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Volume 1, Issue 1

Newsletter Date: 15/09/2009

Finnomics...
...where learning peaks!!!
We are back !!
(Re)interested in Futures!!!
We are back !!
We are back with a By: Priyanka Singhal, IB-1st year
bang!!
NSE launches IRF
In the ocean of fi-
nance if you feel like Trading in interest rate futures (IRFs) was relaunched in the coun-
a fish out of water or try on Monday; 31 August 2009 after a gap of over six years in a bid to
if you are an eager further deepen its financial markets and offer a hedging tool to small com-
beaver who wants to
more than scratch the panies and retail investors.
surface of finance,
Finance Forum brings Specifically, only one product - a Treasury bond future contract
all the news from the based on a notional 10-year government bond bearing 7% semi annual
board rooms right up coupon is being introduced. NSE has provided a list of 11 government se-
to your mail box
where you will have a curities maturing between 2018 and 2022 that are eligible for delivery and
chance to explore all for settling the contracts.
the avenues of fi-
nance with fun, frolic What are Interest rate Futures?
and excitement…All
this and much more
in a new avatar …. Interest rate futures are derivative contracts which have an interest
Here is the unraveling bearing security as the underlying instrument. It is "an agreement to buy
of our first edition of or sell a package of debt instruments at a specified future date at a price
that is fixed today... Contd on pg 2
FINNOMICS…

...where SBI Does it Again


learning peaks!!
By: Sheriq Sumar, MMS –1st year

Editor: SBI since the last quarter is on a totally spree of cutting down
Shweta Vora its interest, creating much noise within the market. From Home Loans
(MMS-Fin) Interest Rates to Agricultural - Loans Interest Rates SBI has not left
any of these untouched. Following the request of Finance Minister
Pranab Mukherjee many banks have slashed their interest rates for
various sections of their business… Contd on pg 3
PAGE 2 FINNOMICS…
...WHERE LEARNING PE AKS!!!

Interest Rate Futures...contd from pg 1


With the introduction of IRF on 31st August 2009, (NSE) became the first to launch trading in the
segment ahead of the (BSE), which has also been permitted by the capital market regulator to host the seg-
ment.
Interest rate futures are the first major product to be introduced in India after the launch of currency
futures in August 2008. The volume in the currency futures segment has steadily moved up and crossed the
combined daily turnover mark of $2 billion. Currently, the share of IRFs in the global derivatives market in
terms of volumes is 20 per cent.

Interest Rate Futures were introduced earlier also in 2003

Regulators had introduced IRFs in 2003 but they failed due to overly complex pricing system poor
product design and the RBI diktat banning banks, the biggest buyers of government securities from taking
trading positions. The earlier 2003 contract used a zero-coupon yield curve for determining the settlement
price, which was complex. All this led to the demise of this product.

Salient features of interest rate futures

Underlying 10 year notional coupon bearing government of India


security
Coupon Notional coupon would be 7% with semi-annual com-
pounding
Size and tenor Rs.2lakh, Maximum maturity: 12 months

Quotation Similar to quoted price of GoI security; day count con-


vention: 360-day a year; 12 months; 30 days per month;
and half-yearly coupon payment
Contract Cycle Four quarterly contracts a year-expiring in March, June,
September and December
Daily Settlement Closing price of the 10-year Notional Coupon bearing
Price GoI security futures contract on the trading day.
Settlement Depositories (NSDL and CDSL) and Public Debt Office
(PDO) of the RBI

Given that interest rate swaps are being widely used in the OTC market, experts feel that the intro-
duction of IRF will provide more opportunities for hedging against the interest rate risk. The question now
is whether trading will move away from swaps to futures. Experts feel that more people will now probably
hedge against risk arising out of interest rate fluctuations.

All in all the interest rate futures is a completely different market and therefore there will be the
possibility of being able to hedge positions through the futures market and more importantly it will create
arbitrage opportunities between the cash market, the OIS market and the interest rate futures market, which
in turn will bring in newer players as well.
PAGE 3 FINNOMICS…
...WHERE LEARNING PE AKS!!!

SBI does it again...contd from pg 1


Always being an initiator in stiffening up the competition, SBI doesn’t leave any chance in
giving their competitors a run for their money by slashing lending rates. Announcing a slash in its
Benchmark Prime Lending Rates (BPLR) on June 24, 2009 from 12.25% to 11.75%, a 50 Basis
points reduction would benefit Car, Home and Corporate Loan customers.

With improving liquidity conditions in the market, banks are trying their best to attract
home loans by reducing lending rates. Obviously, it is expected of SBI to take the lead. With
HDFC, AXIS bank and ICICI bank are offering home loans at 9.25% floating to new customers
and few other offering fixed rates for the first five years; as on 8th August 2009, SBI is offering a
rate of 8.00% for the first year for loans up to Rs. 30 Lacs and thereafter at rate of 8.50% for the
2nd and 3rd year. The consumer, thereafter, can decide between a floating rate thereafter at 2 per
cent below the bank's benchmark prime lending rate, the BPLR, prevalent at that time (current
BPLR is 11.75 per cent, so if it remains the same, the rate will be 9.75 per cent after three years).

The other option is to opt for a fixed rate after three years, for the fourth and fifth year at 1
per cent below the BPLR prevalent at that time. Competitors criticizing such a move state that if
the average interest payment made to SBI is considered it would be 9.35% as against 9.25% of-
fered by other banks. Deepak Parekh warned that such artificial lower rates could lead to a sub-
prime-like crisis. But with the introduction of fixed rate for three years, the SBI plan scores over
the other lenders who lend only on "floating rate" basis.

The car loan scheme from SBI is quite interesting. First, it cut the car loan rates in February
to 10 per cent for the first year and it was to be reset second year onwards. The recent scheme, an-
nounced on June 28, goes a step ahead. That is, the five-year new car loan scheme has a fixed rate
of interest for the first 3 years (8 per cent for the first year and 10 per cent for the next two years)
and at 0.5 per cent below BPLR for the fourth and fifth year (if the BPLR stays at current levels, it
will be at an effective rate of 11.25 per cent).

On 3rd September, SBI also launched a slew of measures for farm loan borrowers, including
interest rate reductions on irrigation and crop loans, to support drought-hit farmers. . The existing
rates in this category are 10.5 per cent to 13.25 per cent.
PAGE 4 FINNOMICS…
...WHERE LEARNING PE AKS!!!

When it comes to plethora of questions in banking, he is the powerhouse of knowledge. A PhD in


Finance and holder of banking degree of CAIIB, he has a rich experience with IOB for 20 years.
Finance Forum team in an exclusive interview with Prof. Pankaj Trivedi.

Q. Everything moves in cycles…Is the same true with respect to interest rate futures?

A: Yes, definetely.The business cycle theory works here. However when the cycle starts and when it
ends cannot be predicted .The magnitude and duration which are difficult to forecast. However one of
the constraints is the time lag between the formulation of the policies and its implementation.

Q: The downfall was due to the fault of markets or regulators?

A: Partly, both . But in case of India due to the conservative approach of regulators we have not been
hit so hard in this crisis and therefore I have a staunch belief in conservatism.

Q. Yesterday being the anniversary of the great fall of Lehman, any learning’s for the market?

A: The Learning’s are manifold:

a. Don’t depend more than 50% on structured products.

b.Whenever we are dealing with derivative products, it is very essential to be vigilant about the under-
lying asset.

c.Raters are required to be rated .This is the need of the hour.

d.Philosophically, anything in excess is bad. Therefore the risks should be taken moderately

Q. Recently the interest rate futures have been launched and the banks are allowed to participate unlike
earlier times. Your comment on it.

A: Introduction of banks as a player is justified as banks are one of the most important intermediaries
in India which leads to risk mitigation. This is a good product and it is beneficial for banks

Q. Sir, if you are appointed as the governor of RBI what kind of policies would you formulate?

A: I will take measures for controlling inflation because in India inflation is not only an economic phe-
nomenon but also a socio- political-economic issue. This can be implemented with the help of govern-
ment agencies like Law Enforcement Authority and Ministry of Finance.

Q. Is Recovery in near sight?

A: Yes, definitely. It can be seen from the indicators like IIP numbers, monetary policy changes and
various schemes and bailout packages by the government.

Q. Sir, any advice for the students?

A: Yes, as a parting note to my students I would like to say that: “Be a good human being first and
then you are everything else!”
PAGE 5 FINNOMICS…
...WHERE LEARNING PE AKS!!!

Crystal Clear Concepts!!!


Interest Rates: An Overview
By:Mohit Handa and Hariharan Prasad, PGDM, 1st year

There are different interest rates that come under the purview of RBI. These interest rates are altered
by the RBI from time to time to assure smooth running of the economy. It is one of ways in which
inflation is controlled. Before understanding the effect of these interest rates on the economy we will
first understand the basic meaning of these rates.

Repo rate:
It is the rate at which banks borrow money from the RBI. This is done whenever the banks feel
the liquidity crunch. So an increase in repo rate can make it costly for the bank to borrow and a de-
crease in rate will encourage borrowing. This way people will feel less inclined to buy goods and ser-
vices thereby reducing the demand.

Reverse repo rate:


This is the rate at which banks lend to RBI. This happens whenever RBI wants to increase its re-
serves. A change in reverse repo rate will see a change in the pattern of lending by banks. When
higher interest rates are offered by RBI to banks, the banks prefer depositing in safe deposit like the
reserves of RBI than lending to the public. This is again seen as way to control inflation. When banks
deposit more funds in RBI, there will be reduced liquidity in the market. So people would have to pay
interest rates more than that what RBI pays. This reduces the net disposable cash of common man in
way of paying higher loan interests.

Repo rate Vs Reverse repo rate:


Reverse repo rate is always less than repo rate because higher reverse repo rates will lead banks to
deposit more funds in RBI thus reducing public lending.

Repo Rate 4.75% Cash reserve ratio:


This is the minimum amount of cash that
Reverse Repo rate 3.25%
banks need to keep as reserves in RBI. This is
CRR 5% done to ensure that banks do not run out of li-
SLR 24% quidity during adverse economic conditions.
PLR 12.75% to 13.25% Statutory liquidity ratio:
The ratio of these reserves to the liabilities that
Savings Bank Rate 3.5% the bank faces, demand as well as time based
Capital Adequacy Ratio 9% liability is called Statutory Liquidity Ratio.

Figs as on 5th Sep 2009


FINNOMICS…
PAGE 6
...WHERE LEARNING PE AKS!!!

Difference between SLR and CRR:


1. CRR is only in the form of cash while SLR includes liquid assets like cash, gold, government
bonds etc..
2. CRR is a reserve maintained with the RBI whereas SLR is maintained by the banks themselves.
.
Benchmark PLR:
This rate is used by banks as a standard rate for determining other interest rates. The banks’
prime lending rate is used as a base to set loan rates, bond rates etc.PLR is the rate at which bank
lend money to customers and it includes car loans, home loans and personal loans. Each bank is free
to set its own PLR but their interest rates must be closely aligned with the benchmark set. This rate is
arrived at by taking the average of all the interest rates.
Generally banks offer loans at sub-PLR rates (at rates less than the bank’s PLR) to encourage bor-
rowing, especially during recession times.

Call rate in money market:


This is the rate at which banks charge brokers who finance loans to investors during marginal pur-
chasing of bonds or shares. This is the benchmark rate for what investors pay to buy securities on
margin. These loans can be called in very short notice.

Call Money rate:


The banks have to maintain a fixed amount of liquidity with them always. If on some day due to ex-
cess lending the bank’s liquidity may fall below the threshold level. To maintain the levels banks
may borrow from moneylenders like IDBI, LIC, GIC and other banks. These are short term borrow-
ings.

Conclusion:
Changes in interest rates are based on the country’s economic growth. Interest rates increases when
the economy is growing and there is demand for loans and decreases when economic activity slows
and few people are borrowing.

Whiz Quiz
th
Q.1, Who is the 5 General Director of WTO?

Q.2. An economic theory explaining the increase in interest rates due to rising government borrow-
ing in the money market is____.

Q.3. Who is the writer of the book – “The Upside of the Downturn”?

Q.4 This is a special purpose vehicle for Coal India, SAIL, NTPC, NMDC and RINL (Rashtriya Ispat
Nigam Ltd)….

Q.5. Largest private equity fund in India?

The first 10 correct entries will get their names published in the next issue..Mail your answers at
financeforum@simsrites.com...Hurry!!

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