Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Summary
1. The problems, once networked often have the same signatures and outcomes
In response, most of the solutions were the same, across the board
So now we can get on with the applying solutions as opposed to focusing on the problem(s)
2.
3.
4.
Surface cracks removed by etching in hydrofluoric acid, leaving shallow depressions (Magnification: 500x)
Glass Rod 1
1.2 kg at failure
Failure happens at a comparatively low stress. The damage is much less. It is even possible to reassemble the broken bits and resurrect the original system
Glass Rod 2
22.0 kg at failure
Failure happens at a much higher stress. The damage is complete. There is no possibility of reassembling the broken bits. The original system is permanently destroyed.
We take our modern world for granted. If its too cold, we just turn up the thermostat. If its too hot, we turn on the air conditioner. If we run short of milk we think nothing of driving our car to the supermarket to buy more. Dinner can be on the table in minutes with our microwave. We dress in the latest fashions, laundered by the newest superpower detergent in our five-cycle automatic washer. And merely flicking a switch lights up the room, lets us listen to a concert in stereo, or brings the evening news live, in colour, from half way around the world. Its really quite a convenient life. It may not always be so. Spigarelli, J. The Crisis Preparedness Handbook (1984)
So not only have we become fragile and inflexible, but complacent as well
Finance/Economic Meltdown
Climate/Earth Changes
Too many people for the carrying capacity of the local and global environment In a society that is hopelessly dependent on non renewable finite natural resources Where how they use those resources is extraordinarily wasteful and inappropriate
Climate change
That societies understanding of the true nature of the problems it faces The response of that society to those problems
Increased per capita impact of people Large scale industrial pollution & cumulative build-up of toxic chemicals in the environment Energy shortages and natural resource depletion
?
Unbalanced, High energy, High tech, Unsustainable
High risk, Class warfare, Necessity only Balanced, Low energy, Low tech, Sustainable
Government profile
Utterly dependant utilities and institutions to function
Finance, credit transfer, monetary exchange Petroleum products, JIT supply grid and utilities to do physical work
Modus Operandi structured in context of reliable communications grid and ease of transport over long distances
Has a mandate to respond to emergencies
Does not have the resources to deal with large scale problems over a wide region and will be eventually overwhelmed
Will problem solve in a triage fashion according to old paradigm
Will think in terms of Continuity of Government (COG) for its own survival
Will go missing for periods and will struggle to prevent being overwhelmed
Dependant on a market to make a profit from Is unable to act proactively as any solution will usually mean the end of its own paradigm Conventional problem solving is usually brutal self interest followed by fragmentation and ends in irrelevance
Will not be able to function to serve their purpose Will be too preoccupied with their own survival to help the people on the ground
We the people at the grassroots level. As it was always going to be so, it comes down to us.
So what do we do?
Ordinary people will surprise us all. Government and corporation business probably will not.
The most difficult but significant task in front of us is a revolution in perception and a restructuring of social responsibility
The in the world that is coming, the educated will merely be the learned. Completely unprepared for what is required. Learners will carry the day.
Thus it doesnt necessarily matter what you are now, rather what you might do Having lots of useful stuff is great but pales into insignificance compared to what is between your ears, in your heart and in your hands Flexibility in your ability to respond effectively in all things is King!
We have the power and authority to create a new life and change the world around us
Map out your current life in all its forms given what you understand
What is it you do, where, how and why? What do you currently consider necessary and what is a luxury? What are the major aspects of your life and how do they work? What are your non-negotiable costs?
Rent & mortgage Rates Pharmaceutical costs like medication
Now start the process of restructuring all this against a backdrop of the perceived problems
Take each issue identified and game theory what might happen
based on historical examples (e.g. Cuba 1990 Soviet Union collapsed, oil supply cut)
Place yourself and your family into that situation Map known events and known timelines to develop possible solutions For each historical case study, understand what you would have had to do to maintain the survival of your family, if you were actually there
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Low profile problem solving Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation
Barter based trade Reduce energy needs to bare minimum Dispose of rubbish carefully Manage your own health needs Transport needs cut to bare minimum Education of children self managed
Zimbabwe 2008 and Germany 1923 (No eftpos and no cash issued)
Hyperinflation Money becomes worthless Utilities crash & government withdraws services Economy disintegrates Most goods unavailable
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Low profile problem solving Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation
Barter based trade Reduce energy needs to bare minimum Dispose of rubbish carefully Manage your own health needs Transport needs cut to bare minimum Education of children self managed
Peak Oil/Gas/Coal
No petroleum products No money Rolling shortages of food/groceries Breakdown of civil utilities Breakdown of law & order
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Assist in society transformation Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation
Barter based trade Reduce energy needs to bare minimum Dispose of rubbish carefully Manage your own health needs Transport needs cut to bare minimum Education of children self managed
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Spend time and serious resources replenishing local environment land stewardship
Be prepared to use unconventional methods to grow/gather food In the past people have simply moved to a more friendly location
Eruption of Mt Thera in Crete 1450 BCE, Gulf of Mexico oil spill 2010 (environmental breakdown of all bio systems)
Ash covered all flora and fauna and made water very acidic Food crops destroyed Crete subject to a series of large scale natural disasters Minoan civilisation started to break apart (theory)
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Low profile problem solving Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation
Barter based trade Reduce energy needs to bare minimum Dispose of rubbish carefully Manage your own health needs Transport needs cut to bare minimum Education of children self managed
Poland 1938-1942 and Germany 1935 to 1945 (war torn society and police state profile) Rationing, curfews & social upheaval Radical changes to what is legal Movement and consumption heavily controlled Economy disintegrates & most goods unavailable
No money
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Low profile problem solving Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation
Scarcity and resource wars lead to an inevitable outcome, where no one wins Forming community is not possible in a toxic social environment Problems in a finite system have to be faced not ignored
Easter Island (resource depletion with no way out of a finite system) Resource wars and social upheaval Severe shortages of food and raw materials of all kinds Problem solving to little too late Population drop from 15 000 to 3 000 in 1000 CE to 1772 CE
Solutions in common
Be socially flexible know who to depend on Self sufficient at the household property Assist in society transformation What happens when these Low profile problem solving changes become permanent? Growing your own food Collect your own drinking water Manage your own sewerage sanitisation New systems will be developed to meet these Barter based trade needs through Reduce energy needs to bare minimum unconventional means Dispose of rubbish carefully Manage your own health needs Transport needs cut to bare minimum Education of children self managed Spend time and serious resources replenishing local environment land stewardship
Understand that there are two scales of thinking that happen simultaneously
1. The self sufficient household property
How might your current household transform to become resilient to change and volatility in the coming world?
Food Stores
The is a need for storages of supplies, especially food, to buffer against variability in supply If there was a fuel disruption event (a high probability actually considering our reliance on Middle East crude processed in Singapore) then there would be food shortages within weeks
Resilience the capacity to withstand shocks is very much about buffers in the system and storage of food/fuel/water is a very important part of that
Most households only have one week of food in the cupboard Ideally, one year of food supply stored under CO2 at home 3-6 months of long life food on a rationing basis
Australias estimated stockholdings at point of use
Australia Liquid Fuel Security: A Report for NMRA Motoring and Services (Feb 2013)
Electricity Power
Existing system is very fragile and vulnerable in its current form Dependant on delicate parts manufactured far from here Delicate electronics need pure sine wave power
(computers/Digital TVs)
Rolling blackouts/brownouts and power spikes will be the norm As things get more difficult, government will not be able to maintain the grid to the same standard it does now Probable contraction of power grid around major cities and services will be withdrawn from regional areas Most electrical equipment is not made to last and will quickly degrade Standalone power systems are now required What power is for needs to be completely reassessed
System requires a battery bank of sufficient amp-hour capacity to handle both input and output loads Pb/acid batteries are 99.9% recyclable
We need to develop the capability to make solar panels & batteries locally
Manure from livestock can get very smelly! Converting it to electricity could be a way of managing that smell.
Inverter Fuse
Inverter with Sinusoidal Output AC Circuit Breakers DC Load Devices AC 240V Power Draw Devices
Lighting
LED lights Gas & Oil Lanterns Candles
Refrigerator
Kalgoorlie Fridge
Household Cooking
Gas BBQ Open Fire Hearth Wood Stove Range
Workshop
Hand Tools Conventional Power Tools Electric Car (golf car)
Sewerage System
Septic or Grey Water System Compost Toilet
Washing Machine
Bucket & Wringer
Water Tank
Hand Pump Water Filtration Unit
Transport
Horse(s) Good Walking Shoes Bicycle Diesel Vehicle
Growing Food
Vegetable garden A Milking Cow Chicken Run Compost Heap
Library Rubbish
Recycling
General Stores
workshop disposables (nails & screws) 10 days drinking water Fertilizer Petrol/Diesel Heritage Seeds 90 days food Vitamins Toiletries Bottled Gas Medication Fire wood
Communications
Computer Battery Radio Land Line Telephone
Incinerator
No matter how well individuals adapt, we will need means of coming together collectively to address Universal Harms in the Universal Interest
i.e. mechanisms for agreeing on governance principles and priorities
Neil Davidson et al
If we dont want to descend into chaos, we need to think about this and get it right
Form a Community
Management of appropriate land stewardship in community environment
Attended to by people in the community, to be used by the community A series of local village councils, each representing a geographic area small enough for people to walk to meetings What needs to be done? Who will do it? Where it will be done? Who benefits from the outcome? What tools and community assets will be used? Mapping what is where in the community
Who?
Mandate
Tasks
livestock
Work sheds
crops
Storage sheds Meeting Hall Storage sheds
Tasked vacant land
crops
crops crops crops livestock
crops
crops livestock
This is a basic idea. Perhaps you could refit it to suit your local area?
Hospital
Food Production
Required to be completely organic in method No petroleum based herbicides/pesticides/fertilisers Land stewardship very important
Balance between fruit & vegetables vs. livestock Allowing soil/land to recover effectively & sustainably
Managing seasons with planting calendars critical Seed saving needs to be done in a way that does not impact the rest of the crops Based on soil health
Mineral balance Humus levels Micro-organism content
Nutrition will be more important than ever before Food preservation, canning and meat smoking will be important The key to a communities health is the quality of its food source
Tree Making Trimmin Fertilizer g Companion planting Appropriate planting cycles Soil Health & Testing Sustainable recovery
Fruit Trees
Dairy Cow
Herb Garden
Vegetable Garden
Equipment to preserve crops Storage of preserved crops Date tracking & stock rotation Green Waste
Natural medicine
Chicken Poo
Worm Farm
Compost Heap
Water tank
Irrigation system
Water Management
Tree Trimming
Date tracking & stock rotation Community scale storage & distribution
Community vegetable crops on vacant land Community herb crops on vacant land Fruit & nut trees on vacant land Tracking of seasons Bee keeping
Making dairy products Food processing, preservation & canning Secondary food products (cooking oil etc)
Water tanks
Irrigation systems
Water Management
Administered by people in the community, to be used by the community
Veterinarian support
Beef & Dairy Cattle Sheep Goats Pigs Containment of Billy Goat/ Bull/Boar/Ram
Paddock rotation Prevention of over grazing Noxious weed control Manure management
Seasonal cycles
Long term soil health & pasture quality
Infrastructure Abattoir and butcher
Multiple paddocks Fencing (electric?) Feed & gear sheds Containment yards Stables Water troughs
Leather hides
Blood & bone fertilizer Meat smoking and curing Administered by people in the community, to be used by the community
A non-trivial problem to set up in the modern home. Refit your fireplace? Move kitchen to your garage?
Drinking water
Collection of tank water or refit a swimming pool A community understanding of our water as a crucial resource
water safety, economy and management issues
Alternative ways of pumping water that do not depend on electricity or diesel Methods of making contaminated water safe in an emergency
Filtration of drinking water via (non-electric) carbon or charcoal filters Distillation Pressure cook it at 1200C for 20min to sterilise = no viable micro-biotics or viruses
Installation of gravity-feed water tanks on stands, hand pump or tap outlet on tanks Development of local resources and expertise for maintaining and testing rainwater and groundwater systems for water quality Grey water recycling systems for the rest of the property
Distilling water
Sewerage sanitisation
Understanding of the safe management of human waste
Local expertise and resources to maintain and repair
Old fashioned septic tanks Composting toilets
Linked to stand alone power generators like solar panels or alternative forms of human waste management during water or power shortages Development of methods of making spare parts from locally sourced materials and / or design modification Introduction of biogas power systems to manage human compost and animal manure
Sewerage systems
Transport
A shift of attitude and practice from reliance on private motor cars towards greater use of walking and cycling
Group sharing of all running vehicles Access to good quality shoes suitable for lots of walking in less than optimal conditions Form a network, for people, equipment, food products and anything else that needs transporting
Horses, with the goods, facilities and knowledge to care for and work them (farriers, vets, harness makers / repairers and the like)
Development of a biodiesel manufacturing plant as a (tradeable?) resource managed by the community
To run 3-4 trucks and tractors
Horse Dentist
Property management Veterinarian Daily grooming & health care
Blacksmith
Appropriate infrastructure
Containment of Stallion
Appropriate infrastructure
Distillation of alcohol
Alcohol is very useful for all sorts of things like making solvents
Medical equipment manufacture & maintenance reinvented Sterilization of tools and bandages without electricity
Natural medicine
The Green Shed was set up as a market place where small growers could sell their wares
Monetary exchange
What does money really do and who for? Revise and restructure the concept of debt
Whatever the Australian Federal Government recommends as a replacement for the existing Australian fiat currency dollar
Have the authority for local community to make a legally accepted choice with regard to which of the above options is exercised
1880s base level technology (what we can create from scratch from the surrounding environment)
We are well past the point where this will be smooth, easy or even polite
Supporting Technology
Electrical power
Skill Set
Woodwork
Energy Source
Solar Power
Hydraulic Press Wood Turning Metal Lathe Leather Work Basket weaving Textiles and rope Manufacture of useful devices fit for purpose Forge & bellows Blacksmith Wind power Biogas Water wheel Steam Technology
Animal hide
Bamboo, Hemp & Plant
Rubber Casting Blast furnace Raw materials to provide energy to run (gas, charcoal or coal)
Metal Casting
Pottery Kiln Clay feedstock Ground glass Pottery Glass Kiln Glass Blowing
Steam technology
Phase 1 Warning Signs Characterized by: a business as normal attitude Issues like peak oil, climate change and problems with fiat currencies are discussed in alternative news streams only (large scale mainstream officialdom deny such things exist) Phase 2 System Strain Characterized by: many large scale events of disruption on every front, each is seen as separately dealt with Multiple fundamental system hubs break down and are hastily patched together with stop gap measures Phase 3 Systemic Breakdown At the boundary between Phase 2 and 3, the system hubs break down permanently Characterized as: one in which many goods are hugely expensive or largely unavailable Basic society functions simply dont work in spite of best efforts of government and corporations
The longer it takes for society to face these problems, the more serious and far reaching the consequences. Covering up and papering over of these problems all but guarantees them blowing up at a later date, but with a steeper time frame to the worst case scenario. Governmental and corporate covering up these serious issues makes a hard fast crash into systemic failure more likely.
Food Production Public Awareness Establish knowledge to grow fruit and vegetables organically
Waste Solids Public awareness of the need for self sufficient management of solids rubbish and what useful methods of recycling garbage in the home
Health Public awareness of: the need for self sufficient management of our health needs link between health and nutrition in our diet benefits of preventative health measures
Energy Educate as many people as possible with regard to the importance of power and energy to our society and the current systems vulnerability to peak oil, gas and peak coal Reassess what power is really needed for
Housing & Property Development Public Awareness Community workshops or small scale consultations in how to develop houses/properties Start working bees for resilient projects
Phase 1
Canning and preserving food of all kinds Composting and generate fertiliser Establish the first community garden Chicken coops (with a rooster) Establish a market place where people can sell their produce
Phase 2
Established seed swapping practice and a seed savers network in the local area Establish fruit tree orchards in public spaces Establishment of a number of dairy cows in the local area
As many water tanks as possible have stand alone powered pumps or manual pumps, preferably both Have several tradespeople develop the method of repairing and maintaining water tank systems with parts made in the local area
Get the right trades people with local sewerage system expertise working to develop methods for making/modifying spare parts with locally sourced materials and machinery Develop the use of several kinds of systems to manage human sewerage safely
Establish a wrecking yard to house broken equipment (fridges, cars, etc) that can be used for parts in manufacture of other things. Start thinking about how
II.
III. IV. V.
Manufacture a windmill
Batteries Solar panels Water turbines for power generation Biogas
More than 50% of properties on the mountain are self sufficient to stated degree Start working bees for resilient projects with greater urgency
VI.
Phase 3
Compost fertiliser system functional and stable Local area self sufficient in: I. fruit and vegetable production II. dairy products & eggs III. beef production at a sustainable level
Several community water bores in place and working, all with stand alone power generation and manual pumps
Protocol to completely maintain and repair water tanks using parts manufactured developed, and shown to be hygienically safe
Have a system fundamentally overhauled using parts manufactured locally, and shown to run safely for an allocated period of time
Have all systems with stand alone power generation (solar or wind)
Establish multiple community recycling centres in the local area. Each centre would process that garbage into something useful, or into something that can be put in landfill where it will quickly biodegrade in a locally sustainable fashion
Prepared storage sheds in place to store useful recycled products
Develop the medical centres locally to be able to handle the more serious medical needs
Manufacture the disposable products used in medicine
Transport Public Awareness Encourage the purchase of good shoes & bicycles Develop skills handling and riding horses
Education and Re-Skilling Conduct an awareness raising campaign concerning the need to reskill for greater local resilience
Business and the Economy Public Awareness Planning for what would be required to transition between a nation state/global economy and a local self sufficient small town economy
Finance Public Awareness Planning for what would be required to transition between a Federally issued fiat currency to a hard asset (gold/silver) backed currency
Manufacturing and Repair Public Awareness Develop a Skills register (who can do what?) Map existing resources in the local area
Community Coordination Public Awareness Development of And support of community activities/groups Encourage links between existing community groups
Farrier and horse shoeing (black smith) Shoe making (leather work) Learn to make biodiesel
Run community based workshops (reskilling) Start to think about how formal schooling for children would work in a post peak oil world
Encourage the phasing out of business practices that detract from the sustainability of the local region
Encourage those people to acquire or make/buy the necessary tools to apply their craft
Start to get existing community groups to coordinate some of these tasks Start to develop a fast word of mouth communication network
Have people using the skills in various crafts learned in the reskilling process.
Have the products of their labours being used by parts of the community on the mountain Establish formal school training for children in a post peak world
Develop a vibrant local economy that services all the basic needs of the local area
Establish trade with other communities based on locally produced goods
Practical logistical support to engage local business with: I. A LETS scheme II. The purchase goods with gold or silver bullion Existing Federally issued fiat currency Replacement for the existing Australian dollar
III.
IV.
Phase 3
Use community groups to determine the best places for community based assets
Phase 2
Development of a community based information resource hubs at the local library and at any community garden markets
Establish a skills register. Establish a library of useful books that contain useful self sufficiency information
Encourage and support the development of local business that contributes to the sustainability of the local region
Encourage the reskilling of local people into useful crafts that were prevalent in 1880-1945
Phase 1
Drinking water
Bucket & Rope (boil water for drinking) Centralized sewerage Camping Portable Toilet Mains power electric stove Gas BBQ (full gas bottle) Kalgoorlie Fridge Mains power electric refrigerator Washing Bucket (different to water tank bucket)
Transport
Water Tank with Pump Sewerage System Household Cooking Refrigerator Washing Machine
Food for 1 pay cycle (10 days) 60 days food 5 days drinking water Toiletries & Sanitation General Stores
Medication
The world we live in now is backwards and out of balance. We need to make a new one anyway.
Do you understand?
Captain Jack Sparrow (some time ago)