Professional Documents
Culture Documents
GoingConcern
i;t
e
i;t
; 4
where
Distress =bankruptcy probability per Shumways (2001) Table 4b hazard
model (1(1/exp(7.8116.307
Current Assets/
Current Liabilities+0.307
Ln (Company Age))).
Big5
Going Concern
=one if a Big5 audit rm issued the GoingConcern opinion and
zero otherwise.
We add the term interacting Big5 and GoingConcern opinions to consider an
alternative explanation to performance. An alternative explanation for companies
with GC opinions having large negative accruals is that auditors, in response to
heightened litigation risk, impose a higher level of conservatism on companies to
which they render GC opinions (DeFond and Subramanyam, 1999). Given that
larger audit rms are perceived to provide increased coverage (i.e., deeper pockets) in
the event of securities litigation (Arthur Andersen et al., 1992), one test of this
explanation is to examine whether income-decreasing accruals vary by audit rm
type. Evidence that abnormal accruals are more negative for GC companies audited
by the Big5 than for those audited by the non-Big5 would support the auditor
conservatism explanation. If accruals are not different for Big5 versus non-Big5
audited GC companies or if accruals are more negative for GC companies audited by
ARTICLE IN PRESS
22
The mean and median values of ROA, current ratio, book-to-market and size of the sample matched
on distress are much closer to the GC sample than the sample matched on lagged ROA.
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 157
the non-Big5, then the relation between accruals and troubled rms is less likely due
to auditor conservatism.
Column one of Table 6 provides the results of estimating Eq. (4) for this sample of
companies with rst-time GC opinions and a control sample matched on year,
auditor, industry, and ROA
t1
: As in column four of Table 5, the coefcient for
GoingConcern is negative and statistically signicant (beyond 0.001).
23
That is, rms
with GC opinions have negative abnormal accruals compared to a matched sample
of rms with similar prior-year ROA, even after controlling for other factors
associated with abnormal accruals and GC opinions. The coefcient for
Big5
GoingConcern is
positive. This is further evidence that auditor conservatism does not explain the
relation between abnormal accruals and GC opinions.
5.4. Adopting Bartov et al.s (2000) empirical design
Based on our analysis of a large sample of rms receiving modied opinions
between 1994 and 1999, we conclude that the relation between accruals and modied
opinions is not due to earnings management but is instead driven by rms receiving
ARTICLE IN PRESS
23
We adopt an alternative form of Kothari et al.s (2001) method. Following their specic technique, the
sample size is halved and the variable of interest is the intercept. In our context, the intercept captures the
change in abnormal accruals for a rm with a rst-time GC opinion compared to a rm in the same
industry, audited by the same type of auditor with the closest lagged ROA (or distress). This method yields
results similar to those reported.
24
We conduct additional robustness checks. First, following Hribar and Collins (2002), we exclude 359
rms with assets below $10 million to assess whether the inverse relation between GC opinions and
abnormal accruals stems from extremely small rms. However, when we rerun the Eq. (4) regression, the
GoingConcern coefcient remains signicantly negative. Second, we estimate total accruals using a balance
sheet approach in which total accruals are the change in non-cash current assets minus change in non-debt
current liabilities minus depreciation expense. We also estimate abnormal accruals using the modied
Jones model (Dechow et al., 1995). In both cases, the GoingConcern coefcient remains signicantly
negative. Finally, we transform AbnormalAccruals into unscaled levels, add assets (i.e., the former deator)
as an independent variable, and adjust standard errors per White (1980) (see Barth and Kallapur, 1995).
The coefcient on GoingConcern is again signicantly negative.
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 158
GC opinions. As DeAngelo et al. (1994) nd in their study of loss rms that cut
dividends, we nd that troubled rms with GC opinions have large negative,
performance-related accruals. Thus, the results of past research, in particular Bartov
et al. (2000), seem to be explained by poor performance rather than, as they imply,
aggressive accounting. However, there are several important differences between our
empirical design and that of Bartov et al.: (1) matching procedures used to obtain
control samples differ; (2) right-hand-side control variables differ; and (3) regression
specications of the association between abnormal accruals and audit opinions differ
(Bartov et al. use a logit specication with the presence of a qualied opinion as the
dependent variable). In this section, we assess the sensitivity of our results to these
differences.
Following Bartov et al., we identify those rms in our sample with a newly
initiated modied opinion (i.e., a modied opinion in year t, but not t1) that we
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Table 6
OLS on signed abnormal accruals (rst-time GC opinion and performance-matched samples)
AbnormalAccruals
i;t
b
0
b
1
MktCap
i;t
b
2
Book=Mkt
i;t
b
3
ROA
i;t1
b
4
ROA
2
i;t1
b
5
Debt=Assets
i;t
b
6
CurrRatio
i;t
b
7
Distress
i;t
b
8
Big5
i;t
b
9
GoingConcern
i;t
b
10
Big5
GoingConcern
i;t
e
i;t
; 4
.
Variable Eq. (3c) with match
on lagged ROA
Eq. (3c) with match
on distress
Constant 0.058 0.070
(2.43)
b
(2.32)
b
MktCap 0.032 0.019
(2.82)
a
(1.33)
Book/Mkt 0.020 0.003
(2.25)
b
(0.24)
ROA 0.007 0.010
(0.32) (0.51)
ROA
2
0.005 0.002
(1.18) (0.62)
Debt/Assets 0.054 0.028
(1.74)
c
(0.71)
CurrRatio 0.009 0.014
(3.50)
a
(4.54)
a
Distress 0.003 0.003
(12.41)
a
(12.29)
a
Big5 0.002 0.031
(0.07) (1.14)
GoingConcern 0.115 0.021
(4.70)
a
(0.73)
Big5GoingConcern 0.040 0.061
(1.35) (1.71)
c
Observations 1,052 1,052
Adjusted R
2
22.6% 15.8%
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 159
match on year, industry, auditor type, and assets (i.e., size-matching on assets, not
performance-matching on ROA
t1
or Distress) to construct our control sample. This
approach yields a sample size of 2,236: 1,118 rms with newly initiated modied
opinions (of which 523 are GCs) and 1,118 control rms with standard, unqualied
opinions. We then add a new regressor, Perform, that Bartov et al. specify to
capture extreme earnings performance and estimate the following logistic
regression:
1 if Modified
i;t
0 Otherwise
)
b
0
b
1
MktCap
i;t
b
2
Book=Mkt
i;t
b
3
Debt=Assets
i;t
b
4
Perform
i;t
b
5
jAbnormalAccrualsj
i;t
e
i;t
; 5
where
Perform =absolute value of the change in income from continuing operations
Ctotal assets (beginning of year).
Table 7 reports the results of estimating Eq. (5) with various sub-samples. Column
one, which includes the entire sample of 2,236 observations, is consistent with
column one of Table 5 and Bartov et al. (2000). Abnormal accruals are greater for
rms that receive a modied audit opinion. However, columns two and three of
Table 7 show that this association stems from companies with GC opinions. Column
two replicates the logistic regression only for companies with GC opinions (and their
ARTICLE IN PRESS
t-Statistics are in parentheses. Observations are all companies with newly-initiated GoingConcern opinions
(e.g., a GC in year t, but not t1) from 1994 to 1999 matched with a clean-opinion company on year,
industry, auditor type and either closest lagged ROA (Kothari et al., 2001) or closest contemporaneous
Distress (Shumway, 2001). All observations must have adequate Compustat information.
Variables are dened as follows:
AbnormalAccruals=cross-sectional Jones (1991) abnormal accruals (Eq. (1)).
MktCap=Log
10
(Market value of equity).
Book/Mkt=book value of equityCmarket value of equity.
ROA=income before extraordinary itemsCtotal assets (beginning of year).
ROA
2
=square of ROA.
Debt/Assets=long-term debtCtotal assets (beginning of year).
CurrRatio=current assetsCcurrent liabilities.
Distress=bankruptcy probability per Shumways (2001) Table 4b hazard model (1
(1/exp(7.8116.307
Current
Assets/Current Liabilities+0.307
Ln(Company Age))).
Big5=one if a Big5 audit rm and zero otherwise.
GoingConcern=one if opinion is unqualied with explanatory language pertaining to going-concern
status, bankruptcy or material business uncertainty and zero otherwise.
Big5GoingConcern=one if a Big5 audit rm issued the GoingConcern opinion and zero otherwise.
a
Signicant beyond the 1% level (two-sided tests).
b
Signicant beyond the 5% level (two-sided tests).
c
Signicant beyond the 10% level (two-sided tests).
Table 6 (Continued)
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 160
matched rms), and column three includes all other modications (and their
matched rms). The coefcient on the absolute value of abnormal accruals is
signicant for the GC opinion regression but not for the other opinion modications
regression. From these results, we conclude that our main results are robust to
considering a different matching procedure, alternative control variables, and an
alternative econometric specication. As an additional check, we replicate the tests
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Table 7
Logit regressions on audit opinion type (rst-time modied opinion and size-matched sample)
1 if Modified
i;t
0 Otherwise
)
b
0
b
1
MktCap
i;t
b
2
Book=Mkt
i;t
b
3
Debt=Assets
i;t
b
4
Perform
i;t
b
5
jAbnormalAccruals
i;t
j e
i;t
; 5
Variable All observations GC rms Non-GC rms
Constant 0.310 0.325 0.157
(6.86)
a
(3.80)
c
(0.72)
MktCap 0.043 0.178 0.032
(0.73) (3,57)
c
(0.22)
Book/Mkt 0.020 0.017 0.042
(0.91) (0.41) (0.77)
Debt/Assets 1.133 1.435 0.774
(26.91)
a
(22.71)
a
(5.76)
b
Perform 0.098 0.140 0.024
(5.17)
b
(6.62)
b
(0.09)
1.172 1.524 0.611
|AbnormalAccruals| (14.61)
a
(16.52)
a
(1.12)
Observations 2,236 1,046 1,190
Log likelihood 50.47
a
53.89
a
7.33
Chi-square statistics are in parentheses. Observations are all companies with newly initiated Modied audit
opinions (i.e., a modied audit opinion in year t, but not t1) from 1994 to 1999 matched with a clean-
opinion company on year, industry, auditor type and total assets (Bartov et al. 2000). All observations
must have adequate Compustat information. In the case of the GC sample regression (column 2), there are
3 pairs of observations for which we are unable to compute Perform; and, as such, this regression has a
sample size of 1,046 as opposed to a sample size of 1,052 per Table 6. In the case of the Non-GC sample
regression (column 3), the 595 newly initiated Modied audit opinions are a subset of the 3,299 (i.e., 105
Material Uncertainty, 2,509 Accounting Change and 685 Other Modied) opinions per Table 4.
Variables are dened as follows:
Modied=one if opinion is qualied or unqualied with explanatory language and zero otherwise.
MktCap=Log
10
(Market value of equity).
Book/Mkt=book value of equityCmarket value of equity.
Debt/Assets=long-term debtCtotal assets (beginning of year).
Perform=absolute value of the change in operating income (Compustat \#18) divided by beginning of the
year assets.
AbnormalAccruals=cross-sectional Jones (1991) abnormal accruals (Eq. (1)).
a
Signicant beyond the 1% level (two-sided tests).
b
Signicant beyond the 5% level (two-sided tests).
c
Signicant beyond the 10% level (two-sided tests).
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 161
reported in Table 7 using a balance sheet measure of total accruals (as in Bartov
et al.) and results are qualitatively similar.
25
6. Conclusion and implications
6.1. Conclusion
We conduct a large-sample study of the relation between audit opinions and
abnormal accruals, after taking into account the variation in the types of
modied-opinions auditors render. Our particular interest is assessing whether
such opinions are a function of earnings management (i.e., whether observable
auditing judgments proxy for the exercise of managerial discretion). In other
words, does it seem that managers of companies receiving modied opinions are
more likely to have managed earnings than managers of companies receiving clean
opinions?
Consistent with our understanding of audit procedures and standards, we nd no
evidence that auditors use their opinions to alert nancial statement users of either
excessive earnings management or the consequences of high positive accruals. In
particular, based on our content analysis of modied audit opinions, we demonstrate
that few rms receive opinion qualications for scope limitations or departures from
GAAP and that the opinions of those who do bear no literal or discernible relation
to income-increasing earnings management.
We nd that the modied opinion/abnormal accruals relation stems from
companies with going-concern opinions, because such companies have negative
abnormal accruals. Our ndings are inconsistent with earnings-management and
auditor-conservatism explanations for the audit opinion/abnormal accruals relation.
Importantly, we demonstrate that the negative accruals of companies with GC
opinions are no different from a matched sample of companies experiencing similar
severe nancial distress.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
25
In addition to these differences, our EDGAR-based sample period is from 1994 to 1999, whereas
Bartov et al. study the period from 1980 to 1997. To assess whether our main results are robust to
considering these different time periods, we randomly sample 1,000 rm-year observations from a pre-SAS
58 period (19801987) where Compustat ags the rm as having a qualied audit opinion (i.e., code 2).
Based on Bartov et al.s description of their sample selection procedure, the majority of their observations
are likely from this time period. As Table 2 shows, qualied audit opinions were far more common
during the pre-SAS 58 regime; however, during this time period, a qualied opinion was appropriate for
scope limitations, GAAP departures, lack of consistency, and material uncertainties (e.g., asset realization,
going concern, and contingent liabilities). We obtain 743 of these 1,000 rm-year observations from either
the NAARS database or the microche collection at the University of Rochester library. We eliminate 38
(5.1%) observations because they are unqualied opinions, resulting in a sample size of 705. Of these 705,
104 are newly initiated qualications of which 54 are GC qualications and 50 are non-GC qualications.
We then rerun the Eq. (5) regressions for these observations (and their matched counterparts) and obtain
results consistent with those in Table 7.
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 162
6.2. Implications for earnings-management research relating to audit opinions
Our ndings have implications for research that attributes the audit opinions/
accounting accruals relation to more-pervasive earnings management. Because
auditing is thought to reduce agency costs, several papers assert that certain
types of modied audit opinions are (or should be) a function of accounting
accruals. Francis and Krishnan (1999) provide evidence suggesting that
larger, higher-quality auditors assess high-accrual rms as inherently more risky
because managers of such rms are more likely to have exercised discretionand,
as a result, adjust their asset realization and GC opinion materiality
thresholds downward. We show that the audit opinions/accounting accruals
association is reliably negative, yet that it dissipates upon matching on distress
and controlling for other factors associated with accruals. This suggests that the
conditions that lead to a GC opinion are contemporaneously associated with
the conditions that lead to income-decreasing accruals (i.e., both the opinion and the
accruals are consequences of the rm being nancially distressed) and that no
causality should be inferred.
Bartov et al. (2000) compare the power of various accrual models in detecting
earnings management under the assumption that rms receive certain modied
opinions because they engage in extreme earnings management. Our ndings
suggest that the relation between opinion type and abnormal accruals is due
not to earnings management, but instead to model misspecication. This implies
that the models that Bartov et al. (2000) recommend as having the most
powercross-sectional Jones and cross-sectional Modied Jonesare the
models that suffer most from misspecication because they are most prone to
picking up distress-related accruals and hence are more confounded by
nancial distress than other accruals models. As such, differences in the power
of models they report are likely to be measures of relative misspecication,
not power.
With respect to Bradshaw et al. (2001), we help to distinguish between certain
explanations they offer for the surprisingly (p. 68) negative relation
between working capital accruals and unclean audit opinions. They are unable
to distinguish their explanations because they do not have details on the
underlying cause of the modied (unclean) opinion. One explanation they offer is
that auditors ... lack the necessary sophistication to understand the future
implications of high levels of accruals (p. 46) or that ... auditors interpret
the higher earnings associated with higher accruals as a positive sign, and are
less likely to issue modied opinions in such cases (p. 68). Our ndings are
consistent with another of their explanations: that the role of auditors is
not to modify their opinions based on an assessment about the quality of earnings
as measured by accruals (i.e., they may understand the implications of inated
accruals, ... but are not to communicate this information to investors through their
audit opinions (p. 46)). As our description of the audit process and our content
analysis imply, auditors are unlikely to issue modied opinions for earnings-
management reasons.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 163
6.3. Implications for earnings-management research in general
Our ndings also have broader implications for earnings-management research.
For one, as noted, GC companies can substantially impact abnormal accrual
calculations. For another, studies often use absolute abnormal accruals as a measure
of earnings management. Our results suggest that using absolute value may mask the
source of abnormal accruals. If absolute abnormal accruals are large because
accruals are especially positive or negative, inferences likely differ from the case in
which absolute abnormal accruals are large but accruals are more symmetric.
Finally, our ndings lend some support to the importance of performance matching
when the companies of interest are experiencing extreme performance. In our case of
extreme poor performance, matching on contemporaneous distress more effectively
captures accrual-sensitive differences in performance than matching on lagged ROA.
This is likely because matching on distress captures the negative accruals associated
with poor operating performance as well as the negative accruals arising from
liquidity-motivated transactions (e.g., delaying payables and factoring receivables).
References
Arthur Andersen & Co., Coopers & Lybrand, Deloitte & Touche, Ernst & Young, KPMG Peat Marwick,
Price Waterhouse, 1992. The liability crisis in the United States: impact on the accounting profession.
A statement of position.
Barth, M., Kallapur, S., 1995. The effects of cross-sectional scale differences on regression results in
empirical accounting research. Contemporary Accounting Research 13, 527567.
Bartov, E., Gul, F., Tsui, J., 2000. Discretionary-accruals models and audit qualications. Journal of
Accounting and Economics 30, 421452.
Belsley, D., Kuh, E., Welsch, R., 1980. Regression Diagnostics. Wiley, New York, NY.
Berton, L., 1995. Big accounting rms weed out risky clients. The Wall Street Journal (June 26), B1, B6.
Bradshaw, M., Richardson, S., Sloan, R., 2001. Do analysts and auditors use information in accruals?
Journal of Accounting Research 39, 4574.
Choi, S., Jeter, D., 1992. The effects of qualied audit opinions on earnings response coefcients. Journal
of Accounting and Economics 15, 229247.
DeAngelo, H., DeAngelo, L., Skinner, D., 1994. Accounting choice in troubled companies. Journal of
Accounting and Economics 17, 113143.
Dechow, P., Sloan, R., Sweeney, A., 1995. Detecting earnings management. The Accounting Review 70,
193225.
DeFond, M., Jiambalvo, J., 1994. Debt covenant violations and manipulation of accruals. Journal of
Accounting and Economics 17, 145176.
DeFond, M., Subramanyam, K.R., 1999. Modied audit opinions, litigation risk and discretionary
accruals. Unpublished working paper, University of Southern California.
Dopuch, N., Holthausen, R., Leftwich, R., 1986. Abnormal stock returns associated with media
disclosures of subject to qualied audit opinions. Journal of Accounting and Economics 8, 93117.
Francis, J., Krishnan, J., 1999. Accounting accruals and auditor reporting conservatism. Contemporary
Accounting Research 16, 135165.
Healy, P., 1985. The effect of bonus schemes on accounting decisions. Journal of Accounting and
Economics 7, 85107.
Herz, R., Dittmar, N., Lis, S., Decker, W., Murray, R., 1997. The Coopers & Lybrand SEC Manual 7th
Edition. Wiley, New York, NY.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 164
Hopwood, W., McKeown, J., Mutchler, J., 1989. A test of the incremental explanatory power of opinions
qualied for consistency and uncertainty. The Accounting Review 64, 2848.
Hopwood, W., McKeown, J., Mutchler, J., 1994. A reexamination of auditor versus model accuracy
within the context of the going-concern opinion decision. Contemporary Accounting Research 10,
409431.
Hribar, P., Collins, D., 2002. Errors in estimating accruals: implications for empirical research. Journal of
Accounting Research 40, 105134.
Jones, J., 1991. Earnings management during import relief investigations. Journal of Accounting Research
29, 193228.
Kennedy, D., Shaw, W., 1991. Evaluating nancial distress resolution using prior audit opinions.
Contemporary Accounting Research 8, 97114.
Kothari, S.P., Leone, A., Wasley, C., 2003. Performance matched discretionary accrual measures. Journal
of Accounting and Economics, forthcoming.
Louwers, T., 1998. The relation between going-concern opinions and the auditors loss function. Journal
of Accounting Research 36, 143156.
McKeown, J., Mutchler, J., Hopwood, W., 1991. Towards an explanation of auditor failure to modify
the audit opinions of bankrupt companies. Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory 10 (Supplement),
113.
Mutchler, J., Hopwood, W., McKeown, J., 1997. The inuence of contrary information and
mitigating factors on audit opinion decisions on bankrupt companies. Journal of Accounting
Research 35, 295310.
Nelson, M., Elliott, J., Tarpley, R., 2002. Evidence from auditors about managers and auditors earnings
management decisions. The Accounting Review 77, 175202.
OMalley, S., Chookaszian, D., Kolton, P., Longstreth, B., Lowenstein, L., Palmrose, Z., Peters, A., Saul,
R., 2000. The public oversight board panel on audit effectiveness: report and recommendations.
Shumway, T., 2001. Forecasting bankruptcy more accurately: a simple hazard model. Journal of Business
74, 101124.
White, H., 1980. A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for
heteroskedasticity. Econometrica 48, 817838.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
M. Butler et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 37 (2004) 139165 165