You are on page 1of 3

4/19/2014 Macro +3.

1b
http://members.shaw.ca/h-chartrand/Macro%20+%203.1b.htm 1/3
Having determined output and employment equilibrium in the Classical Model we turn to price
determination which brings demand into play. In summary, the quantity of money determines aggregate
demand that in turn determines the price level.

3.1.8 The Quantity Theory of Money
The starting point is the equation of exchange. At any given time there are a certain number (or
volume) of transactions (i.e. T = the number of buy/sells) in the economy. T is financed with money that
can, however in the same time period, be used over and over again (I buy and give you money in the form
of dollar bills; you then use the same bills to buy something from some one else who in turn, and so on and
so on). The rate at which the same bills turnover, that is the number of transactions financed with the
same bills, is called the velocity of money (V). Of course each buy/sell has, in a given time period, an
associated price (P) or, in the case of the overall economy, a price index for the huge range of goods and
services bought and sold. Accordingly the actual quantity of money required to conduct all transactions in
the economy is only a percentage of the monetary value of total output and purchases. This is summed up
in the equation of exchange (EE) as:
Eq. 4.1 MV P
T
T or,
- the quantity of money times its velocity is identical to the price (level) times the volume of
transactions.
This presentation of EE (Eq. 4.1) is an identity in that V is derived as a residual, i.e.,
Eq. 4.2 V
T

Furthermore, in this version transactions include not only newly produced goods and services but
also second-hand ones. Expressed with respect to only new goods and services that correspond to factor
income then EE is:
Eq 4.3 MV PY where
Y is the output of current good and services and P is their price index.
Again EE is an identity if V is calculated as a residual, i.e.,
Eq. 4.4 V

It will be this version of EE with which we will work in the Classical Model. On its own, however,
EE does not explain its component parts. A number of economists including Irving Fisherattempted to
explain the value of its component variables, with the exception of the P, based on exogenous factors.
First, as we have seen, Y (real output) is determined in the Classical Model by supply factors (e.g. K,
MPN, N, W/P, technology and population). Furthermore, money is considered simply a medium of
exchange and its quantity is, implicitly to this point, exogenously determined by monetary authorities, i.e. the
central bank.
V is considered also to be determined exogenously by payment habits (weekly, bi-weekly, monthly)
and payment technology, e.g. cheques, point of sales, credit and debit cards. Thus the shorter the payment
period, the less cash will tend to be held at anyone time increasing the velocity of money. Similarly
chequing and credit purchasing tend to increase velocity, i.e. a fewer number of bills finances transactions.
In short, velocity is determined by institutional factors that can be considered fixed in the short run.. If V is
determined exogenously rather than as a residual then EE ceases to be an identity. With Y fixed in the
short run by supply-factors and V being fixed in the short run by institutional factors, EE becomes:
4/19/2014 Macro +3.1b
http://members.shaw.ca/h-chartrand/Macro%20+%203.1b.htm 2/3
Eq. 4.5 or
Eq. 4.6

3.1.9 The Cambridge Approach
An alternative interpretation was offered by the Cambridge School known as the Cambridge
approach or the Cambridge cash-balance approach. This approach stressed that people held money (cash
balance) for its convenience, compared to other stores of value, in conducting transactions. However
holding cash means that no interest will be earned from investing in productive activities. Accordingly, how
much cash would people hold? In essence the demand for money was a function of their income, i.e.,
Eq. 4.7 M
d
= kPY where
- Md = the demand for money;
- k = a proportion of nominal income;
- P = the price level; and,
- Y = real income.
Given, according to the Cambridge approach, that cash was desired due to its usefulness in
transactions and that the volume of transactions was a function of income then the demand for money
varies according to level of income.
In equilibrium, the supply of money (exogenously determined by monetary authorities) would equal
the demand for money, or,
Eq. 4.8 Ms = Md = kP where,
- k is assumed fixed in the short run; and,
- Y is determined, as before, by supply factors.
The Fisher version (Eq 4.5) and the Cambridge approach (Eq. 4.7) become roughly the same if V
= 1/k. Thus if people hold 1/4
th
of their nominal income as cash then the number of times the average
dollar is used equals four.
The big change with the Cambridge approach is the formal introduction of the demand for money.
It also allows an assessment of the impact of the quantity of money on the price level (Fig. 4.1). If the
quantity of money increases but output is fixed then people will use the extra cash to consume or invest.
Increased demand for goods raises their prices: too much money chasing too few goods. If Y is fixed (Fig.
4.2) as assumed in the Classical model and k is constant then a new equilibrium will be established at
which the increase in money leads to a proportionate increase in price same output, higher prices, i.e.
inflation.

3.1.10 Classical Aggregate Demand Curve
The quantity theory is in fact an implicit theory of aggregate demand in the Classical Model (Fig.
4.2). Given that supply is fixed then at any given quantity of money (M1) there will be a corresponding
demand that varies inversely to the price level, i.e. a downward sloping demand curve and there will be an
equilibrium price level that clears the market, i.e. demand equals supply. If the quantity of money is
increased (M2) the demand curve will shift to the right, i.e. at the same price level demand will increase
but, again, supply is fixed. A new equilibrium will be established at the same level of output but at a higher
price level.
4/19/2014 Macro +3.1b
http://members.shaw.ca/h-chartrand/Macro%20+%203.1b.htm 3/3

3.1.11 The Classical Theory of the Interest Rate
In the Classical theory, using the Cambridge approach, the interest rate (the price of money)
measures the cost of holding cash. At a given level of k, individuals therefore have what is called loanable
funds (hence Keynes called the Classical Model of interest the Loanable Funds Theory. Beyond their
need for money for transactional purposes, cash can serve as a store of value but yields no return so
individuals will tend to hold their excess money in interest yielding securities. The Classical Model
assumed that the rational individual would not hold excess money in the form of cash.
Firms borrow funds from individuals in order to build new plant and equipment that eventually will
increase Y. However, any investment is associated with a corresponding rate of return. A firm can only
earn a profit on a given investment if its rate of return is greater than the opportunity cost of money, i.e. the
interest rate. In the Keynsian Model the alternative investment opportunities formed a Marginal
Efficiency of Investment Schedule with alternative projects ranked according to their estimated rates of
return. Projects with rates above the interest rate would be undertaken while those with rates below the
current interest rate would not (Fig. 4.3).
Demand for loanable funds varies inversely with the interest rate. Similarly there is a supply of
loanable funds that varies directly with the interest rate, i.e. an upward sloping supply curve. Equilibrium is
reached when the two curves cross. An exogenous change in demand conditions is illustrated in Fig. 4.4.
If demand shifts to the left initially there is a greater supply of loanable funds than demand. This causes
the interest rate to fall until a new equilibrium is established.
The interest rate played a critical role in the Classical Model in ensuring full employment. Output
is fixed and based on supply factors especially the self-adjusting labour market. The decrease in the
interest rate in Fig. 4.4 causes consumption to go up exactly balancing the fall in investment and
maintaining aggregate private demand (C + I).

You might also like