THE MATHEMATICS OF A LONG TERM SAVINGS PLAN SAVING FOR COLLEGE:
Benefits and Projected Earnings Over 20 Years
Molly Ann Wabel 8/8/2014
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The Mathematics of a Long Term Savings Plan Saving for College: Benefits and Projected Earnings Over 20 Years
As a college student and a parent, I worry about how my daughter is going to pay for her college education. Im financing my way through college by taking out high interest student loans that will probably take me the next 30 years to pay off. Thats not a burden I want for my children. With the high cost of education, I want to be able to lend a hand with her college fund because I dont want the sticker price to prevent attendance. When discussing the options for saving long term, my husband and I wondered what amount of money we would have to put away each month and what was the best way to do it. I decided to investigate the types of financial products offered by our financial institution and compare the approximate earnings yield after 20 years. For the purposes of this project, Im going to calculate the yield per financial product, compare the two and find the monthly deposit to achieve our goal of $50,000. My goal is to see which type of savings account will gets closest to my goal of $50,000 for 4 years of college education. For the long term savings account, we decided to research products provided at our local financial institution and sought the advice from one of the loan & savings officers. The Actual Cost of Attendance Before exploring the types of investment products that are best suited for college savings, I needed to identify the actual cost of a 4-year, in-state tuition in 20 years. With the information 2 | P a g e
available on the website www.collegecalc.org, I was able to calculate an estimated cost of tuition. Within this figure, I will be including tuition, books/supplies and other fees. I will be excluding any cost associated with housing, room & board and food. By excluding the costs for housing/boarding, the price drops significantly. The website www.savingforcollege.org gave me the inflation rate. The table below illustrates the future costs plus inflation: College Cost Calculator In-State Community/Year: In-State Public/Year $5,022 2 Years: $10,044 $8,457 2 Years: $16,914 College Cost Inflation Rate*: 6% Number of Years Attending: 4 Years Estimated Cost: $39,222.12 for 4 years of attendance
Total Tuition Cost: $10,044 + $16,914 = $37,002 Total Inflation Cost: $37,002 * .06 = $2,220.12 Total with Inflation: $37,002 + $2,220.12 = $39,222.12 To calculate, I used two years of Community College and two years of In-State Public College because of the huge cost savings. By attending Community College for the first 2 years (4 years of In-State Public College: $33,828), I calculated a $16,914 savings. By reducing costs by $16,914, it allows me a better opportunity to assist with the tuition cost. 3 | P a g e
Comparing Long Term, Educational Savings Products After speaking to a financial advisor, Ive decided to explore two types of long term, incremental savings products that were recommended to me. I contacted my local Credit Union to get information on the savings products they offer specifically for educational purposes. They have a few options that are dedicated to educational savings. The first one is called the Coverdale Education Savings Account. This is a pre-tax savings account as long as the money is intended and used for educational purposes. This type of account has a locked in .25% interest rate. I was advised once the account reaches $10,000 to move the balance to a Money Market account that has a much higher interest rate of 1.15%. I want to see if moving the balance will really affect the interested earned, thus the balance at the end of the term. Coverdale Education Savings Plan
Im going to explore two scenarios with this information. First, I want to see how interest affects the Coverdale account if I make consistent payments and leave the balance in the account for the full 20 years. Then, I want to see how the interest balance affects the balance if I move to the Money Market after the Coverdale account has reached the minimum $10,000 required. I also want to see how many payments I will have to make to reach $50,000 in both accounts. Using the stated goal of $50,000, Ill use the Savings Plan Formula for the Coverdale account for the next 20 years: $50,000 = PMT x [(1+.0025/12) 20*12 -1) = PMT x [(1.0002083) 240 -1] 0.051257213 .0025/12 .0002083 0.0002083
$50,000 = PMT x 246.0739966 $50,000 = PMT x 246.0739966 246.0739966 246.0739966
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PMT: $203.19/Month Actual Deposits: $48,765.60 Interest Accrual: $1,234.40 How many payments? $50,000/$203.19 = 246 monthly payments which is about 20.5 years
What Did I Find? Based on the information above, I would definitely move the balance of the account to the Money Market account once the $10,000 minimum has been reached. The interest accrual is very low and not at all what I expected to see from this type of financial product for long term savings.
Rolled Over Money Market Account
In order to move the balance from the Coverdale Education Savings Account to the Money Market account, I will need to satisfy the minimum balance of $10,000. Because the balance has been accruing interest in another account, I will need to find out just how much interest. I know I will be moving the money in 1/5 the time, so I will reduce the time in this equation to 4 years. Ill use the same Saving Plan formula but this time I will only calculate $10,000: $10,000 = PMT x [(1+.0025/12) 4*12 -1) = PMT x [(1.0002083) 48 -1] 0.010047499 .0025/12 .0002083 0.0002083
$10,000 = PMT x 48.23571464 $10,000 = PMT x 48.23571464 48.23571464 48.23571464
Total Interest Accrued: $64 New Account Balance: $10,064
Now, I want to add the new balance to the account with the higher interest rate. I will calculate the interest on this new balance for the remaining 16 years. 5 | P a g e
$50,064 = PMT x [(1+.0115/12) 16*12 -1) = PMT x [(1.000958333) 192 -1] 0.201909841 .0115/12 .000958333 .000958333
$50,064 = PMT x 210.6886029 $50,064 = PMT x 210.6886029 210.6886029 210.6886029
PMT: $237.62/Month Actual Deposits: $45,623.04 Interest Accrual: $4,376.96 How many payments? $50,064/$237.62 = 211 monthly payments which is about 17.6 years
What Did I Find? Its interesting how a few decimal points worth of interest make a big difference! Over the 20 year term, the higher yield saving account has earned thousands of dollars more in interest earned. This is definitely the better way to go. Comparing Results
We know the interest earned was significantly higher with the Money Market account but exactly how much? We can find that out by comparing the interest earned from the 20 year Coverdale Account to the interest earned with the rolled over Money Market account. We can use the Absolute and Relative Difference equations: Absolute Difference: $4,376.96 (interest from MM) - $1,234.40 (interest from CESA) = $3,142.56 Relative Difference: $3,142.56/$1,234.40 = 255 % The difference in interest earned over 20 years is $3,142.56 or 255%! Wow! 6 | P a g e
Popular Practice? Armed with my new-found knowledge, I wondered how many parents participate in planning and saving for their childrens future education. Is it commonplace to do so? If they do, what types of programs do they participate in? I decided to take a small poll to find out. Over a four day period, in a social media open forum for parents, I asked moms to answer two questions: Do you participate in some type of savings and what type of product do you use. The responses I received not only surprised me but we very positive. I didnt realize so many parents had their eye on the future. The state sponsored savings programs were very popular with almost half of those that answered. Percentage of Parents Saving For College - Parental Poll Election Number Contributing Percentage Yes - State Sponsored 12 44% Yes Investment Product 3 11% Yes - Bank Account 4 15% Yes - Other (Military) 1 4% Not Currently 7 26% Total: 27 100% 7 | P a g e
Conclusion When it comes to any long term investment, even small changes in interest make a big difference. If the interest is too low, the long term accumulate wont be enough to make your money work for you. You need to really research your financial options, set clear goals and use the right kind of equations to achieve your goals. Speaking to a financial advisor was hugely helpful to me and I will surely be heeding their advice. Parents Contributing To Long Term Education Savings Yes - State Sponsored Yes - Investment Yes - Bank Account Yes - Other (Military) Not Currently 8 | P a g e
Works Cited Anderson, Thomas M. June 2010. http://www.kiplinger.com/article/college/. 26 July 2014. W., Skyler. Loan & Savings Officer, AFCU Molly Wabel. 25 July 2014. www.collegecalc.org. 2012. 23 July 2014. www.savingforcollege.org. n.d. 21 July 2014. www.uesp.org. n.d. 21 July 2014.