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Formula We start by listing the actual formula in the second column. For some concepts multiple formulas are needed so enumerate them all. When helpful we also add examples for better understanding. Example
SV = EV - PV
Result Interpretation The formula wont do you much good if you cannot explain what the result is or means. That is why we include an interpretation in the third column. PMP questions may require interpretation. Example:
Negative = Behind Schedule = bad Positive = Ahead of Schedule = good
Example:
Cost Variance (SV) Provides Schedule performance of the project. Helps determine if the project is proceeding as planned.
Exponentiation
You will encounter in PMP Exam some questions requiring formulas with exponentiation. The exponent 4 is usually shown as a superscript to the right of the base. For instance: 5 . The exponentiation should be 4 read as 5 raised to the 4th power or as 5 raised to the power of 4. And 5 would be evaluated as 5*5*5*5=625. 4 n The superscript notation 5 is convenient in handwriting. The formula PV = FV / (1+r) can also be written down as PV = FV / (1+r)^n. The alternative way of expressing the exponentiation by using the ^ character is good too. When using 4 n this character, 5 is now expressed as 5^4 and PV = FV / (1+r) is expressed as PV = FV / (1+r)^n.
Formula CV = EV - AC
Result Interpretation
Negative = over budget = bad Positive = under budget = good
Cost Performance Index (CPI) This measures cost efficiency on a project. It is the ratio of earned value to actual cost.
CPI = EV / AC
Schedule Variance (SV) Measures schedule performance of the project. It determines if the project work is proceeding as planned. Schedule Performance Index (SPI) This is a measure of the schedule efficiency of a project. It is the ratio of earned value to planned value. It determines if a project is behind, on or ahead of schedule. It can be used to help predict when a project will be completed. Estimate at Completion (EAC) This is the expected final and total cost of an activity or project based on project performance. It helps to determine an estimate of the total costs of a project based on actual costs to date. There are several ways to calculate EAC depending on the current project situation and how the actual work is progressing as compared to the budget. You must look for certain keywords to determine what assumptions were made.
SV = EV - PV
1 = good. Means we are getting $1 for every $1 spent. The funds are used as planned. >1 = good. Means we are getting >$1 for every $1 spent. The funds are used better than planned. <1 = bad. Means we are getting <$1 for every $1 spent. The funds are not used as planned. Negative = behind schedule = bad Positive = ahead of schedule = good
SPI = EV / PV
Estimate to Complete (ETC) Expected cost needed to complete all the remaining work for a schedule activity, a group of activities or the project. Helps predict what the final cost of the project will be upon completion. There are many ways to calculate ETC depending on the assumptions made. (Note the keywords in italic.)
EAC = BAC / CPI Assumption: use this formula if current variances are thought to be typical in the future. This is the formula most often required on the PMP exam. EAC = AC + ETC Assumption: use this formula if original estimate was fundamentally flawed or conditions have changed and invalidated the assumptions on which the original estimate was based on. EAC = AC + BAC - EV Assumption: use formula if current variances are thought to be atypical in the future and the original budget is more reliable. EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / (CPI * SPI)) Assumption: use formula if project is over budget but still needs to meet a Schedule deadline. ETC = EAC - AC Inversion of the same formula from the EAC calculations. Note: This ETC formula is listed in only one (the most famous) PMP prep workbook. No others list it. We recommend using it, if no keywords are given. ETC = BAC - EV Assumption: use this formula if current variances are thought to be atypical in the future. ETC = (BAC - EV) / CPI Assumption: use this formula if current variances are thought to be typical in the future.
1 = good. Indicates that we are progressing at the originally planned rate. >1 = good. Indicates that we are progressing at a faster rate than originally planned. <1 = bad. Indicates that we are progressing at a slower rate than originally planned. Original budget modified by the cost performance. The result is a monetary value.
Actual Cost plus a new estimate for the remaining work. Result is a monetary value.
Actual cost to date (AC) plus remaining budget (BAC - EV). Result is a monetary value.
Actual cost to date (AC) plus remaining budget (BAC - EV) modified by both cost performance and schedule performance. Result is a monetary value. Expected total cost minus actual cost to date. Result is a monetary value that will tell us how much more the project will cost.
The planned budget minus the earned value. Result is a monetary value that will tell us how much more the project cost will increase. The planned budget minus the earned value modified by project performance. Result is a monetary value that will tell us how much more
the project cost will increase. ETC = Creating a new estimate when it is thought that the original estimate was flawed. Percent Complete = EV / BAC * 100 This is simply a new estimate of the remaining cost. The result is a percentage. What is currently completed divided by the original budget times 100. TCPI is compared to the cumulative CPI to determine if a target EAC is reasonable. A target EAC is assumed to be reasonable if the TCPI is within plus or minus 0.05 of the cumulative CPI EVM metric.
Percent Complete How much of the planned budget have we completed? To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) This is the calculated project cost performance that must be achieved on the remaining work to meet a specific management goal (e.g. BAC or EAC). It is the work remaining divided by the funds remaining. Variance at Completion (VAC) It anticipates the difference between the originally estimated BAC and a newly calculated EAC. In other words, the cost we originally planned minus the cost that we now expect. Earned Value (EV) A way for calculating the Earned Value on a project. Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) This is based on three point estimates for the expected duration of a schedule activity using pessimistic, optimistic and most likely durations. A probabilistic approach, using statistical estimates of durations. PERT Standard Deviation (Single Activity) The standard deviation (sigma ) is a reflection of the uncertainty in the estimates. It is a measure of the statistical variability of an activity. PERT Activity Variance Each activity has a variance, which is a statistical dispersion. This is an example: The PERT three point estimate gives a 12-day duration. The variance formula tells you that you have a three-day variance. Therefore the activity duration is 12 days +/- 3 days. PERT Standard Deviation (All Activities) You are required to know how to calculate the duration of multiple activities and give their standard deviation. This is done by taking the square root of the total variance. Activity Duration This determines how long an activity lasts. There are two formulas both
Using BAC: TCPI = (BAC EV) / (BAC AC) Using EAC: TCPI = (BAC EV) / (EAC AC)
EV = % complete * BAC
Optimistic + (4 * Most Likely) + Pessimistic) / 6 (i.e. (O+4M+P)/6
Result is a monetary value that estimates how much over or under budget (the variance) we will be at the end of the project. <0 = means over budget 0 = means exactly on budget >0 means under budget The result is the EV, a monetary value.
The result is the estimated duration of a schedule activity which is expressed as a weighted average.
= (Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6
The result is the standard deviation from the mean of a schedule activity. For example, the duration +/- 1 standard deviation gives a 68.26% confidence that you can meet the estimated duration. Activity Variance gives you the expected variance in the activitys duration. For instance: +/- 3 days.
sum((Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6)^2 (Adding up the variances of all the activities and then taking the square root.)
The result is a standard deviation (or variance) from the mean of the given series of activities.
Duration = EF - ES + 1 Duration = LF - LS + 1
will give the same outcome. Free Float This determines how many days an activity can be delayed without delaying the early start of the next activity.
Free Float = Earliest ES of Following Activities - ES of Present Activity Duration of Present Activity
Total Float This determines how many days one can delay an activity without delaying the project. There are two formulas both will give the same output. Early Finish (EF) It determines when an activity will finish at the earliest. Early Start (ES) It determines when an activity can start at the earliest. Late Finish (LF) It determines when an activity should finish at the latest. Late Start (LS) It determines when an activity should start at the latest. Present Value (PV) Receiving money today (present) has a different value than receiving money in the future (in four years). The formula calculates how much. (Also described as value today of future cash flows.) Please do not confuse PV (Present Value) in this with the Planned Value (PV). Future Value (FV) Receiving money in the future (in four years) has a different value than receiving money in the today (present). This formula calculates how much. (Also described as the discounted value of a future cash flow.) Net Present Value (NPV) This is the method for financial evaluation of long-term projects. (Also known as Present value of cash inflow / benefits minus present value of cash outflow / costs.) Return on Investment (ROI) This is the ratio of money gained or lost on an investment relative to the amount of money invested. The amount of money gained or lost is often referred to as interest, profit/loss, gain/loss, or net income/loss. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) This is the interest rate at which the present value of the cash flows equals the initial investment. More precise and for comparing
Number of days this activity can be delayed without delaying the early start of the next activity. Note: If the present activity has more than one following activities, then use the Earliest ES of any of the following activities. Number of days an activity can be delayed without delaying the project.
EF = (ES + duration) - 1
ES = (EF of predecessor) + 1
The day on which an activity can finish earliest. The day on which an activity can start earliest.
FV = PV * (1+r)^n
The result is the sum of money you will end up with (FV) if money is invested today (present) for n years at r% interest.
Positive NPV is good. Negative NPV is bad. The project with the higher NPV is the better project choice.
The project with the higher IRR is better and should be selected.
profitability across projects and it also considers time value of money. Payback period This is the time it takes to recover the initial investment by adding up the future cash inflows until they are equal to the initial investment. (i.e. The time it takes until you start making a profit.) Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) This is the ratio that describes the cost versus benefits of a project. Cost Benefit Ratio (CBR) This is the ratio that describes the benefits versus cost of a project. This is simply the reverse of the Benefit Cost Ratio. Opportunity Cost This is the opportunity cost is the cost incurred by choosing one option over an alternative one. Therefore, opportunity cost is the cost of pursuing one choice instead of another. Communication Channels The number of communication channels on a team.
Add up the projected cash inflow minus expenses until you reach the initial investment.
A project with the shorter payback period is better and should be selected.
BCR < 1 is bad. BCR > 1 is good. A project with the bigger BCR is the better one. CBR > 1 is bad. CBR < 1 is good. A project with the lower CBR is the better one.
n * (n-1) / 2
As regards PMP exam the opportunity cost is usually a monetary value: Project B was selected over project A, therefore the opportunity cost is the unrealized profit of project A. NO calculation is required. This is the total number of communication channels among n people of a group. This is the number of communication channels that one member of the team has with everyone else on the team. I.e. you have to make this many phone calls to call everyone else. The monetary value that represents the expected gain or loss of an event should such event occur.
n-1
Expected Monetary Value (EMV) This is the gain or loss that will result when an event occurs. It takes probability into account. For example: If it rains we will lose $400. There is a 25% chance that it will rain, therefore the EMV is: 0.25 * $400 = $100. Point of Total Assumption (PTA) The point of total assumption (PTA) is a price determined by a fixed price plus incentive fee contract (FPIF) above which the seller pays the cost overrun. Therefore, once the costs on an FPIF contract reach PTA, the maximum amount the buyer will pay is just the ceiling price. Straight-line Depreciation This method depreciates the same amount (or percent) each year by dividing the asset's cost by the number of years it is expected to be in service and is the simplest of the depreciation methods.
PTA = ((Ceiling Price - Target Price) /Buyer's Share Ratio) + Target Cost
The result is a monetary value. When this is reached then the seller covers all of the cost risk beyond this point.
Depreciation Expense = Asset Cost / Useful Life Depreciation Expense = (Asset Cost Scrap Value) / Useful Life
Depreciation Rate = 100% / Useful Life Double Declining Balance Depreciation Rate = 2 * (100% /
The result is either the Depreciation Expense (the yearly depreciation Amount for instance: $200) or the Depreciation Rate (the yearly depreciation percentage for instance if the asset life is 20 years, the depreciation rate is: 5%). If a Scrap Value is given then this can also be factored in by subtracting it. The Depreciation Rate stays the
This is the most common depreciation method that provides for a higher depreciation charge in the first year of an asset's life and gradually decreasing charges in subsequent years. It does this by depreciating twice the straight-line depreciation rate from an assets book value at the beginning of the year. Sum-of-Years' Digits Method Sum-of-Years' Digits is a depreciation method that provides a more accelerated write-off than straight-line, but less than decliningbalance method. Under this method annual depreciation is determined by multiplying the Depreciable Cost by a schedule of fraction based on the useful life of the asset. Average Average refers to a measure of the "middle" of a data set. The most common method is the arithmetic mean. Average is sometimes called the Mean.
Useful Life) Depreciation Expense = Depreciation Rate * Book Value at Beginning of Year Book Value = Book Value at beginning of year - Depreciation Expense
same over the years, whereas the Depreciation Expense gets smaller each year because it is calculated from a smaller book value each year.
Sum of the digits = Useful Life + (Useful Life - 1) + (Useful Life - 2) + etc. Depreciation rate = fraction of years left and sum of the digits (i.e. 4/15th)
Average is the sum of all the members of the list divided by the number of items in the list. Average of 2, 4, 6, 8 = (2 + 4 + 6 + 8) /4=5
This method makes both depreciation rate and depreciation fraction get smaller over time. Example: Sum of the digits: If the useful life is 6, then it is 6 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 =21 st st Depreciation rate: 6/21 for the 1 st st year, 5/21 for the 2nd year, 4/21 rd st th for the 3 year, 3/21 for the 4 st th year, 2/21 for the 5 year and st th 1/21 for the 6 year. The outcome is a number representing the arithmetic mean.
Mean
Median This is the middle value that separates the higher half from the lower half of the data set.
1 sigma 2 sigma 3 sigma 6 sigma Control Limits Control Specifications Rough Order of Magnitude estimate Preliminary estimate
The value is: 68.26% The value is: 95.46% The value is: 99.73% The value is: 99.99%
Normally 3 standard deviations above and below the mean
Known as: 1 standard deviation Known as: 2 standard deviation Known as: 3 standard deviation Known as: 4 standard deviation
Control limits indicate the expected variation in the data. Must be looser than the control limits. Represents the customers requirements. The estimate ranges varies. Some books set the ROM at -25% to +75% others at -50% to +100%. This is not surprising because they
-15% to + 50%
Budget estimate Definitive estimate Final estimate Float on the critical path Pareto Diagram
90%
Based on crashing the tasks with the least expensive crash cost first.
For example: 80% of your problems are due to 20% of the causes. In accordance with Harold Kerzner.
Crash only activities on the critical path.
Crashing a project
0% or close to 0%
An incurred cost that cannot be reversed. Sunk cost is never a factor when making project decisions.
Sunk Cost
Acronym AC
Description
Total cost expended and reported during the accomplishment of a project task or project. This can be labor hours alone; direct costs alone; or all costs, including indirect costs. The sum of all budgets allocated to a project, i.e. sum of all the planned values of all projects activities or tasks The ratio that compares benefits to cost
BAC
Budget At Completion
BCR
CBR
CPI
CV
Cost Variance
EAC
Estimate at Completion
EF EMV
ES ETC
EV
Earned Value
FV
Future Value
ETC is the expected cost needed to complete all the remaining work for a scheduled activity, a group of activities, or the project. ETC helps project managers predict what the final cost of the project will be on completion. EV is the value of completed work expressed in terms of the approved budget assigned to that work for a scheduled activity or work breakdown structure component. The value of money on a given date in the future
IRR
It is an indicator of the efficiency of an investment. Late finish of an activity Late start of an activity NPV is the standard method for the financial appraisal of longterm projects. Measures the excess or shortfall of cash flows, in present value (PV) terms, once financing charges are met. This is the method that allows the estimation of the weighted average duration of tasks Contract price above which the seller bears all the loss of a cost overrun. PV is the authorized budget assigned to any scheduled work to be accomplished for a scheduled activity or work breakdown structure component. This is the value of money received today instead of receiving in the future. This is the ratio of money gained or lost on an investment relative
LF LS NPV
PERT
PTA
PV
Planned Value
PV
Present Value
ROI
Return on Investment
to the amount of money invested SPI Schedule Performance Index This is the ratio of work accomplished versus work planned, for a specified time period. The SPI is an efficiency rating for work accomplishment, comparing work accomplished to what should have been accomplished. This is a measure of schedule performance on the project, expressed as the difference between earned value and planned value.
SV
Schedule Variance
TCPI
VAC
Variance at Completion
Sigma
This is the calculated project of cost performance that must be achieved on the remaining work to meet a specific management goal (e.g. BAC or EAC).It is the work remaining divided by the funds remaining. VAC forecasts the difference between the Budget-atCompletion and the expected total costs to be accrued over the life of the project based on current trends. The Greek letter sigma is used to denote the standard deviation.