The aim of this thesis is to provide a comparative analysis on the recent turn in the
nuclear energy policies of France and Germany using the EU energy policies as a benchmark.
In the first part, the paper provides an overview and the evolution of the energy policies of EU,
France and Germany. Second, the researchers have gathered data on the specific nuclear policies
of the three institutions. The data is then used by the researchers to analyze how France and
Germany have come up to their decision to either continue or withdraw from nuclear energy.
In conclusion, the thesis argues that, using the theory of historical institutionalism, the
rationale behind the shift on nuclear policies of the two countries is because of three factors:
history, public opinion, and political institutions. It is also concluded that the EU energy policies
is not strong enough for the states to be bound by the law on nuclear energy.
This thesis hopes to offer students from De La Salle University necessary information
on the nuclear policies of France and Germany, especially that to date, there is no existing thesis
regarding this subject matter in the university.
Original Title
A Comparative Analysis on the Nuclear Energy Policies of France and Germany Using the EU Energy Policy as a Benchmark
The aim of this thesis is to provide a comparative analysis on the recent turn in the
nuclear energy policies of France and Germany using the EU energy policies as a benchmark.
In the first part, the paper provides an overview and the evolution of the energy policies of EU,
France and Germany. Second, the researchers have gathered data on the specific nuclear policies
of the three institutions. The data is then used by the researchers to analyze how France and
Germany have come up to their decision to either continue or withdraw from nuclear energy.
In conclusion, the thesis argues that, using the theory of historical institutionalism, the
rationale behind the shift on nuclear policies of the two countries is because of three factors:
history, public opinion, and political institutions. It is also concluded that the EU energy policies
is not strong enough for the states to be bound by the law on nuclear energy.
This thesis hopes to offer students from De La Salle University necessary information
on the nuclear policies of France and Germany, especially that to date, there is no existing thesis
regarding this subject matter in the university.
The aim of this thesis is to provide a comparative analysis on the recent turn in the
nuclear energy policies of France and Germany using the EU energy policies as a benchmark.
In the first part, the paper provides an overview and the evolution of the energy policies of EU,
France and Germany. Second, the researchers have gathered data on the specific nuclear policies
of the three institutions. The data is then used by the researchers to analyze how France and
Germany have come up to their decision to either continue or withdraw from nuclear energy.
In conclusion, the thesis argues that, using the theory of historical institutionalism, the
rationale behind the shift on nuclear policies of the two countries is because of three factors:
history, public opinion, and political institutions. It is also concluded that the EU energy policies
is not strong enough for the states to be bound by the law on nuclear energy.
This thesis hopes to offer students from De La Salle University necessary information
on the nuclear policies of France and Germany, especially that to date, there is no existing thesis
regarding this subject matter in the university.
A Comparative Analysis on the Nuclear Energy Policies of France and Germany
Using the EU Energy Policy as a Benchmark
Submitted to Mr. Lorenzo de los Santos In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Completion of the Course THSISEA By Portillo, Patricia Bianca N. Sangual, Cara Marie S.
Malate, Manila 04/15/14
i
Abstract The aim of this thesis is to provide a comparative analysis on the recent turn in the nuclear energy policies of France and Germany using the EU energy policies as a benchmark. In the first part, the paper provides an overview and the evolution of the energy policies of EU, France and Germany. Second, the researchers have gathered data on the specific nuclear policies of the three institutions. The data is then used by the researchers to analyze how France and Germany have come up to their decision to either continue or withdraw from nuclear energy. In conclusion, the thesis argues that, using the theory of historical institutionalism, the rationale behind the shift on nuclear policies of the two countries is because of three factors: history, public opinion, and political institutions. It is also concluded that the EU energy policies is not strong enough for the states to be bound by the law on nuclear energy. This thesis hopes to offer students from De La Salle University necessary information on the nuclear policies of France and Germany, especially that to date, there is no existing thesis regarding this subject matter in the university.
Acknowledgements First of all, we would like to thank Mr. Lorenzo De Los Santos, our thesis mentor and the ISE thesis coordinator, for guiding us throughout the process of writing our thesis proposal and thesis proper, for providing us insightful information, and for his expert advice and encouragement that helped us worked our way through our paper,. We also would like to thank Ms. Tey Tana and Mr. Alvin Camba, for helping us establish the topic and theory to be utilized in our thesis, and for teaching us the basics in writing a dissertation. We also acknowledge the help and insights given to us by our friends/classmates, Nicole Sze and Johana Que, despite having different topics. Finally, we would like to thank the members of each our family for the extraordinary support they have given us in the thesis writing process.
1
Introduction Background of the Study Nuclear energy is considered as a contentious issue, particularly in the 20th century where nuclear power has become fundamental in playing a role in the global community as part of the security policy, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and eventually as part of the energy policy, the European Energy Program for Recovery. This power has been used both in the destruction and the restoration of human life. Nuclear energy is a manifestation one of the strongest energy forms man has ever known. It came to a point where most governments around the world have devoted to nuclear power as significant to their national energy security programs and environmental responsibility. In doing so, they are responding to a directive that is gaining ever greater relevance on every continent. 1
The energy policies of the European Union vary significantly from each member states, and nuclear energy only accounts for 14.4% of energy consumption. Nuclear energy became highly contested in the European Union as public and political opinion have been very critical about the effects of nuclear energy as it poses too high risks and too high costs to the environment and to the people. Regardless the EU is likely to pursue nuclear energy as its goal is to restructure into a low-carbon economy. 2 There are critical factors that will impact and shape the future of nuclear energy within the European Union. The essential factor is a persistent safe operation of the existing nuclear facilities. The second is the appeal of energy, most especially in electricity. The
1 Fabrizio Nocera, The Legal Regime of Nuclear Energy: A Comprehensive Guide to International Law and European Union Law (Mortsel: Intersentia nv, 2005). 2 Susanne Langsdorf, EU Energy Policy: From the ECSC to the Energy Roadmap 2050 (Heinrich Boll Stiftung, 2011) 2
third is the aptness of the nuclear sector to meet and share the need of nuclear energy in a competitive way. 3
However, following the Chernobyl accident and the recent Fukushima crisis, several countries have thought of dismantling their nuclear power facilities, and these countries, particularly Germany, have eventually decided to fully back away on their nuclear power programs and pursue a nuclear phase-out. 4 By the disagreement of President Angela Merkel, Germany, through the popular vote of the people, have pushed to appeal as the first state to completely abolish nuclear power plants and to plan on transferring its interest into renewable energies such as solar energy. Germany is first of the consequent propositions of a nuclear phase- out. On the other hand, France is deemed as an exception since it has invested a lot in nuclear energy. Therefore, a declination in the support for nuclear power would bring about extensive consequences in the domestic as well as in the international level. 5 France has not considered following Germany's decision on a nuclear phase-out during the term of President Sarkozys presidency not until the recent 2012 election where Francois Hollande has been elected. Hollande regime has formulated a proposal for a nuclear phase-out, and several debates have emerged on whether or not this should be pursued, but eventually the people outweighed the interests of the president and France continues to expand the lifespan of its nuclear reactors. As the EU strives to promote sustainable energy through a nuclear energy policy, there are comparable differences in the recent turn in nuclear energy policies of France and Germany as a
3 Fernando De Estebal et al., The Future of Nuclear Energy in the European Union (Brussels, 2002) 4 Nina Netzer and Jochen Steinhilber, eds., The End of Nuclear Energy? (Berlin: The Friedrich-Ebert- Stiftung, 2011). 5 Philip Ball, Frances Nuclear Power Program Continues in Force, MRS Bulletin 36, no. 6 (2011): 418- 421. 3
response to a number of accidents which can be analyzed using the EU energy policy as a benchmark Statement of the Problem The researchers would like to determine and analyze the differences between the policies of France and Germany concerning their nuclear energy after the different events that happened in the nuclear power plant history which affected their interests and led to a shift in their nuclear policy decision-making process. The corollary questions are: 1. What are the past events that triggered for a turn in the nuclear energy policies of France and Germany? 2. How can these nuclear policy reforms be analyzed using the EU policy as a benchmark? Variables The dependent variable is whether maintaining or dismantling the nuclear power facilities in France and Germany after a number of events which had a huge impact on the nuclear energy policies of the States. The independent variables include the events prior to the policy reforms, the stands of different organizations which challenge the status quo of nuclear policies and the public opinion concerning the said matter.
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Scope and Limitation After the events, such as the Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima accident, have led to different perceptions about nuclear energy, different States have also implemented diverging policies concerning their own nuclear facilities. This paper aims to provide a comparative analysis on the nuclear energy policies of France and Germany, two States that have separated in their path of pursuing nuclear energy. The researchers will perform a case study of the strategic strengths of the French nuclear power industry as it stands, and how Germany was able to challenge the nuclear policy status quo and to successfully withdraw from the realms of nuclear energy. This study aims to discuss the decision-making of both States regarding their nuclear energy starting from the birth of the EU energy policy, to the number of events that occurred in the account of nuclear energy, which have influenced the actors behavior today and how it contributed to the present revisions of their policies. This also serves as an overall evaluation of the energy policies in the 21 st century. This study is analyzed using the EU energy policy as a benchmark. There would be problems on time constraints the researchers have to work in. Since the main focus is on Europe, the researchers would also be limited in finding resources, particularly first-hand sources as well as understanding literatures written in French or German.
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Review of Related Literature The review of the literature for this study focuses on the different occurrences and amendments in France's and Germany's nuclear energy policies in the aftermath of several nuclear incidents such as the Chernobyl and the Fukushima accident. These will be analyzed using the EU energy policy standards. It would also be possible to look at different organizations which have taken a position on nuclear power some are proponents, and some are opponents in order to understand how nuclear energy can be beneficial to a state, or otherwise detrimental. This chapter focuses on the political costs it brings in maintaining nuclear energy. By definition, political costs are costs that groups external to the firm might be able to impose on that firm as a result of political actions. Basically, these can be political interventions made by EU to the nuclear firms of the states, particularly through policy regulations. Then, the status quo of both countries will be discussed wherein primary and secondary state actors such as private industries, organizations, companies and individuals will be looked at. Lastly, this chapter will be conducting a case study of the nuclear power in France and Germany using the EU as a policy benchmark. History of Energy Policies Overview of the European Union Energy Policy To endure the widespread paucity of a common energy in the 1950s, the six founding states of the European Union (West Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg) looked at nuclear energy as a means of achieving energy independence. Since a 6
single state could not afford the costs of investing in nuclear energy, the founding States united to establish the European Atomic Energy Community (EURATOM). 6
The EURATOM has a significant function in civilian nuclear activities within the EU. There have been no major changes to the treaty since it entered into force. The fundamental goal of the treaty is to contribute to the formation and development of Europe's nuclear industries, so that all member states can benefit from the progress of nuclear energy, and to guarantee security of supply. 7 The treaty also ensures high safety standards for the public and prevents nuclear materials intended primarily for civilian use from being used in military purposes. 8
There were several attempts to create a common energy policy throughout the development of the EU, but the success is only definite. The vital reason for its failure was because member states are hesitant to consolidate sovereignty in this extremely sensitive policy area. 9 Although EU has legislated in the area of energy policy for several years, the notion of introducing a compulsory and inclusive European energy policy was only approved on October27, 2005 at the meeting of the European Council at Hampton Court. 10 The Treaty of Lisbon legally includes harmonization of energy supply and revisions to the energy policy within the EU. Before, EU energy legislation was based on the EU jurisdiction in the area of the common market and environment. However, in practice many policies vis--vis energy stay at
6 European Commission, Europa, http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/institutional_affairs/treaties/ treaties_euratom_en.htm (accessed Nov. 20, 2013). 7 International Energy Agency, IEA: European Union 2008 (Paris: IEA Publication, 2008). 8 EC, Europa. 9 Francis McGowan, ed., European Energy Policies in a Changing Environment(New York: Springer, 1996). 10 Paul JJ Welfens, ed., Energy Policies in the European Union: Germany's Ecological Tax Reform (New York: Springer, 2001). 7
the national member state level, and advancement in policy at European level requires voluntary cooperation by member states. 11
Now that these energy policy goals are enshrined in the Lisbon Treaty, it aims to make possible the progress towards policy coherence. The anticipated result of this new governance structure is definitely to decrease existing conflicting signals between the EU and its member states' policies, which is one of the biggest concerns for the EU. 12
EU energy policy has three key elements: market competition, sustainability and security. Energy networks within the EU have traditionally been formulated and conducted on a national ground by vertically integrated monopolies, generally in full or partial state ownership, with the states interest utilized either by central or regional governments. 13 Each member states energy policy must be assessed in terms of these objectives. Therefore, energy policy has been largely nationally based, with restricted cross-border trading. The EUs interest in reinforcing cooperation and integration of EU-wide energy networks has grown since the 1980s. 14
EU Nuclear Energy Policy Nuclear energy is, at present, the largest source of low-carbon electricity in the EU, which is 14% of the EU total energy supply. There are 146 nuclear power plants (NPPs)
11 Ibid. 12 Francesc Morata and Israel Solorio Sandoval, eds., European Energy Policy: An Environmental Approach (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2012). 13 Julia Black, European Union energy regulation, in International Regulatory Co-operation: Case Studies (Paris: OECD Publishing, 2013). 14 Ibid. 8
operating in 15 member states and in 2007, these provided 31% of the total electricity produced in the EU. European NPPs are among the most efficiently operated reactors in the world. 15
Nuclear power remains a contentious issue and the EU nuclear reactors are getting old. EU nuclear generating competency will begin to decline, unless a considerable investment is imminent in the near future for plant lifetime extensions and the replacement of facilities reaching the end of their operating lives. Without this investment, this low-carbon source of electricity generation could go down from 31% to 21% of the total electricity generated in the EU in 2020. Diminished electricity generation in NPPs will make the ambitious EU goal of a 20- 30% decrease of carbon dioxide emissions by 2020 even more difficult to achieve. 16 NPPs in the EU were originally constructed and managed by private and national government-owned utilities. Privatization since the 1980s has led to more NPPs being owned and controlled by private-sector utilities. The activities of these private utilities are often multinational in scope. Some utilities that own and administer NPPs located in member states with nuclear phase-out legislation or policies are investing in NPP operation and creation in EU countries that support the use of nuclear power to generate electricity. 17
Nuclear power develops EU security of energy supply since uranium is extensively spread and about 50% of global mine production comes from reliable, politically stable trading partners. While every EU member is free to decide upon their own energy mix, the
15 International Energy Agency, IEA: European Union 2008. 16 Ibid. 17 Ibid. 9
Commissions policy should continue to support those member states that choose to use nuclear energy as a part of their electricity generation mix. 18
States without nuclear phase-out legislation or policies are, to a greater extent, acknowledging that nuclear energy has a significant role to play in producing low-CO2 electricity. This is changing future expectations for nuclear power and the way in which investment partnerships in nuclear power projects are organized, but it is impeded by negative public view of nuclear technology in many member states of the EU. Since public perception of nuclear power has an essential economic and environmental consequences today and in the future, it is important that public opinion is shaped on factual information. The Commission should therefore consider increasing awareness of the functional history of nuclear reactors in the EU and the impact that this technology has had and can have in future efforts to reduce emissions of CO2. 19
Nuclear regulation is a national responsibility. Regulatory agreement processes for NPPs are usually long and contribute to investor skepticism, and they vary from one country to another. Construction time is usually more than five years. While regulation will remain a national responsibility, there are measures for greater cooperation internationally such as the Multinational Design Evaluation Program, a multinational proposal to expand innovative approaches to pull the resources and knowledge of the national regulatory authorities who are currently or will be tasked with the evaluation of new reactor power plant designs; and the activities of the Western European Nuclear Regulators Association, an association of agencies or regulatory agencies in the field of nuclear countries of Western Europe. The EU is encouraged
18 Ibid. 19 Ibid. 10
to expedite this cooperation so that the new designs of reactors marketed today, developed in recent years to improve safety and operational efficiency, are available for construction under an effective and efficient regulatory system. Furthermore, developing a blueprint for advancing power uprates and new build should also be taken into account. 20
Notwithstanding the improving point of view for nuclear power and the transboundary partnerships formed today to invest in plant restoration, power uprates, life extensions and new build, EURATOM is encouraged to continue to assess its role to ensure that its activities are continuing to serve member states, in particular those with a positive policy towards nuclear power generation. 21
French Energy Policy Records France is known as one of the leading countries in the world today with regarding the production of electricity from nuclear power. It has undertaken a distinctive role for itself in the modern, postcolonial world; the French people as well as the leaders eagerly embraced large technological projects in general and nuclear power in particular. 22 Even before, nuclear research has already been tied to France, starting with the discovery of natural radioactivity by Henri Becquerel in the 1890s which has been continued by Pierre and Marie Curie, famous nuclear scientists. French energy policy over the past decades has been characterized by a centralized approach with strong government involvement. This key approach has not changed
20 Ibid. 21 Ibid. 22 Gabrielle Hecht, The Radiance of France: Nuclear Power and National Identity after World War II
(Massachusetts: MIT Press, 2009).
11
significantly. However as with all EU27 member states, Frances energy policy is more and more governed by EU directives. For example, energy policies and measures in France have been recently driven by the introduction of competition into the electricity and natural gas sectors and by the growing regionalization of the energy sector in Europe as it moves towards a single market. The four key principles of French energy policy have not changed since the last IEA review: security of energy supply; competitive energy supply; sustainable energy development; energy service to all territories and all citizens. 23
In the aftermath of the Second World War, France suffered from the death of millions of people besides the damage done by the German troops inside the country. Frances power and prestige were both stolen from them as well as their title as one of the worlds leading nations in the post-war era. 24 French nuclear effort has conquered an eminent position in the country's national identity. It could even be claimed that a French exit from civilian nuclear power could become a serious possibility after that identity would be envisaged once again and after France's nuclear impediment would be reconsidered. Nuclear research took on a larger role when President Charles de Gaulle established the Commissariat lEnrgie Atomic (CEA) to boost the development of a nuclear armament. 25 De Gaulle was one of the forerunners of the nuclear initiative. After the wartime effects, immediate action was taken place in conducting an alternative to regain the lost glory the French had. The solution offered by technocrats and scientists was technological prowess through which nuclear programs were ensued. This served as an indicator that France would rebuild its economy, restore its role as a world leader, and
23 International Energy Agency, IEA: France 2009 (Paris: IEA Publication, 2009). 24 Ibid, 1. 25 Anthony Hartley, Gaullism: The Rise and Fall of a Political Movement (New York: Taylor & Francis, 1972).
12
develop national independency by technological developments. 26
In 1946, the French Government nationalized the production, transport, distribution, and the import and the export of electricity and natural gas and created Electricit de France (EDF). Frances energy policy has three main pillars security of supply, respect for the environment, and dedication to properly managing radioactive waste. Nuclear power in France has made EDF the highest electricity producing corporation in European Union, and the biggest exporter of electricity in Europe. For the French people, nuclear weapons are widely considered as instrument of influence, guarantee of international status, and potentially crucial means of providing security against attempted coercion or aggression. 27 In fact, technocrats, scientists, and engineers are widely respected in the country. According to Mitterrand, nuclear force is the pivot of French strategic policies. 28 Nuclear weapons are deemed to be symbols of national sovereignty, independence, and accomplishment. 29 De Gaulle eagerly pushed for the creation of nuclear weapons (the force defrappe) primarily to gain military power, economic independence from the United States, and to pursue its own French foreign policy. 30 This was also one way in order for his country to play a major role in the European policies and ensure its superiority over Germany. 31
The Account of the German Energy Policy In 1954, Werner Heisenberg, a German physicist and a Nobel laureate had the U.S.
26 Hecht, The Radiance of France. 27 John Hopkins and Weixing Hu, eds., Strategic Views from the Second Tier: The Nuclear WeaponsPolicies of France, Britain, and China (New Jersey: Transaction Publishers, 1995).
28 Ronald Tiersky, The Mitterrand Legacy and the Future of French Security Policy (Pennsylvania: Diane Publishing, 1995). 29 Hopkins and Hu, eds., Strategic Views from the Second Tier. 30 Christian Nuenlist, Anna Locher and Garret Martin, eds., Globalizing de Gaulle: InternationalPerspectives on French Foreign Policies (Plymouth: Lexington Books, 2010).
31 Hartley, Gaullism.
13
government convinced in Washington that nuclear research could be taken up in Germany. A year later a civil nuclear program was instituted. It was granted full national sovereignty after the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) had abdicated producing, engaging and being in possession of nuclear weaponry. 32 Nuclear research centers and a ministry for atomic issues was established that were equipped with research reactors. Operations began as the experimental nuclear power plant with a capacity of 16 MW was conducted in 1960. 33 In the late 1950s, majority of the German citizens still associate the recent establish nuclear industry with atomic bombs and its hazardous effects. However, because the people have insufficient knowledge about radiation, the potentially dangerous issue of explosion and the memories of the war in Germany were sources of fear as an initial response to the atomic community. The anti-nuclear protests were focused on the military use and were expressed by the peace movement. Germany has been using nuclear power since 1960, when the first nuclear power plant went critical. However, following the Chernobyl accident, skepticism began to grow and the government concluded the first agreement on a nuclear phase-out in 2000. 34
The German government's energy policy mainly relied for many years on regulatory policy, which defined certain technological minimum standards. 35 As Germany is organized as a federal state, the execution of federal laws lies in principle within the responsibility of the federal states, the Lnder, unless otherwise specified. The regulatory body is, therefore, composed of federal government and Lnder government authorities. The Lnder perform their nuclear regulatory activities on behalf of the federal government. By organizational decree, the federal
32 Tina Flegel, Public Protests Against Nuclear Power in Germany, Turkish Policy Quarterly 9, no. 2 (2010): 105-115. 33 International Atomic Energy Agency, Country Nuclear Power Profile: Germany (IAEA, 2003). 34 International Energy Agency, IEA: Germany 2013 (Paris: IEA Publication, 2013). 35 Welfens, ed., Energy Policies in the European Union. 14
government names the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear as the supreme regulatory authority in charge of nuclear safety and radiation protection. The BMU is responsible for federal oversight of the lawfulness and expediency of the actions of the Lnder, including the right to issue binding directives. The subordinate authority to the BMU is the Federal Office for Radiation Protection. This supports the BMU technically and scientifically, especially in the execution of federal oversight, the preparation of legal and administrative procedures, and in intergovernmental co-operation. 36 According to the Atomic Energy Act, the respective Lnder governments determine their own supreme authorities in charge of the licensing and supervision of NPPs. For technical matters in the licensing procedure and the supervision of nuclear facilities, the regulatory authorities of the Lnder are supported by independent technical support organizations, in general the nuclear departments of the technical support organizations. In 2010, adoption of the 12th Act amending the Atomic Energy Act, not only implemented the EU Directive 2009/71/EURATOM establishing a community framework for the nuclear safety of nuclear installations, but also added new provisions introducing additional safety precautions. The aim of these new provisions is to implement additional security precautions that serve to increase safety margins and to ensure that NPPs achieve the highest possible levels of safety. 37
Nuclear Power Debate There is a debate concerning the use of nuclear energy in process. The Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy, the World Nuclear Association, and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) are some of the proponents of nuclear power. They argue that nuclear power is a
36 IEA, IEA: Germany 2013. 37 Ibid. 15
safe and adequate source of energy that decreases carbon emissions. On the other hand, opponents, such as Greenpeace International and Sortir du nuclaire in France, argue that nuclear power is a danger to the citizens as well as the environment. In an investigation, it has been certified that there is less number of lives lost per unit of energy produced in nuclear power than the other major sources of energy. The nuclear power debate is about the controversy which has surrounded the deployment and use of nuclear fission reactors to generate electricity from nuclear fuel for civilian purposes. The debate about nuclear power peaked during the 1970s and 1980s, when it "reached an intensity unprecedented in the history of technology controversies", in some countries. Proponents of nuclear energy claim that nuclear power is a sustainable source of energy which lowers carbon emissions and can develop energy security if its use eliminates a reliance on imported fuels. Proponents promote the idea that nuclear power generates virtually no air pollution, contrary to the major applicable substitute of fossil fuel. They also believe that nuclear power is the only feasible system to acquire energy independence for most Western countries. They point out that there is only little risk of accumulating waste and it can be further decreased through modern technology in newer reactors, and the operational safety record in the Western world is great when compared to the other major kinds of power plants. Opponents argue that nuclear power is hazardous to the citizens as well as the environment. The dangers include health risks and environmental damage from uranium excavation, transformation and transfer, the risk of nuclear weapons generation or destruction, and the unaddressed problem of radioactive nuclear waste. They also argue that reactors themselves are extremely complicated machines where a lot of things can and do go wrong, and 16
there have been several severe nuclear accidents. Critics do not believe that these risks can be decreased through modern technology. They claim that when all the energy-concentrated stages of the nuclear fuel series are taken into account, from uranium excavation to nuclear withdrawal, nuclear power is not a low-carbon electricity source. 38
In Germany, the debate spurs from a wide array of the public who is concerned with nuclear power plants and reactors its effects in the environment, the people and their businesses. Environmentalists suggest that the nuclear lead structural conditions conducted a concentration of economic power and as a consequence public regulative influence has been demeaned. Nuclear power ushers new challenges for the safety at work. With this, the local economy is in jeopardy by nuclear facilities: the farmers are deprived of their soil and dairy products, winemakers are intimidated by losing the quality of their products due to local climate, the fishermen are afraid of losing a huge amount of fish due to the increasing temperature of the water and lastly, tourism agencies lose its potential in its customers because of the fear of nuclear activities around the area. 39
The debate on nuclear energy in Germany also concerns the governments interests on the matter. There are proponents and opponents that focus on three factors that affect the phase- out or the non-nuclear phase-out of Germany by 2020. First, nuclear proponents argue that nuclear energy source does not emit carbon dioxide and that nuclear power is important in order to prevent a deficit in the countrys electricity
38 Benjamin K. Sovacool, The costs of failure: A preliminary assessment of major energy accidents, Energy Policy 36, no. 5 (2008): 1802-1820. 39 Flegel, Public Protests. 17
supply as it is also one of the largest producers of nuclear energy as electricity. 40 On the other hand, opponents express their concern on the overall figures for the reduction of greenhouse gas, insisting on the fact that carbon emissions from the generation of electricity have been on the rise since 1999. According to Environment Minister Gabriel, in 2007, utility emission increased as an outcome of the offset in having an offline nuclear plant and as well as having more electricity produced by a higher carbon dioxide emitting coal fired plants in response to an uprising in natural gas prices. Opponents also state that the two key elements in electricity; higher energy efficiency and more renewables provide for energy needs that reduce greenhouse gas emissions without the help of nuclear power. In accordance, there is also an agreement that investment will be necessary to develop not only renewable sources but also in adapting the electricity transmission grid and in creating storage technologies in accommodating the irregular electricity flow from sources like wind farms and solar energy. 41
Second, proponents in the German government, the pro-nuclear Christian Democrats called for a passing of a resolution to extend the lifespan of operating nuclear reactors but opposing to build new reactors. According to Ronald Pofalla, they do not want to build nuclear power plants. He says that nuclear power will only provide as a bridge in order to maintain the energy until the transition sets place with the new renewable technologies already developed. Proponents argue that the immediate shut down of nuclear plants will result in an unacceptable electricity shortage in Germany. It continues that nuclear power is cheaper. However, nuclear opponents oppose to the extension of the lifetimes on the nuclear reactors. They fear that longer operating times will be for the benefit of the utilities that profit, more nuclear waste to be
40 Brigitte Knopf et al., Scenarios for Phasing Out Nuclear Energy in Germany (Bonn: Friedrich-Ebert- Stiftung, 2000) 41 Jens Kersten, Frank Uekoetter and MarkUs Vogt, Europe After Fukushima: German Perspectives on the Future of Nuclear Power (Federeal Ministry of Education and Research, 2012) 18
disposed when the country currently do not have any permanent repository for high-level waste, an increase in accidents, and a decrease in investment for renewable energy. According to Bjorn Klusmann, the managing director of the umbrella Association for Renewable Energy, there is no enough grid capacity for a lengthening of the reactors while simultaneously expanding the renewables. 42
Thirdly, nuclear energy proponents are questioned on the prospect of nuclear power plants and reactors being safe as well as the management of their waste disposal to continue their nuclear legacy. Nuclear proponents assure the public that all of their reactors have the same genetic pool with regards to its technology and safety. It insists that the old reactors are up to par with the new nuclear plants having invested more than $1.4 billion to modernize the reactors. Utilities vie that the similar DNA of the countys reactor inflate their safety, nuclear opponents say that this make the risk more prevalent. 43 As the evidence, they point to accidents in June 2007 at the two reactors in northern Germany in concert owned by utilities E.ON AG and Vattenfall and operated by the latter, a subsidiary of Swedens Vattenfall AB. The 806-megawatt Brunsbutte reactor to be turned off on June 28 and that the day the fire broke out in the transformer building at the 1 402-megawatt Krummel reactor. The plants are located at Schleswig-Holstein who is ministered by GitaTrauernicht where the accidents had not directly affected the public but exhibited the vulnerability of complex nuclear technology. 44
Understanding the Status Quo In March 11, 2011, Fukushima was shaken by a 9.0 magnitude earthquake lasting three
42 Kersten, Uekoetter and Vogt, Europe after Fukushima. 43 Ibid. 44 Ibid. 19
minutes resulting to a fifteen meter tsunami that disabled three of its nuclear reactors. This led to the nuclear accident that started the awareness against nuclear energy all over the world. Major nuclear power holders such as Germany have decided on a nuclear phase-out succeeding the nuclear accident. 45 France, being the world's largest net exporter of electricity has been reluctant to pursue a nuclear phase-out despite widespread anti-nuclear protests. A nuclear power phase- out is termination of observance of nuclear power for energy production that includes shutting off nuclear power plants in accordance to an alternative renewable energy and other fuels. In subsequent to the election proceeds a national debate with President Nicolas Sarkozy supporting nuclear power and against it, Franois Hollande suggesting a significant decrease in nuclear powers electricity contribution inside the country. Former President Nicholas Sarkozy can be considered as a proponent of nuclear energy as he continually tried and persisted to extend the life of the nuclear reactors. President Sarkozy stated that there is no better alternative to nuclear power as of recent. Instead of completely abolishing its nuclear power, France has chosen to reevaluate and strengthen its safety in the generation of its nuclear power. According to Sarkozy, France will invest a total of 1billion, or roughly $1.5 billion, in nuclear technology as the governments response in its energy industry in the aftermath of the nuclear crisis in Japan. The said amount is inclusion of the funds for a new generation of power plants and research on nuclear safety. 46 However, the newly elected French President, Francois Hollande has been open to pursue a new energy policy for France; an energy transition from nuclear energy to renewable energy - wind energy and solar power. Apart from the nuclear accident that occurred in Fukushima, what prompted Hollande to set aside nuclear
45 David Elliott, Fukushima: Impacts and Implications (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2012). 46 Yuka Fukushima,Implication of the Determinant of Energy Policy: The Case Study of Nuclear Power in Germany and France(Tokyo: 2011). 20
energy is also the alleviation of climate change, the preservation of natural resources and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. In his efforts, budgetary cuts for nuclear energy are attempted to decrease France's dependence on nuclear power as he vowed to reduce atomic reactors by fifty percent. In contempt of Hollande, there is currently a rise in popular support for nuclear power against recommendations on a new energy policy for France. Recent poll shows that the proportion of people in support of Hollandes proposal to diminish nuclear energy because of the dangers it projects is declining. Since the radioactivity drifted in Germany during the 1986 Chernobyl catastrophe, nuclear power in the country has been widely out favored. Despite Germany being the fourth largest producer of nuclear power, the social acceptance deficit for the former nuclear leader Chancellor Gerhard Schroder was insufficient in validating the law enactment of nuclear phase- out power by 2021. Nevertheless, Chancellor Markel spent a significant amount of political capital in conferral to Schroders decision only a few months before the Fukushima crisis. This extended all the lifespan of seventeen reactors in Germany by roughly twelve years. The policy change was the most important in Merkels second term in office. The reversal represented her unchanging commitment to make nuclear power an important component of Germanys energy plans for the future. 47
After the recent crisis in Fukushima, the German governments response was to execute a three-month moratorium on plans of nuclear extension and to shut down its two oldest reactors in the country. Exactly two weeks since the accident, Angela Merkel of the conservative party was
47 John Moore, How Much Precaution is Too Much: Evaluating Germanys Nuclear Phaseout Decision in Light of the Events in Fukushima, Public Sphere Journals, no. 1 (2007): 42-53.
21
to face three important state elections. 48 With Germany being a pre-existing country that practices caution towards nuclear energy, Fukushima undoubtedly started the transition of power to the anti-nuclear Green Party. Across Germany, 100,000 demonstrators from different towns and cities crowded the streets in protest of nuclear energy promptly after the crisis. For the sake of her party, Merkel had to show the voters that her extension plans would be reconsidered. The Ethics Commission on Safe Energy Supply was also organized in evaluation of Germanys next nuclear strategy as a reaction to Fukushima alongside the moratorium. Although the moratorium was only to provide assurance of the Germans as a campaign tactic, the Ethics Commission proves to be more interesting. It provides solitary proof of the issue on nuclear power that became salient in Germany that the closure of the early reactors was its only available option. The Ethics Commission, composed of seventeen representatives from research, industry and politics, advocates to permanently shut down the countrys seven oldest reactors and returning to Chancellor Schroders 2021 nuclear phase-out timeframe after two and a half months after the crisis. 49 The phase-out is necessary reads the Commissions last report. It was suggested to rule the out risks posed by nuclear power in Germany in the future. 50
Comparative Analysis on the Recent Turn in French and German Energy Policies France and Germany are the two countries playing a huge role in the energy policy of the EU, but they ironically lack in cooperation in the area of nuclear energy policy.They have held
48 Moore, How Much Precaution is Too Much, 52 49 Ibid. 50 Dr. Klaus Tpfer et al, Germanys Energy Transition: A Collective Endeavor for the Future, Ethics Commission for a Safe Energy Supply (30 May 2011), 1. 22
onto different stands regarding the said area while the EU energy policy remained symbolic. The rationale behind this difference in behavior is because of the increasing level of security demands, a learning process which materialized the consequence of risks and time lengths, even before Fukushima. The 1973 Oil Crisis Energy policies have been marked by the recent oil crises, 51 catastrophic accidents such as the Three Mile Island and Chernobyl, not to mention the impacts of the recent Fukushima nuclear accident. 52 The 1973 oil crisis started on October 16, 1973 when the members of OAPEC proclaimed and oil embargo raising the oil price by 70%. 53 The embargo is inconsistent in Europe. France has received steady supplies while Germany only faced partial decline. The price increase had a much greater impact in Europe than the embargo. 54 Part of the decrease in prices comes from the shift from oil consumption to alternate energy sources. 55 OPEC had relied on the limited price inelasticity of oil demand to maintain high consumption but had underestimated the extent to which other sources of supply would become beneficial as the price increased. Electricity generation from nuclear power reduced the demand for oil. 56 The two countries had pursued different actions following the oil crisis in 1973, with France investing heavily in nuclear energy to reduce its dependence on fossil fuel compared with up to only 25% in Germany.EU has not come up with a strong plan on energy security since the 1973 oil crisis,
51 Howard Stein, The Neoliberal Policy Paradigm and the Great Recession, Panoeconomicus59, no. 4 (2012): 421-440. 52 Stephen Thomas et al., The Economics of Nuclear Power (Amsterdam: Greenpeace International, 2007). 53 Ferenc L. Toth and Hans-HolgerRogner, "Oil and Nuclear Power: Past, Present, and Future,Energy Economics 28, no. 3 (2006): 1 25. 54 Barbara Slavin, Milt Freudenheim and Willian C. Rhoden, "The World; British Miners Settle for Less," The New York Times. 55 Patrick L. Anderson, et al., "Price Elasticity of Demand," The Universal Tuition Tax Credit: A Proposal to Advance Parental Choice in Education 11, no. 1 (1997): 13-17. 56 Ibid. 23
which gave an idea on how vulnerable the EU members are. 57
Three Mile Island Accident The Three Mile Island accident was a partial nuclear meltdown which occurred in one of the two Three Mile Island nuclear reactors in Pennsylvania on March 28, 1979 when the reactor was operating at 97% power. It involved a relatively minor malfunction in the secondary cooling circuit which caused the temperature in the primary coolant to rise. This in turn caused the reactor to shut down automatically. Shut down took about one second. Then, a relief valve failed to close, and so much of the primary coolant drained away that the residual decay heat in the reactor core was not removed. The core suffered severe damage as a result. 58 This was supplemented by communication problems which caused conflicting information to the public, contributing to the public's fears. 59 This was actually said to be the worst accident in the nuclear history of US. The operators were unable to assess or respond accurately to the unplanned automatic shutdown of the reactor. Lack of control room for machineries and insufficient emergency response training proved to be root causes of the accident. A small amount of radiation was released from the plant but it was not serious and has no health hazards. It produced a significant, long-term improvement in the performance of all nuclear power plants, although public confidence in nuclear energy, particularly in USA, strongly declined. 60
57 Stein, The Neoliberal Policy, 433. 58 J. Samuel Walker, Three Mile Island: A Nuclear Crisis in Historical Perspective (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2006) 59 Mike Gray and Ira Rosen, The Warning: Accident at Three Mile Island (New York: W.W. Norton, 2003). 60 Ibid. 24
Chernobyl Catastrophe This disparity of the two countries vis--vis nuclear energy was clearly determined after the Chernobyl accident in Ukraine on April, 26, 1986. 61 The accident was the result of a damaged reactor design that was operated with inefficiently trained personnel. It was the first major nuclear power plant accident that resulted in a large-scale fire and subsequent explosions, immediate and delayed deaths of plant operators and emergency service workers, and the radioactive contamination of a significant land area. 62 The resulting steam explosion and fires released at least 5% of the radioactive reactor core into the atmosphere and downwind. Two Chernobyl plant workers died on the night of the accident, and a further 28 people died within a few weeks as a result of acute radiation poisoning. Radioactivity was released over a 10-day period which resulted in millions of Soviets, and other Europeans, being exposed to significant levels of radioactive fallout. 63 Although there was an increase in the number of thyroid cancers victims, there is no evidence of a major public health impact a priori to radiation exposure twenty years after the accident. For France, the accident was seen as an irrelevant accident that would not have an effect on the French territories which was later proved to be incorrect while Germany has strongly begrudged its impacts from the start which reinforced the anti- nuclear movement. 64
Fukushima Disaster Following the accident at Three Mile Island in 1979 and at Chernobyl in 1986,
61 Frank Barnaby, "Chernobyl: The Consequences in Europe," Ambio 15, no. 6 (1986): 332-334. 62 Ibid. 63 Harold M. Ginzburg and Eric Reis, "Consequences of the Nuclear Power Plant Accident at Chernobyl," Public Health Reports 106, no. 1 (1991):32-40. 64 Barnaby, "Chernobyl: The Consequences in Europe," 332. 25
Fukushima will be remembered as the third major accident in the history of civilian nuclear power reactors. Yet Chernobyl was and remains the worst trauma in this history as a result of which nuclear developments slowed down significantly. 65 The Fukushima incident was caused by a tsunami in Japan which produced equipment failures, and without this equipment a loss-of- coolant accident followed with nuclear meltdowns and releases of radioactive materials. 66 Although the aftermath of the Fukushima accident has established the need for a new nuclear policy, it was not the cause for change since it took place after Germany and France have followed different options. 67 Even before the incident, Germany has already planned the phasing- out 68 while France was only considering a partial phase-out, lowering nuclear production of electricity from 75% to 50% by 2020. The same shift to decrease nuclear dependence, although non-binding, was recommended at the EU level. 69 This incident has stimulated a new turn to respond to the risks of future huge disasters that can come in numerous ways, and avoid the colossal costs of decommissioning reactors. 70
Although an immediate solution is not available, EU encourages its members to divert to renewable sources of energy. It is more of a long-term objective, but a short-term solution to the rising problem of energy access. 71 There have been a few coordinated moves at the EU level to boost the rate of renewable energy in all member states; but this takes time since it is a lengthy
65 Selma Kus, "International Nuclear Law in the 25 Years between Chernobyl and Fukushima and Beyond," Nuclear Law Bulletin 87, no. 1 (2011): 7-26. 66 Eliza Strickland, What Went Wrong in Japan's Nuclear Reactors, IEEE Spectrum 16, no. 3 (2011): 17-24. 67 Kus, "International Nuclear Law," 19. 68 Thorstein Veblen, Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution (New York: Cosimo Classics History, 2006). 69 Gary A. Dymski, Limits of Policy Intervention in a World of Neoliberal Mechanism Designs: Paradoxes of the Global Crisis, Panoeconomicus58, no. 3 (2011): 285-308. 70 M. V. Ramana, "Nuclear policy responses to Fukushima: Exit, voice, and loyalty," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 69, no.2 (2013): 66-76. 71 Dymski, Limits of Policy Intervention in a World of Neoliberal Mechanism Designs. 26
process. 72 A solid EU policy which would set the energy policies of France or Germany should be enforced; otherwise, a feeble EU policy would arise directly from the policies of these two leading countries. 73
It seems that nuclear energy is not fully-developed to achieve the shift in energy sources. The fact that nuclear reactors have been established in the last decade in developing countries is more problematic. 74 A global administrative issue to avoid new huge accidents is likely to appear. A possible solution is a successful energy transition mostly based on renewable sources. This is a very ambitious path with the need to adapt the framework, to rationally utilize the remaining fossil fuel sources and to develop profound energy saving ways of life and production. 75 It seems that strong common European policy is essential to endure this problem. The future energy transition policies will have to depend on energy saving on a large scale, suggesting a remarkable financial effort that can only be made at the regional level. It does offer a new opportunity for a strong cooperation between Germany and France in an EU context. 76
72 Ibid. 73 JakubHandrlica, "Harmonisation of Nuclear Liability in the European Union: Challenges, Options and Limits," Nuclear Law Bulletin 84, no. 2 (2010): 35-64. 74 Dymski, Limits of Policy Intervention, 292. 75 Ibid. 76 Handrlica, "Harmonisation of Nuclear Liability in the European Union," 41. 27
Theoretical Framework This paper uses the historical institutionalism approach as the main theory in analyzing the role of institutions and the policy behavior of the leaders, particularly how past events contributed to the recent turns in nuclear energy policy of France and Germany. This chapter will begin with a brief history of the said theory, its key concepts, and the relationship among those concepts. It shows how it is characterized from the other types of theories. It will be followed by its core assumptions and how are these applied to the decision- making process and policies of the EU, France and Germany. Finally, concepts that are unique to the theory would be defined; and some of these concepts would be found in the theoretical and conceptual diagram, that would be further expounded. Historical Institutionalism The new institutionalism is a term that is now prominent in fields of political science and international relations. It is a theory that aims to look at institutions sociologically the way they interact and the way they affect society. 77 Three schools of thought are recognized as new institutionalism historical institutionalism, rational choice institutionalism (different from rational choice theory), and sociological institutionalism. 78
In order to precisely illustrate historical institutionalism, it is wise to set this approach in a historical and metaphorical context, presenting the roots of this approach and its distinction
77 Peter A. Hall and Rosemary C. R. Taylor, Political Science and the Three New Institutionalisms (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996). 78 Ibid. 28
from other approaches in the social sciences. 79 Although the term historical institutionalism was conceived in the 1990s, this theory was created to respond to the behavioral outlooks that were influential during the 1960s and 1970s and it seeks to shed light on the role that institutions play in the backbone of social and political outcomes. 80 Some of the major proponents are Theda Skopcol, Kathleen Thelen, Sven Steinmo, Ellen Immergut, and Peter Hall. In a nutshell, historical institutionalism intercedes between the rational choice and sociological institutionalism approach by looking at the effects of institutions over time. 81 It examines the long-term implications of institutional decisions made at a particular time. According to this theory, when institutions are established and developed, there is a tendency that locking in of states will happen in which states are constrained by the institutions. 82 Present behavior of states is constrained by the locking into place of past decisions, consequently creating a path dependency that can be ceased only by a critical juncture. The three approaches of new institutionalism agree that institutions can be seen as rules that shape behavior. However, the key difference which sets out historical institutionalism from the rest is over their knowledge of the nature of the beings whose actions or behavior is being formed. The rational choice school argues that human beings are rational individualists who measure the costs and benefits in the choices they face. Rational choice institutionalists assume that institutions are essential merely because they structure the individuals strategic behavior. They argue that individuals obey rules because humans are strategic actors who want to
79 Sven Steinmo, What is Historical Institutionalism? in Approaches in the Social Sciences, ed. Donatella Della Porta and Michael Keating (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2008). 80 Ibid. 81 Mark Pollack, The New Institutionalisms and European Integration, in European Integration Theory, ed. Antje Wiener and Thomas Diez (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009). 82 Ben Rosamond, Theories of European Integration (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2000). 29
maximize their individual gain. 83 On the other hand, sociological institutionalists claim that human beings as primarily social beings. They believe that humans are satisficers who act consistently, rather than being self-interested or rational as the rational choice institutionalists would have it. Institutions are not just rules in which they act, but they also structure the way individuals view their world. Sociological institutionalists do not just find every possible option, but they look for the most appropriate one. The significant institutions or rules in this approach are social norms that regulate everyday life and social interaction. 84
Historical institutionalists take up a position between these approaches where they believe that human beings are both norm-abiding and self-interested rational actors. Behavior depends on the actor, on the circumstances, and on the rule. They dont believe that humans are just rule followers or that they are solely strategic actors who use rules to maximize their interests. What they want to know is why a certain choice was made and/or why a certain outcome occurred. They are mostly interested in finding out the impetus of a decision and the underlying causes of a certain outcome. Any momentous political outcome is best understood as a product of both rule following and interest maximizing. Historical institutionalists would then investigate historical records in order to find out which behavior has more significance. 85
The debate on power can be tracked down in the theory of historical institutionalism as an approach to the study of politics, and the distinguishing view of this theory on institutional development and change is characterized by the power-distributional struggles. 86 This alternative
83 Steinmo, What is Historical Institutionalism? 84 Ibid. 85 Ibid. 86 Kathleen Thelen, Beyond Comparative Statistics: Historical Institutional Approaches to Stability and Change in the Political Economy of Labor, in The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Institutional Analysis, ed. Glenn Morgan, et al. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010), 43. 30
approach on institutional change emphasizes the significance of structural incentives and constraints, whereas it also permits the agency to participate in the assessment of change. 87 This gives us a hint on the fact that institutions and rules naturally provide gaps that actors can abuse in the undertaking of their own interests and in their political struggles for benefits on current constraints. 88
Political actors are constrained by institutions, and yet also develop and alter institutions. Another crucial feature of this theory is on the issue of preference formation. For the rational choice institutionalists, preferences serve as a given. On the other hand, historical institutionalists assume that self-interests of individuals are problematical. 89 Institutions not only constrain the strategies of actors, but also essentially frame their preferences, interests, and goals in more broad ways. Sine preferences are unsteady; ideas play a huge role by influencing how individuals pursue their interests. Actors may be strategic, but position their goals in a historically situated manner based on existing and contingent understanding of social situations. 90
In sum, historical institutionalism focuses on the long-term feasibility of institutions and their expansive repercussions. It is more interested on how these institutions, as well as other factors such as ideas and interests create preferences, and also how they develop over time. 91
87 Ibid, 53. 88 Ibid, 57. 89 Sven Steinmo, Kathleen Thelen and Frank Longstreth, Structuring Politics: Historical Institutionalism in Comparative Analysis (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992). 90 Thelen, Beyond Comparative Statics, 68. 91 Elizabeth Sanders, "Historical Institutionalism ," in The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Institutional Analysis, ed. R.A.W Rhodes, Sarah A. Binder, and Bert A. Rockman (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006), 43. 31
Core Assumptions of Historical Institutionalism Historical institutionalism has four essentially distinguishing aspects. First, historical institutionalists analyze the relationship between institutions and individual behavior comparably in broad terms. Two approaches the calculus approach and the cultural approach are used to determine the behavior of actors and the actions of the institutions. The calculus approach assumes that individuals behave strategically through using all possible means in fulfilling ultimate satisfaction in order to expand the attainment of goals given by a specific preference. Institutions affect individual action and alter the certainty of actors on their present and future behavior by shifting the expectations of an actor on the actions that other individuals are likely to take in response to his own action. 92
On the other hand, cultural approach assumes that behavior is limited by an individual's conception of the world, rather than completely strategic. Although it recognizes the rationality of human behavior, it also asserts that individuals undertake known patterns of behavior to achieve their objectives. It sees individuals as satisficers, meaning they act to satisfy the minimum requirements for achieving a goal, rather than benefit maximizers, and their action depends on the interpretation of a situation rather than calculation. In this approach, institutions give out a righteous pattern for interpretation. Historical institutionalists use both of these approaches where it can be seen in several works of proponents such as Immergut and Hattam. 93
Secondly feature of this theory is that historical institutionalists stress the inequalities of the relations of power play in the performance and progression of institutions. This theory focuses on the mechanisms of the institutions in the unequal distribution of power across social
92 Hall and Taylor, Political Science and the Three New Institutionalisms. 93 Ibid. 32
groups. It assumes that institutions provide groups imbalanced access to the decision making process and tend to emphasize that some groups lose while others win. 94
Thirdly, historical institutionalists are also likely to have a view of institutional development that focuses on path dependence and unintended consequences. This theory assumes that decisions that have been made in the past would generate a huge impact on the actors present and future decisions. Institutions are deemed to be enduring features of the historical context and one of the key factors pushing historical development along a set of paths. Historical institutionalists focused on the problems on ways institutions create these paths such as encouraging groups to adopt policies that are costly to shift which results to unintended consequences and inefficiencies. They also break down the series of historical events into periods of persistence emphasized by 'critical junctures', and seek to address the problem of determining the underlying causes of such. 95
Lastly, they are mostly attentive in consolidating the institutional analysis and the efforts that other kinds of factors, such as ideas, can make to political outcomes. Historical institutionalists argue that institutions allow other factors to manifest their roles, rather than the institutions being the only causal force in politics. 96
Application of the Theory to the Study With path dependency that is articulated with critical junctures that may change an agency's outcome, increasing the returns that further induce the path, and 'lock-in' that thrives despite different policy regimes; institutions are developed. These institutions influence the
94 Ibid. 95 Ibid. 96 Ibid. 33
preferences of state actors and on one hand, sprout unintended consequences that further define the institutions. The nuclear renaissance in France started after the Second World War when it was at its lowest. Nuclear power was a way to regain its lost title by means of technological prowess, but this may soon reach its peak due to the nuclear incident at Fukushima, Japan. France's energy policy must seek to find an advantageous effect and importance of nuclear energy that despite the administration of President Francois Hollande, the people may be able to realize and recognize the power of nuclear energy and not pursue a nuclear phase-out. Nuclear power institutions such as the Electricite de France (EDF) and the Atomic Energy Commission (CEA) are led by the Corps des Mines, scientist and engineers elites that help influence the government in decision-making with regard to nuclear energy policies. Despite that, unexpected consequences take into effect when the technocrats dominate the government and decide on matters of energy. This is actually a benefit to nuclear institutions since it is harder for it to be penetrated by the government because of much opposition.
34
Operationalization of Concepts Concepts Definition Operational definition Path dependency
The order in which things happen affects how they happen; the trajectory of change up to a certain point itself constrains the trajectory after that point; and the strategic choices made at a particular moment eliminate whole ranges of possibilities from later choices while serving as the very condition of existence of others 97 .
The recognition of nuclear power as a source of energy and its establishment in the European Union as well as its member states despite the Chernobyl accident and the recent Fukushima crisis.
97 Colin Hay and Daniel Wincott, "Structure, Agency and Historical Institutionalism." Political Studies 16, no. 3 (1998): 955. 35
Critical juncture Relatively short periods of time during which there is a substantially heightened probability that agents choices will affect the outcome of interest 98 . The nuclear accident in Fukushima, Japan involving the dismantling of three of its nuclear reactors inherently raised awareness on the dangers and disadvantages of having nuclear power plants across the world and on the probable yielding of nuclear energy programs. Institutions Institutions are regimes or systems of social interaction under formal normative control in which actors follow the rules because they are not only enforceable but also legitimate, imbued with authority by the society and the actors who act within them 99 . The main organization involved is the European Union overseeing policy regulations with regards to nuclear energy as well as being the policy benchmark for both France and Germany.
98 Giovanni Capoccia and R, Daniel Kelemen. "The Study if Critical Junctures Theory, narrative, and Counterfactuals in historical institutionalism."World Politics 59, no. 4 (2007): 343. 99 Hay and Wincott, "Structure, Agency and Historical Institutionalism," 956. 36
State Actors Actors appropriate strategically a world replete with institutions and ideas about institutions. Their perceptions about what is feasible, legitimate, possible and desirable are shaped both by the institutional environment in which they find themselves and existing policy paradigms and worldviews 100 . State actors concerned are the prominent members of the EU namely France and Germany that are the known to use nuclear energy as its primary energy source. Preferences Preferences are caused by historical processes; that is, the theory attempts to suggest how historical developments cause a particular set of preferences held by a given actor 101 . State preferences that include France and Germanys response to the recent Fukushima Crisis on whether to pursue a nuclear phase-out or a non-nuclear phase-out.
100 KourisKalligas. "A Historical Institutionalist Analysis of the Security and Defence of the European Union" Department of Politics and International Studies 14, no. 2 (2006): 11. 101 Ira Katznelson and Barry R, Weingast. Preferences and situations: points of intersections between historical and rational choice institutionalism (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2007), 3. 37
Increasing Returns Increasing returns means that the probability of further steps along the same path (dependency) increases with each move down that path 102
With regards to Germanys shift from nuclear energy to renewable energy and their plans for complete nuclear phase-out by 2020. 'Lock-in' The concept of lock-in refers to a situation where an institution or a policy structure will remain intact regardless of a sizeable alteration to its political environment 103 . Although series of events have occurred to prove the dangers of nuclear energy, France remains to pursue nuclear as its primary source having planned to lengthen the lifespan of its reactors. Unintended Consequences Unintended consequences occur because even though actors can design an institution or a policy structure, they cannot hope to foresee the eventual development of their own actions 104
Inevitably outcomes from pursuing a nuclear phase-out may occur such as global warming as nuclear energy decreases carbon emissions.
102 Mycle Scneider. Nuclear France Abroad History, Status and Prospects of French Nuclear Activities in Foreign Countries (Ontario: Centre for International Governance Innovation, 2009). 103 Scneider, Nuclear France Abroad, 7. 104 Ibid, 10. 38
Theoretical Framework
Path Dependency
Critical Juncture Institutions Unintended Consequences Preferences State Actor State Actor Lock In Increasing Returns 39
Conceptual Framework
Path Dependency
Fukushima Crisis
European Union Global Warming Nuclear Energy Policies France Germany Non-Nuclear Phase-out
Nuclear Phase-out 40
Methodology Research Design This study is focused mainly on comparing the recent turn in nuclear energy policies of France and Germany and analyzing their differences using the EU energy policy as a benchmark. The research is classified as a basic research in which it is stated by a fixed plan geared to acquire the understanding of the fundamental aspects and observable facts or greater intelligence in the absence of identified applications in the direction of processes or products in mind. It is a research providing the foundation for technological progress. 105 The data used in this research is qualitative in nature since it describes social phenomena as they occur naturally, and the impact of these events on different actors. 106 Finally, the data collected is descriptive, and at the same time comparative, in which the researchers gathers information about the present existing conditions in France and Germany, particularly the present domestic and regional role of nuclear energy. The researchers collect data in order to determine the differences between nuclear policies of the two countries and the rationale behind their policy reform. Qualitative method is used in gathering data, and these data are used to develop concepts and theories, particularly the historical institutionalism theory, in order to fully understand the social world. The researchers seek to understand the behavior of actors, the formation of their opinions and attitudes, the effects of a particular phenomenon to their decision-making, and the differences of these actors. 107
105 Department of Defenses administration and support of basic research under the Code of Federal Regulations.
106 Beverly Hancock, An Introduction to Qualitative Research (Leicester: Trent Focus Group, 2001).
107 Ibid. 41
The priority method for the researchers to use is a case study. It illustrates a description of a single event, as well as analyzes a social situation over a period of time. It traces events involving the same actors over a period of time which enables the analysis to reflect changes. 108
Data Gathering The researchers need data on the decision-making processes of previous French and German administrations with regards to energy policies and specifically, the utilization of the countries nuclear energy. The researchers seek to collect data with the complete details of nuclear accidents, together with its impacts on different states. Moreover, the researchers will need data on the theory used in this study which is historical institutionalism. It is important to gather resources which can help in the application of this theory to the present situation in France. As stated in the scope and limitations, the study will be limited to secondary sources which is why this research primarily utilizes books (hard copy or electronic) and journals. However, there are instances where primary sources such as government documents and official websites which are directives are also utilized. Most of the books used are obtained from the De la Salle University Library and Google Books, while journal articles are gathered from JSTOR, EBSCO, and Cambridge Journals. The most useful sources that the researchers utilized can be retrieved from the OECD library. The sources have met the following criteria: credibility, authenticity, representativeness, and meaning. Authors of books and journals are acknowledged and usually experts in their fields. Sources are real and not edited. Also, they also speak as whole and are not biased.
108 Ibid. 42
Data Analysis The research primarily used documentary analysis to organize the data into concepts and verify the data collected. Then, the analysis of the data itself is conducted through inductive analysis where the researchers get into the full details and specifics of the data to discover important pattern, themes, and interrelationships. It begins by exploring, then confirming, guided by analytic principles. 109
It analyzes the patterns of behavior exhibited by actors after the Chernobyl and Fukushima accidents which affected the energy policies of different states. The thesis aims to make an analysis relating to the differences of these policy provisions using the EU energy policy as a benchmark. The researchers also tried to determine the impacts domestically and regionally of nuclear energy.
109 Burke Johnson and Larry Christensen, Educational Research: Quantitative, Qualitative, and Mixed Approaches, 2 nd ed. (Los Angeles: Sage Publications, 2008), 362. 43
Evolution of EU Energy Policy Post-war policies in Western Europe are based on the principle that it must reserve as much fuel as possible in the domestic level through the expansion of the coal industry. The aspiration to promote this objective has led to the creation of the ECSC the stepping stone toward European integration. 110 When it became clear by 1957 that coal production could not be radically expanded, proposals for a massive nuclear power program emerged; although two events at the end of that year established a demand for more comprehensive energy policy. In spite of the aggravated competitive pressures, the coal market started to decline roughly. This made the member states of ECSC agree to establish two new communities the EEC and Euratom, which has a more extensive course than ECSC. 111 Assuming that there will be an overextended responsibility for energy policy among the communities, ECSC decided to work with the others to develop a policy. Consequently, a number of proposals have emerged from different joint committees established by the three communities, but the member states have not arrived at a final agreement. The fundamental problem is that the states are not willing to support the level of security for coal promoted in these proposals. 112 It suggests that this inclination emerged from the central role given to ECSC with its direction toward coal. The other communities, especially EEC, have taken a more liberal approach, but the final reports made profound acknowledgment to ECSC mindset.
110 M. A. Adelman, Oil Prices in the Long Run, Journal of Business 37, no. 7 (1964): pp. 143-161. 111 Richard L. Gordon, Energy Policy in the European Community, The Journal of Industrial Economics 13, no. 3 (1965): 219-234. 112 Ibid. 44
Road to a More Integrated Policy The idea of an integrated energy policy indicates that it is necessary to take into account all sources of fuel rather than just European coal. At the outset, ECSC anticipated that it is practical to have an independent coal policy. In 1957, the need for a more extensive vision was officially recognized. The member states and ECSC signed an agreement which allowed ECSC to cooperate with the EEC and Euratom in developing a coordinated policy. A number of reports have been made by the communities, but so far, only the vast principles of such a policy have been authorized. The details have proved to be relatively contentious. 113
It should be acknowledged first that ECSC and the other European institutions have constantly determined the goal of such a policy with a broad notion of an economic optimum. The content of this optimum can be found in fundamentally the same terms in either the ECSC Treaty or the 1962 statement of the European Parliament on Energy Policy; both emphasized the expansion of an integrated market which produces abundant, low-cost, stable supplies, freedom from public and private policies which alter competition, and a minimum displacement of labor. 114
113 Richard L. Gordon, Coal Price Regulation in the European Community, Journal of Industrial Economics 10, no. 2 (1962): pp. 188-203. 114 Ibid. 45
Call for a Nuclear Policy The EU nuclear policy was only manifested through the Euratom Treaty of 1957. In 1955, the Messina Declaration by European Heads of State and Government called for more abundant energy at a cheaper price to be put at the disposal of the European economies. 115
The communities advanced their efforts to develop this policy through various reports starting in 1959. These reports all acknowledged the rapid decline of coal and the need for policies that assisted coal in a way that minimized intervention with the market. However, the earlier reports were vague about the level of difficulty and were given limited distribution. 116
DATA CHAPTERS EU Specific Policy Proposals The 1960 plans for establishment of target prices for energy were the initial specific policy proposals of the EU. These target prices would provide an outline for long-term planning and could be situated at either the expected free-market level or at some higher price that would allow more coal to be sold valuably. In the latter case, trade limitations would offer the necessary security. However, this mechanism failed to obtain the consent of the member states. On one hand, it took so long for them to decide on the particulars of the policy and the states were not able to agree upon them. On the other hand, the states were a bit doubtful about the feasibility of
115 IEA, IEA Energy Policies Review: The European Union (Paris: IEA, 2008). 116 Ibid. 46
the approach. Not only are prices merely unpredictable, but the estimates that were made also seemed to minimize the strength of oil competition. 117
Since there is no specific article on energy in the ratified EU treaties at present, energy- related legislation has been introduced to this point under the following legal basis Environment (Art. 175); Approximation of laws (Art. 81-97); Trans-European networks (Art 154); Difficulties in the supply of products (Art 100); Research (Art 166); and External relations (various articles in the treaties). 118
Recognizing that some aspects of energy policy are critical to the member states, EU energy policy measures adhere to two principles: first, that member states are ultimately responsible for their national energy mix; and secondly, that indigenous energy resources are national, not European, resources. Despite this, member states have previously accepted legally binding, although non-enforceable EU targets for specific energy sources, such as renewables, and are negotiating legally binding, enforceable, national targets within the framework of the draft Renewables Directive. Significantly, the EU has for more than a decade given consent on the legal provisions for liberalizing energy networks within the internal energy market and promoting cross-border partnership, interconnection and energy flows. An external energy policy was also established by the EU where it operates in fields of its own competence, such as economic, technical and financial cooperation, with agreements covering trade, investment, infrastructure development and use (e.g. Energy Community Treaty, Energy Charter Treaty), etc. The structure of political cooperation under the EUs Common Foreign and Security Policy (Title V, Treaty on European Union) also discusses energy issues.
117 Ibid. 118 Ibid. 47
While the CFSP to some extent has been engaged, most of the Commissions external ability is drawn from the EC Treaty. The legal framework for EU energy policy will be authenticated and reinforced by the new Lisbon Treaty, once it has been ratified by all member states. A general legal basis for energy policy in Article 176a is included, which validates and expands the EUs specific competences in issues concerning the implementation of the internal energy market, to security of energy supply, energy efficiency, the development of renewable energy and the interconnection of energy networks. It also promotes unity among member states in energy matters. Energy Policy Developments in the EU The evolution of energy policy at the EU expanded in 2005 when a new political force has surfaced among the member states to cooperate more closely in the fields of energy and reinforce the common policy in some areas. This was first conveyed at the G8 Summit at Gleneagles in July 2005 in an action plan which covers climate change, clean energy and sustainable development, and this matter was taken up during the UK presidency of the EU in the mid-2005. Consequently, it took a larger stride during the informal summit of EU leaders at the Hampton Court in October 2005, when heads of EU states and governments asked Commission to immediately arrange how the EU could collaborate in the fields of energy. Global geopolitics, climate change and the implementation of the internal energy market were the vital factors of these political changes. 119
119 Gordon, Coal Price Regulation in the European Community. 48
Unity in matters of energy supply and energy policy reform within the EU is included under the EU Treaty of Lisbon of 2007. Before the Lisbon Treaty was ratified, EU energy legislation was only based on the control of the EU in the field of the common market and environment; although many policy competencies vis--vis energy actually remain at the state level and development in policy at European level are not legally binding to the member states. Harmonization of Nuclear Liabilities in the EU There have been current discourses which have recognized gaps in the existing nuclear liability regimes in a more targeted way. 120 The so-called nuclear renaissance or nuclear new build cannot be restricted to merely the reproduction of nuclear power plants. It must occur along with the formation and reinforcement of legal frameworks for nuclear safety and radiation protection, security and defense. Currently, negotiations on the harmonization of nuclear liability regimes have opened at the EU level. While indifferent on this matter during the decades subsequent the signing of the Euratom Treaty in 1957, the thoughts of the European institutions towards EU nuclear liability mechanisms changed significantly after the 2004 and 2007 enlargements. In 2005, a patchwork situation discourse concerning nuclear liability has also opened under the auspices of the European Commission which was later cut short because of the tough disagreement from the new Central and Eastern European member states. 121
On the event of the International Nuclear Law Association (AIDN/INLA) biannual meeting held in Brussels in October 2007, the European Commissioner for Energy, Andris
120 Jakub Handrlica, Harmonization of Nuclear Liability in the European Union: Challenges, Options and Limits, Nuclear Law Bulletin 2, no. 14 (2010): pp. 35-64. 121 Ibid. 49
Piebalgs, described the nuclear liability framework as extremely inadequate from the Commissions standpoint. Commissioner Piebalgs proclaimed supplementary activities at the level of the European Community towards an integrated nuclear liability regime. Later, in December 2007, the Commission adopted a Spanish law firm to develop and issue a survey analyzing the views of EU member states and EU industry on the existing nuclear liability regimes, with a view towards harmonizing Community law in that area. 122
The Nuclear Liability Patchwork in the EU member states There is no legal framework on nuclear liability at the EU level. The context of nuclear liability in the Community is essentially ruled by existing multilateral treaties in this area and the legislation differs from one member state to another, depending on which treaty or treaties, if any, it has signed and ratified. 123
Prior to the 2004 enlargement, the plan of the Community appeared to correspond with the plan of the contracting parties to the 1960 Paris Convention on Nuclear Third Party Liability as revised in 1964 and 1982 (Paris Convention). This changed when several contracting parties to the 1963 Vienna Convention on Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage (1963 Vienna Convention) joined the Community during the 2004 and 2007 enlargements. 124
122 Ibid. 123 Norbert Pelzer, On Global Treaty Relations Hurdles on the way towards a Universal Civil Nuclear Liability Regime, Zeitschrift fr Europisches Umwelt- und Planungsrecht 13, no. 2 (2008): p. 273. 124 Ibid. 50
EURATOM and the Nuclear Liability Framework At present, European secondary law is restrained vis--vis nuclear third party liability. Therefore, the legal framework for nuclear liability in member states is that provided for under the international convention to which they have held on. I. Article 98 Euratom Treaty on facilitating the conclusion of insurance contracts covering nuclear risks. When signing the Treaty establishing the European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom Treaty) on 25 March 1957, the member states agreed to: Take all measures necessary to facilitate the conclusion of insurance contracts covering nuclear risks. Within two years of the entry into force of this Treaty, the Council, acting by a qualified majority on a proposal from the Commission, which shall first request the opinion of the Economic and Social Committee, shall, after consulting the European Parliament, issue directives for the application of this Article 125
The interpretation of this provision suggests the following observations and consequences for nuclear liability in member states: (1) Article 98(1) of the Euratom Treaty requires member states to take all actions necessary to facilitate the termination of insurance contracts constituting nuclear risks. This requirement is due to the fact that the contracting parties to the treaty were already aware in 1957 that nuclear insurance is an essential element of a suitable framework for nuclear liability.
125 Handrlica, Harmonization of Nuclear Liability in the European Union. 51
(2) By 1954 to 1955, since the nuclear industry is not able to pay the damages taking place from a nuclear accident, it was apparent that it would not be able to expand without a special liability. On the other hand, operators were aware of the fact that installations, in which they had invested large sums of money, could also be totally damaged or destroyed in an accident. At the same time, insurers started to rule out nuclear damage from the standard coverage because of the colossal risks associated with industrial use of nuclear energy; and they formed a special insurance system for the nuclear industry. Article 98 of the Euratom Treaty considered this development and requires member states to engage in the conclusion of insurance contracts. (3) The Euratom Treaty does not mention any definite responsibility of member states regarding the features of a nuclear liability framework. Therefore, it is impartial on the general principles by which nuclear liability is to be enforced. Ongoing discussions regarding new nuclear power plants or nuclear renaissance suggest difficult issues related to public acceptance. The establishment of a legal framework on nuclear liability is one of the fundamental pillars of the acceptance. The development of peaceful uses of nuclear energy cannot be reduced to the growth in number of nuclear power plants, but must also include the formation of an appropriate legal framework which covers all parts of the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. 126
To some extent, harmonization within the Community could be achieved if all member states would comply and ratify the existing amended conventions which, relating to the current lack of legal instruments in the European Community, assume a political compromise among all
126 Ibid. 52
member states. This decision would require strong political motivation and is, from the Communitys standpoint, somehow static even though it requires action on the part of individual member states, in particular new member states. Current EU Energy Policies Despite having energy as one of the central issues in the EU, the 7 th Framework Program (FP7) only allocated a fair amount of funding for energy research. Much of the FP7 energy funding is also committed to fusion research, a technology that is unable to help meet European climate and energy objectives until past 2050. The European Commission tried to address this deficit with the SET plan. 127
On 2008, the Steering Group on the implementation of the Strategic Energy Technologies Plan (SET Plan) have laid down the outline for an EU energy technology policy. It will develop the harmonization of national and European research and innovation efforts to place the EU ahead in the low-carbon technologies markets. The SET plan initiatives are: Solar Europe Initiative, which focuses on extensive demonstration for photovoltaic and concentrated solar power; European Wind Initiative, which centers on large turbines and large systems validation and demonstration (significant to on and off-shore relevance); European CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage Initiative, which centers on the whole system requirements, including efficiency, safety and public acceptance, to verify the feasibility of zero emission fossil fuel power plants at industrial scale; Bioenergy Europe Initiative, which focuses on the succeeding generation of biofuels within the framework of an
127 Jan Frederik Braun, EU Energy Policy under the Treaty of Lisbon Rules: Between a new policy and business as usual, Politics and Institutions, EPIN Working Papers 4, no. 1 (2012): p. 14 53
overall bio-energy use strategy; Sustainable Nuclear Fission Initiative, which focuses on the progress of Generation IV reactors technologies; and European Electricity Grid Initiative, which focuses on the expansion of the smart electricity system, including storage, and on the establishment of a European Center to execute a research program for the European communication network. 128
Nuclear Policies between Chernobyl and Fukushima, and beyond Despite the fact that the 1986 incident uncovered considerable gaps in the international legal framework, it was not really after the Chernobyl accident that an international cooperation and legislative agenda have begun. 129 As early as 1928, the International Committee on Radiological Protection has been established, the major international organizations for intergovernmental cooperation were instituted in the 1950s, and international mechanisms had been adopted in the realms of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, physical security, radiation defense and risk for nuclear harm. However, Chernobyl was a cautionary light for the international nuclear community and promoted international cooperation in the long run in areas that were until then rigorously guarded by individual nations as incorporated under their sovereign authority, such as emergency organization, nuclear safety and radioactive waste management. Also after this incident, there was a significant development in the international
128 Communication from the Commission to the Council, the European Parliament, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions - A European strategic energy technology plan (SET-plan) - 'Towards a low carbon future' {SEC(2007) 1508} {SEC(2007) 1509} {SEC(2007) 1510} {SEC(2007) 1511 129 Selma Kus, "International nuclear law in the 25 years between Chernobyl and Fukushima and beyond," Nuclear Law Bulletin 1, no. 87 (2011): 7-26. 54
third party liability mechanisms which is why the Fukushima incident in March 2011 was very compared to the Chernobyl. 130
Subsequent to the Chernobyl accident was the accomplishment of what was thought of as unachievable in the field of crisis readiness and response since the 1960s. In fact, it was attained only in the span of four months. Based on existing non-legally binding guidelines, the international community, under the support of the IAEA, adopted two legally binding conventions the Convention on Early Notification of a Nuclear Accident (Notification Convention); 131 and the Convention on Assistance in the Case of a Nuclear Accident or Radiological Emergency (Assistance Convention). 132
Both conventions provide the legal basis for the notification by a state of nuclear accidents to the IAEA and other states party to the convention, and also provide assistance at the request of the state in which the nuclear accident or radiological tragedy occurred. The extent of the two conventions is limited to the period of time subsequent to the accident without delay, which is why the later negotiated and adopted Convention on Nuclear Safety includes a provision on emergency measures. Article 16 of that convention requires contracting parties to have their on- and off-site emergency arrangements checked regularly and to take the proper measures to ensure that their own residents and the fit authorities of states in the area of the affected nuclear equipment are provided with accurate information for emergency preparation and response. Finally, at the European level, two Council mechanisms deal with radiological emergencies one on the procedures for the rapid exchange of information in case of a
130 Rautenbach, J., Tonhauser, W., Wetherall, A., Overview of the International Legal Framework Governing the Safe and Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy Some Practical Steps , International Nuclear Law in the Post-Chernobyl Period, p. 7. 131 INFCIRC/335, 18 November 1986. 132 INFCIRC/335, 18 November 1986. 55
radiological emergency, and another on informing the general public about health protection measures and steps to be taken in the case of a radiological emergency. The main focus of the international cooperation since the Chernobyl accident has been the safety of nuclear power plants. The 1994 Convention on Nuclear Safety (CNS) embodies a high point in this period. It is the foundation of the international legal framework on nuclear safety. It is a legally binding international instrument which does not require exhaustive safety standards but rather, essential safety principles for land-based nuclear power plants. The 1997 Joint Convention represents a further milestone mechanism in international nuclear law when it comes to safety. Finally, with Council Directive 2009/71/Euratom establishing a Community framework on the Nuclear Safety of Nuclear Installations, the third legally binding safety means was recognized at the European level. Moreover, there are countless safety conducts, standards, assistance programs and conferences initiated and held correspondingly under the support of international and regional organizations in order to set up, preserve and develop a high level safety society within participating states. 133
Nuclear Policies of France Institutional and Industrial Framework A number of ministries contribute to the characterization of the French nuclear policy, specifically the ministry in charge of energy and of the environment (MEEDDM), and the ministry in charge of higher education and research (MESR). Remarkably, the government itself does not control the compliance with safety and radiation protection rules. The Nuclear Safety
133 Kus, "International nuclear law in the 25 years between Chernobyl and Fukushima and beyond." 56
Authority (Autorit de sret nuclaire, ASN), an autonomous organization, executes this operation. 134
The ASN is responsible for ensuring compliance with the rules and regulations regarding the activities under its jurisdiction, offering advice to the state on draft declarations and governmental decisions and circulating information to the public, including when an emergency occurs. In this event, the ASN is responsible for notifying the public about the safety condition of the installation concerned and any emissions into the environment and hazards to human health and the environment. The ASN will play a crucial role in the development of the French nuclear sector since it decides on the commissioning, the operational safety and the lifetime extension of nuclear plants. 135
The Institute for Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety (Institut de radioprotection et de sret nuclaire, IRSN), an independent public organization, is the key public basis for research and expertise on nuclear and radiological hazards in France. IRSN also contributes to public policies vis--vis nuclear safety and protection of human health and environment vis--vis ionizing radiation. One of its primary responsibilities is to offer technical support for the public authorities, including ASN, and reports to the MEEDDM and four other ministries. 136
In 1945, the Commissariat lnergie atomique (CEA), a public association, was established to be able to perform and maintain all progress and utilizations in both military and civilian uses of nuclear energy. It is a plays a significant role in research, development and innovation in the fields of low-carbon energy (nuclear, new energy technologies), health
134 IEA, IEA Energy Policies Review: France (Paris: IEA, 2009). 135 Ibid. 136 Ibid. 57
technologies, information technologies and communication, and defense. Its procedures include giving recommendations to the French government in matters of foreign nuclear policy and representing France in international nuclear organizations such as the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The CEA is also a major player in drawing different nuclear reactor designs in France and is now responsible of the R&D needed for developing the fourth generation of reactors. It has been recently announced that the CEA will become the Atomic and Alternative Energy Commission in order to point up the development of its activities in low- carbon energy. 137
The National Agency for Radioactive Waste Management (Agence nationale pour la gestion des dchets radioactifs, ANDRA) is the national organization for radioactive waste management. Electricit de France (EDF) is the chief owner and operator of all the commercial nuclear power plants in France. Finally, AREVA is a world leader in nuclear energy and the only vertically integrated company that encompasses all facets of the fuel cycle, from mining through to waste treatment. 138
The French Energy Policy The construction of an ambitious nuclear power program in France, coupled with a closed fuel cycle, was compelled by the political will to attain a significant stage of energy independence in a nation inadequately bestowed in fossil fuels and having local uranium resources accessible in limited amount. 139 The energy independence objective given to nuclear power has been accomplished. Since the early 1990s, nuclear power has been completing
137 Ibid. 138 Ibid. 139 IAEA, "The back-end of the fuel cycle in France: Status and prospects" in Spent Fuel Reprocessing Options, ed. M. Giroux et al. (Vienna: IAEA, 2008). 58
roughly three-quarters of the electricity demand in France, which is a substantial contribution to the diminishment in energy imports by 16 billion in 2006; and an important further benefit is keeping away from the emission of C02 by about 126 Mt in 2006. Based from the 2005 law establishing guidelines for France energy policy and security, the state makes sure that nuclear power supplies a significant part of the electricity mix. A new generation reactor must be available by 2015 on a commercial basis in order to keep the nuclear preference open after 2020. The agenda of this 2005 Global Energy Act is also to formulate a research policy that will carry out the expansion of innovative energy technologies constantly with the French climate plan aspiring to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. A number of major steps is included in this protocol. First is the implementation and testing of a first of a kind GENERATION I11 (EPR) reactor in order to settle on for a chain by 2015. Second is a R&D on upcoming nuclear systems (GENERATION IV fission reactors, fusion reactors). Lastly are new energy technologies (including hydrogen economy, innovative fuels for transport sector) and energy efficiency. 140
The role of nuclear power to the French energy policy was further underpinned with the following major proposals: President Chirac declared in January 2006 the creation of a Generation IV prototype reactor by the CEA to be accomplished in 2020; Launching of an autonomous safety authority where its operation was defined in a new law on nuclear transparency and security ratified by the French parliament on June 13, 2006; and in June 2006, two major new laws regarding its nuclear sector was ratified by France. The Act on Transparency and Security in the Nuclear Sector was the one that established the ASN, alongside
140 Ibid. 59
with another body, a High Committee for Transparency and Information on Nuclear Security, (Haut comit pour la transparence et linformation sur la scurit nuclaire (HCTISN)). A national policy for the management of radioactive wastes and materials was defined by the 2006 Planning Act regarding the Sustainable Management of Radioactive. ANDRA is responsible for the long-term functions for radioactive waste management under this act. A National Plan for the Management of Radioactive Materials and Waste (Plan national de gestion des matires et des dchets radioactifs (PNGMDR)) was also formed under this Planning Act so to be able to establish a broad outline for managing all kinds of radioactive waste and materials. The Planning Act also emphasizes that the waste producers should be liable for the nuclear wastes; and they will also be accountable for funding the costs of waste disposal. In this context, what is in the interest of some is the disposal of drawn out high-level nuclear waste of French origin, for which the law denotes a reference management solution, that is erratic disposal in deep geological structures. 141
Legal Framework for Nuclear Waste Management The legal framework for managing High-level wastes was defined in the Waste Management Act of 1991. It systematized the R&D focusing on: Division and alteration (with CEA and CNRS as major contributors); Disposal in deep geological layers (R&D led by ANDRA); Long-term (sub)-surface storage (R&D led by CEA).
141 OECD, Nuclear Legislation in OECD Countries: Regulatory and Institutional Framework for Nuclear Activities: France, (Paris: OECD, 2003). 60
In 2005, a report on the status of concerning the evaluation of the most favorable R&D methods was passed to French authorities. Therefore, the legal framework for the waste management in France was revised and generated two important laws, both ratified in 2006: - A new autonomous safety body ASN was created by the Law on Nuclear Transparency and Security established. The ASN is led by a college of 5 members appointed for 6 years. It ensures the control of nuclear safety and radiation protection to protect workers, patients, the public and the environment from risks related to the use of nuclear technology. - The Programme Act on the sustainable management of radioactive materials and wastes concerns all kinds of radioactive waste (not only long-term high-level waste). It provides three key standards vis--vis radioactive waste and substances: deep geological disposal, short-term storage of radioactive substances and ultimate waste, cutback of quantity and toxicity. Deep geological storage that can easily be regained remains to be the most significant solution for long-term and high level waste under the law. By 2015, the potential blueprints of the disposal site will once again be discussed by the French parliament; and by 2025 a national disposal center might be regulated depending on the approval of the Parliament. In France, it is not allowed to dispose foreign brightened fuel or radioactive waste. The law also identifies financial provision for research, nuclear plants decommissioning costs, supplementary taxes on nuclear facilities to fund research programs. It also gives clear definitions for radioactive materials and waste and denotes that management is the key to decrease the radiotoxicity and volume of nuclear waste. The conception of a national management plan providing the solutions, the objectives to reach and the research actions to be commenced to achieve these objectives is the essential point of this law. Based from the Law on Nuclear Transparency and Security, this plan 61
is updated every three years and published. The law is promoting transparency and democratic control. 142
Aside from this legal framework, France has also adopted several national legislatives and regulatory activities. These are as follows: Licensing and regulatory infrastructure Decree No. 2012-1248 of 9 November 2012 authorising the ITER Organisation to create the "ITER" basic nuclear installation in Saint-Paul-lez-Durance (Bouches-du-Rhne). 143
This decree provides consent on the establishment of a basic nuclear installation (installation nuclaire de base INB) for carrying out nuclear fusion reaction experiments using tritium and deuterium plasmas. The function of the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) facility will be to show the scientific and technological viability of fusion energy. 144
Specifically, the decree regulates the operation of the installation, the qualities of the installation, the central safety functions, the anticipation of disasters, and the protection of the installation against dangers whether internally or caused by the environment. A 25-year phase within which the facility is to be constructed was also launched in this decree. The timing for the submission of an application for long-term operation was established
142 Ibid. 143 Dcret n 2012-1248 du 9 novembre 2012 autorisant lOrganisation international ITER crer une installation nuclaire de base dnomme ITER sur la commune de Saint-Paul-lez-Durance (Bouches-du-Rhne), Journal officiel lois et dcrets [Official Journal of Laws and Decrees] (J.O.L. et D.), 10 November 2012, p. 17847, Text No. 14. 144 OECD, National Legislative and Regulatory Activities, Nuclear Law Bulletin 3, no. 91 (2013): pp. 115-129. 62
in the national regulatory framework. 145 Fundamentally, there are two different approaches to the licensing of sustained operation of nuclear power plants: some OECD member countries grant operating licenses that have fixed period of validity (fixed license term), while others issue licenses that have indefinite validity (indefinite license term). France has the latter. The consent to manage a nuclear reactor in countries with a fixed license term is issued for a limited period of time, at the end of which the operator must formally apply for a license renewal; while in countries with an indefinite license term, the legality of the operating licenses is not limited in time, however the sustained safe operation of the plant and fulfillment of regulatory requirements are subject to sporadic review. The operator is not required to formally apply for a license renewal since the license remains valid. The nuclear power plant can operate as long as the divergent is decided by the operator or the fit authority. Both license terms are essentially legal and exhibit organizational concepts rather than safety ones. The conformity of plants with the safety standards, license conditions, regulatory requirements, and applicable legislation will constantly be managed by the regulatory authority, regardless of their location in a country with a fixed license term or in a country with an indefinite license term.
145 Sam Emmerechts, Christian Raetzke and Benjamin Okra, Legal and Regulatory Aspects of Long-term Operation of Nuclear Power Plants in OECD Member Countries, Nuclear Law Bulletin 1, no. 87 (2011): pp. 45-71. 63
Nuclear security Law No. 2012-1473 of 28 December 2012 authorizing the approval of the Amendment to the Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material 146
The Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material (CPPNM), particularly creating rules in the area of international transport of civilian nuclear materials, was drafted in 1979 under the support of the IAEA and was implemented in 1987. This French law gave consent to the authorization of the Amendment to the Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material which was adopted in Vienna on July 8, 2005 to be able to expand the range of the CPPNM and reinforce its major provisions. Nuclear safety and radiological protection Complementary safety assessments; Follow-up of the stress tests carried out on French nuclear power plants; Action Plan of the French Nuclear Safety Authority (Autorit de Sret Nuclaire ASN) December 2012 This national action plan illustrates a sense of balance on the actions decided by the French nuclear safety authority after stress tests were carried out on French nuclear power plants in the form of harmonizing safety assessments in 2011.
146 Loi n 2012-1473 du 28 dcembre 2012 autorisant l'approbation de l'amendement la convention sur la protection physique des matires nuclaires, J.O.L. et D., 29 December 2012, p. 20786, Text No. 3. 64
I nternational co-operation Decree No. 2012-1178 of 22 October 2012 publishing the Cooperation Agreement between the government of the French Republic and the government of the Republic of Tunisia for the development of peaceful uses of nuclear energy, signed in Tunis on 23 April 2009 147
This decree issued the cooperation agreement concluded between France and Tunisia for the expansion of peaceful uses of nuclear energy. This Franco-Tunisian cooperation agreement was concluded for a period of 20 years and may exercise cooperation in fields such as basic research; biology or medicine, the training of workers; the application of nuclear energy to the production of electricity; the development of nuclear energy applications in agronomy; the drafting of legislation and regulation in the nuclear field; nuclear safety, radiation safety and the protection of the environment; and nuclear security. Decree No. 2012-1180 of 22 October 2012 publishing the Cooperation Agreement between the government of the French Republic and the government of Mongolia in the field of nuclear energy (with annex), signed in Ulaanbaatar on 14 October 2010 148
This decree issued the cooperation agreement concluded between France and Mongolia in the area of the uses of nuclear energy for non-explosive purposes. This cooperation was concluded for a period of 10 years and may exercise cooperation in fields such as the exploration, extraction and processing of mineral resources; basic research; biology or medicine,
147 Dcret n 2012-1178 du 22 octobre 2012 portant publication de l'accord de coopration entre le Gouvernement de la Rpublique franaise et le Gouvernement de la Rpublique tunisienne pour le dveloppement des utilisations pacifiques de l'nergie nuclaire, J.O.L. et D., 25 October 2012, p. 16584, Text No. 3. 148 Dcret n 2012-1180 du 22 octobre 2012 portant publication de l'accord de coopration entre le Gouvernement de la Rpublique franaise et le Gouvernement de la Mongolie dans le domaine de l'nergie nuclaire, J.O.L. et D., 25 October 2012, p. 16589, Text No. 5. 65
the training of workers; the application of nuclear energy to the production of electricity; the development of nuclear energy applications in agronomy; the drafting of legislation and regulation in the nuclear field; nuclear safety, radiation safety and the protection of the environment; and the prevention and response to crisis situations resulting from radiological or nuclear accidents. Nuclear Policies of Germany The adoption of the Act on the Structured Phase-out of Nuclear Power for the Commercial Production of Electricity on April 2002 marked the transformation of Germanys law of deciding on a nuclear phase-out. 149 An establishment of rules by the legislation enabled the termination for the commercial production of electricity of German nuclear power plants. The amount of power remaining was taken into consideration. The total amount of power that will be produced corresponds to the said amount throughout the average operational lifespan thirty-two years. Once the decided quantity of power is reached, power plants will be turned off as predetermined by law. The energy concept was implemented by the federal government in autumn 2010. In anticipation of the usage of renewable energy, the Energy concept verifies that nuclear power is to function as a bridge in order for full transition. 150 Renewables are capable of having more contribution in the supply of electricity; and to achieve this, an infrastructure is being established. On December 2010 the 11 th Act Amending the Atomic Energy Act was taken into
149 Axel Vorwerk, The 2002 Amendment to the German Atomic Energy Act Concerning the Phase-out of Nuclear Power (PhD diss., University of Chicago, 2008). 150 Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety, Energy Concept 150 for an Environmentally Sound, Reliable and Affordable Energy Supply (Berlin: Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, 2010), 3-4. 66
effect. It is rooted from the Energy Concept that eventually extended the life spans Germanys 17 nuclear plants through the increase of maximum remaining power amounts that is allowable to produce by the nuclear power plants. 151
On the aftermath of the Fukushima tragedy in March 2011, the federal government agreed on the reevaluation of the probable liabilities set forth in the continual use of nuclear power. There has been a settlement on the cooperation with the Minister-Presidents of the Lnder, where the nuclear power plants are in full operation, to direct an extensive safety review to all German nuclear power plants. A component of the safety review shows that eight nuclear power plants were either taken offline or have not been turned on. The Reactor Security Commission with the participation of proficient nuclear regulatory authorities conducts the safety review for all German nuclear power plants. A comprehensive analysis of the dangers affiliated with German nuclear power plants was submitted on May 2011. In addition, the federal government set up an independent ethics commission, the Ethics Commission for a Safe Energy Supply, which in May 2011 submitted a comprehensive opinion on issues relating to Germanys future energy supply. The findings of these commissions served as guidelines for the energy policy decisions that needed to be taken. On 30 June 2011, the Bundestag decided by a large majority that, no later than the end of 2022, Germany will fully terminate the generation of power by German NPPs. This 13th Act amending the Atomic Energy Act took effect on 6 August 2011.
151 International Energy Agency, Energy Policies of IEA Countries: Germany 2013 Review (France: OECD/IEA, 2013), 171. 67
Energy Concept In September 2010, the Energy Concept was introduced by the Federal Government. It sought out and was determined to pursue ambitious goals for energy and climate policy. First, in comparison to levels on 1990, an 80% cut will be issued on emissions of greenhouse gases by 2050. Second, a large quantity of the German energy will be supplied by renewables in the future. And third, energy efficiency is to be augmented and energy expenditure be decreased notably. With the unveiling of the Energy Concept last September 2010, central challenges of energy and climate policy have arisen in the Federal Government. While the demand of energy globally continues to increase, particular fossil fuels have been decreasing. This is projected to claim long-term risks for supply security and energy prices. Moreover, most of the fossil fuels are collected from only few regions in the world and part of it are politically unstable. Germany is largely dependent on its energy imports with 88% from gas need and 98% of its oil needs. Additionally, climate change is imperative for its energy policy. Germany's consumption of energy accounts for approximately 80% of greenhouse gas emissions. 152
This is where the Energy Concept by the Federal Government was built upon. An extensive approach composing of the areas of heat, transport and electricity, the Energy Concept is founded on four pillars: ambitious goals, concrete measures, a funding concept and regular monitoring. Having a 40-year trajectory, the Energy Concept has a goal and a long-term focus to give a precise degree of investment security and planning for the pervasive investments that are
152 Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety, Energy Concept. 68
necessary. Nonetheless, it is technology-neutral to reduce the risk of any barriers to newfound technologies that are entering the market. This Concept gives a good balance amidst flexibility and planning security. Greenhouse gas emissions are planned to cut out by 40% on 2020, and at a minimum of 80% in 2050 by the Energy Concept as established by industrialized countries. To become the pillar of energy supply, renewables will be developed. The objective is to expand their share in gross final energy consumption to 60% in 2050 from about 10% in 2010. It is to increase by 2050 to as high as 80% in the share of renewable in electricity supply. In addition, over the years the government is determined to decrease energy consumption. On 2050, there should be a decrease in the main energy consumption compared to 2008 levels. This requests a 2.1% increase annually in energy efficiency in relation to the final energy consumption averagely. It is imperative that by 2050 electricity consumption is to decrease by 25% on levels compared to 2008, and should already be decreased by 10% at 2020. In the transportation sector final energy consumption should be decreased by 40% at 2050 in comparison to 2005 levels. Moreover, the rate of energy modifications annually for projects is to be doubled from current rates, from a ratio of 1:2 of existing buildings per year. Therefore the energy supply in Germany will be subjected to undergo an important transition. If Germany is to persist as a vying business location, it should simultaneously be essential to achieve a secure and affordable energy supply in the future. The groundwork for this new era of energy was laid down by the Federal Government in the summer of 2011 alongside the approval of an extensive legislative package known as the Energy Package. The Bundestag and Bundesrat, the Federal Government and Germany's upper and lower houses respectively, 69
constituted one ordinance and six laws for the period of only six months. Other than the continuous decrease of nuclear power by 2022, the laws passed are mainly on the grid expansion and the progressive development of renewable energy. 153
Energy Package In the aftermath of the recent unfortunate disaster in Fukushima, Germany unquestionably decides to give up the use of nuclear energy by 2022. The Krmmel nuclear plant and the seven oldest nuclear power stations are now permanently off the grid since spring 2011. And progressively, the other nine remaining nuclear power plants will be cease to exist by 2022. This disengagement from nuclear power plants is faster and compels a swifter implementation of the nearly impossible feat defined in the Energy Concept to reconstruct the energy system. To this end, the Federal Cabinet, the Bundestag and the Bundesrat authorized the comprehensive Energy Package. The said package consist of six laws and one ordinance, each one of one is focussing on different areas such as renewable energy, grid expansion and upgrading and also ways to fund the transition to a new energy era 154 . A key issues paper was approved by the Cabinet. It was on the subject of energy efficiency that acts as the justification for the amendment to the Energy Savings Ordinance (Energieeinsparverordnung) in 2012. The proposal to supply sufficient tax relief for energy modifications in residential buildings is presently being taken into account by the Lnder (states of Germany).
153 OECD, OECD Green Growth Studies: Energy (OECD, 2011 154 The Federal Government, National Sustainable Development Strategy (Germany: 2012). 70
The Energy Package established significant circumstances for investments and implemented fundamental measures of the Energy Concept. The Energy and Climate Fund is also available as a form of financing model. This special fund is sustained by the emissions trading revenue. This means that price of CO2 emissions dictates the precise volume of the fund. A range of areas are supported by the Energy and Climate Fund which includes electric mobility, building modernisation and national, international climate protection projects, and an Energy Efficiency Fund. Due to emission costs, an arrangement of remunerative payments for power- intensive businesses to balance out the increase in electricity prices is being planned from 2013 onwards. Act to Restructure the Legal Framework for the Promotion of Electricity Generation from Renewable Energy Sources (Gesetz zur Neuregelung des Rechtsrahmens fr die Frderung der Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Energien, EEG), including the 2011 firsthand report on the Renewable Energy Sources Act The resolution by the federal government, the energy concept, points the way to the age of renewable energies. For this purpose, the proportion of electricity is to be increased continuously from renewable sources by 2020 with increase to at least 35 percent, by 2030 at least 50 percent, by 2040 to at least 65 percent and by 2050 to at least 80 percent. The achievement of these objectives requires the expansion of renewable energy in Germany to be consistent and ambitious. This can only succeed if it is sustainable and efficient. At the same time, the necessary decisions are needed to be made to interpret the energy supply system to these high shares of renewable energies. The Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) must therefore be developed further, that the transfer of renewable energy in the electricity sector to an 71
expected market share of 35 to 40 percent is guaranteed within the current decade. For the attainment of the above policy objectives, the EEG is being amended. This amendment provides a central building block for the transformation of the energy supply and for entry into the age of renewable energy to the appropriate recommendations to the EEG. In particular, this market integration of renewable energy as a new column in the EEG is recorded, and in the introduction of a market premium, an important new incentive will be set which will help to ensure that more electricity is sold directly from renewable energy in the energy market. It will be on biogas plants with a capacity of more than 500 kilowatts of the market premium is made mandatory from 2014. 155
Act on Measures to Accelerate the Expansion of the Electricity Grid (Gesetz ber Manahmen zur Beschleunigung des Ausbaus der Elektrizittsnetze, NABEG) The rapid expansion of the share of renewable energy in electricity generation, the optimal economic use of conventional power plants and the increased cross-border trade in electricity made the rapid expansion of high-voltage transmission network in Germany urgently needed; but also in the distribution and especially in the 110 kilovolt high voltage level features significant expansion. The aim of the law is an acceleration of the expansion of the power grids of the high voltage level. The law provides for lines of the transport of electricity with a European or supra- regional importance, and a nationwide examination of the spatial impact and plan approval by the Federal Network Agency involving all relevant in these proceeding statutory provisions,
155 Deutscher Bundestag. Entwurf eines Gesetzes zur Neuregelung des Rechtsrahmens fr die Frderung der Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Energien. (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 72
notably those regulations that the environmental and other space planning and nature conservation law concerns. 156
Act to Restructure Provisions of the Energy Industry Act (Gesetz zur Neuregelung energiewirtschaftsrechtlicher Vorschriften, EnWGndG) The conditions under which particular transport networks can enable as a neutral marketplace more competition in the upstream gas and electricity markets were improved. In particular, the existing separation between the power companies in competitive areas. In addition to these organizational generic requirements, the objective is to further step towards a single European energy market with harmonized market rules that requires the development of infrastructure and stranded investments, which would be a burden for both businesses and consumers that simultaneously avoid needless costs. With increasing competition as well as the increase choices available to the consumer, high transparency should be made possible. At the same time increases in competition also increases the risk of disputes between consumers and businesses. Therefore, a fast and non-bureaucratic dispute settlement which has not previously existed must be created. In addition, consumers have had no or little opportunity to actively participate in the energy market due to the fundamental importance of energy to be devoted to the special protection of critical infrastructures. This is done by including the EU Directive on the designation of European critical infrastructures. This is to be implemented in the Member States. The same is true also for ensuring the security of gas supply. Limited gas supplies in Europe have shown in the past that functioning crisis mechanisms are required to ensure security of supply in both national and European. In the interest of energy conservation, environmental
156 Deutscher Bundestag. Gesetz ber Manahmen zur Beschleunigung des Netzausbaus Elektrizittsnetze. (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 73
protection and the achievement of climate change objectives, the share of combined heat and power generation is expanding. The law directives are transposed 2009/72/EC and 2009/73/EC. There are in particular the unbundling rules for the transport networks change, to strengthen the network companies. The guidelines provide three equivalent unbundling options, all of which are implemented in the design. In addition, the Federal Network Agency (FNA) receives additional skills in order to enforce the obligations necessary. With the bill coordinated, common network expansion planning of all transmission and transmission system operators will be guaranteed for the first time. This contributes to one of the special structures of the network operator landscape in Germany that accounts and avoids the other planning errors that may arise in an individual. The planned rules will not be the public's concern. It is produced by the rules for public participation and the fullest possible transparency with the goal of achieving greater acceptance for the line extension. Consumer rights are strengthened by short deadline changes of supplier, and clear rules for agreements in invoices for more transparency. In addition, an independent arbitration service is created, which is available to consumers in the energy sector as a contact person and to bring about amicable solutions in disputes between consumers and businesses. The rules for the introduction of the so-called smart metering systems provide the foundation for a more active participation of the consumers in the energy market while preserving its privacy. 74
To ensure the requirements of the Directive on European critical tables infrastructure, a method is provided which in light of the responsibility for the system of transmission system operators under the Energy Industry Act - the regular identification of European critical infrastructures and the regular review of security plans and security officers in the area of power supply allows. As part of the implementation of Regulation (EU) No 994/ 2010 will be met by jurisdictional rules in the field of security of gas supply. In accordance with Article 3, paragraph 2 of Regulation (EU) No 994/ 2010, the Federal Republic of Germany is obliged to 3rd formally designate on December 2011, a competent authority which ensures implementation of the provisions laid down in Regulation. This should be the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology. At the same time provide the legal basis' created which allows the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology to adopt by ordinance rules for data reporting to ensure security of supply and to transfer the Agency if necessary to other tasks according to the EU regulation . In addition, it can exempt those arising under the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, in particular the Federal Office for Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance and the Federal Office for Security in Information Technology, and other personnel requirements in subordinate authorities. Finally, the Directive 2008/114/EC will be implemented through European critical infrastructures. In addition, the Combined Heat and Power Act is amended to allow the promotion for systems with a start-up after 2016 and 2020. Based on a modified scheme, to use 75
flexible hours conditioning control strategies are allowed. Other laws may be revised in 2011 from the intermediate review pursuant to 12 of the Combined Heat and Power Act. 157
Act Amending the Act to Establish a Special Energy and Climate Fund (Gesetz zur nderung des Gesetzes zur Errichtung eines Sondervermgens Energie- und Klimafonds, EKFG-ndG) Fourth Ordinance amending the Ordinance on the Award of Public-sector Contracts The Fourth Ordinance amending the Ordinance on the Award of Public-sector Contracts. Due to the accelerated phase-out of nuclear energy, considerable investment and research activities will be required in the coming years to ensure the energy supply in Germany by fossil and renewable energy. This objective can be implemented only on the basis of a long-term secured funding for the Energy and Climate Fund. So far, the fund came mainly from the levy of additional profits of energy companies from the term extension and, from 2013, the expected revenues from the auctioning of emission allowances. By shortening the maturities, no further revenues from the levy of additional gains are expected in the future, so that appropriate tax losses have to be compensated. With the bill, the fund from 2012 provided all revenue from emissions trading for the accelerated phase-out of nuclear power, for the promotion of environmentally friendly, reliable and affordable energy supply and for action in the field of international climate and environmental protection available. In addition, future estimates by an extension of the purpose of the fund's assets are previously distributed on four departmental sections of the federal budget
157 Deutscher Bundestag. Entwurf eines Gesetzes zur Neuregelung energiewirtschaftsrechtlicher Vorschriften. (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 76
program investment for the development of future market electric mobility centrally in the economic plan of the energy and climate fund, and thus a transparent estimate of the expenditure in this market of the future will be assured. 158
13th Act to Amend the Atomic Energy Act (13. Gesetz zur nderung des Atomgesetzes, AtomG) The nuclear effects of the earthquake disaster in Japan meant an incision for the peaceful use of nuclear energy in Germany. In light of these events, the federal government with the prime ministers of the countries where nuclear power plants are operated, checked the safety of all German nuclear power plants by the Reactor Safety Commission, in close cooperation with the competent nuclear regulatory authorities of the countries and also by an ethics committee Secure Energy Supply. A social dialogue was conducted on the risks of nuclear power and the possibility of an accelerated transition in the age of renewable energies. The federal government has decided taking into account the results of the Reactor Safety Commission and the Ethics Commission Secure Energy Supply and the absolute primacy of nuclear safety to end the use of nuclear energy at the earliest opportunity. For this purpose, the quantities of electricity are to be revoked in Appendix 3 and column 4. Additionally, authorizations of nuclear power plants for power operation with a view to ensuring the security of supply, compliance with national and international climate protection goals and ensuring praiseworthy and socially sustainable development of electricity prices for the period necessary nor staggered in time to 31 December 2022 be introduced as a temporary and a fixed end date for the peaceful use of nuclear energy for the commercial generation of electricity in Germany.
158 Deutscher Bundestag. Entwurf eines Gesetzes zur nderung des Gesetzes zur Errichtung eines Sondervermgens Energie- und Klimafonds (EKFG-ndG). (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 77
Through an amendment of 7, paragraph 1, sentence 1 and 2, the permissions of the nuclear power plants for power operation are limited in time. These are contained in Appendix 3 Column 4 inserted with the Eleventh Act to amend the Atomic Energy Act quantities of electricity accounts. 159
Act Strengthening Climate-Friendly Measures in Towns and Municipalities (Gesetz zur Strkung der klimagerechten Entwicklung in den Stdten und Gemeinden) The coalition agreement between the CDU, CSU and FDP of 26 October 2009 provides to strengthen climate protection and internal development in planning law. In addition, the Land Use Ordinance is to be fully tested. This is due to the World Climate Report of the United Nations (UN). It has become clear that the fight against climate change and adapting to climate change, sustainable future tasks are also includes the cities and towns. These objects also have an urban dimension. The municipalities should bear the requirements for the local land use bill. In addition, the energy concept of the Federal Government, established on 28 September 2010, is for the expansion of wind energy use on land and in the construction and planning rules, that is necessary and appropriate to secure the repowering and the replacement of old wind turbines. Due to the nuclear disaster on 11 March 2011 in Japan, the establishments of the wind turbines will be accelerated. The list includes the planning law. For this reason, the order of the coalition agreement will initially be implemented in the context of climate change. Through the present bill, Germany seeks to strengthen the climate inserted inter alia, a climate protection clause that is expanding on the use and exploitation of renewable energy
159 Deutscher Bundestag. Entwurf eines Dreizehnten Gesetzes zur nderung des Atomgesetzes. (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 159
78
sources and from combined heat and power generation. It introduced special rules for the use of wind energy and facilitates the use in particular of photovoltaic systems in buildings. 160
Germany has also adopted several national legislatives and regulatory activities. These are as follows: Radiation protection General administrative rules on Section 47 of the Radiation Protection Ordinance (2012) Based on Article 85, paragraph 2, sentence 1 of the Basic Law (Constitution Grundgesetz) in conjunction with Section 47, paragraph 2 of the 2001 Radiation Protection Ordinance as last amended on 24 February 2012, 161 the Federal Government issued on 28 August 2012 General Administrative Rules on Section 47 of the Radiation Protection Ordinance. 162 The Rules apply to the estimation of the radiation exposure pursuant to Section 47 paragraph 2 of the Ordinance. The result of the estimation determines whether the facility is planned in a way such that the radiation exposure resulting from the discharge of radioactive substances into air and water does not exceed the dose limits provided for in Section 47 paragraph 1 of the Ordinance. The General Administrative Rules shall ensure the uniform application of laws by the authorities and are binding upon them. The Rules do not enjoy general applicability vis--vis every individual in the same way that laws do. However, because regulatory bodies must base their decisions on these rules, they have legal relevance also for those to whom administrative decisions, e.g. licenses, are directed. In those cases the rules have a direct external effect and
160 Deutscher Bundestag. Entwurf eines Gesetzes zur Strkung der klimagerechten Entwicklung in den Stdten und Gemeinden. (Berlin: H. Heenemann GmbH & Co., 2011). 161 BGBl. 2012 I, pp. 212, 249. See also Nuclear Law Bulletin, No. 89 (2012/1) OECD/NEA, Paris, p. 120. 162 Bundesanzeiger AT (5 September 2012), B1, p. 1. 79
concretize the norms which the license is based upon. For that reason, the Federal Administrative Court ruled that those General Administrative Rules which concretize the norms on the license must be published. 163
Nuclear Safety Safety requirements for nuclear power plants (2012) The Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Reactor Safety and the nuclear regulators of the Lnder (states) agreed to amend and to update the Safety Criteria for Nuclear Power Plants of 21 October 1977 164 and the Incident Guidelines of 18 October 1983. 165
They also agreed to invalidate the Bases for Safety Management Systems at Nuclear Power Plants of 29 June 2004. 166 The Federal Ministry and the Lnder regulators decided to issue the new Safety Requirements for Nuclear Power Plants of 22 November 2012. 167 The German regulators will apply the new safety requirements and measure the nuclear safety of commercial nuclear power plants against these requirements. The requirements contain principal and overarching safety requirements within the non- legally binding, sub-statutory, framework. They are designed to ensure that the necessary precautions against damage required to be taken by the operator of a nuclear installation in accordance with Section 7, paragraph 2 no. 3 of the Atomic Energy Act comply with the state of the art in science and technology. They will also be applied if safety assessments take place in
163 Judgement of the Bundesverwaltungsgericht of 25 November 2004, BVerwG 5 CN 1.53. 164 Bundesanzeiger No. 206 (3 November 1977). 165 Bundesanzeiger No. 245a (31 December 1983). 166 Bundesanzeiger No. 138 (27 July 2004), p. 16275. 167 Bundesanzeiger AT (24 January 2013), B3, p. 1. 80
the course of government supervisory activities pursuant to Sections 17 and 19 of the Atomic Energy Act. Section 49, paragraph 1 of the Radiation Protection Ordinance 168 defines the structural and other technical protective measures against design basis accidents in or at a nuclear power plant. According to sentence 3 of this paragraph, the licensing authority may consider these precautions to have been taken, particularly when the applicant for the design of the facility has used those design basis accidents as a basis that must, in accordance with the published safety criteria and guidelines for power plants, determine the design of a nuclear power plant. Compliance with the new safety requirements confirms that the precautions taken are appropriate. The regulators agreed to update the Safety Requirements for Nuclear Power Plants at regular intervals. Transport of radioactive material International Transport of Dangerous Goods by Road (2010, 2012) The 22nd Ordinance of 31 August 2012 to Amend the Annexes A and B to the ADR Agreement, as agreed in Geneva on 26-29 October 2010, 3-5 May 2011, 8-11 November 2011 and 8-10 May 2012, was published in Bundesgesetzblatt 2012 II p. 954. The Ordinance made effective the amendments to Annexes A and B to the European Agreement of 30 September 1957 on the International Transport of Dangerous Goods by Road in the version published on 25
168 Verordnung ber den Schutz vor Schden durch ionisierende Strahlen (Strahlen schutz verordnung - StrlSchV), BGBl. 2001 I, p. 1739. 81
November 2010 169 . The version of the Annexes which was made effective by the 21st Ordinance of 7 October 2010 was repealed. The 22nd Ordinance entered into force on 1 January 2013. Regulations on nuclear trade (including non-proliferation) Export List (2013) The 110th Ordinance to Amend the Export List Annex AL to the Foreign Trade Ordinance of 15 January 2013 was published in Bundesanzeiger AT 22 January 2013 V1p. 1. Part I Section C of the list contains the European Unions List of Dual-use Items and Technology category 0 of which lists Nuclear material, facilities and equipment. State Internalization of EU policies Since the 1973 oil crisis, there has been no compelling EU plan on energy security, which is quite unexpected. 170 Recent increases in oil prices have cautioned against the pressure that the rate of depletion of oil placed on the market price. The 2000s showed that the emergence of some major economies like China, India and Brazil put a pressure surge on oil and gas energy prices. The global downturn that followed the financial crisis of 2008 did not release this pressure. The danger is still there even if there are existing thoughts on new energy sources. Shale gas has been considered in the more recent years as one of these new sources that could return the trend to higher energy prices. Many observers believe that it will actually put a strong downward pressure on energy prices, especially if large economies like the US will fully exploit
169 BGBl. 2010 II, p. 1412; BGBl. 2011 II, p. 1246. See also Nuclear Law Bulletin, No. 85, (2010/1), 169 OECD/NEA Paris, p. 106. 169
170 Pascal Petit, "France and Germany Nuclear Energy Policies Revisited: A Veblenian Appraisal," Panoeconomicus 7, no. 5 (2013): pp. 687-698. 82
this source. However, this exploitation also exhibits environmental risks. For an instance, it is forbidden in France, for instance. Reserves are also disappointing at times, as in Poland where it was deemed for a while as a new main energy resource, but eventually turned out to be somewhat secondary. Much of the buzz around shale gas is linked with the special conditions of its extraction in the United States a large country where the gas extraction comes with some valuable oil products while a relatively dense circuit of pipelines aid distribution. Private ownership of land decentralized exploitation decisions, while the comparatively low environmental apprehension helps to minimize the risk of pollution of water sources and damages of methane leaks (a gas 25 times worse than C02 in terms of greenhouse gas effect) often accompanying extraction. It is estimated to be as high as 9% of shale gas extracted. These negative externalities should, in due time, significantly limit the exploitation of shale gas in other countries and in the US. The use of shale gas in the US and the consequent decrease in energy prices could disrupt the energy market for some time, with sometimes startling substitution effect. Thus, the increasing use of shale gas in the US lowers the price of coal in the US, which is finally used in Germany to cope with risks and setbacks in the production of renewable energy sources. Overall, though, this windfall is unlikely to release the long term pressure on energy access at reasonable prices. In that sense, shale gas is not an alternative. 171
Even though a solution is yet to be obtained, what is more important is that the EU supports the transition to renewable energy (wind, solar or water). Planned actions have been made by the EU to continue increasing the members' participation with regards to renewable energy; however as this is considered a long term process, an immediate shift is not possible. Also, because this is a time consuming objective skepticism arises on grand plans such as the
171 Ibid. 83
Germanled Desertec project (the production of solar energy to be transmitted to Europe from the Sahara desert) and the UK development of wind farms. These in many instances are not continued and are objectively shut down due to the costly expenditure and the implementation process. Ultimately, climate preservation is always understood to be the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and other uses. Although the one to lead this action is the European Union itself, to achieve the goal of a 20% reduction in the consumption of the overall energy by 2020 is still undeniably modest and is not likely to affect the energy prices. In the current circumstances of slow growth, energy savings is unlikely to happen where facilities and equipments are not invested upon because of their primary difficulty and when the same goal of energy savings is not implied on non-EU competitors. In cases like the Kyoto Protocol, where countries are committed to reduce significant amounts of greenhouse gas emissions from 2008-2012, was not renewed mostly by non-EU partners pose a challenge on the capability of the EU to move forward. Furthermore, the renewal of countries from 2013-2020 accounts for only 14% of greenhouse gas emissions globally. Therefore for the next two decades, the EU cannot have a policy that could decrease the cost of energy sources; although there is a reason for a low key strategy. Any other possibility of accomplishing this feat would need an industrial policy that is strong with proceeding actions to coordinate the supply and restrict use. Although standard market mechanisms has already been reduced from former EU central coordination systems. The European Commission conducted the new energy plan with the core to be confident that the deal for non-EU energy producing countries by the EU member states is transparent. The only means if adjustment that is recognized by the EU is market transparency. In facing the challenges of energy security, the establishment of the Coal and Steel European Community by means of 84
interventionism could not be repeated today. Finally, on supposition that the EU policy is not as strong as to bind the energy policies of France and Germany respectively, the opposite may have enough evidence to point out that the lack of severity of the EU policy on the energy policy would originate from the policies of France and Germany. DATA ANALYSIS Convergence and Divergence on Nuclear Policies of France and Germany History of Energy Policies This study is foreseeing the current shift in French and German policies concerning the production of nuclear energy. France will apparently decrease the share of nuclear energy in the production of electricity from the Factors that Pushed the Agenda of France and Germany Forward present 75% to 50% by 2025 while Germany chose to pursue a complete nuclear phase out from nuclear energy by 2022. These two countries had very different opinions after the oil crisis of the 1970s with France's investments in nuclear power stations to increase up to 75% of its electricity production compared to Germany with only 25%. The change in policy took place when Europe faced a two point challenge: (1) the essential access to secure energy sources at sensible prices in a time where we are looking at the consumption of nonrenewable sources is pushing prices to increase; (2) the necessity to decrease greenhouse gas emissions in accordance with the Kyoto Protocol that Europe has been advocating to prevent a sudden striking climate changes in the near future. The change is also equivalent to the dismantling of nuclear power stations established at the wake of the 1980s. It is questionable that there is such change when nuclear energy is appropriately a part of the solution to the challenges invoked. The nuclear 85
accident in Fukushima, Japan is a perfect example of the need for a different nuclear policy, although it was not the cause for change as it occurred after Germany and France chose their paths; it pushed forward their seemingly different causes. Interestingly enough, the balance between Germany and France in the functioning of the economy is surprisingly similar as the two are regarded as coordinated economies in the written works on diversity of capitalism (see Peter Hall and David Soskice 2001; Bruno Amable 2003). The absence of cooperative effort between Germany and France's energy policies does not come solely on the limited capability of the cooperation between the two countries. Distinctions of nuclear energy are accountable for a large sum of the moves, to a great extent the rate of the danger and time of the involved projects as it was gradually revealed. These suggests that the European Union will hastily return the motivation for an energy policy that needs more engagement and compliance to succeed in dealing with the challenges it faces. Since the Fukushima accident, an official inspection was issued by the EU on the safety and security of all power stations in the absence of the requirement of these tests that are accountable for the risks of terrorism or the safe management of waste, all of which allow an accurate perception that the nuclear technology is far from being a safe technology. Even after increasing the safety measures to unparalleled levels that affected the economic justification of constructing the new reactors did not bring confidence to the populations that are still terrified of the extent of probable danger. A repetition of perhaps the Chernobyl accident occurring in a power station near Paris would clearly impose an evacuation of the whole region for decades. At this stage, safety is implied as the controlling power of the central state in a totalitarian regime. 86
Germany and France are clearly apart, and where France is even compelled to withdraw from its much too anticipated nuclear option. A debate would be useful but timely as a large number of power stations have already reached the termination period of activity and will be deactivated. The progression thereafter is costly and there are many peremptory requests of deferral despite the fact that the general direction of developed countries is more in a relation to reduction of the share of nuclear energy. Ultimately, nuclear energy and its use for all the reasons already mentioned seem to be in a preliminary phase which has been put to use ahead of time. This is aggravated by the fact that nuclear reactors has been functioning for already two decades in the environment of a free market where producers have attempted to cut costs at the liability of maximum safety which has been continuously underestimated. Enforcing this progression of alteration or movement and establishing its empirical nature gives the impression of the belief that new development of nuclear reactors shall be confirmed to bring a feasible, inexpensive, lasting source of energy. It justifies that a numerous set of the members of the EU are taking part in a large international research project ITER which aims to advance a new stage of nuclear power, specifically nuclear fusion that will bring an enduring source of energy, with only a small amount of waste to be managed, but identical risks in the concept of radioactivity in instances of accidents. This costly research project has been rather doubtful because of always postponing the sphere of its inevitable success. 172
These current specific policies of France and Germany are analyzed by the researchers using Historical Institutionalism as a theory. The researchers primarily look at history such as the
172 Pascal Petit, France and Germany Nuclear Energy Policies Revisited: A Veblenian Appraisal, Panoeconomicus 7, no. 5 (2013): pp. 687-698. 87
events that have occurred in the past that might have affected the decisions of actors in shaping its existing policies. Secondly, the researchers consider the public opinion and assess how it also affects the states decisions. Lastly, political institutions of the two states are determined and how it contributes to the decision-making process of the states is also viewed. The 1973 Oil Crisis Energy policies have been marked by the recent oil crises, 173 catastrophic accidents such as the Three Mile Island and Chernobyl, not to mention the impacts of the recent Fukushima nuclear accident. 174 The 1973 oil crisis started on October 16, 1973 when the members of OAPEC proclaimed and oil embargo raising the oil price by 70%. 175 The embargo is inconsistent in Europe. France has received steady supplies while Germany only faced partial decline. The price increase had a much greater impact in Europe than the embargo. 176 Part of the decrease in prices comes from the shift from oil consumption to alternate energy sources. 177 OPEC had relied on the limited price inelasticity of oil demand to maintain high consumption but had underestimated the extent to which other sources of supply would become beneficial as the price increased. Electricity generation from nuclear power reduced the demand for oil. 178 The two countries had pursued different actions following the oil crisis in 1973, with France investing heavily in nuclear energy to reduce its dependence on fossil fuel compared with up to only 25%
173 Howard Stein, The Neoliberal Policy Paradigm and the Great Recession, Panoeconomicus59, no. 4 (2012): 421-440. 174 Stephen Thomas et al., The Economics of Nuclear Power (Amsterdam: Greenpeace International, 2007). 175 Ferenc L. Toth and Hans-HolgerRogner, "Oil and Nuclear Power: Past, Present, and Future,Energy Economics 28, no. 3 (2006): 1 25. 176 Barbara Slavin, Milt Freudenheim and Willian C. Rhoden, "The World; British Miners Settle for Less," The New York Times. 177 Patrick L. Anderson, et al., "Price Elasticity of Demand," The Universal Tuition Tax Credit: A Proposal to Advance Parental Choice in Education 11, no. 1 (1997): 13-17. 178 Ibid. 88
in Germany.EU has not come up with a strong plan on energy security since the 1973 oil crisis, which gave an idea on how vulnerable the EU members are. 179
Three Mile I sland Accident The Three Mile Island accident was a partial nuclear meltdown which occurred in one of the two Three Mile Island nuclear reactors in Pennsylvania on March 28, 1979 when the reactor was operating at 97% power. It involved a relatively minor malfunction in the secondary cooling circuit which caused the temperature in the primary coolant to rise. This in turn caused the reactor to shut down automatically. Shut down took about one second. Then, a relief valve failed to close, and so much of the primary coolant drained away that the residual decay heat in the reactor core was not removed. The core suffered severe damage as a result. 180 This was supplemented by communication problems which caused conflicting information to the public, contributing to the public's fears. 181 This was actually said to be the worst accident in the nuclear history of US. The operators were unable to assess or respond accurately to the unplanned automatic shutdown of the reactor. Lack of control room for machineries and insufficient emergency response training proved to be root causes of the accident. A small amount of radiation was released from the plant but it was not serious and has no health hazards. It produced a significant, long-term improvement in the performance of all nuclear power plants, although public confidence in nuclear energy, particularly in USA, strongly declined. 182
179 Stein, The Neoliberal Policy, 433. 180 J. Samuel Walker, Three Mile Island: A Nuclear Crisis in Historical Perspective (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2006) 181 Mike Gray and Ira Rosen, The Warning: Accident at Three Mile Island (New York: W.W. Norton, 2003). 182 Ibid. 89
Chernobyl Catastrophe This disparity of the two countries vis--vis nuclear energy was clearly determined after the Chernobyl accident in Ukraine on April, 26, 1986. 183 The accident was the result of a damaged reactor design that was operated with inefficiently trained personnel. It was the first major nuclear power plant accident that resulted in a large-scale fire and subsequent explosions, immediate and delayed deaths of plant operators and emergency service workers, and the radioactive contamination of a significant land area. 184 The resulting steam explosion and fires released at least 5% of the radioactive reactor core into the atmosphere and downwind. Two Chernobyl plant workers died on the night of the accident, and a further 28 people died within a few weeks as a result of acute radiation poisoning. Radioactivity was released over a 10-day period which resulted in millions of Soviets, and other Europeans, being exposed to significant levels of radioactive fallout. 185 Although there was an increase in the number of thyroid cancers victims, there is no evidence of a major public health impact a priori to radiation exposure twenty years after the accident. For France, the accident was seen as an irrelevant accident that would not have an effect on the French territories which was later proved to be incorrect while Germany has strongly begrudged its impacts from the start which reinforced the anti- nuclear movement. 186
183 Frank Barnaby, "Chernobyl: The Consequences in Europe," Ambio 15, no. 6 (1986): 332-334. 184 Ibid. 185 Harold M. Ginzburg and Eric Reis, "Consequences of the Nuclear Power Plant Accident at Chernobyl," Public Health Reports 106, no. 1 (1991):32-40. 186 Barnaby, "Chernobyl: The Consequences in Europe," 332. 90
Fukushima Disaster Following the accident at Three Mile Island in 1979 and at Chernobyl in 1986, Fukushima will be remembered as the third major accident in the history of civilian nuclear power reactors. Yet Chernobyl was and remains the worst trauma in this history as a result of which nuclear developments slowed down significantly. 187 The Fukushima incident was caused by a tsunami in Japan which produced equipment failures, and without this equipment a loss-of- coolant accident followed with nuclear meltdowns and releases of radioactive materials. 188 Although the aftermath of the Fukushima accident has established the need for a new nuclear policy, it was not the cause for change since it took place after Germany and France have followed different options. 189 Even before the incident, Germany has already planned the phasing-out 190 while France was only considering a partial phase-out, lowering nuclear production of electricity from 75% to 50% by 2020. The same shift to decrease nuclear dependence, although non-binding, was recommended at the EU level. 191 This incident has stimulated a new turn to respond to the risks of future huge disasters that can come in numerous ways, and avoid the colossal costs of decommissioning reactors. 192
Although an immediate solution is not available, EU encourages its members to divert to renewable sources of energy. It is more of a long-term objective, but a short-term solution to the
187 Selma Kus, "International Nuclear Law in the 25 Years between Chernobyl and Fukushima and Beyond," Nuclear Law Bulletin 87, no. 1 (2011): 7-26. 188 Eliza Strickland, What Went Wrong in Japan's Nuclear Reactors, IEEE Spectrum 16, no. 3 (2011): 17-24. 189 Kus, "International Nuclear Law," 19. 190 Thorstein Veblen, Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution (New York: Cosimo Classics History, 2006). 191 Gary A. Dymski, Limits of Policy Intervention in a World of Neoliberal Mechanism Designs: Paradoxes of the Global Crisis, Panoeconomicus58, no. 3 (2011): 285-308. 192 M. V. Ramana, "Nuclear policy responses to Fukushima: Exit, voice, and loyalty," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 69, no.2 (2013): 66-76. 91
rising problem of energy access. 193 There have been a few coordinated moves at the EU level to boost the rate of renewable energy in all member states; but this takes time since it is a lengthy process. 194 A solid EU policy which would set the energy policies of France or Germany should be enforced; otherwise, a feeble EU policy would arise directly from the policies of these two leading countries. 195
Public Opinion France and Germany are both democratic countries. If the German population is greener than their French counterpart, it could be a plausible explanation why Germany abandoned nuclear energy. However, it is impossible to compare the public opinion of France and Germany. To only put into comparison the public polls is not equivalent in doing the same to public opinion. Even through close investigation, there is no public poll that asked the same set of questions for both countries. The questions asked in the poll are firstly very sensitive. And even though the theme of the questions asked are the same, if the questions are asked in a different manner, the result of the poll will also be different. But looking closely at both countries' public poll on nuclear energy there are some findings. Public opinion in France On behalf of France, EDF took the public opinion poll concerning public acceptance of nuclear power. After a close examination on all public opinion polls lead by the EDF, it suggests that majority of the French people take nuclear energy as an economic reality that is widely
193 Dymski, Limits of Policy Intervention in a World of Neoliberal Mechanism Designs. 194 Ibid. 195 JakubHandrlica, "Harmonisation of Nuclear Liability in the European Union: Challenges, Options and Limits," Nuclear Law Bulletin 84, no. 2 (2010): 35-64. 92
accepted. After the constant reminder of nuclear energy producing larger electricity share, 63% favored the energy policy by the French government in December 1996. 196 Ultimately, the public opinion poll shows that nuclear energy acceptance is high in France. Nonetheless, another opinion poll conducted by the IAEA shows that in some years there are oppositions to nuclear energy that reached closely 50% in poll. 197
Public opinion in Germany There are rarely occurrences of institutions that take a public poll with regards to the public acceptance of nuclear energy in Germany. However, there are still some institutions who take the poll. Institut fr Demoskopie in Allensbach carried out an independent survey across Germany, inquiring on the public's opinion concerning the use of nuclear power on 1992. Surprisingly, the majority of the results show that Germans predict nuclear power to continue existing as a major energy source in the near future, with just 5% of the public foreseeing a nuclear phase-out and the complete dismantling of current nuclear power plants. As for the people's personal opinions, results show that rather than expecting nuclear energy to be decommissioned, it became apparent that opposition to nuclear power has reduced. Those in approval of a nuclear phase-out amounted to only 22%, the lowest record over the two decades. In total, 81% were in favor of nuclear power plants to continue operating or for new ones to have a license for full operation. To confirm these circumstances, Vereinigung DeutscherElektrizittswerke e.V. (VDEW) published a newer public opinion poll. As of July 1998 those who are interested for a nuclear phase-out were only 21%. 198
196 EURELECTRIC, Survey of Different Approaches. 197 IAEA, Country Nuclear Power Profiles. 2009. 198 EURELECTRIC, Survey of Different Approaches Utilized to Aid Public Acceptance of Nuclear Energy. 93
Political Institutions International Political Economy (IPE) has been discussing on the topic of political institution as one of the factors that is liable for the political consequences of international commitment or economic policy. Other literature mentions the nuclear industry of France is the result of the outcome in French political institutions. On the other hand, there are no literature discussing the concern of the causal relationship between political institutions and the energy policy as well as the association of the two. 199 However, there is a significant role of the green parties in both France and Germany in the history of its energy policies. From this an assumption is granted; the election system, degree of decentralization of power, and the political institution system have a causal interrelationship with the result of energy policy. Political I nstitution in France Frances election system is also known as a small district system. For the presidential and legislative elections, the two-round system is followed. For the election of the president, only the top two candidates are the ones allowed to run on the second ballot while in the election of the legislators the candidates need a support of at least 12.5 per cent of registered voters in the first round in order to be eligible for the second. There is a basic rule for both elections it must take a majority to be considered on the first ballot and a second ballot is only required if that particular circumstances are not satisfied. 200
198 (1999) 199 Magali Delmas and Bruce Heiman , Government Credible Commitment to the French and 199 American Nuclear Power Industries, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 20, no. 3 (2002): 433456. 200 Andre Blais and Peter John Loewen, The French Electoral System and its Effects, West European 200 Politics 32 no. 2,(2009): 345359. 94
The power of the president in France is incomparable to older governments and to other European countries. It includes the power to assign a prime minister and the authority to dissolve an assembly, demand for a referendum and activate powers in cases of emergency. The French president handles all issues in diplomacy and is also the commander in chief of the military with the final say on all issues concerning the armed services. After the development of the nuclear deterrent in France on 1960, presidential power expanded considerably. As well as the regard of local jurisdiction by decentralization of government, France has always been a unitary state. Political I nstitution in Germany Proportional representation is what classifies the system of election in Germany. Specifically, it is called as a personalized proportional representation where the people would have to vote for both parties and electorate. The basic rules are as follows: first, the 656 seats will be distributed accordingly to the parties considering the party vote. Only the parties that have won at minimum three constituency seats based on the candidate votes can be accepted or those that have won at least five percent on the second voting in the whole of Germany. Second, the German Bundesrat is elected through direct voting in only 328 constituencies. Third, the other 328 constituencies will be through the election of the German Bundestag by way of the candidate list provided by the parties in the proportional representation. The order in the list of candidates is predetermined by the parties themselves in advance and is permanent. 201
Implementing the parliamentary system in Germany; the president has the power which is called chancellor prime minister. However, the administrative affairs of the federal state of Germany belong to the state government. The lawmaking right of the federal government is
201 Kato Shigeru Jiro, Western Europe Comparing Politics. (Ichigei-sha, 2002). 95
limited as the field diplomacy, nationality, currency and so on. In other words, state government has the lawmaking power. 202
Comparative Analysis of Political I nstitution There is a considerable amount of difference between Germany and France's political institution. Germany follows a federalism government while France has an Unitarianism government. Centralization is more apparent in France. Decentralization of power is an important variable in deciding the energy policy of each country. Nuclear power in France would be easily accepted rather than in Germany. When the German government introduced and passed the law on nuclear power, the state government easily circumvented the law as they have the higher authority. Because of this, federalism in Germany allowed the lack of compelling force as a result more nuclear energy power plants are dismantled in Germany than that of France. Furthermore, seeing the election system, Germany has more of an advantage in representing their minority opinion as they follow a propositional election system where there is comparatively high possibility of coalition. This kind of system of election was inevitably beneficial to the green party. The party that strongly disagrees with the usage of nuclear power and played a significant part in both France and Germany is the Green party. The coalition government under the green party decided that Germany should abandon nuclear power. The participation of the Green party in the French government also influenced the decision of France to slow down the progression of nuclear power in the government. It is important to note that the green party justifiably played a role in decision-making process concerning the energy policy.
Germany has a more beneficial system of election for the Green party, a minor party and federalism realizes a characteristic that makes a federal government harder to progress by own pace, the liability of the German government became higher that ultimately lead in abolishing nuclear power. On the other hand, as France proclaims a unitary government, it poses as a disadvantage for the Green party therefore they were able to enhance their nuclear energy policy. 203
CONCLUSION The researchers would like to determine and analyze the differences between the policies of France and Germany concerning their nuclear energy after the different events that happened in the nuclear power plant history which affected their interests and led to a shift in their nuclear policy decision-making process. The thesis has focused on the obstacles of the development in the areas of the energy sector in both France and Germany and the external energy relations with the European Union respecting the fragmented character of the EU energy sector. After that, the paper proceeds to the analysis of the Member States, France and Germany and their respective formulation of an energy policy appropriate for their country. The history of the energy policies in France and Germany established and the conducted the concern of the specific laws that outline France and Germany's energy policy today. This laws project the divergence of both countries in the energy sector and their future aspirations as well as their plans.
203 Fukushima Yuka, Implication of the Determinant of Energy Policy: The Case Study of Nuclear Power in Germany and France. (PhD diss., University of Tokyo, 2007). 97
This paper has shown, among all others that France and Germany had very different responses on the variables that affected their decision on proclaiming their very own energy policies on whether to pursue or not a nuclear phase-out in the energy sphere. Both, France and Germany, have used economic reasoning in terms of their attitude towards fulfilling as well the commitment on the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Instead, they individually preferred to strengthen their energy sector without much influence from the EU. Furthermore, policy change in the integration of the internal market within both countries occurs when particular energy crisis happens such as the oil crisis, the Chernobyl accident, and the Fukushima disaster. However, we can assess that although public opinion on energy is important, it does not necessarily correlate to the results of the energy policy in every country. Moreover, there is also an assumption that the structure of France and Germany's political institutions plays a very important role on the decision-making process.
98
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