Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Serial Particulars Pages
no. no.
1. Acknowledgement 5
2. Executive Summary 8
3. Introduction of Report 8
4. Literature Review 9
9. Summary 17
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First of all we would like to thanks to the mighty
ALLAH that he courage us to complete this
project. Secondly we would like to thanks to our
dear teacher Mr. Manoj Kumar that he has
assigned us to write this report. We have putted
our best to complete this report. It is honor for us to
write a final report on the topic Expert
Systems.
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Group Members;
Project Report on
Expert Systems
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Executive Summary:
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A computer program that uses artificial intelligence to solve problems within a
specialized domain that ordinarily requires human expertise. The first expert system was
developed in 1965 by Edward Feigenbaum and Joshua Ladenburg of Stanford University
in California, U.S. Dendral, as their expert system was later known, was designed to
analyze chemical compounds. Expert systems now have commercial applications in
fields as diverse as medical diagnosis, petroleum engineering, and financial investing.
In order to accomplish feats of apparent intelligence, an expert system relies on two
components: a knowledge base and an inference engine. A knowledge base is an
organized collection of facts about the system's domain. An inference engine interprets
and evaluates the facts in the knowledge base in order to provide an answer. Typical tasks
for expert systems involve classification, diagnosis, monitoring, design, scheduling, and
planning for specialized endeavors.
Facts for a knowledge base must be acquired from human experts through interviews and
observations. This knowledge is then usually represented in the form of “if-then” rules
(production rules): “If some condition is true, then the following inference can be made
(or some action taken).” The knowledge base of a major expert system includes
thousands of rules. A probability factor is often attached to the conclusion of each
production rule, because the conclusion is not a certainty. For example, a system for the
diagnosis of eye diseases might indicate, based on information supplied to it, a 90 percent
probability that a person has glaucoma, and it might also list conclusions with lower
probabilities. An expert system may display the sequence of rules through which it
arrived at its conclusion; tracing this flow helps the user to appraise the credibility of its
recommendation and is useful as a learning tool for students.
Human experts frequently employ heuristic rules, or “rules of thumb,” in addition to
simple production rules. For example, a credit manager might know that an applicant
with a poor credit history, but a clean record since acquiring a new job, might actually be
a good credit risk. Expert systems have incorporated such heuristic rules and
increasingly have the ability to learn from experience. Nevertheless, expert systems
remain supplements, rather than replacements, for human experts.
Introduction of Report:
In this report we will give information of Expert Systems, in this we provide the
working of an Expert System by covering different examples and also talk about its
features and advantages. We also tell you about different expert systems and the way of
solving Problems by Expert systems. Report also includes the rules on which Expert
Systems work and the steps which are necessary for Making or for taking work from
Expert System.
Literature Review:
An expert system is a computer program designed to simulate the problem-solving behavior of a
human who is an expert in a narrow domain or discipline. An expert system is normally
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composed of a knowledge base (information, heuristics, etc.), inference engine (analyzes the
knowledge base), and the end user interface (accepting inputs, generating outputs).
Expert systems are capable of delivering quantitative information, much of which has been
developed through basic and applied research (e.g. economic thresholds, crop development
models, pest population models) as well as heuristics to interpret qualitatively derived values, or
for use in lieu of quantitative information. Another feature is that these systems can address
imprecise and incomplete data through the assignment of confidence values to inputs and
conclusions.
One of the most powerful attributes of expert systems is the ability to explain reasoning. Since
the system remembers its logical chain of reasoning, a user may ask for an explanation of a
recommendation and the system will display the factors it considered in providing a particular
recommendation. This attribute enhances user confidence in the recommendation and acceptance
of the expert system.
Basri (1999) noticed that an expert system attempts to emulate how a human expert solves a
problem, mostly by the manipulation of symbols instead of numbers. Whereas conventional
algorithmic programming replaced most of the sophisticated, analytical work of engineers, expert
systems are especially suitable for the no-less important tasks of the ill-structured and less
deterministic parts of planning and design.
Introduction:
An expert system is a computer program conceived to simulate some forms of human
reasoning (by the intermediary of an inference engine) and capable to manage an important
quantity of specialized knowledge.
A system that uses human knowledge captured in a computer to solve problems that ordinarily
require human expertise (Turban & Aronson, 2001).
A computer program designed to model the problem solving ability of a human expert (Durkin,
1994).
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An intelligent computer program that uses knowledge and inference procedures to solve problems
that was difficult enough to acquire significant human expertise for their solutions (Feigenbaum).
An expert system is a computer application that solves complicated problems that would
otherwise require extensive human expertise. To do so, it simulates the human reasoning process
by applying specific knowledge and interfaces. This report explained on the expert system for
decision making of giving the best solution to solve the PDA’s (Personal Digital Assistant)
problems.
These capacities for reasoning and management allow the system to target a small number of
relevant hypotheses in the mass of potential diagnoses and being able to find a satisfactory
diagnostic conclusion. Two characteristics of the expert system are essential to accomplish this
task:
The idea to develop this system has arises base on the capabilities and the potential of the expert
system as described above. It can be use mainly for giving appropriate countermeasures
according to the accurate and consistent diagnosis of PDA’s (Personal Digital Assistant)
troubleshoots. It is called PDAMum.
PDAMum is essential since the emergence of handheld devices, and now it is rapidly owned by
various levels of peoples, there is somehow a need of a system that able to help them to manage
their devices whenever necessary. PDAMum is making its decision during the interview, looking
for the optimal way to reach their conclusions: to make a diagnosis.
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Figure 1: Major parts of an expert system
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Figure 3: Expert System and User Interaction
In the expert system there are widely use in many application areas. There are few type of
problem solving paradigm such as control, design, diagnosis, instruction, interpretation,
monitoring, planning, prediction, prescription, selection and simulation.
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its interpretation and analysis, and the design of methods for collecting additional knowledge. An
expert system gains its power from the knowledge it contains (Durkin, 1994).
Phase 4: Testing
As the PDAMum will need to be periodically tested and evaluated to assure that its performance
is converging toward established goals. It is important that these decisions be made early, at a
time when the original project goals are established.
These are the evolution of testing or evaluation of testing for PDAMum:
Stage 1: Preliminary Testing
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• Select typical past test cases
• Evaluate PDAMum’s ability in solving typical cases and
• Identify PDAMum deficiencies and obtain comments from user on the interface
Phase 5: Documentation
This documentation serves as a personal diary of the project. It contains all the material collected
during the project that needs to be reference for developing the system. If properly designed, it
will also serve the later tasks of maintaining PDAMum and writing the PDAMum’s final report.
Phase 6: Maintenance
After finished all of the designing, implementing, testing and documentation, PDAMum may
need to be refined or updated to meet current needs. It is extremely important to keep good
records on any changes made to PDAMum. If this isn’t done, it is very easy to lose track of the
PDAMum’s knowledge. And each time PDAMum is modified; the following critical pieces of
information should be documented:
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There are many well known advantages to using computerized tools and expert systems:
AGREX
Center for Informatics Research and Advancement, Kerala has prepared an Expert System called
AGREX to help the Agricultural field personnel give timely and correct advice to the farmers.
These Expert Systems find extensive use in the areas of fertilizer application, crop protection,
irrigation scheduling, and diagnosis of diseases in paddy and post harvest technology of fruits and
vegetables.
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HELP
The HELP (Health Evaluation through Logical Processes) System is a complete
knowledge based hospital information system. It supports not only the routine application
of an HIS including ADT, order entry/charge capture, pharmacy, radiology, nursing
documentation, ICU monitoring, but also supports a robust decision support function.
The HELP system is an example of this type of knowledge-based hospital information
system.
PEIRS
(Pathology Expert Interpretative Reporting System) appends interpretative comments to
chemical pathology reports (Edwards et al., 1993).
The knowledge acquisition strategy is the Ripple Down Rules method, which has allowed
a pathologist to build over 2300 rules without knowledge engineering or programming
support.. PEIRS commented on about 100 reports/day. Domains covered include thyroid
function tests, arterial blood gases, glucose tolerance tests, hCG, catecholamines and a
range of other hormones.
Puff
The Puff system diagnoses the results of pulmonary function tests. Puff went into production at
Pacific Presbyterian Medical Center in San Francisco in 1977. Several hundred copies have been
sold and are in use around the world. The PUFF system for automatic interpretation of pulmonary
function tests has been sold in its commercial form to hundreds of sites world-wide (Snow et al.,
1988). PUFF went into production at Pacific Presbyterian Medical Center in San Francisco in
1977, making it one of the very earliest medical expert systems in use. Many thousands of cases
later, it is still in routine use.
SETH
The aim of SETH is to give specific advice concerning the treatment and monitoring of drug
poisoning. Currently, the data base contains the 1153 most toxic or most frequently ingested
French drugs from 78 different toxicological classes.
The SETH expert system simulates expert reasoning, taking into account for each toxicological
class, delay, clinical symptoms and ingested dose. It generates accurate monitoring and treatment
advice, addressing also drug interactions and drug exceptions.
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Conclusion and
Recommendations:
PDAMum like other expert system will go a tremendous phases from simple expert system to the
complex multipurpose systems. Hybrid expert system and together with fuzzy expert system can
be seen as a new techniques that be used by researchers lately. Implementation of expert system
in such fields is greatly influenced by techniques and methods from adaptive hypertext and
hypermedia. Features of personalization, user modeling and ability of adaptive towards
environment will become great challenges to settle. It can be used as a guideline to promote an
expert system in various functions.
In future, PDAMum can be used together with artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, genetic
algorithms and other methods of Artificial Intelligence. These methods allow taking into account
their advantages in the designed system and, therefore, new designed systems are more powerful
instruments to facilitate various tasks that require instant, accurate and reliable results.
Summary:
Expert systems have been used to solve a wide range of problems in domains such as
medicine, mathematics, engineering, geology, computer science, business, law, defense
and education. Within each domain, they have been used to solve problems of
different types. Types of problem involve diagnosis (e.g., of a system fault, disease or
student error); design (of a computer systems, hotel etc); and interpretation (of, for
example, geological data). The appropriate problem solving technique tends to
depend more on the problem type than on the domain.
PDAMum as an expert system might make mistakes, but it is less than a human did. Furthermore
it always performs consistently, never become tired or bored. Other clear different is PDAMum
can be use anywhere anytime compared to human.
User may clarify their PDA synchronization problem with immediate response and retrieve such
reliable diagnosis through PDAMum. This feature will assist them to recognize the causes that
disallow their PDA synchronization. They may ask PDAMum why they being ask such question
during the interaction process.
In future, PDAMum can be improve by convert it as web base application. Instead of working
stand alone, PDAMum can be reach through website which wider the access location. User from
various PDA owners may solely use single expert system to overcome their PDA’s problem.
PDAMum also should have better explanation facility. This can be achieve if it has more rules to
deals with other PDA problem such as sound and power management. With additional
knowledge, PDAMum can solve and refine the problem deeper, so that user may consider other
possibility that blocked their PDA from perform well.
Other rational expansions are image viewer and uncertainty factor. PDAMum can be utilize
better if it can view meaningful image that will support it’s diagnose and decision. Uncertainty
also crucial since user sometime cannot express their feels. With Certainty Factor (CF)
capability, PDAMum will increase user confidence and convince them to make right choice.
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