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Management Science and Research

March 2014, Volume 3, Issue 1, PP.16-22

Evaluation on Carrying Capacity of Fossil


Energy
Li Li, Yalin Lei #, Xianhai Li
School of Humanities & Economic Management, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing, 100083, China
#Email: leiyalin@cugb.edu.cn

Abstract
Energy is an important material foundation and guarantee for economic and social development. However, because energy
especially fossil energy is t unrenewable and less efficient in usage, there exists a serious wasting phenomenon. Therefore, how to
utilize energy effectively and reasonably to support China's economic and social development is the urgent problem to be
addressed. Relevant experts and scholars have done many researches on the carrying capacity. This paper reviews and summarizes
the domestic and foreign researches on carrying capacity of resources, environment and fossil energy...
Keywords: Fossil Energy; Carrying Capacity; Evaluation

100083

SO2

1758

(Malthus)1798
CGE
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1212011220303
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1949 William Vogot
William Allan 1949
60 70
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5 7 104 21

1973
1977
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Malcolm Sleeser 1985
ECCO

Jonathan
2000Rijisberman 2000
Sokhem Pech Kengo Sunada2008

Rampim, Leandro 2012 GPS

20 90
2.1

1996

1998
2000 2030
2010
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2010

1990

2000

2007

2008
2012

1998

37
2003

4
2004
2006

2011

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2.2

1991

1991

1996

1997

1998

2002
2009

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1973

Daniel Yergin
1993John V.MitchellPeter BeckMichael Grubb1996
Jonathan E.Sinton2000
Peter Zweifel Susanne Bonomo
1995Jabir2001

GavinM Hilson
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2006
200620102011

GDP

70%
1998
37

2004

2009
DEA
2011 DEA
C2R

2003

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1 1981-

2 1966-

2011.9

1993-1998

Email: lilyght@126.com

Email: leiyalin@cugb.edu.cn
3 1978-

2011.9
Email: lixianhai@126.com

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