Numericals Assignment On Different Regression Models

3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
Quarter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Cost of Materials Consumed

822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
Regression Statistics
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.983699
R Square
0.967663
Adjusted R Square
0.965866
Standard Error
259.7233
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 36334394 36334394 538.6371 7.28E-15
18 1214211 67456.17
19 37548605
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
163.7739 172.2492 0.950796 0.354301 -198.108 525.656 -198.108
6.961636 0.29996 23.20856 7.28E-15 6.331443 7.591828 6.331443
Upper 95.0%
525.656
7.591828
3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
Quarter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
Log Sales
8.671093
8.473528
8.412299
8.508665
8.592154
8.488259
8.455226
8.532035
8.582342
8.427678
8.271229
8.381456
8.409637
8.220199
8.075489
7.489882
7.554518
7.409627
7.340064
7.577009
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Coefficients
Intercept
X Variable 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Coefficients
Intercept
X Variable 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.882887
0.779489
0.767238
678.2286
20
df
SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 29268713 29268713 63.62847 2.55E-07
18 8279892
459994
19 37548605
Coefficients
Upper 95.0%
6130.179 315.0585 19.45727 1.55E-13 5468.266 6792.092 5468.266 6792.092
-209.793 26.30058 -7.97675 2.55E-07 -265.048 -154.538 -265.048 -154.538
SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.856955
0.734371
0.719614
0.237355
20
df
SS
MS
1 2.803563 2.803563
18 1.014073 0.056337
19 3.817636
F
Significance F
49.7638
1.4E-06
Coefficients
Upper 95.0%
8.875383 0.110259 80.49587 1.78E-24 8.643737 9.107028 8.643737 9.107028
-0.06493 0.009204 -7.05435
1.4E-06 -0.08427 -0.04559 -0.08427 -0.04559
3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
Quarter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
Log Sales
8.671093
8.473528
8.412299
8.508665
8.592154
8.488259
8.455226
8.532035
8.582342
8.427678
8.271229
8.381456
8.409637
8.220199
8.075489
7.489882
7.554518
7.409627
7.340064
7.577009
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Coefficients
Intercept
X Variable 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.975192
0.951
0.948277
0.101944
20
df
SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 3.63057 3.63057 349.3442 3.09E-13
18 0.187066 0.010393
19 3.817636
Coefficients
Upper 95.0%
7.003941 0.067609 103.5942 1.92E-26 6.861899 7.145983 6.861899 7.145983
0.002201 0.000118 18.69075 3.09E-13 0.001953 0.002448 0.001953 0.002448
3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
Quarter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
Log X
6.712908
6.578987
6.51841
6.537677
6.635054
6.556295
6.493376
6.501875
6.507024
6.410241
6.2951
6.314671
6.348422
6.221981
6.157995
5.551253
5.554277
5.567046
5.219869
5.423319
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
Regression
Residual
Total
Coefficients
Intercept
X Variable 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.975092
0.950804
0.948071
320.3515
20
df
SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 35701354 35701354 347.8814
3.2E-13
18 1847251 102625.1
19 37548605
Coefficients
Upper 95.0%
-14378.6 984.0809 -14.6112
2E-11 -16446.1 -12311.1 -16446.1 -12311.1
2950.059 158.1667 18.65158
3.2E-13 2617.763 3282.355 2617.763 3282.355
3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
Quarter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
Log X
6.712907597
6.578987288
6.518409553
6.53767662
6.635053769
6.556295285
6.493375553
6.501875085
6.507023949
6.410240669
6.295099936
6.314670604
6.348421951
6.221980853
6.157995418
5.551252703
5.554276547
5.567045951
5.21986922
5.423318732
Log Sales
1.90403218
1.883880826
1.874630413
1.877581845
1.892366772
1.8804257
1.870782512
1.87209061
1.872882201
1.857896816
1.839771543
1.842875594
1.84820627
1.828088321
1.817751305
1.714023614
1.71456818
1.716864563
1.652472348
1.69070794
Regress
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R
0.999654
R Square
0.999308
Adjusted R Square
0.99927
Standard Error
0.002105
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 0.115187 0.115187 25994.17 6.75E-30
18 7.98E-05 4.43E-06
19 0.115267
Coefficients
0.782789 0.006466 121.0533 1.17E-27 0.769203 0.796375 0.769203
0.167568 0.001039 161.2271 6.75E-30 0.165384 0.169751 0.165384
Upper 95.0%
0.796375
0.169751
Quarter
3/31/2014
12/31/2013
9/30/2013
6/30/2013
3/31/2013
12/31/2012
9/30/2012
6/30/2012
3/31/2012
12/31/2011
9/30/2011
6/30/2011
3/31/2011
12/31/2010
9/30/2010
6/30/2010
3/31/2010
12/31/2009
9/30/2009
6/30/2009
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

X
822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
Sales
Y
5831.87
4786.37
4502.1
4957.54
5389.21
4857.4
4699.57
5074.76
5336.59
4571.87
3909.75
4365.36
4490.13
3715.24
3214.7
1789.84
1909.35
1651.81
1540.81
1952.78
X1
28.68728
26.82928
26.02883
26.28079
27.59203
26.52659
25.70506
25.81453
25.88107
24.65847
23.27896
23.50787
23.90795
22.44326
21.73661
16.04868
16.07296
16.17591
13.59816
15.05424
X2
822.96
719.81
677.5
690.68
761.32
703.66
660.75
666.39
669.83
608.04
541.91
552.62
571.59
503.7
472.48
257.56
258.34
261.66
184.91
226.63
X3
23608.48
19311.98
17634.53
18151.62
21006.36
18665.7
16984.62
17202.55
17335.92
14993.33
12615.1
12990.92
13665.54
11304.67
10270.11
4133.497
4152.288
4232.588
2514.436
3411.741
Root
X4
-822.96
-719.81
-677.5
-690.68
-761.32
-703.66
-660.75
-666.39
-669.83
-608.04
-541.91
-552.62
-571.59
-503.7
-472.48
-257.56
-258.34
-261.66
-184.91
-226.63
SUMMARY OUTPUT
1
2
3
0.5
1
1.5
Multiple R 0.982872
R Square
0.966038
Adjusted R Square
0.964151
Standard Error
266.1708
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
1 36273361 36273361 511.9965
18 1275244 70846.9
19 37548605
Coefficients
P-value
Intercept
-2743.96 300.7815 -9.12277
3.6E-08
X Variable 1 292.7115 12.93619 22.62734 1.13E-14
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.983699
R Square
0.967663
Adjusted R Square
0.965866
Standard Error
259.7233
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
1 36334394 36334394 538.6371
18 1214211 67456.17
19 37548605
Coefficients
P-value
Intercept 163.7739 172.2492 0.950796 0.354301
X Variable 1 6.961636 0.29996 23.20856 7.28E-15
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.977454
R Square
0.955417
Adjusted R Square
0.95294
Standard Error304.961
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
1 35874583 35874583 385.7431
18 1674022 93001.23
19 37548605
Coefficients
P-value
Intercept 1127.673 158.0184 7.136338
1.2E-06
X Variable 1 0.211948 0.010791 19.64034 1.32E-13
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.983699
R Square
0.967663
Adjusted R Square
0.965866
Standard Error
259.7233
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
1 36334394 36334394 538.6371
18 1214211 67456.17
19 37548605
Coefficients
P-value
Intercept 163.7739 172.2492 0.950796 0.354301
X Variable 1 -6.96164 0.29996 -23.2086 7.28E-15
Significance F
1.13E-14
Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
-3375.88 -2112.04 -3375.88 -2112.04
265.5336 319.8894 265.5336 319.8894
Significance F
7.28E-15

Upper 95.0%
-198.108 525.656 -198.108 525.656
6.331443 7.591828 6.331443 7.591828
Significance F
1.32E-13

Upper 95.0%
795.6885 1459.657 795.6885 1459.657
0.189276 0.23462 0.189276 0.23462
Significance F
7.28E-15

Upper 95.0%
-198.108 525.656 -198.108 525.656
-7.59183 -6.33144 -7.59183 -6.33144

Numericals Assignment On Different Regression Models

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Numericals Assignment On Different Regression Models

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3/31/2014

Cost of Materials Consumed

Cost of Materials Consumed

Cost of Materials Consumed

Cost of Materials Consumed

Cost of Materials Consumed

Cost of Materials Consumed

Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

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