 2011
successfully carried out a Portfolio
Compression exercise in the OTC Interest
Rate Swaps market.
June 27, 2011 - Launch of CCIL's new web
portal.
August 11, 2010 - CCIL started settlement
of 'India-Pay Mobile Payment Service - India
Pay Switch' file on a Non Guaranteed basis.
May 31, 2010 - Launch of FX-SWAP
Dealing System an anonymous order driven
matching system which allows trading in 15
Instruments; including 3 upto Spot
instruments (namely, Cash-Tom, Tom-Spot
& Cash-Spot) and 12 month-end Forward
instruments i.e. Spot over Month 1 end to
Month 12 end. FX-SWAP is the fi rst of its
kind platform which offers guaranteed
settlement of forward trades from the point
of trade. However, trades up to the spot leg
are subject to bilateral limits.

Milestones

June 1, 2009 - The CCIL SDL Index was


launched to track the market for SDLs
through a representative index.
May 11, 2009 - Version 2 of NDS Auction
module went live to facilitate bidding in
primary Dated Securities auctions.
February 11, 2009 - CCIL became the first
organization to be granted authorisation by
the Reserve Bank of India under The
Payment & Settlement Systems Act- 2007.

September 10, 2007 - Version 2.0 of


NDSCALL electronic screen-based quote
driven dealing system for Call, Notice &
Te rm m o n e y w a s l a u n c h e d . T h e
enhancements include User hierarchy with
multiple user levels with pre set role
privileges and risk mitigation measures such
as assigning Single Order Limit and setting
up of exposure limits for Counterparties at
various levels.
August 30, 2007 - CCIL's reporting
platform for the transactions in OTC
Interest Rate Derivatives (Interest Rate
Swaps and Forward Rate Agreements
(IRS/FRA)) became operational.

January 27, 2009 - Clearcorp launched


'Clearcorp Repo Order Matching System'
(CROMS), a STP enabled electronic
anonymous order matching platform to
facilitate dealing in market repos in
government securities. CROMS facilitates
dealing in two kinds of Repos viz. Basket
Repos and Special Repos for T+0 and T+1
settlement tenors.

July 03, 2007 - CCIL started releasing the


Daily Spot Reference Rates through it's
website.

January 1, 2009 - CCIL launched the CCIL


Certifi cation Programme (CCP), an
onlinetesting and certifi cation programme.

March 5, 2007 - The eNotice System


extended to Non-NDS Associate Members.

May 21, 2007 - Version 3.0 of the NDS-OM


was launched enabling Odd Lot trading,
trading of new securities in the When Issued
market and trading of CSGL entities on this
platform.

November 27, 2008 - CCIL commenced


Non-Guaranteed Settlement of OTC Trades
in Rupee Derivatives.

January 25, 2007 - CCIL launched the


CCIL MIBOR (CCIL Mumbai InterBank Offer Rate)/MIBID (CCIL
Mumbai Inter-Bank Bid Rate) based on
Dealt Quotes from NDSCall.

November 12, 2007 - The Depository Trust


& Clearing Corporation (DTCC) and The
Clearing Corporation of India Limited
(CCIL) have signed a Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) aimed at promoting

January 16, 2007 - Euroclear and The


Clearing Corporation of India Limited
(CCIL) signed a Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) regarding post-

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

June 1, 2009 - The CCIL Tenor Index was


launched to capture the tenor wise
movement across the term structure.

closer collaboration between the two market


infrastructure organizations.

CCIL

December 1, 2009 - CCIL commenced the


settlement of forex forward trades with
guarantee from the trade date.

147

Milestones

trade processing collaboration.


September 18, 2006 - NDS - CALL, an
electronic screen-based quote driven dealing
system for all Call, Notice and Term Money
operations was launched.
September 11, 2006 - Launch of Intraday
Securities Withdrawal in CBLO segment.
September 4, 2006 - CCIL launched its
eNotice System available to all members for
sending their collateral notices in electronic
form.
September 4, 2006 - CCIL released its
CCIL ALL SOVEREIGN BOND
INDICES (CASBI), which would reflect
the broad movement of the market as it
contains all available sovereign bonds. The
base date of the index is January 1, 2004.
August 2006 - CCIL receives the ISO/IEC
27001:2005 certification for securing its
information assets.

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

July 31, 2006 - Version - 2.0 of the NDS OM Trading Platform launched, enabling
trading in Treasury Bills and the When
Issued market.

148

March 20, 2006 - CCIL has launched


Overnight Collateralised Benchmark
Reference Rates for Indian market, namely
CCIL Collateralised Benchmark Bid
Rate (CCBID) and CCIL Collateralised
Benchmark Offer Rate (CCBOR). The
rates are disseminated at 10:10 A.M. from
Monday to Friday. The historical data is
available in CCIL website (http:
//www.ccilindia.com) from January 2004.

August 16, 2005 - CBLOi (Internet


Trading System for Non-NDS Members)
commenced operations.
August 1, 2005 - RBI launched the
anonymous screen based order matching
trading module for govt. securities on its
Negotiated Dealing SystemOrder Matching
Segment (NDS-OM) with CCIL as the
central counterparty to all deals.
May 2, 2005 - CCIL released its T-Bill Index
consisting of two T-bill indices CCIL
EQUAL WEIGHT T-Bills INDEX and
CCIL LIQUIDITY WEIGHT T-Bills
INDEX. The CCIL T-Bills Indices are
instruments that would capture the market
movement in the short term maturity
segment.
April 6, 2005 - Commenced settlement of
cross currency transactions through CLS.
February 7, 2005 - Started releasing intra-day
comparative money market rates of Call,
Repo and CBLO markets on its website.
January 31, 2005 - Released its Sovereign
Bond Indices, CCIL BROAD GILTS
INDEX, Consisting of top 20 securities and
CCIL LIQUID GILTS INDEX, consisting
of the 5 most liquid bonds, to track the
movement of the government securities
market.
October 14, 2004 - Govt. Securities
Lending and Borrowing Scheme was
operationalised.
August 27, 2004 - Started clearing and
settlement of ATM transactions of National
Financial Switch operated by Institute for
Development and Research in Banking

Milestones

June 15, 2004 - Operationalised Straight


Through Processing arrangement for
settlement of foreign exchange trades done
on FXCLEAR.
April 2, 2004 - Commenced net
settlements in Government Securities as per
DVP III Guidelines of Reserve Bank of
India.
March 5, 2004 - Non-NDS Members
commence CBLO operations.
February 5, 2004 - Extended scope of
coverage of foreign exchange settlements to
include INR/USD Cash and TOM trades.
October 18, 2003 - Electronic movement
of Member Margins / Collaterals facilitated
through Value Free Transfer Module of
NDS.
August 7, 2003 - Launched Electronic
Currency Dealing Platform FX Clear to
facilitate inter-bank foreign exchange
dealing.
July 19, 2003 - Operationalised
Anonymous Auction System to facilitate
Buy Back of Government Securities by
Government of India.
June 4, 2003 - Set up a wholly owned
Subsidiary Company Clearcorp Dealing
Systems (India) Pvt. Ltd. to manage dealing
platforms in Money and Currency Markets.
April 1, 2003 - All trades in the securities
settlement routed through CCIL.

January 20, 2003 - Launched new Money


Market Instrument
Collateralised
Borrowing and Lending Obligation
(CBLO) a repo variant with several unique
features for NDS Members.
November 8,2002 - Commenced
guaranteed settlement of inter-bank foreign
exchange Spot trades in INR/USD and
Forward Trades on Spot Window.
October 25, 2002 - Started publication of
Weekly Market Update containing weekly
statistics and analysis of settlement
information and important market
developments.
October 17, 2002 - Launched Quarterly
Publication Rakshitra containing articles
in relevant operational areas as also detailed
statistics and analysis of settlement
information.
April 10, 2002 - Extended facility of
guaranteed settlement for trades in
Government Securities.
February 15, 2002 - Commenced clearing
and settlement of market trades in
Government Securities co-terminus with
operationalization of Reserve Bank of
India's Negotiated Dealing System (NDS).
April 30, 2001 - Incorporated as India's first
clearing house for settlement of market trades
in Government Securities and inter-bank
foreign exchange transactions.

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

August 1, 2004 - Rakshitra frequency


enhanced from quarterly to monthly.

February 15, 2003 - Commenced


publication of Zero Coupon Yield Curve on
Website.

CCIL

Technology (IDRBT).

149

Key personnel

KEY PERSONNEL/HODs

CCIL

Monthly Newsletter December 2013

Person

150

Designation and Department

Phone No.

Mrs. Shyamala Gopinath

Chairperson

61546512

Mr. R. Sridharan

Managing Director

61546511

Mr. Ravi Rajan

Executive Vice President

61546363

Mrs. Indirani Rao

Chief Forex Officer

61546451

Mr. O.N. Ravi

Company Secretary & Corporate Development Officer

Mr. S. Roy

Chief Risk Officer

61546411

Mr. Deepak Chande

Senior Vice President, Finance & Accounts

61546561

Mr. Pradeep. K. Naik

Senior Vice President, Operations (Fixed Income & Money Market)

61546481

Mr. C Kajwadkar

Senior Vice President, Information Technology

61546212

Dr. Golaka C. Nath

Senior Vice President, Economic Research & Surveillance, Membership, HRD

61546581

Mr. Kamal Singhania

Vice President, Forex

61546320

Mr. Praveen Mata

Vice President, Information Technology

61546213

Mr. K. B. Biju

Asst. Vice President, Product Development

61546365

Mr. Amol Pradhan

Asst. Vice President, Collateral & Funds Management

61546482

Mr. Santosh Bhalerao

Asst. Vice President, Information Technology

61546214

Mr. N. Venkatraman

Asst. Vice President, Operations (Fixed Income & Money Market)

Mr. Pradyumna S. Odak

Asst. Vice President, Membership

61546541/6546

61546390/6490
61546551

Mr. Anupam Kumar Mitra Asst. Vice President, Derivatives

61546471

Mr. Rajesh Salunkhe

Jr. Vice President, Product Development

61546348

Mr. S. Ramesh

Jr. Vice President, Product Development

61546333

Mr. S.T.P. Venugopal

Jr. Vice President, Risk Management

61546413

Published by the Research Department, CCIL


Previous Issues
Rakshitra Vol I No. I (Jul - Sep 02)
Rakshitra Vol I No. II (Oct - Dec 02)
Rakshitra Vol I No. III (Jan - Mar 03)
Rakshitra Vol II No. I (Apr - Jun 03)
Rakshitra Vol II No. II (Jul - Sep 03)
Rakshitra Vol II No. III (Oct - Dec 03)
Rakshitra Vol II No. IV (Jan - Mar 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. I (Apr - Jun 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. II (August 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. III (September 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. IV (October 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. V (November 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. VI (December 04)
Rakshitra Vol III No. VII (January 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. VIII (February 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. IX (March 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. X (April 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. XI (May 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. XII (June 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. I (July 05)
Rakshitra Vol III No. II (August 05)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. III (September 05)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. IV (October 05)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. V (November 05)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. VI (December 05)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. VII (January 06)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. VIII (February 06)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. IX (March 06)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. X (April 06)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. XI (May 06)
Rakshitra Vol IV No. XII (June 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. I (July 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. II (August 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. III (September 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. IV (October 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. V (November 06)
Rakshitra Vol V No. VI (December 06)

Rakshitra Vol V No. XII (June '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. III (September 10)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. I (July '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. IV (October 10)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. II (August '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. V (November 10)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. III (September '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. VI (December 10)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. IV (October '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. VII (January 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. V (November '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. VIII (February 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. VI (December '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. IX (March 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. VII (January '08)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. X (April 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. VIII (February '08)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. XI (May 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. IX (March '08)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. XII (June 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. X (April '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. I (July 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. XI (May '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. II (August 11)

Rakshitra Vol VI No. XII (June '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. III (September 11)

Rakshitra Vol VII No. I (July '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. IV (October 11)

Rakshitra Vol VII No. II (August '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. V (November '11)

Rakshitra Vol VII No. III (September '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. VI (December '11)

Rakshitra Vol VII No. IV (October '08)

Rakshitra Vol X No. VII (January '12)

Rakshitra Vol VII No. V (November 08)


Rakshitra Vol VII No. VI (December 08)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. VII (January 09)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. VIII (February 09)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. IX (March 09)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. X (April 09)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. XI (May 09)
Rakshitra Vol VII No. XII (June 09)

Rakshitra Vol X No. VIII (February '12)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. I (July 09)

Rakshitra Vol X No. IV (October 12)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. II (August 09)

Rakshitra Vol X No. V (November 12)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. III (September 09)

Rakshitra Vol X No. VI (December 12)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. IV (October 09)

Rakshitra Vol X No. VII (January 13)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. V (November 09)

Rakshitra Vol. X No. VIII (February '13)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. VI (December 09)

Rakshitra Vol. X No. IX (March '13)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. VII (January 10)

Rakshitra Vol. X No. X (April '13)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. VIII (February 10)

Rakshitra Vol. X No. XI (May '13)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. IX (March 10)

Rakshitra Vol. X No. XII (June '13)

Rakshitra Vol V No. VII (January 07)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. X (April 10)

Rakshitra Vol. XI No. I (July '13)

Rakshitra Vol V No. VIII (February 07)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. XI (May 10)

Rakshitra Vol. XI No. II (August '13)

Rakshitra Vol V No. IX (March 07)

Rakshitra Vol VIII No. XII (June10)

Rakshitra Vol. XI No. III (September '13)

Rakshitra Vol V No. X (April '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. I (July10)

Rakshitra Vol. XI No. IV (October '13)

Rakshitra Vol V No. XI (May '07)

Rakshitra Vol IX No. II (August 10)

Rakshitra Vol. XI No. V (November '13)

Rakshitra Vol X No. IX (March '12)


Rakshitra Vol X No. X (April '12)
Rakshitra Vol X No. XI (May '12)
Rakshitra Vol X No. XII (June '12)
Rakshitra Vol XI No. I (July '12)
Rakshitra Vol X No. II (August '12)
Rakshitra Vol X No. III (September 12)

Valuable feedback & suggestions are welcome at res_sur@ccilindia.co.in


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