Ship Design Assignment

Regression Analysis
at Vessel
Regression to find Lpp , B , T , H
G.N.B Armadi Putra (4109100041)
3/12/2013

1. Regression
In statistic, regression analysis is a statistical technique for estimating the
relationships among variables. It includes many techniques for modeling and
analyzing several variables, when the focus is on the relationship between a
dependent and one or more indepentdent variables. More specifically, regression
analysis helps one understand how the typical value of the dependent variable
changes when any one of the independent variables is varied, while the other
independent variables are held fixed.
Regression analysis is widely used for prediction and forecasting, where its use has
substantial overlap with the field of machine learning. Regression analysis is also
used to understand which among the independent variables are related to the
dependent variable, and to explore the forms of these relationships. In restricted
circumstances, regression analysis can be used to infer causal
relationships between the independent and dependent variables. However this can
lead to illusions or false relationships.
In Regression analysis there are 2 type of regression , the non-linier regression and
linier regression , in case we studied about how to determine length perpendicular ,
width , height , the type of regression we use is linier regression
Linear regression is an approach to modeling the relationship between a
scalar dependent variable y and one or more explanatory variables denoted X. The
case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression. For more than
one explanatory variable, it is called multiple linear regression









2. Regression at Vessel

At First , Find Design Requirment

No. Data Design Information
1 Vessel Type product tanker

2 Load Type premium

3 Quantity 8000 ton

4 Vd 13 Knot
5

Vs 14 Knot

6 Radius 1970 mil laut

7 Route Jakarta - Aceh

8 Shipping Area Pelayaran Nasional

9 Bunkering -

10 Classification rule Biro Klasifikasi Indonesia

After that me must find DWT (dead weight ton) for the vessel , according to Tabel
11.1 Parametric Design) , Value of C cargo DWT is :

For Vessel Comparison , at first we must find the value of 20% < DWT < 30% ,
and we have the value is 7529 and 12235 , since we got the value bottom and up
limit for DWT , we find the vessel in any Classification rules website such as ,
www.klasifikasiindonesia.com/ , www.classnk.or.jp , www.bureauveritas.com ,
http://www.gl-group.com/ , http://www.dnv.com/ . And is the result of Vessel
Comparison :




Name of Ship DWT Loa Lpp B T H Payload Class ME
KURAU 7544 105.00 99.00 18.00 7.00 9.40 6789.60 BKI 2546
EMPOWER 7820 110.00 104.50 18.50 7.20 9.60 7038.00 NK 2647
SUNNY IRIS 7849 110.00 103.00 18.50 7.21 9.60 7064.10 NK 2780
SEMUA BERJAYA 8000 106.40 99.60 18.60 7.60 9.70 7200.00 BV 3025
TRADEWIND MOON 8518 111.91 105.00 19.00 7.53 9.90 7666.20 NK 3150
CRANE JUPITER 8558 111.00 105.70 19.00 7.51 9.90 7702.20 NK 3200
SUNRISE LILAC 8629 113.98 108.50 18.20 7.48 9.75 7766.10 NK 2940
EASTERN HONESTY 8719 113.98 108.50 18.20 7.48 9.65 7847.10 NK 3170
PIONEER SPIRIT 8735 112.00 105.31 19.00 7.51 10.00 7768.10 NK 3089
GERBERA 8738 112.02 105.32 19.00 7.56 10.00 7864.20 NK 3120
NAIDA 8831 114.99 108.53 18.20 7.77 9.65 7947.90 NK 3080
GAO CHENG 1 9000 117.60 109.60 18.80 7.50 10.00 8100.00 BV 3310
FLOURISH 9027 110.00 105.29 18.60 7.72 10.00 8124.30 NK 3240
LIQUID ERA 9035 111.56 104.00 18.80 7.61 9.60 7769.10 NK 3330
GOLDEN MICRONESIA 9091 120.00 112.40 18.80 7.85 9.80 8181.90 NK 3300
GISELLE 9106 115.00 108.00 18.80 7.62 9.90 8195.40 NK 3309
ARMADA GEMA 9141 112.20 104.00 18.60 7.79 9.70 7770.10 NK 3483
AGISTRI 9304 115.28 108.00 18.60 7.63 9.75 8373.60 NK 3420
LEADERSHIP 9330 107.05 105.04 19.00 7.91 10.00 8397.00 NK 3250
NEW WEALTH 9380 117.60 110.12 19.00 7.60 10.00 8442.00 BV 3170
HESPERIDES 9425 121.00 113.17 18.50 7.90 10.08 8482.50 GL 3280
BOW SINGAPORE 9888 114.80 107.00 19.40 7.90 9.80 8899.20 DNV 3325
SHOSEN MARU 9999 123.00 117.40 18.80 7.84 10.20 8999.10 NK 3690
AULAC ANGEL 10000 124.52 116.00 19.50 7.50 9.78 9000.00 DNV 3200
SAVVY 10327 120.00 114.00 19.00 7.61 10.00 9294.30 NK 3440
SICHEM PEARL 10331 125.00 117.00 19.00 7.76 10.20 9297.90 DNV 3380
TERNLAND 10877 129.22 123.13 19.50 8.10 10.40 9789.30 DNV 3450
Because we want to search a new Lpp , B , T , H for product tanker , so we must
do a regression analysis to Data in Vessel comparison , at first we find a new Lpp
from Vessel Comparison , we do a linier regression to Lpp and DWT , why DWT
because its the only data we get in design requirement . from the charts we got
equation



()


So the Lpp for Product Tanker is about 110.84 m , for the rest of , the calculation is
similar to how find the Lpp , so this is the calculation
y = 0.006x + 54.373
R = 0.734
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000
LPP - DWT
LPP - DWT
Linear (LPP - DWT)



()




y = 0.0003x + 15.911
R = 0.4425
17
17.5
18
18.5
19
19.5
20
7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000
B - DWT
B - DWT
Linear (B - DWT)
y = 0.0002x + 5.5891
R = 0.5671
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000
T - DWT
T - DWT
Linear (T - DWT)

()





()

From all the calculation of regression , we obtain a new measurement for the
product tanker ,
Measurement value
Lpp 118.40 m
B 18.73 m
T 7.47 m
H 9.9 m

y = 0.0002x + 8.0156
R = 0.5369
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
10
10.2
10.4
10.6
7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000
H - DWT
H - DWT
Linear (H - DWT)