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Notes on Chapter 3
AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY
The AD-AS model determines RGDP and GDP Deflator and helps us
understand the performance of three macroeconomic fundamentals:
1. Growth of potential GDP
2. Inflation
3. Business cycle fluctuations (expansion and recession)
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
Wealth Effect:
o Real wealth is measured as the amount of goods and services
wealth will buy.
o When price level increases but other things remain the same,
real wealth decreases. To restore their wealth, people increase
saving and decrease current consumption ⇒ RGDP demanded
decreases
o Conversely, if the price level of goods and services fall but the
value of your assets do not, you feel wealthier and may start
consuming more ⇒ RGDP demanded increases
o Example:
Suppose an individual holds BD50,000 in saving account. If the
price level in Bahrain rises by 6%, then the individual’s real
wealth decreases is worth less in terms of what it can purchase.
As a result, consumption expenditure decreases and saving
increases to restore the original wealth.
Substitution Effect:
1. Inter-temporal substitution effect (interest rate effect):
o The substitution effect involves substituting goods in the future
for goods in the present or goods in the present for goods in the
future. This is called inter-temporal substitution effect (a
substitution across time).
o This effect is mainly a result of changes in the real interest rate,
which affect the decisions of households and businesses in
terms of their willingness and ability to borrow.
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
produce more and encourages new firms to enter the business. Thus,
the quantity of RGDP supplied increases.
A fall in the price level with no change in costs induces firms to
decrease production to lower marginal cost.
Along SAS curve, when P increases real wage rate decreases
Along the SAS curve, real GDP might be above potential GDP or
below potential GDP.
P
LAS
Long Run Aggregate Supply (LAS) Curve
LAS curve shows the relationship between
P1
RGDP supplied and the price level (P) in the
LR when RGDP = PGDP and the economy Po
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
SAS.
LAS
When price level increases, and at the same SAS
time nominal wage rate and other resource
prices increase by the same proportion,
relative prices remain constant and RGDP
remains at PGDP. There is a movement 0 RGDP
Yp
along the LAS curve.
Conclusion: a change in the price level brings a movement along the
AS curves (both SAS and LAS) but does not change the aggregate
supply (no shift in AS curve).
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
AS changes when factors other than price level change. This includes
(1) changes in potential GDP and (2) changes in money wage rate
and other resource prices.
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
Change in technology:
Even with fixed quantities of labor and capital, if the country
experiences technological progress or improvement, the country’s
PGDP increases and the both LAS and SAS shift to the right.
The increase in PGDP is called economic growth. Economic growth is
represented by the increase in the PGDP and the shift of LAS and AS
curve rightward.
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM
The equilibrium level of P and RGDP in the economy will be where the
desired total level of expenditures in the goods markets exactly
matches the desired total level of output to be sold.
The equilibrium price level and equilibrium RGDP in the economy
exists where the quantity of RGDP demanded = the quantity of RGDP
supplied (when AD curve intersects AS curve). However, there is
macroeconomic equilibrium for each time frame (SR and LR).
SR equilibrium is the normal state of the economy as it fluctuates
around PGDP; and the UR fluctuates around the NRU
LR equilibrium is the state forward, which the economy is heading.
AD-AS model studies the relationship between the price level and
unemployment.
P
SAS
SR Macroeconomic Equilibrium
SR equilibrium occurs when the quantity of
P*
RGDP demanded equal the quantity of
RGDP supplied at the intersection of AD
AD
curve and SAS curve RGDP
Y0
In SR, we assume that money wage and
price of other factors are fixed.
If P >P*, RGDP supplied > RGDP demanded
Ö surplus ÖFirms will not be able to sell all their output Öfirms
decrease production and lower prices
If P < P*, RGDP demanded > RGDP supplied Ö shortage Ö
Inventories are unexpectedly less than the quantity of RGDP
Demanded Ö firms increase production and raise prices.
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
LR Macroeconomic Equilibrium
LR equilibrium occurs when RGDP = PGDP P
at the intersection of AD curve and LAS curve LAS
SAS
(when the economy is at full employment).
In the LR, AD determines price level and has P*
no impact on RGDP.
The money wage rate adjusts in the LR
Ö SAS curve intersects the LAS curve at the AD
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
SAS
(a) Recessionary gap recessionary
gap LAS
o Below FE equilibrium is a macroeconomic
SR equilibrium where AD curve intersects
SAS curve at RGDP of Y1 (less than Yp) P1
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
Business Cycle
o The economy moves from one type of SR
equilibrium to another as a result of RGDP=PGDP
Inflationary gap
fluctuations in AD and SAS.
o These fluctuations produce fluctuations of
RGDP around PGDP and unemployment
rate around the natural rate of unemployment.
o So, business cycle occurs because AD and recessionary gap
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
FLUCTUATIONS IN AD P
(AD shifts rightward) LAS SAS1
One reason that RGDP fluctuates around
P2 SAS0
C
PGDP is the fluctuations in AD.
B
AD fluctuate for any changes in P1
A
consumption, investment, government P0
purchase, exports and imports, and AD1
AD0
quantity of money. Yp Y1 RGDP
Initially, the economy is at LR equilibrium (FE equilibrium at point A),
where the intersection of LAS, AD0 and SAS0. At this point, RGDP =
PGDP and P = P0.
Suppose some of C, I, NX increases or government may increase G
or Qm ⇒ AD increases ⇒ AD curve shifts rightward to AD1 (firms
expect higher future profits)
Short- run effect:
Faced with the increase in AD, firms increase production and raise
the price. RGDP increases from Yp to Y1 and price increases from P0
to P1 (at B)
The economy is now in an above-employment equilibrium
(negative cyclical unemployment) where RGDP > PGDP and P1 > P0
⇒ inflationary gap.
At this stage, price level increases but wage rates have not change
(as we move along SAS, money wage rate is constant)
Long-run effect:
The economy cannot produce in excess of PGDP forever. At point
B, firms have higher profits but workers now have lower real wage
because price level increased from P0 to P1 but money wage
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
remains the same as in point A. Thus, inflationary gap exists and the
purchasing power of workers wages falls.
Workers (and owners of other factors of production) demand higher
wages and prices for their services and firms meet their demand in
order to keep the higher level of production and profits (if firms do
not raise the money wage rate they will either lose workers or have
to hire less productive ones).
As money wage and other resource prices increase (higher cost of
production) SAS begins to shift leftward until it reaches SAS1 where
it intersects with AD1 and LAS at point C. RGDP comes back to FE
equilibrium (PGDP =Yp) and price level increases to P2 causing
higher inflation
In the LR, the increase in nominal (money) wage rate will decrease
inflationary gap and reach FE with higher price level
In LR, money wage rate increases by the same percentage as the
increase in price level
Firms' owners use this illustration to argue with labor unions that any
increase in wages would result in higher price level, which, at the
end, increases the cost of living for workers and for the entire
population.
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
FLUCTUATIONS IN SAS
When nominal wage and prices of other factors of production increase (cost
of production increases)
P
Initially at point A, LR FE equilibrium, LAS
SAS1
where RGDP = PGDP SAS0
RGDP
SAS curve shifts leftward to SAS1⇒ Y1 Yp
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
When nominal wage and prices of other factors of production decrease (cost
of production decreases)
P
The economy was initially at point A
LAS SAS0
where RGDP = PGDP
SAS2
When prices of factors of production
P0 A
fall, cost of production falls ⇒ SAS C
P2
increases ⇒ SAS curve shifts
rightward to SAS2 AD
Yp Y2 RGDP
⇒ RGDP and P
AD0
2. If the shift in ADC < the shift in SASC
⇒ RGDP but P
Yp Y1 RGDP
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
3. If the shift in both curves is with the same pace, RGDP but P
remains the same.
Conclusion: When both curves shift rightward, RGDP but P ,, or
remains the same (P is undetermined).
Exercise:
Starting from LR equilibrium, show graphically that
a. When businesses expect loss in the future (C, I, G, NX, or Qm
decreases) and at the same time nominal wage increases,
RGDP definitely decreases but P may increase, decrease or
stay the same
b. When businesses expect higher profit in the future (C, I, G, NX,
or Qm increases) and at the same time nominal wage
increases, P definitely increases but RGDP may increase,
decrease or stay the same
c. When businesses expect loss in the future (C, I, G, NX, or Qm
decreases) and at the same time nominal wage decreases, P
definitely decreases but RGDP may increase, decrease or stay
the same
Exercise:
Use graphical illustration to show that P increases if (a) ADC shifts
right, (b) SASC shifts left, or (c) ADC shifts right and SASC shifts left
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
P
Eliminating Inflation
LAS
The economy has more than FE equilibrium
SAS
(inflationary gap or negative cyclical
P1 C
unemployment) equal to (Y1 – Yp)
at the initial equilibrium at point C P2 A
AD2
eliminate the inflation
RGDP
Government can eliminate the inflationary Yp Y1
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Dr. Mohammed Alwosabi Econ 141 - Ch.3
Exercise:
The following table shows AD, SAS, and LAS for a country (in billions
of dollars)
P AD SAS LAS
110 10 5 8.5
120 9 6 8.5
130 8 7 8.5
140 7 8 8.5
150 6 9 8.5
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