ano

demanda
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

precio
255
285
324
301
290
325
350
320
370
420

Resumen
8
7.5
6
6.5
7.5
6
5.5
6
5.75
4

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

a regresin
0.872871908
0.761905368
0.732143539
24.39259078
10

Grados de libertad

Suma de cuadrados
1
15232.01212
8
4759.987879
9
19992

Coeficientes
249.2666667
13.58787879

Error tpico
16.66331178
2.685535858

Promedio de los cuadrados

15232.01212
594.9984848

F
25.6000856

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
14.95901114
3.936E-07
5.059652712 0.00097747

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Pronstico para Y
262.8545455
276.4424242
290.030303
303.6181818
317.2060606
330.7939394
344.3818182
357.969697
371.5575758
385.1454545

Residuos
-7.854545455
8.557575758
33.96969697
-2.618181818
-27.20606061
-5.793939394
5.618181818
-37.96969697
-1.557575758
34.85454545

Percentil
5
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
95

Variable X 1 Curv
600
Y

400
200
0
0

Valor crtico de F
0.00097747

Grfico de pr
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
210.8410008
287.6923325
7.395021993
19.78073558

600
400
Y

Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
210.8410008 287.692333
7.395021993 19.7807356

200
0
0

sultados de datos de probabilidad

Y
255
285
290
301
320
324
325
350
370
420

Variable X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

Y
Pronstico para Y
2

10

12

Variable X 1

Grfico de probabilidad normal

20

40

60

Muestra percentil

80

100

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9586488
0.919007522
0.908883462
14.22674253
10

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
1 18372.7984 18372.7984
8 1619.20163 202.400203
9
19992

Regresin
Residuos
Total

Coeficientes
Error tpico Estadstico t
566.4591163 25.8427691 21.9194435
-38.638903 4.05548319 -9.52757075

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Pronstico para Y
257.3478923
276.6673438
334.6256983
315.3062468
276.6673438
334.6256983
353.9451498
334.6256983
344.2854241
411.9035043

Residuos
-2.34789233
8.33265617
-10.6256983
-14.3062468
13.3326562
-9.62569832
-3.94514982
-14.6256983
25.7145759
8.09649568

F
90.7746044

Probabilidad
1.9804E-08
1.2168E-05

Valor crtico de F
1.21679E-05

Inferior 95%
Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%
506.8655839 626.052649 506.865584 626.052649
-47.990864 -29.286942 -47.990864 -29.286942

#NAME?
origen
ano

2004
x

demanda (y)

2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
55

a
b

precio
255
285
324
301
290
325
350
320
370
420
3240

249.2666667 y=a+bx
13.58787879

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.872871908
0.761905368
0.732143539
24.39259078
10

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Suma de cuadrados
1
15232.01212
8
4759.987879
9
19992

Coeficientes
249.2666667
13.58787879

Error tpico
16.66331178
2.685535858

Pronstico para Y
262.8545455

Residuos
-7.854545455

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1

8
7.5
6
6.5
7.5
6
5.5
6
5.75
4

y11

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

276.4424242
290.030303
303.6181818
317.2060606
330.7939394
344.3818182
357.969697
371.5575758
385.1454545

8.557575758
33.96969697
-2.618181818
-27.20606061
-5.793939394
5.618181818
-37.96969697
-1.557575758
34.85454545

x^2

500

x*y
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
385

255
570
972
1204
1450
1950
2450
2560
3330
4200
18941

400
300
200
100
0
1

9 10

398.7333333

Promedio de los cuadrados

F
Valor crtico de F
15232.01212 25.6000856
0.00097747
594.9984848

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
14.95901114
3.936E-07
5.059652712 0.00097747

Inferior 95%
Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%
210.8410008 287.692333 210.841001 287.692333
7.395021993 19.7807356 7.39502199 19.7807356

y = 13.588x + 249.27
R = 0.7619
Series1
Linear (Series1)

10

perior 95.0%

ano

demanda
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
55

255
285
324
301
290
325
350
320
370
420
3240

x^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
385

log y
2.40654018
2.45484486
2.51054501
2.4785665
2.462398
2.51188336
2.54406804
2.50514998
2.56820172
2.62324929
25.0654469

xlogy
2.40654018
4.90968972
7.53163503
9.91426598
12.31199
15.0713002
17.8084763
20.0411998
23.1138155
26.2324929
139.341406

A
B
a
b
y11

2.40778153
0.01795694
255.729913
1.04221409
403.002608

500
400

y = 255.73e0.0413x
R = 0.776

300

Series1

200

Expon.
(Series1)

100
0
1

9 10

ano

demanda
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

A
a
b

logx
255
285
324
301
290
325
350
320
370
420

2.39953736
250.921201
0.16312683

0
0.30103
0.47712125
0.60205999
0.69897
0.77815125
0.84509804
0.90308999
0.95424251
1
6.55976303

logx^2
0
0.09061906
0.22764469
0.36247623
0.48855907
0.60551937
0.7141907
0.81557152
0.91057877
1
5.21515941
y=ax^b
y11

logy
2.40654018
2.45484486
2.51054501
2.4785665
2.462398
2.51188336
2.54406804
2.50514998
2.56820172
2.62324929
25.0654469

371.036341

logx*logy
0
0.73898194
1.19783439
1.49224572
1.72114234
1.95462518
2.14998692
2.26237586
2.45068726
2.62324929
16.5911289

demanda (y)

precio

255
285
324
301
290
325
350
320
370
420

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

8
7.5
6
6.5
7.5
6
5.5
6
5.75
4

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.969022532
0.939004668
0.92157743
13.19858582
10

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
2 18772.5813 9386.29066
7 1219.41867 174.202668
9
19992

Regresin
Residuos
Total

Coeficientes
Error tpico
492.1171294 54.6172303
3.923328119 2.58982189
-30.23034806 6.70554381

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2

Pronstico para Y
254.1976731
273.2361752

Residuos
0.80232695
11.7638248

Estadstico t
9.01029083
1.51490268
-4.50826196

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

322.5050254 1.49497458
311.3131795 -10.3131795
285.0061596 4.99384044
334.2750098 -9.27500978
353.3135119 -3.31351193
342.121666 -22.121666
353.6025811 16.3974189
410.4290184 9.57098162

F
Valor crtico de F
53.88144042 5.6045E-05

Probabilidad
Inferior 95%
4.23411E-05 362.967902
0.173571377 -2.20062752
0.00277078 -46.0864396

Superior 95%
621.2663569
10.04728376
-14.37425654

Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
362.967902 621.266357
-2.200627524 10.0472838
-46.08643959 -14.3742565

pronostico 2011
r^2

lineal
potencial
exponencial
398.733333 371.036341 403.002608