Professional Documents
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WELCOME
Welcome
Dear Colleague
Thank you for your interest in this FC Gas Intelligence Whitepaper on the Natural Gas Vehicle market in North
America, 2013-14, I hope you find it valuable.
Natural Gas Vehicles (NGV) are at a seminal moment in the United States currently, with a range of
stakeholders driving the development of the market. To get a thorough overview the report interviewed over
20 industry experts, drawing their combined expertise into this document to better inform your strategies
over the next few years.
This Whitepaper is only the beginning of the debate on Natural Gas Vehicles, it has been created in
conjunction with the 3rd Natural Gas Vehicle USA Conference & Exhibition (June 11-13, Houston) more info
can be found here www.ngvevent.com
I hope you find the report useful and I look forward to speaking to you soon,
josh@fc-bi.com
| 2
A business intelligence and networking company we help leading corporations define their future strategy
and direction, develop growth opportunities and solve the problems facing their sectors. The engines of our
business are growth and change. We focus on two types of industry:
Those arising from technology developments which are moving into full global commercialisation.
Those needing to change in order to respond to disruptive technologies or global events.
Our aim is to provide companies with insights into strategic options for the future in order that they can
capitalise on opportunity.
Author
Disclaimer
FC Business Intelligence Ltd and its partners prepared the information and
opinions in this report. FC Business Intelligence has no obligation to tell you
when opinions or information in this report change. FC Business Intelligence
Ltd makes every effort to use reliable, comprehensive information, but it makes
no representation that the information is accurate or complete. In no event
shall FC Business Intelligence Ltd and its partners be liable for any damages,
losses, expenses, loss of data, loss of opportunity or prot caused by the use of
the material or contents of this report.
No part of this document may be distributed, resold, copied or adapted
without FC Business Intelligence Ltd s prior written permission.
FC Business Intelligence Ltd 2013
| 3
CONTENTS
Contents
Welcome . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
About FC Gas Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7-8
Chapter 1: NGV Industry Overview. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
1.0 Market Size and Growth Forecasts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
1.1 Growth drivers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.2 NGVs on the Road . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.3 Locations of Existing CNG and LNG Stations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.4 Proposed expansion of
CNG and LNG fueling networks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
1.5 Expansion of Small and Midsize LNG Liquefaction Plants. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
1.6 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Chapter 2: Government policies: How they will shape the NGV market over the next 5 years. . . . . 22
2.0 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
2.1 Policy in context. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
2.2 Subsidies and tax incentives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
2.3 Procurement policy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
2.4 CAF standards. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
2.5 Environmental regulation: potential risk?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
2.6 Export policy: potential risk?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
2.8 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Chapter 3: Converting to Natural Gas, Vehicle issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
3.0 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
3.1 Passenger automobiles. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
3.2 Light and medium duty trucking vehicle options. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
3.3 State subsidies for light-duty NGVS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
3.4 Heavy duty trucking. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
3.5 Factors to consider in HD fleet conversions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
3.6 State subsidies for heavy-duty fleet conversion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.7 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
Chapter 4: Building Dedicated Fuelling Infrastructure, CNG and LNG. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
4.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
4.2 Basic cost considerations, CNG compared to LNG. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
4.3 Design, planning, and siting of CNG fuelling stations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
4.4 Design, planning, and siting of LNG fuelling stations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
4.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
For more information visit www.ngvevent.com
| 4
FIGURES
Figures
Figure 1 Natural gas consumption by sector, 1990-2040 (trillion cubic feet). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 2 U.S. Natural Gas Vehicle Fuel Consumption MMcf. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 3 Average diesel, gasoline, and CNG prices, 2000-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 4 Price differential CNG to diesel, by state. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 5 PCT. Growth in public access CNG stations 7/11-8/13. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Figure 6 Regional Transportation Corridors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Figure 7 Locations of CNG stations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Figure 8 Locations of LNG Stations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Figure 9 United States truck traffic volumes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Figure 10 Projected expansion of Trillium CNG station network, 2013-2016. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Figure 11 Projected expansion of Loves CNG network. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Figure 12 Projected rollout of Clean Energys Americas Natural Gas Highway of LNG and LCNG
stations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Figure 13 Projected network of LNG stations proposed by Shell and TravelCenters of America
partnership. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Figure 14 Blu LNG operational and pending LNG fuelling network (as of end 2013) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Figure 15 Small and Mid Scale LNG Liquefaction plants*. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Figure 16 Calculation of light-duty truck payback, based on various fuel price and truck premium
assumptions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Figure 17 Map of states offering various incentives for light-duty CNG vehicles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Figure 18 Natural gas engine comparison-- power (hp) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Figure 19 Natural gas engine comparison torque (ft-lb) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Figure 20 Sample calculation of expected payback for HD fleet conversion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Figure 21 Sample CNG range calculation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
Figure 22 Calculation of Heavy-duty truck payback, based on various fuel price and truck premium
assumptions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Figure 23 Heavy-duty incentives, Canada and US (as of August 2013) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
Figure 24 GE CNG in a Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Figure 25 GE LNG in a Box . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Figure 26 Micro LNG. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
| 5
TABLES
List of Tables
Table 1
Table 2
Table 3
Small and Mid Scale LNG Liquefaction plants in the United States*. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Table 4
Table 5
Table 6
Table 7
Table 8
GMC and Chevrolet CNG model options (as of model year 2014) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Table 9
| 6
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary
| 7
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary
| 8
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
| 9
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
1.1
Growth drivers
Fuel price
| 10
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
New England
$2.86
$4.07
Central Atlantic
$2.48
$3.81
| 11
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
($1.99) - ($1.50)
($1.49) - ($0.95)
($2.30) - ($2.00)
($1.99) - ($1.50)
($0.94) - ($0.55)
Source: Clean Cities Alternative Fuel Price Report, July 2013
Environmental benefits
10%
20-40%
0%
80%
| 12
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
| 13
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
LNG stations
87
82
94
43
39
90
84
75
29
81
76
72
ICTC
74
57
64
55 24
40
27
8
29
10
I-75
44
25
65
12 59
35
37
91
85
77
26
30
20
84
89
PCTC
68
70
66
71
79
88
RMC
86
69
96
90
95
4
35
The DoEs AFDC provides up to date numbers on the location of public access CNG and LNG stations across
the United States, through an interactive website: http://www.afdc.energy.gov
Users of this website may locate public access stations supplying different types of alternative fuels, including
but not limited to NG. The website allows users to generate a map to locate facilities within a state, or near an
address or zip code, and includes a function to plot CNG or LNG stations located along a particular route.
| 14
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Source: http://www.afdc.energy.gov/locator/stations/results?utf8=&location=&filtered=true&fuel=CNG&owner=all&payment=all&
ev_level1=true&ev_level2=true&ev_dc_fast=true&radius_miles=5
http://www.cngprices.com/index.php
CNGnow.com incorporates a GPS application. http://
www.cngnow.com
LNG suppliers, such as Blu LNG, have incorporated
station finder features in their websites, which also
include pricing information, opening hours, and
payment options. http://blulng.com
Source: http://www.afdc.energy.gov/locator/stations/results?utf8=&location=&filtered=true&fuel=LNG&owner=all&payment=all&
ev_level1=true&ev_level2=true&ev_dc_fast=true&radius_miles=5
For more information visit www.ngvevent.com
| 15
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
CNG stations
| 16
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Stations Opening
2013-2016 Projected
06/13
Stations Opening
2013-2016rojected
P
Loves Travel Stops & Country Stores, a familyowned, Oklahoma City-based company, currently
operates more than 300 travel stops across 39 states
that include fueling facilities and restaurants. The
company has provided NG fueling capabilities at
some of its locations for light and mediumduty
vehicles since 2010. In 2012, Loves constructed
WASHINGTON
ELLENSBURG
NAPAVINE
POST
FALLS
WILLISTON
TROUTDALE
MONTANA
MAINE
NORTH DAKOTA
MINNESOTA
85
FARGO
ROSEBURG
ONTARIO
IDAHO
NEW
YORK
WISCONSIN
OREGON
VT
NH
SOUTH DAKOTA
IDAHO FALLS
MA
OAKDALE
HEYBURN
MICHIGAN
ALBERT LEA
SIOUX FALLS
BINGHAMTON
CT
WYOMING
CORNING
CALIFORNIA
OAK CREEK
CONNEAUT
MARSHALL
WELLS
WAMSUTTER
FERNLEY
PERRYSBURG
CHEYENNE
NEWTON
CLIVE
UTICA
De MOTTE
RIPON
ELLIS
BOONVILLE
MEMPHIS
INDIANA
OTTAWA
PUEBLO
LAMAR
BOISE CITY
ARIZONA
BARSTOW
KINGMAN
MATTHEWS
TONKAWA
CHOUTEAU
MILAN
ALBUQUERQUE
SANTA ROSA
TUCUMCARI
AMARILLO
BUCKEYE
CHANDLER
YUMA
ERICK
CLAUDE
ARDMORE
ELOY
WICHITA FALLS
BENSON
ATOKA
SWEETWATER
ANTHONY
HUTCHINS
ODESSA
EL PASO
BATESVILLE
TENNESSEE
GREENWOOD MINDEN
LUFKIN
TALLULAH
FLOWOOD
CLEVELAND
WALLER
SEGUIN LULING
WEIMAR
SAN ANTONIO
EDNA
KATY
SOUTH
CAROLINA
DUBLIN
CLANTON
RICHMOND HILL
TOOMSUBA
EVERGREEN
LOXLEY
COTTONDALE
JASPER
LEE
BILOXI
ORMOND BEACH
OCALA
BAYTOWN
NATALIA
THREE RIVERS
LAREDO
CNG UNLIKELY
FA
BRUNSWICK
TIFTON
GEORGIA
PORT ALLEN
ORANGEBURG
JACKSON
McCALLA
LOUISIANA
McCOMB
WILLIS
COMFORT
THOMSON
HOGANSVILLE
HEARNE
NORTH
CAROLINA
DILLON
NEWBERRY
EMERSON
ALABAMA
FAIRFIELD
HILLSBORO
DUNN
BLACKSBURG
FT. MILL
WACO
JASPER
CANTON MISSISSIPPI
MIDLOTHIAN
VAN HORN
TEXAS
STEELE
SKIPPERS
LAMBSBURG
MARION
LENOIR CITY
CHARLESTON
FAIR PLAY
FALKVILLE
TUPELO
PRESCOTT
MT. VERNON
ROCKWALL
VAN
CHRISTIANA
MEMPHIS
LEARY
ANNA
DALLAS
LAS CRUCES
DICKSON
COLUMBIA
WEST MEMPHIS
PALESTINE
MORRILTON
N. LITTLE ROCK
LITTLE ROCK
COLBERT
DENTON
RHOME
NEW MEXICO
LORDSBURG
EUFAULA
PAULS VALLEY
LAWTON
GILA BEND
OKEMAH
NORMAN
HINTON
MEMPHIS
CLOVIS
OKLAHOMA CITY
JACKSON
ARKANSAS
SOUTH HILL
DANDRIDGE
BAXTER
NASHVILLE
OKLAHOMA
GALLUP
JOSEPH CITY
QUARTZSITE
VIRGINIA
MAX MEADOW
HORSE CAVE
CALVERT CITY
JOPLIN
HOOKER
CLAYTON
LAKE HAVASU
COACHELLA
RUTHER
GLEN
GRAYSON
CORBIN
KENTUCKY
STRAFFORD
TEHACHAPI
MD DE
WEST
VIRGINIA
RICHMOND
SHEPHERDSVILLE
MISSOURI
KANSAS
SPARTA
WADDY
HAUBSTADT
INA
ROLLA
LAS VEGAS
RIPLEY
OHIO
WHITELAND ST. PAUL
GREENVILLE
CEDAR CITY
TULARE
LOST HILLS
NJ
TOMS
BROOK
JEFFERSONVILLE
BELLEVILLE
NEVADA
SANTA NELLA
BORDENTOWN
CARLISLE
ZANESVILLE
RICHMOND
PITTSBORO
ST. JOSEPH
BENNETT
HAMBURG
MARION
WHITESTOWN
LEROY
ILLINOIS WILLIAMSVILLE
RI
MIFFLINVILLE
JONESTOWN
BURBANK
N. BALTIMORE
KANKAKEE
DWIGHT
AURORA
HUDSON
COLORADO
HUBBARD
GARY
DAVENPORT
NORTH PLATTE
UTAH
PENNSYLVANIA
ROSCOE
IOWA
SIOUX CITY
NEBRASKA
AUBURNDALE
FT. PIERCE
FLORIDA
KINGSVILLE
EDINBURG
Source: Loves Travel Stops and Country Stores, August 3, 2013 presentation
| 17
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Figure 12 Projected rollout of Clean Energys Americas Natural Gas Highway of LNG and LCNG stations
| 18
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Figure 13 Projected network of LNG stations proposed by Shell and TravelCenters of America
partnership
Source: Shell
ENN initiatives
Figure 14 Blu LNG operational and pending LNG fuelling network (as of end 2013)
| 19
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
*Planned and operational small and mid scale liquefaction facilities in the United States, where the location has been made public or
disclosed directly to FC Business Intelligence.
Table 3 Small and Mid Scale LNG Liquefaction plants in the United States*
Small-Mid Scale LNG Liquefaction Faciliies in the US*
Map Key
Name
Location
LNG production
Stage
Noble Energy
100,000 gal/day
Arizona
86,000 gal/day
Boron, California
160,000 gal/day
Willis, Texas
100,000 gal/day
Shell, Geismar
Geismar, Louisiana
250,000
Shell, Sarnia
Sarnia, Ontario
250,000
Stabilis Energy
100,000/250,000
Stabilis Energy
West Texas
100,000/250,000
Stabilis Energy
The Bakken
100,000/250,000
10
Stabilis Energy
Western Oklahoma
100,000/250,000
11
Stabilis Energy
100,000/250,000
12
Grande Prairie
Elmworth, Canada
190,000 litres/day
13
Reno
14
Spectrum LNG
100,000 gal/day
15
Spectrum LNG
Ehrenberg, Arizona
60,000 gal/day
16
Exxon LaBarge
Shute Creek, WY
60,000 gal/day
17
5,000 gal/day
P = Planned
E = Expansion
*Details disclosed/available
| 20
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
1.6 Conclusion
Natural gas has significant potential to displace diesel
and gasoline usage in the transportation sector. NG
prices are both cheaper than either diesel or gasoline,
and are also less volatile. NG is largely sourced in
North America, especially the U.S., in contrast to oil
and diesel, which are largely foreign-sourced, from
politically unstable and potentially hostile regions of
the world, especially the Middle East.
| 21
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
or heavy-duty trucks, compared to diesel or gasolinepowered vehicles; and the lack of a comprehensive
fuelling infrastructure for either CNG or LNG vehicles.
Both the federal government and many state
governments provide a plethora of subsidies, tax
incentives, and loan programs to address these two
obstacles (some of these incentive programmes
are discussed more fully belowsee sections 3.__
and 3.__, and 4.__ and 4.__). These public policies
promote the use of NGVs (and other alternative fuel
vehicles) by defraying their higher upfront costs
and also support build-out of more NG fuelling
stations. Other policies provide incentives to use
alternative fuel vehiclessuch as the ability to use
high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes regardless of the
number of passengers in a vehicle.
Most of the NG-specific policies the United States
has in place promote the use of NG. But one federal
excise tax policy currently disadvantages LNG,
and this measure has attracted many reform calls
among various NGV stakeholders. The federal
excise tax on both LNG and diesel is currently 24.3
cents per gallon, but since it takes 1.7 gallons of
LNG to produce the same amount of energy that
a gallon of diesel produces, LNG is effectively
taxed at a rate 70% higher than that of diesel.
Both gasoline and CNG are also taxed according to
energy output, leaving LNG as the odd fuel out.
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Location
State
Date
Cheniere
Energy
Sabine Pass
Louisiana/
Texas
border
Apr 2012
Freeport LNG
Quintana
Island
Texas
May 2013
Lake Charles
Louisiana
Aug 2013
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
2.8 Conclusion
Government policies, both federal and state, have
played a major role in promoting the development of
NG as a transportation fuel, and will continue to do so
both in the near-term ad over the coming decades.
California has been a leader in developing alternative
fuels, and currently has the most comprehensive NG
fuelling infrastructure. While the state continues to
lead the way in policy innovation, many other states
are also on the NG bandwagon, and are providing
various incentives as well as setting their own
procurement policies, to promote NG use.
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Miles
% CNG
NGV Cost
HFA Cost
Actual miles
13,476
26,583
18,719
Daily miles
37
73
51
CNG percent
55%
NGV Premium
$4,000
HFA (installed)
$2,000
8.0
106%
3.0
3.0
High-Miles /
High CNG %
80%
723
-$1,277
3.0
3.0
3.0
Market of 10 million
commuters
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Type
F-150
Light-duty pick up
Transit Connect
Transit
E-Series
pick-up
F350
chassis cab
chassis cab
F-650
medium-duty truck
stripped chassis
Type
pick up
Type
pick-up
pick-up
cut-away
cut-away
cargo van
cargo van
cut-away
cargo van
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Table 9 Summary of state incentives for lightFigure 16 Calculation of light-duty truck payback, duty CNG vehicles
based on various fuel price and truck premium
Type of Incentive Number of
Description
assumptions
states
$10.00
Grants or rebates
13
$8.00
Loans
Rates from 0% to 5%
$7.00
$9.00
$6.00
$5.00
$4.00
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00
$16,000
$8,000
$0
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Figure 17 Map of states offering various incentives for light-duty CNG vehicles
Tax Credit
Rebate/Grant
Loan
Arkansas
Unspecified funding
for public fleet NGVs only
Florida
Louisiana
5% interest loans, up to
$750,000 per borrower
North
Pennsylvania
50% of incremental
costs, up to $25,000
Texas
VNG.go provides details on these state programmes, as of September 2013, at the following link:
http://vng.co/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/VNG-State-Incentive-Summary-September-2013.pdf
This information is presented in a more user-friendly summary form than the more comprehensive
information available at the DoEs AFDC site, which includes links to relevant state statutory and regulatory
information. http://www.afdc.energy.gov/laws/matrix/tech.
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
250
CWI ISX12 G
375
400
Westport 15L
475
500
Source: http://www.westport.com/products/engines/15
CWI ISX12 G
CWI ISL G
Westport 15L
Technological innovation should over the longer term
reduce these premiums. Manufacturers are currently 600
1,000
1,200 1,400
1,600
1,800
developing new tank designs for both CNG and LNG.
Additionally, innovations in the fuel system space-Source: http://www.westport.com/products/engines/15
which accounts for the majority of the premium,
should reduce overall truck premiums as well.
Model
CNG engine
price
premium
price
premium
Cummins/
Westport
ISL G 8.9 L
$32,000$40,000
$35,000$58,000
Cummins/
Westport
ISX G 11.9 L
$47,000$80,000
$60,000$98,000
Westport
Innovations
HPDI 15 L
LNG option
only
$75,000$120,000
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
CNG
LNG
Diesel Price
$4.000
$4.000
$2.000
$3.000
$2.000
$1.000
-0.240
-0.360
-0.025
-0.025
Payload Loss
-0.050
-0.020
Additional Maintenance
-0.030
-0.030
-0.015
-0.060
-0.060
Total Inefficiencies
-0.405
-0.510
$1.595
$0.490
Truck Inefficiencies
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
1600
1200
665
665
458
458
477
77
Less
When all these factors are carefully considered-and once again, emphasising that all necessary
costs for any infrastructural construction are left to
chapter 4 to discuss, payback for fleet conversion,
assuming 125,000 miles driven annually, can be fewer
Truck Weight
The additional weight differential for an NGV truck is than 2 years for CNG vehicles using a Cummins/
often overstated since it considers only the additional Westport 11.9 liter engine, and just over 6 years
for an equivalent LNG rig. These calculations do
weight of needed storage tanks and mounting
not consider possible state subsidies, which are
brackets, without subtracting the weight of parallel
components required by diesel trucks, or the weight summarised in the next section.
advantage of CNG itself compared to an equivalent
The preceding analysis is based on calculations done
energy output of diesel. An aluminium diesel tank
by Loves Travel Stores, but others have made similar
with mounting kit can weigh between 100 and 200
calculationson slightly different assumptions.
pounds. Also, depending on API gravity, diesel fuel
can weigh between 6.95 and 7.05 pounds per gallon
versus a natural gas DGE at 6.50 pounds per gallon,
giving NG a weight advantage of .50 pounds per
gallon. Neither do spark ignited NG engines require
SCR systems or a DEF tank.
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Figure 22 Calculation of Heavy-duty truck payback, based on various fuel price and truck premium
assumptions
$2.50
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
$100,000
$90,000
$80,000
$70,000
$60,000
$50,000
$40,000
$30,000
$20,000
4 yr Payback
Source: Paul Armstrong, GTI Director of Business Development, to Guild of Gas Managers, April 3, 2012. http://www.northeastgas.org/
pdf/p_armstrong_gti_040412.pdf
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
COLORADO
Alternative Fuel Income Tax Credit
WEST VIRGINIA
Until 2016
Dedicated or bi fuel
CNG/LNG
No close date
OKLAHOMA
One-time income tax
credit for 50% of the
incremental costs
CALIFORNIA
NORTH CAROLINA
Rebate up to $3,000
Reimbursement
program, up to 80% of
incremental costs
TEXAS
H-GAC Clean Vehicles Grant
Program
$20 - $40,000 for HD
CNG/ LNG/ bi-fuel
Open until funds exhaust
New
Existing
ARKANSAS
LOUISIANA
Source: http://www.cumminswestport.com/pdfs/general/Aug%20-%20Sept%202013%20NA%20On-Road%20Incentives.pdf
3.7 Conclusion
Manufacturers have stepped up their offerings of
NGVs, across vehicle classes, especially in the heavyduty truck sector, where customers are responding to
the potential significant fuel costs savings.
The value proposition for passenger cars is less
certain, outside certain regions already well-served
by adequate fuelling infrastructure, in the absence
of a home refuelling option. In the light-duty sector,
the value proposition is also at present somewhat
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Same methane as in
NG pipelines; emerging
sources in landfills
Methane cryogenically
frozen, to temperatures
lower than -200 F
About a 5% efficiency
loss results when filling
at rates greater than 10
GGE per minute, since the
rapid fuelling produces
heat which expands the
hydrocarbons taking up
more space (although no
fuel is lost)
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Site design
| 40
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
The CNG
CNG In A
The
Box
Box design
design
allows
easier
allows for easier
gas
gas compression,
compression,
storage,
cooling,
storage, cooling,
drying,
and
drying, and
cooling;
the
cooling; the
systems
controls
systems controls
are
easy
to
ship
are easy to ship
and
and maintain.
maintain.
Units come
come
Units
in
in two
two
configurations:
configurations:
an
20
an 88 foot xx 20
foot
foot container
container
or
foot xx40
40
or an
an 8 foot
foot
container.
foot container.
The system
system isis
The
designed
tobe
be
designed to
modular
and
modular and
intuitive,
and
intuitive, and
plug
play
plug and
and play
on-site.
on-site.
The system
system
can include
includeGE
GE
Wayne
branded
Wayne branded
dispensers
dispensers
with credit
creditcard
card
capability
and
capability and
provision
for
provision for
point
of sale
sale
point of
interface.
interface
Fuel isisdispensed
Fuel
dispensed
at a rate
rateof
of
approximately
approximately 77
GGEs
perminute.
minute.
GGEs per
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Source: http://www.gastechnology.org/Training/Documents/LNG17-proceedings/Transport-18-Ujjwal-Kumar-Presentation.pdf
Micro LNG
Micro LNG facilities, also pioneered by GE, are capable the systems is designed for use in heavy-duty trucking
of producing 100,000-300,000 gallons per day. They
hubs, and they require a 12-15 month lead-time to be
too source inlet gas from a pipeline. The capacity of
operational.
Figure 26 Micro LNG
Performance:
100,000-300,000 gallons per day LNG production
Inlet gas: Pipeline
Features
Methane based system with boil off recovery
8% improved power efficiency
40% reduced wasted methane
Scalable design w/ multiple standard packages
for rapid deployment
Factory
tested skids
Plug & play, light civil work
Targeting 12-15 month lead time
Source: http://www.gastechnology.org/Training/Documents/LNG17-proceedings/Transport-18-Ujjwal-Kumar-Presentation.pdf
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Costs of LNG stations currently range from $500,000$750,000 for private stations, to public facilities that
may cost between $1.5 - $2 million.
4.5 Conclusion
The future of NG infrastructure in the United States
will combine a network of CNG, LNG, and LCNG
stations. In deciding whether to opt for CNG of LNG,
managers need to consider what is better for their
fleets. This depends on where the fleet will operate,
and what its range needs are. This chapter has
discussed various considerations that determine
whether CNG or LNG makes most sense for a fleet,
as well as what considerations should go into a
companys decision to construct fuelling stations
whether CNG, or LNG.
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