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Parameters of the simulation
In all scenarios, the most likely outcome is that it is auto-called in year one
with a coupon of 9% (the dark-blue segment). If it is not auto-called in
year one, then gure 2 demonstrates the likelihood of it being called in
subsequent years (the remaining lighter-blue segments). The likelihood of
the product lasting until maturity is equivalent to the size of the red and pink
sectors combined in each scenario, with the size of the red sector showing
the probability of losing some portion of capital and the size of the pink
sector representing the probability of the product redeeming 100% capital.
Variations
As with any popular structure, a number of variations on the original idea
exist. Some of the more commonly seen variations are:
Performance auto-call: The auto-call coupon is not xed at a specic level
but pays the greater of X% and the actual underlying performance in case
of an auto-call event.
Crescendo auto-call: The auto-call event depends on two underlyings
being above the auto-call barrier. The additional condition on the second
underlying provides additional nancing for higher auto-call coupons.
Escalator auto-call: The auto-call barrier decreases each year increasing
the likelihood of an auto-call event and reducing the probability of capital
at risk.
Bonus plus auto-call: Besides the auto-call coupon, investors receive a
bonus coupon if auto-called early in the life of the product. The effective
per annum coupon is high in early years compared with a standard auto-
call note and reduces towards maturity.
Premium express: The auto-call barrier is below 100% of the initial strike
level aiming to provide a high auto-call probability with full capital protection.
2. Distribution of the payoff
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Flat market Moderate growth
market
Bullish market
Not auto-called with capital loss at
maturity
Not auto-called with capital protection
at maturity
Auto-called year 5 with 45% coupon
Auto-called year 4 with 36% coupon
Auto-called year 3 with 27% coupon
Auto-called year 2 with 18% coupon
Auto-called year 1 with 9% coupon
%
Contact details
Albert Plattner, managing director, head of European structured
sales, Citigroup
e: albert.plattner@citigroup.com
t: +44 (0)20 7500 5000
Financial terms of the hypothetical auto-callable structure
Underlying Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50