State of financial sector regulation and competition in India
A B Rastogi 1
NMIMS University Mumbai 400 056
1. Introduction Financial sector regulation witnessed lessening of onerous regulation or deregulation in the name of enhancing competition among financial sector firms and service providers in the last three decades. The underlying principles of deregulation have been to achieve market efficiency and reducing regulatory cost. This principle is derived from the overarching belief that market efficiency leads to protection of consumers and depositors and solvency of financial institutions. The 2008 credit crisis unfolded the downside of excessive deregulation and shortcoming of light handed approach to regulation. The deregulation allowed development of financial institutions to become too big to fail. This perception of financial institutions that they will not be allowed to fail as it was done in the past in the US and the UK 2 , allowed them to take excessive risk because profits of these institutions remained private whereas losses were borne by public directly or indirectly. The size of some of these institutions allowed them to influence political economy of regulators and stimulated irresponsible behavior on their part in developed economies. With the help of hindsight one can say that the 2008 crisis was the result of lack of regulation in different markets and institutions (credit, housing, rating agencies etc.), improper implementation of existing regulation, regulatory overlap, failure of models in calculating different risks (particularly liquidity risk) and interdependence of markets. Indian economy came out of the credit crisis comparatively unharmed. Both, financial institutions and real economy measured in terms of jobs and economic growth reached pre-crisis level in roughly eighteen months time. This paper attempts to throw some light on the state of financial sector regulation in India, how it survived the 2008 credit crisis and what needs to be done to meet the challenge of financing infrastructure competitively.
2. An overview of Financial Sector Regulations and Competitiveness Scenario Soon after the 2008 credit crisis broke out, the President of the UN General Assembly established a UN commission on the global crisis under the
1 This article was written for the India Competition and Regulation Report, 2011, to be published by CUTS International, New Delhi which holds copyright of the paper. 2 The Savings and Lending companies were bailed out in 1987, Long-Term Capital Management was bailed out in September 1998 by the Federal Reserve in the US and Northern Rock was nationalized in February 2008 in the UK. 2/21
Chairmanship of Professor Joseph Stieglitz to study its impact on the developing countries (Reddy, 2011). The commission did not have teeth to implement its suggestions but its findings rationalized the importance of financial sector for a developing country and the role of public policy in a developing country to develop its financial sector. Needless to say that the commission was to take heads-on the Washington consensus of the role of financial sector in the world economy in general and the role of capital account convertibility in particular. The UN commission recognized two paramount reasons to implement good regulations in the financial sector. First, the regulations to protect consumers and investors who are considered unsophisticated and whose savings are in the custody of the financial system. Second, failure of financial firms leads to severely limit trust and confidence among economic agents. The authorities should take cognizance of empirical evidence that there will be attempts to avoid regulations; but this should not be the basis for diluting appropriate and effective regulations. Moreover, regulations should be made to ensure that all bank like entities whether they are called a bank or not should be regulated such that peoples trust in such institutions remains intact. Even intermediaries which serve financial sectors such as credit rating agencies should also be regulated. Under the paradigm of market based economy, the central banks and financial regulators believed that the financial markets would ensure a smooth correction of mis-pricing of risks by themselves. After the 2008 crisis, such trust placed by the central banks in financial markets seems to have been misplaced. It is widely believed there was a regulatory capture by the financial institutions 3 . The post-crisis inquiries suggest that the market participants had grown so big in size, wealth, income and influence than the non-financial sector that they exercised a strong influence on opinion making including through the media. A recent documentary movie, written and directed by Charles Ferguson, titled Inside Job has severely damaged the reputation of financial economists, regulators, teachers of business schools and financial institutions in general. The film argues that the global economic crisis arose from a few hundred individual acts of uncontaminated self-interest which led to deregulation. These individuals earned enormous amount of money at the expense of general public at large and put to risk their jobs, savings, houses and pensions. The film depicts that there was a thin line between legality and outright fraud. The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) of the US was established in 2009 to ask and answer this central question: how did it come to pass that in 2008 our nation was forced to choose between two stark and painful alternativeseither risk the total collapse of our financial system and economy or inject trillions of taxpayer dollars into the financial system and an array of companies, as millions of Americans still lost their jobs, their savings, and their homes?. The Commission found that it was the collapse of the housing bubble fueled by low interest rates, easy credit, scant regulation and toxic mortgages which sparked
3 The regulatory capture implies persuading or gently forcing the regulator by the regulated to do what is favourable to the regulated, essentially based on an information asymmetry because the regulated tend to have more and better information on relevant aspects than regulators. 3/21
the crisis in 2008. The crisis could be avoided if the Federal Reserve had stopped the flow of toxic mortgages by setting prudent mortgage-lending standard. The failures in financial regulation and supervision proved devastating to the stability of the financial markets. The supervision failed because government allowed financial firms to choose their regulator and they chose the weakest one. Further, there was a failure of corporate governance and systemic failure of risk management. The firms took excessive risk with too little capital and with too much dependence on short-term funding. Moreover, the leverage was often hidden in OTC derivatives position, in off-balance sheet entities and through window dressing of financial reports (FCIC, 2011). The Commission found that there was a systemic breakdown in accountability and ethics and OTC derivatives contributed significantly to the crisis. The commission also found the credit rating agencies to be equally responsible as they gave their seal of approval blindly without understanding mortgage related derivatives of derivatives. The Commission concluded that they found dramatic breakdown of corporate governance, profound lapses in regulatory oversight, and near fatal flaws in our financial system. The FCIC findings are not very different from the documentary film Inside Job. The subprime crisis has an important bearing on the design of regulatory system not only in the US but all over the world because pursuit of self-interest in the absence of moral integrity is harming fortune of innocent millions4. In the US the multiplicity of regulatory authorities are blamed for the crisis as they complicated the issues of jurisdiction. In the UK, where there was the single regulator the Financial Services Authority could not anticipate the extent of latent risk. Leave aside quantification, even the identification of risks associated with the widespread diffusion of derivative products seemed beyond the capabilities of the regulatory authorities. Moreover, risk management models which could capture macroeconomic risks emanating from interest rates or exchange rate were unable to endogenise systemic risk or liquidity risk. The FCIC found that just prior to the crisis, there was an explosion in risky subprime lending and securitization, an unsustainable rise in housing prices, widespread reports of egregious lending practices, a dramatic increase in household mortgage debt and an exponential growth in unregulated derivatives, among many other red flags. The commission also identified widespread failures in financial regulation, corporate governance and risk management, lack of transparency, and a systematic breakdown in accountability and ethics as key causes of the crisis There are protagonists who still believe that free market, if left by itself, is able to take corrective steps on its own. According to Alan Greenspan, former Chairman
4 Adam Smith referred to the advantages of an economic system based on self-interest of individuals. I presume that he had in mind individuals who had a moral fiber akin to that described in his Theory of Moral Sentiments. The Theory discusses concepts like propriety, the foundation of judgments concerning our sentiments and conduct, the sense of duty, character of virtue and systems of moral philosophy.
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of the Federal Reserve, things went well over the long period of deregulation and light-touch oversight, and he argues that the global financial system is now so unredeemably opaque that policymakers and legislators cannot hope to address its complexity (Frank, 2011). However, both his predecessor and successor as chairman of the Federal Reserve called for substantial changes and helped to shape the new rules. A sharply critical report from the Internationally Monetary Funds (IMF) independent evaluation office pointed out that the IMF was very late to spot the severe interconnected problems in the worlds advanced economies. As late as the summer of 2008, the IMFs management was confident that the US has avoided a hard landing and the worst news are [sic] behind us (Beattie, 2011). The FCIC findings, the IMFs independent evaluation office and FSA in the UK are agreeing to have higher risk weighted capital, control over capital flows, financials sector being subservient to real economy and reduction in OTC derivative products. It is believed that the new Basel III capital standards and the ability of regulators to insist on even greater capital will ensure more prudent and productive lending. Financial institutions in the developed world have raised alarms and loss of competitiveness due to new capital adequacy norms as credit supply must rise by more than $100,000bn in the next 10 years double of its current levels to meet demand for new funding worldwide. S&P has estimated that public and private sector borrowers worldwide will need to raise or refinance about $70,000bn of bonds between now and the end of 2015. (Sharma, 2011) The Basel III rules prescribing higher standards for assessing risks and stricter capital requirements come in the wake of the credit crisis that pushed the world into recession. Written by the Bank of International Settlements, the rules are due for implementation from 2013. The Basel liquidity proposals, according to the financial institutions, could undermine banks ability to provide services such as backup credit lines as well as funding for international trade and retail borrowers (ET, 2011a). Therefore, the head of the Financial Services Authority has called for a radical rethink of consumer protection in the UK, including the possible imposition of fee caps and bans on some retail financial products (Masters, 2011). The FSA is not the only regulator trying to tighten rules. The US has established a consumer bureau to oversee mortgages and credit cards, while the Securities and Exchange Commission recommended that brokers be required to act in the best interest of their customers. In the UK, regulators have begun shifting to more intrusive supervision of financial products. The FSA now asks more questions when companies record large gross margins on the sale of a particular product, and is also increasing scrutiny of bundled products and sales of related- party investment products by financial advisers.
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3. Indian Scenario : A Comparative Perspective vis--vis the Global Best Practices The main regulators of the financial sector in India are the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI), the Forward Market Commission (FMC), the Insurance Regulation and Development Authority (IRDA), the Pension Fund Regulation and Development Authority (PFRDA) and the Ministry of Finance (MoF). They regulate money, securities, commodities, insurance markets and pension funds in India. All of them have been established by an act of parliament and report to the Ministry of Finance except the FMC. The MoF is the policy making body of the financial sector in India and the Department of Consumer Affairs is for the commodities market. In principle, all regulators are to maintain a free and fair market, maintain price stability and protect the small investor. The Reserve Bank of India, the central bank, does not have a formal mandate to maintain financial stability in the country but the bank has interpreted its mandate on monetary stability to include both price and financial stability. The way forward for financial sector regulation in India is three fold: to maintain macroeconomic stability, the growth of domestic financial system and to manage integration of domestic financial system with that of the international financial system. It is difficult to pin-point what has led Indian regulators to be conservative and cautious in financial regulation. However, the Asian financial crisis of 1997 left an indelible impression on their minds. The Asian financial crisis was linked to foreign capital and foreign exchange markets destabilizing the domestic markets. The Raghuram Rajan report, however, comments that it is not the foreign capital but the poor governance, poor risk management, asset liability mismatches, inadequate disclosure, excessive related party transactions and murky bankruptcy laws that make an economic system prone to crisis (GoI, 2009). Before we go over to the question of learning from the 2008 credit crisis, it would be appropriate to highlight the salient features of the Indian financial sector. A large population of India lives close to the poverty line and their well being is extremely sensitive to inflation. Price stability forms overarching goal of financial sector regulation. Incidentally, the price stability is also conducive to investment. Hence, the underlying belief that policy makers carry with them is that the health of the financial sector is contingent upon prospects in the real sector. This perspective has resulted in a cautious gradualist approach to financial liberalization and deregulation in the past three decades. Indian banks continue to remain well capitalized. In March 2009, common equity accounted for 7% of risk capital against the norm of 3-4% for most of international banks. Tier 1 capital reserves were 13.75% against 9.4% for large multinational banks. Thus leverage ratio was only 17. Indian banks, accused of over-capitalization earlier, were well equipped to deal with the initial losses as some borrowers started to default when the 2008 credit crisis hit the market. More than 2/3 rd of banks are state owned and though rupee is fully convertible on the current account, it is partially convertible on the capital account. Thus, a 6/21
major channel of transmission of financial instability does not exist. The convertibility restrictions keep the debt markets, especially the sovereign debt market insulated from global financial markets. This provides strength to the monetary policy to operate with relative independence and limits contagion effects and moderates the adverse effects of the global crisis. The smaller size of Indian banks coupled with non-convertibility of rupee on capital account did not permit banks to enter into complex derivative transactions in international markets. Their size and local presence forced them to operate in domestic market rather than develop international expertise to operate in international operations. The central banks perspective of the financial sector, on the other hand, ensures that a pre-emptive counter-cyclical monetary policy is followed to mitigate the effects of the business cycle by raising risk weights and tightening the provisions against loans to sectors with rapid credit growth be it housing sector, mutual funds or capital markets. The pre-emptive steps remove incentives to the under pricing of risk. Additionally, monetary policy is used in tandem for macro-prudential measures. According to the Raghuram Rajan report, the last two decades of reforms have created a robust regulatory framework but it is insufficient for a growing Indian economy now and India must recognize that there are some deficiencies in the current regulatory system which needs to be put right now. The Indian economy reached its pre-crisis level in less than eighteen months time and economic growth rate in 2009-10 and 2010-11 was 7.4% and 7.5%. Therefore, there is little doubt that India emerged stronger, more resilient and self confident after the crisis 5 (see Appendix 3). It is difficult to say what would have happened if the crisis had occurred after India had allowed full capital account convertibility. At least now, the macro-balances that were judiciously maintained and doggedness with which the financial sector was not allowed to outgrow the real sector, have earned appreciation globally. According to Y.V. Reddy, the former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, India has been less affected by the crisis than most other countries 6 . Of the several reasons responsible for this, the most important have been the avoidance of macroeconomic imbalances; more active countercyclical policies in the monetary and financial sectors; and a moderate integration with the global economy. The policy response was also prompt and effective. A well-thought- out use of a range of policy instruments already put in place during the boom years helped to effectively manage the crisis (Reddy, 2011). Dr Reddy has gone on to argue that the impact of the 2008 credit crisis was less than the shrinkage in GDP growth rate observed in 2008 and 2009 because in 2007 the economy was showing signs of overheating and some cyclical correction was to be expected in 2008. If that cyclical correction is taken into account, the
5 See growth rates of BRIC countries in Appendix 3 which support Dr Y.V.Reddys claim in spite of euro- crisis. 6 The comparison shows that growth rate of all the BRIC countries were hit by the crisis in 2009 but India suffered much less. Rebound in all the economies occurred in 2010 but were not able to maintain growth momentum in 2011 except that in India 7/21
slowdown in economy which can be attributed to the 2008 credit crisis will be even less than the contraction recorded in the GDP figures of 2008 and 2009.
SEBI The objectives of the Securities Exchange Board of India are to develop the securities market and to promote investors interest. To fulfill its objectives it makes rules and regulations for the securities market. In the past two decades of its existence, SEBI has achieved a securities market, which is modern in infrastructure and follows international best practices. The markets are efficient, safe, investor friendly and globally competitive. SEBI has been in the forefront of protecting interest of minority share holders. Small investors have benefited from improved market transparency, quarterly disclosure standards, monitoring of corporate governance and enhancement of the market safety through an efficient margin system and stepping up of surveillance. SEBI is quite active in solving investor grievances issues promptly.
Role of Competition Commission of India As markets are becoming competitive in different sectors, the underlying belief is that with easy conditions of entry and exit, and open access to networks, the markets would provide sufficient constraints on the behavior of service providers. Demand would be responsive to supply cost. Information transparency empowers consumers to make inter-company comparisons or measure performance over time and thus, put pressure on companies to improve performance. Adequate standards exist for Quality of Supply and Service along with reliable systems for monitoring and enforcing them. Therefore, regulators need not be involved in detailed price controls or choice of technology. In certain sectors, the impact of competition on prices of services is palpable and in others the gradual change hides away the underlying competitive forces. In a competition led scenario where competition emerges as a reliable and effective means of regulation, protection of consumer interest, and driving user charges towards marginal costs, the Competition Commission of India could play a bigger role than sector specific regulatory authorities. The Competition Commission of India having economy wide mandate encourages competition in real sector as well as the financial sector. Within the real sector it is the market penetration (measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, a commonly accepted measure of market concentration). In the infrastructure sector, where due to network effect local monopoly exists, the CCI could also provide an oversight in the monitoring of contracts. The manner in which contracts are implemented can result in competition issues that can include abuse of dominant position or anti competitive agreements on the basis of the rights vested under the concession agreement. The CCI can, in such situations, examine the manner in which the contract is being implemented. 8/21
The issues related to financial sector have started coming up recently. SEBI has detailed guidelines on the mergers and acquisitions of listed companies to protect interest of minority shareholders. These norms are going to be tested against the merger control provisions of the Competition Act, 2002, when they become effective from June 1, 2011. From the draft regulations, it appears that the procedure for acquisition of shares or voting rights of listed companies in the country will undergo a substantial change from June 2011. The new regulation will impact all combinations that meet the prescribed threshold for India or worldwide assets or turnover of the target company and the India or worldwide assets or turnover of the parties to the acquisition or the group to which the target would belong after the acquisition. There seems to be a divergence when it comes to the operative provisions. The Competition Act states that any person who proposes to enter into a combination shall give notice to the commission in the relevant form within 30 days of execution of any agreement or other document for acquisition. Given that the SEBI Takeover Regulations are also due to undergo a substantial change, it is still early days to predict how acquisition of listed companies will be regulated because jurisdiction of CCI and SEBI are overlapping. (Shroff and Khan, 2011)
Indian perspective on financial sector reforms In the last decade the GoI has tried with mixed results to carry out reforms in the financial sector in the country. A committee of bankers, investment bankers and stock exchanges submitted their report in 2007 known as the High Powered Expert Committee on Making Mumbai an International Financial Centre (also known as the Percy Committee) (MoF, 2007). The Percy Committee was in favour of liberalizing the financial sector as much as the leading financial centres of the world such as London and New York. It was in favour of adopting light handed regulatory regime. Another committee on financial sector reforms was constituted under the Chairmanship of Raghuram Rajan to identify the emerging challenges in meeting the financing needs of the Indian economy in the coming decade and to identify real sector reforms that would allow those needs to be more easily met by the financial sector in August 2007. The Committee had wider representation than the Percy Committee and compared to the Percy Committee had wider mandate. The Committee submitted its report in September 2008, i.e. soon after the credit crisis of 2008 had almost brought down the financial system of the world to its knees. The Committee made 35 recommendations (Appendix -1). The proposals are a mixture of micro and macro level reforms for the banking, securities and non-banking financial sector. According to the Raghuram Rajan Committee the guiding principle of the financial sector reforms in India should be to include more Indians in the growth process; to foster growth itself and to protect the Indian economy from financial market bubble which afflicted developed world in 2008 (GOI, 2009). Another guiding principle for the Committee was to recognize that efficiency, innovation and value for money are 9/21
as important for the poor as they are for emerging Indian multinationals, and these will come from deregulation, new entry and competition in the sector. Since 2008, the recommendations made by the Raghuram Rajan Committee have been the guiding reforms in the financial sector in India. The regulatory philosophy followed by the central bank in the past in India was that innovations in the financial sector should serve the needs of the real sector. This philosophy in the financial sector avoided a significant build-up of asset price bubble before the financial crisis caused by the global liquidity in 2008. The high macro-prudential measures helped in maintaining the health of the banking system when credit crisis came in 2008. Another feature of our financial system which makes us less globalized and sophisticated also leads us to being less susceptible to contagion effects. Besides this the central bank took measures to counteract the ripple effects after the crisis occurred 7 .
After the crisis, inquiries carried out by the US Congress, the IMFs independent evaluation office and the UN Commission have not only endorsed this philosophy but have strongly recommended the Basle III capital adequacy norms and re- regulate the sector to serve the needs of the real sector. This implies that SME would get credit at a reasonable rate of interest while maintaining price stability. The issue of credit needs of tiny sector, until recently met by unorganized sector, is being brought into the purview of the central bank in line with the recommendation of the Raghuram Rajan Committee (Recommendations 6 and 29: Appendix 1). The Raghuram Rajan committee which went into the details of financial sector reforms started its work with the premise that Indian financial sector needs to reach out to small enterprises, those people who are outside the ambit of the banking sector. The government is following the blue print provided by the Committee. The Committee has recommended a gradual approach to financial sector reform rather than a big bang approach. Financial sector regulations wedded to meet the needs of the real economy carried out gradually will help financial inclusion. Not only that, governments poverty alleviation schemes such as MGNREGA will have payment component delivered through the banking sector. Other centrally sponsored schemes such as pension and insurance are also going to be delivered through the banking network and that would ensure financial inclusion. The GoI established a Financial Stability Development Council to engage in macro prudential supervision of the economy, including the functioning of large financial conglomerates and address inter-regulatory coordination issues. However, doubts have been raised that the constituent regulators such as RBI will lose some of their regulatory powers and the possibility of dilution of their accountability (Patil, 2010).
7 I am thankful to an unknown reviewer for expanding the philosophy very succinctly. 10/21
Establishing one regulator for the financial sector has been opposed by the existing regulators of financial markets and the Raghuram Rajan committee also has suggested that India is not ready for a single super regulator in India. Collating central banking regulation with the capital markets regulation is a non- starter. Regulators and regulated have to reconcile to such multiple domain suzerainty and learn to consult, cooperate and coexist in a harmonious manner such that no unsolvable inconsistencies creep in. The whole process put enormous burden of compliance on the regulated entities. In India, there exists strong representation of regulatory membership on boards and other decision making bodies; hence, practical conventions should be developed regarding which of the regulators in particular circumstances work as the first among equals and defer to their wisdom and domain. Government of the day, then, should leave the regulators to carry on with their job (Balasubramanian et. al., 2010). The time-tested method of diffusion of authority and a well-functioning system of checks and balances overseen by an independent judiciary is probably the best bet to ensure regulatory maturity, independence, and constraint. The FCIC in the US found enough evidence that firms have strong short-term incentives to avoid and even evade regulation which threaten to limit their profits. Hence, the success of regulation depends on compliance rather than having just the rule book. One of the recommendations of the Raghuram Rajan committee is to rewrite financial sector regulation (Recommendation 20 : Appendix 1). The government has appointed a retired Supreme Court judge B.N Srikrishna as the Chairman of the Financial Sector Legislative Reform Commission. According to him the case for a super-regulator becomes strong as the boundary lines for most financial products getting blurred. The commission is going to appoint sub-committees and identify key areas for research and come out with concept paper. The full commission will debate on the issues. The concept paper is going to be written after due consultation with industry associations and stock exchanges (ET, 2011b). One of the driving forces in the financial sector reform in India is to provide financial resources for construction of infrastructure sector in India. It is widely believed that physical infrastructure supports economic growth. For the reasons of prudent fiscal policy, GoI is not keen to fund infrastructure sector using tax payers money and encourages private sector to raise funds from domestic and international markets to fund infrastructure. The responsibility to provide infrastructure sector services such as roads, ports, railways, airports, electricity and water would always remain with the government, and the private sector can only be responsible for construction, operation and maintenance of these services.
4. Infrastructure Financing Regulations in India Until 1990, the provider of capital and services for infrastructure in India was government. With prospects of weak commercialization, low levels of public investment, rationing, shortage, and poor quality becoming evident, economic 11/21
reforms were initiated in these sectors to encourage private sector participation (PSP). The aim of PSPs was to attract private capital and management skills in infrastructure provisioning and service delivery. Due to monopolistic nature of infrastructure services, there were concerns that transfer of rights to provide infrastructure services from public to private sector may result in either under- provisioning of services to some segments of society by the private sector or private sector may charge higher prices well above the cost of providing such services. At the same time, PSP would not materialize without enabling legal, policy and regulatory frameworks that address risks of administrative expropriation ex-post i.e. after the private sector investment has come through. If the private sector perceives expropriation risk to be too high, they will either demand a very high risk premium or they would not invest at all. The infrastructure projects generally are highly leveraged. In the next few years, capital markets will need to make an even bigger contribution to supporting growth, building infrastructure, and creating jobs worldwide. Nurturing their development as transparent, well-governed and liquid sources of funding must be a policy priority. Therefore, deregulation of debt market has become important. However, that would also mean that the central bank would have lesser control on one of the policy levers as explained in section 3. Given the financial needs of the infrastructure sector, government is bringing forth reforms in the financial sector to meet its capital needs.
a. Key concerns of private financing for infrastructure India faces significant challenges if the $1 trillion infrastructure investment requirement over the 12th five year plan (FYP) 8 period is to be met. Success in attracting private funding for infrastructure will depend on Indias ability to develop a financial sector which can provide a diversified set of instruments for investors and issuers to address key risk factors to increasing infrastructure exposure by project sponsors and financial institutions. Over the last year, while the central bank, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), introduced regulatory changes allowing banks to increase their infrastructure exposures, increasing private investment will require addressing fiscal barriers and procedural inefficiencies that have contributed to project delays and discouraged private investors. In this context, while the public sector will remain the key investor in infrastructure, the public-private partnership (PPP) modality is expected to reduce funding pressure on the government. The mid-term appraisal of the 11th FYP (ending FY2012) indicates that the private sector investment in infrastructure is likely to meet the $150 billion target by 2012, encouraging the government to target 50% of the planned $1 trillion infrastructure investment from the private sector during the 12th FYP. Preliminary estimates suggest that if $500 billion is to come from private sector and assuming a 7030 debt equity ratio, India would need around $150 billion of equity and $350 billion of debt over a period of five years or around $70 billion of
8 Ending FY2017. 12/21
debt a year. In light of the large debt requirements, India does not have a sufficiently active debt market where the predominant providers are banks. Banks are not designed to provide long-term loans required by infrastructure projects, as they have short-term deposits and can develop asset liability management (ALM) mismatches as a consequence of providing long-term financing. In developed markets, long-term debt is provided by corporate bonds and thus, the development of the corporate debt market is a key element in financial sector reforms in India.
While government policies support the PPP modality to meet the infrastructure deficit, PPPs also represent a claim on public resources. PPP transactions are often complex, needing clear specifications of the services to be provided and an understanding of the way risks are allocated between the public and private sector. Their long-term nature implies that the government has to develop and manage a relationship with the private providers to overcome unexpected events that can disrupt even well-designed contracts. Thus, financiers need to manage long-term risk, given potential for delays in commissioning projects and risks due to market factors post commercial operation date (COD) (WB, 2006).
b. Can regulatory changes/policies alleviate these problems Regulatory limits. As Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCB) play an important role in infrastructure financing, regulatory limits on bank investments in corporate bonds have been relaxed to 20% of total non-statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) investments. As per revised norms, credit exposure to single borrower has been raised to 20% of bank capital, provided the additional exposure is to infrastructure, and group exposure has also been raised to 50% provided the incremental exposure is for infrastructure. 9 As a consequence of revised norms, bank exposure to infrastructure has grown by over 3.7 times between March 2005 and 2009.
With regard to SCB exposures to non-banking finance companies (NBFCs), the lending and investment, including off balance sheet, exposures of a SCB to a single NBFC/NBFC Asset Financing Company (AFC) may not exceed 10% and/or 15% respectively, of the SCBs audited capital funds. However, SCBs may assume exposures on a single NBFC/NBFC-AFC up to 15% and/or 20% respectively, of their capital funds, if the incremental exposure is on account of funds on-lent by the NBFC/NBFC-AFC to infrastructure. Further, exposures of a bank to infrastructure finance companies (IFCs) should not exceed 15% of its capital funds as per its last audited balance sheet, with a provision to increase it to 20% if the same is on account of funds on-lent by the IFCs to infrastructure. 10
To ensure that equity appreciation of sponsors in infrastructure special purpose vehicles (SPVs) can finance other infrastructure projects, the government has
9 The definition of infrastructure lending and the list of items included under infrastructure sector are as per the RBIs definition of infrastructure (Annexure 2). 10 Reserve Bank of Indias Master Circular on Exposure Norms issued on July 1, 2010 (RBI/2010-11/68, DBOD No.Dir.BC.14/13.03.00/2010-11). 13/21
substituted the word substantial in place of wholly in section 10(23G) of the Income Tax Act 1961. This change will provide operational flexibility to companies that have more than one infrastructure SPV and will allow sponsors to consolidate their infrastructure SPVs under a single holding company which can have the critical threshold to carry out a successful public offering. Such a mechanism will give sponsors and financial intermediaries an exit option from equity participation which could be recycled for new projects. Given the overwhelming long-term debt requirements of the infrastructure sector the following remedial measures are required to develop the debt markets in India.
c. Remedial/ reform measures required to accelerate PPP in infrastructure Foreign participation in corporate debt. In January 2009, the government raised the foreign investment limit in corporate debt to $15 billion from $6 billion. As of date, foreign exposure in local corporate bonds remains below the $15 billion limit and this limit has been increased to $40 billion now. Higher (FII) participation will add depth to the market. Secondly, with the essential building blocks in terms of enabling infrastructure in place, FIIs participation could deepen longer-tenor (infrastructure) corporate debt market.
Increasing active trading by large domestic participants. Banks should be persuaded to trade in corporate bonds. This will lead to opening up more avenues for banks, especially public sector banks, to actively trade in corporate bonds, which will increase turnover in the secondary market and add to the liquidity and depth in the market.
Regulatory Reforms The RBI has taken steps to help the development of the government securities and corporate bond markets. The gradual extinguishing of illiquid, infrequently traded bonds, and re-issue of liquid bonds has helped in improving liquidity in government securities and issue of long-dated bonds has helped in lengthening the reference yield curve. Compulsory announcement of government market deals has provided transparency. However, products such as interest rate futures have not taken off as long-term investors such as insurance and pension funds are not allowed to operate in this market.
Regulatory reforms which will help in providing liquidity in the debt markets are:
(i) Regulations require pension and insurance funds to hold all government securities until maturity. This regulation restricts trading and hampers liquidity and depth to the secondary debt market. (ii) IRDA requires insurance companies to invest in debt paper with a minimum credit rating of AA, which automatically excludes investment by insurance companies in debt paper of most private infrastructure sponsors. Credit enhancement products can help in 14/21
regulatory concerns as well as attracting long-term funds to infrastructure sector. (iii) While exposure limits of banks to Non-Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) and Infrastructure Finance Companies (IFCs) have been relaxed, a large part of it will be taken up by the existing working capital requirements. Going forward, pension and insurance funds may be permitted to deposit part of their long-term funds with banks for infrastructure financing. (iv) To encourage investment in infrastructure assets and to de-risk financial sector balance sheet, investment in SEBI- registered debt funds may be treated on par with direct exposures like direct bonds and debentures, and not subject to limits. (v) RBI may gradually relax limits placed on FIIs in long-term corporate bonds and securitized products allowing debt funds to invest in units of debt/fixed income mutual funds and in SEBI registered private debt funds.
5. Conclusion An important lesson for India from the subprime crisis is that the national regulatory structure has a much stronger impact in mitigating the effects of the crisis than a banks governance structure. A small part of Indian banking sector which took the hit from the subprime crisis illustrates that the banks governance structure of these banks was no different from their counterparts in the developed world. Some of the analysts in India and abroad have commented on Indias daft handling of the credit crisis pointing out to Indias comparative underdeveloped nature of the financial sector and in particular, conservative stand taken by the central bank. The Former RBI Governor Y.V. Reddy refutes this misplaced belief. According to him, India was active in policy interventions in both, monetary and financial sectors. The RBI adopted an active countercyclical policy unlike other central banks, which failed to intervene (Reddy, 2011). Hence, these policies need to be pursued as appropriate to evolving circumstances. Notwithstanding the success of the past policy interventions, India cannot afford to maintain status quo in the financial sector as the Indian financial system has many inadequacies, spanning from an inappropriate credit culture to financial exclusion and poor service. He is confident that India can weather a similar credit crisis but the financial sector needs to develop further to meet the demands of the real sector. These needs can be met only when there are synchronized reforms in both, real and financial sectors. Keeping government debt market strictly controlled is something which the successive governments and RBI governors have espoused but no policy document has ever mentioned it publically. Reddy (2011) enumerates this latent policy maxim in the following way The proven resilience of the Indian economy and the anticipated bright prospects for growth may whet the appetite for Indian 15/21
government securities in international financial markets. This will increase the pressure on government by global financial markets for greater access to the public debt of India. If India gives in to such pressures, it would undermine an important policy source of stability in Indian debt markets. The lessons of Greece should not be ignored in haste. It is critical, however, to note that infrastructure investment requires significant dedication of time, organizational resources, and management focus. To meet capital needs of the infrastructure sector, government is willing to open debt markets in India. The RBI has taken several steps to make the debt market liquid and increase the FII participation in it. The RBIs steps are gradual and with deferred time frame keeping up with its philosophy that financial sector should serve the growing needs of the real sector. Merger control provisions of the Competition Act, 2002, are now set to be effective from June 1, 2011. The merger control provisions of the Act give the CCI the power to review qualifying transactions before they close, to see whether they might cause an appreciable adverse effect on competition. (Shroff and Khan, 2011) The state of financial sector regulation in India is evolving at a gradual pace and there is no evidence of regulatory capture. We are hopeful that financial sector reforms carried out in tandem with the real sector would be beneficial to millions of people who, at present, fall outside the periphery of Indian financial system. 16/21
References Balasubramanian N. and D.M. Satwalekar (editors) ( 2010) Corporate Governance : An Emerging Scenario, National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., Mumbai (NSE) Beattie Alan (2011) Watchdog says IMF missed crisis risks, Financial Times, London, February 9, 2011 ET (2011a) Bankers Inc Flags Risk of Regulatory Overkill, Economic Times, March 5, 2011 ET (2011b) FSLRC to Decide on RBIs Bank Licensing Powers, Economic Times, March 31, 2011 FCIC (2011) The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, The United States, Washington FSA (2011) - Product Intervention, Discussion Paper DP11/1, Financial Services Authority, London, UK Frank Barney (2011) Greenspan is wrong : we can reform finance, Financial Times, London, April 3, 2011 GOI (2009) - A Hundred Small Steps, Report of the Committee on Financial Sector Reforms, Planning Commission, New Delhi, India (Also known as the Raghuram Rajan Committee Report) Masters Brooke (2011) FSA chief seeks new consumer safeguards, Financial Times, London, January 24, 2011 MoF (2007) - Report of the High Powered Expert Committee on Making Mumbai an International Financial Centre, Ministry of Finance, Government of India, New Delhi (Also known as Percy Mistry Committee Report) Patil R. H. (2010) Financial Sector Reforms : Realities and Myths, Economic and Political Weekly (8 May 2010), 45(19). Reddy Y.V.(2011) Global Crisis Recession and Uneven Recovery, Orient Blackswan Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, India Sharma Deven (2011) Reforms need to nurture capital markets, Financial Times, London, January 26, 2011 Shroff P. and Khan P. (2011) Case of Regulatory Overreach, Economic Times, March 31, 2011 WB (2006) - India: Addressing Supply Side Constraints to Infrastructure Financing. The World Bank, Washington, D.C 17/21
Annexure 1 Proposals made by the Committee on Financial Sector Reforms (The Raghuram Rajan Committee Report) 1. The RBI should formally have a single objective, to stay close to a low inflation number, or within a range, in the medium term, and move steadily to a single instrument, the short-term interest rate (repo and reverse repo) to achieve it. 2. Steadily open up investment in the rupee corporate and government bond markets to foreign investors after a clear monetary policy framework is in place. 3. Allow more entry to private well-governed deposit-taking small finance banks 4. Liberalize the banking correspondent regulation so that a wide range of local agents can serve to extend financial services. Use technology both to reduce costs and to limit fraud and misrepresentation. 5. Offer priority sector loan certificates (PSLC) to all entities that lend to eligible categories in the priority sector. Allow banks that undershoot their priority sector obligations to buy the PSLC and submit it towards fulfillment of their target. 6. Liberalize the interest rate that institutions can charge, ensuring credit reaches the poor. 7. Sell small underperforming public sector banks, possibly to another bank or to a strategic investor, to gain experience with the process and gauge outcomes. 8. Create stronger boards for large public sector banks, with more power to outside shareholders (including possibly a private sector strategic investor), devolving the power to appoint and compensate top executives to the board. 9. After starting the process of strengthening boards, delink the banks from additional government oversight, including by the Central Vigilance Commission and Parliament. 10. Be more liberal in allowing takeovers and mergers, by including domestically incorporated subsidiaries of foreign banks. 11. Free banks to set up branches and ATMs anywhere. 12. Allow holding company structures, with a parent holding company owning regulated subsidiaries. 13. Bring all regulation of trading under the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). 14. Encourage the introduction of markets that are currently missing such as exchange traded interest rate and exchange rate derivatives. 15. Stop creating investor uncertainty by banning markets. If market manipulation is the worry, take direct action against those suspected of manipulation. 16. Create the concept of one consolidated membership of an exchange for qualified investors (instead of the current need to obtain memberships for each product traded). 18/21
17. Encourage the setting up of professional markets and exchanges with a higher order size, that are restricted to sophisticated investors (based on net worth and financial knowledge), where more sophisticated products can be traded. 18. Create a more innovation friendly environment, speeding up the process by which products are approved by focusing primarily on concerns of systemic risk, fraud, contract enforcement, transparency and inappropriate sales practices. 19. Allow greater participation of foreign investors in domestic markets as in Proposal 2 20. Rewrite financial sector regulation, with only clear objectives and regulatory principles outlined. 21. Parliament, through the Finance Ministry, and based on expert opinion as well as the principles enshrined in legislation, should set a specific remit for each regulator every five years. Every year, each regulator should report to a standing committee. 22. Regulatory actions should be subject to appeal to the Financial Sector Appellate Tribunal, which will be set up along the lines of, and subsume, the Securities Appellate Tribunal. 23. Supervision of all deposit taking institutions must come under the RBI. Situations where responsibility is shared, such as with the State Registrar of Cooperative Societies, should gradually cease. 24. The Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA) should review accounts of unlisted companies, while SEBI should review accounts of listed companies. 25. A Financial Sector Oversight Agency (FSOA) should be set up by statute. The FSOAs focus will be both macro-prudential as well as supervisory. 26. The Committee recommends setting up a Working Group on Financial Sector Reforms with the Finance Minister as the Chairman. The main focus of this working group would be to marshal financial reforms. 27. Set up an Office of the Financial Ombudsman (OFO), incorporating all such offices in existing regulators, to serve as an interface between the household and industry. 28. The Committee recommends strengthening the capacity of the Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation (DICGC) to both monitor risk and resolve a failing bank, instilling a more explicit system of prompt corrective action, and making deposit insurance premia more risk-based. 29. Expedite the process of creating a unique national ID number with biometric identification. 30. The Committee recommends movement from a system where information is shared primarily amongst institutional credit providers on the basis of reciprocity to a system of subscription. 31. Ongoing efforts to improve land registration and titlingincluding full cadastral mapping of land, reconciling various registries, forcing compulsory registration of all land transactions, computerizing land records, and providing easy remote access to land recordsshould be expedited. 19/21
32. Restrictions on tenancy should be re-examined so that tenancy can be formalized in contracts, which can then serve as the basis for borrowing. 33. The power of SRFAESI that are currently conferred only on banks, public financial institutions, and housing finance companies should be extended to all institutional lenders. 34. Encourage the entry of more well-capitalized ARCs, including ones with foreign backing. 35. The Committee outlines a number of desirable attributes of a bankruptcy code in the Indian context, many of which are aligned with the recommendations of the Irani Committee. It suggests an expedited move to legislate the needed amendments to company law.
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ANNEXURE 2 - THE RBIS DEFINITION OF INFRASTRUCTURE LENDING Any credit facility in whatever form extended by lenders (i.e. banks, FIs or NBFCs) to an infrastructure facility as specified below falls within the definition of "infrastructure lending". In other words, a credit facility provided to a borrower company engaged in: developing or operating and maintaining, or developing, operating and maintaining any infrastructure facility that is a project in any of the following sectors, or any infrastructure facility of a similar nature : i. a road, including toll road, a bridge or a rail system; ii. a highway project including other activities being an integral part of the highway project; iii. a port, airport, inland waterway or inland port; iv. a water supply project, irrigation project, water treatment system, sanitation and sewerage system or solid waste management system; v. telecommunication services whether basic or cellular, including radio paging, domestic satellite service (i.e., a satellite owned and operated by an Indian company for providing telecommunication service), Telecom Towers network of trunking, broadband network and internet services; vi. an industrial park or special economic zone ; vii. generation or generation and distribution of power including power projects based on all the renewable energy sources such as wind, biomass, small hydro, solar, etc. viii. transmission or distribution of power by laying a network of new transmission or distribution lines. ix. construction relating to projects involving agro-processing and supply of inputs to agriculture; x. construction for preservation and storage of processed agro- products, perishable goods such as fruits, vegetables and flowers including testing facilities for quality; xi. construction of educational institutions and hospitals. xii. laying down and / or maintenance of pipelines for gas, crude oil, petroleum, minerals including city gas distribution networks. xiii. any other infrastructure facility of similar nature. Source : RBI 21/21
ANNEXURE 3 GROWTH RATES OF BRAZIL, INDIA, CHINA AND SOUTH KOREA Brazil India China South Korea 2008 5.1 9.0 13.0 2.2 2009 -0.2 6.7 8.7 0.2 2010 7.5 7.4 10.3 6.1 2011 (est.) 3.0 7.5 9.0 3.5 Note: For India 2009, 2010 and 2011 implies FY 2008-9, 2009-10 and 2010-11 respectively.