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National Survey of Republican Primary Voters
Regarding Immigration Reform
June 2-5, 2014
Survey conducted June 2-5, 2014.
1,000 past Republican primary voters interviewed by live
interviewers.
Sample obtained from Data Trust.
33 percent of interviews were completed on cell phones.
Margin of error is plus-or-minus 3.1 percent.
Quotas set for state, gender, and age.
Frequent talk radio listeners are 17 percent of the sample;
strong Tea Party supporters are 26 percent of the sample.
Methodology
Republican primary voters are more supportive of a bill providing
earned legal status (56 percent) than one providing an earned
pathway to citizenship (44 percent).
Republican primary voters support every element tested, with more
support for restrictive elements than elements providing for legal
status.
These voters support a potential step-by-step House plan by a four-
to-one margin.
A majority of primary voters would still support a candidate with
whom they disagree on immigration, but the amnesty charge
remains potent.
Key Findings
Primary voters support earned legal status, but split on citizenship.
Would you support or oppose Congress passing an immigration
reform bill that provides an earned pathway to legal status like
a worker permit, but does not provide full citizenship for illegal
immigrants currently living in the United States?
All
36%
56%
Support Oppose
All
48%
44%
Support Oppose
Would you support or oppose Congress passing an immigration
reform bill that provides an earned pathway to citizenship for
illegal immigrants currently living in the United States?
Nearly as many voters say they dont know if they support or oppose
the Senate bill as oppose it
Based on what you remember about it, would you say you generally support or oppose the immigration reform bill
that was passed by the United States Senate last summer?
All Frequent Talk Radio Strong Tea Party
33%
32%
41%
59%
58%
44%
8%
10%
15%
Support Oppose Don't Know
but three-quarters support the bill when described.
As you may know, last summer the United States Senate passed legislation to reform the immigration system. The plan has four main
elements: a) One, strengthen border security by putting more resources on the border b) Two, require employers to verify that all
employees are legal c) Three, illegal immigrants already in the United States with no criminal record would be required to register for legal
status, pay nes, learn English, pay taxes, and wait at the back of the line until everyone who is currently in line to legally enter gets in.
d) And four, tie the amount of legal immigration to the state of the economy
Overall, would you say you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?
All Frequent Talk Radio Strong Tea Party
25% 25%
21%
70%
72%
75%
Support Oppose
The charge of amnesty remains potent, meaning supporters need to
emphasize the enforcement elements of the bill.
Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a
Republican Member of Congress in a primary election if
they voted in favor of that immigration reform plan?
All
21%
66%
Support Oppose
Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a Republican
Member of Congress in a primary if they voted in favor of that
immigration reform plan, which grants amnesty to millions of
illegal immigrants, provides ObamaCare benets, and fails to
properly secure our borders?
All
69%
24%
Support Oppose
The restrictive elements of a potential plan (prevent,
require, block) garner high levels of support
The U.S. House of Representatives may take up the issue of immigration reform this summer. Would you please tell me if you strongly
support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following possible elements of an immigration reform plan:
Allow State/Local to Detain
Require E-Verify
Background, Taxes, Fine, Employment
Wait at Back of Line
Prevent Benet Collection
Learn English 22%
9%
23%
20%
19%
24%
59%
72%
62%
67%
68%
64%
Strongly Support Somewhat Support
Total
Support
Total
Oppose
88% 10%
87% 10%
87% 10%
85% 12%
81% 17%
81% 17%
with the least supported restrictive elements
still gaining two-thirds support.
The U.S. House of Representatives may take up the issue of immigration reform this summer. Would you please tell me if you strongly
support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following possible elements of an immigration reform plan:
Prevent Legal Status Change/Border
Block Applications Until Border Secured
Require Fed Gov't to Assume Custody 35%
26%
29%
38%
48%
49%
Strongly Support Somewhat Support
Total
Support
Total
Oppose
78% 18%
74% 23%
73% 19%
A temporary worker plan draws the most support among
the elements focused on legal status
The U.S. House of Representatives may take up the issue of immigration reform this summer. Would you please tell me if you strongly
support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following possible elements of an immigration reform plan:
Temporary Worker Plan/Return Home
Eligible After Honorable Discharge
High Skill Visas for STEM Master Degrees
Eligible Upon Enlisting in Military 29%
40%
34%
32%
44%
34%
43%
46%
Strongly Support Somewhat Support
Total
Support
Total
Oppose
78% 20%
77% 19%
74% 23%
73% 24%
with each of these elements gaining majority support.
The U.S. House of Representatives may take up the issue of immigration reform this summer. Would you please tell me if you strongly
support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following possible elements of an immigration reform plan:
Substantial New Guest Worker Program
Green Cards for Advanced Degrees
Eligible Immediately After College 33%
35%
44%
27%
26%
26%
Strongly Support Somewhat Support
Total
Support
Total
Oppose
70% 29%
61% 33%
60% 36%
A potential step-by-step plan enjoys enormous support
among Republican primary voters.
The House of Representatives could vote this summer on step-by-step immigration reform bills that increased border security,
strengthened the E-Verify program so employers can quickly identify illegal job applicants, implemented a visa tracking system to know
who is in the country, and allowed illegal immigrants to earn temporary legal status if they passed a criminal background check, learned
English, paid a ne, and paid back taxes. In general, would you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?
All
19%
78%
Support Oppose
The potential plan enjoys enormous support among key
subgroups
The House of Representatives could vote this summer on step-by-step immigration reform bills that increased border security,
strengthened the E-Verify program so employers can quickly identify illegal job applicants, implemented a visa tracking system to know
who is in the country, and allowed illegal immigrants to earn temporary legal status if they passed a criminal background check, learned
English, paid a ne, and paid back taxes. In general, would you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?
All Frequent Talk Radio Strong Tea Party
28%
23%
19%
70%
72%
78%
Support Oppose
and a split among opponents of the
described Senate bill.
The House of Representatives could vote this summer on step-by-step immigration reform bills that increased border security,
strengthened the E-Verify program so employers can quickly identify illegal job applicants, implemented a visa tracking system to know
who is in the country, and allowed illegal immigrants to earn temporary legal status if they passed a criminal background check, learned
English, paid a ne, and paid back taxes. In general, would you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?
Described Senate Bill Supporters Described Senate Bill Opponents
45%
12%
53%
86%
Support Oppose
Disagreement on immigration is not a deal-breaker among
Republican primary voters.
If you agreed with a candidate on most other issues, but disagreed with him or her on immigration reform,
would you still vote for that candidate, or not?
All House Plan Supporters House Plan Opponents
15% 15%
16%
44%
25%
29%
41%
60%
55%
Would Still Vote Would Not Vote Don't Know