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U.

S Economic Indicators
Growth Data
CB Consumer Confidence
It is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It
is a survey of about 5,000 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future
economic conditions including labor availability, business conditions, and overall economic situation.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, on the last Tuesday of the current month
Current Data: The Index stands at 69.2 as on April 24 2012 down slightly from 69.5 in March. The
Forecast was 69.9 whereas actual was recorded as 69.2.
CB Consumer Confidence
Date
Actual
Forecast
31-Jan-12
61.1
68.2
28-Feb-12
70.8
63.1
27-Mar-12
70.2
70.3
24-Apr-12
69.2
69.9
29-May-12
64.9
69.8

Previous
64.8
61.5
71.6
69.5
68.7

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
31-Jan-12 8:30pm
79.113
79.463
28-Feb-12 8:30pm
78.448
78.589
27-Mar-12 7:30pm
79.085
79.119
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
79.113
79.187
29-May-12 7:30pm
82.228
82.568
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
31-Jan-12 8:30pm
12664.7
12664.7
28-Feb-12 8:30pm
13000.73
13017.46
27-Mar-12 7:30pm
13232.93
13250.15
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
13014.24
13043.61
29-May-12 7:30pm
12568.2
12606.91
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
31-Jan-12 8:30pm
1.3122
1.3129
28-Feb-12 8:30pm
1.3426
1.3466
27-Mar-12 7:30pm
1.3329
1.3345
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
1.3213
1.3213
29-May-12 7:30pm
1.2538
1.2544

Low
Spread
79.094
0.3690
78.231
0.3580
79.014
0.1050
79.113
0.0740
82.169
0.3990
Low
Spread
12570.81
93.89
12976.51
40.95
13227.71
22.44
13014.24
29.37
12530.85
76.06
Low
Spread
1.3049
0.008
1.3396
0.007
1.3322
0.0023
1.3197
0.0016
1.2474
0.007

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment


Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers. Survey of about 500 consumers which asks
respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
Date
Actual
Forecast Previous
13-Jan-12
74
71.2
69.9
72.5
74.4
75
10-Feb-12
16-Mar-12
74.3
75.8
75.3
13-Apr-12
75.7
76.4
76.2
11-May-12
77.8
76.4
76.4
EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
Low
Spread
13-Jan-12 8:25pm
81.508
81.737
81.466
0.2710
10-Feb-12 8:25pm
79.079
79.11
79.023
0.0870
16-Mar-12 7:25pm
79.794
79.81
79.726
0.0840
13-Apr-12 7:25pm
79.685
79.883
79.685
0.1980
11-May-12 7:25pm
80.188
80.119
80.112
0.0070
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
Low
Spread
13-Jan-12 8:25pm
12372.03
12387.39 12317.95
69.44
10-Feb-12 8:25pm
12764.26
12785.41
12746.4
39.01
16-Mar-12 7:25pm
13253.21
13270.69
13239.4
31.29
13-Apr-12 7:25pm
12902.12
12920.32 12881.23
39.09
11-May-12 7:25pm
12814.63
12911.39 12814.63
96.76
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
Low
Spread
13-Jan-12 8:25pm
1.2677
1.2683
1.2635
0.0048
10-Feb-12 8:25pm
1.318
1.3198
1.3176
0.0022
16-Mar-12 7:25pm
1.3163
1.3182
1.3163
0.0019
13-Apr-12 7:25pm
1.3109
1.3109
1.3072
0.0037
11-May-12 7:25pm
1.2934
1.2952
1.2932
0.002

Retail Sales m/m


Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer
spending data; It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall
economic activity; Also Called Advance Retail Sales .
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Example: Retail spending inched up 0.1% in April 2012, which was in line with market expectations
therefore it was good for the currency.
Frequency: Released monthly, about 14 days after the month ends;
Retail Sales m/m
Date
Actual
12-Jan-12
0.10%
14-Feb-12
0.40%
13-Mar-12
1.10%
16-Apr-12
0.80%
15-May-12
0.10%

Forecast
0.30%
0.80%
1.10%
0.40%
0.20%

Previous
0.40%
0.00%
0.60%
1.00%
0.70%

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
12-Jan-12 7:00pm
81.199
81.249
14-Feb-12 7:00pm
79.244
79.305
13-Mar-12 6:00pm
80.15
80.3
16-Apr-12 6:00pm
80.055
80.055
15-May-12 6:00pm
80.643
80.948
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
12-Jan-12 7:00pm
12464.59
12464.59
14-Feb-12 7:00pm
12849.59
12856.78
13-Mar-12 6:00pm
13003.23
13055.19
16-Apr-12 6:00pm
12970.99
12970.99
15-May-12 6:00pm
12703.71
12739.59
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
12-Jan-12 7:00pm
1.2722
1.2835
14-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3157
1.3174
13-Mar-12 6:00pm
1.3088
1.3088
16-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3031
1.3062
15-May-12 6:00pm
1.2841
1.2842

Low
Spread
80.756
0.4930
79.173
0.1320
80.144
0.1560
79.897
0.1580
80.643
0.3050
Low
Spread
12389.4
75.19
12827.87
28.91
12990.59
64.6
12889.4
81.59
12677.83
61.76
Low
Spread
1.2722
0.0113
1.3146
0.0028
1.3057
0.0031
1.3027
0.0035
1.2782
0.006

Inflation Data
Core CPI m/m
Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy. Food and
energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying
trend. Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency
valuation

because

rising

prices

lead

the

central

bank

to

raise

interest

rates.

Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency


Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends.
Current Data: The core CPI measure was up 2.3% in April which was steady from the month of March
2012. Therefore we can see that there has been no significant impact on the dollar value due to Core CPI.
Core CPI m/m
Date
Actual
19-Jan-12
0.10%
17-Feb-12
0.20%
16-Mar-12
0.10%
13-Apr-12
0.20%
15-May-12
0.20%

Forecast
0.10%
0.20%
0.20%
0.20%
0.20%

Previous
0.20%
0.10%
0.20%
0.10%
0.20%

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
80.279
80.403
17-Feb-12 7:00pm
79.206
79.394
16-Mar-12 6:00pm
80.064
80.066
13-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.554
79.839
15-May-12 6:00pm
80.643
80.948
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
12598.36
12611.79
17-Feb-12 7:00pm
12948.96
12948.96
16-Mar-12 6:00pm
13275.84
13283.94
13-Apr-12 6:00pm
12936.63
12936.63
15-May-12 6:00pm
12703.71
12739.59
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
1.2906
1.2921
17-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3183
1.3195
16-Mar-12 6:00pm
1.3115
1.318
13-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.314
1.314
15-May-12 6:00pm
1.2841
1.2842

Low
Spread
80.202
0.2010
79.166
0.2280
79.726
0.3400
79.552
0.2870
80.643
0.3050
Low
Spread
12570.13
41.66
12918.99
29.97
13239.4
44.54
12881.23
55.4
12677.83
61.76
Low
Spread
1.2881
0.004
1.3146
0.0049
1.3115
0.0065
1.308
0.006
1.2782
0.006

Trade data
Trade Balance
Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month. A positive
number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends
Trade Balance
Date
Actual
10-Feb-12
-48.8B
9-Mar-12
-52.6B
12-Apr-12
-46.0B
10-May-12
-51.8B
8-Jun-12

Forecast
-48.1B
-48.9B
-51.9B
-49.8B

Previous
-47.1B
-50.4B
-52.5B
-45.4B

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
10-Feb-12 7:00pm
79.074
79.191
9-Mar-12
7:00pm
79.632
79.982
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.499
79.587
10-May-12 6:00pm
80.016
80.047
8-Jun-12
6:00pm
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release timeHigh
10-Feb-12 7:00pm
12783.82
12789.84
9-Mar-12
7:00pm
12928
12966.03
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
12828.82
12954.68
10-May-12 6:00pm
12904.69
12922.17
8-Jun-12
6:00pm
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
10-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3181
1.3194
9-Mar-12
7:00pm
1.3178
1.3178
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3157
1.3183
10-May-12 6:00pm
1.2957
1.2977
8-Jun-12
6:00pm

Low
Spread
79.029
0.1620
79.624
0.3580
79.365
0.2220
79.969
0.0780
0.0000
Low
Spread
12746.4
43.44
12918.61
47.42
12828.82
125.86
12851.56
70.61
0
Low
Spread
1.3159
0.0035
1.311
0.0068
1.3139
0.0044
1.2954
0.0023
0

Manufacturing Data
PPI m/m
Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers. Tends to have more impact when it's
released ahead of the CPI data because the reports are significantly correlated. It's a leading indicator of
consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed
on to the consumer.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 17 days after the month ends.
PPI m/m
Date
18-Jan-12
16-Feb-12
15-Mar-12
12-Apr-12
11-May-12

Actual
-0.10%
0.10%
0.40%
0.00%
-0.20%

Forecast
0.10%
0.30%
0.50%
0.30%
0.00%

Previous
0.30%
-0.10%
0.10%
0.40%
0.00%

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
18-Jan-12 7:00pm
80.638
80.83
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
80.016
80.048
15-Mar-12 6:00pm
80.412
80.434
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.499
79.587
11-May-12 6:00pm
80.196
80.262
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release timeHigh
18-Jan-12 7:00pm
12458.23
12551.7
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
12802.06
12849.14
15-Mar-12 6:00pm
13195.39
13209.58
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
12828.82
12954.68
11-May-12 6:00pm
12792.68
12911.39
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
18-Jan-12 7:00pm
1.284
1.2842
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3
1.3049
15-Mar-12 6:00pm
1.3052
1.3079
12-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3157
1.3183
11-May-12 6:00pm
1.2935
1.295

Low
80.63
79.736
80.338
79.365
80.112

Spread
0.2000
0.3120
0.0960
0.2220
0.1500

Low
Spread
12458.23
93.47
12802.06
47.08
13174.84
34.74
12828.82
125.86
12792.68
118.71
Low
Spread
1.2804
0.0038
1.2993
0.0056
1.3045
0.0034
1.3139
0.0044
1.2921
0.0029

ISM Manufacturing PMI


Its a survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business
conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Above
50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. It's a leading indicator of economic health businesses react quickly to market conditions.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, on the first business day after the month ends;
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Date
Actual
Forecast
1-Feb-12
54.1
54.6
1-Mar-12
52.4
54.6
2-Apr-12
53.4
53.3
1-May-12
54.8
53
1-Jun-12
53.5
54

Previous
53.9
54.1
52.4
53.4
54.8

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time
1-Feb-12
8:30pm
78.855
1-Mar-12
8:30pm
78.819
2-Apr-12
8:30pm
78.942
1-May-12
7:30pm
78.797
1-Jun-12
7:30pm
82.822
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time
1-Feb-12
8:30pm
12739.4
1-Mar-12
8:30pm
12983.63
2-Apr-12
8:30pm
13208.25
1-May-12
7:30pm
13247.46
1-Jun-12
7:30pm
12248.89
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time
1-Feb-12
8:30pm
1.3166
1-Mar-12
8:30pm
1.3309
2-Apr-12
8:30pm
1.3305
1-May-12
7:30pm
1.3244
1-Jun-12
7:30pm
1.2421

High
Low
Spread
78.855
78.629
0.2260
78.819
78.679
0.1400
78.943
78.822
0.1210
78.949
79.797
-0.8480
83.141
82.783
0.3580
High
12780.87
13006.94
13284.01
13337.22
12248.89

Low
Spread
12739.4
41.47
12976.36
30.58
13208.25
75.76
13247.46
89.76
12159.93
88.96

High
Low
Spread
1.3216
1.3166
0.005
1.3334
1.3309
0.0025
1.3337
1.3305
0.0032
1.3244
1.3212
0.0032
1.2426
1.2363
0.0063

ISM Non- Manufacturing PMI


Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.
Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Survey of about 400 purchasing
managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment,
production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends
ISM Non- Manufacturing PMI
Date
Actual
Forecast
3-Feb-12
56.8
53.1
5-Mar-12
57.3
56.1
4-Apr-12
56
56.9
3-May-12
53.5
55.5
5-Jun-12
53.6

Previous
52.6
56.8
57.3
56
53.5

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time
3-Feb-12
8:30pm
79.269
5-Mar-12
8:30pm
79.303
4-Apr-12
7:30pm
79.75
3-May-12
7:30pm
79.149
5-Jun-12
7:30pm
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time
3-Feb-12
8:30pm
12844.37
5-Mar-12
8:30pm
12971.18
4-Apr-12
7:30pm
13090.57
3-May-12
7:30pm
13239.4
5-Jun-12
7:30pm
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time
3-Feb-12
8:30pm
1.3088
5-Mar-12
8:30pm
1.3216
4-Apr-12
7:30pm
1.3139
3-May-12
7:30pm
1.3169
5-Jun-12
7:30pm

High
Low
Spread
79.269
79.071
0.198
79.392
79.256
0.136
79.859
79.75
0.109
79.242
79.149
0.093
0
High
12862.15
12971.18
13090.57
13263.5

Low
Spread
12830.78
31.37
12890.23
80.95
13021.62
68.95
13222.26
41.24
0

High
Low
Spread
1.3122
1.3088
0.0034
1.3237
1.3207
0.003
1.314
1.3117
0.0023
1.3169
1.3144
0.0025
0

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m


Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding
transportation items; orders for aircraft are volatile and can severely distort the underlying trend. It's a
leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as
they work to fill the orders.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends
Example: New orders for durable goods plunged to-1.1% in March 2012 against forecast of 0.6%.
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Date
Actual
Forecast Previous
26-Jan-12
2.10%
0.90%
0.50%
28-Feb-12
-3.20%
0.00%
2.10%
28-Mar-12
1.60%
1.60%
-3.00%
25-Apr-12
-1.10%
0.60%
1.90%
24-May-12 -0.60%
1.10%
-0.80%
EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time
26-Jan-12 7:00pm
79.136
28-Feb-12 7:00pm
78.295
28-Mar-12 6:00pm
79.087
25-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.126
24-May-12 6:00pm
82.122
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time
26-Jan-12 7:00pm
12803.31
28-Feb-12 7:00pm
12977.87
28-Mar-12 6:00pm
13202.28
25-Apr-12 6:00pm
13072.48
24-May-12 6:00pm
12492.14
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time
26-Jan-12 7:00pm
1.317
28-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3453
28-Mar-12 6:00pm
1.3336
25-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3212
24-May-12 6:00pm
1.2562

High
Low
Spread
79.256
79.089
0.1670
78.589
78.295
0.2940
79.303
79.081
0.2220
79.233
79.062
0.1710
82.127
81.925
0.2020
High
12830.75
13017.46
13210.37
13104.49
12530.96

Low
Spread
12770.96
59.79
12954.45
63.01
13152.32
58.05
13068.32
36.17
12461.34
69.62

High
Low
Spread
1.3179
1.3148
0.0031
1.3453
1.3396
0.0057
1.3337
1.3289
0.0048
1.3224
1.319
0.0034
1.2605
1.2562
0.0043

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index


It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in
their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.
It is Derived Via Survey of about 250 manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district which asks
respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month
Example:
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
Date
Actual
Forecast Previous
19-Jan-12
7.3
10.7
10.3
16-Feb-12
10.2
9
7.3
15-Mar-12
12.5
11.9
10.2
19-Apr-12
8.5
12.1
12.5
17-May-12
-5.8
10.3
8.5
EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time
19-Jan-12 8:30pm
80.366
16-Feb-12 8:30pm
79.823
15-Mar-12 7:30pm
80.409
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
79.576
17-May-12 7:30pm
81.535
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time
19-Jan-12 8:30pm
12570.13
16-Feb-12 8:30pm
12835.44
15-Mar-12 7:30pm
13180.02
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
12994.22
17-May-12 7:30pm
12549.96
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time
19-Jan-12 8:30pm
1.2888
16-Feb-12 8:30pm
1.3038
15-Mar-12 7:30pm
1.3049
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
1.3125
17-May-12 7:30pm
1.2698

High
Low
Spread
80.403
80.187
0.2160
79.829
79.456
0.3730
80.411
80.256
0.1550
79.608
79.486
0.1220
81.535
81.352
0.1830
High
12612.85
12892.62
13211.28
13076.79
12576

Low
Spread
12570.13
42.72
12828.02
64.6
13180.02
31.26
12976.66
100.13
12519.5
56.5

High
Low
Spread
1.2936
1.2881
0.0055
1.3108
1.3034
0.0074
1.3079
1.3049
0.003
1.315
1.3123
0.0027
1.2731
1.2697
0.0034

Labor Market Data


ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
It measures estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the
farming industry and government. It is derived through ADP provides payroll services to many corporations
in the US. They use the data collected from their customers to derive the overall employment estimations.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency: Released monthly, about 2 days after the month ends
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Date
Actual
Forecast
01-Feb-12 170K
189K
07-Mar-12 216K
204K
04-Apr-12 209K
205K
02-May-12 119K
178K
31-May-12 133K
145K
Date
1-Feb-12
7-Mar-12
4-Apr-12
2-May-12
31-May-12

TIME(IST)
6:45pm
6:45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm

Date
1-Feb-12
7-Mar-12
4-Apr-12
2-May-12
31-May-12

TIME(IST)
6:45pm
6:45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm

Date
1-Feb-12
7-Mar-12
4-Apr-12
2-May-12
31-May-12

TIME(IST)
6:45pm
6:45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm
5.45pm

Previous
292K
173K
230K
201K
113K

EFFECT ON DXY
DXY@Release time High
78.839
78.923
79.738
79.736
79.752
79.883
78.837
78.922
82.818
82.974
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
DOW@Release time High
12734.7
12780.87
12775.88
12839.75
13077.55
13096.7
13228.92
13236.14
12427.01
12427.01
EFFECT ON EURUSD
EUR@Release time High
1.3172
1.3199
1.3116
1.3133
1.3141
1.3141
1.3138
1.3155
1.2408
1.2408

Low
78.78
79.655
79.792
78.847
82.818

Spread
0.1430
0.0810
0.0910
0.0750
0.1560

Low
Spread
12726.8
54.07
12769.44
70.31
13021.62
75.08
13198.95
37.19
12319.66
107.35
Low
Spread
1.3158
0.41%
1.3105
0.28%
1.3115
0.26%
1.3132
0.23%
1.238
0.28%

Unemployment Claims
The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to
be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at
extremes. Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an
important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labormarket.
Effect: Actual < Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends
Unemployment Claims
Date
10-May-12
17-May-12
24-May-12
31-May
7-Jun-12

Actual
367K
370K
370K
383K

Forecast
371K
368K
372K
369K

Previous
368K
370K
372K
373K

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
10-May-12 6:00pm
80.016
80.047
17-May-12 6:00pm
81.616
81.616
24-May-12 6:00pm
82.122
82.127
31-May
6:00pm
82.818
82.974
7-Jun-12
6:00pm
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
10-May-12 6:00pm
12904.69
12922.17
17-May-12 6:00pm
12597.26
12597.26
24-May-12 6:00pm
12492.14
12530.96
31-May
6:00pm
12427.01
12427.01
7-Jun-12
6:00pm
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
10-May-12 6:00pm
1.2957
1.2977
17-May-12 6:00pm
1.2686
1.2731
24-May-12 6:00pm
1.2562
1.2605
31-May
6:00pm
1.2408
1.2408
7-Jun-12
6:00pm

Low
Spread
79.969
0.0780
81.352
0.2640
81.925
0.2020
82.818
0.1560
0.0000
Low
Spread
12851.56
70.61
12537.4
59.86
12461.34
69.62
12319.66
107.35
0
Low
Spread
1.2954
0.23%
1.2686
0.45%
1.2562
0.43%
1.238
0.28%
0.00%

Non-Farm Employment Change (Non- Farm Payrolls):


Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This
is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends
Non-Farm Employment Change
Date
Actual
Forecast
3-Feb-12
243K
150K
9-Mar-12
227K
209K
6-Apr-12
120K
207K
4-May-12
115K
173K
1-Jun-12
69K
152K
Date
3-Feb-12
9-Mar-12
6-Apr-12
4-May-12
1-Jun-12

TIME(IST)
7:00pm
7:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm

Date
3-Feb-12
9-Mar-12
6-Apr-12
4-May-12
1-Jun-12

TIME(IST)
7:00pm
7:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm

Date
3-Feb-12
9-Mar-12
6-Apr-12
4-May-12
1-Jun-12

TIME(IST)
7:00pm
7:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm
6:00pm

Previous
203K
284K
240K
154K
115K

EFFECT ON DXY
DXY@Release time High
78.943
79.298
79.632
79.982
79.924
79.924
79.311
79.311
83.252
83.41
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
DOW@Release time High
12821.29
12862.15
12928
12966.03
12924.44
12933.11
13146.88
13146.88
12251.77
12251.77
EFFECT ON EURUSD
EUR@Release time High
1.3159
1.3187
1.3178
1.3178
1.3083
1.3108
1.3129
1.3172
1.2332
1.2446

Low
Spread
78.836
0.4620
79.624
0.3580
79.784
0.1400
79.101
0.2100
82.685
0.7250
Low
Spread
12812.77
49.38
12918.61
47.42
12905.98
27.13
13061.39
85.49
12159.93
91.84
Low
Spread
1.3077
1.10%
1.311
0.68%
1.3077
0.31%
1.3128
0.44%
1.2314
1.32%

Unemployment Rate
Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous
month Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an
important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labormarket conditions.
Effect: Actual < Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends
Unemployment Rate
Date
Actual
Forecast
Previous
3-Feb-12
8.30%
8.50%
8.50%
9-Mar-12
8.30%
8.30%
8.30%
6-Apr-12
8.20%
8.30%
8.30%
4-May-12
8.10%
8.20%
8.20%
1-Jun-12
8.20%
8.10%
8.10%
EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
3-Feb-12 7:00pm
78.943
79.298
9-Mar-12 7:00pm
79.632
79.982
6-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.924
79.924
4-May-12 6:00pm
79.311
79.311
1-Jun-12 6:00pm
83.252
83.41
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
3-Feb-12 7:00pm
12821.29
12862.15
9-Mar-12 7:00pm
12928
12966.03
6-Apr-12 6:00pm
12924.44
12933.11
4-May-12 6:00pm
13146.88
13146.88
1-Jun-12 6:00pm
12251.77
12251.77
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
3-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3159
1.3187
9-Mar-12 7:00pm
1.3178
1.3178
6-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3083
1.3108
4-May-12 6:00pm
1.3129
1.3172
1-Jun-12 6:00pm
1.2332
1.2446

Low
Spread
78.836
0.4620
79.624
0.3580
79.784
0.1400
79.101
0.2100
82.685
0.7250
Low
Spread
12812.77
49.38
12918.61
47.42
12905.98
27.13
13061.39
85.49
12159.93
91.84
Low
Spread
1.3077
1.10%
1.311
0.68%
1.3077
0.31%
1.3128
0.44%
1.2314
1.32%

Housing Sector Data


Building Permits
Annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month. While this is
monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12). It's an excellent gauge of future
construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building;
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 17 days after the month ends;
Building Permits
Date
Actual
19-Jan-12 0.68M
16-Feb-12 0.68M
20-Mar-12 0.72M
17-Apr-12 0.75M
16-May-12 0.72M

Forecast
0.68M
0.68M
0.69M
0.71M
0.73M

Previous
0.68M
0.67M
0.68M
0.72M
0.77M

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
Low
Spread
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
80.279
80.403
80.202
0.2010
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
80.016
80.048
79.736
0.3120
20-Mar-12 6:00pm
79.765
79.785
79.511
0.2740
17-Apr-12 6:00pm
79.511
79.59
79.445
0.1450
16-May-12 6:00pm
81.268
81.351
81.205
0.1460
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
Low
Spread
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
12598.36
12611.79 12570.13
41.66
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
12802.06
12849.14 12802.06
47.08
20-Mar-12 6:00pm
13163.19
13175.07 13130.19
44.88
17-Apr-12 6:00pm
13040.81
13092.65 13008.68
83.97
16-May-12 6:00pm
12673.85
12721.23 12650.17
71.06
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
Low
Spread
19-Jan-12 7:00pm
1.2906
1.2921
1.2881
0.40%
16-Feb-12 7:00pm
1.3
1.3049
1.2993
0.56%
20-Mar-12 6:00pm
1.3189
1.3243
1.3187
0.56%
17-Apr-12 6:00pm
1.3132
1.3139
1.3109
0.30%
16-May-12 6:00pm
1.2742
1.2755
1.2722
0.33%

New Home Sales


Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month. It's a leading
indicator of economic health because the sale of a new home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For
example, furniture and appliances are purchased for the home, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and
brokers are paid to execute the transaction.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends
New Home Sales
Date
Actual
26-Jan-12 307K
24-Feb-12 321K
23-Mar-12 313K
24-Apr-12 328K
23-May-12 343K

Forecast
321K
316K
326K
321K
335K

Previous
314K
324K
318K
353K
332K

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
Low
Spread
26-Jan-12 8:30pm
79.089
79.274
79.089
0.1850
24-Feb-12 8:30pm
78.379
78.379
78.266
0.1130
23-Mar-12 7:30pm
79.429
79.51
79.238
0.2720
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
79.113
79.187
79.113
0.0740
23-May-12 7:30pm
81.8
82.153
81.8
0.3530
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release time High
Low
Spread
26-Jan-12 8:30pm
12820.23
12825.33 12770.96
54.37
24-Feb-12 8:30pm
13001.45
13010.99 12973.14
37.85
23-Mar-12 7:30pm
13031.23
13087.09 13011.33
75.76
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
13014.24
13043.61 13014.24
29.37
23-May-12 7:30pm
12409.49
12409.49 12319.43
90.06
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
Low
Spread
26-Jan-12 8:30pm
1.3179
1.3179
1.3137
0.42%
24-Feb-12 8:30pm
1.3448
1.3474
1.3448
0.26%
23-Mar-12 7:30pm
1.325
1.3279
1.3227
0.52%
24-Apr-12 7:30pm
1.3213
1.3213
1.3197
0.16%
23-May-12 7:30pm
1.2635
1.2635
1.2562
0.73%

Existing Home Sales


Annualized number of residential buildings that were sold during the previous month, excluding new
construction; While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12). Existing
homes make up the majority of total sales and therefore tend to have more impact than New Home Sales. It's
a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For
example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are
paid to execute the transaction.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends
Existing Home Sales
Date
Actual
20-Jan-12
4.61M
22-Feb-12
4.57M
21-Mar-12
4.59M
19-Apr-12
4.48M
22-May-12 4.62M

Forecast
4.65M
4.66M
4.61M
4.62M
4.62M

Previous
4.39M
4.38M
4.63M
4.60M
4.47M

EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
20-Jan-12 8:30pm
80.286
80.286
22-Feb-12 8:30pm
79.35
79.35
21-Mar-12 7:30pm
79.645
79.81
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
79.576
79.608
22-May-12 7:30pm
81.249
81.403
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release timeHigh
20-Jan-12 8:30pm
12660.61
12691.26
22-Feb-12 8:30pm
12950.33
12970.19
21-Mar-12 7:30pm
13160.5
13164.43
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
12994.22
13076.79
22-May-12 7:30pm
12527.56
12574.33
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
20-Jan-12 8:30pm
1.296
1.2967
22-Feb-12 8:30pm
1.3217
1.3257
21-Mar-12 7:30pm
1.3225
1.3251
19-Apr-12 7:30pm
1.3125
1.315
22-May-12 7:30pm
1.2763
1.2776

Low
Spread
80.123
0.1630
79.151
0.1990
79.522
0.2880
79.486
0.1220
81.181
0.2220
Low
Spread
12660.23
31.03
12919.94
50.25
13119.67
44.76
12976.66
100.13
12527.56
46.77
Low
Spread
1.2959
0.06%
1.3217
0.30%
1.3184
0.51%
1.3123
0.21%
1.2734
0.33%

Pending Home Sales m/m


Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding
new construction. It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a widereaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the
financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction.
Effect: Actual > Forecast = Good for currency
Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends
Pending Home Sales m/m
Date
Actual
Forecast Previous
25-Jan-12
-3.50%
-0.60%
7.30%
27-Feb-12
2.00%
1.10%
-1.90%
26-Mar-12
-0.50%
1.00%
2.00%
26-Apr-12
4.10%
1.20%
0.40%
30-May-12
-5.50%
0.00%
3.80%
EFFECT ON DXY
Date
TIME(IST) DXY@Release time High
25-Jan-12 8:30pm
80.245
80.245
27-Feb-12 8:30pm
78.605
78.605
26-Mar-12 7:30pm
79.059
79.089
26-Apr-12 7:30pm
78.967
78.967
30-May-12 7:30pm
82.759
82.921
EFFECT ON DOW JONES
Date
TIME(IST) DOW@Release timeHigh
25-Jan-12 8:30pm
12592.57
12630.98
27-Feb-12 8:30pm
12921.41
13010.8
26-Mar-12 7:30pm
13190.58
13217.68
26-Apr-12 7:30pm
13135.56
13153.46
30-May-12 7:30pm
12436.44
12457.48
EFFECT ON EURUSD
Date
TIME(IST) EUR@Release time High
25-Jan-12 8:30pm
1.2956
1.3072
27-Feb-12 8:30pm
1.3384
1.3416
26-Mar-12 7:30pm
1.3323
1.3335
26-Apr-12 7:30pm
1.3221
1.3252
30-May-12 7:30pm
1.2425
1.2431

Low
Spread
80.131
0.1140
78.467
0.1380
79.018
0.0710
78.836
0.1310
82.716
0.2050
Low
Spread
12589.01
41.97
12921.41
89.39
13190.58
27.1
13127.39
26.07
12415.09
42.39
Low
Spread
1.2956
1.16%
1.3384
0.32%
1.332
0.15%
1.3221
0.31%
1.2392
0.39%