Professional Documents
Culture Documents
a) Influence Diagram
:Rich picture -1
:Spray diagram-2
:Key features
.Put the keyword or phrase in a circle .1
Related ideas expressed in one or a few words are attached to lines .2
radiating from this circle (a single-layer spray) or from secondary circles
.(creating fans (multiple-layer sprays
Words may be written along the lines or at the ends of lines (e.g. aaa, .3
.(.bbb, ccc, etc
.The lines do not show directional links .4
.Similar ideas on the radiating fans can be linked by loops .5
Different colors can be used to group or highlight particular fans or .6
.clusters of ideas
:The following diagrams are used for connectivity
♣ System map
♣ Influence diagram
♣ Causal loop
.♣ Multiple cause diagrams
:System map-1
:Elements used
;blobs of varying sizes •
;words •
title •
:Key features
:Key features
.Inclusion of a system boundary is optional but recommended .1
The phrases (aaa, bbb, ccc, ddd, etc.) relate to a state or an event e.g. .2
‘flat battery’ or ‘battery goes flat’. But, as the diagram is developed, it is
preferable to describe these factors in terms of a variable (something that
.’has a value that can go up or down) e.g. ‘amount of charge in battery
Arrows indicate the causal connections between the phrases, and are .3
read as phrase at tail of arrow causes phrase at head of arrow, e.g.
.’‘leaving lights on’ causes ‘flat battery
:These diagrams are used for further analysis and model building
♣ Sign graph
♣ Input-output diagrams
♣ Control model
:Sign graph -1
:Role
This type of diagram was first used in the biological sciences in the early
part of the Twentieth Century. They are used to represent and investigate
the relationships between variables in a given situation and in particular,
to identify positive and negative feedback loops driving the system’s
behaviour. Hence, it is good for thinking about the likely effects of
changes and, in particular, of interventions in systems. A sign graph is
often drawn to establish the structure of planned quantitative models.
.They can be developed directly from a multiple cause diagram
:Elements
;phrases •
;arrows labeled with either a plus or minus sign •
title •
:Key features
The phrases (e.g. aaa, bbb, ccc, ddd, etc.) shown refer to variables (so .1
phrases like ‘number of’ ‘cost of’ ‘speed of’ ‘level of’ are often found in
.(these diagrams
The phrases should not themselves refer to variations (so do not use .2
.(‘more/less’ or ‘increase/decrease’ in the phrases
Use a minus sign by an arrow where a change in the variable at the tail .3
of the arrow produces an opposite change in the variable at the head. So,
in the figure above, an increase in ccc will lead to an decrease in ddd, and
.(a decrease in ccc will lead to an increase in ddd (see guideline 2
Use a plus sign by an arrow where a change in the variable at the tail .4
produces a similar change in the variable at the head. So, in the figure
above, an increase in aaa will lead to an increase in ccc and a decrease in
.(aaa will lead to a decrease in ccc (see guideline 2
.A system boundary can be used but is usually not included .5
.A title defining the system of interest is essential .6
:Control model-2
:Role of control model
It is useful as a way of investigating a purpose and the means in place to
.achieve it
It allows you to decide whether the elements are in place to the
.achievement of the purpose and whether they are the right elements
It allows you also to explore what is needed if a system is to fulfil its
.purpose
Control-model diagrams are a way of diagnosing systems that appears not
to be working ot working well, and they can also be used to design ways of
making sure a system you are thinking of using will work as well as you
.hope it will work
:Key feature of a control model
The system being controlled is shown as a classic input/output diagram, •
with (bold) arrows going in showing the inputs and arrows coming out
.showing the outputs
The process that transforms the inputs into the outputs is represented •
.as a box
The feedback path linking the control stream elements is also •
.represented by arrows
The sensor is positioned on the output arrow and is represented by a •
.small blob
.The comparator is represented as an open circle with a cross in it •
The goal must be stated, with an arrow leading from the goal to the •
.comparator
The actuator is represented as a small box and is usually positioned on •
.(the appropriate input arrow (or arrows
The background knowledge, or model, can be represented by a little •
.cloud symbol, with an arrow going to the actuator
:Examples
An engineer choosing between different possible designs for a bridge -
An insurance underwriter trying to decide rates for motor insurance -
Calculating March budget -
:Examples
A historian trying to account for particular social changes -
A planner deciding how big a bridge is needed and where it should be -
.located
Considering divorce issue -
Here is a table showing some major differences between soft and hard
:complexity
Hard complexity Soft complexity
Problems displaying ‘hard complexity’ can be defined clearly are well-
bounded, lend themselves to quantification, and have optimal solutions.
Establishing cause and effect, with respect to management actions and
.their consequences, is not a problem
Problems displaying ‘soft complexity’ have competing definitions, are not
well-bounded, defy quantification, and generate dispute over appropriate
solutions. Establishing cause and effect, with respect to management
.actions and their consequences, is problematic
The effective management of hard complexity, in pursuit of uncontested
and mainly quantifiable goals, relies on a systematic combination of
.evidence, reasoning, and calculation
The effective management of soft complexity, in pursuit of contested and
mainly qualitative goals, relies on a subtle combination of emotional,
.social, and political issues as well as on evidence
:QUESTION2
(a
.♣ Sensing phase: Rich picture
♣ Understanding: System map
♣ Decision-making: Sign Graph
♣ Action: Control model
Sensing phase: The rich picture I have drawn shows the different.1
objectives of the Child Support Agency as well as the variety of methods
used in order to achieve these objectives and attain the major purpose of
.the organization
:Summary of rich picture
The rich picture I drew, allowed me to have the whole situation spread out
in front of me. It showed me the components, as well as the events and
.facts expressed
It has helped me sense the full factors attributed to the CSA case study. I
could have a general view of the objectives of CSA and how they are
worked upon by staff. The CSA is an agency that was set up to support
:lone parents. It has three main objectives
.Trace absent parents -1
.Make them accept their financial obligations -2
Maintenance assessment -3
Deciding phase: the sign graph helped me sort out how and why .3
variables in this particular situation changed. It helped identify the type of
.relationship between each variable
Acting phase: the control model I drew in this phase helped me to find a .4
way of achieving the evoked goals as well as to assess whether they can
.fail or succeed
:Summary of control model
This diagram shows the transformation that will take place in order to
achieve goals as well as the different things that could influence it. At the
end we will have an assessment of whether this goal will be attained
.successfully or not
c) From what I learned from this case, I can propose different action that
:could be taken to achieve the objectives of the CSA agency successfully
Setting up a new information system: a new information system that -1
can adapt to any changing and can be more accurate and specific could
help avoid the different problems caused by the lack of relevant
.information
There should be a strict but acceptable regulations for parents to start -2
.accept their responsibilities toward their children
Eventhough, the CSA is a very important agency because its objectives
are for the good of innocent children, it can adopt different strategy to
.have a successful end
:QUESTION 3
(Systems Dynamics (SsD
This technique is based on the study & simulation of the behavior of social
.systems
SsD approach is like building a simulation model to describe the behavior
of any particular system under study, followed by experimentation with
the model in order to derive suitable policy options for modifying the
.behavior of the real system
SsD is a systems philosophy because it embodies a theory about the
nature of complex feedback systems. The feedback structures determine
many of the problems, which have caused considerable public concern in
.recent times
In SsD, Forrester advocated a closed-loop approach in which a feedback –
.loop is established between policy output & information input
The contribution of SsD is exemplified by showing diagram of one-way,–
straight line; thinking is only part of the story. The closed-loop diagram
used in SsD modeling raises awareness of unintended consequences. In
this case, it suggests the laying off workers causes demoralization of
.remaining workers and reduces productivity