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Probability - Dice Rolls Name 1 _________________________________ January 5, 2009

Mr. Murray – Block 4


Name 2 _________________________________

Roll one die and record each outcome with a ‘tick mark’ next to the specific number.
Keep rolling again until you have at least 1 EVENT of each possible OUTCOME.
Possible die tick mark for
outcomes each roll

1 _______________

2 _______________

3 _______________

4 _______________

5 _______________

6 _______________

How many rolls did that take? _______ Record your results on the board.

How many TOTAL OUTCOMES are possible for one die roll? ______

How many of each did you get


in your experiment for each number? 1s _____2s _____3s _____4s _____5s _____6s _____

What actual % did you get


in your experiment? 1s _____2s _____3s _____4s _____5s _____6s _____

What is the EXPECTED %


for each number? 1s _____2s _____3s _____4s _____5s _____6s _____

Why are the actual and expected % different? _____________________________________________________

Probability as a % = (Count of Part of the outcomes)(100) =


(Count of Total number of outcomes)

What is the probability that you roll an even number?


% = (Count of any even number outcomes)(100) = ( )(100) = _____ %
(Count of Total number of outcomes) ( 6)

What is the probability that you roll a 1 or 2?

What is the probability that you roll a 6?


Roll BOTH DICE and put the result in the table below. One team member rolls the dice and calls out the result,
like this: ‘color 6, white 4’, ‘color 2, white 3’. After 75 rolls, switch teammates from roller to recorder. Complete
the table of 150 rolls.
Roll Color White Roll Color White Roll Color White Roll Color White Roll Color White Roll Color White
1 31 61 61 91 121
2 32 62 62 92 122
3 33 63 63 93 123
4 34 64 64 94 124
5 35 65 65 95 125
6 36 66 66 96 126
7 37 67 67 97 127
8 38 68 68 98 128
9 39 69 69 99 129
10 40 70 70 100 130
11 41 71 71 101 131
12 42 72 72 102 132
13 43 73 73 103 133
14 44 74 74 104 134
15 45 75 75 105 135
16 46 76 76 106 136
17 47 77 77 107 137
18 48 78 78 108 138
19 49 79 79 109 139
20 50 80 80 110 140
21 51 81 81 111 141
22 52 82 82 112 142
23 53 83 83 113 143
24 54 84 84 114 144
25 55 85 85 115 145
26 56 86 86 116 146
27 57 87 87 117 147
28 58 88 88 118 148
29 59 89 89 119 149
30 60 90 90 120 150

How many TOTAL OUTCOMES are possible for two dice rolls? ______

Probability Ratio = (PART of the outcomes) Multiply this fraction by 100


Fraction (TOTAL outcomes) to get the Probability Percentage (%)

FOR EXAMPLE How many different ways can you roll 3? Answer: 2 ways (color 1,white 2 or color 2,white 1)
Probability Ratio = 2 = 0.0555555 or approximately 5.6 % Complete the Table Below
Fraction 36
Roll Ways Probability Probability Probability
Result to get it Fraction Decimal Percent
2
3 2 2/36 0.55555 5.60%
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
LOOK AT THE TABLE BELOW. YOU ARE ABOUT TO RE-ENTER YOUR 150 ROLLS DATA
INTO THIS CHART.

BEFORE YOU BEGIN, answer these questions:


With 150 entries in a 36 box table, will each box get a mark in it? Y or N (circle one please)
What do you think the probability of filling all the boxes is? ______________%

OK, now re-enter your 150 rolls data into the chart. One person calls out the dice, the other person marks
STOP EVERY 15 ROLLS
the chart. Put a ‘tick’ mark in the proper box for each roll.
Record the number of boxes filled after every 15 rolls in the table on the right.
After 75 rolls, switch teammates from reader to recorder. Complete the table of 150 rolls.

Roll number Number of Boxes filled

0 0
15 _________
30 _________
45 _________
60 _________
75 _________ Switch
Teammates
90 _________
105 _________
120 _________
135 _________
150 _________

If each box got filled, which entry filled in the last vacant box? Roll # _________________
What is the easiest way to figure this out if you didn’t notice it when it happened?

What do you think the probability of filling in all the boxes is now? _____________ %

How many ways are there to roll a 7? __________________

What is the expected probability of rolling a 7? ___________ %

How many 7s did you roll in the 150 rolls? ______________

What percentage of 7s did you get in your experiment? ___________

Please explain the best you can why this does or does not make sense.
Boxes
Filled

36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0 15 30 45 60 75 90 105 120 135 150 Rolls

Graph the number of boxes filled as a function of the number of rolls.

Connect the dots with a smooth curve. Please try and explain why the graph is the shape that it is:

Make sure your names are on the report and hand it in. Thank you.

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