In this paper, I will address the question of whether is there a predisposition or not to violence within a society when the distribution of oil income results disproportional. To begin this discussion, I will present the situation of different real cases where such dynamics takes place to portray a comparative analysis among them on the basis of the nature and outcomes that derive from this panorama as well as the possible justifications in political terms for such violent events.
Original Title
Does the unequal distribution of oil income result in violence? Discuss in relation to at least one case.
In this paper, I will address the question of whether is there a predisposition or not to violence within a society when the distribution of oil income results disproportional. To begin this discussion, I will present the situation of different real cases where such dynamics takes place to portray a comparative analysis among them on the basis of the nature and outcomes that derive from this panorama as well as the possible justifications in political terms for such violent events.
In this paper, I will address the question of whether is there a predisposition or not to violence within a society when the distribution of oil income results disproportional. To begin this discussion, I will present the situation of different real cases where such dynamics takes place to portray a comparative analysis among them on the basis of the nature and outcomes that derive from this panorama as well as the possible justifications in political terms for such violent events.
Does the unequal distribution of oil income result in violence? Discuss in
relation to at least one case.
Abstract In this paper, I will address the question of whether is there a predisposition or not to violence within a society when the distribution of oil income results disproportional. To begin this discussion, I will present the situation of different real cases where such dynamics takes place to portray a comparative analysis among them on the basis of the nature and outcomes that derive from this panorama as well as the possible justifications in political terms for such violent events. Introduction Blood may be thicker than water, but oil is thicker than either (Perry Anderson, 2001:30 cited in Watts 2003). Since its discovery, oil has always been considered a precious resource in terms of economic profit, but when it comes to socio- political aspects, oil has also been labelled as the devils excrement, becoming a complete curse for rentier states. Empirical studies have shown that on average, oil and lootable resources favor violent conflict (Ross, 2004 cited in Basedau and Lay, 2009: 758). Rentier states suffering from a resource curse end up creating a dynamics of rivalry between competing sectors of the society for the oil income. However, when the dispute leaves the offices and cabinets to enter into the everyday life, it may acquire a more physical nature, ultimately leading to violence. Is it then an objective conclusion to correlate unequal distribution of oil income with violence? This paper will discuss such idea, presenting a wide range of data from different real cases to find a common explanation for these events. Also, in the case of find such correlation, this paper will also address to a lesser extent, another related question: Do those violent acts find any kind of justification in political terms? In this case, different theoretical concepts will be addressed in order to analyze whether such violent acts could ever be justified according to the literature on this topic. Hard as it is to find legitimation for guerrilla war against a recognised government, not only the aim but also the nature of these conflicts may actually turn out to attract moral support from outside the picture and we could then end up agreeing with Machiavelli when he said that the end justifies the means. The correlation between oil and violence Of the different types of natural resources, oil is considered to particularly increase the likelihood of violence (Ross 2004; Humphreys 2005 cited in Mhler, 2009). Among other aspects, oil turns out to bring a curse instead of a blessing, and rentier states, suffering from a paradox of plenty can eventually develop a complete unstable economic system that may even lead to quite negative repercussions in some regions, affecting their population. Studies have shown that natural resources tend to develop both finance and motive for armed conflict and to create indirect economic and institutional causes of violence (Ross, 2006; Humphreys, 2005; Fearon, 2005 in Basedau and Lay, 2009: 757). However, when it comes to discuss the relationship between resources and violence, not all resources produce the same consequences. No previous study has been able to clearly link certain commodities or lootable resources such as diamonds or narcotics with violence, instead only oil- exporting countries such as Angola, Nigeria or Indonesia, present a singular tendency to violent uprisings (Basedau and Lay, 2009). Thus, to better comprehend the nature of this situation, and the following cases, we must first address two basic concepts that determine the origins of the socio-economic premises that create the scenario for violence. On the one hand, we have the concept of rentier states. For the purpose of this paper, it is essential to understand this term, since most states that experience these violent conflicts due to the unfair distribution of oil income fall into this category. Mahdavy (1970) define rentier states are those that develop their economy around the rent of their natural resources to external clients. These states, most frequently rich in petroleum, tend to present an authoritarian regime where the evolution of democracy patterns finds multiple obstacles (Smith 2004). Thus, in this panorama, oil income does not flow to the majority of the population since the government is the principal recipient. The economic power thus bestowed upon the few would allow them to seize political power as well (Beblawi, 1990: 88). Therefore, this unfair distribution of income, leading to a situation of horizontal inequality set the necessary conditions for social agitation and eventual violent conflict. The second concept to bear in mind is the resource curse or paradox of plenty. This term was explained by Richard Auty (1993), who analysed how states that had vast amounts of natural resources, mainly petroleum or gas, were not only incapable of developing a strong economy, but they actually had enormous difficulties to stimulate economic growth. As a matter of fact, these countries experience a lower growth rate than those countries without such reserves of natural resources. To explain this paradox it is also worth mentioning the concept of Dutch Disease. This theory explains that those countries experiencing a boom in the export of natural resources, first strengthen their currency, which makes other exports more expensive for international trade, and second, other sectors, such as agriculture or manufacturing can be undermined, provoking a lack of domestic goods for the population. In this situation, the population do not only suffer from an unequal allocation of oil revenues, but they are also hindered from continuing their traditional economic activities, which ultimately leads to the rise of unemployment and the subsequent mobilisation. However, to better understand this dynamics it is convenient to discuss different cases where such circumstances define the current political panorama. Nowadays, Nigeria might be one of the best examples to witness the correlation between a resource curse and the consequences it brings. Since the discovery of oil in the 1960s, Nigerias economy has extensively flourished, but this prosperity has not benefited the majority since 70% of the population living on less than 1 dollar a day, and 90% on less than 2 dollars (United Nations, 2006). This horizontal unequality gave place to the mobilisation of different ethnic groups, specially in the Niger Delta region, which decided to take arms and pursue violent activities due to the complete inefficiency of dialogue and the deployment of soldiers by the government to quell community protests against oil companies (Ukiwo, 2007). From the 1990s the inhabitants of Ogoniland, Ijaw land and other ethnic groups began an ambitious program of disrupting oil production, which would ultimately lead to the occupation and shutting of oil facilities, abduction of MCN staff, hijack and seizure of MCN helicopters and boats, stoppage of production and other related activities undertaken by youth, women and community activists (Ikelegbe, 2005: 215). Violence has reached an extreme scope and in the Niger Delta we can see the youths, embarked on guerrilla warfare, showing their anger through violence, using guns, cutlasses, and kidnapping (Ukeje, 2002: 25). However, the conflict do not only arise from the insufficient income that the region obtains from oil extraction. Ecological impacts from oil spillage and gas flaring are also agitating the populations distress (Watts 2003). According to Eckersleys (2007) notion of ecocide, the destruction of the ecosystem is highly affecting the population due to the repercussions that such ecological distress is having not only on basic needs for survival, but also on some of the most important resources that were the basis for the regions exports and traditional economy, such as those of cocoa, cotton or rubber (Okonta and Douglas, 2001). Thus, Nigeria present a perfect example of a political scenario where the unfair allocation of oil income and the consequences this natural resource brings, such as defined social hierarchies and the impact of oil extraction on the ecosystem, leads to violence. As Hebst (1996) once said, oil made of the Nigerian state the greatest single development tragedy in the world today. However, in most cases, conflict specifically derives from economic factors. In rentier states, the control over the petroleum industry not only provides huge economic profit, but it also empowers those in command. Thus, the unfair distribution of oil income and all the socio-economic benefits that it provides leads certain sectors of a society to take arms and confront the authorities, as we can see in Iraq with the Islamists, or in Libya with diverse militias fighting for power. In Iraq, the sectarian violence and the Sunni-Shiite divide that has disturbed the country for the last decade has highly affected its oil output (Defterios, 2013). During the last years, however, the escalation of terrorist attacks had decreased until 2013, when the intense sectarian conflict in Iraq was reactivated by the Syrian war, due to the ethnic and cultural relation between both countries (Shaaban and Smith, 2013). However, one could ask how that situation can be beneficial for any group. Islamists of Al-Qaida are presumed to be responsible for this endless scenario of violence, and following the Marxist-Leninist doctrine they could be trying to destroy the present to create a better future (Salhani, 2013). Since the departure of American forces, Al-Qaida has reinitiated its activities in Iraq and expanded into Syria, and now that they have established their based there, they are sending terrorists to Iraq, at a rate of 30 to 40 each month (Gordon and Schmitt, 2013). Given this situation, as Bauman (2006) believes, terrorist acts dot not only seek to infringe terror on the population, but they instrumentalise the already existing dynamics of terror, which in this case, would come from the recent war and the complete instability that has been dominating the country for the past decade. Moreover, Arendt (1970) explained that violence can be used as a mean to corrode social cohesion, a statement that can be perfectly applicable to this particular case as explained by the remark of a UN special envoy to Iraq, Nikolay Mladenov, when advised the Iraqi government to act to thwart attempts by terrorists to destroy the social fabric of Iraqi society (Smith, 2013). On the other hand, oil is also boosting the levels of corruption around the country. As Wahab (2006) explains, the security emptiness that followed the departure of American troops increased economic opportunities for the existing mafia, as well as for new criminal gangs around the country. And insurgents are using oil revenues to finance violence, just as Saddam did. Thus, being oil the basis for the Iraqi economy, it gives the perfect opportunity to create a violent atmosphere that affects not only the states economy but also its social structure. A similar case can be seen in Libya, where as Saleh (2013) states, different militias across the country are fighting to get their share of power after the political emptiness left after Gaddafis death. Thus, armed groups are blocking key oilfields and ports-hijacking the government of its main source of revenue (Jawad, 2013). However, the most problematic conflict lies in the east, where revolutionaries are calling for the autonomy of region and control of oil fields due to the lack of competence by Tripoli to face the armed gangs operating across the country (Wheeler, 2013). Among the conditions they ask for in order to reopen the occupied ports, we find the investigation by a judicial panel of the management of oil revenue, formation of a commission by Libyas three main provinces to supervise oil exports, and adherence to a 1951 constitution that enshrined a federal system (Faucon and Said, 2013), constitution which established the share of oil revenues among the three regions and which was abolished by Gaddafi in 1969. Thus, we can see how in this case, oil plays again an extremely important role when comes to find the origins of violence. Distress may be originated by a political crisis, but most armed groups and revolutionaries interest is either to get a fair share of the oil revenues for their respective regions, or if that is not accomplished, take control of the oil fields, acquiring not only the economic benefit that oil creates but also the political power that it provides. Can these violent acts find any kind of justification in political terms? Justification is a broad abstract term that does not always finds its exact definition or nature through academic literature. However, after a detailed analysis of nature and context of a given conflict, one may find a set of variables that supports an always-subjective conclusion towards the possible justification of the conflict in different socio-economic terms. In Nigeria, ethnic groups from the Niger Delta are not only fighting for economic profit but to defend their land and way of living. By fighting the oil multinationals and the so-considered capitalist puppet government of Nigeria, the conflict in that region could be labelled as anti-colonialist. According to Fanon, if states use violence, then there is a justification for the use of violence in response (Fanon, 1967). And by the ju jitsu technique, Ijaws and Ogonis base their tactics on guerrilla warfare, targeting relevant oil infrastructures across the region and defending themselves from the national military repression based on the use of terror operations such as village raids (Terminski, 2011). Regarding the case of Iraq, we can discuss Arendts theory on Revolution. According to it, there are some premises to be accomplished for a revolution to be successful, among which we can find the establishment of a totally new form of government or the distribution of power into many collective groups (Arendt, 2006). In Iraq, it seems unrealistic that such events will take place if a Sunni Islamist government takes control of the country, since the sectarian division will not only stop, but it will actually be likely to worsen. Thus, according to Arendt, the use of violence in this case would not find any political justification, at least through the Western democratic point of view, since as mentioned before, justifications are subjective and so, an anti-colonial approach could also be followed from the Muslim perspective. According to this point, on a basis of a colonialist approach, we could analyze the Sunni Islamist point of view, which considers a Shiite government as a U.S. puppet, leading not only to an increase of the ancestral ethnic rivalry, but also to a constant indirect control by The West. AS a perfect example, we can see how the U.S is militarily equiping the current Iraqi government with Hellfire missiles, and there is even a possibility of also using low-tech surveillance drones (Gordon and Schmitt, 2013). If this situation actually takes place, we could be witnessing the beginning of a virtual war leading to, as Ignatieff (2001) believes, delicate consequences such a virtual realities where nobody is responsible and thousands of people end up death. Finally, in the case of Libya, we can find broad similarities. During the Iraq war, U.S. occupation forces came to the conclusion that Libyans composed one of the biggest groups within al-Qaida there in Iraq (UPI, 2012). Therefore we can also find the presence and considerable importance of this group in Libya and, for that reason, Prime Minister Ali Zeidan seems to be also looking for Western support, with the creation of a new Libyan army, armed and trained by the US though AFRICOM (Nasser, 2013). Thus, we come to the conclusion that in both cases, the justification of these violent acts perpetrated in both countries relies on the perspective from where the context is analysed. Conclusion It is true that some countries do manage to correctly administrate its natural resources and do not fall into any spiral of violence and social conflict. Some governments are able to administrate large resource revenues to maintain internal peace by developing a set of policies that establish a huge security apparatus and a fair distributional method. However, such policies are expensive and these countries must bear a high threshold of per capita wealth for them to work (Basedau and Lay, 2009). Moreover, in countries such as the U.S, Canada or Norway, the structural stability of these societies also provides a safety net against the outbreak of violence among different sectors of the population. Inequality is still present, but it is handled in a way that social unrest does not overstep the limits of democracy. However, after analysing the cases exposed in this paper, all of which are pure rentier states, we can come to the conclusion that generally in this type of country, given their unstable socio-economic structures, there is a high connection between the unfair allocation of oil revenues and the eventual emergence of violent conflicts. First, the unequal distribution of the economic profit that oil provides can lead to the affected population to take arms and fight for what they think they deserve. Second, as we could see in the Niger Delta, the extreme ecological impacts that oil extraction produces, generally in underdeveloped countries, can also awake the initiative from certain groups to ultimately use violence to protect their land, either by attacking oil infrastructures or by fighting those who protect them. Finally, we can also find a correlation between oil and violence when it comes to the desire of certain sectors of a society to take control over the oil industry, which in rentier states such as Iraq or Libya, is the key to power and political control. Oil can be a blessing or a curse depending on how is managed, although it might be inevitable for a country to perfectly allocate all the income. After all, according to the Pareto optimality, for the distribution of resources it is not possible for one party to improve without making another partys situation worse. Inequality has been an unavoidable characteristic of human society since its very beginnings, and when it is mixed with oil, the consequences can be disastrous. As Mills (2012), a journalist from The National newspaper of the United Arab Emirates said: Oil can be the glue that holds a country together or the lubricant that lets it slip apart.
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To What Extent Do Inequalities in Distribution of Resources and Power Explain Processes of Ethnic Mobilization? Discuss in Relation To at Least One Case.