Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Table of Contents
Executive Summary...................................................................................................................... 3 Overview of the Deal ................................................................................................................... 4 SES Analysis ................................................................................................................................. 5 The Proposal .............................................................................................................................. 5 Analysis of the press release ...................................................................................................... 5 The expansion of facilities was kept on hold due to market conditions ...................... 5 The Suzuki subsidiary would always remain a 100% Suzuki owned Company............. 6 Expansion through a 100% Suzuki subsidiary ............................................................... 6 Production contract ...................................................................................................... 6 Transfer price between SMC subsidiary and MSIL ....................................................... 7 Leasing of Land by MSIL ................................................................................................ 8 Risk for MSIL in the structure ....................................................................................... 8 Assistance by MSIL in implementing the project .......................................................... 8 Marketing...................................................................................................................... 8 Financial benefits to MSIL ............................................................................................. 9 Royalty issue at MSIL ............................................................................................................... 10 What is there in it for SMC? ..................................................................................................... 11 Does the deal require shareholders approval? ...................................................................... 12 Evaluating alternative structure .............................................................................................. 12 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 14 Disclaimers ................................................................................................................................ 15
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 2 OF 15
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 3 OF 15
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 4 OF 15
THE PROPOSAL
Suzuki Motor Corporation SMC
SMC owns 56.21% in MSIL 100% Initial Investment to setup plant Vehicles @ Cost Price
Dividends + Royalty
Gujarat Subsidiary
Further, SES has also noted certain inconsistencies in the statements made by the Company.
Work on the Gujarat site has commenced and we expect to start production by the end of 2015-16. - Chairmans statement, Annual report 2012-13 During the year, the Company signed an agreement with the Gujarat government and acquired 700 acres of land near Mehsana for future capacity expansion. Work is likely to start there shortly. Management Discussion and Analysis, Annual report 2012-13 The Board, today, decided that the time was now appropriate to expand production facilities in Gujarat. Press release, October 29, 2011
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 5 OF 15
SES recognises that the decision to expand or not is a long-term issue and is not impacted by decline of sales in a month or quarter. However, a change of decision must be made based on certain information, data and predictions. As a good Corporate Governance practice, the company should have disclosed the information that impacted its decision-making to its shareholders. SES finds that the company has been rather conservative on disclosures.
SES is of the opinion that with the stringent conditions self-imposed by SMC, it can be inferred that there will be no dividend transfer from subsidiary to SMC, and only initial capital brought in by SMC will be repatriated. To give comfort to MSIL and its shareholders against any other interpretation, the contract between MSIL/SMC and subsidiary should not only confirm above observations but may also include an option for MSIL to buy out subsidiary at book value at any point of time in future. Production contract Press Release has further emphasised on following points: 1. 2. 3. 4. MSIL would enter into a contract with SMC subsidiary All production in the subsidiary would be in accordance with the requirements of MSIL All Vehicles would be sold to MSIL Suzuki subsidiary would sell vehicles to MSIL at the cost price plus just adequate cash to cover incremental capital expenditure requirements.
Plain reading of the above statements suggest that the subsidiary would be a captive unit and its 100% revenue will come from MSIL. Production programme will also be in accordance with MSIL requirements. Understanding the impact and meaning of these statements is very important. Concerns have been raised by various analysts that it may happen that capacity utilisation of MSIL may drop, and that of the subsidiary will go up. SMC may be in drivers seat at MSIL being the major and c ontrolling shareholder. SES is of the opinion that if the decision to expand production facility is commercially correct, then it will be immaterial which unit produces, operates at what capacity utilisation, subject to following being true. 1. The entire output will be sold to MSIL.
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 6 OF 15
3.
4.
5.
6.
Transfer price between SMC subsidiary and MSIL SES is of the view that any transaction / agreement between proposed 100% subsidiary of SMC and MSIL will be a related party transaction and would also be subject to applicable transfer pricing rules. The Press Release mentions the following, about price of vehicles produced by proposed subsidiary: 1. 2. The price of vehicles to MSIL would include the cost of production actually incurred plus just adequate cash (net of all tax) to cover incremental capital expenditure requirements
Cost of production includes cash and non-cash cost. Depreciation and writing off of the preliminary expenses are the only non-cash expenses. While rate of depreciation will impact the cost year by year, however it will be immaterial in the long run as total cost recovered will be only the capital cost and if the agreement between MSIL and SMC will provide for an option to MSIL to take over the proposed subsidiary at book value, rate of depreciation at best will impact cash flow timing and nothing beyond that. The potential issue could be with Incremental Capital Expenditure being adjusted and included as part of cost of production. At this stage, there is no clarity about what could be this incremental capital expenditure. By definition, incremental can mean only a small amount vis a vis the original investment. Initially, the plant is being set up with a capacity of 100,000 vehicles (this is as per newspaper report and not confirmed hence SES is not placing any reliance on this data). In case the incremental capex is beyond normal repair and 2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved PAGE 7 OF 15
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 8 OF 15
At face value, this appears to be a positive statement for MSIL and its shareholders since MSIL will become an export hub for the territories. However, at this stage, the efforts and expenses required to develop the market are not known. It is also not clear what will be the pricing policies for sales in the territories assigned. Will MSIL be required to subsidize sales? It may happen that after spending time and money, SMC might decide to export the vehicles directly, thus jeopardising MSIL interests and future potential gains. Therefore SMC and MSIL should spell out the minimum period for which these export territories would be exclusive domain of MSIL .What would be the parameters that will determine further extension? Will it be at the option of MSIL or SMC or mutual? Financial benefits to MSIL The Company has stated that MSIL would financially benefit from the interest earnings resulting from not investing its money in this project. It would also benefit because the vehicles would be sold to MSIL by the Suzuki subsidiary without any return on capital employed. SES is of the opinion that as long as vehicles are sold by the proposed subsidiary to MSIL at actual cost, MSIL would stand to gain interest on the funds that MSIL otherwise would have invested in expansion. However, the Company has not given amount that would be invested by SMC in the new subsidiary. In absence of this information, the expected financial benefits on this amount cannot be calculated. However given tax free rate of 8.5% available in tax free bonds, for every `100 Cr invested by SMC, MSIL would save `8.5 Cr tax free (interest saved by not investing MSILs own funds), which will belong to shareholders of MSIL including SMC. There is an indication that SMC would invest close to `3,000 Cr in the subsidiary, which would result in savings of nearly `255 cr for MSIL. With approximately 30 crore shares outstanding, the savings works out to over `8 per share. Therefore, MSIL would avoid dilution of EPS to the extent of `8 per share on the amount perpetually or till the arrangement continues.
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 9 OF 15
Royalty Payments increased 3.61 times from `680 Cr in 2007-08 to `2,454 Cr in 201213. During the same period, sales rose by 2.15 times and profit by approximately 2 times. This indicates faster growth of royalty as compared to sales and profits. It is presumed that the proposed structure will also involve payment of royalty to SMC by MSIL on vehicles produced by subsidiary.
2009 NPM
2010
2011 2012 2013 SMC's share in Profit as % of Sales SMC Total Pay as % of Sales
NPM = Total Profit as percentage of Sales NPM from Operations = Profit from Operations as a percentage of sales
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 10 OF 15
However, MSIL should ensure 128.0% 6.2% that the royalty is not doubly paid i.e. included in the cost of the subsidiary and again in sales 2.6% of vehicles to MSIL. SES maintains 55.7% that present royalty payments by MSIL to SMC are unfair and nontransparent and are enriching 2009 2010 SMC at the cost of minority NPM from Operations shareholders of MSIL. One of the main reasons for this is that the shareholders do not have any say in the matter. Shareholders may note that this will change soon when provisions of Companies Act, 2013 in respect of related party transactions are made effective and SEBI decides to implement new Corporate Governance Code based on its Consultative paper issued in Jan, 2013.
Analysis 1 Benefit to SMC on account of interest earning of MSIL is explained in following diagrams, broken into two steps for clarity. Step 1 depicts use of own cash by MSIL and the Step 2 creates proposed structure Step 1 Use of own cash by MSIL
Increased Royalty and Dividends
SMC
Cash Refund
SMC pays cost for this by foregoing 44% of interest earnings to minority shareholders of MSIL. If Tax Free Rate of 8.5% available on PSU bonds is taken, then tax free earnings of SMC will be 4.76% per annum (56% of 8.5%) less dividend tax. However, the return earned by SMC in this case may still be more than the Interest earned on its Yen balances. In nutshell SMC is effectively deploying its surplus cash at 4.76% interest rate per annum against 0% available in Japan and probably taking - ` exposure risk. (Details of which will only be known after details of funding of the subsidiary can be revealed) Analysis 2 For working out extra profit, few assumptions need to be made. Assumptions: Investment made is Rs 1,000 Million Net profit margin remains the same as at MSIL, Royalty remains same. Returns have been calculated at three different Assets turnover ratio. SES expects Assets Turnover Ratio to be less than MSIL in subsidiary as it will be a new plant. (In Rs Million unless otherwise mentioned) Investment Made Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio (assumed) Net Profit Margin Case 1 1,000 4 3% Case 2 1,000 3 3% Case 3 1,000 2 3%
A B C
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 11 OF 15
D E F G H I
The above calculations show that SMC is going to earn a moderate to high return on its investments. However, this return would have been there for SMC even if the expansion was done by MSIL at its cost. Whats SMC gaining? As discussed above, by undertaking this project, SMC would be able to redeploy its cash which may have been earning low interest rate and bears the Yen-Rupee currency risk. Additionally, the holding company would gain from the increased sales and royalty payments by MSIL.
Ownership of by SMC Ownership by Minority Shareholders of MSIL Business Risk for MSIL Profit for SMC Marketing Rights for MSIL Interest Income of MSIL Benefit of Increased Exports/ Domestic Growth Royalty for SMC Growth of MSIL business
MSIL - division 56% 44% Yes 56% Directly Neutral Reduction Neutral Neutral Neutral
MSIL subsidiary 56% 44% Yes 56% Directly Neutral Reduction Neutral Neutral Neutral
SMC subsidiary 100% 0% Yes 56% Indirectly Neutral Unchanged Neutral Neutral Neutral
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 12 OF 15
If MSIL intended to go for expansion, it could have gone for two alternative ways to implement it i.e. 1) Within MSIL as a separate division or 2) as a 100% subsidiary of MSIL. However, the Company has gone for 100% subsidiary of SMC, its promoter. SES has evaluated the three options in table below on various parameters of evaluation.
From the table above, we can see that there are minor differences between all three options and other than loss of interest income to MSIL, in case expansion is by using its reserves, the only significant concern is the related-party issue. The loss of income to MSIL in cases can be easily compensated by SMC, as discussed in approach 1 above. Therefore, shareholders should be specifically concerned about the related party issues that arise from current scenario and should urge the board/ management to implement strongest measures to minimize any future risks.
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 13 OF 15
o o o
o o o
MSIL is exposed to same operational risks it would have had, had it gone for in-house expansion because of 100% sales, at cost, from subsidiary to MSIL. SMC will be exposed to Yen-Rupee exchange-rate risk on its investment in subsidiary. No details are available as to what will be the nature of SMCs investment in subsidiary. In case it is part loan and part equity, and loan is denominated in Yen, then risk will be limited to equity portion only. MSIL will save interest cost on the amount brought by SMC to invest in subsidiary. In a nut shell, SMC will gain only interest on its investment through MSIL conserving the cash and that too after sacrificing 44% in favour of minority shareholders. It sounds reasonable return for SMC if seen in backdrop of 0% rate of interest in Japan and with no visibility of improvement of these rates in near term. SES would recommend the deal, if all the protection as suggested are built in and the management can assert that the decision for expansion was in-house and not dictated by SMC. If the protections suggested are not built in in the agreement(s), then shareholders may conclude that it was an attempt to put wool over the eyes of investors/shareholders by making grand sacrificial statements.
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 14 OF 15
Company Information Stakeholders Empowerment Services A 202, Muktangan, Upper Govind Nagar, Malad East, Mumbai, 400097 Tel +91 22 4022 0322 www.sesgovernance.com
2013 - 2014 Stakeholders Empowerment Services Pvt Ltd | All Rights Reserved
PAGE 15 OF 15