Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
lnSIZE
it
2
URISK
it
3
LEV
it
4
LIQ
it
5
TYPE
it
6
SCOPE
it
7
YR1
8
YR2
9
YR3
10
YR4
11
YR5 "
it
where the dependent variable PERF
it
, is measured by the
dierence between the ratio of net investment income to
net premiums earned and the ratio of annual operating
expenses (including commission) to net premiums written
for company
i
in time
t
. This denition of nancial per-
formance is often used by insurance industry analysts as it
succinctly summarizes, in a single measure, performance in
the two major economic activities of insurance/reinsurance
Determinants of Bermudan corporate nancial performance 137
2
For example, Bermudas Companies Act, 1981, allows companies to annually report summarized nancial information.
3
Complete data for each company/year were not available and as such, our panel is unbalanced. The number of company/year cases is as
follows: 1997 45 cases; 1996 47 cases; 1995 46 cases; 1994 39 cases; and 1993 31 cases. This gives a total of 208 company/year
observations. Dierences in the number of company/year observations are largely the result of new entrants rather than from merger and
acquisition activity. Therefore, one considers that survivorship bias is unlikely to be a major constraint in this present study. Addition-
ally, the sample comprises companies for which A.M. Best provides ratings and entities for which ratings are not given but nancial data
are nonetheless collected for the purposes of comparative analysis.
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rms, namely: investment management and the underwrit-
ing of business risks (e.g. see A.M. Best, 1999).
4;5;6
0it
is
the constant, which is assumed to be identical for all panel
members;
1it
. . .
6it
are the parameter coecients to be
estimated; and YR1 . . . YR5 are the time eects. The nota-
tion "
it
represents an error term assumed to have a zero
mean and constant variance. The use of a price deator,
however, is precluded by the fact that our variables (as
dened below) are measured at the logarithmic, binary or
ratio scales.
Independent variables
The independent variables used in the study are dened as
follows.
Company size. This variable (lnSIZE) was measured as
the natural log of total net assets. The logarithmic trans-
formation helps to eliminate extreme values in the data.
Underwriting risk. Underwriting risk (URISK) was meas-
ured by the loss ratio i.e. annual losses incurred (net of
loss adjustment expenses) divided by annual premiums
earned. This ratio reects the adequacy, or otherwise, of
companies underwriting performance.
Leverage. Leverage (LEV) was measured as the ratio of
net technical reserves (after deducting any reinsurance
share) to capital/surplus. This ratio represents the poten-
tial impact on capital and surplus of deciencies in
reserves due to nancial claims.
Liquidity. This variable (LIQ) was dened as current
assets over current liabilities.
Company type. Company type (TYPE) was represented
by a dummy variable assigned a value of 0 for a direct
insurer and 1 for a reinsurance company.
Scope of operations. Scope of operations (SCOPE) was
measured by a dummy variable that took the form of 0
for a single country operative and 1 for a multinational
company.
V. RESULTS
Descriptive and univariate results
Table 1 provides the descriptive statistics for the dependent
and independent variables for the pooled rm/year obser-
vations for the sample of Bermudan insurance and reinsur-
ance companies for the period 19931997 N 208. They
show that the logarithmic transformation of the company
size variable reduces its variability leaving nancial lever-
age and liquidity as the variables that dier most among
companies in the sample. This suggests that some
Bermudan insurance and reinsurance companies are accu-
mulating more cash resources than others because of rela-
tively better control of expenses and/or the realization of
good investment returns. A KruskalWallis one-way
analysis of variance was also computed for each variable
(excluding the binary variables) across years with the null
hypothesis that the distribution of the variable is the same
for each year. In each case the computed
2
statistics were
less than the critical value of
2
9:488 at the 0.05 level of
statistical signicance (with ve degrees of freedom). This
indicates that there had not been a substantial change in
the characteristics of our sample of Bermuda-based
insurers and reinsurance companies over the ve years.
Table 2 presents the correlation coecients between the
dependent and independent variables for the pooled rm/
year observations for 19931997. The pair-wise correlation
coecients (Pearson and Spearman rank) reported indicate
statistically signicant positive associations between the
dependent variable, PERF, and the independent variables
URISK and LEV at the 0.01 level in a two tail test. The
positive association between PERF and LEV appears, on
rst sight, to support Jensens (1986) free cash ow hypoth-
esis (H3). Contrary to what was hypothesized, the positive
correlation between PERF and URISK further implies that
insurance and reinsurance companies engaged in high-risk
underwriting activities have better nancial performance
138 M. Adams and M. Buckle
4
Insurance claims are excluded from the measurement of operational performance because they are liabilities and not operating items
(Gardner and Grace, 1993). One acknowledges, however, that there may be some distortion in underwriting performance between
companies arising from the writing of long-tail (e.g. liability) risks. Nonetheless, an analysis of premiums by type of risk underwritten
could not be carried out from the available data. In addition, as most underwriting expenses will be managerial salaries the extent of
possible distortion arising from the writing of long-tail business in the sample is unlikely to be substantial.
5
It is acknowledged that studies from various international nancial services industries/markets (e.g. Grace and Timme, 1992; Gardner
and Grace, 1993; Hardwick, 1997) have used multi-product statistical models to examine the input and output eciencies of rms.
However, again data limitations precluded such tests from being carried out in this study. Furthermore, the absence of data, such as
stang levels, labour input prices and the types of policies underwritten prevented non-parametric estimates of eciency to be computed
through data envelopment analysis (DEA) (e.g. see Worthington, 2000).
6
In the insurance industry, prot-related indicators, such as the return on assets, are invariably subject to inter-period actuarial
smoothing (e.g. via the manipulation of loss reserves), thereby limiting their usefulness as clean measures of annual corporate perform-
ance (e.g. see Petroni, 1992).
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than those companies that are less inclined to take under-
writing risks. This implies that managerial innovation and
risk-taking behaviour could realize short-term cash ow
benets for companies. The statistically signicant inverse
correlation between PERF and LIQ (at the 0.01 level, two
tailed) suggests, as expected, that companies with low
liquidity have better nancial performance than companies
with high liquidity. Although correctly signed, the corre-
lation coecients in Table 2 indicate no statistically signif-
icant association between PERF and lnSIZE and PERF
and TYPE. A MannWhitney U test (one-tailed) was
also conducted to determine whether there was any statis-
tical dierence between the medians for PERF sub-groups
where the sub-groups are classied by the binary indepen-
dent variables TYPE and SCOPE. Consistent with the
results of correlation analysis, no statistical signicance
between the median performance of direct insurers and
reinsurance companies was found for each of the ve
Determinants of Bermudan corporate nancial performance 139
Table 2. Bermudan insurance and reinsurance companies, 19931997 correlation coecients (panel data
208 company/year observations)
Variable PERF lnSIZE URISK LEV LIQ TYPE
PERF
LnSIZE 0.043
URISK 0.550* 0.084
LEV 0.423* 0.044 0.175*
LIQ 70.485* 70.133 70.167* 70.485*
TYPE 70.106 0.382* 70.146* 70.257* 0.203*
SCOPE 0.098 0.486* 0.090 0.181* 70.140* 0.386*
Notes:
1. PERFoperational performance the percentage dierence between the ratio of annual operating
expenses (including commission) plus net premiums written, and the ratio of net investment income to
net premiums earned; lnSIZErm size the natural log of total assets; URISKunderwriting risk
annual losses incurred (net of loss adjustment expenses) divided by annual premiums earned; LEVLever-
age ratio of net technical reserves (after deducting any reinsurance share) to capital/surplus; LIQliquid-
ity cash and cash equivalent current assets over current liabilities; TYPEcompany type dummy
variable, direct insurer 0, reinsurance company 1; SCOPEscope of operations dummy variable,
single country operative 0, multinational insurer 1.
2. Correlations involving the non-metric variables TYPE and SCOPE were computed using the Spearman
rank test. The remaining correlation coecients were computed using the Pearson product-moment test.
3. * Statistically signicant at 0.01 (two-tailed).
Table 1. Bermudan insurance and reinsurance companies, 19931997 descriptive statistics (panel data 208
company/year observations)
Standard
Variable Mean Median deviation Minimum Maximum
PERF 0.454 0.587 0.592 70.999 3.320
lnSIZE 0.498 0.412 0.674 72.045 0.889
URISK 0.665 0.643 0.495 0.000 4.999
LEV 1.450 1.100 1.503 0.000 7.300
LIQ 2.642 1.460 2.879 0.005 10.000
TYPE 0.327 0.000 0.470 0.000 1.000
SCOPE 0.596 1.000 0.492 0.000 1.000
Notes:
1. PERFoperational performance the percentage dierence between the ratio of annual operating
expenses (including commission) plus net premiums written, and the ratio of net investment income to
net premiums earned; lnSIZErm size the natural log of total assets; URISKunderwriting risk
annual losses incurred (net of loss adjustment expenses) divided by annual premiums earned; LEVLever-
age ratio of net technical reserves (after deducting any reinsurance share) to capital/surplus; LIQliquid-
ity cash and cash equivalent current assets over current liabilities; TYPEcompany type dummy
variable, direct insurer 0, reinsurance company 1; SCOPEscope of operations dummy variable,
single country operative 0, multinational insurer 1.
2. Non-parametric KruskalWallis tests on the annual variation of variable means indicated no major
changes in the nature of the Bermudan insurance/reinsurance industry over the ve years (19931997).
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years. In addition, the median performance of single coun-
try insurers was found not to be signicantly dierent from
the median performance of multinational insurers for each
of the ve years in the sample. These results suggest that
the type of company and the scope of its operations may
not be important inuences on corporate nancial per-
formance in the Bermuda insurance market.
Multivariate results
To supplement the univariate results and allow for poten-
tial interactions among the variables, a multivariate panel
data analysis was also carried out. Table 3 thus presents the
common-eects results for the pooled rm/year observa-
tions for the sample of Bermudan insurance/reinsurance
companies for the ve-year period 19931997 N 208.
They indicate that with the exception of lnSIZE and
SCOPE the independent variables are statistically signi-
cant at the 0.01 level in a one tail test. However, of the
statistically signicant independent variables, URISK does
not have the predicted sign. The main dierence between
the univariate and multivariate results is that the coecient
for TYPE is now both statistically signicant and has the
expected sign.
Consistent with the hypothesis (H3) set out in Section
III, LEV was found to have the correct (positive) sign and
was statistically signicant at the 0.01 level (one tailed),
indicating that companies with high nancial leverage
have better performance than companies with low nancial
leverage. This result is consistent with the univariate analy-
sis and supports Jensens (1986) free cash ow hypothesis
that predicts that high leverage tends to commit managers
140 M. Adams and M. Buckle
Table 3. Bermudan insurance and reinsurance companies, 19931997 multivariate results
(panel data 208 company/year observations)
Predicted signs Coecient Standard t-statistics
Variable = estimates errors (one-tailed)
LnSIZE 70.043 0.122 70.355
URISK 0.574 0.105 5.459*
LEV 0.099 0.017 5.782*
LIQ 70.055 0.017 73.139*
TYPE 0.163 0.058 2.816*
SCOPE 70.046 0.074 70.627
INTERCEPT? ? 70.043 0.122 70.355
F
11;197
= 18.522 (probability 0.000, two tailed); adjusted R
2
0.458
Notes:
1. The common-eects model estimated in this study is:
PERF
it
0it
1
lnSIZE
it
2
URISK
it
3
LEV
it
4
LIQ
it
5
TYPE
it
6
SCOPE
it
7
YR1
8
YR2
9
YR3
10
YR4
11
YR5 "
it
where PERF
it
operational performance the percentage dierence between the ratio of
annual operating expenses (including commission) plus net premiums written, and the
ratio of net investment income to net premiums earned; lnSIZE
it
rm size the natural
log of total assets; URISK
it
underwriting risk annual losses incurred (net of loss
adjustment expenses) divided by annual premiums earned; LEV
it
Leverage ratio of
net technical reserves (after deducting any reinsurance share) to capital/surplus;
LIQ
it
liquidity cash and cash equivalent current assets over current liabilities;
TYPE
it
company type dummy variable, direct insurer 0, reinsurance company 1;
SCOPE
it
scope of operations dummy variable, single country operative 0, multi-
national insurer 1.
0it
is the constant, which is assumed to be identical for all panel
members; YR1 . . . YR5 are time eects; "
it
represents an error term assumed to have a
zero mean and constant variance.
2. * Statistically signicant at 0.01 (one tailed)
3. The computed Whites statistic (
2
37:24 with 10 degrees of freedom) rejects the
hypothesis of homoscedastic errors at the 5% signicance level. The reported standard
errors are therefore the White heteroscedasticity-consistent standard errors. The Jarque
Bera statistic was 79.02 and therefore the hypothesis of normally distributed residuals is
rejected. Variance ination factors are all less than two, suggesting that the coecient
estimates are not rendered inecient by the eects of multicollinearity. Correlation
between adjacent years residuals is 0.208 and is signicant at the 5% level (two tail).
4. The year dummies (not reported in Table 3) are all insignicant. In addition, an F-test
(F-statistic 1.150 which is insignicant at the 0.05 level in a one-tail test) indicates that
the year dummies together are not signicantly related to the dependent variable.
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to generating cash ows in order to full their obligations
under debt (insurance) contracts. Again, consistent with
the univariate results and prior expectations, LIQ was sta-
tistically signicant at the 0.01 level in a one tail test. This
nding supports the hypothesis that companies with low
liquidity will have better nancial performance as low
liquidity can lower agency costs and provide an incentive
for managers to improve performance (H4). Also, con-
sistent with our expectation (H5), the binary variable
TYPE was found to be positively related to nancial per-
formance and statistically signicant at the 0.01 level (one
tailed). This conrms the prediction that reinsurance com-
panies, with their ability to realize economies from diversi-
cation and bear lower costs of regulatory compliance, are
likely to have better nancial performance than direct
insurers.
Contrary to the hypothesis (H2), URISK was inversely
related to nancial performance at the 0.01 level (one
tailed). This observation appears to support the view that
nancial intermediaries that give their managers underwrit-
ing discretion to evaluate the risk-return potential on a
case-by-case basis could realize economic benets from
increased levels of new business premiums and/or reduced
ex-ante screening costs. Consistent with the univariate
results, no statistically signicant relation could be found
for lnSIZE and SCOPE. This suggests that company size is
not a determinant of nancial performance in Bermudas
insurance market (contrary to H1), and as such, manage-
rial innovation and competitive capabilities are likely to be
evenly distributed across the entire size range of companies.
It also implies that the espoused benets of being a multi-
national company do not lead to better nancial perform-
ance (contrary to H6), suggesting that the risk management
benets of international diversication may be overstated.
The fairly high degree of association between lnSIZE
and SCOPE indicated in Table 2 indicates that the largest
Bermudan insurance and reinsurance companies are likely
to be multinational organizations. There is therefore a
potential for multicollinearity in the estimation (discussed
below). However, dropping one of the two variables and
keeping the other in the estimation did not lead to either of
the two variables becoming statistically signicant.
Interaction terms between lnSIZE and TYPE and lnSIZE
and SCOPE were also not statistically signicant suggest-
ing that in the sample the nature and extent of business
activities are not inuenced by company size. Additionally,
dummy variables for each of the ve years were included in
the estimation to test for year-eects but none of these were
found to be signicant using a t-test at the 0.01 level (two
tailed). This result suggests that there was no statistically
signicant dierence in the annual nancial performance of
the companies in our data set. The model was re-estimated
without the year dummy variables giving an adjusted R
2
of
0.457 indicating that the time-eects do not contribute sub-
stantially to the models explanatory power. To conrm
this, the YR variables were tested jointly using an F-test.
The computed F-statistic of 1.156 was not signicant at the
0.05 level (one tailed).
Diagnostics and sensitivity tests
Formal diagnostic tests on the estimated model were also
carried out. First, homoscedasticity of the residuals was
tested for using Whites test. The computed statistic
(
2
37:24;
2
crit
18:31, with 10 degrees of freedom)
means the hypothesis of homoscedastic errors could not
be supported at the 5% level of signicance. As a conse-
quence the reported standard errors in Table 3 are White
heteroscedastic-consistent standard errors. Normality of
the residuals was tested using the Jarque-Bera statistic
and the null hypothesis of normally distributed errors
was rejected at the 0.05 level (
2
79:02,
2
crit
5:99,
two degrees of freedom). However, econometric sources,
such as Kmenta (1971: 2478), suggested that non-normal
disturbances are common in small data sets and so this
limitation is an unavoidable constraint of the research
design.
The statistically signicant correlations between some of
the independent variables reported in Table 2, raises the
possibility that interpretation of the coecients may be
inecient due to multicollinearity. However, it was felt
that omitting the oending variables could lead to model
misspecication. Moreover, Judge et al. (1982: 620) con-
sider that correlation coecients are only indicative of ser-
ious collinearity if they exceed 0.80 and if the regression
model employed is associated with a high R
2
and statisti-
cally insignicant t-statistics among all the coecients. As
Table 3 makes clear, these conditions do not exist in this
study. However, as multicollinearity can exist between
more than two independent variables at the same time,
variance ination factors (VIFs) were calculated for the
independent variables to ascertain the magnitude of hidden
collinearity.
7
Since none of the computed VIFs were more
than two, we conclude that multicollinearity is unlikely to
be a problem in this model (e.g. see Gujarati, 1995: 3389).
Finally, the correlation between adjacent years residuals
was found to be 0.208 and statistically signicant at the
0.05 level (two tailed). This suggests that a degree of non-
randomness might be present in the residual errors.
Nonetheless, the low correlation coecient of 0.208 indi-
cates that the eciency of the parameter estimates is un-
likely to adversely aected.
Determinants of Bermudan corporate nancial performance 141
7
The variance ination factor is calculated as 1=1 R
2
where R
2
is derived from regressing each independent variable on all other
independent variables.
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Additionally, as recommended by Kennedy (1995: 95), a
regression specication error test (RESET) was conducted
to examine whether the functional form of our model suf-
fered from misspecication error and/or omitted variable
bias. The computed F-statistic of 1.893 indicated that the
null hypothesis of no functional misspecication could not
be rejected at the 0.05 level (one tailed). Kennedy (1995)
also reported that the RESET test is useful for detecting
non-linearity in the data. The lack of signicance of the
RESET statistic, however, suggests that the linear speci-
cation we used in this study is well specied.
Finally, a Hausman specication test was performed to
examine whether lnSIZE might be endogenous with PERF.
If this were the case, then the OLS estimates would be
biased and inconsistent. The Davidson and Mackinnon
(1989) version of the Hausman specication test was there-
fore conducted by running an auxiliary regression of
lnSIZE on all the exogenous variables and an instrument
variable. The chosen instrument was a categorical meas-
ured variable for nancial size reported in A.M. Best
(1999). This variable is measured on a 15-point scale
from 15 (large) to 1 (small) and is designed to provide a
composite indicator of company size derived from the
aggregate assessment of a companys equity capital, accu-
mulated surplus and reserves. As such, it is an ordinal
measure of the degree of a companys nancial strength
and its capacity to write insurable risks. The residuals
from the auxiliary regression were then included as a vari-
able in the estimation of the main equation. The coecient
of this variable was found to be not signicantly dierent
from zero in a one-tailed test indicating that an endogene-
ity problem does not exist. Consequently, the regression
estimates presented in Table 3 are judged to be unbiased
and consistent.
VI. CONCLUSION
This study performed an empirical test of the determinants
of nancial performance among companies in Bermudas
insurance market using a framework derived from the
organizational economics literature. It was found that, as
expected, highly leveraged, lowly liquid companies and
reinsurers have better nancial performance than lowly
leveraged, highly liquid companies and direct insurers.
Contrary to what was hypothesized, nancial performance
was positively related to underwriting risk. However, the
size of companies and the scope of their activities were not
found to be important explanatory factors. The results,
particularly in respect of underwriting risk, are generally
supportive of the view widely reported in the practitioner
literature (e.g. see Wyn, 1998) that the recent success of
Bermuda-based nancial services rms is founded on
underwriting innovations and the design of new risk-
based products (e.g. nite insurance). The results for the
nancial leverage and liquidity variables also support the
notion that economic advantages can be realized from the
ecient management of capital and cash resources. In par-
ticular, high nancial leverage can provide an important
incentive for managers to generate free cash ows in
order to meet the future xed claims of policyholders.
The absence of a discernable size and multinational busi-
ness eects in our results further suggests that Bermudan
licensing authorities are correct to encourage an open mar-
ket to new entrants. Therefore, a key implication arising
from this research is that the evidence appears to vindicate
the current licensing policy of the Bermudan authorities
and supports the case for a continuation of this strategy.
The results could also be informative to other oshore
nancial centres such as those in the Caribbean and the
British Channel Islands, and could support the case for a
non-discriminatory inward investment strategy in those
jurisdictions. It was acknowledged that interpretation of
the results should be tempered by recognition of the limita-
tions in the study such as the small sample of companies
used. However, where possible, one has attempted to con-
trol for these limitations by employing a panel data design
and testing the model against a battery of diagnostic tests.
The authors thus feel that the results are generally applic-
able to other oshore centres and as such, the study could
encourage others to investigate ways of overcoming the
data availability problem and carry out further research
in these important international nancial markets.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The assistance of Philip Hardwick and Alan Watkins dur-
ing the course of this study is gratefully acknowledged. The
article also beneted from the comments of participants at
a seminar hosted by the School of Finance and Law,
University of Bournemouth. However, the normal disclai-
mer applies.
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Determinants of Bermudan corporate nancial performance 143
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