Professional Documents
Culture Documents
OF E-BUSINESS
REPORT
TO
SCOTTISH ENTERPRISE
February 2000
JLH Consultn!
"# INTRO$UCTION TO THIS REPORT
Ba%&!roun' to t(s Re)ort
JLH Consulting was commissioned by Nigel Laurie at Glasgow Development Agency
(GDA) in January 2 to develop an investment appraisal model! to "elp managers
ma#e better decisions wit" regard to investing in e$commerce%
&"roug" its e'perience in running t"e e$&rade (ac#age and providing support to
Glasgow companies! GDA "ad )ound t"at it was particularly di))icult )or companies
in business$to$business mar#ets to demonstrate t"e business case )or investing in t"e
implementation o) e$commerce systems%
Ob*e%t+es o, t(e -ss!n.ent
&"e main aim o) t"is piece o) wor# "as been to develop an investment appraisal
model w"ic" can*
Help managers ma#e ob+ective and in)ormed decisions as to w"et"er or not to
invest in e$commerce! so t"at t"ey are aware o) t"e costs! bene)its and opportunity
costs
,e used to convince ,oards and potential )unders to bac# suc" investments
-nable managers to trac# actual against pro+ected costs and revenues
/et(o'olo!y
&"e )ollowing researc" was conducted in t"e course o) t"is assignment*
Des# researc" and .nternet researc" including an e'tensive review o) publications
on investing in e$commerce and articles in +ournals and newspapers
A review o) e'isting investment appraisal models wit"in e$&rade and t"e Digital
Advantage programme
.nterviews wit" /cottis" companies w"ic" "ave implemented e$commerce
systems or are considering w"et"er to invest in e$commerce (Appendi' )
.nterviews wit" some suppliers! to )ind out w"at tools t"ey are using w"en trying
to convince companies to invest in e$commerce systems (Appendi' )
.nterviews wit" potential )unders! suc" as ban#s! angels and venture capitalists
(Appendi' )
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.nterviews wit" some o) GDA1s e$commerce advisors and accountants! lawyers
and ot"er pro)essional advisors providing assistance to companies (Appendi' )
Contents o, T(s Re)ort
&"is report summarises t"e #ey )indings and conclusions )rom t"e consultancy wor#
carried out by Julian Lawson Hill and Gordon ,rown during January and 2ebruary
2%
&"e remainder o) t"e report is structured as )ollows*
2% 3verview o) Current Appraisal 4odels
5% Development o) t"e -$Commerce 4odel
6% &"e Cost$,ene)it 4odel
7% 8uanti)ying .ntangible ,ene)its
9% :is# and /ensitivity Analysis
;% (ractical &ools
2
2# O0ER0IE1 OF CURRENT -PPR-IS-L /O$ELS
Su..ary
Cost was identi)ied in a <%/% study by Ca"ners .n$/tat as t"e most common and
greatest impediment to e'panding e$commerce% &"ree basic cost concerns were
identi)ied*
Lac# o) )unds )or up$)ront implementation costs
Lac# o) mont"ly cas" )lows to maintain sites
&"e probability t"at t"ere would not be a real return on investment
.n reviewing w"at "as been written in t"e press in t"is area! bot" in t"e <nited /tates
and in t"e <=! we can conclusively say t"at companies on bot" sides o) t"e Atlantic
are )inding it very di))icult to +usti)y t"e investment in e$commerce using current
appraisal models%
.nterestingly! most o) t"ose companies w"ic" "ave implemented or are in t"e course
o) implementing e$commerce solutions "ave not made detailed )inancial calculations
or pro+ections% &"ey "ave +ust )orged a"ead wit" t"eir investments%
&"e general consensus )rom t"ose w"o are in )avour o) investing in e$commerce is
t"at w"ile t"e e'act costs and bene)its are di))icult to measure! a good business case
can be made in terms o) t"e strategic bene)its to companies )rom investing and t"e
t"reats to businesses o) not investing in e$commerce%
.n /cotland as a w"ole! "owever! t"ere are a lot o) >e$com$sceptics?* 4anaging
Directors and 2inance Directors w"o believe t"at it is only wort" investing in e$
commerce i) t"ere is a demonstrable e))ect on t"e bottom line% &"is scepticism
suggests t"ere is a need )or a sound business model )or e$commerce%
Current In+est.ent -))rasal /o'els
A number o) investment appraisal models "ave been used over t"e years to "elp
managers and directors decide w"et"er to invest in new plant! new processes and new
tec"nologies% -'amples are*
:eturn on .nvestment
:eturn on Capital -mployed
(aybac#
Cas" 2low Analysis
Discounted Cas" 2low
5
However t"ere are problems in using any o) t"ese traditional met"ods wit"out
adaptation w"en considering an investment in e$commerce*
None o) t"ese traditional models is really compre"ensive enoug"% A good model
"as to ta#e into account a wide range o) internal and e'ternal costs and bene)its
&"e )inancial models over$emp"asise t"e )inancial impacts and do not emp"asise
t"e overall impacts on t"e business
/ome o) t"e most important bene)its o) e$commerce are strategic bene)its! w"ic"
are di))icult to @uanti)y
.t is di))icult to put an accurate value on t"e reac" o) e$commerce in terms o)
potential customers
.t is di))icult to measure revenue and pro)itability attributable to t"e Aeb alone
w"en ot"er )actors may also be important in t"e purc"asing or supply c"ain
.t is particularly di))icult to )orecast costs and bene)its wit" a great degree o)
accuracy over time% .t t"ere)ore becomes di))icult to estimate discounted cas"
)lows and ot"er sop"isticated )inancial models
2ut Feel
4ost companies w"ic" "ave decided to invest in e$commerce "ave done so very
muc" based on gut )eelings*
.) companies "ave perceived possible strategic bene)its over t"eir competitors t"ey
"ave invested in t"e e$commerce tec"nology
4any e$commerce investments "ave also been implemented because o) strategic
t"reats )rom competitors
/everal companies "ave +ust )elt t"at it is wort" ta#ing a punt on e$commerce and
are investing in it to see w"at return on investment it will bring! prior to investing
more serious money
T(e E-Co. S%e)t%s
/cottis" businessmen are not generally noted )or t"eir wis" to >ta#e a punt? and t"is
"as been re)lected in t"e GDA1s e'perience in t"e e$&rade (ac#age% .n constructing a
model )or e$commerce! it is important t"at various )actors are included*
A"ere possible! costs and bene)its s"ould be @uanti)ied so t"at t"e e))ects on t"e
bottom line is clear
6
&"e model s"ould be balanced! so t"at it "ig"lig"ts t"e strategic and intangible
bene)its as well as t"e more tangible! )inancial costs and bene)its
A"en t"e bene)its o) investing in e$commerce are not clear! two scenarios s"ould
be considered and wor#ed t"roug"* t"e cost$bene)its o) investing in e$commerce
and t"e impact on t"e business and t"e cost$bene)its o) doing not"ing and t"e
impact on t"e business in t"at case
&"e ne't section o) t"is report goes on to loo# at t"e development o) t"e -$Commerce
model in more detail%
7
3# $E0ELOP/ENT OF THE E-CO//ERCE /O$EL
Cons'eratons n $e+elo)n! t(e /o'el
A"en we were starting wor# on t"is pro+ect t"ere were t"ree considerations w"ic" we
"ad in developing t"e model*
&"at it s"ould ta#e into account t"e "eterogenous nature o) Glasgow companies B
all types o) sectors and siCes o) business! mi'ture o) business$to$business and
business$to$consumer mar#ets
&"at it s"ould be understandable! useable by and use)ul to mar#eting managers!
managing directors and non$accountants
&"at it s"ould be robust in terms o) )inancial analysis and stand up to scrutiny
)rom ban#ers! potential investors and )inancial managers
2las!o4 Co.)anes
Glasgow companies come in all s"apes and siCes*
4edium and large siCed companies! many o) w"om are well establis"ed and in
>traditional? Glasgow sectors suc" as engineering! industry and manu)acturing
/maller! )ast growing companies! many o) w"om are in so)tware! ot"er "ig"
tec"nology and service industries
/tart$ups w"ic" are +ust getting under way
As in ot"er economies! Glasgow "as a mi'ture o) companies servicing business$to$
business and business$to$consumer mar#ets% &"ese companies "ave di))erent
commerce c"aracteristics or attributes (s"own in t"e bo' below)*
9
&"e model we "ave developed tries to ta#e t"ese c"aracteristics into account! as well
as t"e level o) sop"istication o) t"e company wit" regards to e$commerce and its
aspirations*
;
Co..er%e -ttrbutes
Busness-to-Consu.er Busness-to-Busness
3ne$time! 3ccasional Buyn! Patterns :epeat! 2amiliar
/"opping! ,rowsing Buyn! Pro%ess 3rdering! :estoc#ing
(rice! Availability Buyn! Crtera /ervice! 8uality!
Delivery! (rice
&ransitory! /"ort$term Tra'n! Relatons() -stablis"ed!
3ngoing
<sually /imple Sales Transa%ton 3)ten Comple'
Use by /ar&etn! /ana!ers5 /ana!n! $re%tors an' Non--%%ountants
3ne o) GDA1s main re@uirements was t"at t"e model s"ould be understandable and
useable by non$)inancial managers% &"is "as been one o) our main considerations in
developing t"e e$commerce model%
Ae spo#e to a number o) Glasgow companies and also received a great deal o) input
)rom 2irst &"ursday members! many o) w"om are in t"e process o) developing t"eir
own business plans% &"is greatly in)ormed t"e development o) t"e business model%
&"e idea o) costs and bene)its is widely understood by all businesspeople! not +ust
accountants and economists! so t"is is t"e approac" we "ave adopted in developing
t"e model%
D
Clent E-Co..er%e So)(st%aton
Custo.er-Fa%n!
No e'perience o) e$commerce and no web site at all
A basic broc"ure$ware site or on$line catalogue
A simple e$commerce site wit" on$line ordering
A more developed e$commerce site wit" on$line payment
Internal
No networ#ing o) internal systems
,asic networ#ing o) internal systems )or internal issue
Lin#ing o) customers to internal systems
Lin#ing o) suppliers to internal systems
2ull integration o) customers and suppliers wit" t"e company1s systems
3t"er bac#$end )eatures suc" as lin#s to )ul)ilment! despatc"! logistics etc%
Su))ler-Fa%n!
No lin#s to suppliers
,asic in)ormation )or suppliers
2ull e'c"ange o) in)ormation wit" suppliers
A c"ec#list o) t"e #ey costs and bene)its was developed and is s"own in t"e ne't
section o) t"e report%
.nstructions and "elp on considering t"e main costs and bene)its is given so t"at it is
as easy as possible )or a non$)inancial manager to use t"e c"ec#list in "is own
situation%
&"e way in w"ic" t"e model s"ould be used really depends on t"e target audience and
w"at t"ey will be e'pecting% At its simplest! t"e model mig"t "elp t"e owner$manager
consider t"e impact on "is businessE at an intermediate level! t"e c"ec#list mig"t "elp
a manager to develop an outline business case presentationE and at its most
sop"isticated! t"e c"ec#list can be used to "elp a non$)inancial manager develop a
spreads"eet to +usti)y t"e business case more )ormally in )inancial terms%
Robust Fnan%al -nalyss
3ne o) GDA1s ot"er re@uirements was t"at t"e model s"ould be robust and stand up
to scrutiny )rom ban#ers! potential investors and )inancial managers%
Again! t"e cost$bene)it approac" is recognised by accountants! corporate )inanciers
and )unders as being a sensible way )or a company to consider t"e issues and present
its business case%
.n conducting t"e researc" )or t"is pro+ect we "ave spo#en to ban#ers! venture
capitalists! angels! corporate )inanciers and a category o) advisors w"ic" . "ave
termed >)und)inders? )or t"eir input%
As a result! we "ave developed an -'cel spreads"eet cas")low template! based on t"e
cost$bene)it approac"! to "elp managers present a )ormal )inancial business case!
s"ould it be re@uired%
F
6# THE COST-BENEFIT /O$EL
&"e )ollowing two pages s"ow t"e cost$bene)it model w"ic" we developed! based on
our review o) t"e literature and e'tensive testing wit" companies and potential
investors%
As e'plained previously t"is generic model "as been designed wit" t"e )ollowing
)eatures*
&"e model is designed to be mainly used by e'isting businesses wanting to use e$
commerce! but we "ave also tried to ensure it is applicable to dot%com start$ups
.n designing it we "ave tried to consider as many di))erent e$commerce business
models as possible! using tangible and intangible bene)its to build a balanced
business model
At t"e same time! we "ave tried to #eep t"e model relatively s"ort and easy to use
&"e model is supposed to act as a prompt list )or people to consider t"e issues
&"ere is a GHelpG section to guide users and e'plain any complicated issues
Ae "ave developed an -'cel cas"$)low analysis in parallel wit" t"is
Costs
&"e costs "ave been split into two categories as )ollows*
.mplementation costs
3perational costs
Bene,ts
&"e bene)its "ave been split into )ive categories*
/trategic business bene)its
&angible bene)its
&angible but non$)inancial bene)its
.ntangible bene)its
Cost savings and cost avoidance
Rs&s an' Senst+ty -nalyss
&"e )inal section as#s a number o) @uestions related to sensitivity and ris# analysis!
w"ic" s"ould be considered by companies as part o) t"eir consideration o) e$
commerce%
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