CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL For release: Wednesday, February 26, 2014 7:00 am ET

Looking Ahead to the 2016 Presidential Race February 19-23, 2014 While the 2016 presidential election may be two years away, some prospective contenders have been getting a bit of media attention. The latest CBS News/New York Times Poll asked the public whether they would like to see some of these figures, as well as other party leaders, run for president in 2016. The Republicans From a list of five high profile Republican Party leaders, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul capture the most interest among self-identified Republicans; about four in 10 want to see each run for President. Republicans are less enthusiastic about New Jersey Governor Chris Christie: more say they would not like him to run for President (41%) than say they would (31%). More Republicans would like to see Senators Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz run for President than not, but most dont know enough about these two politicians to say. Would You Like to See Them Run for President? (Among Republicans) Yes No Dont Know enough Jeb Bush 41% 27 30 Rand Paul 39% 21 39 Marco Rubio 32% 15 51 Chris Christie 31% 41 26 Ted Cruz 24% 15 59 The Democrats On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is the most well-known of the political leaders measured in this poll, and most would like to see her enter the 2016 race. 82% of Democrats would like to see Hillary Clinton run, while just 13% would not and 5% dont know enough about her to say. Vice President Joe Biden is also well-known, though Democrats are divided as to whether or not theyd like to see him make a third run for the presidency. 42% would like to see him run, but 39% would not. Most Democrats dont know enough about Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren (56%), New York Governor Andrew Cuomo (59%), or Maryland Governor Martin OMalley (82%) to say whether theyd like them to run for president. Would You Like to See Them Run for President? (Among Democrats) Yes No Dont Know enough Hillary Clinton 82% 13 5 Joe Biden 42% 39 15 Elizabeth Warren 22% 17 56 Andrew Cuomo 17% 19 59 Martin OMalley 3% 11 82

What Do Independents Think? In some primary contests, independents (those voters unaffiliated with a major political party) can cast a vote for a party nominee, and they are a key voting bloc in the general election as well. Among independents, 50% would like to see Hillary Clinton jump in the race the highest percentage among both the Democratic and Republican figures asked about in the poll. 30% of independents would like Rand Paul to run for president (the highest among the Republican possibilities listed), but nearly as many 29%-- dont want to see him run. At this point, most independents are not excited about the prospect of Vice President Biden running for president, while a quarter would like to see him get in the race. Large percentages of independents dont know enough about many of the other political figures to have an opinion. Would You Like to See Them Run for President? (Among independents) Republicans: Dont Know Yes No enough Rand Paul 30% 29 38 Chris Christie 28% 34 35 Jeb Bush 26% 43 30 Marco Rubio 26% 24 48 Ted Cruz 20% 25 52 Democrats: Yes 50% 24% 13% 13% 5% No 42 58 29 25 9 Dont Know enough 7 17 55 59 84

Hillary Clinton Joe Biden Andrew Cuomo Elizabeth Warren Martin OMalley

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This poll was conducted by telephone February 19-23, 2014 among a total of 1,644 adults nationwide. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by Social Science Research Solutions of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The poll included a general population sample of 1,003, along with additional interviews to yield the following sample sizes: 519 Republicans, 515 Democrats, and 610 independents. The additional interviews were obtained through callbacks to people indicating party id on a previous poll. The total sample was then weighted to party distribution targets from the general population portion of the poll. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The margin of error for Republicans, Democrats and independents is 6 points. The error for subgroups may be higher. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

CBS NEWS/ NEW YORK TIMES NATIONAL POLL Looking Ahead to the 2016 Presidential Race February 19-23, 2014 Q1-Q59 Held for future release Q60. Would you like to see Jeb Bush run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Jeb Bush to say? Reps % 41 27 30 2 Dems % Ind % 26 43 30 1

Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer

Q61. Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Chris Christie to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 31 41 26 2 28 34 35 2

Q62. Would you like to see Ted Cruz run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Ted Cruz to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 24 15 59 2 20 25 52 3

Q63. Would you like to see Rand Paul run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Rand Paul to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 39 21 39 1 30 29 38 2

Q64. Would you like to see Marco Rubio run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Marco Rubio to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 32 15 51 2 26 24 48 2

Q65. Would you like to see Joe Biden run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Joe Biden to say? Reps % Dems % 42 39 15 4 Ind % 24 58 17 2

Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer

Q66. Would you like to see Hillary Clinton run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Hillary Clinton to say?

Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer

82 13 5 1

50 42 7 *

Q67. Would you like to see Elizabeth Warren run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Elizabeth Warren to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 22 17 56 4 13 25 59 2

Q68. Would you like to see Martin O'Malley run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Martin O'Malley to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 3 11 82 4 5 9 84 3

Q69. Would you like to see Andrew Cuomo run for President of the United States in 2016, or not, or dont you know enough about Andrew Cuomo to say? Yes No Dont know enough Dont know/No answer 17 19 59 5 13 29 55 2 WEIGHTED 400 (24%) 517 (31%) 727 (44%)

Total Republicans Total Democrats Total independents

UNWEIGHTED 519 515 610