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TABLE OF CONTeNTS
03 04 07 12 15 18 20 22 Foreword Previews Luxury Market Index The Previews Top 20: ZIP Codes and Cities for Luxury Sales and Listings Domestic Spotlight: Honolulu Domestic Spotlight: Manhattan International Spotlight: Turkey Previews by the Numbers Disclaimers
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FOREWORD
The luxury real estate business has become a global business, creating a need for better analysis and understanding of the markets increasing complexity. These words appeared in our inaugural Luxury Market Report in 2012and they still ring true today. As a luxury leader for over 80 years, Coldwell Banker Previews International has made it our mission to shine a light on luxury and give affluent consumers the information they need to make educated decisions about their future. The Spring 2014 Luxury Market Report continues this tradition. This year, we are proud to debut our Luxury Market Indexthe first of its kind for the industry. The index compares the real estate performance of luxury markets across the United States, using measurements such as annualized sales in units, volume, average and median sale price and others. By calculating and weighting these variables into index results, we can give consumers a better, more objective understanding of the luxury real estate marketplace. For example, Silicon Valleys Woodside, Calif. earned the highest index ratingpossibly due to low inventory levels driving up prices and demand. Seventy percent of markets in the index were
BUDge HUSKeY, PREsidEnT & chiEf EXEcUTivE OfficER COldwEll BAnKER REAl EsTATE LLC
also located near a body of watersupporting our long-held belief that marketplaces offering water views are always in demand. Speaking of water, Honolulu has seen increased wealth coming into the marketplace and is in the midst of an ultra-luxury renaissancewhich we examine in our Domestic Spotlight on pg. 12. Likewise, Istanbul is growing into its own as an affluent meccaan interesting development worthy of exploration in our International Spotlight on pg. 18. As always, the Luxury Market Report shows the depth and maturity of many affluent communities around the globe. With each edition, we strive to deliver the highest level of insight available in the industry. We will continue to evolve our reporting so this information most benefits our customers today and those we hope to greet in the future.
BUDGE HUSKEY
GINETTE WRIGhT
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Woodside California Hillsborough California
600 573
Bal Harbour Florida Thousand Oaks California Glenbrook Nevada
528
527
Palm Beach Florida Los Altos Hills California
524
Dana Point California Pacific Palisades California
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THE LUXURY mARKE T INDE X SHOWS THAT TODAYS AFFlUENT mARKE Tpl ACE IS NOT ONlY RICHlY DIVERSE, BUT RICHlY COmplE X.
Methodology: The calculation methodology is proprietar y to Previews. The index values represent a measurement of overall market activity limited to proper ties that have sold and had a list price at $1 million+. Index results are expressed in values in excess of 100. The higher the value in excess of 100, the more active the index market indicators. COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 06
THE PREVIEWS TOp 20: ZIp CODeS AND CITIeS FOR LUXURY SALeS AND LISTINgS
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Coldwell Banker Previews International presents an expanded list of Americas top cities and ZIP codes for luxury home listings and sales in three distinct price points: $1,000,000+, $5,000,000+ and $10,000,000+.
City
Beverly Hills Palm Beach Aspen Malibu Miami Beach Greenwich Laguna Beach Los Angeles Newport Coast Boca Raton Atherton New York Pacific Palisades Los Angeles Los Angeles Naples New York Hillsborough Montecito Kailua Kona
State
CA FL CO CA FL CT CA CA CA FL CA NY CA CA CA FL NY CA CA HI
Number of Sales
99 57 42 37 32 32 32 31 30 30 29 28 27 26 26 26 22 22 22 19
U.S. ZIP codes with the highest number of closed luxury home sales*
$1,000,000+ ZIP Code
90266 92037 91011 90049 92660 90272 90210 92651 95070 33480 94539 94025 92253 06880 95014 94087 90265 84060 92130 90275
City
Manhattan Beach La Jolla La Caada Flintridge Los Angeles Newport Beach Pacific Palisades Beverly HIlls Laguna Beach Saratoga Palm Beach Fremont Menlo Park La Quinta Westport Cupertino Sunnyvale Malibu Park City San Diego Rancho Palos Verdes
State
CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CA FL CA CA CA CT CA CA CA UT CA CA
Number of Sales
396 384 366 351 336 330 325 325 319 318 306 300 297 290 284 276 276 270 263 260
92657 33432 94027 10021 90272 90077 90069 34102 10013 94010 93108 96740
City
Beverly Hills Los Angeles Palm Beach Aspen Malibu New York Miami Beach Los Angeles Atherton Greenwich Laguna Beach Montecito Miami Beach Santa Barbara Naples New York La Jolla Newport Coast New York New York
State
CA CA FL CO CA NY FL CA CA CT CA CA FL CA FL NY CA CA NY NY
Number of Sales
26 13 12 12 11 11 9 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
* As of Februar y 2014 COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 08
Top U.S. ZIP codes with the most luxury home listings and sales in three distinct price points: $1,000,000+, $5,000,000+ and $10,000,000+.
City
Aspen Miami Beach New York New York New York New York Malibu New York New York Greenwich Naples Park City Miami Beach New York Beverly Hills New York Palm Beach New York Greenwich Bal Harbour
State
CO FL NY NY NY NY CA NY NY CT FL UT FL NY CA NY FL NY CT FL
Number of Listings
108 104 100 95 88 84 83 82 79 74 68 66 65 64 63 61 61 53 52 51
U.S. ZIP codes with the highest number of active luxury home listings*
$1,000,000+ ZIP Code
33139 85253 10022 84060 85255 33140 33160 85262 06880 92253 10021 81611 34102 33432 33480 10019 10065 10011 10023 34145
City
Miami Beach Paradise Valley New York Park City Scottsdale Miami Beach Sunny Isles Beach Scottsdale Westport La Quinta New York Aspen Naples Boca Raton Palm Beach New York New York New York New York Marco Island
State
FL AZ NY UT AZ FL FL AZ CT CA NY CO FL FL FL NY NY NY NY FL
Number of Listings
364 303 299 289 286 284 282 254 243 238 234 229 228 223 222 217 216 212 199 195
10013 06831 34102 84060 33140 10019 90210 10075 33480 10128 06830 33154
City
New York New York New York Aspen Malibu Miami Beach New York New York New York New York Beverly Hills Greenwich Naples Palm Beach New York New York Miami Beach Park City Laguna Beach Montecito
State
NY NY NY CO CA FL NY NY NY NY CA CT FL FL NY NY FL UT CA CA
Number of Listings
57 51 46 43 38 37 30 29 28 28 28 26 24 23 23 22 21 21 20 19
* As of Februar y 2014 COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 09
Top U.S. cities with the most luxury home listings and sales in three distinct price points: $1,000,000+, $5,000,000+ and $10,000,000+.
$5,000,000+ City
New York Beverly Hills Los Angeles San Francisco
State
NY CA CA CA FL FL CT CO FL CA CA CA FL CA CA MA CA CA CA HI
Number of Sales
163 99 98 62 59 57 50 42 42 37 32 30 30 29 27 23 22 22 19 19
U.S. cities with the highest number of closed luxury home sales*
$1,000,000+ City
San Francisco Los Angeles New York San Jose Chicago Houston San Diego Washington Naples Atlanta Dallas Boston Newport Beach Miami Beach Seattle Honolulu Scottsdale Miami Pasadena Santa Barbara
State
CA CA NY CA IL TX CA DC FL GA TX MA CA FL WA HI AZ FL CA CA
Number of Sales
2,294 2,220 2,076 963 900 873 843 839 806 718 681 655 592 581 566 560 545 513 501 495
Naples Malibu Laguna Beach Newport Coast Boca Raton Atherton Pacific Palisades Boston Montecito HIllsborough Santa Barbara Kailua Kona
$10,000,000+ City
New York Los Angeles Beverly Hills Miami Beach Aspen Palm Beach Malibu Greenwich San Francisco Atherton Montecito Laguna Beach Honolulu Santa Barbara Naples La Jolla Newport Beach Pacific Palisades Wellington Newport Coast
State
NY CA CA FL CO FL CA CT CA CA CA CA HI CA FL CA CA CA FL CA
Number of Sales
43 27 26 16 12 12 11 8 8 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
* As of Februar y 2014 COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 10
Top U.S. cities with the most luxury home listings and sales in three distinct price points: $1,000,000+, $5,000,000+ and $10,000,000+.
$5,000,000+ City
New York Miami Beach Greenwich Naples
State
NY FL CT FL CO CA CA UT FL FL CA FL FL FL CA FL CA AZ FL HI
Number of Listings
1,041 196 126 108 108 105 83 73 73 68 63 61 51 49 48 47 47 47 44 43
U.S. cities with the highest number of active luxury home listings*
$1,000,000+ City
New York Naples Scottsdale Miami Beach Miami Los Angeles Fort Lauderdale Chicago Boca Raton Atlanta Park City Honolulu Houston Greenwich Dallas Sarasota San Diego Paradise Valley Sunny Isles Beach Austin
State
NY FL AZ FL FL CA FL IL FL GA UT HI TX CT TX FL CA AZ FL TX
Number of Listings
3,538 931 826 825 735 666 562 558 546 520 451 418 411 351 338 338 322 303 282 270
Boca Raton Fort Lauderdale Beverly Hills Palm Beach Bal Harbour Miami Laguna Beach Coral Gables Rancho Santa Fe Scottsdale Wellington Honolulu
$10,000,000+ City
New York Miami Beach Aspen Greenwich Malibu Los Angeles Beverly Hills Naples Palm Beach Park City Fort Lauderdale Laguna Beach Montecito Boca Raton Wellington Key Biscayne Bal Harbour Honolulu Miami Coral Gables
State
NY FL CO CT CA CA CA FL FL UT FL CA CA FL FL FL FL HI FL FL
Number of Listings
440 67 43 39 38 29 28 26 23 21 21 20 19 19 19 18 17 15 14 14
* As of Februar y 2014 COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 11
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2013, sales activity for both single-family detached homes and condos in the $1 million and up range was 8.3% above the same quarter last year and 61% above the same quarter two years ago. As the pace of sales appears to be moderating after a robust recovery in that price segment, so too is the average luxury sale price in the last quarter of 2013. This is not what it seems, however, and is more likely a result of more properties selling at prices closer to $1 million, when they would have sold for less than that benchmark two years ago. In essence, a million dollars does not buy what it used to. Hogan Perry agrees: You might be able to get a fixer single-family detached home or a modest condo for $1 million, but to own a true luxury property in our marketplace, youre looking at closer to $2 million to start. Looking at the annual numbers, the sweet spot for Honolulu remains the $1 million to $2 million price range, notes Patti Nakagawa, senior vice president broker-in-charge, Coldwell Banker Pacific Properties. We have seen a lot of strength in this price range, as it appeals to all buyer segments: local, U.S. mainland and international buyers. In the higher price ranges, particularly $4 million and higher, the buyer profile changes to a stronger share of buyers from the U.S. mainland and abroad.
have long made Honolulu one of the worlds most sought-after vacation paradises. But the city is more than just a temporary escape. It is also Hawaiis largest city and state capital, known as the Gateway to the Pacific with a thriving culture of international business, military and as of late, luxury real estate. In the last few years, we have seen a broadening and diversification of luxury demographics with more wealth coming into the marketplace, says Anne Hogan Perry, a sales associate with Coldwell Banker Pacific Properties. Affluent homebuyers from the U.S. mainland, Canada, Pacific Basin and Asia are all coming here, for our year-round tropical climate, natural beauty, lifestyle and depth of city resources, such as world class shopping, flourishing arts, cuisine and medical care. People from other countries are also looking to invest here because they view U.S. real estate as a safe haven. Honolulu is a dynamic cosmopolitan city, a melting pot of so many different cultures. Those who do view Honolulu as a safe haven continue to leave their footprints on the high-end marketplace. For instance, in the fourth quarter of
250
2013 // Q3 227
2013 // Q4 196
150
2012 // Q3 159
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* Data Source: Real Data Strategies COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1
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OAHU
K A ilUA
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BUYER DEmAND HAS NOT WANED. WE HAVE A lOW INTEREST RATE ENVIRONmENT AND THE ECONOmY IS ImpROVING.
THe MANHATTAN ReAL eSTATe MARKeT continues to show signs of price strength
and unbridled buyer interest. As demand continues climbing, buyers feel the tinge of a sellers market and the old adage less is more. How much less (or more, for that matter) you get for your dollar, of course, depends on your taste in ZIP codes. Defining Affordable Two ZIP codes10005 and 10036exhibit both strength and promise as affordable opportunities for luxury ownership. Set in the lower Manhattan/Financial District area and with Wall Street as its hub, 10005 serves as the economic heartbeat of the city. Buyers spending $1 million or more in this densely built-out neighborhood in 2013 paid an average of $1.5 million for an attached unit having one or two small bedrooms and one or two small bathrooms, squeezed into about 1,200 square feet of living space. These units are often favored by financial professionals who appreciate an easy walk to work during the week, but spend their weekends at homes outside the city. The buildings in the Financial District come with a lot of character and amenities, says Larry Friedman, principal and cofounder of New York-based Coldwell Banker Bellmarc Group. Some of the high rises in the area even have river views in the upper units. From a transportation standpoint, youre located at the bottom of the island, so you can reach other parts of the city easier. In that respect, a real estate purchase in the Financial District is a good value.
N E w YO R K
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10 0 0 5 FI N A N C I A L D I S T R I C T AV G s A l E P R ic E : $ 1. 5 M Avg B E ds / B AT hs: 1. 2 / 1. 5 Avg A R E A : 1, 2 0 0 S q F T * Data Source: Real Data Strategies COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1
M A N H AT TA N *
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$ 1 Millli O n + Av E R A g E S A l E P R ic E in 2 0 13 M A nh AT TA n s l E A ding zi P c O d E s *
AVeRAge SALe pRICe $4.2 M $3.7 M $3.4 M $3.1 M $3 M $2.9 M $2.7 M $2.6 M $2.5 M $2.5 M $2.4 M $2.4 M $2 M $1.6 M
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THE CUlTURAl mE TROpOlIS HAS lONG THRIVED AS A CIT Y OF CONTRASTS AND CONNECTIONS.
INCReASINg FOReIgN INVeSTMeNT and an influx of international luxury consumers have helped Turkey become one of the fastest-growing affluent markets in the world. The transcontinental country saw luxury consumption increase by 15% every year in a five-year period, according to Boston Consulting Group. With Istanbul as the countrys pearl, Turkey is growing into its own as an affluent mecca. Istanbul rests at the crossroads between Europe and Asia, with the citys Bosphorus Strait acting as a geographical link between the Black Sea and the Sea of Marmara, and eventually the Aegean and Mediterranean Seas. The cultural metropolis has long thrived as a city of contrasts and connectionsbetween East and West, tradition and modernity, past and present. Now, Istanbul rests at a new crossroads as it accounts for 80% of the countrys luxury market. We are seeing a growing upper class and more affluents coming from the Middle East, the Russian Commonwealth of Independent States and Central Asia, who come to enjoy the citys art, culture, pleasant weather and natural beauty, says Birgl Dalgakran, operations leader for Coldwell Banker Turkey. The Arab Spring also brought wealthy consumers from Tunisia, Egypt and Syria. J. Peter Turtzo, vice president of global operations for Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC, notes: The demand from Russian, Azerbaijani and Middle Eastern investors has started to rapidly grow with the help of the recently approved Law of Reciprocity. This demand, plus Turkeys EU candidacy, will contribute toward a more global audience and attract additional savvy investors from the Americas and Europe. These shifting demographics have led to the citys luxury market maturation, as a wider variety of luxury experiences, ranging from shopping at Prada and Hermes to fine dining and five-star hotels, has cropped up in Istanbul. The presence of this new money has also fueled interest in high-end real estate. Luxury apartments in Istanbul range from $1 million to $10 million, with many exceptional detached residences and villas priced from $50 to $60 million. Boutique new home projects featuring views, as well as waterside mansions and villas with Bosphorus
T U nisi A
views, remain the most sought-after real estate offerings. The most desirable areas for luxury home purchases are Bebek and Ni anta on the European side and Ba dat Street on the Asian side. Younger consumers of luxury real estate prefer new vertical living projects in the city, which can be priced up to $10 million, she says. In general, international consumers tend to buy in Ni anta , Galata, Kandilli and especially the detached luxury residences with a Bosphorus view. Waterside mansions in Bosphorus command the highest values. In fact, a good water view can cost nearly four times as much per square meter in Bebek and Ni anta , notes Dalgakran. Residents in these areas are typically senior executives, CEOs and wealthy families, especially from Anatolian origin, who invested wisely in land many generations ago. Supply remains tight since these areas are older and more established. However, demand has also been on the decline in response to the countrys slowing economy recently. Prices for waterside mansions have not necessarily decreased; rather theyve increased, according to Dalgakran, especially as international buyers have begun to flood the market. We witnessed some unexpected properties selling at what we see as unjustifiably record high prices, she says. This was the cause for increasing prices of other similar properties in the vicinity. Istanbuls growth in the luxury sector has drawn comparisons to Dubai, the crown jewel of the Middle East. But Dalgakran says Dubai is more comparable to Istanbuls emerging areas like mraniye and ekmeky than to the city as a whole. With Istanbuls Bosphorus Strait, historic buildings, museums, palaces and, of course, weather, it would be unfair to compare Istanbul with Dubai, she says. This is like comparing a natural beauty with an artificial beauty.
R U ssi A
c E n T R A l A si A I S TA N b U L TURKEY SY R i A
E gY P T S A U di A R A bi A
DUbAi
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COlDWEll BANKER PRE VIE WS INTERNATIONAl IS AN INDUSTRY lE ADER IN THE mARKE TING AND SAlES OF lUXURY RE Al ESTATE. OUR 80-YE AR lEGACY OF E XCEllENCE CONTINUES IN 2014 DEmONSTRATED BY THESE SIGNIFICANT SAlES ACROSS THE U.S.
With Coldwell Banker Previews International and our Previews specialists leading the way, the luxury real estate market experienced an impressive surge in 2013. Major growth in buyer interest along with the sheer volume of high-end sales set the stage for the years growth, and Previews numbers in particular demonstrated the depth of our contribution to the luxury space. Our achievements include: Coldwell Banker Previews International Property Specialists participated in more than 20,000 transaction sides of homes priced at $1 million or more in 2013. On average, Coldwell Banker Previews International Property Specialists handle $102.7 million in luxury home sales every day.* In 2013, Coldwell Banker Previews International Property Specialists listed nearly 10,000 homes valued at more than $2 million.
State
CA FL CA FL CT CT CT CA HI CA
List Price**
$42,500,000 $38,000,000 $37,500,000 $37,000,000 $26,500,000 $19,900,000 $19,495,000 $17,900,000 $16,500,000 $12,900,000
Represented by
Chris Cortazzo Jill Eber & Jill Hertzberg Stacy Gottula & Joyce Rey Jill Eber & Jill Hertzberg Douglas Stevens Darlene Letersky Tamar Lurie Susan Burns & Dana Zertuche Anne Oliver Susan Canavan & Deirdre Coit
*Data based on closed and recorded transaction sides of homes sold for $1 million or more as repor ted by the U.S. Coldwell Banker franchise system for the calendar year 2013. USD$ **List price (final sales price is confidential). COLDWELL BANKER PREVIEWS INTERNATIONAL // LUXURY MARKET REPORT // 2014 EDITION 1 21
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