An Introduction Peter J. Katzenstein T he return of central Europe is a sign of profound political change. Like the name Adolf, the concept of Mitteleuropa had all but vanished from the political vocabular in !onn, !erlin and "ienna after #itler$s %thousand&ear% empire 'ent up in smoke and flames. (n Prague and !udapest, on the other hand, the idea of central Europe, as Timoth )arton Ash 'rites, %continued to be cherished bet'een consenting adults in private.% * As in the +est, ho'ever, central Europe 'as eviscerated from public discourse. ,tirrings of political reform, vigorous debate b Polish, -zech, and #ungarian intellectuals, and the end of the -old +ar have given the concept current coinage once again. %.itteleuropa is coming back.% /
!ut 'ill it be more than a short&term engagement0 )erman, for e1ample, remains politicall unsettled. +hile the ne' capital of united )erman 'ill be !erlin, about a third of )erman$s federal ministries, including defense, 'ill continue to have their main seats in !onn. The !onn republic 'as not +eimar. And united )erman 'ill not be a !erlin republic. The ne' )erman 'ill be multicephalic 'ith numerous political, financial, communication, and cultural centers. 2nited )erman is unlikel to be haunted b the traditional )erman 3uestion of ho' to accommodate under one political roof ethnic )ermans living in different central and eastern European states. The international dimensions of )erman$s national 3uestion appear to have been settled for the foreseeable future. !ut other )erman 3uestions, as Elizabeth Pond and 4avid ,choenbaum note in their recent book, are far from settled. 5 The uncertainties of the political and economic transformations affecting central European politics are even greater. +ill post&-ommunism push ahead 'ith the task of institutionalizing a democratic capitalism0 And ho' 'ill this process be aided or disrupted b international developments in the East0 Less than a decade after the end of the -old +ar there are no unambiguous ans'ers to these 3uestions. 6et there is a range of possible responses. -ontemporar geostrategic and geoeconomic perspectives are not necessaril limited to dra'ing tired historical analogies 'ith the *758s. Ackno'ledging the dramatic changes that have transformed )erman in the second half of the t'entieth centur, these perspectives envision not militant domestic pressures for east'ard e1pansion 9%Drang nach Osten%:, but irresistible international pressures for eastern stabilization 9%Zwang nach Osten%:. ;rom this vantage point, )erman purchases of Polish farmland and the muted political demands of some )erman political organizations seeking to alter the status of the <ussian enclave of Kaliningrad are not harbingers of a ne' phase of irredentist )erman politics. = <ather, )erman$s gro'ing Eastern orientation 'ill be dictated b po'erful international developments that no )erman government 'ill be able to resist. 2navoidable political instabilities and possibl violent conflicts 'ill make )erman foreign polic seek to build political buffers on its Eastern border. ;urthermore, the gro'ing competitive pressures that )erman producers are e1periencing in 'orld markets 'ill make them flock to central and eastern Europe as a natural economic hinterland. #ence an international vacuum 'ill recreate )erman hegemon in central Europe. This book offers a different response. The preliminar evidence offered here indicates that the end of the -old +ar and )erman unification are not returning )erman and central Europe to historicall troubled, asmmetric, bilateral relationships. <ather, changes in the character of )erman and European politics as 'ell as the transformations no' affecting Poland, #ungar, the -zech <epublic, and ,lovakia point to the emergence of multilateral relationships linking )erman and central Europe to an internationalizing Europe. > ;urthermore, the collapse of markets and political instabilities in <ussia and the -ommon'ealth of (ndependent ,tates 9-(,: help make this shift self&evident to most leaders and mass publics in central Europe. +ith the end of the -old +ar the central European states are seeking to engage Europe and )erman on man levels. !erlin!onn lie on the road leading to !russels? 'ithout )erman$s active support, membership in the European 2nion 9E2: 'ill be slo' in coming. And !russels is a kind of reassurance against e1cessive reliance on !erlin&!onn? the central European states seek to shelter their bilateral dependence on )erman in multilateral European arrangements. (n brief, the central European states are emulating in the *778s a strateg that other smaller European states had deploed 'ith great success in earlier times. @ -entral European politics is thus defined b its )erman and European relationships rather than b its traditional position bet'een East and +est. Central Europe: A Geopolitical Terrain and an Ideoloical Con!truct Aur map of Europe and the 'orld 'as devised b )erardus .ercator in )erman in *>@7. (t dates back to a historical era 'hen Europe discovered, dominated, and e1ploited the 'orld. And at the center of that Eurocentric map 'as central Europe and )erman. B
+ithin this cartographic perspective the hperbolic assertion am deutschen Wesen soll die Welt genesen 9)erman 3ualities 'ill cure the 'orld: appeared to make sense. )erman and Europe looked like the center of the 'orld based, as 'e no' kno', on inaccurate representations of size as 'ell as une3ual a1es and positions. (n contrast to .ercator, the maps of the )erman historian Arno Peters sho' all areas&&countries, continents, and oceans&& according to their actual size. The map$s north&south lines run vertical, permitting us to see geographic points in their precise directional relationship. And its east&'est lines run parallel, permitting us to determine easil the relationship of an point on the map to its distance from the e3uator. Peters$s ne' and more accurate map corrects the striking visual over& representation of the northern hemisphere over the south, 'hich makes Europe$s 5.C million s3uare miles loom large over ,outh America$s @.7 million, and the ,oviet 2nion$s C.B million s3uare miles d'arf Africa$s **.@ million. .ore important for the purpose of this chapter and book, Peters$s map removes central Europe and )erman from the center of the 'orld. (nstead, these geographic areas are no' located at the 'orld$s northern rim. This induces an altogether salutar shift in political perspective. The premise of this book is to avoid 'hat one could call Delson$s perspective, reversing the telescope and putting it on the blind ee. The northern rim of the 'orld has been of great importance in recent times. (t is not marginal. !ut it is not central either. Ackno'ledging that central Europe e1ists, there is no agreement about 'here it starts precisel, and 'here it ends. (s its center in !erlin, Prague, "ienna or further east0 Are the !altic states part of central Europe0 +hat about ,erbia, -roatia, ,lovenia, <omania, and !ulgaria0 There are no precise or uncontestable ans'ers to these 3uestions. !ut this much is certainE 'hile the coordinates of 'orld politics are shifting a'a from Europe, central Europe remains politicall important because it evokes po'erful memories of some of the maFor disasters of the t'entieth centurE fascism, t'o 'orld 'ars, and the holocaust. ;urthermore, central Europe 'as the staging area of the -old +ar and the most likel flashpoint 'here that 'ar might have turned hot. C
Europe is a geopolitical terrain of considerable importance. !oth before and after the -old +ar, the north )erman plains and the eastern states of united )erman are central to past, and possibl future, conflagrations. The positioning and plans of DATA and +arsa' pact troops until the end of the *7C8s, and the political controversies about DATA enlargement in the *778s, illustrate the importance of geographical space in central Europe. (ntent on creating a zone of stabilit to its east, )erman is particularl concerned 'ith the enlargement of DATA. ;acing severe problems to their south, ;rance and ,pain have no particular interest in the rapid e1pansion of the E2. )erman does. And )erman has been helped b the 2nited ,tates. 4riven b electoral concerns and the liberal impetus of the foreign polic of the -linton administration, 2.,. polic in *77@ has accelerated movement to'ard DATA enlargement, thus reinforcing )erman preferences. The border that is separating )erman and central Europe has been transformed since *7C7. A Fournalistic account of various stops along )erman$s C88 mile&long eastern border underlines the importance of economic ine3ualit, political indifference, ethnic stereotpes, and historical amnesia. This is a border patrolled b police, not militar forces. ,muggling, illegal immigration, prostitution, and automobile theft constitute the ne' securit threats. 7
Territorial spaces and their borders are material as 'ell as social facts. (n the *7C8s intellectuals in particular sought to recreate the political space that a central Europe, shorn of all )erman, liberal imperialist connotations, might create for a regional cultural identit that could further the process of political reform. *8 Like Europe$s other subregions, central Europe is a specific ideological construct that is open to varied and contested political interpretations. ** ;or man decades ,candinavia and southern Europe retained specific collective identities that overlapped in part 'ith European and national ones. Anl 'ith the acceleration of the European integration process and the end of the -old +ar have these subregional identities 'eakened significantl. A corresponding process is apparentl under'a in central Europe. As "alerie !unce illustrates in chapter @, since *775 Europe, not central Europe, has become the maFor focus of the securit and economic policies of Poland, #ungar, the -zech <epublic, and, possibl, ,lovakia. Europe smbolizes democratic 'elfare states that are at peace 'ith themselves and their neighbors. .eeting the re3uirements that the E2 has set forth for membership is not merel an instrumental goal for the central European states, it is also a 'a of enacting an identit that, 'ith the collapse of socialism, has no international rival. %(solationists% 'ho oppose the %cosmopolitans% in domestic politics&&to adopt the terminolog of +todek Aniot, Timoth !rnes, and Elena (ankova in chapter /&&invoke different issues, such as religion and nationalism. To date, ho'ever, these isolationists have not succeeded in articulating politicall a collective identit for central Europe that rivals that of Europe. (f Europe is a positive pole of attraction that affirms the central European %self,% <ussia, (ver Deumann argues, is its constituting %other.% */ <egional identities are based not onl on inclusive affirmations but on e1clusive demarcations. ,pecificall 'hat is at stake for central European identit politics are the underlining principles of political and social pluralism, political democrac and capitalist efficienc that contradict the political homogenization, as 'ell as authoritarianism and state socialism of past ,oviet and potential future <ussian policies. 4ifferentiated from the ,oviet 2nion and <ussia, central Europe is thus a 'a station in a Europeanization process that marks the transformation of these four states in different, though broadl comparable, 'as. This 'ish to differentiate is also noticeable in )erman. (t tpicall refers directl or obli3uel, to a civilizational divide bet'een <oman -atholicism and Eastern Arthodo1. +hat divided the #absburg .onarch historicall remains important in )erman$s contemporar public discourse, even though that division does not fit ver neatl the geographic facts either of the !altic states or of the 'estern 2kraine. *5 (n the *7C8s central Europe re&emerged as a political categor in +est )erman$s public debate, primaril on the Left. ,ocial 4emocrats like Peter )lotz sought to undermine the divisive effects of the (ron -urtain b looking to central Europe as one bridge among several that might help to reintegrate Europe and )erman. *=
!ecause <ussia is the state from 'hich central European states, 'ith the possible e1ception of ,lovakia, 'ish to differentiate themselves, does this open central Europe to the increasing cultural influence of )erman0 #nek JeGHbek and ;rantiIek Jich, document in chapter = the e1tent to 'hich )erman o'nership of the regional press in the -zech <epublic has created a potential opening for 'hat might turn out to be an illegitimate foreign influence. *> !ut because the influence of regional print media is countered b an international electronic media that is mostl dominated b American interests, the -zech government has not regarded the )erman takeover of the regional press as threatening. The relation bet'een the )erman and English languages among secondar and universit students in central Europe amplifies the same point. Although there are significant variations b countr, English is ever'here the preferred first foreign language. And American mass culture enFos in central Europe, as in )erman, an un3uestioned hegemonic position. 4emand for )erman language for business is at record levels? )erman$s official and private cultural presence in central Europe is on a marked ups'ing? and )erman cultural diplomac is toing 'ith a more assertivel political approach to presenting )erman abroad. 6et embedded in the global hegemon of the man products of American mass culture, )erman cultural influence, though strong and rising in central Europe, 'ill not be able to emerge from a position of Funior partner even as )erman$s economic influence increases. *@
;urthermore, the multilateral bent in )erman$s cultural diplomac runs deep. +orking on maFor proFects 'ith other +est European states, and 'ith several local organizations, is standard operating procedure for parapublic )erman institutions such as the )oethe (nstitute and the -enter for Advanced ,tud, !erlin. *B
-entral Europe$s cultural orientation 'ill be to the +est, including )erman, rather than on )erman e1clusivel. (n brief, central Europe is e1periencing simultaneous processes of internationalization and Europeanization that contain a strong )erman component. Ger"an# and Central Europe in $i!tor# This is a surprising development. ;or there e1ists an alternative historical vision of a middle 'a, of an in&bet'een Europe or Zwischeneuropa, of small, sovereign, and democratic states that constitute the core of European culture and thus help to anchor +estern Europe against undue Americanization and an overbearing <ussia. *C TomHs .asark$s definition of central Europe, for e1ample, articulated during +orld +ar (, included man different national groups from northern, eastern, and southern Europe? but it e1cluded )ermans and Austrians. ;or ;riedrich Daumann, b contrast, central Europe 'as, in the 'ords of Timoth )arton Ash, %all about the )ermans and Austrians, 'ith the others included onl insofar as the 'ere subFects of the )erman and Austro&#ungarian empires.% *7
(n a broader historical perspective central and eastern Europe are marked b belated processes of industrialization, nation&building, and modernization processes that left these societies 'ith both deep social and economic ine3ualities and a concentration of economic and political resources that provided a fertile basis for state socialism. /8 This legac reinforced a mosaic pattern of various nationalit groups that lived in close pro1imit to one another in 'hat Karl 4eutsch called a %polka&dot% pattern that is arguabl different from the %patch'ork& 3uilt% pattern characteristic of +estern Europe. /* The polka&dot pattern 'as the result of a flo' of 'est&to&east migration in the thirteenth and fourteenth centuries. Although the migrants did not think of themselves as )erman, the similarit, for e1ample, in the legal codes that the brought 'ith them earned them the name %)erman% in the ees of local populations. The territories in east¢ral Europe thus settled 'ere united under the Arder of Teutonic Knights and e1isted under the protectorate of the Emperor and the Pope, in contrast to those in the eastern part of )erman 'hich 'ere part of the #ol <oman Empire. Europe$s religious 'ars and the modernization policies of Peter the )reat and -atherine (( led to a second 'ave of migration that dispersed ethnic )ermans into the inner reaches of <ussia. A net'ork of commercial, financial, and political privileges stretched unevenl across countrside and cit throughout eastern¢ral Europe, subFect to local variations that 'ere magnified b the absence of an imperial center. (n the nineteenth and t'entieth centuries this comple1 pattern of central&eastern European and )erman relations 'as simplified into the bifurcation bet'een the Kleindeutsche 9small )erman: and the Grossdeutsche 9large )erman: solutions to )erman$s national 3uestion. Prussia stood for the former, the #absburg monarch for the latter solution. The political defeat of Austrian plans for a central European federation at the hands of Prussia, and )erman unification under Prussian leadership in *CB* in the 'ake of three 'ars, provided a temporar ans'er to )erman$s national 3uestion. )erman and Prussia adopted a polic of forced assimilation that engendered deep hostilities, especiall among members of the Polish population residing in the eastern parts of (mperial )erman. Published during +orld +ar ( ;riedrich Daumann$s book Mitteleuropa popularized plans that had circulated especiall in Austria&#ungar in the late nineteenth centur. Daumann dre' up a plan for a federal union of central Europe that aimed at incorporating the 'estern parts of <ussia, Poland, and the !altic states. Ather plans 'ere geographicall more e1pansive and sought to consolidate southeast Europe under )erman leadership. These plans 'ere spurred b the conviction that rivalr 'ith the 2nited ,tates, !ritain, and <ussia re3uired )erman to enlarge the territorial and demographic base of this potential fourth %'orld state% through the establishment of close links 'ith central and eastern Europe. // (n the vie' of its )erman and Austrian proponents such plans 'ould create a fle1ible international political order, marked b a spirit of political compromise, in 'hich various nationalities and states 'ould be able to coe1ist peacefull? in the vie' of its foreign critics this 'as crass imperialism designed to cement )erman po'er on the continent. ;rom either perspective such plans 'ere embedded in the process of capitalist development that increasingl came to penetrate central and eastern Europe. )erman$s defeat in +orld +ar ( and the breakup of Austria#ungar created a cordon sanitaire of states in central and eastern Europe increasingl referred to as east¢ral Europe or Zwischeneuropa. (t restored Poland$s sovereignt and gave independence to a rump Austria, #ungar, and -zechoslavakia as 'ell as to the !alkan states. The +ilsonian principle of national self&determination 'as violated in numerous instances&&for e1ample, in the case of Austria, in 'estern Poland, #ungar, and in !ohemia and .oravia. Ethnic )ermans thus found themselves living under non)erman governments. The revision of the "ersailles treat regarding )erman$s eastern border became an important polic obFective for both the governments of +eimar )erman and Dazi )erman. -entral Europe thus became part of a revisionist political agenda that, 'ithout relin3uishing its economic&imperialist character, ac3uired radical nationalist overtones. !ased on its outright reFection of the "ersailles and ,t. )ermain treaties, )erman and Austrian political revisionism accorded )erman the role as central Europe$s undisputed political and economic leader and, eventuall, sanctioned militar aggression and political anne1ation. /5 Liberals advocated an imperialism of free trade that put )erman at the center of an informall organized zone of economic influence intimatel linked to an open international econom. Proponents of autarchic economic development put )erman at the center of an economic bloc that 'as protectionist in its e1ternal orientation and hierarchical in its internal organization. /=
After *755 Dazi )erman opted une3uivocall for the second option. (t instituted bilateral trade and monetar clearing arrangements designed to cement a sstem of asmmetric vulnerabilities bet'een )erman and its smaller neighbors to the east. /> )erman domination over central Europe and further east 'as an act of destructive colonization that brought about 'ars of ethnic cleansing, resettlements of vast tracts of land, outright anne1ation of 'estern Poland, and the creation of a vicious apartheid regime in central Poland. And the )erman ,,, militar, police, and courts closel cooperated in conducting a genocidal 'ar and the running of the death camps in 'hich )ermans murdered millions of Je's and members of other minorit groups. The total failure of this polic and the unconditional surrender of Dazi )erman in .a *7=> signified an end to )erman e1pansionism in central Europe. .ore than ten million ethnic )ermans became refugees 'ho resettled in a rump )erman in *7=>. ,ubse3uent decades have 'itnessed a slo' draining of the reservoir of ethnic )ermans from central and eastern Europe that has continued up to the present da. (n a broader perspective, *7=> heralded the loss of an informal )erman %empire% comparable to the ver different kinds of losses that !ritain and ;rance e1perienced after +orld +ar ((. %arietie! o& Corporati!" in Central Europe The -old +ar redefined all aspects of European politics. (t divided )erman. (t eviscerated the ver notion of central Europe for several decades? and it recreated a ne' kind of central Europe in the form of Austria and ,'itzerland, states that 'ere capitalist, democratic, and neutral and thus not part of either DATA or the E-. ,ince +orld +ar ((, Austria and ,'itzerland have e1hibited a specific stle of politics marked b negotiated compromises premised on a far&reaching depoliticization of political conflicts in the interest of stabilit. /@
;or this reason it is note'orth that scholars 'ho are beginning to analze the emerging political characteristics in the post-ommunist polities in central Europe point to some surprising similarities 'ith the politics of democratic corporatism in Austria and ,'itzerland. (n their analsis of post&socialist path'as, 4avid ,tark and LHszlK !ruszt, for e1ample, compare privatization politics in #ungar, the -zech <epublic, and the former )4<. /B The focus on ho' politicians deal 'ith the interdependencies of assets and the chains of liabilities. ;or ,tark and !ruszt %deliberative association% is a process of creating binding agreements over large stakes and long periods of time. The identif a stle of politics that recognizes, to different degrees in different conte1ts, the net'ork characteristics of assets and liabilities and sees these as central to the politics of privatization. ;or e1ample, )erman$s agenc for privatization, the Treuhandanstalt, found itself in charge of privatizing virtuall all of the state&o'ned assets of the )4<. Although it began 'ith an e1plicit reFection of all net'ork ties, prompted b social protests and electoral competition, ,tark and !ruszt argue that the agenc eventuall shifted course and created social ties in negotiating fora that are responsible for restructuring net'orks of firms. (n #ungar a rich legac of inter&enterprise links has generated dense, e1tensive, and comple1 net'orks of o'nership bet'een various enterprises, thus mitigating some of the enormous uncertainties in the post&socialist era. As ,tark and !ruszt argue, the government neglected these net'orks and proceeded to privatize on a firm&b&firm basis, thus spa'ning a 'ave of bankruptcies and a severe financial crisis that in turn forced a dramatic change in polic and an e1tensive government bail out. ;inall, despite the free&market rhetoric of Prime .inister Klaus, the -zech government recognized the net'ork properties of assets and liabilities from the outset. (t favored both active anti&bankruptc policies on the one hand and ne' forms of inter& organizational o'nership on the other. (n short, the empirical form of net'ork ties varies from case to case. As ,tark and !ruszt describe, in #ungar a tight coupling of direct ties bet'een enterprises has occurred? in the -zech <epublic close links e1ist bet'een banks and investment funds at the meso level? and in East )erman the po'erful effect of a politics of deliberative association has reversed the legal approach that the Treuhand took initiall. As chapter > argues belo', a politicall hotl contested privatization program in ,lovakia appears to follo' a traditional, )erman, bank&led model that is also distinguished b net'ork characteristics. (n these cases the organizational, institutional, and political responses to the net'ork properties of assets and liabilities ield political economies that, at this earl stage, resemble the liberal Anglo&,a1on model much less than Austria$s and ,'itzerland$s democratic corporatism. Elena (ankova$s analsis of the social partnership evident in 'hat she calls a %transformative corporatism% in !ulgaria and Poland points in the same direction. /C #er surve of post& socialist, central and eastern European politics points to pervasive indications of a tripartite corporatist politics that has varing political effects. #ungar$s version, for e1ample, 'as relativel 'eak. The tripartite Dational -ouncil for <econciliation of (nterests, established in *7CC, focuses on consensual 'age bargaining and the negotiation of a host of social issues. <evived in *778 in the interest of buffering the shock of market competition, it is comprised of representatives of si1 unions and emploer organizations. -zechoslovakia$s federal tripartite -ouncil of ,ocial and Economic Accord 'as constituted in *778 and, after the countr$s split& up, 'as succeeded in *775 b -zech and ,lovak successor organizations. (n Poland tripartite negotiations accelerated after the signing of the Enterprise pact of ;ebruar *775 and the formation of the Dational -ommission on ,ocial&Economic (ssues in ;ebruar *77=. (t brings around one table representatives of the government, the confederation of Polish emploers, D,JJ&,olidarit, the All&Polish Trade 2nion Alliance, and seven other national unions. (n !ulgaria, <omania, and the successor states to the ,oviet 2nion similar corporatist arrangements have also sprung up. (ankova, furthermore, sho's in her detailed research in !ulgaria and Poland that these councils are not merel empt institutional shells at the national level. The are replicated at regional levels, in different industrial branches and 'ithin particular enterprises. The net'ork structure of the political economies of central Europe that ,tark and !ruszt uncovered and interpreted in their stud of privatization, (ankova finds to be ver prominent on issues of macroeconomic polic and 'age bargaining. (n her vie', beond all national, regional, local, and sectoral variations 9marked, for e1ample, b a more adversarial form of social dialogue in Poland than in #ungar, the -zech <epublic, and ,lovakia: tripartite corporatism in central and eastern Europe has developed a similar transformative design. The rapid and almost simultaneous emergence of transformative corporatism, (ankova argues, is due to the convergence of three factors that, in a different historical conte1t, had brought forth a different kind of corporatism in Austria and ,'itzerland. /7 ;irst, one legac of socialism 'as a collectivist culture that is reflected in the emergence of ne', centralized unions and, more slo'l, of ne' emploer associations. ,econd, in all central European states the opening to +estern markets and high levels of international indebtedness created strong pressures for domestic concertation policies. ;inall, in an era of great uncertaint corporatism facilitates the signing of social pacts and agreements that are vitall important in the absence of consolidated norms of conduct. (n brief, under great political and economic pressure and in an environment of high uncertaint both unions and emploers agreed 'ith the post&-ommunist governments that, in radicall ne' circumstances, centralized decision making is a virtue. (t is too earl to Fudge confidentl 'hether the central European e1perience 'ill generate in due course political mechanisms sufficientl strong to sustain corporatist structures and practices. !ut 'ith !ulgaria and Poland as e1emplars, (ankova$s research on transformative corporatism generates a novel perspective that points to some important similarities 'ith Austria and ,'itzerland. Their democratic corporatism has three defining traits. 58 ;irst, business and labor subscribe to an ideolog of social partnership that subordinates the natural antagonism of different producer groups to an overarching consensus on a peaceful and stable politics. Political conflict, 'hile not eliminated, occurs 'ithin a frame'ork that, ho'ever vaguel, is designed around a shared notion of the public good. ,econd, the maFor interest groups are ver centralized. (ndeed, the ver concept of %peak association%&in 'hich associations, not individuals are organized&&is a central European institutional innovation that dates back to the nineteenth centur. (nterest group leaders tpicall enFo ver strong po'ers and control over a membership that rarel challenges its political prerogatives. And these groups tpicall organize broad segments of the relevant social sectors. 6et the image of order that this institutional order conves is misleading. Political struggle is intense, but man of these conflicts occur 'ithin organizations in private rather than bet'een them in public, thus preventing a cluttering of the public agenda 'ith fights, for e1ample, bet'een various segments of labor or business. This tpe of corporatist structure remains democratic. Periodic electoral competition interrupts a potentiall dangerous consensus among the elites running these organizations. ;inall, democratic corporatism features a particular stle of political bargaining that is informal, voluntar, and uninterrupted. This bargaining process facilitates consensus b permitting trade&offs across different polic sectors. (n their man differences ,'itzerland and Austria e1emplif a liberal and social variant of democratic corporatism. (n ,'itzerland international business and finance dominate national business, the unions, and the political Left. (n Austria, conversel, a large union and a ver large public sector prevail over internationall oriented business interests b diminishing margins. Thus ,'itzerland chooses liberal foreign trade, large direct investments abroad, and the reliance on a large number of foreign 'orkers 'hile Austria prefers a cautious pursuit of free trade, subsidization of domestic investment, and an active labor market polic. And ,'itzerland favors a relativel privatized social polic sstem and limited public e1penditures, 'hereas Austria chooses large public e1penditures, publicl funded social policies, and an incomes polic supported b both emploers and unions. !ut these differences bet'een international and national adaptation to change, and bet'een private and public compensation for change, reflect onl one&half of a picture that differentiates bet'een liberal and a social variants of corporatism. The other half is conveed b the fact that in both countries business and labor accommodate their divergent interests, on different terms, in centralized institutions. (n both countries producer groups, state bureaucracies and, at times, political parties are linked through multiple institutional channels that often make it virtuall impossible to distinguish the public from the private sector. (n both countries producer groups are 'ell&organized in tpicall centralized and all&encompassing peak associations. <eaching a consensus bet'een the divergent vie'points e1pressed 'ithin these organizations is a ke to the institutional stabilit of the national polic net'ork and the predictabilit of the polic process. 6et some differences in institutional form remain apparent. The state bureaucrac, for e1ample, is larger and more centralized in Austria than in ,'itzerland. And the degree of centralization tends to be some'hat larger in the dominant social sector&&business in ,'itzerland and the unions in Austria&&than in the subordinate sectors. !ut both ,'itzerland and Austria seek to link their institutions, including political parties, to polic net'orks that reliabl shield the polic process from e1ogenous shocks and unpredictabilities. The consensual and democratic political arrangements that emerged in Austria after +orld +ar (( and that 'ere reinforced b a series of far&reaching constitutional amendments adopted b ,'itzerland soon after *7=> resulted from the traumatic convulsions of the *758s and *7=8s. The )reat 4epression, fascism, 'ar, and occupation convinced Austrian and ,'iss voters and leaders that moderation in the e1ercise of po'er 'as a marriage of virtue 'ith necessit. (n Austria a strong political consensus emerged after the 'ar 'hich vie'ed that countr as occupied bet'een *75C and *7>>, first b the Dazis and later b the Allied Po'ers. (t matters little that the empirical evidence does not support this historical mth about the ears *75C& =>. 5* Anl in the *7C8s did the +aldheim affair put seriousl into 3uestion this instance of collective historical re&interpretation. The Austrians learned an important lesson specificall from the brief civil 'ar of *75= and more generall from the events of the *758s and *7=8s. Left and <ight agreed that it 'as dangerous and undesirable to push political conflicts too far. 4omestic tran3uillit and prosperit as 'ell as international neutralit became the obFect of Austrian policies and politics. 4emocratic corporatism became the anchor. Although it 'as spared Austria$s difficult e1periences, ,'itzerland$s e1perience of the perilous *758s and *7=8s, the depression, and the threat of 'ar nonetheless left a deep imprint. Lacking a broad political consensus, rule b emergenc decree became almost normal in the abnormal *758s. !ut the victor of reformism over radicalism on the political Left and the trade union movement encouraged the political incorporation and pacification of all maFor social sectors b the mid&*7=8s. This broadened the political base of ,'iss liberalism and eventuall transformed it into a liberal version of democratic corporatism. (n the evolution of democratic corporatism it is difficult to overestimate the role 'hich the liberal international econom has plaed since *7=>. 5/ As is true of other small industrial states, the economies of ,'itzerland and Austria are remarkabl open to the international econom. (ncreasing international liberalization provided ample opportunities in gro'ing e1port markets, but it also greatl increased the competitive pressures that 'ere placed on all of the maFor producer groups and political actors. (n their dail lives everone in ,'itzerland and Austria 'as constantl reminded of ho' open and vulnerable their economies reall are. -orporatist practices thus became valued as tools that are essential for the consensual fashioning of national strategies in an international econom that is tpicall perceived as a rigorous taskmaster that leaves little room for self&indulgence or self&pit. Economic competitiveness and social 'elfare 'ere vie'ed as being ine1tricabl linked. Political adFustment to the changes imposed b developments in the international econom have been made easier b the fact that corporatist institutions 'ere the conduits b 'hich the 'elfare policies of compensation 'ere e1panded during the post'ar period&&some in response to the pressures of the international econom, others as the result of the internal dnamics of democratic corporatism. (n the *7C8s and *778s this pattern has undergone important changes, especiall in Austria. The Austrian decision to Foin the E2 in *77> has increased international competition. And a partial destabilization of the Austrian part sstem is apparent in the gro'th of a number of small parties. 55 .ore specificall, in the case of Austria democratic corporatism in the *778s is no' seriousl challenged b a populist right&'ing part that packages its 1enophobia and furtive support of the Dazi past in a heav dose of anti&European rhetoric. (n ,'itzerland, b 'a of contrast, it is uncertaint about the course the countr should navigate in an integrating Europe that is increasing numerous political cleavages. These challenges to its hegemon not'ithstanding, democratic corporatism continues to define Austrian and ,'iss politics more accuratel than does an other label. In!titutional A&&initie! o& Ger"an# 'it( Corporati!" )erman politics arguabl has a greater similarit 'ith democratic corporatism than do the politics of an other larger capitalist states. )erman$s semi&sovereign state helps bring about this convergence in politics and polic. 5= )overnment and state bureaucrac are closel connected to the political process of consultation, b 'a of an ideological frame'ork of social partnership that links parapublic institutions 'ith broadl based, centralized producer groups and 'ith political parties that are decidedl centrist in outlook. The e1treme <ight has been delegitimated b the horrors of the Dazi past. The e1treme Left never overcame the liabilit of espousing a socialist ideal that to most +est )ermans 'as hidden behind a cement 'all and barbed 'ire. The sharpl narro'ed spectrum of partisan preferences that has dominated )erman politics since *7=7 has reinforced an ideolog of social partnership that eventuall superseded the language of class conflict. The organization of )erman politics is 3uite decentralized. This can be traced to several factorsE historical legacies of a decentralized )erman polit, American political precepts, such as federalism and Fudicial revie', and emerging political characteristics, such as the gro'ing significance of the Bundesrat and the increasing role of the Fudiciar in polic making during the last fort ears. )erman politics, to be sure, features some countervailing centralizing tendencies, most important among 'hich are legal norms that help to shape a comple1 sstem of intergovernmental relations and general political practices. .an other )erman institutions are, b contrast, 3uite centralized in their structure and highl encompassing in their membership. This is especiall true of the maFor producer organizations. )erman business had begun organizing in the form of peak associations as earl as the *CB8s. And after *7=> +est )erman unions also decided on a more centralized organizational structure along industr lines. And although )erman$s banking sstem is no longer vie'ed ade3uatel as a contemporar version of #ilferding$s finance capitalism, its organization and the legal rules under 'hich it is permitted to operate still give it a position of great importance in the )erman polit. )erman$s similarit to democratic and other forms of corporatism is underlined b parapublic institutions that are open to centralized interest groups as 'ell as part leaders and senior civil servants. E1amples include -hambers of (ndustr, -ommerce, and Agriculture, professional associations, public radio and television stations, and a variet of research institutes and universities. Parapublic institutions are both political actors and polic arenas. ,ome of these institutions, such as the social 'elfare funds, date back to the nineteenth centur. Athers, such as the !undesbank, 'ere created b the Allies after *7=>. Especiall on economic and social 3uestions these institutions have acted like political shock absorbers. The tend to limit the scope for innovation in the formulation of policies, and the limit political controversies in the process of polic implementation. )erman politics shares characteristic traits 'ith both social and liberal variants of corporatism. As is true of ,'itzerland, )erman business is po'erful and has an international cast. And a strong federalism introduces an element of decentralization into electoral politics and intergovernmental relations. .oreover, as in Austria political parties pla a prominent role, and the position of the labor movement is ver significant. ;inall, )erman politics shares 'ith both ,'itzerland and Austria a penchant for organizing politics along stable institutional lines that encourage incremental changes in polic. At the same time there e1ist significant differences. ;or e1ample, institutional net'orks linking political actors in the ;ederal <epublic are less centralized and less tight than those in ,'itzerland and Austria. Political bargaining across issue areas is less fre3uent and more difficult. This is due to the normative and political importance of the state in )erman politics and is not characteristic of ,'itzerland and Austria. The )erman state provides a normative reference point that in ,'itzerland is confined to the institution of direct democrac. (n ,'itzerland onl in times of crisis is the federal government granted emergenc po'ers that help it to define and implement polic. Austria$s political parties, on the other hand, have penetrated the state bureaucrac so totall as to have robbed the state of almost all vestiges of autonom. (f an one Austrian institution is singled out 'hich could claim to provide a normative order for politics, it 'ould be the social and economic partnership bet'een the maFor producer groups as opposed to the state. Thus neither the ,'iss emasculation of the state in normal times, and its enhancement in times of crisis, nor the Austrian neutralization of the state resemble the role the state plas in )erman. (f one considers ,'itzerland and Austria as e1emplars of liberal and social variants, )erman could be called a third, attenuated e1ample of democratic corporatism. After *7=> )erman had little choice but to ackno'ledge its profound vulnerabilit. 4efeated and divided, it 'as the staging area for the -old +ar that threatened to annihilate )erman should that 'ar ever turn hot. )erman 'as a medium&sized po'er 'ith resources inade3uate to bring about national unification. A 3uiet agreement kept the Allied po'ers united throughout the -old +ar. (t 'as summarized b the flippant, though accurate, aperu %if ou keep do'n our )ermans, 'e 'ill keep do'n ours.% ;urthermore, as in Austria and ,'itzerland, international economic pressures have had a comparable though 'eaker effect. The concept of vulnerabilit describes ver 'ell the situation of +est )erman after *7=>. Totall defeated in 'ar, the countr 'as made much smaller b its division. The traditional breadbasket in the eastern territories ceded to Poland and in the )4< 'ere no longer available. +est )erman 'as thus condemned to e1port in order to pa for the foodstuff it no' had to import as 'ell as the ra' materials necessar to fuel its manufacturing sector. Eventuall its four maFor manufacturing sectors&&automobiles, chemicals, electrical e3uipment, and machiner&&all e1ported more than half of their total production to foreign markets. )erman became the 'orld$s leading e1porter in the late *7C8s. !ut its e1port&led gro'th strateg induced a structural dependence on the international econom over 'hich it had, 'ith fe' e1ceptions, precious little control. The direct effects of )erman unification have made remarkabl little difference to the countr$s institutional net'orks, thus keeping the similarit 'ith other tpes of central European corporatism in place. This 'as largel due to the constitutional provision under 'hich )erman united. (n choosing Article /5 rather than Article *=@ the )erman government made sure that +estern institutions 'ould remain unaltered rather than open to renegotiation b the governments of the ;<) and )4<. -onse3uentl, +est )erman institutions in all spheres of state and societ have spread to the five ne' Lnder&&including the Fudiciar, the local and state bureaucrac, the armed forces and police, the federal sstem of government, political parties, interest groups, social 'elfare funds, vocational training, labor market boards, universities, and research and development sstems. ;rom this perspective )erman unification is a stor of transferring institutions from 'est to east. 5>
!ut institutions that are transferred to ne' settings remain open to eventual transformation. The e1tent of change that is no' concealed can be measured indirectl b the e1plosive gro'th of )erman$s national debt. )erman bought political tran3uillit at an economic price that is sustainable in the longer term onl if important aspects of the )erman political econom are greatl modified. As +est )erman$s capacit and 'illingness to subsidize the economic and social changes in the east diminishes, institutional and political discontinuities ma become apparent in political practices matching the division of the countr in their collective consciousness. This does not mean, as a small group of neo&conservatives 'riting on )erman foreign affairs argues, that the !erlin <epublic 'ill have no commonalities 'ith the !onn <epublic. +ith a number of ministries, most importantl defense, staing put in !onn and 'ith man federal offices moving from !erlin to !onn, the capital of the ne' )erman 'ill be hphenated. !ut it is 3uite plausible to e1pect that some polic domains 'ill be opened to market processes as the fiscal capacities of the )erman social market econom are strained under the triple impact of unification, European integration, and increasing global competition? that the traditional sectoralization of polic making tpifing )erman 'ill go hand in hand 'ith more centralization? and that a harsher public climate 'ill coe1ist 'ith or pervade informal net'orks of cooperation that have been a hallmark of )erman politics since the *7@8s. This 'ould herald the coming of a Third )erman <epublic under auspices 3uite different from those foreseen in the late *7C8s. 5@ (t is unlikel, though possible, that such changes 'ould fundamentall undercut the institutional similarities bet'een )erman, ,'iss, and Austrian versions of corporatism. Central Europe )et'een Ger"an#* t(e European Union* and NATO Enlare"ent The central European states are strongl oriented 'est'ards through overlapping relationships that link them to )erman, the E2 and DATA. After *7C7 most e1perts e1pected that )erman 'ould come to prevail economicall in its o'n backard b recreating through politics and markets a contemporar analog to the economic hegemon that it had enFoed in central and eastern Europe before +orld +ar ((. The picture 'hich is beginning to emerge a fe' ears after the end of the -old +ar is more complicated. )ro'ing bilateral ties 'ith )erman, especiall in the economic sphere, are mitigated b different national strategies that seek to anchor central Europe in a Europe encompassing )erman and, on securit issues, a +estern alliance that ties Europe to the 2nited ,tates. Central Europe and Ger"an# !efore unification the )4< 'as, after the ,oviet 2nion, the largest partner in the -ouncil for .utual Economic Assistance 9-.EA:. And 'hile foreign trade 'as relativel unimportant in state socialist economies follo'ing policies of import substitution, the ;<) 'as central Europe$s most important +estern trade partner. As .arkovits and <eich 'rite, %it is e1tremel difficult to identif any categor of commerce and trade in 'hich the ;ederal <epublic has not consistentl been the most important +estern presence in Eastern Europe.% 5B <anking behind onl the ,oviet 2nion, the ;<) and the )4< in *7C7 accounted for a total of *=.7 percent of -zechoslovak trade, *B.= percent of #ungarian trade, and *7 percent of Polish trade. 5C The collapse of trade relations in the ,oviet bloc and central Europe in *778 and *77* set the stage for a breathtakingl 3uick economic reorientation of the central European economies to'ards )erman and European markets. !et'een *7C7 and *77/, for e1ample, +est )erman imports increased b *@@ percent 9 -zechoslovakia:, *8C percent 9 Poland:, and @@ percent 9 #ungar: 'hile e1ports increased b *B5 percent 9 -zechoslovakia:, B/ percent 9 Poland: and /5 percent 9 #ungar:. ! contrast, in *77/ central European trade 'ith the former )4<, no' part of united )erman, reached onl /8 percent of its *7C7 level. 57 !et'een *775 and *77> )erman$s foreign trade 'ith central and Eastern Europe increased b a further 58 percent, a figure that 'as larger than for an other region of the 'orld. ! *77> )erman e1ports to central and eastern Europe e1ceeded e1ports to the 2nited ,tates b a slight margin and imports b a substantial one. =8 ! contrast, the importance of the <ussian market in the foreign trade of central Europe had shrunk to about > percent of total trade? onl in #ungar 'as the proportion slightl larger 9C percent:. =*
)erman is also the most important source of foreign direct investment and technolog imports. (n Poland and -zechoslovakia, for e1ample, )erman firms moved 'ith great speed and accounted for 58 to =8 percent of all Foint ventures in the earl months of *778. =/ (t is not surprising that, in light of historical memories, the Polish and -zech governments have tried to counterbalance )erman investments 'ith those from other states. (n #ungar such compensating policies do not e1ist even though )erman and Austrian firms account for more than one&third of the total number of Foint ventures. =5 Trailing onl the 2nited ,tates, )erman is the region$s second largest investor 'ith more than LB billion in cumulative investments in central and eastern Europe. This figure reflects not onl big proFects like "+$s investment in ,koda, discussed in chapter = belo', of )erman Telekom$s and Audi$s investments in #ungar. (t is, rather, medium&sized firms that are driving )erman$s investment push in central Europe. (n the -zech <epublic )erman companies had, b *77=, invested in more than >,888 Foint ventures, compared to onl @88 for the 2nited ,tates. == +ith much larger 'age than productivit differentials, investment opportunities are ver enticing for smaller )erman firms. And these firms do not carr the heav historical baggage that accompanies large )erman investment proFects like "+$s Foint venture 'ith ,koda. These economic statistics should be interpreted in the conte1t of the size of )erman$s total investment of about 4.B88 billion in *775. The total foreign investment of all AE-4 states in central Europe, to 'hich )erman contributes about one&third, accounted for onl about * percent of )erman$s total domestic investment. =>
)erman seeks to stabilize the social and political conditions to its east b assisting the process of economic transformation and liberalization through various aid programs. (n this respect )erman$s position in central Europe and further east is unrivaled. ! Januar *77> )erman had provided 4.=>.= billion to the central and eastern European states, in addition to the 4.*88 billion allocated to assist the successor states of the ,oviet 2nion? most of these funds 'ere provided in the form of tied loans, granted at concessionar interest rates. =@
)erman influence is spread not onl directl through aid but also indirectl through institutions. )erman foreign polic operates in a dual mode. The government$s traditional foreign polic is complemented b )erman$s societal foreign polic 9gesellschatliche !ussenpoliti":. .ost of the maFor )erman institutions conduct their o'n foreign relations. Tpicall, the engage partner institutions in other countries thus creating or reinforcing a pattern of transnational relations. This gives )erman political actors ample opportunities to intervene obli3uel in the domestic affairs of the central European states, 'ithout thro'ing their 'eight around undul. This is a distinctive stle of foreign polic that, 'rites Jeremiah <iemer, %has been institutionalized and internalized.% =B The creation of electoral sstems in central Europe, for e1ample, 'as assisted b man European parties, %especiall the )erman -42 and ,P4, but also !ritish conservatives and American 4emocratic and <epublican strategists.% =C And like their 2.,. colleagues, )erman la'ers 'ere being busil consulted as central and eastern European states drafted ne' constitutional provisions. )oing beond electoral and constitutional affairs 'here )erman$s part foundations have been ver active in central Europe, institutional effects are also readil apparent in the field of business. The corporate and banking sstems in central Europe, for e1ample, are developing along the lines of )erman$s universal banks 'hich not onl take deposits and make loans but also trade and sell securities and other financial products. According to .ark Delson, )erman spent heavil bet'een *778 and *77= on programs seeking to draft the la's and regulations b 'hich capitalism evolves in central and eastern Europe. =7 (n the monetar realm, specificall, )erman influence is relativel uncontested. And the !undesbank served as an institutional model for several national banks in central Europe, including #ungar as PMter )edeon discusses in chapter 5. ;ollo'ing in the footsteps of other )erman institutions, it has offered e1tensive training to about >88 central bankers from central and eastern Europe. Each of the central European states floats against a trade&'eighted average of foreign currencies in 'hich the 4. or E-2 account for about t'o&thirds. >8
,trong as the )erman position has rapidl become in central Europe during the *778s, it is not uncontested. An alternative institutional model is offered b the more free&'heeling AngloAmerican banking model 'hich the 2nited ,tates promoted at considerable cost. >* And despite its phenomenal gro'th since *778, )erman trade accounts for onl about one&third of the total e1ternal trade and investment figures of the central European economies. >/ This figure is, broadl speaking, in line 'ith )erman$s economic 'eight in the E2. >5 (t remains to be seen 'hether central Europe$s economic dependence on )erman 'ill further increase in the coming ears or 'hether it 'ill taper off at levels that are roughl comparable to those of other +estern European economies. Earl E2 enlargement and the lo'ering of E2 tariff barriers 'ould facilitate such a development. Central Europe and t(e EU +ith the political and economic revolutions of *7C7, the collapse of the -.EA, and the disintegration of the ,oviet 2nion, central European trade has shifted 'ith remarkable speed to the E2. +hile domestic )4P in central Europe declined b about one&fifth bet'een *7C7 and *77/, from a ver lo' base -zechoslovakia$s imports from the E2 rose b 7@ percent, Poland$s b @/ percent, and #ungar$s b =8 percent. 4espite these strong increases the central European economies accounted for less than *.> percent of the E2$s total e1ternal trade in *77/ and this figure has increased onl slightl since then. >= ,ince the start of the *778s +estern corporations have invested about L/> billion in the four "isegrad countries. >>
Af similar importance are the institutional links that the central European states have forged 'ith the E2. >@ .ovement a'a from the -ommunist sstem 'as complemented b movement to'ards the European model. %The most po'erful force e1erted both on the political sstems and the peoples of East Europe,% 'rites <on Linden, %'as the pull of the idea of Europe itself. As the revolutions of *7C7 spread, the sentiment 'as increasingl voiced b those making the changes that the 'anted their countr to be $European,$ to Foin or reFoin a political continent from 'hich the had been forcibl cut off.% >B The E- foreign ministers, in turn, issued in 4ecember *77* a declaration 'hich specified the conditions for diplomatic recognition of the central and eastern European states and the successor states to the ,oviet 2nionE respect for the rule of la'? for democrac and human rights as laid do'n in the provisions of the 2D -harter, the ;inal Act of #elsinki setting up the -,-E, and that organization$s -harter of Paris adopted in Dovember *778? and for guarantees for the rights of ethnic and national groups and minorities as specified in the general frame'ork of the -,-E. (n Jul *7C7 the E- took over the coordination of the aid programs of the )&/= for central and eastern Europe. (t signed bilateral trade agreements 'ith the central European states in *778& 7*. (n *778 the E2 initiated a special assistance program for Poland and #ungar? in Januar *77* it granted the central European states )eneralized ,stem of Preferences 9),P: status normall reserved for developing economies? subse3uentl, in *77*, it eliminated some 3uantitative restrictions on steel and iron and increased the 3uotas for the import of te1tiles and garments? and after eighteen months of negotiations the E2 signed Association Agreements 9the so&called %Europe Agreements%: in 4ecember *77* 'hich also sought to institutionalize a regular polic dialogue 'hile specifing conditions on 3uestions of economic and political reforms and guarantees of human rights. ! the end of *77* central European firms enFoed E2 tariff preferences over non&European firms. !ut because the E2 e1empted sensitive sectors such as agriculture, te1tiles, and steel from trade liberalization, sectors in 'hich the enFo the largest comparative advantage, the central European states have had a more restricted access to the E2 market than do some of the associate .editerranean members of the E2. (n the summer of *775, at its -openhagen summit, the E2 made additional polic concessions 'hile specifing a catalogue of conditions that the central European states had to meet prior to becoming full E2 members. ,ubse3uentl, in .a *77=, the E2 offered its central and eastern European associate members an %associate partnership% in the +est European 2nion 9+E2:, the E2$s securit and defense organizations. The applications that Poland, #ungar, and the -zech <epublic subse3uentl filed for full membership have met stiff resistance from several members of the E2. (mports in sensitive sectors, such as agriculture, steel, chemicals, and garments, are meeting stiff protectionist resistance in the E2. After sharp increases in central European e1ports in these sectors bet'een *7C7 and *77/, the European Association Agreements of *77* brought e1port gro'th to a halt. Thus imports from central Europe in sensitive sectors barel topped / percent of the E2$s total imports in *77/. >C ;inall, for strategic and economic reasons ;rance and the southern European states do not see the E2$s eastern enlargement as a high&priorit issue. ,trategicall, the 'orr about a possible destabilization of Dorth African politics through (slam. And on economic grounds ;rance fears that Polish membership could 'reck the sstem of the -ommon Agricultural Polic 9-AP:, 'hile ,pain, Portugal, and )reece are fearful of diminishing subsidies from the E2$s structural and cohesion funds. >7 An a per capita basis #ungar$s income 'as L/,B/8 in *77* as compared to L/,=B8 for -zechoslovakia and L*,B78 for Poland? these figures amounted, respectivel, to =>, =*, and 58 percent of Portugal$s per capita income, 'hich itself is onl half of ,pain$s. #aving greatl benefited from E2 membership, the southern European states, together 'ith ;rance, are not eager to help create the unavoidable political pressures for redistribution favoring central Europe in an enlarged E2. @8 )erman polic 'ill thus be crucial in determining the pace of the E2$s incorporation of central Europe. Central Europe and NATO +ith the end of the -old +ar, for a brief moment in *778 the debate about the future securit structure of Europe 'as genuinel open. @* DATA, the -onference for ,ecurit and -ooperation in Europe 9-,-E:, and the +E2 9as the foreign polic arm of the E-: all offered different institutional possibilities. Among these the 2nited ,tates preferred redefining and broadening DATA$s mission, beond the collective defense provisions of Article ", to act as guarantor of European securit? )erman favored upgrading the importance of the -,-E, an institution that it had helped found in *7B>, into the center of a ne' pan&European securit structure embedding East and +est? and ;rance hoped to enhance the importance of the E- and +E2 in providing for European securit. Political reactions to the initial crises of the post&-old +ar era in *77* 9the )ulf +ar, the beginning of the 'ar in 6ugoslavia, and the failed coup in the ,oviet 2nion: all helped bring about a DATA¢ered securit structure. 6et in the fall of *7C7 this outcome 'as not preordained. Adopted in Dovember *778, the -,-E -harter of Paris 'as based on the assumption that states 'ould be 'illing to compl 'ith the procedures, rules, and norms laid do'n b -,-E mechanisms and institutions. ,mall organizational head3uarters dealing 'ith securit, dispute and conflict resolution, and elections and democrac 'ere set up, respectivel, in Prague, "ienna, and +arsa', soon to be marginalized b the crises in the post&-old +ar era. The -,-E #elsinki ,ummit 4eclaration emphasized human and democratic rights and, seeking a global affiliation, in effect made the -,-E a regional organization of the 2D. @/
(n an initial move designed to facilitate contacts 'ith central Europe, DATA$s London ,ummit set up liaison officers bet'een central Europe and DATA in June *778. DATA created the Dorth Atlantic -ooperation -ouncil 9DA--: in late *77* as the main forum for dialogue and cooperation on securit issues affecting DATA and the former member states of the +TA. ! fall *77/, at its Aslo summit, DATA agreed that it should act on behalf of the -,-E. This 'as a precursor for DATA$s Partnership for Peace 9P;P:. The Partnership offered a vehicle for concrete militar cooperation bet'een DATA and the former members of the +TA, including operational cooperation in defense budgeting, Foint planning and e1ercises, peacekeeping operations, disaster relief and crisis management. This is also a possible, though not an automatic, path'a to'ard eventual DATA membership for states that have successfull consolidated their transitions to marketoriented, democraticall organized political sstems and that have refurbished their militaries and ac3uired the capabilities necessar to operate under Foint DATA command. The chief tasks for the central European states are establishing a clear civilian control over the militar? fundamental changes in strategic doctrine and operational planning? and significant changes in procurement and logistics. @5
4uring his trip to Europe in Jul *77=, President -linton stated that it is %no longer a 3uestion of 'hether, but 'hen and ho'.% The 2.,. Presidential election in *77@ fi1ed the date 'ith ,enator 4ole and the President both agreeing that enlargement should happen before the ear /888. Poland, #ungar, and the -zech <epublic have e1pressed a strong interest in being admitted to DATA at an earl date. ,ecurit concerns, especiall about the stabilit of <ussian democrac and the peacefulness of <ussian foreign polic, have mattered greatl. ,o does a strong sense that to be part of the +est means to be part not onl of the E2 but also of DATA. ;or reasons that chapter > discusses in some detail, alone among the central European states ,lovakia ma not be included in the initial group to be admitted to full DATA membership. ;or the same reasons that the central European states 'ish to Foin DATA at an earl date, government and opposition in <ussia are strongl opposed. @= DATA$s Eastern enlargement 'ould tilt the balance of po'er further against a much 'eakened <ussian militar? and, barring a fi1ed timetable for <ussian DATA membership, it 'ould smbolize that even a capitalist and democratic <ussia 'as not part of the +est. ;or this reason the )erman government has not taken a uniform position on this issue. +hile 4efense .inister <Nhe has been a strong advocate of earl DATA enlargement, -hancellor Kohl and ;oreign .inister Kinkel have adopted a more cautious line 'hich leaves open the interpretation that the favor enlargement as a long&term process that eventuall 'ould also include <ussia and thus might transform DATA from a collective defense to a collective securit institution. @> To date, )erman$s Eastern polic is thus predicated on an un'illingness to choose bet'een DATA enlargement 'ith or 'ithout <ussia. +hether earlier or later, 'ith the 2nited ,tates and )erman both committed to their Foining DATA, the central European states, 'ith the possible e1ception of ,lovakia, are 'ell on their 'a to becoming DATA members. Pre+ie' -hapters /&> cover a total of fourteen cases dealing 'ith man of the economic, social, and ethnic problems that the central European states are facing in the *778s. The concluding chapter @ argues that, for a number of reasons, the dnamics of central European integration e1isted onl before *775? since then the central European states have been po'erfull affected b European and international rather than subregional factors. +Oodek AnioO, Timoth !rnes, and Elena (ankova argue in chapter / that Poland$s return to Europe is marked b the strong cross¤ts bet'een Polish nationalists, organized around the trade union and the -atholic -hurch, 'hich helped bring the -ommunist sstem do'n and cosmopolitans, man of 'hom are voters of post&-ommunist parties, 'ho are deepl attracted b the model of a secular 'elfare state and a capitalist democrac. Poland$s +estern orientation is reflected in the affinit bet'een its transformative corporatism that helps govern its political econom, its embracing of European norms and conventions dealing, for e1ample, 'ith issues of identit 9the )erman ethnic minorit: @@ and securit 9migration:. <eturning to Europe can mean importing liberal norms, as in the case of ethnic minorities, or adopting restrictive policies, as in the case of migration. !ut in all instances it means choosing a multilateral over a bilateral approach. Poland$s -atholic -hurch mean'hile has in mind not merel adFusting to European norms but civilizing of +estern Europe, multilaterall if possible and unilaterall if necessar, through the revitalization of a religious faith and moralit long lost in a secular and commercial 'orld. PMter )edeon argues in chapter 5 that, compared to Poland, the role of the -hurch in #ungar is much 'eaker as is the legac of fearing )erman. (n the case of privatization and the inflo' of foreign investment, for e1ample, )erman influence is no source of political debate or concern. (n the area of social polic the )erman model sho's a certain amount of influence but this effect is undermined b the contradictor constraints of democratic politics and economic efficienc. !oth constraints limit #ungar$s emulation of the )erman 'elfare state. The crucial international actors affecting #ungar$s social polic are the (.; and the +orld !ank. The are ver active in helping develop the formation of a ne' social polic regime in #ungar. The situation differs in the case of #ungar$s Dational !ank 9D!#:. #ere the )erman institutional model is po'erful, although democratic politics has mediated this influence. As a result of legal regulations the autonom of the D!# does not match that of the !undesbank, and the government made efforts to circumvent the legal restrictions under 'hich it operates. !ut under circumstances of economic crisis a hardening of e1ternal constraints in international markets ma counterbalance the effect of democratic politics and pressure the government to observe more strictl the institutionalized autonom of the Dational !ank. (n chapter = #nek JeGHbek and ;rantiIek Jich argue that "+$s ac3uisition of ,koda illuminates the gro'ing international links that tie the -zech econom to )erman, European, and 'orld markets. !oth ,koda and the -zech government badl 'anted an infusion of +estern capital and kno'&ho' in order to secure the future of a corporation occuping a strategic position inside the -zech econom. #o'ever, "+$s takeover has e1posed ,koda to economic dependence. This opens the -zech econom to international influences fe' envisaged 'hen the initial deal 'as signed. #ard times in +olfsburg sharpl reduced the gro'th and technological potential of this crucial -zech compan. -zech media have internationalized even more rapidl than the automobile industr. )erman influence 'as virtuall unchecked in the regional press, 'ith one !avarian publishing compan 3uickl ac3uiring monopol control over the regional press in !ohemia. (n electronic media, on the other hand, the issuance of a license to the first private national television station in *775 opened the -zech market not to )erman but to American investors 'ho provided t'othirds of the capital of -ET /*. ;inall, the historicall laden issue of -zech&)erman relations in the -zech borderlands and the position of the ,udeten )ermans illustrates ho' progress to'ard -zech membership in the E2 is complicated b a political issue that has bedeviled central European politics for man decades. Euroregions as a concrete counter have none of the political salience that the ,udeten )ermans evoke 'ith their political demands for official recognition as a dialogue partner for the -zech government. The difficulties in official )erman&-zech relations e1plain 'h b .arch *77@ half of the -zech public vie'ed )erman as a danger for the -zech econom, a slight increase as compared to *77/. The proportion of those vie'ing )erman as a source of political danger Fumped b ten points to 57 percent. @B A Foint declaration agreed to in 4ecember *77@ and signed in Januar *77B b Prime .inister Klaus and -hancellor Kohl trades )erman apologies for its invasion and anne1ation of -zechoslovakia in *75C&57 for -zech apologies for the e1pulsion of three million ,udeten )ermans at the end of +orld +ar ((. @C Do' ratified, this declaration ma help to graduall improve bilateral relations as both governments have no' agreed not to burden their future relationship 'ith the burdens of the past. 4aneI !rzica, Juzana PolHPkovH, and (vo ,amson argue in chapter > that, beond the double transformation of moving to democrac and capitalism, ,lovakia is e1perimenting, for the first time in a thousand ears, 'ith sovereign statehood. Thus the fight for po'er in ,lovakia$s domestic politics is intense and the reluctance of the government to embrace an integration strateg is palatable. ;or reasons of national identit ,lovakia is interested in charting its o'n 'a, separate from the -zech <epublic. (t sees itself as a bridge bet'een East and +est. (n some polic areas, such as the conversion of its armaments industr, the ,lovak government has moved 'ith dramatic speed to shut do'n most of its production facilities in record time, thus creating enormous unemploment problems in several regions of the countr. <ather than follo'ing through 'ith the voucher privatization that -zechoslovakia had started, the decision of the government to maintain national control over privatized firms has been the source of intense domestic conflict and some nervousness in international capital markets. !ecause it fits current political needs ,lovakia, more than the other central European states, is intent on institutionalizing a bank&led )erman rather than a market&led Anglo&American sstem. ,lovak polic regarding the #ungarian ethnic minorit is not firml committed to European norms and practices. ,lovakia has permitted the issue of minorit rights to be at the center of the political agenda since the countr gained its independence in *775. ;inall, in its securit polic the ,lovak government, more than the Polish government, stresses traditional militar concerns and has chosen to maintain cordial relations 'ith <ussia 'hile vie'ing DATA 'ith some suspicion. An most counts then ,lovakia is less strongl oriented to'ard 'estern Europe than are Poland, #ungar, and the -zech <epublic. The international relations of central Europe, "alerie !unce argues in chapter @, have seen a substantial change in a ver short time. ,eeking to revive historical memories and consolidate the gains of the revolution of *7C7, the central European states undertook numerous attempts at institution building in the region bet'een *778 and *77/. (n Dovember *7C7 Austria, -zechoslovakia, #ungar, (tal, and the former 6ugoslavia signed the Pentagonale Agreement 'hich Poland Foined in *77* and the 2kraine in *77/? !elarus, !ulgaria, <omania, and )erman$s !avaria have asked to participate in specific proFects. Poland, #ungar and -zechoslovakia signed in ;ebruar *778 the so&called Trilateral -ooperation Agreement. Evoking the historical memor of the *55> meeting bet'een their three kings, the "isegrad summit of ;ebruar *77* codified the trilateral cooperation bet'een these three central European states, specificall a strengthening of economic and defense ties as 'ell as the development of a common approach to DATA and the E2. (n *77/ this organization 'as renamed the -entral European (nitiative 9-E(:, even though the four central European states and the 2kraine signed in ;ebruar *775 an agreement covering broader cooperation. "arious cooperative ventures are covering a 'ide arra of polic sectors dealing 'ith, among other things, energ, migration, the environment, research and development, culture, tourism, transport, telecommunications, information, and small enterprises. ;inall, the establishment of the -entral European ;ree Trade Area 9-E;TA: in *77/ prepared the ground for a decision to abolish tariffs in the region b *77C. !ut as chapter @ argues, since *775 these attempts have flagged as central Europe became in the ees of the -zech government in particular a hindrance for rapid integration 'ith +estern Europe. !ecause the -zechs, in their o'n self&perceptions, are Europeans, not central Europeans, European, not central European multilateralism is for the -zech government the preferred 'a of linking up 3uickl to )erman and Europe. This contrasts sharpl 'ith the polic the 2krainian government has adopted in its relations 'ith <ussia and the -(,. 4espite its apparent 'eakness it has opted for bilateralism. Even though it receives the lion$s share of 2.,. aid in central&eastern Europe, the 2krainian government reFects the notion that multilateralism 'ill someho' constrain <ussia as the stronger po'er. (t fears that multilateralism 'ill become a vehicle through 'hich <ussian po'er in the -(, 'ill be magnified. -entral European governments have no similar fears in their relations 'ith the E2 and )erman. -entral European integration 'as also hindered b the constant irritation that the minorit issue has generated in the relations bet'een #ungar and ,lovakia since *775. (n short, as has been true of ,candinavia in recent ears, central European cooperation 'as stmied b the dnamic of European integration 'hich has eaten a'a at integration processes in all of Europe$s subregions. The case studies in this book illustrate t'o broad sets of factors that are affecting the political choices of the central European states. (nternational factors are shaping the definition of interests of Poland and the -zech <epublic. (n the case studies presented in chapters / and = Polish interests are shaped b the primac of international norms, -zech interests b the primac of economic internationalization. !ecause the seven case studies are onl illustrative, 'e cannot be sure that this reflects a more general difference bet'een the t'o countries. The analtical difference bet'een international norms and economic internationalization is, ho'ever, significant since, to varing degrees, these t'o factors are affecting all four central European states. (n contrast, chapter 5 argues for the relativel greater importance of domestic factors in #ungar$s policies of economic and social e1perimentation. ,imilarl, chapter > illustrates the importance of domestic politics in the ,lovak <epublic 'hich, on issues such as privatization and minorit rights, appears to be motivated substantiall b a domestic politics of regime consolidation. Although the #ungarian and ,lovak case studies are onl illustrative, the point to the range of conditions under 'hich domestic politics greatl matter in all four central European states. ;inall, these chapters illustrate the different 'eight of the memories of past )erman policies, less po'erful in Poland than in the -zech <epublic, and virtuall absent in #ungar and the ,lovak <epublic. @7 The effects that the policies and developments of recent ears are having on the reconstruction of the relationships bet'een )erman and the central European states remain unclear toda. !ut because the are occurring in a Europe, and 'ith a )erman, that is much more internationalized than 'as true before *7=>, the evidence of this book suggests that the developments and policies of the *778s are cutting against a deep historical grain. ;riedrich Daumann$s vision of central Europe %sought a comprehensive political solution for the national and social problems of his era ... a post'ar )erman societ interrelated 'ith other nations of .iddle Europe and living 'ith them in a ne' conte1t of social and cultural relationships.% B8 ( have argued here that central Europe is no longer a political program. (t ma 'ell be in the process of becoming a set of distinctive domestic structures that 'e can analze as tpes of corporatist politics that differ but are related to the tpes that have evolved in Austria, ,'itzerland, and )erman. The effect of international politics on this 'estern¢ral European corporatism has been profound as a liberal international econom has contributed to the consolidation and perpetuation of democratic corporatism in the cases of )erman, Austria, and ,'itzerland. The E2 and international markets more generall are probabl having an analogous effect on Poland, #ungar, the -zech <epublic, and ,lovakia in the *778s and beond. (n the post'ar era central Europe shrank to )erman, 'ith Austria and ,'itzerland as little noticed appendages. A transatlantic historical consensus measured the )erman problem in terms of its deviation from the +estern path to modernit. The peaceful citizen revolutions 'hich helped bring about the end of the -old +ar, the liberation of central Europe, and )erman unification open up the possibilit, indeed the necessit, of rethinking afresh %the )erman 3uestion,% and other )erman 3uestions in central Europe and in Europe at large. B*
Daumann$s conception of central Europe entailed the vie' of politics as a zero&sum game. %+e kno' that 'hen 'e 'in, others must lose. 6et this fact should not keep us from 'anting to 'in.% B/ )erman nationalism and imperialism, its dnamic societ and its Dietzschean lust for po'er, no longer preoccup and threaten the 'orld as the once did. B5 And central European affairs have moved to the margins of 'orld politics. This development is remarkable in light of the profound upheavals and horrors 'hich )erman has caused in the past and 'hich central and eastern Europe have suffered. .ultilateral regimes are inhibiting unilateral )erman initiatives along the lines of traditional po'er politics. This is also occurring in the 'a po'er is organized in )erman domestic politics. Po'er and 'ealth in central Europe are beginning to be thought of not onl in relative but also in absolute terms. 6et if this 'a of thinking is to become firml institutionalized, the convergence of central Europe 'ith +estern Europe as 'ell as their integration 'ill have to be taken to a ne' and higher level. ;or their helpful comments, criticisms, and suggestions on an earlier draft of this chapter ( 'ould like to thank "alerie !unce, Timoth !rnes, .arc Ellingstad, PMter )edeon, Elena (ankova, and Andrei .arkovits.
* Timoth )arton Ash, %4oes -entral Europe E1ist0% in )eorge ,chQpflin and Danc +oods, eds., (n ,earch of -entral Europe 9 LondonE Polit Press, *7C7:, p. *7*. / +alter <ussell .ead, %The Ance and ;uture <eich,% +orld Polic Journal B 9 *778:E @85. ,ee also James Kurth, %)erman and the <eemergence of .itteleuropa,% -urrent #istor 7=, >7> 9 Dovember *77>:E5C*&C@, and %2nited )erman in Eastern EuropeE The De' Eastern Ruestion,% Problems of Post&-ommunism =/, * 9 Januar&;ebruar *77>:E >*&>>. 5 Elizabeth Pond and 4avid ,choenbaum, The )erman Ruestion and Ather )erman Ruestions 9 De' 6orkE ,t. .artin$s, *77@:. = .ichael KumpfmNller, %KQnigsberg und andere Kleinigkeiten,% 4ie Jeit 9 C April *77=:E *5. > Peter J. Katzenstein, ed., Tamed Po'erE )erman in Europe 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *77B:. @ (bid. B According to Timoth )arton Ash, ;rench geographers determined a place north of "ilnius to be the center of Europe. (t is marked b a black granite slab engraved 'ith the longitude 9/>S *7$: and latitude 9>=S >=$: and the 'ords Europos centras. As Ash reports, %( stand on it 'ith 'hat eighteenth¢ur travelers used to call sublime emotion, and nearl fall off. (t$s slipper out there, on the center of Europe.% Timoth )arton Ash, %Journe to the Post& -ommunist East,% The De' 6ork <evie' of !ooks 9 /5 June *77=:E *C. C Andrei ,. .arkovits and ,imon <eich, The )erman PredicamentE .emor and Po'er in the De' Europe 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *77B:. *8 (mportant contributions to that debate are translated and interpreted in ,chQpflin and +ood, (n ,earch of -entral Europe. ** ;or an application of a similar analtical perspective to Europe and Asia, see Peter J. Katzenstein, %(ntroductionE Asian <egionalism in -omparative Perspective,% in Peter J. Katzenstein and Takashi ,hiraishi, eds., Det'ork Po'erE Japan and Asia 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *77B:, pp. B&*/. 7 %)renze ohne ,chatten,% 4er ,piegel=* T *77@E *5=&@5, and =/T *77@E *=/&@5. */ (ver !. Deumann, %<ussia as -entral Europe$s -onstituting Ather,% East European Politics and ,ocieties B, / 9 ,pring *775:E 5=7&@7, and Deumann, <ussia and the (dea of Europe 9 LondonE <outledge, *77@:. ,ee also .atthias Jimmer, %<eturn of the .ittellage0 The 4iscourse of the -entre in )erman ;oreign Polic,% )erman Politics @, * 9 April *77B:E /5&5C. *5 ,amuel P. #untington, %The -lash of -ivilizations0% ;oreign Affairs B/, 5 9,ummer *775:E //&=7. *= Peter )lotz, %4eutsch&bQhmische Kleinigkeiten oderE Abgerissene )edanken Nber .itteleuropa%,% 4ie Deue )esellschaftT;rankfurter #efte 55 9 *7C@:E >C=&C>. *> The Polish data are comparable. A parliamentar debate in ;ebruar *77> revealed that >@ percent of all national publications and >8 percent of all regional ones, 'ith about B8 percent of the total print run in both instances, 'ere foreigno'ned. The Passauer Deue Presse has ac3uired almost a monopol position in the regional press of the -zech <epublic and is also ver prominent in Poland. +odek Anio, personal communication, *5 June *77>. *@ Andrei ,. .arkovits and -aroln #Qfig, %)erman as a !ridgeE )erman ;oreign -ultural Polic in a -hanging Europe,% paper presented as part of the seminar series of the American (nstitute for -ontemporar )erman ,tudies on %)erman$s <ole in ,haping the De' EuropeE Architect, .odel, !ridge,% +ashington 4.-., 7 Januar *77@, pp. 5>&=@. ,ee also .arkovits and <eich, The )erman Predicament, pp. *C5&/8/, 'hich are Fointl authored 'ith #Qfig. *B ( gathered the information on the )oethe (nstitute$s approach in intervie's conducted in +arsa', !udapest, and Prague bet'een *77/ and *77=. The e1perience of the -enter for Advanced ,tud is reported in +olf Lepenies, %+ie stUrkt man lokale +issenskulturen0 4rei ;allbeispiele aus !udapest, +arschau und !ukarest,% paper prepared for a meeting of the 'orking group %+issenschaften und +iedervereinigung,% !erlin&!randenburgische Akademie der +issenschaften, !erlin, >&@ Actober *77>. *C ,chQpflin and +oods, (n ,earch of -entral Europe. Peter ,tirk, ed., .itteleuropaE #istor and Prospects 9 EdinburghE Edinburgh 2niversit Press, *77=:. #enr -ord .eer , .itteleuropa in )erman Thought and Action *C*>&*7=> 9 The #agueE .. DiFhoff, *7>>:. *7 Ash, %Post&-ommunist East,% p. *@. /8 +erner -onze, Astmitteleuropa 9 .unichE -.#. !eck, *77/:. /* Karl +. 4eutsch, Dationalism and (ts Alternatives 9 De' 6orkE Knopf, *7@7:, pp. 5B&@@. // <ainer Eisfeld, %.itteleuropa in #istorical and -ontemporar Perspective%,% )erman Politics and ,ociet/C 9 ,pring *775:E 57. /5 Konrad #. Jarausch. %;rom ,econd to Third <eichE The Problem of -ontinuit in )erman ;oreign Polic,% -entral European #istor */, * 9 .arch *7B7:E @C&C/. Peter J. Katzenstein and Takashi ,hiraishi, %-onclusionE <egions in +orld Politics. Japan and Asia&)erman in Europe,% in Katzenstein and ,hiraishi, Det'ork Po'er, pp. 5B>&BC. /= "olker !erghahn, %)erman !ig !usiness and the Ruest for a European Economic Empire in the T'entieth -entur,% in "olker !erghahn, <einhard Deebe, and Jeffre J. Anderson, )erman !ig !usiness and Europe in the T'entieth -entur 9 Providence, <.(.E !ro'n 2niversit, *775:, pp. *&5C. /> Peter .. <. ,tirk, %(deas of Economic (ntegration in (nter'ar .itteleuropa,% in ,tirk, .itteleuropa, pp. C@&***. Anthon .cElligott, %<eforging .itteleuropa in the -rucible of +arE The Economic (mpact of (ntegration under )erman #egemon,% ibid., pp. */7 & >C. <obert .ark ,paulding Jr., %)erman Trade Polic in Eastern Europe, *C78&*778E Preconditions for Appling (nternational Trade Leverage,% (nternational Arganization =>, 5 9 ,ummer *77*:E 5=5&@C. (dem, Asthandel and AstpolitikE )erman ;oreign Trade Policies in Eastern Europe from !ismarck to Adenauer 9 Providence, <(E !erghahn !ooks, *77B:. /@ Peter J. Katzenstein, -orporatism and -hangeE Austria, ,'itzerland and the Politics of (ndustr 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *7C=:. Andreas !usch, %The Politics of Price ,tabilitE +h the )erman&,peaking Dations are 4ifferent,% in ;rancis ). -astles , ed., ;amilies of DationsE Patterns of Public Polic in +estern 4emocracies 9 AldershotE 4artmouth, *775:, pp. 5>&7*. Andrei ,. .arkovits, %Austrian&)erman <elations in the De' EuropeE Predicaments of Political and Dational (dentit ;ormation,% )erman ,tudies <evie' *7, * 9 ;ebruar *77@:E 7*&***. .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, pp. *8*&8C. /B Postsocialist Path'asE Transforming Politics and Propert in East -entral Europe 9 De' 6orkE -ambridge 2niversit Press, forthcoming:. ;or a useful schematic description of central European privatization schemes, see also -atherine .ann, ,tefanie Len'a, and 4erek 2tter, %Political and Economic -onse3uences of Alternative Privatization ,chemes,% 2niversit of -alifornia, -enter for )erman and European ,tudies, +orking Paper >.*= 9 June *775:. /C Elena Atanassova (ankova, %The Transformative -orporatism of Eastern Europe,% paper presented at the conference %The Politics of <egional <estructuring,% -ornell 2niversit, -enter for (nternational ,tudies, *C&*7 Actober *77@, and %,ocial Partnership after the -old +arE The Transformative -orporatism of Eastern Europe,% Ph.4. dissertation, ,chool for (ndustrial and Labor <elations, -ornell 2niversit, *77B. /7 (ankova, %Transformative -orporatism,% pp. @&*=. 58 Peter J. Katzenstein, ,mall ,tates in +orld .arketsE (ndustrial Polic in Europe 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *7C>:. Katzenstein, -orporatism and -hange. 5* Peter J. Katzenstein, 4isFoined PartnersE Austria and )erman since *C*> 9 !erkeleE 2niversit of -alifornia Press, *7B@:, pp. *@5&*B@. 5/ Katzenstein, ,mall ,tates in +orld .arkets. 55 #ans&)eorg !etz, %-ontinuit and -hange in Austria, ,'itzerland and )erman,% unpublished paper, Paul #. Ditze ,chool of Advanced (nternational ,tudies, Johns #opkins 2niversit, n.d. 5= Peter J. Katzenstein, Polic and Politics in +est )ermanE The )ro'th of a ,emisovereign ,tate 9 PhiladelphiaE Temple 2niversit Press, *7CB:. 5> ,cott )issendanner, %4ie dritte <epublik or the ,ame Ald ;ederal <epublic0 +hat the )erman ,ocial ,cience Literature has to ,a about )erman 2nification and (ts ,stemic Effects,% .a1&Planck ,ociet, Arbeitsgruppe Transformationsprozesse in den neuen !undeslUndern, #umboldt 2niversit, !erlin, ,eptember *77@. Klaus von !eme, %The ;ailure of a ,uccess ,torE )erman <eunification in Light of Polic Evaluation,% -enter for )erman and European ,tudies, )eorgeto'n 2niversit, Actober *77=. 5@ Peter J. Katzenstein, ed., (ndustr and Politics in +est )ermanE To'ard the Third <epublic 9 (thacaE -ornell 2niversit Press, *7C7:. 5B .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, p. *B/. 5C AndrHs (notai, %The Economic (mpact of )erman <eunification on -entral and Eastern Europe,% A(-), ,eminar Paper * 9 June *77/:, pp. / & 5 and table *. ;or a variet of data covering the ears *7C7 T78&*77/T75, see also <elations bet'een )erman and East -entral Europe until /888E Prospects and Polic AptionsE Proceedings of an (nternational -onference 9 !udapestE (nstitute for +orld Economics of the #ungarian Academ of ,ciences, *77=:, pp. @>&@B, C8&C=, 78&75, 7C&77. ,e also Patricia 4avis and Peter 4ombros'ki, %Appetite of the +olfE )erman ;oreign Assistance for -entral and Eastern Europe,% )erman Politics @, * 9 April *77B:E *&//. 57 Klaus&4ieter ,chmidt and Petra DauFoks, %+estern Enterprises on Eastern .arketsE The )erman Perspective,% Kiel +orking Paper Do. @8B 9 KielE Kiel (nstitute of +orld Economics, 4ecember *775:, pp. *8&**. =8 4ie Jeit 5* 9 /@ Jul *77@:E *C. .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, p. *B=. .arc Ellingstad, %)erman 4omination in -entral EuropeE <oom for Potential -oncern,% JATE ,ociolog 4epartment, ,zeged, #ungar, p. >. =* Trade among the central European economies has declined in all four countries after *7C7 and remains ver limited, despite the political efforts of organizing a free trade area. Anl the trade bet'een the -zech <epublic and ,lovakia is an e1ception? it is almost t'ice as large as the total trade in the rest of the region. =/ .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, p. *B@. Ellingstad, %)erman 4omination,% p. >. =5 .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, p. *BB. == AnFana ,hrivastava, %,maller ;irms Lead )erman Push to East,% The +all ,treet Journal 9 *= June *77>:E A*>. => %Dur 'enige fliehen,% 4er ,piegel @T *77>E 7=&7>. ,chmidt and DauFoks, %+estern Enterprises on Eastern .arkets,% p. *5. =@ <einhard +olf, %The 4oubtful .overE )erman and DATA E1pansion,% in 4avid #aglund, ed., +ill DATA )o East0 The 4ebate over Enlarging the Atlantic Alliance 9forthcoming? currentl, unpublished paper, 2niversit of #alle, ;ebruar *77@:, p. =, footnote 5. .arkovits and <eich, )erman Predicament, pp. *BB, *C8. =B Jeremiah <iemer, %+est )erman and the Transition in Eastern Europe,% paper prepared for the Annual .eeting of the American Political ,cience Association, ,an ;rancisco, ,eptember *778, p. /8. ,ee also, Peter J. Katzenstein, %The ,maller European ,tates, )erman, and Europe,% in Katzenstein, ed., Tamed Po'er, chapter C, pp. /8&// 9manuscript:. =C <onald #. Linden, %The De' (nternational Political Econom of East Europe,% ,tudies in -omparative -ommunism />, * 9 .arch *77/:E B. =7 .ark .. Delson, %T'o ,tles of !usiness "ie in East EuropeE Americans, )ermans have a .otive in Tring to .old La's,% The +all ,treet Journal 9 5 April *77>:E A*8. Delson reports an implausibl high figure of L>.@C billion >8 The Polish zlot has since .a *77> fluctuated 'ithin a band of VB percent against a basket of five currencies 9=> percent dollar? 5> percent 4.? /8 percent other:. The #ungarian forint has been on a cra'ling peg since *77> 'ith a band of V/./> percent around a 'eighted currenc basket 9B8 percent E-2 and 58 percent dollar:. ;or the -zech koruna the band is VB.> percent and the trade 'eights are @> percent E-2 and 5> percent dollar. +ith identical trade 'eights, for the ,lovak koruna the band is onl V5 percent. >* Delson, %T'o ,tles of !usiness "ie in East Europe.% Delson mentions an unrealisticall high figure of four billion dollars 'hich the 2nited ,tates supposedl spent bet'een *775 and *77>. >/ <aimo "Urnen, %Post&#egemonic and Post&,ocialist <egionalismE A -omparison of -entral Europe and East Asia,% paper prepared for the (,A&JA(< Joint -onvention in .akuhari, Japan, /8&// ,eptember *77@, p. /*. >5 Joseph .. )rieco, %"ariation in <egional Economic (nstitutions in +estern Europe, East Asia and the AmericasE .agnitude and ,ources% 9 4uke 2niversit, Political ,cience 4epartment, *77=:, pp. /8&/=, 58&5@, and tables /, 5, B&7. Alan ,iaroff , %(nterdependence versus Asmmetr0 A -omparison of the European and Asia&Pacific Economic <egions,% paper presented at the (,A&+est .eetings, ,eattle, *=&*> Actober *77=. >= Ale1is )alinos, %-entral Europe and the E2E Prospects for -loser (ntegration,% <;ET<L <esearch <eport 5, /7 9 // Jul *77=:E /*. ,ee also AndrHs (notai, %-entral and Eastern Europe,% in -. <andall #enning, Eduard #ochreiter, and )ar -lde #ufbauer , eds., <eviving the European 2nion 9 +ashington 4.-.E (nstitute for (nternational Economics, April *77=:, pp. *57&@=, and !arr P. !os'orth and )ur Afer , <eforming Planned Economies in an (ntegrating +orld Econom 9 +ashington 4.-.E The !rookings (nstitution, *77>:, pp. **7&=@. John Pinder, The European -ommunit and Eastern Europe 9 De' 6orkE -ouncil of ;oreign <elations Press, *77*:. >> Ellingstad, %)erman 4omination in -entral Europe,% p. =. >@ Thomas A. !alis, The +est and Eastern EuropeE Economic ,tatecraft and Political -hange 9 +estport, -onn.E Praeger, *77=:. +olfgang #. <einicke, !uilding a De' EuropeE The -hallenge of ,stem Transformation and ,stemic <eform 9 +ashington 4.-.E !rookings (nstitution, *77/:. %After -ommunismE +hat0% 4$dalus */5, 5 9 ,ummer *77=:. >B Linden, %De' (nternational Political Econom,% p. B. >C )alinos, %-entral Europe and the E2,% pp. /8&/*. >7 AndrHs (notai estimates that the total transfer of E2 funds to the central European economies 'ould amount to about si1t to 78 percent 9or ten to si1teen billion E-2: of the current subsidies paid to the southern European states. The longer the dela before the central European states become full&fledged members, the smaller the needed transfer paments. ,ee his paper, %;rom the Association Agreements to ;ull .embership0 The 4namics of <elations bet'een the -entral and Eastern European -ountries and the European 2nion,% paper presented at the ;ourth !iennial (nternational -onference of European -ommunit ,tudies Association, **&*= .a *77>, -harleston, ,outh -arolina, p. *5. @8 -hristian 4eubner, #einz Kramer, Elke Thiel, %4ie Er'eiterung der EuropUischen 2nion nach .ittel& und Asteuropa,% ,+P&AP /C*C 9,tiftung +issenschaft und Politik, Ebenhausen, Dovember *775:, p. /=. @* Allen ,ens, The ,ecurit of ,mall ,tates in Post&-old +ar EuropeE A De' <esearch Agenda0, +orking Paper Do. *, 2niversit of !ritish -olumbia, (nstitute of (nternational <elations, Januar *77=. ,ee also the debate bet'een -harles A. Kupchan and -lifford A. Kupchan, %-oncerts, -ollective ,ecurit, and the ;uture of Europe,% (nternational ,ecurit *@, * 9 ,ummer *77*:E **=&@*, and <ichard K. !etts, %,stems for Peace or -auses of +ar0% (nternational ,ecurit *B, * 9 ,ummer *77/:E >=5. @/ Lecture delivered b .artin Palous, former foreign minister of -zechoslovakia, %,ecurit (ssues in Eastern and -entral Europe,% -ornell 2niversit, (nstitute for European ,tudies, *C April *77=. @5 Thomas ,. ,zana and E ,tephen Larrabee, East European .ilitar <eform after the -old +arE (mplications for the 2nited ,tates 9 ,anta .onicaE <AD4, Dational 4efense <esearch (nstitute, *77>:. -onversion of the .ilitar ProductionE -omparative Approach 9 !ratislava? ;riedrich&Ebert ;oundation, *775:. ,zemlMr, <elations bet'een )erman and East -entral Europe, pp. B&>5. Joltan !aran, %The .ilitar and Political Transitions in Eastern Europe,% unpublished manuscript, 4epartment of )overnment, 2niversit of Te1as at Austin, n.d. @= Though less vocal, the 2krainian government also fears being left out of an emerging European securit architecture and thus having to cope 'ith <ussia on its o'n. @> +olf, %The 4oubtful .over.% @@ ,ee also )rzegorz Ekiert, %The <eturn of the )erman .inorit to Poland,% )erman Politics and ,ociet /@ 9 ,ummer *77/:E 78&*8C. @B ;rankfurter Allgemeine Jeitung 9 *8 April *77@:E *. @C -raig <. +hitne, %)ermans and -zechs Tr to #eal #atreds of the Dazi Era,% The De' 6ork Times 9 // Januar *77B:E A5. @7 .arkovits and <eich, The )erman Predicament, pp. *87&*7. Petr Prhoda, %+enn die Erinnerung die Jukunft blockiert,% 4ie Jeit 9 *8 .a *77@:E C. B8 #enr -ord .eer, %Daumann and <athenauE Their Paths to the +eimar <epublic,% in Leonard Krieger and ;ritz ,tern, eds., The <esponsibilit of Po'erE #istorical Essas in #onor of #aFo #olborn 9 )arden -itE 4oubleda, *7@B:, pp. 58/, 58@. B* .ichael )eer and Konrad #. Jarausch, %The ;uture of the )erman PastE Transatlantic <eflections for the *778s,% -entral European #istor //, 5T= 9 ,eptember T 4ecember *7C7:E //7&>7. ;or an earl attempt that seeks to place )erman 3uestions in a ne' light after *7C7, see Pond and ,choenbaum, The $)erman Ruestion$ and other )erman Ruestions. B/ .eer, %Daumann and <athenau,% pp. 58=&>. B5 4avid -alleo, The )erman Problem <econsideredE )erman and the +orld Arder, *CB8 to the Present 9 -ambridgeE -ambridge 2niversit Press, *7BC:.
G.R. No. 201302 Hygienic Packaging Corporation, Petitioner Nutri-Asia, Inc., Doing Business Under The Name and Style of Ufc Philippines (FORMERLY NUTRI-ASIA, INC.), Respondent Decision Leonen, J.