14 th October, 2013 "We know what happens to people who stay in the middle of the road. They get run down." Business Problem Framing: The overview Evaluating Alternatives Making Sustainable Choices Impact of alternatives and validating Hypothesis Creative Problem Solving Through Facts 2 5 3 4 The Problem of Problem Solving 1 Root cause analysis MECE Issue Tree Samples selection Role of assumptions Validation and change impact Data analysis Intellectual irreverence Stakeholder contribution Solution sustainability Implementation module KPI Monitoring - Continuity Identifying a problem Framing the definition Structuring towards solution(s) Trends: Methods: Frameworks Course Structure Across Sessions Underlying frameworks to aide decision making Hypothesis Data-driven Change- manageme nt Objectives Decisions Sustainable Approach Priority Unique Solutions Inter- dependent Decisions Stakeholder Inclusive Implementation Success Subjective Root- cause Assumpt ions Variables Procrastination Alternatives Trade-offs No -brainer Risk Tolerance Trends Uncertainties Linked Decisions Problem framing is a function of multiple facets Some decisions are no-brainers, while most are really complex Tough choices have high stakes and serious consequences Little relationship between what you decide in one instance vs. the next Connection between decisions lies not in what, rather in how you decide Each solution can be impacted by several variables, prioritizing is key Importance of decision making through BPF Decision making lends credibility through experience A decision-making approach that addresses these criteria can be practiced on decisions major and minor Identifies change- management requirements Takes into account implementation challenges Straightforward, reliable and easy to use Requires optimal information and analysis What are our key issues? How can we be more efficient and effective ? How do we measure results? How is decision process synchronized with results? Are we responsive to problem needs? Logical Consistent Is stakeholder inclusive Sustainable and KPI driven Focuses on what is important Blends analytical with intuitive thinking Encourages gathering of relevant information Acknowledges both subjective and objective factors Effective decision making process will fulfill the following criteria Eight Elements Problem Alternatives Objective Linked Decisions Tradeoffs Risk Tolerance Uncertainty Consequences First five form the core of ProACT approach Help clarify decisions in evolving environments Smart Choices The ProACT Approach The first five constitute the core of our approach and applicable to virtually any decision The acronym ProACT states that the best approach to decision situations is a proactive procrastination is decision makings worst enemy The next three elements help clarifying decisions in volatile or evolving environments Essence is to divide and conquer and think systematically about each part Frameworks for problem solving: Porters 5 Forces Industry Competitors Brand strength Degree of fixed costs Diversity of rivals Level of exit barriers No. of competitors Market growth Switching costs Levels of product differentiation Substitutes & Complements No. of customers Backward/forward integration Switching costs Fragmentation of buyers Buyers Switching costs No. of buyers Fragmentation of buyers Availability of substitutes Understanding the industry dynamics New Entrants Brand loyalty Government legislation High capital investments Intellectual property rights and patents Minimum efficient scale Restricted distribution channels Suppliers High Bargaining Power Domination of few large suppliers High switching costs No substitutes Low Bargaining Power Low switching costs High no. of suppliers Substitutes availability In-Closing Carry forwards Connection between decisions lies not in what, rather in how you decide ProACT The eight keys to decision making emphasizing proactiveness Frameworks provide basis to evaluate alternatives and expansive thinking Porters 5 Forces Next Session and Pre-reads Revision and Pop-Quiz on Problem framing How to define the decision problem to solve the right problem HBP The Framing Challenge: What is the real problem? HBP Chapter 1 and 2 of Smart Choices Above and Beyond