1

TRIAL STPM MATHEMATICS M (JOHOR) SMK TunHO

Section A [ 45 marks]
Answer all questions in this section

1. Tan and Lim, solicitors, monitored the time spent on consultations with a random sample of
120 of their clients. The times, to the nearest minute, are summarised in the following
table :

Time ( minutes) Number of clients
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-44
45-59
60-89
90-119
2
5
17
33
27
25
7
3
1
Total 120

a) calculate the median and quartiles of this distribution. [ 5 marks]
b) comment on the skewness of the distribution. [ 1 mark ]
c) calculate the mean of the above data [ 2 marks]
d) the solicitors are undecided whether to use median or mean to summarise the
data. State, giving a reason, which you would recommend them to use. [ 2 marks]

2. The events A and B are such that P(A B) = 0.4, 0.12 B) P(A , 25 . 0 ) ( = = A B P
a) calculate the value of P(B). [ 2 marks]
b) Give a reason why A and B are not independent. [ 1 mark ]
c) calculate the value of ) (
'
B A P [ 3 marks]

3. The probability that New Years Day is on Sunday in a randomly chosen year is
8
1
.
a) 12 years are chosen randomly. Find the probability that at least 3 of these years
have New Years day on a Sunday. [ 4 marks]
b) 60 years are chosen randomly. Use a suitable approximation to find the
probability that more than 6 of these years have New Years Day on a Sunday.
[ 5 marks]

4. The data of 10 paired observations are summarised as follows:


= = = = = 120726. xy , 59920 y , 300831 x 600, y , 1480
2 2
x

Find the equation of the least square line in the form of y = a + bx, where a and b
are constants. [ 3 marks]

2
5.
2010 2011
Sauce
Price (RM per unit) Quantity / unit Price (RM per unit) Quantity / unit

Premium

Standard

Budget

23.60

15.80

10.50
35

45

50
25.20

17.10

11.30
22

38

60

The above table shows the price and quantity of 3 types of sauce sold by a
supermarket for the years 2010 and 2011. By using 2010 as the base year, find the

a) simple aggregate price index and interpret. [ 3 marks]

b) Laspeyres price index and Paasche quantity index. [ 4 marks]

6. The following table shows the fixed deposits is in a finance company in the years 2009 to
2012.
Fixed deposits ( RM 000 ) Quarter
Year 1 2 3 4
2009 13 20 35 22
2010 16 28 45 24
2011 20 32 48 32
2012 25 36 55 38

a) Plot a time series, and comment on the trend of the time series. [ 4 marks]
b) State whether it is appropriate to use the linear regression method to forecast the
amount of fixed deposits. Give a reason. [ 2 marks]
c) calculate the centred four-quarter moving averages for this time series. [ 4 marks]



















3
Section B [ 15 marks]

Answer ONLY one question in this section

7. The continuous random variable, t hours, the time taken to perform a particular task, has
the probability density function

otherwise 0
1.0 t 0.6 t) - 9c(1
0.6 t 0 10
) (
2

<
<
=
ct
t f

Where c is a constant.
a) find the value of c and sketch the graph of this distribution. [ 7 marks]
b) Find the expected time ( in minutes). [ 4 marks]
c) determine the probability that the time will be more than 48 minutes. [ 4 marks]


8. A study comparing the amount if advertising time on TV per week for a product and the
number of sales per week for the same product was conducted. The result over 8 weeks
are given below:
Advertising time
( minutes), x
10 12 14 15 16 17 22 20
Sales
(thousands), y
2.3 2.8 3.1 k 2.9 3.2 5.0 4.0
a) find the coordinates of the point though which the regression line y on x and that of x
on y both pass. Give your answer in terms of k. [ 3 marks]
b) given that the regression line of y on x is y = 0.197x + 0.184, find k to the nearest integer.
Hence, find the Pearson correlation coefficient r between advertising time and sales
per week. [ 7 marks]
c) plot a scatter diagram of y against x.. [ 2 marks]
d) state whether it is appropriate to estimate the sales per week if the advertising time on
TV is increased to 30 minutes per week. Give a reason. [ 2 marks]
e) What is the effect on r if the advertising time was in hours instead of minutes.
[ 1 mark]













4
MARKING SCHEME

PRA PENTAKSIRAN PENGGAL 2 TAHUN 2013
SMK TUN HUSSEIN ONN, KLUANG, JOHOR.
PRA U ATAS
MATHEMATICS M ( PAPER 2)

NO SCHEME MARKS
1.
[10] a) ) 5 (
27
57 60
5 . 29
2

+ = Q
= 30.06 minutes

) 5 (
33
24 30
5 . 24
1

+ = Q
= 25.41 minutes

) 10 (
25
84 90
5 . 34
3

+ = Q
= 36.9 minutes

b) positively skewed / skewed to the right

c)
120
) 1 ( 5 . 104 ) 3 ( 5 . 74 ) 7 ( 52 ) 25 ( 5 . 39 ) 27 ( 32 ) 33 ( 27 ) 17 ( 22 ) 5 ( 17 ) 2 ( 12 + + + + + + + +
= mean

=
120
5 . 3917

=32.65 minutes

d) Median.
Distribution is skewed


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1
@
Q
3
)

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2.
[6]

a) 4 . 0
) (
12 . 0
=
B P

P(B) = 0.3


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5
b) ) ( ) ( B P A B P
c) 25 . 0
) (
12 . 0
=
A P

P(A) = 0.48

) ( ) ( ) (
'
B A P A P B A P =
= 0.48 0.12
= 0.36

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3.
[9]
a) X : number of years have New Years Day on Sunday
)
8
1
, 12 ( ~ B X

) 2 ( ) 1 ( ) 0 ( 1 ) 3 ( = = = = X P X P X P X P

10 2
2
12 11 1
1
12 12 0
0
12
)
8
7
( )
8
1
( )
8
7
( )
8
1
( )
8
7
( )
8
1
( 1 C C C =
= 1- 0.2014 0.3453 0.2713
= 0.182
b) 562 . 2 or 5625 . 6 )
8
7
)(
8
1
( 60 and 5 . 7 )
8
1
( 60 = = = = = npq npq np
6.5625) , 5 . 7 ( ~ N X
P( X> 6) = ) 5 . 6 ( X P
= )
5625 . 6
5 . 7 5 . 6
(

Z P
= ) 3904 . 0 ( Z P
= ) 3904 . 0 ( Z P
= 0.6517


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implied)

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or implied

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4.
[3]
10
1480
300831
10
) 600 )( 1480 (
120726
2

= b
= 0.3903

)
10
1480
( 3903 . 0
10
600
= a
= 2.2356
2356 . 2 3903 . 0 + = x y


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6
5.
[7]
a) 100
5 . 10 8 . 15 6 . 23
3 . 11 1 . 17 2 . 25
X
+ +
+ +

= 100
9 . 49
6 . 53
X
= 107.4
The price has increased by 7.4% in the year 2011 as compared to year
2010.

b) 100
) 50 ( 5 . 10 ) 45 ( 8 . 15 ) 35 ( 6 . 23
) 50 ( 3 . 11 ) 45 ( 1 . 17 ) 35 ( 2 . 25
X L
p
+ +
+ +
=
= 100
2062
5 . 2216
X
= 107.5

100
) 50 ( 3 . 11 ) 45 ( 1 . 17 ) 35 ( 2 . 25
) 60 ( 3 . 11 ) 38 ( 1 . 17 ) 22 ( 2 . 25
X P
q
+ +
+ +
=
= 100
5 . 2216
2 . 1882
X
= 84.92

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6.
[10]
a) scale, label , points connected
14 points correct
all correct

Increasing trend or
Maximum on 3
rd
quarter of each year

b) Yes.
The trend is linear

c) 4-quarter moving average :
22.5 23.25 25.25 27.75 28.25 29.25 30.25
31 33 34.25 35.25 37 38.5

Centred 4-quarter moving average:
22.875 24.25 26.5 28 28.75 29.75 30.625
32 33.625 34.75 36.125 37.75



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7
7.
[15]
a) 1 t)dt - 9c(1 10ct
6 . 0
0
1
0.6
2
= +

dt
1
2
9
9
3
10
1
6 . 0
2
6 . 0
0
3
=
(

+
(

ct
ct
ct

1 ) 62 . 1 4 . 5 ( )
2
9
9 ( 72 . 0 = + c c
c
c c
1.44c = 1
c =
36
25
= 0.694
f(t)

b) dt t t dt t t E )
4
25
4
25
(
18
125
) (
2
1
6 . 0
3
6 . 0
0
+ =


=
6 . 0
0
4
) 4 ( 18
125
(

t +
1
6 . 0
3 2
12
25
8
25
(

t t
= ))
12
) 6 . 0 ( 25
(
8
) 6 . 0 ( 25
( )
12
25
8
25
( ) 0 ) 6 . 0 (
72
125
(
3 2
4
+
= 0.225 + 45 . 0 125 . 1
24
25
+
= 0.592 hour
= 35.52 minutes
c) 48 minutes = 0.8 hour
P (T> 0.8) = dt t) 1 (
4
25
1
8 . 0

=
1
8 . 0
2
8
25
4
25
(

t t
=
2
) 8 . 0 (
8
25
) 8 . 0 (
4
25
8
25
4
25
+
= 0.125 or
8
1


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shape)
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0.6 and 1
or 2.5 )
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correct)



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2.5
0.6
1
t
8
8.
[15]
a) 75 . 15
8
126
= = x

8
4 5 2 . 3 9 . 2 1 . 3 8 . 2 3 . 2 + + + + + + +
=
k
y
=
8
3 . 23 k +

( 15.75, )
8
3 . 23 k +

b) y = 0.197x+0.184
184 . 0 ) 75 . 15 ( 197 . 0
8
3 . 23
+ =
+ k

k = 2.994
= 3.0

x y x
2
y
2
xy
10
12
14
15
16
17
22
20
2.3
2.8
3.1
3.0
2.9
3.2
5.0
4.0
100
144
196
225
256
289
484
400
5.29
7.84
9.61
9.00
8.41
10.24
25
16
23
33.6
43.4
45
46.4
54.4
110
80
435.8 xy 39 . 91 y 2094 x 26.3 y , 126
2 2
= = = = = x
8
) 3 . 26 (
39 . 91 )(
8
) 126 (
2094 (
8
) 3 . 26 ( 126
8 . 435
2 2

= r
= 0..9287

c) scale and label
correct points

d) No, cannot estimate,
beyond the range of the sample data

e) Change in the unit of measurement has no effect on the value of r


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