economic analysis for business all five units Syllabus-Introduction to Economic Analysis,Consumer and Producer Behavior,Product and Factor Market,Performance of An Economy – Macro Economics,Aggregate Supply and Role of Money, Multiplier Effect,Unemployment,Impact of inflation,Phillips curve,Money market,Producers Equilibrium, Consumer Equilibrium
Original Title
Economic analysis for business, managerial economics, MBA economics
economic analysis for business all five units Syllabus-Introduction to Economic Analysis,Consumer and Producer Behavior,Product and Factor Market,Performance of An Economy – Macro Economics,Aggregate Supply and Role of Money, Multiplier Effect,Unemployment,Impact of inflation,Phillips curve,Money market,Producers Equilibrium, Consumer Equilibrium
economic analysis for business all five units Syllabus-Introduction to Economic Analysis,Consumer and Producer Behavior,Product and Factor Market,Performance of An Economy – Macro Economics,Aggregate Supply and Role of Money, Multiplier Effect,Unemployment,Impact of inflation,Phillips curve,Money market,Producers Equilibrium, Consumer Equilibrium
UNIT-I INTRODUCTION: Economics is the study of scarcity. Resources are limited, and every society wants to figure out how to allocate its resources for maximum benefit. The field of economics serves in large part to help answer this resource allocation question. Economists study topics such as: How prices and quantities of items are determined in market economies How much value markets create for society How taxes and regulation affect economic value Why some goods and services are under-supplied in a market economy How firms compete and maximize profit How households decide what to consume, how much to save, and how much to work (or, more generally, how people respond to incentives) Why some economies grow faster than others What effect monetary and fiscal policy has on economic well-being How interest rates are determined The need for a Management student to study Economics is that it is concerned with decision making by managers and the main job of managers is mere decision making. Microeconomics examines the behavior of basic elements in the economy, including individual agents (such as households and firms or as buyers and sellers) and markets, and their interactions. Macroeconomics analyzes the entire economy and issues affecting it, including unemployment, inflation, economic growth, and monetary and fiscal policy. Meaning: Economics is the social science that analyzes the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services. The term economics comes from the Ancient Greek oikonomia, "management of a household, administration" Economics can be called as social science dealing with economics problem and mans economic behavior. It deals with economic behavior of man in society in respect of consumption, production; distribution etc. economics can be called as an unending science. Economics =Decision Science +Business Management. Definition:
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Economics is the study of how the societies use scarce resources to produce valuable commodities and distribute them among different people. In the words of Lionel Robbins Economics is a science which studies human behavior as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have alternative uses According to Spencer and Seigelman it is defined as the integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision making and forward planning by the management. Significance: Application of economic theory especially micro economic analysis to practical problem solving in real business life. Is a science as well as art facilitating better manufacturing discipline. It is concerned with firms behavior in optimal allocation of resources. Positive versus Normative Analysis in Economics Positive economics explains the economic phenomenon as what is, what was and what will be. Normative economics prescribes what it ought to be. Economics is a blending of pure of positive science with applied or normative science. It is positive when it is confined to statements about causes and effects and to functional relations of economic variables. It is normative when it involves norms and standards, mixing them with cause- effect analysis. While economics is largely an academic discipline, it is quite common for economists to act as business consultants, media analysts, and advisers on government policy. As a result, it's very important to understand when economists are making objective, evidence-based statements about how the world works and when they are making value judgments about what policies should be enacted or what business decisions should be made. Positive Analysis Descriptive, factual statements about the world are referred to as positive statements by economists. The term "positive" isn't used to imply that economists always convey good news, of course, and economists often make very, well, negative positive statements. Positive analysis, accordingly, uses scientific principles to arrive at objective, testable conclusions. Normative Analysis
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Normative approach in managerial economics has ethical considerations and involves value judgments based on philosophical, cultural and religious positions of the community. On the other hand, economists refer to prescriptive, value-based statements as normative statements. Normative statements usually use factual evidence as support, but they are not by themselves factual. Instead, they incorporate the opinions and underlying morals and standards of those people making the statements. Normative analysis refers to the process of making recommendations about what action should be taken or taking a particular viewpoint on a topic. Examples of Positive vs. Normative The distinction between positive and normative statements is easily shows via examples. The statement The unemployment rate is currently at 9 percent. is a positive statement, since it conveys factual, testable information about the world. Statements such as The unemployment rate is too high. The government must take action in order to reduce the unemployment rate are normative statements, since they include value judgments and are of a prescriptive nature. It's important to understand that, despite the fact that the two normative statements above are intuitively related to the positive statement, they cannot be logically inferred from the objective information provided. To disagree with a positive statement, one must bring other facts to the table or question the economist's methodology. In order to disagree with the positive statement about unemployment above, for example, one would have to make the case that the unemployment rate isn't actually 9 percent. One could do this either by providing different unemployment data or by performing different calculations on the original data. To disagree with a normative statement, one can either dispute the validity of the positive information used to reach the value judgment or can argue the merits of the normative conclusion itself. This becomes a more murky type of debate, since there is no objective right and wrong when it comes to normative statements. In a perfectly organized world, economists would be pure scientists who perform only positive analysis and exclusively convey factual, scientific conclusions, and policy makers and consultants would take the positive statements and develop normative recommendations. In
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reality, however, economists often play both of these roles, so it's important to be able to distinguish fact from opinion, i.e. positive from normative. THEMES OF ECONOMICS: Scarcity and Efficiency refers to the Twin themes of Economics; Scarcity occurs where it's impossible to meet all unlimited the desires and needs of the peoples with limited resources i.e; goods and services. Society must need to find a balance between sacrificing one resource and that will result in getting other. Efficiency denotes the most effective use of a society's resources in satisfying peoples wants and needs. It means that the economy's resources are being used as effectively as possible to satisfy people's needs and desires. Thus, the essence of economics is to acknowledge the reality of scarcity and then figure out how to organize society in a way which produces the most efficient use of resources. Scarcity-insufficient of resources like land, labor, and capital. Efficiency-maximum use of resources. Efficiency is concerned with the optimal production and distribution or these scarce resources. There are different types of efficiency 1. Productive efficiency. This occurs when the maximum number of goods and services are produced with a given amount of inputs. This will occur on the production possibility frontier. On the curve it is impossible to produce more goods without producing less services. Productive efficiency will also occur at the lowest point on the firms average costs curve. 2. Allocative efficiency This occurs when goods and services are distributed according to consumer preferences. An economy could be productively efficient but produce goods people dont need this would be allocative inefficient. 3. X inefficiency This occurs when firms do not have incentives to cut costs, for example a monopoly which makes supernormal profits may have little incentive to get rid of surplus labour. Therefore a firms average cost may be higher than necessary 4. Efficiency of scale
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This occurs when the firms produces on the lowest point of its Long run average cost and therefore benefits fully from economies of scale 5. Dynamic efficiency This refers to efficiency over time for example a Ford factory in 1920 would be very efficient for the time period, but by comparison would now be inefficient. Dynamic efficiency involves the introduction of new technology and working practices to reduce costs over time. 6. Social efficiency This occurs when externalities are taken into consideration and occurs at an output where the social cost of production (SMC) =the social benefit (SMB) 7. Technical Efficiency Optimum combination of factor inputs to produce a good related to productive efficiency 8. Pareto Efficiency A situation where resources are distributed in the most efficient way. It is defined as a situation where it is not possible to make one party better off without making another party worse off. THREE BASIC ECONOMIC PROBLEMS The economic problem, sometimes called the basic, central or fundamental economic problem, is one of the fundamental economic theories in the operation of any economy. It asserts that there is scarcity, or that the finite resources available are insufficient to satisfy all human wants and needs. The problem then becomes how to determine what is to be produced and how the factors of production (such as capital and labor) are to be allocated. Economics revolves around methods and possibilities of solving the economic problem. In short, the economic problem is the choice one must make, arising out of limited means and unlimited wants. The Fundamental Economic Problem: The fundamental economic problem is related to the issue of scarcity. Because of limited resources and infinite demands, society needs to determine how to produce and distribute these relatively scarce resources. It is possible that humans could limit their demands and be satisfied with the basic necessities of life. In some tribal societies / spiritual communities there is no economic problem because the limited resources are more than adequate to meet all their wishes. However, society is mostly dominated by people wishing to consume.
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The basic economic problems: What to produce? How to produce? And for whom to produce? From these 3 key questions there are numerous alternatives and theories about the best way to proceed. One of the fundamental questions has been the extent to which governments should intervene in the production and distribution of resources. Basically, some economists suggest the free market is the best way to proceed. However, other argue that a free market creates many problems; notably inequality of distribution. Therefore, because of this it is necessary for the government to intervene in the economic decision making process.
Problem 1: This problem is what should the economy produce in order to satisfy consumer wants (as seen by demand curves) as best as possible using the limited resources available. If a country produces goods in a way that maximizes consumer satisfaction then the economy is allocatively efficient. What commodities are to be produced and in what quantities? How much of each of the many possible goods and services should the economy make? And when will they be produced? Problem 2: This problem is how to combine production inputs to produce the goods decided in problem 1 as most efficiently as possible. An economy achieves productive efficiency if it produces goods using the least resources possible. A productively effiecient economy is represented by an economy that is able to produce a combination of goods on the actual curve of the PPF. How shall goods be produced? By whom and with what resources and in what technological manner are they to be produced? Are goods be produced by hand or with machineries? Problem 3:
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Should the economy produce goods targeted towards those who have high incomes or those who have low incomes. What sort of demographic group should the goods in the economy that are produced be targeted towards? If the economy is addresses this problem then it has reached Pareto efficiency or Pareto optimality. For whom shall goods be produced? Who gets to eat the fruit of the economys efforts? How is the product to be divided among different households? If all three problems are addressed at any one time then the economy has achieved static efficiency. If the economy achieves static efficiency over a period of time then it is dynamically efficient. All these problems are focused around the problem of unlimited wants and limited resources. Where resources are the factors of production (such as labor, capital, technology, land..) which are used to produce the products that satisfy the wants.
SOCIETIES CAPABILITIES Each economy has a stock of limited labor, technological knowledge, factories and tools, land and energy. In deciding what and how things to be produced , the economy is in reality deciding how to allocate its resources among the thousand sof different possible commodities and services. Faced with the undeniable fact that goods are scarce relative to wants, an economy must decide how to cope with limited resources. It must choose among, select from different techniques of production and decide in the end who will consume the goods. Every society must make choices about the economys input and outputs. Inputs are commodities or services that are used to produce goods and services. An economy uses its existing technology to combine inputs to produce output. Outputs are various useful goods or services that result from the production process and are either consumed or employed in further production. The term for inputs are classified under three categories namely land, labour and capital. The economist Takes the initiative in combining the resources of land, labor, and capital Makes strategic business decisions is an innovator
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Commercializes new products, new production techniques, and even new forms of business organization Takes risk to get profits
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PRODUCTION POSSIBILITY FRONTIES The production possibility frontier or curve (PPF or PPC) shows the maximum output that can be produced in an economy at any given moment, given the resources available. If an economy is fully utilizing its resources then it will be producing on the PPF. Consider the case of an island economy that produces only two goods: wine and grain. In a given period of time, the islanders may choose to produce only wine, only grain, or a combination of the two according to the following table: Production Possibility Table Production Possibility Frontier
A production possibility frontier (PPF) is a curve or a boundary which shows the combinations of two or more goods and services that can be produced whilst using all of the available factor resources efficiently. We normally draw a PPF on a diagram as concave to the origin. This is because the extra output resulting from allocating more resources to one particular good may fall. I.e. as we move down the PPF, as more resources are allocated towards Good Y, the extra output gets smaller and more of Good X has to be given up in order to produce the extra output of Good Y. This is Wine (Thousands of bottles) Grain (Thousands of bushels) 0 15 5 14 9 12 12 9 14 5 15 0
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known as the principle of diminishing returns. Diminishing returns occurs because not all factor inputs are equally suited to producing different goods and services.
Combinations of output of goods X and Y lying inside the PPF occur when there are unemployed resources or when the economy uses resources inefficiently. In the diagram above, point X is an example of this. We could increase total output by moving towards the production possibility frontier and reaching any of points C, A or B. Point D is unattainable at the moment because it lies beyond the PPF. A country would require an increase in factor resources, or an increase in the efficiency (or productivity) of factor resources or an improvement in technology to reach this combination of Good X and Good Y. If we achieve this then output combination D may become attainable. Producing more of both goods would represent an improvement in our economic welfare providing that the products are giving consumers a positive satisfaction and therefore an improvement in what is called allocative efficiency. Reallocating scarce resources from one product to another involves an opportunity cost. If we go back to the previous PPF diagram, if we increase our output of Good X (i.e. a movement along the PPF from point A to point B) then
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fewer resources are available to produce good Y. Because of the shape of the PPF the opportunity cost of switching resources increases i.e. we have to give up more of Good Y to achieve gains in the output of good X.
The PPF does not always have to be drawn as a curve. If the opportunity cost for producing two products is constant, then we draw the PPF as a straight line. The gradient of that line is a way of measuring the opportunity cost between two goods.
PPF's AND OPPORTUNITY COST Reallocating our resources creates an opportunity cost. Choosing more output of good X usually means giving up output of good Y. If a change in demand from consumers means that
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more motor vehicles need to be produced (a movement along the PPF from point A to C) - there may not be the economic resources available to maintain the output of personal computers. The opportunity cost of a higher output of vehicles is the output of personal computers that has to be given up.
A non-linear PPF and changing opportunity cost
Because the curve is non-linear, the opportunity cost will change as we move along the production possibility frontier. For example, as more resources are shifted into the notebook computer industry, the extra output declines. Therefore the opportunity cost measured by the lost output of vehicles is increasing. (See the change in the tangents between A-B and between C-D in the diagram above) Explaining Shifts in the Production Possibility Frontier The production possibility frontier will shift when: o There are improvements in productivity and efficiency perhaps because of the introduction of new technology or advances in the techniques of production) o More factor resources are exploited perhaps due to an increase in the size of the workforce or a rise in the amount of capital equipment available for businesses
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In the diagram below, there is an improvement in technology which shifts the PPF outwards. As a result of this, output possibilities have increased and we can conclude (providing the good provides positive satisfaction to consumers) that there is an improvement in economic welfare. Technology, prices and consumer welfare Improved technology should bring market prices down and make products more affordable to the consumer. This has been the case in the market for personal computers and digital products. The exploitation of economies of scale and improvements in production technology has brought prices down for consumers and businesses. External Costs In the case of air pollution there is an external cost to society arising from the contamination of our air supplies. External costs are those costs faced by a third party for which no compensation is forthcoming. Identifying and then estimating a monetary value for air pollution can be a very difficult exercise but one that is important for economists concerned with the impact of economic activity on our environment. We will consider this issue in more detail when we study externalities and market failure. Shifted Production Possibility Frontier The shape of this production possibility frontier illustrates the principle of increasing cost. As more of one product is produced, increasingly larger amounts of the other product must be given up. In this example, some factors of production are suited to producing both wine and grain, but as the production of one of these commodities increases, resources better suited to production of the other must be diverted. Experienced wine producers are not necessarily efficient grain producers, and grain producers are not necessarily efficient wine producers, so the opportunity cost increases as one moves toward either extreme on the curve of production possibilities. Suppose a new technique was discovered that allowed the wine producers to double their output for a given level of resources. Further suppose that this technique could not be applied to grain production. The impact on the production possibilities is shown in the following diagram:
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In the above diagram, the new technique results in wine production that is double its previous level for any level of grain production.
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EFFICIENCY: Adam smith recognized that the virtues of the market mechanism are fully realized only when the checks and balances of perfect competition are present. Perfectly competitive markets will produce an efficient allocation of resources, so the economy is on its production possibility frontier. Efficiency is one of the most important concepts to use in you're A Level Economics course. There are several meanings of the term - but they generally relate to how well an economy allocates scarce resources to meets the needs and wants of consumers. Make sure you
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know your definitions well, can illustrate them using appropriate diagrams and can apply them to particular situations
Static Efficiency Static efficiency exists at a point in time and focuses on how much output can be produced now from a given stock of resources and whether producers are charging a price to consumers that fairly reflects the cost of the factors of production used to produce a good or a service. There are two main types of static efficiency Allocative Efficiency Allocative efficiency is achieved when the value consumers place on a good or service (reflected in the price they are willing to pay) equals the cost of the resources used up in production. Condition required is that price =marginal cost. When this condition is satisfied, total economic welfare is maximised. Pareto defined allocative efficiency as a situation where no one could be made better off without making someone else at least as worth off. Under monopoly, a business can keep price above marginal cost and increase total revenue and profits as a result. Assuming that a monopolist and a competitive firm have the same costs, the welfare loss under monopoly is shown by a deadweight loss of consumer surplus compared to the competitive price and output. This is shown in the diagram below. This can be illustrated using a production possibility frontier - all points that lie on the PPF can be
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said to be allocatively efficiency because we cannot produce more of one product without affecting the amount of all other products available. Point A is allocatively efficient - but at B we can increase production of both goods by making fuller use of existing resources or increasing the efficiency of production.
Economic efficiency Economic efficiency is a term typically used in microeconomics when discussing product. Production of a unit of good is considered to be economically efficient when that unit of good is produced at the lowest possible cost. Economics by Parkin and Bade give a useful introduction to the difference between economic efficiency and technological efficiency: There are two concepts of efficiency: Technological efficiency occurs when it is not possible to increase output without increasing inputs. Economic efficiency occurs when the cost of producing a given output is as low as possible. Technological efficiency is an engineering matter. Given what is technologically feasible, something can or cannot be done. Economic efficiency depends on the prices of the factors of production. Something that is technologically efficient may not be economically efficient. But something that is economically efficient is always technologically efficient. A key point to understand is the idea that economic efficiency occurs "when the cost of producing a given output is as low as possible". There's a hidden assumption here, and that is the assumption that all else being equal. A change that lowers the quality of the good while at the
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same time lowers the cost of production does not increase economic efficiency. The concept of economic efficiency is only relevant when the quality of goods being produced is unchanged. Productive Efficiency Productive efficiency refers to a firm's costs of production and can be applied both to the short and long run. It is achieved when the output is produced at minimum average total cost (AC). For example we might consider whether a business is producing close to the low point of its long run average total cost curve. When this happens the firm is exploiting most of the available economies of scale. Productive efficiency exists when producers minimise the wastage of resources in their production processes. All the explanations have implicitly assumed that the economy is producing efficiently, that is it is on, rather than inside, the production possibility frontier. The efficiency means that the economys resources are being used as effectively as possible to satisfy peoples needs and desires. One important aspect of overall economic efficiency is productive efficiency. Productive efficiency occurs when an economy cannot produce more of one good without producing less of another good; this implies that the economy is on its production-possibility frontier. Trade-offs between efficiency and equity There is often a trade-off between economic efficiency and equity. Efficiency means that all goods or services are allocated to someone (theres none left over). When a market equilibrium is efficient, there is no way to reallocate the good or service without hurting someone. Equity concerns the distribution of resources and is inevitably linked with concepts of fairness and social justice. A market may have achieved maximum efficiency but we may be concerned that the "benefits" from market activity are unfairly shared out. Social Efficiency The socially efficient level of output and or consumption occurs when social marginal benefit =social marginal cost. At this point we maximise social economic welfare. The presence of externalities means that the private optimum level of consumption / production often differs from the social optimum.
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In the diagram above the social optimum level of output occurs where social marginal cost = social marginal benefit (point B). A private producer not taking into account the negative production externalities might choose to maximise their own profits at point A (where private marginal cost =private marginal benefit). This divergence between private and social costs of production can lead to market failure. ECONOMIC GROWTH Economic growth is an increase (or decrease) in the value of goods and services that a geographic area produces and sells compared to an earlier time. If the value of an area's goods and services is higher in one year than the year before, it experiences positive growth, usually simply called "economic growth." In a year when less value than the year before is produced and sold, it experiences "negative economic growth," also called "recession" or "depression. Economic growth can occur due to an increase in the number of goods or services. It can also occur due to production of more expensive goods and services. For example, often as people become wealthier, the types of food that they want change. While individuals may not eat more food, they may reduce the amount of pasta and potatoes they eat and may increase amounts of more expensive foods like meat and dairy. [1] Meeting these changes in consumer demand could create an increase in the value of goods produced and thus, economic growth Defining economic growth Economic growth represents the expansion of a countrys potential GDP or national output. Put differently, economic growth occurs when a nations production possibility frontier shifts outward. Economic growth involves the growth of potential output over the long run. The growth
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in output percapita is an important objective of government because it is associated with rising average real incomes and living standards. Economic growth is best defined as a long-term expansion of the productive potential of the economy. Sustained economic growth should lead higher real living standards and rising employment. Short term growth is measured by the annual % change in real GDP. Advantages of Economic Growth Sustained economic growth is a major objective of government policy not least because of the benefits that flow from a growing economy. Higher Living Standards for example measured by an increase in real national income per head of population see the evidence shown in the chart below Employment effects: Growth stimulates higher employment. The British economy has been growing since autumn 1992 and we have seen a large fall in unemployment and a rise in the number of people employed. Fiscal Dividend: Growth has a positive effect on government finances - boosting tax revenues and providing the government with extra money to finance spending projects The Investment Accelerator Effect: Rising demand and output encourages investment in new capital machinery this helps to sustain the growth in the economy by increasing long run aggregate supply. Growth and Business Confidence: Economic growth normally has a positive impact on company profits & business confidence good news for the stock market and also for the growth of small and large businesses alike. Rising national income boosts living standards And an expanding economy provides the impetus for a rising level of employment and a falling rate of unemployment. This has certainly been the case for the British economy over the last decade. Disadvantages of economic growth There are some economic costs of a fast-growing economy. The two main concerns are firstly that growth can lead to a pick up in inflation and secondly, that growth can have damaging effects on our environment, with potentially long-lasting consequences for future generations.
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Inflation risk: If the economy grows too quickly there is the danger of inflation as demand races ahead of aggregate supply. Producer then take advantage of this by raising prices for consumers Environmental concerns: Growth cannot be separated from its environmental impact. Fast growth of production and consumption can create negative externalities (for example, increased noise and lower air quality arising from air pollution and road congestion, increased consumption of de-merit goods, the rapid growth of household and industrial waste and the pollution that comes from increased output in the energy sector) These externalities reduce social welfare and can lead to market failure. Growth that leads to environmental damage can have a negative effect on peoples quality of life and may also impede a countrys sustainable rate of growth. Examples include the destruction of rain forests, the over-exploitation of fish stocks and loss of natural habitat created through the construction of new roads, hotels, retail malls and industrial estates. The trend rate of economic growth Another way of thinking about the trend growth rate is to view it as a safe speed limit for the economy. In other words, an estimate of how fast the economy can reasonably be expected to grow over a number of years without creating an increase in inflationary pressure.
Above trend growth positive output gap: If the economy grows too quickly (much faster than the trend) then aggregate demand will eventually exceed long-run aggregate supply and lead to a positive output gap emerging (excess demand in the economy). This can lead to demand-pull and cost-push inflation. Below trend growth negative output gap: If the economy experiences a sustained slowdown or recession (i.e. growth is well below the trend rate) then output will fall short of potential GDP leading to a negative output gap. The result is downward pressure on prices and rising unemployment because of a lack of aggregate demand. Demand and supply factors influence growth of GDP Many factors influence the rate of economic growth. Some factors, such as changes in consumer and business confidence, aggregate demand conditions in the UKs trading partners, and monetary and fiscal policy, tend to have a mainly temporary effect on growth. Other factors,
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such as the rates of population and productivity growth, have more enduring effects, and help to determine the economys average growth rate over long periods of time. Potential output in the long run depends on the following factors: (1) The growth of the labour force e.g. those people able available and willing to find employment .If the government can increase the number of people willing and able to actively seek paid employment, then the employment rate increases leading to a higher output of goods and services. The Government has invested heavily in a number of employment schemes designed to raise employment including New Deal and reforms to the tax and benefit system. Changes in the age structure of the population also affect the total number of people seeking work. And we might also consider the effects that migration of workers into the UK from overseas, including the newly enlarged European Union, can have on our total labour supply (2) The growth of the nations stock of capital driven by the level of fixed capital investment. A rise in capital investment adds directly to GDP in the sense that capital goods have to be designed, produced, marketed and delivered. Higher investment also provides workers with more capital to work with. New capital also tends to embody technological improvements which providing workers have sufficient skills and training to make full and efficient use of their new capital inputs, should lead to a higher level of productivity after a time lag. (3) The trend rate of growth of productivity of labour and capital. For most countries it is the growth of productivity that drives the long-term growth. The root causes of improved efficiency come from making markets more competitive and achieving better productivity within individual plants and factories. Increased investment in the human capital of the workforce is widely seen as essential if the UK is to improve its long run productivity performance for example increased spending on work-related training and improvement in the UK education system at all levels. (4) Technological improvements are important because they reduce the real costs of supplying goods and services which leads to an outward shift in a countrys production possibility frontier Economic growth-Theories
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Adam Smith Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776): Advocated division of labour, specialization (absolute advantage) & accumulation of capital Advocated Laissez Faire - minimum government interference Emphasised importance of a stable legal framework, within the market could function David Ricardo: Formalised notion of diminishing returns, but did not take innovation into account Showed some of the welfare gains from specialisation and international trade based on comparative advantage Robert Solow: Neo-classical growth model Growth depends on capital accumulation - increasing the stock of capital goods to expand productive capacity Net investment and the need for sufficient saving to finance investment Higher savings - postponing consumption to finance increased allocation of resources towards investment Capital widening: capital stock rising at rate which keeps pace with labour force growth. Capital deepening: capital stock grows faster than labour force. Considered more important. Quality of capital goods - improvements due to R&D & innovation Solow - a combination of capital deepening & technological improvement explains major trends in economic growth
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1. Prediction - Adding more capital goods to a fixed amount of labour will lead to diminishing returns to capital. 2. Increased capital accumulation drives the rate of return on capital down 3. Eventually, the rate of return may be so low that no further net capital accumulation takes place. 4. In which case the rate of technological progress determined the rate of growth of output 5. Technological progress is assumed to be exogenous i.e. lies outside the growth model Schumpter Schumpeterian innovation - an explanation of technological progress Schumpeter Long waves of innovation - "gales of creative destruction" Increased profits arise because of constant birth of new products and new markets. Technology raises productivity by increasing quantity and quality of all those resources to which it is applied. New economic growth theory Associated with economists such as Paul Romer and Paul Ormerod Seeking to make technological progress endogenous. A firm will not innovate unless it thinks it can steal a march on its competition & earn higher profits. Inconsistent with Neo-Classical assumption of perfect competition - no "abnormal profits". Attention shifted to conditions under which a firm will innovate most productively. Endogenous growth theory says that government policy to increase capital or foster right kinds of investment in physical capital can permanently raise economic growth. If capital broadened to include human capital, law of diminishing returns may not apply - increasing returns to investment from education & efficiency - innovation not necessary. Extent of capacity usage - government encouragement of open markets
Government policies and economic growth 1. Open markets - internal and external competition in markets for goods and services
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2. Promotion of liberal capital market providing a flow of liquidity to finance investment 3. Protection of private property rights 4. Scale of government spending - possible crowding out of the private sector if government spending is too 5. Efficiency of the tax and benefit system - may create disincentives which constrains the active labour supply 6. Incentives for entrepreneurial activity 7. Investment in human capital - active labour market policies 8. Macro-economic stability and credibility of macro economic policy Young, 1994, Asian tiger's success resulted from: Rapid accumulation of capital (through high investment) Labour (through population growth and increased labour-force participation) Government policies of encouraging education, opening economy to foreign technologies, promoting trade, keeping taxes low & encouraging savings (30% of GDP in 'tiger' economies) Small state - government spending around 20% of GDP compared to over 50% in Europe Macro stability can be measured by the volatility of key indicators: 1. Consumer price inflation (annual % change in prices) 2. Real GDP growth over one or more business cycles 3. Changes in measured unemployment / employment 4. Fluctuations in the current account of the balance of payments 5. Changes in government finances (i.e. the size of the fiscal deficit or surplus) 6. Volatility of short term policy interest rates and long term interest rates such as the yield on government bonds 7. Stability of the exchange rate in currency markets A stable economy provides a framework for an improved supply-side performance i.e. Stable low inflation encourages higher investment which is a determinant of improved productivity and non-price competitiveness Control of inflation helps to main price competitiveness for exporters and domestic businesses facing competition from imports
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Stability breeds higher levels of consumer and business confidence sentiment drives spending in the circular flow The maintenance of steady growth and price stability helps to keep short term and long term interest rates low, important in reducing the debt-servicing costs of people with mortgages and businesses with loans to repay A stable real economy helps to anchor stable expectations and this can act as an incentive for an economy to attract inflows of foreign direct investment The four wheels of growth are: Human resources (labor supply, education, discipline, motivation) Natural resources (Land, minerals, fuels, environmental quality) Capital formation (machines, factories, roads) Technology science, engineering, management, entrepreneurship) Economic growth inevitably rides on the four wheels of labor, natural resources, capital, and technology. But the wheels may differ greatly among the countries, and some countries combine them more effectively than others. Economic Growth and Benefits Increase in economic growth should enable more of everything to be produced. Increases possibility of providing consumer goods for all. More consumer goods, etc. could be equated with an increase in living standards. Wealth generated may eventually trickle down to those who are poor by means of income distribution taxes and benefits, etc. Benefits: Improved standards of living associated with increase in the availability of luxury goods: TVs Fridges and freezers Swimming pools, etc. In addition: Infrastructure roads, rail, energy, water, communication networks Health and education provision All associated with a decent standard of living.
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Improvement in Welfare: Welfare associated with well-being: Welfare is improved by the provision of support services for those not necessarily able to help themselves often on the margins of society. Welfare includes: Pensions Benefits sickness, disability, etc. Support maternity, holidays, Housing Infrastructure homes for the elderly Such welfare provision often funded through income redistribution - taxes Providing support for the elderly, homeless, orphaned and disadvantaged is something only wealthy countries can afford to any great extent. Economic growth can bring with it costs: Not all income distributed equally. Wealth often in the hands of a few. Trickle down does not always seem to work in practice. Corruption may reduce redistribution effects. Growth funded in part by spending on weapons which do not benefit the population as whole environmental problems. Expansion and growth brings with it the problems of pollution often developing countries do not have the infrastructure to cope with the waste generated nor the legislation or regulation to influence those who produce it. ECONOMIC STABILITY: Economic stability refers to an absence of excessive fluctuations in the macro economy. An economy with fairly constant output growth and low and stable inflation would be considered economically stable. An economy with frequent large recessions, a pronounced business cycle, very high or variable inflation, or frequent financial crises would be considered economically unstable. The United States is an example of an unstable economy. Economic Stability can be attained through: Decrease in price fluctuations
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Pre determined prices for goods Demand and fore castings should be made aware of every now and then Predetermination of demands Developing the product substitutes.
In order to stabilize economy nations face two considerations in setting monetary and fiscal policies: the appropriate level of aggregate demand and the best monetary fiscal mix. The mix of fiscal and monetary policies helps determine the composition of GDP. A high investment strategy would call for budget surplus along with low real interest rates. MICRO AND MACRO ECONOMICS Economics can be studied under two heads: 1) Micro Economics 2) Macro Economics Microeconomics It has been defined as that branch where the unit of study is an individual, firm or household. It studies how individual make their choices about what to produce, how to produce, and for whom to produce, and what price to charge. It is also known as the price theory is the main source of concepts and analytical tools for managerial decision making. Various micro- economic concepts such as demand, supply, elasticity of demand and supply, marginal cost, various market forms, etc. are of great significance to managerial economic Those who have studied Latin know that the prefix micro- means small, so it shouldnt be surprising that microeconomics is the study of small economic units. The field of microeconomics is concerned with things like: Consumer decision making and utility maximization Firm production and profit maximization Individual market equilibrium Effects of government regulation on individual markets Externalities and other market side effects Macroeconomics Its not only individuals and forms who are faced with having to make choices. Governments face many such problems. For e.g. how much to spend on health how much to spend on services how much should go in to providing social security benefits. This is the same
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type of problem facing all of us in our daily lives but in different scales. It studies the economics as a whole. It is aggregative in character and takes the entire economic as a unit of study. Macro economics helps in the area of forecasting. It includes National Income, aggregate consumption, investments, employment etc. Macroeconomics can be thought of as the big picture version of economics. Rather than analyzing individual markets, macroeconomics focuses on aggregate production and consumption in an economy. Some topics that macroeconomists study are: The effects of general taxes such as income and sales taxes on output and prices The causes of economic upswings and downturns The effects of monetary and fiscal policy on economic health How interest rates are determined Why some economies grow faster than others The Relationship Between Microeconomics and Macroeconomics There is an obvious relationship between microeconomics and macroeconomics in that aggregate production and consumption levels are the result of choices made by individual households and firms, and some macroeconomic models explicitly make this connection. Most of the economic topics covered on television and in newspapers are of the macroeconomic variety, but its important to remember that economics is about more than just trying to figure out when the economy is going to improve and what the Fed is doing with interest rates. DISTINCTION BETWEEN MICRO ECONOMICS AND MACRO ECONOMICS Micro economics Macro economics 1. Evolution of micro economics took place earlier than macro economics. It evolved only after the publication of keynes'book. Genral.theory of employment, interest and money 2. It is branch of economics, which studies individual economic variables like demand, supply, price etc. It is a branch of economics which studies aggregate economic variables, like aggregate demand, aggregate supply, price level etc. 3. It has a very narrow scope i.e. an individual, a market etc. It has a very wide scope i.e. a country. 4.Demand,supply,market forms etc.relate to Aggregate demand aggregate supply, national
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micro economics income etc.relate to macro economics. 5.It is helpful in analysis of an individual economics unit like firm It is helpful for analyzing the level of employment, income, economic growth etc. 6. Theory of demand, theory of production, price determination theory etc. develops from micro economics.
Theory of national income, theory of employment, theory of money, theory of general price level etc. develop from macro economics.
Here the behavior of the economy is studied as a whole and as matter of fact both macro and micro economics are very inter-dependent in nature and both influence in decision making and strategy formulating of an organization. ROLE OF MARKETS AND GOVERNMENTS: Introduction to markets In ordinary language, the term market refers to a public place in which goods and services are bought and sold. In economics, it has a different meaning. Different economists have tried to define market in different ways. Cournot defines market as, "not any particular market place in which things are bought and sold, but the whole of any region in which buyers and sellers are in such free intercourse with each other that the prices of the same goods tend to equality easily and quickly". To Ely, "Market means the general field within which the force determining the price of particular product operate". According to Benham," Market is any area over which buyers and sellers are in close touch with one another, either directly or through dealers, that the price obtainable in one part of the market affects the prices paid in other parts". Stonier and Hague explain the term market as "any organisation whereby buyers and sellers of a good are kept in close touch with each other". There is no need for a market to be in a single building.The only essential for a market is that all buyers and sellers should be in constant touch with each other, either because they are in the same building or because they are able to talk to each other by telephone at a moment's notice. Thus a market has the following basic components.
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1. There should be buyers of the product. If a country consists of people who are very poor, there can hardly be market for luxuries like cars, VCR etc. 2. A commodity should be offered for sale in the market. Otherwise there is no question of buying the commodity. Therefore, existence of sellers is a necessity for any market. 3. Buyers and sellers should have close contact with each other. 4. There should be a price for the commodity. The exchange of commodities between buyers and sellers occurs at a particular price which is mutually agreeable to both the buyers and sellers.
Classification of market Market may be classified into different types:
On the basis of area Markets may be classified on the basis of area into local, national and international markets. If the buyers and sellers are located in a particular locality, it is called as a local market, e.g. fruits, vegetables etc. These goods are perishable; they cannot be stored for a long time; they cannot be taken to distant places. When a commodity is demanded and supplied all over the country, national market is said to exist. When a commodity commands international market or buyers and sellers all over the world, it is called international market.Whether a market will be local, national or international in character will depend upon the following factors: (a) Nature of commodity; (b) Taste and preference of the people; (c) Availability of storage; (d) Method of business; (e) Political stability at home and abroad; (f) Portability of the commodity. On the basis of time Time element has been used by Marshall for classifying the market. On the basis of time, market has been classified into very short period, short period, long period and very long period. Very short period market refers to the market in which commodities that are fixed in supply or
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are perishable are transacted. Since supply is fixed, only the changes in demand influence the price. The short period markets are those where supply can be increased but only to a limited extent. Long period market refers to a market where adequate time is available for changing the supply by changing the fixed factors of production. The supply of commodities may be increased by installing a new plant or machinery and the output can be changed accordingly. Very long period or secular period is one in which changes take place in factors like population, supply of capital and raw material etc. On the basis of nature of transactions Markets are classified on the basis of nature of transactions into two broad categories viz., Spot market and future market. When goods are physically transacted on the spot, the market is called as spot market. In case the transactions involve the agreements of future exchange of goods, such markets are known as future markets. On the basis of volume of business Based on the volume of business, markets are broadly classified into wholesale and retail markets. In the wholesale markets, goods are transacted in large quantities. Wholesale markets are in fact, a link between the producer and the retailer while the retailer is a link between the wholesaler and the consumer. On the basis of status of sellers During the process of marketing, a commodity passes through a chain of sellers and middlemen. Markets can be classified into primary, secondary and terminal markets. The primary market consists of manufacturers who produce and sell the product to the wholesalers. The wholesalers who are an international link between the manufacturers and retailers constitute secondary markets while the retailers who sell it to the ultimate consumer constitute the terminal market. On the basis of regulation On this basis, market is classified into regulated and unregulated markets. For some goods and services, the government stipulates certain conditions and regulations for their transactions. Market of goods and services is called regulated market. On the other hand, goods and services whose transactions are left to the market forces belong to unregulated market. Regulations of market by the government become essential for those goods whose supply or price can be manipulated against the interests of the general public.
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On the basis of competition Markets are classified on the basis of nature of competition into perfect competition and imperfect competition. ROLE OF MARKETS: Market is a mechanism through which buyers and sellers interact to determine prices and exchange good and services. In a country like United States, most of economic decisions are resolved through the market. Market economy is an elaborate mechanism for coordinating people, activities and businesses through a system of process and markets. In general sense markets are places where buyers and sellers interact, exchange goods and services and determine prices. Markets are constantly solving the what, how and for whom. As they balance all the forces operating on the economy, markets are finding market equilibrium of supply and demand. Market equilibrium represents a balance among all the different buyers and sellers. By matching sellers and buyers in each market a market economy solves the three problems of what, how and for whom. 1. What goods and services will be produced should be determined first. 2. How things are produced is determined by competition among different Producers. 3. for whom things are produced who is consuming and how much depends in large part, on the supply and demand in the markets for factors of production ROLE OF GOVERNMENTS: Monetary and Fiscal Policies Modern economics is greatly influenced by Keynesian theories propounding the increased role of governments in regulating and stabilizing markets to ensure stable growth. Keynesian economics argues that private sector decisions sometimes lead to inefficient macroeconomic outcomes and therefore advocates active policy responses by the public sector, including monetary policy actions by the central bank and fiscal policy actions by the government to stabilize output over the business cycle. In the Keynesian economic model, the government has the very important job of smoothening out the business cycle bumps. They stress on the importance of measures like government spending, tax breaks and hikes, etc. for the best functioning of the economy.
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Monetary Policy works by lowering the interest rates, which attractive private companies to invest in real assets which increase the aggregate demand indirectly, by raising the private sector expenditure. The opposite is also done to reduce the money supply in the economy so that inflationary tendencies are minimized and economy over-heating is prevented. Fiscal Policy is more direct, but acts more slowly. It works by increasing demand for goods. Government does the borrowings to build roads, buildings etc, does the tax cutting, and tries to put more spending power in the hands of households. Traditionally, the working of monetary policies can be summed up as: Central Bank lowers the interest rates as a result injecting liquidity in the financial system. Commercial banks try to lend the additional money leading to the falling of interest rates further. This leads to the fact that risky business becomes profitable. Firms and houses, as a result, begin to buy more number of goods, thereby increasing employment. The financial tools available in the hands of the Reserve Bank of India to control the monetary and fiscal policies are: 1. Bank Rate: It is the Discount Rate, rate which the central bank charges on loans and advances to commercial banks (Short term). 2. Repo Rate: It is the rate at which the RBI lends money to commercial banks, a short term for repurchase agreement. A reduction in the repo rate will help banks to get money at a cheaper rate. It is equivalent to the discount rate of US. (Long term). 3. Reverse Repo Rate: It is the rate at which Reserve Bank of India (RBI) borrows money from banks. 4. Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR): It indicates the amount of funds that the banks have to keep with RBI. If RBI decides to increase the percent of this, the available amount with the banks comes down. RBI is using this method to drain out the excessive money from the banks 5. Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR): It is the amount a commercial bank needs to maintain in the form of cash, or gold or govt. approved securities (Bonds) before providing credit to its customers. SLR rate is determined and maintained by the RBI in order to control the expansion of bank credit. Thus, through the use of Monetary and Fiscal policies, the government can effectively control the money supply and hence the demand fluctuations of the market. This is essential as
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growth cannot be uncontrolled. An uncontrolled spiral of growth invariably is built on shaky foundations which are bound to cave in bringing everything crashing down. Until growth of the economy is backed by strong fundamentals, the speculative trading would remain strictly short term with the specter of a long term crash imminent. The sub-prime mortgage crisis caused by speculative trading in realty is an apt example of such a scenario. This long term thinking is what stabilizes growth and makes emerging economies an attractive destination since they have robust fundamentals Regulatory Responsibilities The governments in emerging economies also shoulder regulatory responsibilities which enable it to control various macro-economic aspects of the economy. Through regulation, government can iron out the inconsistencies and inefficiencies of the market as well as shape the economic environment as per the shifting global and local trends. Regulations are essential in certain areas to ensure fair practices, preservation of rights and the empowerment of the citizens. Government also holds in its grips the tariff regulations which enable it to preserve the indigenous small scale industries from global competition as well as prevent dumping of inferior goods on local markets. The presence of multinational companies and low cost markets abroad having incentive to dump such rejected goods in the market can skew the prices and hence create inefficiencies in the free market price discovery process as well. This kind of actions can severely affect indigenous industries and can result in monopolies emerging. The regulation of trade is another key focus area of policy since unrestricted trade can lead to local markets facing inflation. The working of the CCI (Competition Commission of India), SEBI (Security Exchange Board of India), IRDA (Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority and other such regulatory bodies working in tandem with central and state government in India ensure that legal and ethical practices are followed and the general public is given a fair deal. Overall, we can see the central role taken up by government in controlling and shaping the growth in emerging economies. While their involvement definitely has its benefits, there needs to be a balance since open market policies work best when they have minimal intrusions from external entities so that pure market forces determine the valuations and expectations of the consumers. Stringent government regulation and high tariff walls lead to protectionist tendencies which can choke private industries and mar the conducive environment for foreign investment.
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Stabilization and Growth. Perhaps most importantly, the federal government guides the overall pace of economic activity, attempting to maintain steady growth, high levels of employment, and price stability. By adjusting spending and tax rates (fiscal policy) or managing the money supply and controlling the use of credit (monetary policy), it can slow down or speed up the economy's rate of growth -- in the process, affecting the level of prices and employment. The ideal market economy is one in which all goods and services are voluntarily exchanged for money at market prices. Such a system squeezes the maximum benefits out of a societys available resources without government intervention. In the real world, however no economy conforms totally to the idealized world of the smoothly functioning invisible hand. Rather every market economy suffers from imperfections which lead to such ills as excessive pollution, unemployment and extremes of wealth and poverty. For that reason, no government anywhere in the world, no matter how conservative, keeps its hands off the economy. In modern economies government take on many tasks in response to the flaws in the market mechanism. The military, the police, the national weather service and high way construction are the typical areas of government activity. Socially useful ventures such as space exploration and scientific research benefit from government funding. Government may regulate some businesses (such as banking and drugs) while subsidizing others (such as education and health care). Government also taxes their citizens and redistributes some of the proceeds to the elderly and needy. Governments operate by requiring people to pay taxes, obey regulations and consume certain collective goods and services. Because of its coercive powers, the government can perform functions that would not be possible under voluntary exchange. Government coercion increases the freedoms and consumption of those who benefit while reducing the incomes and opportunities of those who are taxed or regulated. Governments have three main economic functions in a market economy:
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Government increase efficiency by promoting competition, curbing externalities like pollution and providing public goods. Governments promote equity by using tax and expenditure programs to redistribute income to ward particular groups. Governments foster macroeconomic stability and growth reducing unemployment and inflation while encouraging economic growth through fiscal policy and monetary regulation. Imperfect competition: One of the serious deviations from an efficient market comes from imperfect competition or monopoly elements. Whereas under perfect competition no firm or consumer can affect prices. Imperfect competition occurs when a buyer or seller can affect goods price. Public goods: The polar case of a positive externality is a public good. Public goods are commodities which can be enjoyed by everyone and from which can be enjoyed by everyone and from which no one can be excluded. A classic example is military. The private provision of public good is insufficient the government must step in to encourage the production of public goods. Taxes: The government must find the revenues to pay for its public goods and for its income redistribution programs. Such revenues come from taxes levied on personal and corporate incomes, on wages, on sales of consumer goods, and on other items. Equity: Even the most efficient market system may generate great inequality. Economics can however, analyze the costs and benefits of different redistributive systems. Economists have devoted much time to analyzing whether different income redistribution devices (such as taxes and food stamps) lead to social waste (E.g. people working less or buying drugs rather than food). They have also studied whether giving poor people cash rather than goods is likely more efficient way of reducing poverty. Macroeconomic growth and stability: Macroeconomic policies for stabilization and economic growth include fiscal policies (of taxing and spending) along with monetary policies (which affect interest rates and credit
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conditions) since the development of micro economics have succeeded in curbing the worst excesses of inflation and unemployment. EXTERNALITIES In economics, an externality (or transaction spillover) is a cost or benefit, not transmitted through prices, incurred by a party who did not agree to the action causing the cost or benefit. A benefit in this case is called a positive externality or external benefit, while a cost is called a negative externality or external cost Examples of positive externalities (beneficial externality, external benefit, external economy, or Merit goods) include: A beekeeper keeps the bees for their honey. A side effect or externality associated with his activity is the pollination of surrounding crops by the bees. The value generated by the pollination may be more important than the value of the harvested honey. An individual planting an attractive garden in front of his or her house may provide benefits to others living in the area, and even financial benefits in the form of increased property values for all property owners. A public organization that coordinates the control of an infectious disease preventing others in society from getting sick. An individual buying a product that is interconnected in a network (e.g., a video cell phone) will increase the usefulness of such phones to other people who have a video cell phone. When each new user of a product increases the value of the same product owned by others, the phenomenon is called a network externality or a network effect. Network externalities often have "tipping points" where, suddenly, the product reaches general acceptance and near-universal usage. Sometimes the better part of a benefit from a good comes from having the option to buy something rather than actually having to buy it. A private fire department that charged only those people whose house fire they responded to would arguably provide a positive externality to the entire community at the expense of an unlucky few who actually had to pay. Some form of insurance could be a solution in such cases, as long as people can accurately evaluate the benefit they have from the option. Some studies find that home ownership creates a positive externality in that homeowners are more likely than renters to become actively involved in the local community. A controlled study on the topic, however, disputes that this effect is causal. Still this is often a justification
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given for why, in the US, interest paid on a home mortgage is an available deduction from the income tax. Education creates a positive externality because more highly educated people are less likely to engage in violent crime. Adam Smiths invisible hand of the marketplace leads self-interested buyers and sellers in a market to maximize the Total benefit that society can derive from a market. 1. An externality refers to the uncompensated impact of one persons actions on the wellbeing of a bystander. 2. Externalities cause markets to be inefficient, and thus fail to maximize total surplus. When a person engages 3. In an activity that influences the well-being of a bystander and yet neither pays nor receives any compensation for that effect. 4. When the impact on the bystander is adverse, the externality is called a negative externality. 5. When the impact on the bystander is beneficial, the externality is called a positive externality Externality: a by-product of a transaction that affects someone not immediately involved in the transaction. Imply that the competitive equilibrium will not result in the social optimum Imply that the competitive equilibrium will result in a dead weight loss Create a role for government intervention In market demand or supply schedules. Some of the benefits or costs of a good may spill over to a Third party. It is also called third party effect. 1. Government can increase demand by providing subsidies like food stamps and education grants to subsidize consumers. 2. Government can finance production of goods or services such as public education or public health. 3. Government can increase supply by subsidizing production, such as higher education, immunization programs or public hospitals.
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Externalities are common in virtually every area of economic activity. They are defined as third party (or spill-over) effects arising from the production and/or consumption of goods and services for which no appropriate compensation is paid. Externalities can cause market failure if the price mechanism does not take into account the full social costs and social benefits of production and consumption. The study of externalities by economists has become extensive in recent years - not least because of concerns about the link between the economy and the environment. Externalities occur outside of the market i.e. they affect economic agents not directly involved in the production and/or consumption of a particular good or service. They are also known as spin-over or spill-over effects. Private and social costs Externalities create a divergence between the private and social costs of production. Social cost includes all the costs of production of the output of a particular good or service. We include the third party (external) costs arising, for example, from pollution of the atmosphere. SOCIAL COST = PRIVATE COST + EXTERNALITY For example: - a chemical factory emits wastage as a by-product into nearby rivers and into the atmosphere. This creates negative externalities which impose higher social costs on other firms and consumers. e.g. clean up costs and health costs. Another example of higher social costs comes from the problems caused by traffic congestion in towns, cities and on major roads and motor ways. It is important to note though that the manufacture, purchase and use of private cars can also generate external benefits to society. This why cost-benefit analysis can be useful in measuring and putting some monetary value on both the social costs and benefits of production. Market failure and externalities When negative production externalities exist, marginal social cost > private marginal cost. This is shown in the diagram below where the marginal social cost of production exceeds the private costs faced only by the producer/supplier of the product. In our example a supplier of fertiliser to the agricultural industry creates some external costs to the environment arising from their production process.
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Why do externalities lead to market failure? If it is assumed that the producer is interested in maximising profits - then only the private costs and private benefits arising from their supply of the product are taken into account. We can see from the diagram below that the profit-maximising level of output is at Q1. However the socially efficient level of production would consider the external costs too. The social optimum output level is lower at Q2.
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This leads to the private optimum output being greater than the social optimum level of production. The producer creating the externality does not take the effects of externalities into their own calculations. We assume that producers are only concerned with their own self interest. In the diagram above, the private optimum output is when where private marginal benefit = private marginal cost, giving an output of Q1. For society as a whole though the social optimum is where social marginal benefit =social marginal cost at output Q2.The failure to take into account the negative externality effects is an example of market failure. Negative externalities lead markets to produce a larger quantity than is socially desirable. Positive externalities lead markets to produce a smaller quantity than is socially desirable. Negative Externalities Negative externalities impact the third party negatively. An example is pollution, which allows the polluter to enjoy lower production costs because the firm is passing along the cost of pollution damage or clean up to society. Because the firm does not bear the entire cost, it will over allocate resources to production. Correcting for negative externalities requires that government get producers to internalize these costs. 1. Legislation can limit or prohibit pollution, which means the producers must bear costs of antipollution efforts. 2. Specific taxes on the amounts of pollution can be assessed, which causes the firm to cut back on pollution as well as provide funds for government cleanup. A negative externality is an action of a product on consumers that imposes a negative side effect on a third party; it is "social cost". Many negative externalities (also called "external costs" or "external diseconomies") are related to the environmental consequences of production and use. The article on environmental economics also addresses externalities and how they may be addressed in the context of environmental issues. Air pollution. Water pollution by industries that adds poisons to the water, which harm plants, Animals and humans. Systemic risk describes the risks to the overall economy arising from the risks which the banking system takes. A condition of moral hazard can occur in the absence of well- designed banking regulation, or in the presence of badly designed regulation. Consumption by one consumer causes prices to rise and therefore makes other consumers
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worse off, perhaps by reducing their consumption. Externalities or spillover occur when some of the benefits or costs of production are not fully reflected Automobile exhaust Cigarette smoking Barking dogs (loud pets) Loud stereos in an apartment building Positive Externalities Positive externalities refer to spillover benefits. It occurs when direct consumption by some individuals impact third parties positively. Public health vaccinations and education are two examples. Because some of the benefits accrue to others, individuals will demand too little for themselves, and resources will be under allocated by the market. Correcting for spillover benefits requires that the government somehow increase demand to increase benefits to socially desirable amounts. Immunizations Restored historic buildings Research into new technologies Externalities, which occur in cases where the "market does not take into account the impact of an Economic activity on outsiders." There are positive externalities and Negative externalities. Positive externalities occur in Cases such as when a television program on family health improves the Publics health. Negative externalities occur in cases Such as when a companys process pollutes air or waterways. Negative Externalities can be reduced by using government Regulations, taxes, or subsidies, or by using property rights to force Companies and individuals to take the impacts of their Economic activity into account. EXTERNALITIES: Impacts on third parties besides the buyer and seller. Consumption Externalities: impacts on third parties as a result of the consumption of a good. E.g. each infected Person who takes Drugs eliminates disease helps all of society, not Just the drug company which provides the medicine. Production Externalities: impacts on third parties as a result of the production of a good. E.g. New discoveries & Innovations impact all of Society, not just the scientist who discovers them and the firm who employs the Scientist (Streptomycin patent problem)
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Market Power: The power of a single Company to change the price of a good or service in the market place. Includes: MONOPOLY, MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION, And BILATERAL MONOPOLY. Examples: Drug Companies while they have Patents Inequities: any economic, social or political mechanism that systematically causes one part of the population to be worse off than another part of a population through time without the possibility of correction. Examples: Poor Populations have greater vulnerability to TB due to their economic and social conditions.
Dynamic Market Failure: the failure through time to achieve technological change and the failure of the market to achieve stable, equilibrium outcomes. Examples: As a disease disappears in a given locale: lack of incentives for new drug development Lack of treatment for those who are diseased Both in the area and in other areas where pandemics may occur Indivisibilities: a problem cannot be sub- divided into smaller pieces for the purpose of solving the problem or marketing the solution Example: even one remaining infected person means no cure has been achieved. Any plan to wipe out a disease means that a comprehensive worldwide plan must be undertaken. Information Asymmetry: decision makers do not have access to the same information which leads to different definitions, boundaries, and solutions to problems to be solved and social outcomes. Examples: indifference to disease, Lack of education about how to treat diseases, and failure to understand the tradeoff between private rights and public goods. NEGATIVE CONSUMPTION EXTERNALITIES Consumers can create externalities when they purchase and consume goods and services. o Pollution from cars and motorbikes o Litter on streets and in public places o Noise pollution from using car stereos or ghetto-blasters o Negative externalities created by smoking and alcohol abuse o Externalities created through the mis-treatment of animals o Vandalism of public property
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o Negative externalities arising from crime In these situations the marginal social benefit of consumption will be less than the marginal private benefit of consumption. (i.e. SMB <PMB) This leads to the good or service being over- consumed relative to the social optimum. Without government intervention the good or service will be under-priced and the negative externalities will not be taken into account. Again there will be a deadweight loss of economic welfare.
In the example shown in the chart above we illustrate the potentially negative effects of people consuming cigarettes on other consumers. The disutility (dis-satisfaction) created leads to a reduction in the overall social benefit of consumption. If the cigarette consumer only considers their own private costs and benefits, then there will be over-consumption of the product. Ideally, the socially efficient level of cigarette consumption will be lower (Q2). The issue is really which policies/strategies are most appropriate in reducing the total level of cigarette consumption! British economist A.C. Pigou was instrumental in developing the theory of externalities. The theory examines cases where some of the costs or benefits of activities "spill over" onto third parties. When it is a cost that is imposed on third parties, it is called a negative externality. When third parties benefit from an activity in which they are not directly involved, the benefit is called a positive externality. The study of such situations, a part of welfare economics, has been an active area of research since Pigou's efforts early in the twentieth century. There are standard examples given to illustrate both types of externalities. Pollution is a typical case of negative externality. Let's say I operate a factory along a river, making foozle
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dolls. As a byproduct of my manufacturing, I dump lots of foozle waste into the river. This is a terrible cost to people downriver because, as everyone knows, foozle waste stinks to high heaven. If neither my customers nor I have to pay this cost, our choice as to how many foozle dolls to produce will be, in a sense, incorrect. If we had to pay these costs, we would have chosen a smaller number of dolls. Instead, we chose to produce "too many" dolls, while the people downriver are forced to foot the bill for part of our activity. Pigou recommended taxing activities that produce negative externalities. Emission taxes on factories are an example of this approach. Another common policy adopted has been to regulate the amount of the activity legally permitted. Laws that forbid loud parties after a particular time of night illustrate this solution. A positive externality will arise when some of the benefits of an activity are reaped by those not directly involved. A typical example would be improving the appearance of one's property. If I paint my house, not only do I benefit, but so do all of my neighbors, who now have a nicer view. When such a positive externality exists, it can be contended that I will produce "too little" of the activity in question, since I don't take into account the benefits to my neighbors. The traditional policy responses to positive externalities have been for the state to subsidize or require the activities in question. For example, the US government subsidizes research into alternate energy sources. Primary education, often said to have positive externalities such as producing "informed citizens," is mandatory (as well as subsidized) in most countries. Lionel Robbins challenged Pigou's analysis in the 1930s. Robbins pointed out that, as utility is not measurable, it is invalid to compare levels of utility between different people, as Pigou's analysis required. Robbins recommended using the criterion of Pareto optimality as the basis of welfare economics. A policy has to make at least one person better off and none worse off before economists can say it is unambiguously better. But Robbins held that if we just assume people have an equal capacity for satisfaction, then economists still can recommend certain state interventions. Nobel Prize-winner Ronald Coase further undermined interventionist welfare analysis with the publication of his paper, "The Problem of Social Cost," in 1960. Coase demonstrated
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that as long as property rights are clearly defined and transaction costs are low, the individuals involved in these situations can always negotiate a solution that internalizes any externality. Consider the case of river pollution from the foozle factory. If the people downriver from the factory have a property right in the river, the factory will have to negotiate with them in order to legally discharge waste through their property. We can't say what solution the participants might arrive at-the factory might shut down, the people downriver might be paid to move, or the factory might install pollution control devices or simply compensate those affected for suffering the pollution. What we can say is that, within a system of voluntary exchange, each party has demonstrated that it prefers the solution arrived at to the situation that existed before their negotiations.
Social pressure also plays a role in handling potential externalities. If I don't paint my house, my neighbors will start to grouse. I may not get invited to the next block party. Hayek contends that those who value liberty should prefer social pressure against "deviant" behavior to outright bans. ("Deviant," in this case, meaning simply behavior of which many people disapprove but which does not violate their right to life or property.) If I highly value having a house painted mauve, I can ignore my neighbors' mocking glances and jeers. But if the government regulates house colors, I'm stuck.
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REFERENCES:
Introduction & Positive & Normative analysis http://economics.about.com/od/economics-basics/a/Positive-Versus-Normative-Analysis-In- Economics.htm The themes of economics scarcity and efficiency http://www.scribd.com Three fundamental economic problems http://www.scribd.com societys capability Production possibility fronties (PPF) http://www.scribd.com http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Production_Possibilities_Frontier_Curve.svg Productive efficiency Vs economic efficiency http://economics.about.com/library/glossary/bldef-efficiency-wages.htm http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/competition/efficiency.htm Economic growth & stability www.hm-treasury.gov.uk Micro economies and Macro economies http://economics.about.com/od/economics-basics/a/Microeconomics-Versus-the role of markets and government Reddy P.N. and Appanniah, H.R. Principles of Business Economics. McGuigan, Moyer and Harris: Managerial Economics, West Publishing Company http://www.iitk.ac.in/ime/MBA_IITK/avantgarde/?p=424 The role of markets and governments- http://economics.about.com www.tutor2u.com www.rfe.org Positive Vs negative externalities. www.tutor2u.com www.rfe.org
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UNIT-II Market Definition: A market is any place where the sellers of a particular good or service can meet with the buyers of that goods and service where there is a potential for a transaction to take place. The buyers must have something they can offer in exchange for there to be a potential transaction. "Market refers to arrangement, whereby buyers and sellers come in contact with each other directly or indirectly, to buy or sell goods." Classification or Types of Market - Chart
Demand Analysis: Definition: Demand refers to the quantities of a product that purchasers are willing and able to buy at various prices per period of time, 'all other things being equal Demand function
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The demand equation is the mathematical expression of the relationship between the quantity of a good demanded and those factors that affect the willingness and ability of a consumer to buy the good. For example, Q d =f(P; P rg , Y) is a demand equation where Q d is the quantity of a good demanded, P is the price of the good, P rg is the price of a related good, and Y is income; Demand Schedule: This lists the quantities of a good that buyers are willing to purchase at different prices Demand Curve: The relationship of price and quantity demanded can be exhibited graphically as the demand curve. The curve is generally negatively sloped.
Shifts in Demand curve: Four of the most important factors that can result in a change in demand are: 1. Change in Consumer Income 2. Change in Consumer Preferences 3. Change in the Price of Related Goods 4. Change in Expectations Difference between Movement and Shift Along Demand Curve
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A movement along a demand curve occurs when the ONLY factor that changes is price. Because only price changes and price is the Y Axis, there is no physical need for any translation of the demand curve. To find out the level of demand for the new price, you simply draw a line along the price and where it intersects the demand curve would be level of demand.
The diagram above indicates how a movement along a demand curve is best illustrated in a diagram. It is just an arrow along the demand curve in the correct direction. As price increases the movement would be to the left, as price decreases the movement would be to the right. If the quantity decreases it is known as contraction. If the quantity increases it is known as expansion. *assumption is that price is the only factor that changes* Ceteris Paribus In this diagram the shift from demand curve D1 to demand curve D2 is represented by an actual translation across the plane. This particular diagram features an inward shift to the left, or a shrink in demand. An outward shift would be an increase in demand. This shift is caused by any actual changes in the determinants of demand.
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In this diagram the shift from demand curve D1 to demand curve D2 is represented by an actual translation across the plane. This particular diagram features an inward shift to the left, or a shrink in demand. An outward shift would be an increase in demand. This shift is caused by any actual changes in the determinants of demand. Why demand curve slopes downwards (1) Law of diminishing marginal utility: A consumer always equalizes marginal utility with price. The law states that a consumer derives less and less satisfaction (utility) from the every additional increase in the stock of a commodity. When price of a commodity falls the consumer's price utility equilibrium is disturbed i.e. price becomes smaller than utility. The consumer in order to restore the new equilibrium between price and utility buys more of it so that the marginal utility falls with the rise in the amount demanded. So long the price of a commodity falls, the consumer will go on buying more amount of it so as to reduce the marginal utility and make it equal with new price. Thus the shape and slope of a demand curve is derived from the slope of marginal utility curve.
(2) Income effect: Another cause behind the operation of law of demand is income effect. As the price of a commodity falls, the consumer has to buy the same amount of the commodity at less amount of money. After buying his required quantity he is left with some amount of money. This constitutes his rise in his real income. This rise in real income is known as income effect. This increase in real income induces the consumer to buy more of that commodity. Thus income effect is one of the reasons why a consumer buys more at falling prices. (3) Substitution effect: When the price of a commodity falls, it becomes relatively cheaper than other commodities. The consumer substitutes the commodity whose price has fallen for other commodities which becomes relatively dearer. For example with the fall in price of tea, coffees. Price being constant, tea will be substituted for coffee. Therefore the demand for tea will go up. (4) New consumers:
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When the price of a commodity falls many other consumers who were deprived of that commodity at the previous price become able to buy it now as the price comes within their reach. For example the units of color TV. increases with a remarkable fall in price of it. The opposite will happen with a rise in prices. (5) Multiple use of commodity: There are some commodities which have multiple uses. Their uses depend upon their respective, prices. When their prices rise they are used only for certain selected purposes. That is why their demand goes down. For example electricity can be put to different uses like heating, lighting, cooling, cooking etc. If its price falls people use it for other uses other than that. A rise in price of electricity will force the consumer to minimize its use. Thus with a fall and rise in price of electricity its demand rises and falls accordingly. DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND After having understood the nature of demand and law of demand, it is easy to ascertain the determinants of demand. We have mentioned above that an individual demand for a commodity depends on desire for the commodity and his capability to purchase it. The desire to purchase is revealed by tastes and preferences of the individuals. The capability to purchase depends upon his purchasing power, which in turn depends upon his income and price of the commodity. Since an individual purchases a number of commodities, the quantity of a particular commodity he chooses to purchase depends on the price of that particular commodity and prices of the other commodities, as well as the relative amount of his income, or purchasing power. So, the amount demanded (per unit of time) of a commodity depends upon Prices of related commodities: When a change in price of the other commodity leaves the amount demanded of the commodity under consideration unchanged, we say that the two commodities are unrelated, otherwise these are related. The related commodities are of two types substitutes and complements. When the price of one commodity and the quantity demanded of the other commodity move in the same direction (i.e., both increase together and decrease together). Income of the individual:
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The amount demanded of a commodity also depends upon the income of an individual. With an increase in income, increased amount of most of the commodities in his consumption bundle, though the extent of the increase may differ between commodities. Tastes and preferences: It is quite well that the change in tastes and preferences of consumers in favor of a commodity results in smaller demand for the commodity. Modern business firms, which sell product with different brand names, rely a great deal on influencing tastes and preferences of households in favor of their products (with the help of advertisements, etc.) in order to bring about increase in demand of their products. Tastes of the consumers: The amount demanded also depends on consumers taste. Tastes include fashion, habit, customs, etc. A consumers taste is also affected by advertisement. If the taste for a commodity goes up, its amount demanded is more even at the same price and vice-versa. Wealth: The amount demanded of a commodity is also affected by the amount of wealth as well as its distribution. The wealthier are the people, higher is the demand for normal commodities. If wealth is more equally distributed, the demand for necessaries and comforts is more. On the other hand, if some people are rich, while the majority is poor, the demand for luxuries is generally less. Expectations regarding the future If consumers expect changes in price of a commodity in future, they will change the demand at present even when the present price remains the same. Similarly, if consumers expect their incomes to rise in the near future, they may increase the demand for a commodity just now.
Climate and weather The climate of an area and the weather prevailing there has a decisive effect on consumers demand. In cold areas, woolen cloth is demanded. During hot summer days, ice is very much in demand. On a rainy day, ice-cream is not so much demanded. State of business
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The level of demand for different commodities also depends upon the business conditions in the country. If the country is passing through boom conditions, there will be a marked increase in demand. On the other hand, the level of demand goes down during depression. MACRO CONCEPTS OF DEMAND Individual demand, firms demand and industry demand are the micro concepts of demand. This is useful to manager in decision making as to determination of size of supplies etc. However, a manger has to know the macro concepts of demand as he operates within the macroeconomic environment. As such he much understands a few macro concepts of demand. As a matter of fact, national demand may influence the industry demand which in its turn may influence the firms demand. Some of the important macro-concepts of demand are illustrated below. Effective demand This refers to the aggregate volume of demand in an economy, (size of the market), which induces the manufacturers to adjust that demand by supply. Thus if demand is effective, it should create employment, induce output and generate income in the economy. Consumption demand It is concerned with the demand for consumer goods i.e., consumption expenditure of a nation which depends on national income. Investment demand It is another component of effective demand. It has reference to the demand for investment goods i.e., investment expenditure in the national economy which is dependent on the net return on investment. Demand for money This refers to desire to hold money (liquidity) in hand. In any of the three motives i.e., transaction, precaution or speculation. Accordingly, we may speak of transaction demand for money to meet day-to-day exchange transactions. The precautionary demand for moneys to meet contingency requirements. The speculative demand for money has got long-term business use; it is mostly influenced by the market rate of interest. In fact, the rate of interest is the opportunity costs of holding money in hand for speculative purposes. Demand for bonds
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Since money and bonds are substitutes, the demand for bonds is related to the demand for money. LAW OF DEMAND Definition: The law of demand states that other things being equal, as the price of a good increases, the quantity demanded of that good decreases. In economics, the law of demand is an economic law that states that consumers buy more of a good when its price decreases and less when its price increases (ceteris paribus). The greater the amount to be sold, the smaller the price at which it is offered must be, in order for it to find purchasers. Law of demand states that the amount demanded of a commodity and its price are inversely related, other things remaining constant. That is, if the income of the consumer, prices of the related goods, and tastes and preferences of the consumer remain unchanged, the consumers demand for the good will move opposite to the movement in the price of the good. What Does Law Of Demand Mean? A microeconomic law that states that, all other factors being equal, as the price of a good or service increases, consumer demand for the good or service will decrease and vice versa.
Assumptions to Law of Demand: Every law will have limitation or exceptions. While expressing the law of demand, the assumptions that other conditions of demand were unchanged. If remain constant, the inverse relation may not hold well. In other words, it is assumed that the income and tastes of consumers and the prices of other commodities are constant. This law operates when the commoditys price changes and all other prices and conditions do not change. The main assumptions are
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Habits, tastes and fashions remain constant Money, income of the consumer does not change. Prices of other goods remain constant The commodity in question has no substitute The commodity is a normal good and has no prestige or status value. People do not expect changes in the prices. Exceptions to the law of demand 1- Giffen goods These goods came to be known as Giffen goods after the name of Sir Robert Giffen, a notable English Economist. These goods constitute very inferior goods which are essential for a minimum living. Law of Demand does not hold well in case of giffen goods. Robert Giffen found that bread and meat were two important items of consumption of the workers in early 19th century England. As meat is superior to bread they can't afford to pay for meat. With the fall in price of bread in the market they bought the same quantity at fewer prices. The money income so saved was spent on the meat instead of bread. Thus with a fall in price quantity of bread falls and with a rise in price quantity of bread rises. This is contrary to the operation of Law of Demand. The demand curve of giffen goods rises upward from left to right. 2. Prestigious goods:- There are certain goods having prestige value. These goods are mainly consumed by the richer sections of the society for the gain of pride and social distinction. The consumption of prestigious goods is known as conspicuous consumption. According to Veblen some rich people measure the utility of a commodity entirely by price. The greater the price of a commodity, the greater its utility. Diamond has got a very little value in use but has got a very great prestige value as its price is extremely high. Poor people can't dream of its use. The richer people buy diamond so long as its price is high. The moment its use comes to the income ability of the common people diamond ceases to be an article of distinction.
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The greater the price of diamond, the greater its utility because of its higher prestige value. The consumer will buy less of diamonds at a low price because of the fall in prestige value. Thus prestigious goods constitute another exception to the Law of Demand. 3. Speculation:- There are some commodities whose prices are expected to change in future. People demand more when price of the commodity continues rising. People apprehend a further rise in price in the future. To escape the further rise in price, they hurry to buy more even at a high price. The fear of price rise in future makes him buy more at a higher price. On the other hand they buy less at fewer prices with a hope of further fall in future. Thus this expectation or speculation constitutes another exception to the Law of Demand. 4. Ignorance about quality:- Usually consumers judge the quality of a commodity from its price. A high priced commodity is thought to have higher value than that of a low priced commodity. LAW OF DEMAND AND CHANGES IN DEMAND The law of demand states that, other things remaining same, the quantity demanded of a good increases when its price falls and vice-versa. Note that demand for goods changes as a consequence of changes in income, tastes etc. Hence, the demand may sometime expand or contract and increase or decrease. In this context, let us make a distinction between two different types of changes that affect quantity demanded, viz., expansion and contraction; and increase and decrease. While stating the law of demand i.e., while treating price as the causative factor, the relevant terms are Expansion and Contraction in demand. When demand is changing due to a price change alone, we should not say increase or decrease but expansion or contraction. If one of the nonprice determinants of demand, such as the prices of other goods, income, etc. change & thereby demand changes, the relevant terms are increase and decrease in demand. The expansion and contraction in demand are shown in the diagram. You may observe that expansion and contraction are shown on a single DD curve. The changes (movements) take place along the given curve k. LIMITATION FOR LAW OF DEMAND Change in taste or fashion. Change in income
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Change in other prices. Discovery of substitution. Anticipatory change in prices. Rare or distinction goods. There are certain goods which do not follow this law. These include Veblen goods and Giffen goods. ELASTICITY OF DEMAND The degree to which demand for a good or service varies with its price. Normally, sales increase with drop in prices and decrease with rise in prices. As a general rule, appliances, cars, confectionary and other non-essentials show elasticity of demand whereas most necessities (food, medicine, basic clothing) show inelasticity of demand (do not sell significantly more or less with changes in price). Also called price demand elasticity. See also cross price elasticity of demand. TYPES OF ELASTICITY OF DEMAND We may distinguish between the tree types of elasticitys, viz., Price Elasticity, Income Elasticity and Cross Elasticity. Price Elasticity Price elasticity measures responsiveness of potential buyers to changes in price. It is the ratio of percentage change in quantity demanded in response to a percentage change in price. Price Elasticity = Proportionate change in amount demanded ----------------------------------------------------------------- Proportionate change in price Suppose the price of a particular brand of a radio set falls from Rs. 500 to Rs. 400 each, i.e., 20 per cent fall. As a result of this fall in price, suppose further that the demand for the radio sets has gone up from Rs. 400 to 600, i.e., 50 per cent. Elasticity of demand will be 50/20 or 2.5 percent. The concept of price elasticity can be used in comparing the sensitivity of the different types of goods (e.g., luxuries and necessaries) to change in their prices. For example, by this means we may find that the price elasticity for food grains, in general, is 0.5, whereas for fruit it may be1.5. This means that the demand for food grains is less sensitive to price changes than demand for fruit. Food is a necessary of life and people must buy almost the same quantity, even if its price has risen. The consumer can, however, economize in fruit or any other commodity included in the family budget. The elasticity of demand is always negative, although
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by convention it is taken to be positive. It is negative because change in quantity demanded is in opposite direction to the change in price. That is a fall in price is followed by rise in demand, and vice versa. Hence, elasticity is always less than zero, unless of course the demand curve is abnormal, i.e., sloping upward from right to left. Strictly speaking, in mathematical terms, there should be minus sign (-) before figure indicating price elasticity. But by convention, for the sake of simplicity, the minus sign is dropped in economics. Types of Price Elasticity of Demand Price Elasticity of demand can be defined as a measure of change in quantity demanded to the corresponding change in price. Below are the various types of elasticity of demand 1. Elastic Demand If the change in price leads to greater change than proportional change in demand then the demand for that good is price elastic. For example a 20% fall in price leads to a 30% increase in quantity demanded. 2. Inelastic Demand If the change in price leads to less than proportional change in demand then the demand for that good is price inelastic. For example a 30% increase in price leads to a 15% fall in quantity demanded. 3. Unitary Demand - If the change in price leads to equal change in demand then the demand for that good is unitary. For example a 10% increase in price leads to 10% decrease in demand. 4. Perfectly Elastic Demand It refers to a situation when any change in price will see quantity demanded fall to zero. 5. Perfectly Inelastic Demand It refers to a situation when any change in price will not affect the demand for a good that is quantity demanded will remain unchanged irrespective of change in the price of that good. Income Elasticity Income Elasticity is a measure of responsiveness of potential buyers to change in income. It shows how the quantity demanded will change when the income of the purchaser changes, the price of the commodity remaining the same. It may be defined thus: The Income Elasticity of demand for a good is the ratio of the percentage change in the amount spent on the commodity to a percentage change in the consumers income, price of commodity remaining constant. Thus, Income Elasticity = Proportionate change in the quantity purchased ---------------------------------------------------------------- Proportionate change in Income
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While prices remain constant. It is equal to unity or one when the proportion of income spent on good remains the same even though income has increased. It is said to be greater than unity when the proportion of income spent on a good increases as income increases. It is said to be less than unity when the proportion of income spent on a good decreases as income increases. Generally speaking, when our income increases, we desire to purchase more of the things than we were previously purchasing unless the commodity happens to be an inferior good. Normally, then, since the income effect is positive, income elasticity of demand is also positive. It is zero income elasticity of demand when change in income makes no change in our purchases, and it is negative when with an increase in income, the consumer purchases less, e.g.,in the case of inferior goods. It may be carefully noted that for any individual seller or firm, the demand for the product as a whole may be inelastic. By lowering the price, as compared with his rivals, the seller can infinitely increase the demand for his product. The demand curve will thus be a horizontal line. Elasticity, viz., price elasticity and income elasticity, are valuable aids in the measurement of demand for different commodities. As such they are also helpful in measuring the incidence of taxation. Cross Elasticity Here, a change in the price of one good causes a change in the demand for another. Cross elasticity of Demand for X and Y = Proportionate change in purchases of commodity X ------------------------------------------------------------------- Proportionate change in the price of commodity Y This type of elasticity arises in the case of inter-related goods such as substitutes and complementary goods. The two commodities will be complementary, if a fall in the price of Y increases the demand for X and conversely, if a rise in the price of one commodity decreases the demand for the other. They will be substitute or rival goods if a reduction in the price of Y decreases the demand for X, and also if a rise in price of one commodity (say tea) increases the demand for the other commodity (say coffee). The cross elasticity of complementary goods is positive and that between substitutes, it is negative. It should, however, be remembered that cross elasticity will indicate complementarities or rivalry only if the commodities in question figure in the family budget in small proportions. Cross elasticity of demand can be used to indicate boundaries between industries. Goods with high cross elasticity constitute one industry, whereas
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goods with low cross elasticity constitute different industries. It is not to be supposed that cross elasticity represents reciprocal relationship. It is not a two-way street. The cross elasticity of a tea with respect to coffee is not the same as that of coffee with respect to tea. The tastes of the consumer, his money income and all prices except of the commodity Y are assumed to remain constant Determinants for Elasticity of Demand: 1. Substitutes of the commodity available: If the substitutes of the commodity are available its elasticity if higher. If there are no substitutes available the elasticity if less elastic. 2. Time period Longer the time period, more elastic is the demand for a commodity. for e.g.- in 1970s major oil producing countries increased the price of oil for the first time which adversely affected the whole world. but now with so many substitutes of oil available its demand is more elastic than it was earlier.
3. Proportion out of total expenditure If the commodity absorbs a large amount of total expenditure its demand is more elastic.eg- petrol. But if the commodity absorbs a small amount of total expenditure. its demand is less elastic.eg- matchboxes 4. Necessity or comfort, luxury good Necessity goods have a less elastic (or maybe perfectly inelastic) demand whereas comforts and luxuries have a more elastic demand. 5. Addicted or habitual If a person is addicted or habituated to a commodity, its demand is inelastic. SUPPLYANALYSIS: Definition: In economics, supply is the amount of some product producers are willing and able to sell at a given price all other factors being held constant. Usually, supply is plotted as a supply curve showing the relationship of price to the amount of product businesses are willing to sell. FACTORS DETERMINING SUPPLY
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1) Technology Changes Technology aids a producer in minimizing his cost of production; mass production is possible with technology 2) Resource Supplies The producer also has to pay for other resources such as raw materials and labor. if his money is short on supplying a certain number of products because of an increase in resource supplies, then he has to reduce his supply. 3) Tax/ Subsidy A producer aims to minimize his profit, but an increase in tax will only increase his expenses, decreasing his capacity to buy resource supplies and forcing him to reduce his supply. 4) Price of other goods produced A producer may not only produce on product but other products as well. a producer's money is limited and if he increases his supply in one product, he would have to decrease his supply in the other product, not unless his sales increase. Supply schedule A supply schedule is a table which shows how much one or more firms will be willing to supply at particular prices. The supply schedule shows the quantity of goods that a supplier would be willing and able to sell at specific prices under the existing circumstances. Some of the more important factors affecting supply are the goods own price, the price of related goods, production costs, technology and expectations of sellers. Price in (1000s) Qty supplied in tones 1 10 2 20 3 30 4 40 5 50 6 60 Supply Curve:
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The relationship of price and quantity supplied can be exhibited graphically as the supply curve. The curve is generally positively sloped. The curve depicts the relationship between two variables only; price and quantity supplied. All other factors affecting supply are held constant. Supply Equation The supply function is the mathematical expression of the relationship between supply and those factors that affect the willingness and ability of a supplier to offer goods for sale. For example, Q s =f(P/P rg .S) P=Price of good Prg=price of related good S=No. of producers LAW OF SUPPLY The law of supply states that the higher the price, the larger the quantity supplied, all other things constant. The law of supply is demonstrated by the upward slope of the supply curve. EXCEPTIONS TO LAW OF SUPPLY 1..... Rare goods 2..... Agricultural products 3..... Future expectations 4..... Inelastic Goods
ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY: Elasticity of supply of a commodity is the degree of responsiveness of the quantity supplies to changes in price. Like the elasticity of demand, the elasticity of supply is the relative measure of the responsiveness of quantity supplied of a commodity to a change in its price. The, greater the responsiveness of quantity supplied of a commodity to the change in its price, the greater is its elasticity of supply. To be more precise, the elasticity of supply is defined as a percentage change in the quantity supplied of a product divided by the percentage change in price. KINDS OF ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY:
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There are five types of Price Elasticity of supply elasticity of supply which are given below (I) perfectly elastic supply: It is a case where a very slight change in price causes an Infinite change in supply. A slight fall in prices brings quantity supplied to zero. In such a case the supply curve runs parallel to X -axis. The supply curve takes the shape of a horizontal straight lit line. In the diagram given below 'SS' is the supply curve which shows that an infinitesimally small change in price causes an infinitely large change in the quantity supplied. (2) Perfectly inelastic supply: The supply of a commodity is said to be perfectly inelastic when the supply of commodity is completely non-responsive to changes in price. It is a case where quantity supplied remains the same despite the change in price. A perfectly inelastic supply curve is a vertical straight line which is parallel to OY-axis. In the diagram given below 'SS' is the perfectly inelastic supply curve that runs parallel to OY-axis. (3) Relatively elastic supply: The supply is relatively elastic when a given change in price produces more than proportionate change in quantity supplied. A doubling in price will result in more than double the quantity supplied. In the diagram shown below, a given change in price from OP to OP, is attended by a much more change in supply, supply curve 'SS' is relatively (4) Relatively inelastic supply: When a certain change in price causes a smaller proportionate change in quantity supplied of a Commodity, the supply is said to be relatively less elastic. The percentage change in price is more than the percentage change in quantity supplied. In the diagram as shown, below a rise in price from OP, to OP brings about less than proportionate change in supply from OS, to OS. Hence the supply curve SS is relatively inelastic. (5) Unitary elastic supply: In such a situation the proportionate change in supply equals the proportionate change in price. In the diagram given below SS is the unitary elastic supply curve. Increase in price from OP to OP is accompanied by a proportionate change in supply from OS to OS.
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Determinants of Price Elasticity of Supply 1. Availability of materials The limited availability of raw materials could limit the amount of a product that can be produced. 2. Length and complexity of product If the product is complex to manufacture, it becomes more inelastic. 3. Time to respond If the producer has more time to respond to price changes, the product is more elastic. 4. Excess capacity A producer with unused capacity will quickly respond to price changes 5. Inventories A producer with a large number of products can quickly increase the amount of supply it delivers to the market. -The number of substitutes - This determines how easily one person could switch from one product to another and determines how elastic or inelastic a good is. A demand curve is the graphical representation of the demand schedule for a commodity. It is the graphic statement of an individual buyer's reaction on amount demanded at a given price in the given point of time. A demand curve has got a negative slope. It slopes downwards from left to right. A demand curve shows the maximum quantities per unit of time that consumers will buy at various prices. In the words of Richard Lipsey "The curve which shows the relation between the price of a commodity and the amount of that commodity the consumer wishes to purchase is called Demand Curve.
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As with the demand curve, the convention of the supply curve is to display quantity supplied on the x-axis as the independent variable and price on the y-axis as the dependent variable. Shifts in the Supply Curve While changes in price result in movement along the supply curve, changes in other relevant factors cause a shift in supply, that is, a shift of the supply curve to the left or right. Such a shift results in a change in quantity supplied for a given price level. If the change causes an increase in the quantity supplied at each price, the supply curve would shift to the right:
Shifts of Supply Curve: There are several factors that may cause a shift in a good's supply curve. Some supply- shifting factors include: Prices of other goods - the supply of one good may decrease if the price of another good increases, causing producers to reallocate resources to produce larger quantities of the more profitable good. Number of sellers - more sellers result in more supply, shifting the supply curve to the right. Prices of relevant inputs - if the cost of resources used to produce a good increases, sellers will be less inclined to supply the same quantity at a given price, and the supply curve will shift to the left. Technology - technological advances that increase production efficiency shift the supply curve to the right.
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Expectations - if sellers expect prices to increase, they may decrease the quantity currently supplied at a given price in order to be able to supply more when the price increases, resulting in a supply curve shift to the left.
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM: The operation of the market depends on the interaction between suppliers and demanders. Market equilibrium exists when quantity supplied is equal to quantity demanded. Note that there is just one price where this is true! The equilibrium price is the price that will generally prevail in a perfectly competitive market that is not subject to governmental intervention. As you might remember from your chemistry classes, a system is in equilibrium when there is no tendency for it to change under existing conditions. When a market is in equilibrium, there is no tendency for the market price to change. In other words, the equilibrium price is stable under the existing market conditions. Consider, for example, the soybean market depicted in the following figure:
Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium Market Equilibrium The operation of the market depends on the interaction between suppliers and demanders. Market equilibrium exists when quantity supplied is equal to quantity demanded. Note that there is just one price where this is true! The equilibrium price is the price that will generally prevail in a perfectly competitive market that is not subject to governmental
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intervention. As you might remember from your chemistry classes, a system is in equilibrium when there is no tendency for it to change under existing conditions. When a market is in equilibrium, there is no tendency for the market price to change. In other words, the equilibrium price is stable under the existing market conditions. Consider, for example, the soybean market depicted in the following figure: Under the existing conditions of supply and demand (the existing incomes for consumers, prices of related goods, state of technology, input prices, and other conditions), the market price of soybeans will be $2.50 per bushel. When farmers hear the farm report on the radio in the morning, the price of soybeans will be quoted as being $2.50 per bushel. Agricultural products such as apples, bread, or other items, are generally about their equilibrium prices. If the equilibrium price is the price that is stable under existing conditions, that must mean other prices will tend to be unstable. That is exactly the case. Consider what happens when the market price is below the equilibrium price. At low prices, producers supply less and consumers want to buy more than at the equilibrium price. This creates an excess demand, and causes a shortage of the product. Imagine the situation at your local market if the minute supplies of the product came in, frantic consumers immediately would scoop them up! What is the manager of the store likely to do in such a situation? The manager would most likely raise prices. When the market price is below the equilibrium price, consumers compete with each other in order to grab the good deals. This puts upward pressure on the market price. Such pressure will cease when the market price reaches the equilibrium price. The shortage resulting from the price being below the equilibrium level is shown in the following figure at the price of $1.75. The amount of the shortage is the difference between quantity demanded and quantity supplied at that price. In this case, there is a shortage of 25,000 bushels (50,000 - 25,000). Now consider what happens when the market price is above the equilibrium level. In this case there is an excess supply, or surplus, of the product. At high prices, producers are willing to produce more of the product, but consumers are willing to buy less than at the equilibrium price. Excess supply, the condition where quantity supplied exceeds quantity demanded at the current price, will result. Now imagine what happens at your local store. As inventories pile up on the back shelves, managers will put the product on sale in order to unload some of it.
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As a result, market forces will pull the price down toward the equilibrium price. The surplus resulting from the price being above the equilibrium level is shown below:
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR Choice, Utility and Preferences Consumer behavior theory tries to explain the relationship between price changes and consumer demand. Utility is a concept used to denote the subjective satisfaction or usefulness attained from consuming goods and services. This concept helps to explain how consumers divide their limited income / resources among different choices of goods and services that help attain them satisfaction (utility) The issue however is how we are supposed to measure utility and how the value of utility derived from various choices can be quantified. Because of these issues, the consumer behavior theory has been reformulated and utility is viewed as a way to describe preferences. It was recognized that all that mattered about utility is whether one combination of choice had a higher utility than another; by how much higher or lower didn't really matter Preferences of consumers is the fundamental description important for analyzing choice while utility is just a simple way of describing preferences Total utility The total satisfaction or fulfillment received by a consumer through the consumption of a goods or services or a combination of both is defined as Total utility. For instance if a person
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consumes five units of a commodity and derives U1, U2, U3, U4, U5 utility from the successive units of a good, his total utility will be, Total utility increases with an increase in consumption, but as consumption rises, total utility grows at a diminishing rate. Every unit of a good or service has a marginal utility and the total utility is a simple addition of all the marginal utilities of the units of goods or services All consumers want to achieve the maximum possible total utility for their spending and thus they look to combine different bundles of goods and services. With their limited resources, consumers make various choices in order to increase their total utility with each additional unit of consumption.
Marginal utility As discussed above all consumers attempt to maximize their total utility from the goods and services they consume. This process of optimization leads the consumers to consider the marginal utility of acquiring additional units of the product or service and of acquiring one product or service as opposed to another. Product characteristics and individual tastes and preferences apart from available resources (money) determine direct demand. Utility is maximized when products are bought at levels such that relative prices equal the relative marginal utility derived from consumption. TU = U1+ U2 +U3+ U4+ U5
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The marginal utility of a good is the increase in total utility gained by consuming one additional unit of that good, for a given level of consumption of other goods Law of diminishing marginal utility We have discussed earlier that with an increase in consumption total utility increases but at a slower and slower rate. Law of diminishing marginal utility explains this concept. The law of diminishing marginal utility says that as consumption rises the marginal utility of consuming the next unit is less than the previous one. Accordingly the marginal utility of good decreases as more and more units of that good are consumed as shown in the table and figure below: Quantity of Good Total Utility (TU) Marginal Utility (MU) 1 10 10 2 19 9 3 27 8 4 34 7 5 40 6
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Equimarginal Utility The dollar value of a consumers marginal utility from consuming additional unit of a product is called the marginal benefit. It is the maximum price that a consumer will pay for an additional unit and will fall as consumption increases. When different products are available a consumer will ensure that the last dollar spent on each product gives an equal marginal utility (MU) per dollar spent. For two products A and B this can be expressed as: MU A /P A . MU B /P B MUA =marginal utility of product A; MUB =marginal utility of product B PA =price of product A; PB =price of product B To illustrate, let us take a case of a boy who wants to buy fruits and has $6 to spend. He finds that apples and oranges are available. While apples cost $2 per kilogram, oranges are available for $1 per kilogram. The marginal utilities of the first three kilograms of apples are $3, $2.50 and $2 respectively and the marginal utilities of the first 3 kilograms of oranges are $2.00, $1.25 and $1 respectively. The boy would achieve maximum utility by buying 2 kilograms of apples and 2 kilograms of oranges as the marginal utility of the last kilogram of each per dollar price is 1.25. In simpler words, if Apples cost costs twice as much as Oranges, then buy Apples only when the marginal utility derived from it is at least twice as great as Oranges' marginal utility. Indifference Curve Analysis As we know that the consumer is able to rank bundles of goods and services based on the utility he derives from them. This makes possible joining together of all these bundles that give the consumer equal utility / satisfaction. The curve drawn on these bundles or combinations of goods and services is known as indifference curve. At all points across the indifference curve the consumer derives same level of utility. And thus the consumers are indifferent because they do not care which of the bundles on the indifference curve they have.
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Compare the consumption bundles shown on the figure above. The indifference curve I1 tells us that Bundles A, B and C give the consumer equal satisfaction. Bundle E contains fewer bananas and fewer apples than Bundle B, and therefore Bundle B (and A and C) must be preferred to Bundle E. Similarly Bundle D contains more bananas and more apples than Bundle B, and therefore Bundle D must be preferred to Bundle B (and A and C). While bundle D should be on a higher indifference curves as it gives more utility to the consumer, E should be on a lower curves as it gives lesser utility.
The indifference curves are convex to the origin as because to keep the consumers utility constant he must be compensated with increasingly larger amounts of good X for each additional unit of good Y he is giving up. This concept stems from the fact of diminishing marginal utility and is explained below in Marginal rate of substitution Slope of an Indifference curve is given by:
Marginal Rate of Substitution = MU A /MU B
where MUA and MUB are marginal utility derived from the last unit consumed of good A and B respectively
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All of the points along an indifference curve represent combinations of goods / services that are equally satisfying to the consumer The amount of one unit of good that a consumer is prepared to forego for one extra unit of another good is known as the marginal rate of substitution. The marginal rate of substitution of good A for good B is the number of good A the consumer is willing to give up to gain another unit of good B without affecting total satisfaction. A diminishing marginal rate of substitution of good B for good A implies that the consumer is willing to give up diminishing quantities of good A to gain each additional good B. This means that if it takes, say, n extra units of good A to convince a consumer to give up one unit of good B, it will take more than another n extra good A to persuade her to give up yet another unit of good B. Suppose the following combinations of fruits give the consumer equal satisfaction: Apples Oranges 20 1 15 2 11 3 8 4 The marginal rate of substitution of oranges for apples falls from 5 to 4 to 3, showing that the consumer is more willing to give up apples for an additional orange when the consumer has a lot of them. Budget Constraint The bundle of goods and services that the consumer can afford depends on two factors namely; Price of the goods; and Income of the consumer Further to ascertain the bundles affordable by the consumer we assume that both the above factors are fixed which implies that the two factors are independent of the choice of consumption bundle The budget line thus is a line drawn on all points that is affordable to the consumer, assuming that all income is spend
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As shown in figure above, with a given income and prices of goods, if a consumer spends all his income on apples, he or she can afford to buy A apples. Alternatively, the consumer could buy B bananas, or an intermediate bundle such as E. Consumer Equilibrium Individuals (consumers in this case) make their choices about the quantity of goods and services to be consumed with the objective to maximize their total utility. But in maximizing total utility they face several constraints, the foremost being the individuals income level and the prices of the goods and services that he desires to consume. These constraints as discussed above forms the budget line of the consumer. The consumer's effort to maximize total utility, subject to the budget line, includes decisions about how much he would consume of the goods and services and the combination of goods and services at which the consumer maximizes its total utility is called consumer equilibrium. A consumer facing the budget line (fixed income and given market prices of goods) can come to a point (or equilibrium) of maximum satisfaction or utility only by acting in the following manner. Each product is demanded up to the point where the marginal utility for every unit of money spent on it is exactly the same as the marginal utility of the spent on any other good. This fundamental condition of consumer equilibrium can be written in terms of Marginal Utilities (MU) and Prices (P) of the different goods in the following compact way.
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MU GOOD1 /P1=MU GOOD2/P2=MUGOOD3/P3 = Common MU per unit of income. To maximize utility the consumers spread out their expenditures in such a way that the marginal rate of substitution is equal to the relative price of the good X as in the figure above. To represent it numerically: =MU X /MU Y = P X /P Y Thus combining the budget line with indifference curves, we can ascertain the consumption bundle which a consumer will choose. To further illustrate consider the earlier example of choice between apples and bananas and the figure below:
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Now let assume that all income is spent. Since the bundle W lies on the highest achievable indifference curve, W will be chosen. At this point the consumer chooses to buy qa apples and qb bananas. Bundle F is unaffordable as it doesnt touch the budget line and lies above it. Now though bundles such as G and H are affordable, but as they lie on a lower indifference curve and provide lower utility they will not be chosen. The bundle W maximizes the consumers utility given the budget line and indifference curves. Income and Substitution effect If the price of a good increase whiles everything remaining same, the budget line rotates around the other good thus bringing down the consumer to a lower indifference curve
As shown in the figure above, when the price of bananas rises, the consumer can buy less of them though if he chooses to spend all his income on apples, he could buy just as many apples as before. So the budget line will rotate around A from AB to AB' and the consumers consumption bundle will change from W to W'. As seen here, the rise in the price of bananas has led the consumption of bananas to fall from qb to qb. This change in the consumption bundle of the goods chosen by the consumer can be divided into two effects: Firstly, bananas become relatively more expensive compared with apples, and so $1 spent on bananas is less effective at increasing utility than $1 spent on apples. The consumer will therefore tend to substitute apples for bananas to some extent. Secondly, the increase in the price of bananas has made the consumer worse off by reducing his/ her real income as the consumer can buy less in total when the price of one good increases.
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Substitution Effect The substitution effect of the price change is the change in demand for the good/ services caused by the change in relative prices, holding the level of real income or utility of consumers constant. Income Effect The income effect of the price change is the change in demand for the good caused by the change in the real income of consumers as the price of a good change.
Analysing Substitution effect and Income Effect The income and substitution effects can be separated and analyzed by drawing a hypothetical budget line which has the slope of the new budget line and which is tangential to the old indifference curve. By using the old indifference curve we hypothetically keep real income constant thereby keeping the level of utility constant. Refer the figure below:
Continuing with our earlier illustration with the change in budget line with price rise we can analyze the income and substitution effects by drawing in the hypothetical budget line HH. This line reflects the new relative prices but the old level of utility (real income). Thus the difference between qb and qb is purely caused by the new relative prices. This is the substitution effect.
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The difference between qb and qb is due to the change in real income as the relative prices are held constant. This is the income effect. The shift from the old consumption bundle to the intermediate bundle with the same utility is the substitution effect
The income effect is the change from the intermediate bundle to the final bundle
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PRODUCTION FUNCTION Short run Production Function: Short run is the time period in which output can be varied only by changing the variable inputs, like labor. The inputs that remain fixed are called fixed inputs or fixed factors. Short run production function is a relation between inputs and output for a given technology in which output can be varied by changing one factor (say labor) only. All other factors remain fixed. Mathematically Q=f(L),i.e. output is a function of labor. Or output is a function of labor keeping capital constant. Long Run Production Function : Long run is the time period in which distinction between fixed variable inputs disappears. All inputs are variable. So output can be varied by changing all the inputs simultaneously. Long run production function is a relation between inputs output for a given technology in which output can be varied by altering all factor inputs simultaneously. Here, factor ratio remains constant. COBB DOUGLAS PRODUCTION FUNCTION: Difficulties and criticisms Dimensional analysis The CobbDouglas model is criticized by some Austrian economists, such as William Barnett II, on the basis of dimensional analysis. They argue it does not have meaningful or economically reasonable units of measurement unless however, other economists in reply to Barnett have argued that the units used are not fundamentally more unnatural than other units commonly used in physics such as log temperature or distance squared. Lack of micro foundations The CobbDouglas production function was not developed on the basis of any knowledge of engineering, technology, or management of the production process. It was instead developed because it had attractive mathematical characteristics, such as diminishing marginal returns to either factor of production and the property that expenditure on any given input is a
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constant fraction of total cost. Crucially, there are no micro foundations for it. In the modern era, economists try to build models up from individual agents acting, rather than imposing a functional form on an entire economy. However, many modern authors have developed models which give CobbDouglas production function from the micro level; many new Keynesian models, for example. [5] It is nevertheless a mathematical mistake to assume that just because the CobbDouglas function applies at the micro-level, it also always applies at the macro-level. Similarly, it is not necessarily the case that a macro CobbDouglas applies at the disaggregated level.
RETURNS TO SCALE: The laws of returns to scale are often confused with returns to scale. By returns to scale is meant the behavior of production or returns when all productive factors are increased or decreased simultaneously and in the same ratio. When all inputs are changed in the same proportion, we call this as a change in scale of production. The way total output changes due to change in the scale of production is known as returns to scale. Thus, whereas in the short-run change in output is associated with the change in factor proportions, and change in output in the long-run is associated with change in the scale of production. Thus returns to scale is the long- run concept. A layman would perhaps expect that with doubling of all productive factors, the output will also double and with trebling of factors of production, production would also be trebled, and so on. But actually this is not so. In other words, when all inputs are increased in the same proportion, the total product may increase at an increasing rate, or a constant rate or diminishing rate. Accordingly the returns to scale could be increasing, constant, or decreasing. Definition The law of returns to scale describes the relationship between outputs and the scale of inputs in the long-run when all the inputs are increased in the same proportion. According to the Roger Miller, the law of returns to scale refers to the relationship between the changes in output and proportionate change in all factors of production. The firm increases its scale of production by using more space, more machines and laborers (as a input) in the factory, to meet a long-run change in demand. Assumptions:
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All factors (inputs) are variable but enterprise is fixed. A worker works with given tools and implements. Technological changes are absent. There is perfect competition. The product is measured in quantities.
Three different cases Increasing returns to scale Constant returns to scale and Decreasing returns to scale.
Increasing returns to Scale: This situation occurs if a percentage increases in all inputs results in a greater percentage change in output. For e.g. a 10 % increase in all inputs causes a 20% increase in output. By increasing its scale, the firm may be able to use new production methods that were infeasible at the smaller scale. For instance, the firm may utilize sophisticated, highly efficient, large-scale factories. It also may find it advantageous to exploit specialization of labor at the large scale. This is shown in the following example. Inputs (Units) Output (Units) 2 capital +2 Labor 200 4 Capital +4 Labor 500 The table shows that the input is increasing by 100%, on the other hand the output is increased by 150%. This shows the increasing returns to scale. As changes in the output is more than the change in input. Causes of Increasing Returns to scale 1. Indivisibilities: According to economist like Caldor, learner, knight and Joan Robinson, an important cause of indivisibility. Indivisibility means that certain factors are available only in some minimum sizes. Certain inputs particularly machinery, management etc. are available in large and lumpy units. Such inputs cannot be divided into small sizes to suit the small scale of production. For e.g. there cannot be half a machine, half a computer or half a manager. Such inputs have to be employed even if the scale of production is small. Therefore, as the scale of
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production increases, these indivisible factors are utilized better and more efficiently. This leads to increasing returns to scale. 2. Greater Specialization: As the scale of production increases, the efficiency of labor increases due to division of labor and specialization of labor. Similarly, when the scale of production increases, it becomes possible to use specialized machines and the services of specialized and expert management. This results in productivity of inputs leading to increasing returns to scale. According to Prof. Chamberlin returns to scale in the initial stages increases due to the fact that the firm can introduce the specialization of labor and machinery.
Constant returns to Scale Constant returns to Scale: It occurs if a given percentage change in all inputs results in an equal percentage in output. For instance, if all inputs are doubled, output also doubles; a 10% increase in inputs would imply a 10% increase in output; and so on. Under constant returns, the firms inputs are equally productive whether or smaller or larger levels of output are produced. A common example of constant returns to scale occurs when a firm can easily replicate its production process. For, instance a manufacturer of electrical company finds that it can double its output by replicating its current plant and labor force, that is, by building an identical plant beside the old one. Similarly, chain of dry cleaners can increase its volume of service by increasing its number of outlets (with designated number of workers per outlets). So long as all necessary inputs are readily available the firm can increase in proper proportion to inputs via replication, and constant returns to scale will hold. This can be explained in the following example. Inputs (Units) Output (Units) 2 capital +2 Labor 200 4 Capital +4 Labor 400 The above example shows that as the inputs (i.e. labor and capital) increased to 100%, output also increased to 100%. Causes of constant Returns to scale 1. Limits of Economies of scale: Increasing returns to Scale cannot go on indefinitely. There is a limit to these economies of scale When the economies of scale are exhausted and diseconomies are yet to start, there may be a briefs phase of constant returns to scale.
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2. Economies of Scale: It refers to the situation which increases in the scale of production give rise to certain benefits to the producers. 3. Divisibility of Inputs: Constant returns to scale may occur in certain productive activities where the factors of production are perfectly divisible. For example, we may double the output by setting up two plants (factories) which use the same quantity and the same type of workers, machinery, raw materials and other inputs.
Decreasing Returns to scale: It occurs if a given percentage increase in all inputs results in a smaller percentage increase in output. The most common explanation for decreasing Returns involves organization factors in very large firms. As the scale of firms increases, the difficulties in Coordinating and monitoring the many management functions. Coordinating production and distribution of 12 products manufactured in four separate plants typically means incurring additional costs tor management and information systems that would be unnecessary in a firm one-quarter size. As a result, proportional increases in output require more than proportional increases in inputs. The following example will explain decreasing returns to scale. Inputs (Units) Output (Units) 2 capital +2 Labor 200 4 capital +4 Labor 300 The above shows, that inputs ate increases to 100% but the increase output is 50%, which shows that there is decreasing returns to scale. Causes of Decreasing Returns to scale. 1. Complexity of management: Increase in the scale of production on beyond a point may create the problem of proper management, leading to a decrease in managerial efficiency. Large scale of production creates the problem of lack of proper, larger bureaucracy, red tapism, lengthy Chain of Communication and command between the top management and men on the production line. As a consequence of all these, the overall efficiency of management decreases. 2. Entrepreneur is a fixed factor: According to some economist decreasing returns to scale arise because entrepreneur is a fixed and indivisible factor. An increase in scale may come to a point where the abilities and Skills of the entrepreneur may be fully utilized. An increase in the scale beyond this point may decrease the efficiency of the entrepreneur. This gives rise to diseconomies of scale.
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3. Exhaustibility of Natural Resources: Another factor responsible for the diminishing returns in some activities is the limitation of natural sources. For example, if we double the fishing fleet, the number of fish Catch will not double because the availability of fish may decrease when fishing is carried out on an increasing scale. ECONOMIES OF SCALE:
Internal economies: Alfred Marshall made a distinction between internal and external economies of scale. When a company reduces costs and increases production, intern.al economies of scale have been achieved. External economies: External economies of scale occur outside of a firm, within an industry. Thus, when an industry's scope of operations expands due to, for example, the creation of a better transportation network, resulting in a subsequent decrease in cost for a company working within that industry, external economies of scale are said to have been achieved. With external ES, all firms within the industry will benefit. Economies of Scale occur due to: Lower input costs:
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When a company buys inputs in bulk - for example, potatoes used to make French fries at a fast food chain - it can take advantage of volume discounts. Costly inputs: Some inputs, such as research and development, advertising, managerial expertise and skilled labor are expensive, but because of the possibility of increased efficiency with such inputs, they can lead to a decrease in the average cost of production and selling. If a company is able to spread the cost of such inputs over an increase in its production units, ES can be realized. Specialized inputs: As the scale of production of a company increases, a company can employ the use of specialized labor and machinery resulting in greater efficiency. This is because workers would be better qualified for a specific job - for example, someone who only makes French fries - and would no longer be spending extra time learning to do work not within their specialization (making hamburgers or taking a customer's order). Machinery, such as a dedicated French fry maker, would also have a longer life as it would not have to be over and/or improperly used. Techniques and Organizational inputs: With a larger scale of production, a company may also apply better organizational skills to its resources, such as a clear-cut chain of command, while improving its techniques for production and distribution. Thus, behind the counter employees at the fast food chain may be organized according to those taking in-house orders and those dedicated to drive-thru customers.
Learning inputs: Similar to improved organization and technique, with time, the learning processes related to production, selling and distribution can result in improved efficiency - practice makes perfect! Diseconomies of scale occur due to: As we mentioned before, diseconomies may also occur. They could stem from inefficient managerial or labor policies, over-hiring or deteriorating transportation networks (external DS). Furthermore, as a company's scope increases, it may have to distribute its goods and services in progressively more dispersed areas. This can actually increase average costs resulting in diseconomies of scale
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Internal economies of scale are a product of how efficient a firm is at producing; they are those economies of scale which a firm has direct control over. They relate to the change in average production cost for a firm as it increases its total output. As output increases, the average cost per unit will fall until the firm reaches its minimum efficient scale, where the firm has maximized its efficiency in production and any additional unit will cause the average cost to rise. In such, a firm in a competitive market will hypothetically produce at its Minimum Efficient Scale (MES); a point where its long run average total cost is the lowest An example of a firm utilizing internal economies of scale is when a company is cut in size but the remaining firms still hold the same amount of final output. Therefore the company has become more efficient in production and has experienced internal economies of scale. Six main types of internal economies of scale can be defined. 1. Technical economies. They are found mostly in plants and arise mostly because neither the capital cost nor the running cost of plants increase in proportion to their size. The main idea is to spread the fixed costs over as large output as possible, so Average Fixed Cost decreases. 2. Managerial or administrative economies It arises because the same people can usually manage with bigger output, so average administrative cost decreases when production increases. Large firms can employ specialists, which leads to the increase in efficiency. 3. Financial economies It arises because e.g. the interest rate for getting a loan is higher for smaller firm that for larger one. This is because large firms have large assets and banks trust them more. It is also relatively easier for large firms to raise their share-capital by issuing shares.
4. Marketing economies. They are available both in purchases of raw material and in selling of the product. A large firm may have a bulk discount when purchasing raw materials. In terms of promotion, to large firms the average cost is smaller, because the prices of advertisements are the same for all firms; hence the large firms can afford costs of sales promotion without causing much difference in their profit shares.
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5. Social economies. They may be developed into two groups: those that build up the goodwill of the community and so attract customer (sponsorship), and those that develop the loyalty of the firm's employers (Christmas bonuses) 6. Risk-bearing economies. They are the firm's ability to bear losses. If one part of the company has a loss, other parts of the company can support it. If the company sustains a loss, it has enough capital to overcome it. Dis- economies of scale can be internal and external. Internal diseconomies of scale are 1. Technical 2.Managerial 3.Commercial 4.Financial and risk bearing. These diseconomies arise due internal situation. EXTERNAL ECONOMIES OF SCALE: External Economies of Scale are the benefits that a firm gains from being located in the same area as other similar industries. These include: 1. Close-by suppliers reduces deliver times and transport costs. 2. There is a pool of labour with specialist skills that the industry needs. 3. Specialist training courses developed by local colleges to meet industry needs. 4. Other specialist services may develop (e.g. machine repair, delivery firms etc.) 5. If an area has a good name for high quality goods, firms will benefit from that reputation. 6. Firms co-operate to promote the industry. They may even form trade associations or joint research from which they can all gain.
External diseconomies arises due to outside situations i.e. expansions of the industry. 1. Cheaper raw materials and capital equipment 2.Technological
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3.Skilled labor development 4.Growth of ancillary industries 5.and better transportation and marketing facilities
COST ANALYSIS: Opportunity cost: It may be defined as the expected returns from the second best use of the resources which are forgone due to the scarcity of resources. Actual cost: The total money expenses recording in the books of accounts Business cost: Business cost includes all the expenses which are incurred to carry out a business. Full cost: It includes business cost, opportunity and normal profit Explicit cost: Explicit costs are those costs which fall under actual or business costs entered in the books of accounts. Implicit cost: Implicit cost do not take the form of cash outlays Out of pocket cost: The items of expenditure which involve cash payments or cash transfer are known as out of pocket costs. Book cost: Book cost which are entered in the books of accounts Fixed cost: Fixed cost are those which are fixed in volume for a certain given Output/scale of production. Variable cost: Variable cost are those which vary according to the level of production Marginal cost: It is the addition to total cost due to the addition of one unit of output.
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Short run cost: Short run cost are those cost which vary according to the variation in output Incremental cost: It arises due to change in scale of production, introduction of a new product and Replacement of a worn out plant and machinery. Sunk cost: Sunk costs are those cost which cannot be changed. Historical cost: It includes all the past expenditure incurred for the production of goods and services. Replacement cost: It refers to the outlay which has to be made for replacing an old asset. Private cost: Private costs are those which are incurred by an individual/firm on the purchase of goods and services from the market. Private cost =explicit cost +implicit cost Social cost: It is the total cost borne by the society due to production of a commodity. Short run cost function:- The short run is defined as a period of time in which output of a firm can be increased or decreased by changing the amt of variable factors such as labor, raw materials, chemicals, fuel etc Total fixed & variable cost in the short run:- Total Fixed cost:- Fixed costs are those which are independent of output, i.e. they do not change with changes in output. Even if the firm closes down for some time in the short run but remains in business these costs have to be borne by it. EXAMPLE: - charges such as contractual rent, insurance fee, maintenance cost, property tax, interest on the borrowed, funds etc
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Average variable cost: Average variable cost is the total variable cost divided by no. of units of output produced.
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AVC = TVC/Q Average variable cost the variable cost per unit of output. Average Total cost: Average Total cost or simply what is called average cost is the total cost divided by number of unit of output produced. ATC = Total cost / Output.
The marginal cost curve (MC) A marginal cost that graphically represents the relation between marginal cost incurred by a firm in the short-run product of a good or service and the quantity of output produced. This curve is constructed to capture the relation between marginal cost and the level of output, holding other variables, like technology and resource prices, constant. The marginal cost curve is U-shaped. Marginal cost is relatively high at small quantities of output, then as
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production increases, declines, reaches a minimum value, then rises. The marginal cost is shown in relation to marginal revenue, the incremental amount of sales that an additional product or service will bring to the firm. This shape of the marginal cost curve is directly attributable to increasing, then decreasing marginal returns (and the law of diminishing marginal returns -Diminishing returns). Marginal cost equal w/MPL. For most production processes the marginal product of labor initially rises, reaches a maximum value and then continuously falls as production increases. Thus marginal cost initially falls, reaches a minimum value and then increases.
LongRun Costs Long-run average total cost curve. In the short-run, some factors of production are fixed. Corresponding to each different level of fixed factors, there will be a different short-run average total cost curve ( SATC). The average total cost curve is just one of many SATCs that can be obtained by varying the amount of the fixed factor, in this case, the amount of capital. Long-run average total cost curve. In the long-run, all factors of production are variable, and hence, all costs are variable. The long-run average total cost curve ( LATC) is found by varying the amount of all factors of production. However, because each SATC corresponds to a different level of the fixed factors of production, the LATC can be constructed by taking the lower envelope of all the SATCs, as is illustrated in Figure 1
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Figure 1 Short- and long-run average total cost curves
The LATC is shown to be tangent to each of five different SATCs, labeled SATC 1 through SATC 5 . In general, there will be a large number of SATCs, each of which corresponds to a different level of the fixed factors the firm can employ in the short-run. Because there is such a large number of SATCsmore than just the five illustrated in Figure 1 the lower envelope of all the SATCs, which makes up the LATC, can be approximated by a smooth, U-shaped curve. Economies of scale. The U-shape of the LATC, depicted in Figure 1 , reflects the changing costs of production that the firm faces in the long-run as it varies the level of its factors of production and hence the level of its output. At low levels of output, a firm can usually increase its output at a rate that exceeds the rate at which it increases its factor inputs. When this situation occurs, the firm's average total costs are falling, and the firm is said to be experiencing economies of scale. At higher levels of output, the firm may find that its output increases at the same rate at which it increases its factor inputs. In this case, the firm's average total costs remain constant, and the firm is said to experience constant returns to scale. At even higher output levels, the firm's output will tend to increase at a rate that is below the rate at which it increases its factor inputs. In this situation, average total costs are rising, and the firm is said to experience Diseconomies of scale. The firm's minimum efficient scale is the level of output at which economies of scale end and constant returns to scale begin.
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PRODUCTION FUNCTION
Production process involves the transformation of inputs into output. The inputs could be land, labour, capital, entrepreneurship etc. and the output could be goods or services. In a production process managers take four types of decisions: (a) whether to produce or not, (b) how much output to produce, (c) what input combination to use, and (d) what type of technology to use. Suppose we want to produce apples. We need land, seedlings, fertilizer, water, labour, and some machinery. These are called inputs or factors of production. The output is apples. In general a given output can be produced with different combinations of inputs. A production function is the functional relationship between inputs and output. It shows the maximum output which can be obtained for a given combination of inputs. It expresses the technological relationship between inputs and output of a product. In general, we can represent the production function for a firm as: Q =f (x1, x2, .,xn) Where Q is the maximum quantity of output, x1, x2, .,xn are the quantities of various inputs, and f stands for functional relationship between inputs and output. For the sake of clarity, let us restrict our attention to only one product produced using either one input or two inputs. If there are only two inputs, capital (K) and labour (L), we write the production function as: Q =f (L, K) This function defines the maximum rate of output (Q) obtainable for a given rate of capital and labour input. It may be noted here that outputs may be tangible like computers, television sets, etc., or it may be intangible like education, medical care, etc. Similarly, the inputs may be other than capital and labour. Also, the principles discussed in this unit apply to situations with more than two inputs as well. Economic Efficiency and Technical Efficiency We say that a firm is technically efficient when it obtains maximum level of output from any given combination of inputs. The production function incorporates the technically efficient method of production. A producer cannot decrease one input and at the same time maintain the output at the same level without increasing one or more inputs. When economists use production
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functions, they assume that the maximum output is obtained from any given combination of inputs. That is, they assume that production is technically efficient. On the other hand, we say a firm is economically efficient, when it produces a given amount of output at the lowest possible cost for a combination of inputs provided that the prices of inputs are given. Therefore, when only input combinations are given, we deal with the problem of technical efficiency; that is, how to produce maximum output. On the other hand, when input prices are also given in addition to the combination of inputs, we deal with the problem of economic efficiency; that is, how to produce a given amount of output at the lowest possible cost. One has to be careful while interpreting whether a production process is efficient or inefficient. Certainly a production process can be called efficient if another process produces the same level of output using one or more inputs, other things remaining constant. However, if a production process uses less of some inputs and more of others, the economically efficient method of producing a given level of output depends on the prices of inputs. Even when two production processes are technically efficient, one process may be economically efficient under one set of input prices, while the other production process may be economically efficient at other input prices. Let us take an example to differentiate between technical efficiency and economic efficiency. An ABC company is producing readymade garments using cotton fabric in a certain production process. It is found that 10 percent of fabric is wasted in that process. An engineer suggested that the wastage of fabric can be eliminated by modifying the present production process. To this suggestion, an economist reacted differently saying that if the cost of wasted fabric is less than that of modifying production process then it may not be economically efficient to modify the production process. Short Run and Long Run All inputs can be divided into two categories: i) fixed inputs and ii) variable inputs. A fixed input is one whose quantity cannot be varied during the time under consideration. The time period will vary depending on the circumstances. Although any input may be varied no matter how short the time interval, the cost involved in augmenting the amount of certain inputs is enormous; so as to make quick variation impractical. Such inputs are classified as fixed and include plant and equipment of the firm.
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On the other hand, a variable input is one whose amount can be changed during the relevant period. For example, in the construction business the number of workers can be increased or decreased on short notice. Many builder firms employ workers on a daily wage basis and frequent change in the number of workers is made depending upon the need. The amount of milk that goes in the production of butter can be altered quickly and easily and is thus classified as a variable input in the production process. Whether or not an input is fixed or variable depends upon the time period involved. The longer the length of the time period under consideration, the more likely it is that the input will be variable and not fixed. Economists find it convenient to distinguish between the short run and the long run. The short run is defined to be that period of time when some of the firms inputs are fixed. Since it is most difficult to change plant and equipment among all inputs, the short run is generally accepted as the time interval over which the firms plant and equipment remain fixed. In contrast, the long run is that period over which all the firms inputs are variable. In other words, the firm has the flexibility to adjust or change its environment. Production processes of firms generally permit a variation in the proportion in which inputs are used. In the long run, input proportions can be varied considerably. For example, at Maruti Udyog Limited, an automobile dye can be made on conventional machine tools with more labour and less expensive equipment, or it can be made on numerically controlled machine tools with less labour and more expensive equipment i.e. the amount of labour and amount of equipment used can be varied. On the other hand, there are very few production processes in which inputs have to be combined in fixed proportions. Consider, Ranbaxy or Smith-Kline-Beecham or any other pharmaceutical firm. In order to produce a drug, the firm may have to use a fixed amount of aspirin per 10 gm of the drug. Even in this case a certain (although small) amount of variation in the proportion of aspirin may be permissible. If, on the other hand, no flexibility in the ratio of inputs is possible, the technology is described as fixed proportion type. We refer to this extreme case later in this unit, but as should be apparent, it is extremely rare in practice.
PRODUCTION FUNCTION WITH ONE VARIABLE INPUT Consider the simplest two input production process - where one input with a fixed quantity and the other input with is variable quantity. Suppose that the fixed input is the service
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Number of workers (L) Total output (TP) (thousands per year) (Q) Marginal product (MP = W Q/W L) Average product (AP = Q/L)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
10
28
54
76
90
96
96
92
10
18
26
22
14
6
0
4
10
14
18
19
18
16
13.5
11.5 of machine tools, the variable input is labour, and the output is a metal part. The production function in this case can be represented as: Q =f (K, L) Where Q is output of metal parts, K is service of five machine tools (fixed input), and L is labour (variable input). The variable input can be combined with the fixed input to produce different levels of output. Total, Average, and Marginal Products The production function given above shows us the maximum total product (TP) that can be obtained using different combinations of quantities of inputs. Suppose the metal parts company decides to know the output level for different input levels of labour using fixed five machine tools. Table 7.1 explains the total output for different levels of variable input. In this example, the TP rises with increase in labour up to a point (six workers), becomes constant between sixth and seventh workers, and then declines. Table 7.1: Total, Average and Marginal Products of labour (with fixed capital at five machine tools)
Two other important concepts are the average product (AP) and the marginal product (MP) of an input. The AP of an input is the TP divided by the amount of input used to produce this amount of output. Thus AP is the output-input ratio for each level of variable input usage. The MP of an input is the addition to TP resulting from the addition of one unit of input, when
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the amounts of other inputs are constant. In our example of machine parts production process, the AP of labour is the TP divided by the number of workers. AP L =Q/L As shown in Table 7.1, the AP first rises, reaches maximum at 19, and then declines thereafter. Similarly, the MP of labour is the additional output attributable to using one additional worker with use of other input (service of five machine tools) fixed. MP =W Q/ W L Where W means the change in. For example, from Table 7.1 for MP4 (marginal product of 4th worker) WQ =7654 =22 and WL =43 =1. Therefore, MP =(22/1) =22. Note that although the MP first increases with addition of workers, it declines later and for the addition of 8th worker it becomes negative (4).
Figure 7.1: Relationship between TP, MP, and AP curves and the three stages of production
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The graphical presentation of total, average, and marginal products for our example of machine parts production process is shown in Figure 7.1. Relationship between TP, MP and AP Curves Examine Table 7.1 and its graphical presentation in Figure 7.1. We can establish the following relationship between TP, MP, and AP curves. 1a) If MP >0, TP will be rising as L increases. The TP curve begins at the origin, increases at an increasing rate over the range 0 to 3, and then increases at a decreasing rate. The MP reaches a maximum at 3, which corresponds to an inflection point (x) on the TP curve. At the inflection point, the TP curve changes from increasing at an increasing rate to increasing at a decreasing rate. b) If MP =0, TP will be constant as L increases. The TP is constant between workers 6 and 7. c) If MP <0, TP will be declining as L increases. The TP declines beyond 7. Also, the TP curve reaches a maximum when MP =0 and then starts declining when MP <0. 2. MP intersects AP (MP =AP) at the maximum point on the AP curve. This occurs at labour input rate 4.5. Also, observe that whenever MP >AP, the AP is rising (upto number of workers 4.5) it makes no difference whether MP is rising or falling. When MP <AP (from number of workers 4.5), the AP is falling. Therefore, the intersection must occur at the maximum point of AP. It is important to understand why. The key is that AP increases as long as the MP is greater than AP. And AP decreases as long as MP is less than AP. Since AP is positively or negatively sloped depending on whether MP is above or below AP, it follows that MP =AP at the highest point on the AP curve. This relationship between MP and AP is not unique to economics. Consider a cricket batsman, say Sachin Tendulkar, who is averaging 50 runs in 10 innings. In his next innings he scores a 100. His marginal score is 100 and his average will now be above 50. More precisely, it is 54 i.e. (50 * 10 +100) / (10+1) =600/11. This means when the marginal score is above the
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average, the average must increase. In case he had scored zero, his marginal score would be below the average, and his average would fall to 45.5 i.e. 500/11 is 45.45. Only if he had scored 50 would the average remain constant, and the marginal score would be equal to the average. The Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns The slope of the MP curve in Figure 7.1 illustrates an important principle, the law of diminishing marginal returns. As the number of units of the variable input increases, the other inputs held constant (fixed), there exists a point beyond which the MP of the variable input declines. Table 7.1 illustrates this law. Observe that MP was increasing up to the addition of 4th worker (input); beyond this the MP decreases. What this law says is that MP may rise or stay constant for some time, but as we keep increasing the units of variable input, MP should start falling. It may keep falling and turn negative, or may stay positive all the time. Consider another example for clarity. Single application of fertilizers may increase the output by 50%, a second application by another 30% and the third by 20% and so on. However, if you were to apply fertilizer five to six times in a year, the output may drop to zero. Three things should be noted concerning the law of diminishing marginal returns. 1. This law is an empirical generalization, not a deduction from physical or biological laws. 2. It is assumed that technology remains fixed. The law of diminishing marginal returns cannot predict the effect of an additional unit of input when technology is allowed to change. 3. It is assumed that there is at least one input whose quantity is being held constant (fixed). In other words, the law of diminishing marginal returns does not apply to cases where all inputs are variable. Stages of Production Based on the behaviour of MP and AP, economists have classified production into three stages: Stage 1: MP >0, AP rising. Thus, MP >AP. Stage 2: MP >0, but AP is falling. MP <AP but TP is increasing (because MP >0). Stage 3: MP <0. In this case TP is falling. These results are illustrated in Figure 7.1. No profit-maximizing producer would produce in stages I or III. In stage I, by adding one more unit of labour, the producer can increase the AP of all units. Thus, it would be unwise on the part of the producer to stop the production in this
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stage. As for stage III, it does not pay the producer to be in this region because by reducing the labour input the total output can be increased and the cost of a unit of labour can be saved. Thus, the economically meaningful range is given by stage II. In Figure 7.1 at the point of inflection (x), we saw earlier that MP is maximised. At point y, since AP is maximized, we have AP =MP. At point z, TP reaches a maximum. Thus, MP =0 at this point. If the variable input is free then the optimum level of output is at point z where TP is maximized. However, in practice no input will be freely available. The producer has to pay a price for it. Suppose the producer pays Rs. 200 per worker per day and the price of a unit of output (say one apple) is Rs. 10. In this case the producer will keep on hiring additional workers as long as (Price of a unit of output) * (marginal product of labour) >(price of a unit of labour) That is, marginal revenue of product (MRP) of labour >P Production Function L On a similar analogy, (price of a unit of output) * (marginal product of capital) >(price of a unit of capital) That is, marginal revenue of product (MRP) of capital >P The left side denotes the increase in revenue and the right side denotes the increase in the cost of adding one more unit of labour. As long as the increment to revenues exceeds the increment to costs, the profit of the producer will increase. As we increase the units of labour, we see that MP diminishes. We assume that the prices of inputs and output do not change. In this case, as MP declines, revenues will start falling, and a point will come when the increase in revenue equals the increase in cost. At this point the producer will stop adding more units of input. With further addition, since MP declines, the additional revenues would be less than the additional costs, and the profit of the producer would decline. Thus, profit maximization implies that a producer with no control over prices will increase the use of an input until Value of marginal product (MP) =Price of a unit of variable input. PRODUCTION FUNCTION WITH TWO VARIABLE INPUTS Now we turn to the case of production where two inputs (say capital and labour) are variable. Although, we restrict our analysis to two variable inputs, all of the results hold for more than two also. We are restricting our analysis to two variable inputs because it simply allows us the scope for graphical analysis. When analysing production with more than one variable input, we cannot simply use sets of AP and MP curves like those discussed in section
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7.3, because these curves were derived holding the use of all other inputs fixed and letting the use of only one input vary. If we change the level of fixed input, the TP, AP and MP curves would shift. In the case of two variable inputs, changing the use of one input would cause a shift in the MP and AP curves of the other input. For example, an increase in capital would probably result in an increase in the MP of labour over a wide range of labour use. Production Isoquants In Greek the word iso means equal or same. A production isoquant (equal output curve) is the locus of all those combinations of two inputs which yields a given level of output. With two variable inputs, capital and labour, the isoquant gives the different combinations of capital and labour, that produces the same level of output. For example, 5 units of output can be produced using either 15 units of capital (K) or 2 units of labour (L) or K=10 and L=3 or K=5 and L=5 or K=3 and L=7. These four combinations of capital and labour are four points on the isoquant associated with 5 units of output as shown in Figure 7.2. And if we assume that capital and labour are continuously divisible, there would be many more combinations on this isoquant. Now let us assume that capital, labour, and output are continuously divisible in order to set forth the typically assumed characteristics of isoquants. Figure 7.3 illustrates three such isoquants. Isoquant I show all the combinations of capital and labour that will produce 10 units of output. According to this isoquant, it is possible to obtain this output if K units of capital and L units of labour inputs are used. Alternately, this output can also be obtained if K units of capital and L units of labour inputs or K units of capital and L units of labour are used. Similarly, isoquant II shows the various combinations of capital and labour that can be used to produce 15 units of output. Isoquant III shows all combinations that can produce 20 units of output. Each capital- labour combination can be on only one isoquant. That is, isoquants cannot intersect. These isoquants are only three of an infinite number of isoquants that could be drawn. A group of isoquants is called an isoquant map. In an isoquant map, all isoquants lying above and to the right of a given isoquant indicate higher levels of output. Thus, in Figure 7.3 isoquant II indicates a higher level of output than isoquant I, and isoquant III indicates a higher level of output than isoquant II. Figure 7.2: Production Isoquant: This isoquant shows various combinations of capital and labour inputs that can produce 5 units of output.
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0
Figure 7.3: Isoquant Map: These isoquants shows various combinations of capital and labour inputs that can produce 10, 15, and 20 units of output.
In general, isoquants are determined in the following way. First, a rate of output, say Q, is specified. Hence the production function can be written as = f (K,L) Those combinations of K and L that satisfy this equation define the isoquant for output rate Q .
Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution As we have seen above, generally there are a number of ways (combinations of inputs)
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that a particular output can be produced. The rate, at which one input can be substituted for another input, if output remains constant, is called the marginal rate of technical substitution (MRTS). It is defined in case of two inputs, capital and labour, as the amount of capital that can be replaced by an extra unit of labour, without affecting total output. MRTS for K = K L L It is customary to define the MRTS as a positive number, since WK/WL, the slope of the isoquant, is negative. Over the relevant range of production the MRTS diminishes. That is, more and more labour is substituted for capital while holding output constant, the absolute value of WK/WL decreases. For example, let us assume that 10 pairs of shoes can be produced using either 8 units of capital and 2 units of labour or 4 units each of capital and of labour or 2 units of capital and 8 units of labour. From Figure 7.4 the MRTS of labour for capital between points a and b is equal to WK/WL =(48) / (42) =4/2 =2 or | 2 |. Between points b and c, the MRTS is equal to 2/4 = or | |. The MRTS has decreased because capital and labour are not perfect substitutes for each other. Therefore, as more of labour is added, less of capital can be used (in exchange for another unit of labour) while keeping the output level constant. Figure 7.4: Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution
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There is a simple relationship between MRTS of labour for capital and the marginal product MP and MP of capital and labour respectively. Since along an isoquant, the level of output remains the same, if WL units of labour are substituted for WK units of capital, the increase in output due to WL units of labour (namely, WL * MPL) should match the decrease in output due to a decrease of WK units of capital (namely, WK * MPK). In other words, along an isoquant, WL * MPL =WK * MPk which is equal to K= L However, as we have seen earlier WK/WL is equal to MRTSL for K, and hence, we get the following expression for MRTS of L for K as the ratio of the corresponding marginal products. MRTSL for K =MP L MP K There are vast differences among inputs in how readily they can be substituted for one another. For example, in some extreme production process, one input can perfectly be substituted for another; whereas in some other extreme production process no substitution is possible. On the other hand, in most of the production processes what we see is imperfect substitution of inputs. These three general shapes that an isoquant might have are shown in Figure 7.5. In panel I, the isoquants are right angles implying that the two inputs a and b must be used in fixed proportion and they are not at all substitutable. For instance, there is no substitution possible between the tyres and a battery in an automobile production process. The MRTS in all such cases would, therefore, be zero. The other extreme case would be where the inputs a and b are perfect substitutes as shown in panel II. The isoquants in this category will be a straight line with constant slope or MRTS. A good example of this type would be natural gas and fuel oil, which are close substitutes in energy production. The most common situation is presented in panel III. The inputs are imperfect substitutes in this case and the rate at which input a can be given up in return for one more unit of input b keeping the output constant diminishes as the amount of input b increases.
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Figure 7.5: Three General Types of Shapes of Isoquants
The Economic Region of Production Isoquants may also have positively sloped segments, or bend back upon themselves, as shown in Figure 7.6. Above OA and below OB, the slope of the isoquants is positive, which implies that increase in both capital and labour are required to maintain a certain output rate. If this is the case, the MP of one or other input must be negative. Above OA, the MP of capital is negative. Thus output will increase if less capital is used, while the amount of labour is held constant. Below OB, the MP of labour is negative. Thus, output will increase if less labour is used, while the amount of capital is held constant. The lines OA and OB are called ridge lines. And the region bounded by these ridge
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lines is called economic region of production. This means the region of production beyond the ridge lines is economically inefficient.
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Figure 7.6: Economic Region of Production
THE OPTIMAL COMBINATION OF INPUTS In the above section you have learned that any desired level of output can be produced using a number of different combinations of inputs. As said earlier in the introduction of this unit one of the decision problems that concerns a production process manager is, which input combination to use. That is, what is the optimal input combination? While all the input combinations are technically efficient, the final decision to employ a particular input combination is purely an economic decision and rests on cost (expenditure). Thus, the production manager can make either of the following two input choice decisions: 1. Choose the input combination that yields the maximum level of output with a given level of expenditure. 2. Choose the input combination that leads to the lowest cost of producing a given level of output. Thus, the decision is to minimize cost subject to an output constraint or maximize the output subject to a cost constraint. We will now discuss these two fundamental principles. Before doing this we will introduce the concept isocost, which shows all combinations of inputs that can be used for a given cost.
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Isocost Lines Recall that a universally accepted objective of any firm is to maximise profit. If the firm maximises profit, it will necessarily minimise cost for producing a given level of output or maximise output for a given level of cost. Suppose there are 2 inputs: capital (K) and labour (L) that are variable in the relevant time period. What combination of (K,L) should the firm choose in order to maximise output for a given level of cost? If there are 2 inputs, K,L, then given the price of capital (P ) and the price of labour (P ), it is possible to determine the alternative combinations of (K,L) that can be purchased for a given level of expenditure. Suppose C is total expenditure, then C=P * L +P * K This linear function can be plotted on a graph. If only capital is purchased, then the maximum amount that can be bought is C/Pk shown by point A in figure 7.7. If only labour is purchased, then the maximum amount of labour that can be purchased is C/PL shown by point B in the figure. The 2 points A and B can be joined by a straight line. This straight line is called the isocost line or equal cost line. It shows the alternative combinations of (K,L) that can be purchased for the given expenditure level C. Any point to the right and above the isocost is not attainable as it involves a level of expenditure greater than C and any point to the left and below the isocost such as P is attainable, although it implies the firm is spending less than C. You should verify that the slope of the isocost is1
EXAMPLE: Consider the following data: PL =10, Pk =20 Total Expenditure =200. Let us first plot the various combinations of K and L that are possible. We consider only the case when the firm spends the entire budget of
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200. The alternative combinations are shown in the figure (7.8). Figure 7.8: Shifting of Isocost
The slope of this isocost is . What will happen if labour becomes more expensive say P increases to 20? Obviously with the same budget the firm can now purchase lesser units of labour. The isocost still meets the Yaxis at point A (because the price of capital is unchanged), but shifts inwards in the direction of the arrow to meet the X-axis at point C. The slope therefore changes to 1. You should work out the effect on the isocost curve on the following: (i) Decrease in the price of labour (ii) Increase in the price of capital (iii) Decrease in the price of capital (iv) Increase in the firms budget with no change in the price of labour and capital [Hint: The slope of the isocost will not change in this case]
Optimal Combination of Inputs: The Long Run When both capital and labour are variable, determining the optimal input rates of capital and labour requires the technical information from the production function i.e. the isoquants be combined with market data on input prices i.e. the isocost function. If we superimpose the relevant isocost curve on the firms isoquant map, we can readily determine graphically as to which combination of inputs maximise the output for a given level of expenditure. Consider the problem of minimising the cost of a given rate of output. Specifically if the firm wants to produce 50 units of output at minimum cost. Two production isoquants have been drawn in Figure 7.9. Three possible combinations (amongst a number of more combinations) are indicated by points A, Z and B in Figure 7.9. Obviously, the firm should pick the point on the
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lower isocost i.e point Z. In fact, Z is the minimum cost combination of capital and labour. At Z the isocost is tangent to the 50 unit isoquant. Alternatively, consider the problem of maximising output subject to a given cost amount. You should satisfy yourself that among all possible output levels, the maximum amount will be represented by the isoquant that is tangent to the relevant isocost line. Suppose the budget of the firm increases to the amount shown by the higher of the two isocost lines in Figure 7.9, point Q or 100 units of output is the maximum attainable given the new cost constraint in Figure 7.9. Figure 7.9: Optimal combination of inputs
Regardless of the production objective, efficient production requires that the isoquant be tangent to the isocost function. If the problem is to maximise output, subject to a cost constraint or to minimise cost for a given level of output, the same efficiency condition holds true in both situations. Intuitively, if it is possible to substitute one input for another to keep output constant while reducing total cost, the firm is not using the least cost combination of inputs. In such a situation, the firm should substitute one input for another. For example, if an extra rupee spent on capital generates more output than an extra rupee spent on labour, then more capital and less labour should be employed. At point Q in Figure 7.9, the marginal product of capital per rupee spent on capital is equal to the marginal product of labour per rupee spent on labour. Mathematically this can be shown as
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Whenever the 2 sides of the above equation are not equal, there are possibilities that input substitutions will reduce costs. Let us work with numbers. Suppose PL =10, Pk =20, MPL =50 and MPk =40. Thus, we have 50 / 10 >40/ 20. This cannot be an efficient input combination, because the firm is getting more output per rupee spent on labour than on capital. If one unit of capital is sold to obtain 2 units of labour (Pk =20, PL =10), net increase in output will be 602. Thus the substitution of labour for capital would result in a net increase in output at no additional cost. The inefficient combination corresponds to a point such as A in Figure 7.9. At that point two much capital is employed. The firm, in order to maximize profits will move down the isocost line by substituting labour for capital until it reaches point Q. Conversely, at a point such as B in figure 7.9 the reverse is true - there is too much labour and the inequality will hold This means that the firm generates more output per rupee spent on capital than from rupees spent on labour. Thus a profit maximising firm should substitute capital for labour. Suppose the firm was operating at point B in Figure 7.9. If the problem is to minimize cost for a given level of output (B is on the isoquant that corresponds to 50 units of output), the firm should move from B to Z along the 50-unit isoquant thereby reducing cost, while maintaining output at 50. Alternatively, if the firm wants to maximize output for given cost, it should more from B to Q, where the isocost is tangent to the 100-unit isoquant. In this case output will increase from 50 to 100 at no additional cost. Thus both the following decisions: (a) the input combination that yields the maximum level of output with a given level of expenditure, and (b) the input combination that leads to the lowest cost of producing a given level of output are satisfied at point Q in Figure 7.9. You should be satisfied that this is indeed the case. The isocost-isoquant framework described above lends itself to various applications. It demonstrates, simply and elegantly, when relative prices of inputs change, managers will respond by substituting the input that has become relatively less expensive for the input that has become relatively more expensive. On average, we know that compared to developed countries like the US, UK, Japan and Germany, labour in India is less expensive. It is not surprising therefore to find production techniques that on average, use more labour per unit of capital in India than in the developed world. For example, in construction activity you see around you in your city, inexpensive workers do the job that in developed countries is performed by machines.
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One application of the isocost-isoquant framework frequently cited is the response of industry to the rapidly rising prices of energy products in the 1970s. (Remember the oil price shock of 1973 and again of 1979). Most prices of petrol and petroleum products increased across the world, and as our analysis suggests, firms responded by conserving energy by substituting other inputs for energy. RETURNS TO SCALE Another important attribute of production function is how output responds in the long run to changes in the scale of the firm i.e. when all inputs are increased in the same proportion (by say 10%), how does output change. Clearly, there are 3 possibilities. If output increases by more than an increase in inputs (i.e. by more than 10%), then the situation is one of increasing returns to scale (IRS). If output increases by less than the increase in inputs, then it is a case of decreasing returns to scale (DRS). Lastly, output may increase by exactly the same proportion as inputs. For example a doubling of inputs may lead to a doubling of output. This is a case of constant returns to scale (CRS).
Isoquants can also be used to depict returns to scale (Figure 7.10)
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Panel A shows constant returns to scale. Three isoquants with output levels 50,100 and 150 are drawn. In the figure, successive isoquants are equidistant from one another along the ray 0Z. Panel B shows increasing returns to scale, where the distance between 2 isoquants becomes less and less i.e. in order to double output from 50 to 100, input increase is less than double. The explanation for panel C, which exhibits decreasing returns to scale, is analogous. There is no universal answer to which industries will show what kind of returns to scale. Some industries like public utilities (Telecom and Electricity generation) show increasing returns over large ranges of output, whereas other industries exhibit constant or even decreasing returns to scale over the relevant output range. Therefore, whether an industry has constant, increasing or decreasing returns to scale is largely an empirical issue.
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PRODUCTION FUNCTION
Production process involves the transformation of inputs into output. The inputs could be land, labour, capital, entrepreneurship etc. and the output could be goods or services. In a production process managers take four types of decisions: (a) whether to produce or not, (b) how much output to produce, (c) what input combination to use, and (d) what type of technology to use. Suppose we want to produce apples. We need land, seedlings, fertilizer, water, labour, and some machinery. These are called inputs or factors of production. The output is apples. In general a given output can be produced with different combinations of inputs. A production function is the functional relationship between inputs and output. It shows the maximum output which can be obtained for a given combination of inputs. It expresses the technological relationship between inputs and output of a product. In general, we can represent the production function for a firm as: Q =f (x1, x2, .,xn) Where Q is the maximum quantity of output, x1, x2, .,xn are the quantities of various inputs, and f stands for functional relationship between inputs and output. For the sake of clarity, let us restrict our attention to only one product produced using either one input or two inputs. If there are only two inputs, capital (K) and labour (L), we write the production function as: Q =f (L, K) This function defines the maximum rate of output (Q) obtainable for a given rate of capital and labour input. It may be noted here that outputs may be tangible like computers, television sets, etc., or it may be intangible like education, medical care, etc. Similarly, the inputs may be other than capital and labour. Also, the principles discussed in this unit apply to situations with more than two inputs as well. Economic Efficiency and Technical Efficiency We say that a firm is technically efficient when it obtains maximum level of output from any given combination of inputs. The production function incorporates the technically efficient method of production. A producer cannot decrease one input and at the same time maintain the output at the same level without increasing one or more inputs. When economists use production
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functions, they assume that the maximum output is obtained from any given combination of inputs. That is, they assume that production is technically efficient.
On the other hand, we say a firm is economically efficient, when it produces a given amount of output at the lowest possible cost for a combination of inputs provided that the prices of inputs are given. Therefore, when only input combinations are given, we deal with the problem of technical efficiency; that is, how to produce maximum output. On the other hand, when input prices are also given in addition to the combination of inputs, we deal with the problem of economic efficiency; that is, how to produce a given amount of output at the lowest possible cost. One has to be careful while interpreting whether a production process is efficient or inefficient. Certainly a production process can be called efficient if another process produces the same level of output using one or more inputs, other things remaining constant. However, if a production process uses less of some inputs and more of others, the economically efficient method of producing a given level of output depends on the prices of inputs. Even when two production processes are technically efficient, one process may be economically efficient under one set of input prices, while the other production process may be economically efficient at other input prices. Let us take an example to differentiate between technical efficiency and economic efficiency. An ABC company is producing readymade garments using cotton fabric in a certain production process. It is found that 10 percent of fabric is wasted in that process. An engineer suggested that the wastage of fabric can be eliminated by modifying the present production process. To this suggestion, an economist reacted differently saying that if the cost of wasted fabric is less than that of modifying production process then it may not be economically efficient to modify the production process. Short Run and Long Run All inputs can be divided into two categories: i) fixed inputs and ii) variable inputs. A fixed input is one whose quantity cannot be varied during the time under consideration. The time period will vary depending on the circumstances. Although any input may be varied no matter how short the time interval, the cost involved in augmenting the amount of certain inputs is
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enormous; so as to make quick variation impractical. Such inputs are classified as fixed and include plant and equipment of the firm. On the other hand, a variable input is one whose amount can be changed during the relevant period. For example, in the construction business the number of workers can be increased or decreased on short notice. Many builder firms employ workers on a daily wage basis and frequent change in the number of workers is made depending upon the need. The amount of milk that goes in the production of butter can be altered quickly and easily and is thus classified as a variable input in the production process. Whether or not an input is fixed or variable depends upon the time period involved. The longer the length of the time period under consideration, the more likely it is that the input will be variable and not fixed. Economists find it convenient to distinguish between the short run and the long run. The short run is defined to be that period of time when some of the firms inputs are fixed. Since it is most difficult to change plant and equipment among all inputs, the short run is generally accepted as the time interval over which the firms plant and equipment remain fixed. In contrast, the long run is that period over which all the firms inputs are variable. In other words, the firm has the flexibility to adjust or change its environment. Production processes of firms generally permit a variation in the proportion in which inputs are used. In the long run, input proportions can be varied considerably. For example, at Maruti Udyog Limited, an automobile dye can be made on conventional machine tools with more labour and less expensive equipment, or it can be made on numerically controlled machine tools with less labour and more expensive equipment i.e. the amount of labour and amount of equipment used can be varied. On the other hand, there are very few production processes in which inputs have to be combined in fixed proportions. Consider, Ranbaxy or Smith-Kline-Beecham or any other pharmaceutical firm. In order to produce a drug, the firm may have to use a fixed amount of aspirin per 10 gm of the drug. Even in this case a certain (although small) amount of variation in the proportion of aspirin may be permissible. If, on the other hand, no flexibility in the ratio of inputs is possible, the technology is described as fixed proportion type. We refer to this extreme case later in this unit, but as should be apparent, it is extremely rare in practice.
PRODUCTION FUNCTION WITH ONE VARIABLE INPUT
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Number of workers (L) Total output (TP) (thousands per year) (Q) Marginal product (MP = W Q/W L) Average product (AP = Q/L)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
10
28
54
76
90
96
96
92
10
18
26
22
14
6
0
4
10
14
18
19
18
16
13.5
11.5 Consider the simplest two input production process - where one input with a fixed quantity and the other input with is variable quantity. Suppose that the fixed input is the service of machine tools, the variable input is labour, and the output is a metal part. The production function in this case can be represented as: Q =f (K, L) Where Q is output of metal parts, K is service of five machine tools (fixed input), and L is labour (variable input). The variable input can be combined with the fixed input to produce different levels of output.
Total, Average, and Marginal Products The production function given above shows us the maximum total product (TP) that can be obtained using different combinations of quantities of inputs. Suppose the metal parts company decides to know the output level for different input levels of labour using fixed five machine tools. Table 7.1 explains the total output for different levels of variable input. In this example, the TP rises with increase in labour up to a point (six workers), becomes constant between sixth and seventh workers, and then declines. Table 7.1: Total, Average and Marginal Products of labour (with fixed capital at five machine tools)
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Two other important concepts are the average product (AP) and the marginal product (MP) of an input. The AP of an input is the TP divided by the amount of input used to produce this amount of output. Thus AP is the output-input ratio for each level of variable input usage. The MP of an input is the addition to TP resulting from the addition of one unit of input, when the amounts of other inputs are constant. In our example of machine parts production process, the AP of labour is the TP divided by the number of workers. AP L =Q/L As shown in Table 7.1, the AP first rises, reaches maximum at 19, and then declines thereafter. Similarly, the MP of labour is the additional output attributable to using one additional worker with use of other input (service of five machine tools) fixed. MP =W Q/ W L Where W means the change in. For example, from Table 7.1 for MP4 (marginal product of 4th worker) WQ =7654 =22 and WL =43 =1. Therefore, MP =(22/1) =22. Note that although the MP first increases with addition of workers, it declines later and for the addition of 8th worker it becomes negative (4).
Figure 7.1: Relationship between TP, MP, and AP curves and the three stages of production
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The graphical presentation of total, average, and marginal products for our example of machine parts production process is shown in Figure 7.1.
Relationship between TP, MP and AP Curves Examine Table 7.1 and its graphical presentation in Figure 7.1. We can establish the following relationship between TP, MP, and AP curves.
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1a) If MP >0, TP will be rising as L increases. The TP curve begins at the origin, increases at an increasing rate over the range 0 to 3, and then increases at a decreasing rate. The MP reaches a maximum at 3, which corresponds to an inflection point (x) on the TP curve. At the inflection point, the TP curve changes from increasing at an increasing rate to increasing at a decreasing rate. b) If MP =0, TP will be constant as L increases. The TP is constant between workers 6 and 7. c) If MP <0, TP will be declining as L increases. The TP declines beyond 7. Also, the TP curve reaches a maximum when MP =0 and then starts declining when MP <0. 2. MP intersects AP (MP =AP) at the maximum point on the AP curve. This occurs at labour input rate 4.5. Also, observe that whenever MP >AP, the AP is rising (upto number of workers 4.5) it makes no difference whether MP is rising or falling. When MP <AP (from number of workers 4.5), the AP is falling. Therefore, the intersection must occur at the maximum point of AP. It is important to understand why. The key is that AP increases as long as the MP is greater than AP. And AP decreases as long as MP is less than AP. Since AP is positively or negatively sloped depending on whether MP is above or below AP, it follows that MP =AP at the highest point on the AP curve. This relationship between MP and AP is not unique to economics. Consider a cricket batsman, say Sachin Tendulkar, who is averaging 50 runs in 10 innings. In his next innings he scores a 100. His marginal score is 100 and his average will now be above 50. More precisely, it is 54 i.e. (50 * 10 +100) / (10+1) =600/11. This means when the marginal score is above the average, the average must increase. In case he had scored zero, his marginal score would be below the average, and his average would fall to 45.5 i.e. 500/11 is 45.45. Only if he had scored 50 would the average remain constant, and the marginal score would be equal to the average.
The Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns The slope of the MP curve in Figure 7.1 illustrates an important principle, the law of diminishing marginal returns. As the number of units of the variable input increases, the other inputs held constant (fixed), there exists a point beyond which the MP of the variable input declines. Table 7.1 illustrates this law. Observe that MP was increasing up to the addition of 4th worker (input); beyond this the MP decreases. What this law says is that MP may rise or stay constant for some time, but as we keep increasing the units of variable input, MP should start
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falling. It may keep falling and turn negative, or may stay positive all the time. Consider another example for clarity. Single application of fertilizers may increase the output by 50%, a second application by another 30% and the third by 20% and so on. However, if you were to apply fertilizer five to six times in a year, the output may drop to zero. Three things should be noted concerning the law of diminishing marginal returns. 4. This law is an empirical generalization, not a deduction from physical or biological laws. 5. It is assumed that technology remains fixed. The law of diminishing marginal returns cannot predict the effect of an additional unit of input when technology is allowed to change. 6. It is assumed that there is at least one input whose quantity is being held constant (fixed). In other words, the law of diminishing marginal returns does not apply to cases where all inputs are variable.
Stages of Production Based on the behaviour of MP and AP, economists have classified production into three stages: Stage 1: MP >0, AP rising. Thus, MP >AP. Stage 2: MP >0, but AP is falling. MP <AP but TP is increasing (because MP >0). Stage 3: MP <0. In this case TP is falling. These results are illustrated in Figure 7.1. No profit-maximizing producer would produce in stages I or III. In stage I, by adding one more unit of labour, the producer can increase the AP of all units. Thus, it would be unwise on the part of the producer to stop the production in this stage. As for stage III, it does not pay the producer to be in this region because by reducing the labour input the total output can be increased and the cost of a unit of labour can be saved. Thus, the economically meaningful range is given by stage II. In Figure 7.1 at the point of inflection (x), we saw earlier that MP is maximised. At point y, since AP is maximized, we have AP =MP. At point z, TP reaches a maximum. Thus, MP =0 at this point. If the variable input is free then the optimum level of output is at point z where TP is maximized. However, in practice no input will be freely available. The producer has to pay a price for it. Suppose the producer pays Rs. 200 per worker per day and the price of a unit of output (say one apple) is Rs. 10. In this case the producer will keep on hiring additional workers as long as
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(Price of a unit of output) * (marginal product of labour) >(price of a unit of labour) That is, marginal revenue of product (MRP) of labour >P Production Function L On a similar analogy, (price of a unit of output) * (marginal product of capital) >(price of a unit of capital) That is, marginal revenue of product (MRP) of capital >P The left side denotes the increase in revenue and the right side denotes the increase in the cost of adding one more unit of labour. As long as the increment to revenues exceeds the increment to costs, the profit of the producer will increase. As we increase the units of labour, we see that MP diminishes. We assume that the prices of inputs and output do not change. In this case, as MP declines, revenues will start falling, and a point will come when the increase in revenue equals the increase in cost. At this point the producer will stop adding more units of input. With further addition, since MP declines, the additional revenues would be less than the additional costs, and the profit of the producer would decline. Thus, profit maximization implies that a producer with no control over prices will increase the use of an input until Value of marginal product (MP) =Price of a unit of variable input. PRODUCTION FUNCTION WITH TWO VARIABLE INPUTS Now we turn to the case of production where two inputs (say capital and labour) are variable. Although, we restrict our analysis to two variable inputs, all of the results hold for more than two also. We are restricting our analysis to two variable inputs because it simply allows us the scope for graphical analysis. When analysing production with more than one variable input, we cannot simply use sets of AP and MP curves like those discussed in section 7.3, because these curves were derived holding the use of all other inputs fixed and letting the use of only one input vary. If we change the level of fixed input, the TP, AP and MP curves would shift. In the case of two variable inputs, changing the use of one input would cause a shift in the MP and AP curves of the other input. For example, an increase in capital would probably result in an increase in the MP of labour over a wide range of labour use.
Production Isoquants In Greek the word iso means equal or same. A production isoquant (equal output curve) is the locus of all those combinations of two inputs which yields a given level of output.
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With two variable inputs, capital and labour, the isoquant gives the different combinations of capital and labour, that produces the same level of output. For example, 5 units of output can be produced using either 15 units of capital (K) or 2 units of labour (L) or K=10 and L=3 or K=5 and L=5 or K=3 and L=7. These four combinations of capital and labour are four points on the isoquant associated with 5 units of output as shown in Figure 7.2. And if we assume that capital and labour are continuously divisible, there would be many more combinations on this isoquant. Now let us assume that capital, labour, and output are continuously divisible in order to set forth the typically assumed characteristics of isoquants. Figure 7.3 illustrates three such isoquants. Isoquant I show all the combinations of capital and labour that will produce 10 units of output. According to this isoquant, it is possible to obtain this output if K units of capital and L units of labour inputs are used. Alternately, this output can also be obtained if K units of capital and L units of labour inputs or K units of capital and L units of labour are used. Similarly, isoquant II shows the various combinations of capital and labour that can be used to produce 15 units of output. Isoquant III shows all combinations that can produce 20 units of output. Each capital- labour combination can be on only one isoquant. That is, isoquants cannot intersect. These isoquants are only three of an infinite number of isoquants that could be drawn. A group of isoquants is called an isoquant map. In an isoquant map, all isoquants lying above and to the right of a given isoquant indicate higher levels of output. Thus, in Figure 7.3 isoquant II indicates a higher level of output than isoquant I, and isoquant III indicates a higher level of output than isoquant II.
Figure 7.2: Production Isoquant: This isoquant shows various combinations of capital and labour inputs that can produce 5 units of output.
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0
Figure 7.3: Isoquant Map: These isoquants shows various combinations of capital and labour inputs that can produce 10, 15, and 20 units of output.
In general, isoquants are determined in the following way. First, a rate of output, say Q, is specified. Hence the production function can be written as = f (K,L) Those combinations of K and L that satisfy this equation define the isoquant for output rate Q .
Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution As we have seen above, generally there are a number of ways (combinations of inputs) that a particular output can be produced. The rate, at which one input can be substituted for another input, if output remains constant, is called the marginal rate of technical substitution (MRTS). It is defined in case of two inputs, capital and labour, as the amount of capital that can be replaced by an extra unit of labour, without affecting total output.
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MRTS for K = K L L It is customary to define the MRTS as a positive number, since WK/WL, the slope of the isoquant, is negative. Over the relevant range of production the MRTS diminishes. That is, more and more labour is substituted for capital while holding output constant, the absolute value of WK/WL decreases. For example, let us assume that 10 pairs of shoes can be produced using either 8 units of capital and 2 units of labour or 4 units each of capital and of labour or 2 units of capital and 8 units of labour. From Figure 7.4 the MRTS of labour for capital between points a and b is equal to WK/WL =(48) / (42) =4/2 =2 or | 2 |. Between points b and c, the MRTS is equal to 2/4 = or | |. The MRTS has decreased because capital and labour are not perfect substitutes for each other. Therefore, as more of labour is added, less of capital can be used (in exchange for another unit of labour) while keeping the output level constant. Figure 7.4: Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution
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There is a simple relationship between MRTS of labour for capital and the marginal product MP and MP of capital and labour respectively. Since along an isoquant, the level of output remains the same, if WL units of labour are substituted for WK units of capital, the increase in output due to WL units of labour (namely, WL * MPL) should match the decrease in output due to a decrease of WK units of capital (namely, WK * MPK). In other words, along an isoquant, WL * MPL =WK * MPk which is equal to K= L However, as we have seen earlier WK/WL is equal to MRTSL for K, and hence, we get the following expression for MRTS of L for K as the ratio of the corresponding marginal products. MRTSL for K =MP L MP K There are vast differences among inputs in how readily they can be substituted for one another. For example, in some extreme production process, one input can perfectly be substituted for another; whereas in some other extreme production process no substitution is possible. On the other hand, in most of the production processes what we see is imperfect substitution of inputs. These three general shapes that an isoquant might have are shown in Figure 7.5. In panel I, the isoquants are right angles implying that the two inputs a and b must be used in fixed proportion and they are not at all substitutable. For instance, there is no substitution possible between the tyres and a battery in an automobile production process. The MRTS in all such cases would, therefore, be zero. The other extreme case would be where the inputs a and b are perfect substitutes as shown in panel II. The isoquants in this category will be a straight line with constant slope or MRTS. A good example of this type would be natural
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gas and fuel oil, which are close substitutes in energy production. The most common situation is presented in panel III. The inputs are imperfect substitutes in this case and the rate at which input a can be given up in return for one more unit of input b keeping the output constant diminishes as the amount of input b increases.
Figure 7.5: Three General Types of Shapes of Isoquants
The Economic Region of Production Isoquants may also have positively sloped segments, or bend back upon themselves, as shown in Figure 7.6. Above OA and below OB, the slope of the isoquants is positive, which implies that increase in both capital and labour are required to maintain a certain output rate. If this is the case, the MP of one or other input must be negative. Above OA, the MP of capital is negative. Thus output will increase if less capital is used, while the amount of labour is held
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constant. Below OB, the MP of labour is negative. Thus, output will increase if less labour is used, while the amount of capital is held constant. The lines OA and OB are called ridge lines. And the region bounded by these ridge lines is called economic region of production. This means the region of production beyond the ridge lines is economically inefficient.
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Figure 7.6: Economic Region of Production
THE OPTIMAL COMBINATION OF INPUTS In the above section you have learned that any desired level of output can be produced using a number of different combinations of inputs. As said earlier in the introduction of this unit one of the decision problems that concerns a production process manager is, which input combination to use. That is, what is the optimal input combination? While all the input combinations are technically efficient, the final decision to employ a particular input combination is purely an economic decision and rests on cost (expenditure). Thus, the production manager can make either of the following two input choice decisions: 3. Choose the input combination that yields the maximum level of output with a given level of expenditure. 4. Choose the input combination that leads to the lowest cost of producing a given level of output. Thus, the decision is to minimize cost subject to an output constraint or maximize the output subject to a cost constraint. We will now discuss these two fundamental principles. Before doing this we will introduce the concept isocost, which shows all combinations of inputs that can be used for a given cost.
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Isocost Lines Recall that a universally accepted objective of any firm is to maximise profit. If the firm maximises profit, it will necessarily minimise cost for producing a given level of output or maximise output for a given level of cost. Suppose there are 2 inputs: capital (K) and labour (L) that are variable in the relevant time period. What combination of (K,L) should the firm choose in order to maximise output for a given level of cost? If there are 2 inputs, K,L, then given the price of capital (P ) and the price of labour (P ), it is possible to determine the alternative combinations of (K,L) that can be purchased for a given level of expenditure. Suppose C is total expenditure, then C=P * L +P * K This linear function can be plotted on a graph.
If only capital is purchased, then the maximum amount that can be bought is C/Pk shown by point A in figure 7.7. If only labour is purchased, then the maximum amount of labour that can be purchased is C/PL shown by point B in the figure. The 2 points A and B can be joined by a straight line. This straight line is called the isocost line or equal cost line. It shows the alternative combinations of (K,L) that can be purchased for the given expenditure level C. Any point to the right and above the isocost is not attainable as it involves a level of expenditure greater than C and any point to the left and below the isocost such as P is attainable, although it implies the firm is spending less than C. You should verify that the slope of the isocost is1
EXAMPLE: Consider the following data: PL =10, Pk =20 Total Expenditure =200. Let us first plot the various combinations of K and L that are possible. We consider only the case when the firm spends the entire budget of 200. The alternative combinations are shown in the figure (7.8).
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Figure 7.8: Shifting of Isocost
The slope of this isocost is . What will happen if labour becomes more expensive say P increases to 20? Obviously with the same budget the firm can now purchase lesser units of labour. The isocost still meets the Yaxis at point A (because the price of capital is unchanged), but shifts inwards in the direction of the arrow to meet the X-axis at point C. The slope therefore changes to 1. You should work out the effect on the isocost curve on the following: (v) Decrease in the price of labour (vi) Increase in the price of capital (vii) Decrease in the price of capital (viii) Increase in the firms budget with no change in the price of labour and capital [Hint: The slope of the isocost will not change in this case]
Optimal Combination of Inputs: The Long Run
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When both capital and labour are variable, determining the optimal input rates of capital and labour requires the technical information from the production function i.e. the isoquants be combined with market data on input prices i.e. the isocost function. If we superimpose the relevant isocost curve on the firms isoquant map, we can readily determine graphically as to which combination of inputs maximise the output for a given level of expenditure.
Consider the problem of minimising the cost of a given rate of output. Specifically if the firm wants to produce 50 units of output at minimum cost. Two production isoquants have been drawn in Figure 7.9. Three possible combinations (amongst a number of more combinations) are indicated by points A, Z and B in Figure 7.9. Obviously, the firm should pick the point on the lower isocost i.e point Z. In fact, Z is the minimum cost combination of capital and labour. At Z the isocost is tangent to the 50 unit isoquant. Alternatively, consider the problem of maximising output subject to a given cost amount. You should satisfy yourself that among all possible output levels, the maximum amount will be represented by the isoquant that is tangent to the relevant isocost line. Suppose the budget of the firm increases to the amount shown by the higher of the two isocost lines in Figure 7.9, point Q or 100 units of output is the maximum attainable given the new cost constraint in Figure 7.9. Figure 7.9: Optimal combination of inputs
Regardless of the production objective, efficient production requires that the isoquant be tangent to the isocost function. If the problem is to maximise output, subject to a cost constraint or to minimise cost for a given level of output, the same efficiency condition holds true in both
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situations. Intuitively, if it is possible to substitute one input for another to keep output constant while reducing total cost, the firm is not using the least cost combination of inputs. In such a situation, the firm should substitute one input for another. For example, if an extra rupee spent on capital generates more output than an extra rupee spent on labour, then more capital and less labour should be employed. At point Q in Figure 7.9, the marginal product of capital per rupee spent on capital is equal to the marginal product of labour per rupee spent on labour. Mathematically this can be shown as Whenever the 2 sides of the above equation are not equal, there are possibilities that input substitutions will reduce costs. Let us work with numbers. Suppose PL =10, Pk =20, MPL =50 and MPk =40. Thus, we have 50 / 10 >40/ 20. This cannot be an efficient input combination, because the firm is getting more output per rupee spent on labour than on capital. If one unit of capital is sold to obtain 2 units of labour (Pk =20, PL =10), net increase in output will be 602. Thus the substitution of labour for capital would result in a net increase in output at no additional cost. The inefficient combination corresponds to a point such as A in Figure 7.9. At that point two much capital is employed. The firm, in order to maximize profits will move down the isocost line by substituting labour for capital until it reaches point Q. Conversely, at a point such as B in figure 7.9 the reverse is true - there is too much labour and the inequality will hold This means that the firm generates more output per rupee spent on capital than from rupees spent on labour. Thus a profit maximising firm should substitute capital for labour. Suppose the firm was operating at point B in Figure 7.9. If the problem is to minimize cost for a given level of output (B is on the isoquant that corresponds to 50 units of output), the firm should move from B to Z along the 50-unit isoquant thereby reducing cost, while maintaining output at 50. Alternatively, if the firm wants to maximize output for given cost, it should more from B to Q, where the isocost is tangent to the 100-unit isoquant. In this case output will increase from 50 to 100 at no additional cost. Thus both the following decisions: (a) the input combination that yields the maximum level of output with a given level of expenditure, and (b) the input combination that leads to the lowest cost of
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producing a given level of output are satisfied at point Q in Figure 7.9. You should be satisfied that this is indeed the case. The isocost-isoquant framework described above lends itself to various applications. It demonstrates, simply and elegantly, when relative prices of inputs change, managers will respond by substituting the input that has become relatively less expensive for the input that has become relatively more expensive. On average, we know that compared to developed countries like the US, UK, Japan and Germany, labour in India is less expensive. It is not surprising therefore to find production techniques that on average, use more labour per unit of capital in India than in the developed world. For example, in construction activity you see around you in your city, inexpensive workers do the job that in developed countries is performed by machines.
One application of the isocost-isoquant framework frequently cited is the response of industry to the rapidly rising prices of energy products in the 1970s. (Remember the oil price shock of 1973 and again of 1979). Most prices of petrol and petroleum products increased across the world, and as our analysis suggests, firms responded by conserving energy by substituting other inputs for energy. RETURNS TO SCALE Another important attribute of production function is how output responds in the long run to changes in the scale of the firm i.e. when all inputs are increased in the same proportion (by say 10%), how does output change. Clearly, there are 3 possibilities. If output increases by more than an increase in inputs (i.e. by more than 10%), then the situation is one of increasing returns to scale (IRS). If output increases by less than the increase in inputs, then it is a case of decreasing returns to scale (DRS). Lastly, output may increase by exactly the same proportion as inputs. For example a doubling of inputs may lead to a doubling of output. This is a case of constant returns to scale (CRS).
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Isoquants can also be used to depict returns to scale (Figure 7.10) Panel A shows constant returns to scale. Three isoquants with output levels 50,100 and 150 are drawn. In the figure, successive isoquants are equidistant from one another along the ray 0Z. Panel B shows increasing returns to scale, where the distance between 2 isoquants becomes less and less i.e. in order to double output from 50 to 100, input increase is less than double. The explanation for panel C, which exhibits decreasing returns to scale, is analogous. There is no universal answer to which industries will show what kind of returns to scale. Some industries like public utilities (Telecom and Electricity generation) show increasing returns over large ranges of output, whereas other industries exhibit constant or even decreasing returns to scale over the relevant output range. Therefore, whether an industry has constant, increasing or decreasing returns to scale is largely an empirical issue.
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Cobb-Douglas Production Function In economics, the Cobb-Douglas functional form of pro-duction functions is widely used to represent the relation-ship of an output to inputs. It was proposed by Knut Wicksell (1851 - 1926), and tested against statistical evi-dence by Charles Cobb and Paul Douglas in 1928. In 1928 Charles Cobb and Paul Douglas published a study in which they modeled the growth of the Ameri-can economy during the period 1899 - 1922. They con-sidered a simplified view of the economy in which pro-duction output is determined by the amount of labor in-volved and the amount of capital invested. While there are many other factors affecting economic performance, their model proved to be remarkably accurate. The function they used to model production was of the form: P (L, K) = bLK where: P =total production (the monetary value of all goods produced in a year) L =labor input (the total number of person-hours worked in a year) K =capital input (the monetary worth of all machinery, equipment, and buildings) b =total factor productivity and are the output elasticities of labor and capital, respectively. These values are constants determined by available technology. Output elasticity measures the responsiveness of output to a change in levels of either labor or capital used in production, ceteris paribus. For example if = 0.15, a 1% increase in labor would lead to approximately a 0.15% increase in output. Further, if: + = 1, the production function has constant returns to scale. That is, if L and K are each increased by 20%, then P increases by 20%. Returns to scale refers to a technical property of production that examines changes in output subsequent to a proportional change in all inputs (where all inputs increase by a constant factor). If output increases by that same proportional change then there are constant returns to scale (CRTS), sometimes referred to simply as returns to scale. If output increases by less than that proportional change, there are decreasing returns to scale (DRS). If output increases by more than that proportion, there are increasing returns to scale (IRS) However, if + < 1, returns to scale are decreasing, and if + > 1, returns to scale are increasing. Assuming perfect competition, and can be shown to be labor and capitals share of output. Assumptions Made
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If the production function is denoted by P =P (L, K), then the partial derivative L is the rate at which production changes with respect to the amount of labor. Economists call it the marginal production with respect to labor or the marginal productivity of labor. Likewise, the partial derivative K is the rate of change of production with respect to capital and is called the marginal productivity of capital. In these terms, the assumptions made by Cobb and Douglas can be stated as follows: 1. If either labor or capital vanishes, then so will production. 2. The marginal productivity of labor is proportional to the amount of production per unit of labor. 3. The marginal productivity of capital is proportional to the amount of production per unit of capital. Solving Because the production per unit of labor is L, assumption 2 says that PL = PL for some constant . If we keep K constant (K =K0), then this partial differential equation becomes an ordinary differential equation: dPdL = PL This separable differential equation can be solved by re-arranging the terms and integrating both sides: P1 dP = L1 dL ln(P ) = ln(cL) ln(P ) = ln(cL) And finally, P (L, K0) = C1(K0)L (1) where C1(K0) is the constant of integration and we write it as a function of K0 since it could depend on the value of K0. Similarly, assumption 3 says that KP = KP Keeping L constant(L =L0), this differential equation can be solved to get: P (L0, K) = C2(L0)K (2) And finally, combining equations (1) and (2): P (L, K) = bLK (3) where b is a constant that is independent of both L and K. Assumption 1 shows that > 0 and > 0. Notice from equation (3) that if labor and capital are both increased by a factor m, then
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P (mL, mK) = b(mL)(mK) = m+ bLK = m+ P (L, K) If + = 1, then P (mL, mK) = mP (L, K), which means that production is also increased by a factor of m, as discussed earlier in Section 1.
Usage This section will demonstrate the usage of the production formula using real world data. An Example Year 1899 1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 ... 1917 1918 1919 1920 P 100 101 112 122 124 122 143 ... 227 223 218 231 L 100 105 110 117 122 121 125 ... 198 201 196 194 K 100 107 114 122 131 138 149 ... 335 366 387 407 Table 1: Economic data of the American economy during the period 1899 - 1920 [1]. Portions not shown for the sake of brevity Using the economic data published by the government, Cobb and Douglas took the year 1899 as a baseline, and P , L, and K for 1899 were each assigned the value 100. The values for other years were expressed as percentages of the 1899 figures. The result is Table 1. Next, Cobb and Douglas used the method of least squares to fit the data of Table 1 to the function: P (L, K) =1.01(L0.75)(K0.25) (4) For example, if the values for the years 1904 and 1920 were plugged in: P (121, 138) = 1.01(1210.75)(1380.25) 126.3 P (194, 407) = 1.01(1940.75)(4070.25) 235.8 which are quite close to the actual values, 122 and 231 respectively. The production function P (L, K) = bLK has subsequently been used in many settings, ranging from individual firms to global economic questions. It has become known as the Cobb- Douglas production function. Its domain is {(L, K) : L 0, K 0} because L and K represent labor and capital and are therefore never negative. Difficulties
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Even though the equation (4) derived earlier works for the period 1899 - 1922, there are currently various concerns over its accuracy in different industries and time periods. Cobb and Douglas were influenced by statistical evidence that appeared to show that labor and capital shares of total output were constant over time in developed countries; they explained this by statistical fitting least-squares regression of their production function. However, there is now doubt over whether constancy over time exists. Neither Cobb nor Douglas provided any theoretical reason why the coefficients and should be constant over time or be the same between sectors of the economy. Remember that the nature of the machinery and other capital goods (the K) differs between time-periods and according to what is being produced. So do the skills of labor (the L). The Cobb-Douglas production function was not developed on the basis of any knowledge of engineering, technology, or management of the production process. It was instead developed because it had attractive mathematical characteristics, such as diminishing marginal returns to either factor of production. Crucially, there are no micro foundations for it. In the modern era, economists have insisted that the micro-logic of any larger-scale process should be explained. The C-D production function fails this test. For example, consider the example of two sectors which have the exactly same Cobb- Douglas technologies: if, for sector 1, P1 = b(L1)(K1 ) and, for sector 2, P2 = b(L2)(K2 ), that, in general, does not imply that P1 +P2 =b(L1 + L2)(K1 + K2) his holds only if L1 =K1 and + = 1, i.e. for constant returns to scale technology. L2 K2 It is thus a mathematical mistake to assume that just because the Cobb-Douglas function applies at the micro-level, it also applies at the macro-level. Similarly, there is no reason that a macro Cobb-Douglas applies at the disaggregated level.
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Market Equilibrium A particularly notable feature of market economies is the effect of the price mechanism on demand and supply. The price mechanism determines the equilibrium in the market and consists of the interplay of the forces of supply and demand in determining the prices at which commodities will be bought and sold in the market. Market equilibrium is the situation, where at a certain price level, the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded of a particular commodity are equal. Thus, the market can clear, with no excess supply or demand, and there is no tendency to change in either price or quantity. Diagrammatically, market equilibrium occurs where the demand and supply curves intersect, at the point where the quantity demanded is exactly equal to the quantity demanded. Let us first consider the case where there is excess demand, where the current price is below that of equilibrium, as shown in Figure 1:
(0Q1). Competition among buyers for the limited quantity of goods available means that consumers will start bidding up the price. The rise in the price results in an expansion in supply and a contraction in demand (movement along the curves towards the equilibrium point). This will continue to occur as long as there is excess demand. Eventually, we will reach the intersection of the supply and demand curves, where at price 0Pe, the quantity supplied 0Qe exactly equals the quantity demanded by consumers. In Figure 2, the quantity supplied at price 0P1 (0Q2) exceeds the quantity demanded. Thus, we have a situation of excess supply or a glut in the market. In order to remove excess supply, sellers will offer to sell at a lower price. The fall in the price results in an expansion of
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demand, and a contraction in supply (movement along the curves towards the equilibrium point). This will continue to occur as long as there is excess supply, until we reach the intersection of supply and demand, where at price 0Pe, the market clears, that is, the quantity supplied and demanded is equal.
The equilibrium price and quantity will be changed if there is a shift in either or both of the supply or demand curve. Shifts in the supply and demand curves are caused by changes in conditions behind supply and demand not price changes. For example, an increase in demand means that more of a good will be demanded at the same price. Factors that may cause an increase in demand include a rise in the price of substitute goods and a fall in the price of complementary goods, higher prices expected in the future, a good becoming more fashionable and rising consumer incomes. Because the demand curve shifts to the right, the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. Competition among buyers will begin to force the limited quantity of the good in question up, causing an expansion in supply and a contraction in demand. This will continue to occur until the market clears again at a new equilibrium point both the equilibrium price and quantity have risen. Similarly, a decrease in demand will lower both the equilibrium price and quantity. An increase or decrease in supply will also affect the equilibrium position. An increase in supply shifts the supply curve to the right, thus lowering equilibrium price while raising equilibrium quantity. A decrease in supply, which shifts the supply curve to the left, however, raises equilibrium price and lowers equilibrium quantity. As mentioned earlier, the price or
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market mechanism plays the most important function in determining the solutions to the economic problem in market economies. The price determined in the market conveys important information that helps in providing answers to the questions about the production, distribution and exchange of goods and services in the economy. Producers will only produce those goods and services for which there is consumer demand. The quantity of goods and services produced and sold, is determined through the interaction of supply and demand, resulting in the equilibrium price and quantity. Increasing demand for good X will be translated into a higher market price, which will signal producers to reallocate resources away from other areas of production, in order to produce more of product X. In addition, it is said that the market mechanism also ensures efficiency in allocation in the economy. The demand curve gives us an indication of the value that consumers place on a certain product, while the supply curve gives us an indication of the producers cost in supplying that product. The market mechanism ensures that equilibrium is reached at the intersection of those two curves. In conclusion, the market forces of supply and demand interact to bring about the equilibrium price, clearing the market of excess demand or supply. In this way, it is said that the market mechanism achieves consistency between the plans and outcomes for consumers and producers without explicit coordination.
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UNIT-III PRODUCT AND FACTOR MARKET PRODUCT MARKET DEFINITION: A market used to exchange a final good or service. Product markets exchange consumer goods purchased by the household sector, capital investment goods purchased by the business sector, and goods purchased by government and foreign sectors. A product market, however, does NOT include the exchange of raw materials, scarce resources, factors of production, or any type of intermediate goods. The total value of goods exchanged in product markets each year is measured by gross domestic product. The demand side of product markets includes consumption expenditures, investment expenditures, government purchases, and net exports. The supply side of product markets is production of the business sector. Markets that exchange final goods and services, that is, the output that is combined into gross domestic product. The buyers of this production are the four macroeconomic sectors-- household, business, government, and foreign. The seller of this production is primarily the business sector. A substantial part of macroeconomics is devoted to explaining how and why gross domestic product exchanged through product markets rises or falls. Product markets, also termed output or goods markets, are one of three primary sets of macroeconomic markets. The other two are resource markets and financial markets. Product markets take center stage in the macroeconomic analysis of the economy. First and foremost, product markets provide a direct indication of the level of aggregate output, or gross domestic product. This also suggests how and why the level of aggregate output changes as the economy moves through the ups and downs of business cycles. Furthermore, the product markets indirectly shed a little light on the macroeconomic problems of inflation and unemployment. Main Features of Perfect Competition
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The following are the characteristics or main features of perfect competition :- 1. Many Sellers In this market, there are many sellers who form total of market supply. Individually, seller is a firm and collectively, it is an industry. In perfect competition, price of commodity is decided by market forces of demand and supply. i.e. by buyers and sellers collectively. Here, no individual seller is in a position to change the price by controlling supply. Because individual seller's individual supply is a very small part of total supply. So, if that seller alone raises the price, his product will become costlier than other and automatically, he will be out of market. Hence, that seller has to accept the price which is decided by market forces of demand and supply. This ensures single price in the market and in this way, seller becomes price taker and not price maker. 2. Many Buyers Individual buyer cannot control the price by changing or controlling the demand. Because individual buyer's individual demand is a very small part of total demand or market demand. Every buyer has to accept the price decided by market forces of demand and supply. In this way, all buyers are price takers and not price makers. This also ensures existence of single price in market. 3. Homogenous Product In this case, all sellers produce homogeneous i.e. perfectly identical products. All products are perfectly same in terms of size, shape, taste, colour, ingredients, quality, trade marks etc. This ensures the existence of single price in the market. 4. Zero Advertisement Cost Since all products are identical in features like quality, taste, design etc., there is no scope for product differentiation. So advertisement cost is nil. 5. Free Entry and Exit There are no restrictions on entry and exit of firms. This feature ensures existence of normal profit in perfect competition. When profit is more, new firms enter the market and this leads to competition. Entry of new firms competing with each other results into increase in supply and fall in price. So, this reduces profit from abnormal to normal level.
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When profit is low (below normal level), some firms may exit the market. This leads to fall in supply. So remaining firms raise their prices and their profits go up. So again this ensures normal level of profit. 6. Perfect Knowledge On the front of both, buyers and sellers, perfect knowledge regarding market and pricing conditions is expected. So, no buyer will pay price higher than market price and no seller will charge lower price than market price. 7. Perfect Mobility of Factors This feature is essential to keep supply at par with demand. If all factors are easily mobile (moveable) from one line of production to another, then it becomes easy to adjust supply as per demand. Whenever demand is more additional factors should be moved into industry to increase supply and vice versa. In this way, with the help of stable demand and supply, we can maintain single price in the Market. 8. No Government Intervention Since market has been controlled by the forces of demand and supply, there is no government intervention in the form of taxes, subsidies, licensing policy, control over the supply of raw materials, etc. 9. No Transport Cost It is assumed that buyers and sellers are close to market, so there is no transport cost. This ensures existence of single price in market. Main Features of imperfect Competition 1. Large number of buyers and sellers: Large numbers of sellers exist in the market. Individually they have a small share in the market. 2. Product Differentiation: In a monopolistically competitive market, the products of different sellers are differentiated on the basis of brands. Product differentiation gives rise to an element of monopoly to the producer over the competing product. As such the producer of the competing brand can increase the price of his product knowing full well that his brand-loyal customers are not going to leave him. This is possible only because the products have no perfect substitutes.
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Since however all the brands are of close substitutes to one another, the seller will lose some of his customers to his competitors. Thus the market is a mix of monopoly and perfect competition. 3. Entry and Exit of firms: New firms are free to enter the market and existing firms are free to quit at any given period of time 4. Promotion Techniques: Sellers attempt to promote their products not by cutting prices but by incurring high expenditure on publicity and advertisement and other sale promoting techniques. This type of competition is known as non-price competition. Imperfect competition is the competitive situation in any market where the conditions necessary for perfect competition are not satisfied. Forms of imperfect competitions are: Monopoly Monopolistic Oligopoly Oligopsony Duopoly Bilateral Monopoly Monopsony Duopsony CLASSIFICATION OF MARKET Market may be classified into different types: On the basis of area Markets may be classified on the basis of area into local, national and international markets. If the buyers and sellers are located in a particular locality, it is called as a local market, e.g. fruits, vegetables etc. These goods are perishable; they cannot be stored for a long time; they cannot be taken to distant places. When a commodity is demanded and supplied all over the country, national market is said to exist. When a commodity commands international market or buyers and sellers all over the world, it is called international market. Whether a market will be local, national or international in character will depend upon the following factors: (a) nature of
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commodity; (b) taste and preference of the people; (c) availability of storage; (d) method of business; (e) political stability at home and abroad; if) portability of the commodity. On the basis of time Time element has been used by Marshall for classifying the market. On the basis of time, market has been classified into very short period, short period, long period and very long period. Very short period market refers to the market in which commodities that are fixed in supply or are perishable are transacted. Since supply is fixed, only the changes in demand influence the price. The short period markets are those where supply can be increased but only to a limited extent. Long period market refers to a market where adequate time is available for changing the supply by changing the fixed factors of production. The supply of commodities may be increased by installing a new plant or machinery and the output can be changed accordingly. Very long period or secular period is one in which changes take place in factors like population, supply of capital and raw material etc. On the basis of nature of transactions Markets are classified on the basis of nature of transactions into two broad categories viz., Spot market and future market. When goods are physically transacted on the spot, the market is called as spot market. In case the transactions involve the agreements of future exchange of goods, such markets are known as future markets. On the basis of volume of business Based on the volume of business, markets are broadly classified into wholesale and retail markets. In the wholesale markets, goods are transacted in large quantities. Wholesale markets are in fact, a link between the producer and the retailer while the retailer is a link between the wholesaler and the consumer.
On the basis of status of sellers During the process of marketing, a commodity passes through a chain of sellers and middlemen. Markets can be classified into primary, secondary and terminal markets. The primary market consists of manufacturers who produce and sell the product to the wholesalers. The wholesalers who are an international link between the manufacturers and retailers constitute secondary markets while the retailers who sell it to the ultimate consumer constitute the terminal market.
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On the basis of regulation On this basis, market is classified into regulated and unregulated markets. For some goods and services, the government stipulates certain conditions and regulations for their transactions. Market of goods and services is called regulated market. On the other hand, goods and services whose transactions are left to the market forces belong to unregulated market. Regulations of market by the government become essential for those goods whose supply or price can be manipulated against the interests of the general public. On the basis of competition Markets are classified on the basis of nature of competition into perfect competition and imperfect competition. http://www.econ.yale.edu/~gjh9/econ115b/slides11_4perpage.pdf MARKET EFFICIENCY: In the real world, markets cannot be absolutely efficient or wholly inefficient. It might be reasonable to see markets as essentially a mixture of both, wherein daily decisions and events cannot always be reflected immediately into a market. If all participants were to believe that the market is efficient, no one would seek extraordinary profits, which is the force that keeps the wheels of the market turning. Types of Market efficiency: However, there are 2 identified classifications of the Market Efficiency, which are aimed at reflecting the degree to which it can be applied to markets.
Operationally (or) Internally Efficient: In which an investor can do transactions as cheaply as possible. This would include brokerage, commissions and other charges. Pricing or externally efficient: Market Efficiency Operationally (or) Internally Efficient Pricing (or) Externally efficient
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In which an investor can expect that stock prices at all times reflect all available information that is relevant to the evaluation of the stocks. Degrees of Market Efficiency: 1. Strong efficiency - This is the strongest version, which states that all information in a market, whether public or private, is accounted for in a stock price. Not even insider information could give an investor an advantage. 2. Semi-strong efficiency - This form of EMH implies that all public information is calculated into a stock's current share price. Neither fundamental nor technical analysis can be used to achieve superior gains. 3. Weak efficiency - This type of EMH claims that all past prices of a stock are reflected in today's stock price. Therefore, technical analysis cannot be used to predict and beat a market. ECONOMIC COSTS OF IMPERFECT COMPETITION: The cost of inflated prices Imperfect competitors reduce outputs and raise prices-most vividly seen in monopoly market. A monopolist is not a wicked firm-it does not rob people or force its goods down consumers throats. It is the sole seller and raises its price above marginal cost that is P>MC this also happens in Oligopoly and monopolistic Consumer surplus : The gap between the total utility of a good and its total market value is called consumer surplus. Dead weight loss: The loss in real income or consumer and producer surplus that arises because of monoploy tarriffs, quotas and distotions. Three approaches to reduce the harmful effects of monopolistic practices:
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Economic regulation: Used by government to control monopolistic practice that allows specialized regulatory agencies to oversee the prices, outputs, entry and exit of firms in regulated industries. Eg : Public utilities and transportation. Price control Entry and exit conditions Standard of services Antitrust Policies : Laws thar prohobit certain kinds of behavior or curb certain market structures. Encouraging competition: To avoid anti competitive absuses. Thus the monopolists make their output scare and there by driveup price and increase profits. FACTOR MARKET: A market used to exchange the services of a factor of production: labor, capital, land , and entrepreneurship. Factor markets, also termed resource markets, exchange the services of factors, NOT the factors themselves. For example, the labor services of workers are exchanged through factor markets NOT the actual workers. Buying and selling the actual workers is not only slavery (which is illegal) it's also the type of exchange that would take place through product markets, not factor markets. More realistically, capital and land are two resources than can be and are legally exchanged through product markets. The services of these resources, however, are exchanged through factor markets. The value of the services exchanged through factor markets each year is measured as national income. Resources must be used in the production process to produce goods and services. Resources are also called factors of production. The major factors are: labor, capital, land and entrepreneurship. The first three factors listed are traded in the factor market where the equilibrium quantity of the factor and the factor price are determined. The entrepreneurship factor creates firms and hires the other factors. Most factor markets are competitive, that is, there are many buyers and sellers. Labor Market:
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In this market, human resources are traded. Most labor is traded on a contract, called a job; some labor is traded on a temporary daily basis called casual labor. Human Capital. is an individual's skills obtained from education, experience and training. The price of labor is wage rate. Capital Market: Capital is the funds that firms use to buy and operate their production process. In this market, people lend and borrow to finance the purchase of capital goods. The price of capital is interest rate. Land Market: Land consists of all the resources given to us by nature. It included natural gas, water, mineral, etc. A market used to exchange the services of a factor of production: labor, capital, land , and entrepreneurship. Factor markets, also termed resource markets, exchange the services of factors, NOT the factors themselves. For example, the labor services of workers are exchanged through factor markets NOT the actual workers. Buying and selling the actual workers is not only slavery (which is illegal) it's also the type of exchange that would take place through product markets, not factor markets. More realistically, capital and land are two resources than can be and are legally exchanged through product markets. The services of these resources, however, are exchanged through factor markets. The value of the services exchanged through factor markets each year is measured as national income. Factor market analysis An analysis of the structure and equilibrium determination of markets that exchange the services of productive resources. This analysis highlights principles and concepts that tend to be most commonly associated with factor markets (also termed resource markets), including monopsony and bilateral monopoly. Marginal revenue product is a key concept on the demand side of the factor market. Marginal factor cost is a key concept on the supply side of the factor market. http://glossary.econguru.com/economic-term/factor+market,+efficiency Factor demand is a derived demand. It is derived from demand for products that factors are used to produce. Marginal Revenue Product (MRP)
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The marginal revenue product, MRP, is the the additional revenue generated by employing an additional unit of a factor. MRP =change in total revenue / change in the quantity of the factor Since change in total revenue/ change in quantity of output =Marginal revenue (MR); and change in the quantity of output/change in quantity of a factor=Marginal product (MP). Then: MRP =MR X MP Value of Marginal Product (VMP) VMP equals to price (P) of a unit of output multiplied by the marginal product (MP) of the factor of product. VMP =P X MP In perfect competition: P =MR, therefore, MRP =VMP As stated in the law of diminishing returns, MP will eventually decrease as the quantity of factor increases in the short run. On the other hand, MR in non-perfect competitive market is also downward sloping. Therefore, MRP and VMP are downward sloping. The marginal revenue generated by each factor and the factor's per unit cost (factor price) determine the quantity of factor demanded by a firm. The factor demand curve is downward sloping. As the price of a factor increases, less factor will be demanded. To maximize profit, a firm hires up to the point at which the MRP (VMP in Perfect competition) equals the factor price. Hiring rule: MRP >P of the factor: firm should continue to hire more factors. MRP =P of the factor: firm should stop hiring at the unit of factor. MRP <P of the factor: firm should reduce the quantity of factors Demand of Labor Applying the basic concepts discussed in the previous section in the labor market. Based upon our discussion, firms' demand MRP =MR X MP. Therefore, firm's demand for labor depends upon marginal revenue generated from each unit of output and the productivity of each labor unit. MR: Marginal revenue will increase as price of output increases, Firm will demand more labor when output's price gets higher.
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MP: Productivity increase will increase demand for labor also. If there is a technological advance, causing the labor proportion to machinery changes, labor demand will change. If more labor is needed per machinery, labor demand will increase, otherwise, labor demand will decrease as machine replaces human labor. Investment in human capital, such as training and education, can increase productivity, too. Therefore, high skill workers face a higher demand than low skill workers. Supply of Labor The main determinant of labor supply is the wage rate. At the lower portion of the supply curve, people are willing to supply more labor hours when wage increases. However, labor supply curve will bend backwards at the higher wage rate, indicating a negative relationship between wage rate and labor supply quantity. This is due to the income effect. As people gets richer, they need time to spend their income. So they will take time off from work to enjoy life. Less labor hours will be supplied as a result. Other determinants of Labor supply are: 1. Adult population: increase in population will increase work force, and labor supply. 2. Preferences: as more woman or retired people choose to work, labor supply increases. 3. Time in school and training: when people spend more time in school, the low skill labor supply decrease, and high skill labor supply increases. Labor Market Equilibrium The labor market equilibrium determines the wage rate and employment. If the wage rate exceeds the equilibrium wage rate, there is a surplus of labor and wage will fall. If the wage rate is less than the equilibrium wage rate, there is a shortage of labor and wage will rise. http://staffwww.fullcoll.edu/fchan A product market is selling and buying final goods consumed by consumers. A factor market is buying and selling intermediate goods consumed by producers. Factor market equilibrium - demand for factor =supply of factor. Product market equilibrium _ demand for product =supply of product. Partial equilibrium - it is achieved when at a particular equilibrium condition in factor market the product market also achieved equilibrium condition. It is known as Pareto Optimality. Supply and Demand Equilibrium
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Even though the concepts of supply and demand are introduced separately, it's the combination of these forces that determine how much of a good or service is produced and consumed in an economy and at what price. These steady-state levels are referred to as the equilibrium price and quantity in a market. In the supply and demand model, the equilibrium price and quantity in a market is located at the intersection of the market supply and market demand curves. Note that the equilibrium price is generally referred to as P* and the market quantity is generally referred to as Q*.
Market Forces Result in Economic Equilibrium Conversely, consider a situation where the price in a market is higher than the equilibrium price. If the price is higher than P*, the quantity supplied in that market will be higher than the quantity demanded at the prevailing price, and a surplus will result. (This time, the size of the surplus is given by the quantity supplied minus the quantity demanded.) When a surplus occurs, firms either accumulate inventory (which costs money to store and hold) or they have to discard their extra output. This is clearly not optimal from a profit perspective, so firms will respond by cutting prices and production quantities when they have the opportunity to do so. This behavior will continue as long as a surplus remains, again bringing the market back to the intersection of supply and demand.
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http://economics.about.com/od/market-equilibrium/ss/Supply-And-Demand- Equilibrium_5.htm GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: A general equilibrium represents a whole economy rather than just a part of one. It may contain many different kinds of labor, machines and land, all of which are serving as inputs to produce dozens of different kinds of computers, hundreds of different specifications of automobiles, and so on. The general equilibrium of markets therefore determines prices and outputs so that the marginal utility of each good to consumer equals the marginal cost of each good to the society. Ratios of marginal utilities of goods for all consumes are equal to the relative prices of those goods. The ratios of marginal costs of goods produced by firms are equal to the relative prices of those goods. The relative marginal revenue products of all inputs are equal for all firms and all goods and are equal to those inputs relative prices.
Conditions of a competitive general equilibrium: These conditions fall naturally into two categories; first relating to consumers, corresponds to the upper section of the loop. While the second concerning production corresponds to the lower section. a) Consumer Equilibrium: Consumer should maximize their utility by equalizing the marginal utility per dollar of spending MU 1 / MU 2 = P 1 /P 2 The ratio of marginal utilities of two goods is equal to the ratio of their prices. b) Producers Equilibrium: The output condition for producers is that the level of output is set so that the price of each good equals the marginal cost of that good. MC 1 /MC 2 = P 1 /P 2
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The equation says that, in a competitive economy, the ratio of the marginal costs of two final products is equal to their price ratio. EFFICIENCY OF COMPETITIVE MARKETS: Income Distribution and Poverty The Utility Possibilities Frontier Somehow, the goods and services produced in every society get distributed among its citizens. But why do some get more than others? What are the sources of inequality? Should the government change the distribution generated by the market? Should the goal be a distribution that is equitable, and what does that mean? The Utility Possibilities Frontier In discussing distribution, we should talk not about the distribution of things but about the distribution of utility or well-being. Utility is not directly observable or measurable, but thinking about it as if it were can help us understand some of the ideas that underlie debates about distribution. Suppose that society were made up of just two people, I and J, and that all the assumptions of perfect competition held. The curve below would then show all the combinations of Is utility and J s utility that were possible given their societys resources and technology. This is the utility possibilities frontier. All points on the frontier are efficient (i.e., I cannot be made better off without making J worse off) but they may not all be equally desirable. In theory, the perfectly competitive market system would lead society to one of the points on the frontier, but the actual point reached would depend on Is and J s initial endowments of wealth, skills, and so forth.
In practice, the market solution leaves some people out. The rewards of a market system are linked to productivity and not all people are equally productive. As a result, societies make some provision for the poor. Society makes a judgment that those who are better off should give up some of their rewards so that those at the
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bottom can have more than the market system would allocate to them. This redistribution is undertaken because the members of the society think it is fair, or just. Since utility is neither observable nor measurable, most discussions of social policy center on the distribution of income or the distribution of wealth as indirect measures of utility. While these are imperfect measures, they have no clear substitutes and are therefore the measures used.
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UNIT-IV PERFORMANCE OF AN ECONOMY MACRO ECONOMICS CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME In this simplified image, the relationship between the decision-makers in the circular flow model is shown. Larger arrows show primary factors, whilst the red n,.0p;smaller arrows show subsequent or secondary factors. In economics, the terms circular flow of income or circular flow refer to a simple economic model which describes the reciprocal circulation of income between producers and consumers. In the circular flow model, the inter-dependent entities of producer and consumer are referred to as "firms" and "households" respectively and provide each other with factors in order to facilitate the flow of income. Firms provide consumers with goods and services in exchange for consumer expenditure and "factors of production" from households. More complete and realistic circular flow models are more complex. They would explicitly include the roles of government and financial markets, along with imports and exports. Human wants are unlimited and are of recurring nature therefore, production process remains a continuous and demanding process. In this process, household sector provides various factors of production such as land, labor, capital and enterprise to producers who produce by goods and services by co-coordinating them. Producers or business sector in return makes payments in the form of rent, wages, interest and profits to the household sector. Again household sector spends this income to fulfill its wants in the form of consumption expenditure. Business sector supplies those goods and services produced and get income in return of it. Thus expenditure of one sector becomes the income of the other and supply of goods and services by one section of the community becomes demand for the other. This process is unending and forms the circular flow of income, expenditure and production. A continuous flow of production, income and expenditure is known as circular flow of income. It is circular because it has neither any beginning nor an end. The circular flow of
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income involves two basic principles: - 1.In any exchange process, the seller or producer receives the same amount what buyer or consumer spends. 2. Goods and services flow in one direction and money payment to get these flow in return direction, causes a circular flow. Circular flows are classified as: Real Flow and Money Flow. Real Flow- In a simple economy, the flow of factor services from households to firms and corresponding flow of goods and services from firms to households s known to be as real flow. Assume a simple two sector economy- household and firm sectors, in which the households provides factor services to firms, which in return provides goods and services to them as a reward. Since there will be an exchange of goods and services between the two sectors in physical form without involving money, therefore, it is known as real flow. Money Flow- In a modern two sector economy, money acts as a medium of exchange between goods and factor services. Money flow of income refers to a monetary payment from firms to households for their factor services and in return monetary payments from households to firms against their goods and services. Household sector gets monetary reward for their services in the form of rent, wages, interest, and profit form firm sector and spends it for obtaining various types of goods to satisfy their wants. Money acts as a helping agent in such an exchange. Asumptions The basic circular flow of income model consists of seven assumptions: 1. The economy consists of two sectors: households and firms. 2. Households spend all of their income (Y) on goods and services or consumption (C). There is no saving (S). 3. All output (O) produced by firms is purchased by households through their expenditure (E). 4. There is no financial sector. 5. There is no government sector. 6. There is no overseas sector. 7. It is a closed economy with no exports or imports. The Circular Flow The Circular Flow
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The product market is a key component of the circular flow model of the economy. The circular flow captures the continuous movement of production, income, and factor payments between producers and consumers. A basic representation of the circular flow is displayed to the right. The four components of this simple model are: household sector, business sector, product markets, and resource markets. The household sector at the far left contains the consuming population of the economy. The business sector at the far right includes all of the producers. The product markets at the top of the flow direct production from the business sector to the household sector in exchange for payment flowing in the opposite direction. The resource markets at the bottom of the flow direct factor services from the household sector to the business sector in exchange for payment flowing in the opposite direction. The circular flow indicates that the income used by the household sector to purchase goods through the product markets is obtained by selling factor services through the resource markets. It also indicates that the revenue used by the business sector to pay for factor services obtained through the resource markets is generated by selling goods through the product markets. Aggregate Equilibrium It is often convenient to combine the thousands of individual microeconomic product markets used to exchange a wide assortment of final goods and services throughout the economy into an abstract aggregation. Demand in the aggregate product market reflects the expenditures made by buyers in the individual markets. And supply in the aggregate product market reflects the total production sold in the individual markets. Equilibrium in the aggregate product market is an essential aspect of macroeconomic analysis. In particular, overall macroeconomic equilibrium, which includes both short-run equilibrium and long-run equilibrium, requires aggregate product market equilibrium. This exists if total expenditures on gross domestic product is equal to the total amount of gross domestic product available.
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However, this does not mean every individual product market is in equilibrium. One might have a bit of a shortage and another a bit of a surplus. As long as the shortages and surpluses balance out, meaning aggregate production is equal to aggregate expenditures, then the aggregate product market is in equilibrium TWO SECTOR MODEL In the simple two sector circular flow of income model the state of equilibrium is defined as a situation in which there is no tendency for the levels of income (Y), expenditure (E) and output (O) to change, that is: Y = E =O This means that the expenditure of buyers (households) becomes income for sellers (firms). The firms then spend this income on factors of production such as labour, capital and raw materials, "transferring" their income to the factor owners. The factor owners spend this income on goods which leads to a circular flow of income. THREE SECTOR MODEL It includes household sector, business sector and government sector. It will study a circular flow income in these sectors excluding rest of the world i.e. closed economy income. Here flows from household sector and producing sector to government sector are in the form of taxes. The income received from the government sector flows to
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producing and household sector in the form of payments for government purchases of goods and services as well as payment of subsides and transfer payments. Every payment has a receipt in response of it by which aggregate expenditure of an economy becomes identical to aggregate income and makes this circular flow and unending. FOUR SECTOR MODEL A modern monetary economy comprises a network of four sector economy these are- 1.Household sector 2.Firms or Producing sector 3.Government sector 4.Rest of the world sector. Each of the above sectors receives some payments from the other in lieu of goods and services which makes a regular flow of goods and physical services. Money facilitates such an exchange smoothly. A residual of each market comes in capital market as saving which inturn is invested in firms and government sector. Technically speaking, so long as lending is equal to the borrowing i.e. leakage is equal to injections, the circular flow will continue indefinitely. However this job is done by financial institutions in the economy. Reference- S. Dinesh Introduction to Macro Economics . FIVE SECTOR MODEL Table 1 All leakages and injections in five sector model LEAKAGES INJECTION Saving (S) Investment (I) Taxes (T) Government Spending (G) Imports (M) Exports (X)
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Circular flow of income diagram The five sector model of the circular flow of income is a more realistic representation of the economy. Unlike the two sector model where there are six assumptions the five sector circular flow relaxes all six assumptions. Since the first assumption is relaxed there are three more sectors introduced. The first is the Financial Sector that consists of banks and non-bank intermediaries who engage in the borrowing (savings from households) and lending of money. In terms of the circular flow of income model the leakage that financial institutions provide in the economy is the option for households to save their money. This is a leakage because the saved money cannot be spent in the economy and thus is an idle asset that means not all output will be purchased. The injection that the financial sector provides into the economy is investment (I) into the business/firms sector. An example of a group in the finance sector includes banks such as Westpac or financial institutions such as Suncorp. The next sector introduced into the circular flow of income is the Government Sector that consists of the economic activities of local, state and federal governments. The leakage that the Government sector provides is through the collection of revenue through Taxes (T) that is provided by households and firms to the government. For this reason they are a leakage because it is a leakage out of the current income thus reducing the expenditure on current goods and services. The injection provided by the government sector is Government spending (G) that provides collective services and welfare payments to the community. An example of a tax collected by the government as a leakage is income tax and an injection into the economy can be when the government redistributes this income in the form of welfare payments, that is a form of government spending back into the economy. The final sector in the circular flow of income model is the overseas sector which transforms the model from a closed economy to an open economy. The main leakage from this sector are imports (M), which represent spending by residents into the rest of the world. The main injection provided by this sector is the exports of goods and services which generate income for the exporters from overseas residents. An example of the use of the overseas sector is Australia exporting wool to China; China pays the exporter of the wool (the farmer) therefore more money enters the economy thus making it an injection. Another example is China processing the wool into items such as coats and Australia importing the product by paying the Chinese exporter; since the money paying for the coat leaves the economy it is a leakage.
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In terms of the five sector circular flow of income model the state of equilibrium occurs when the total leakages are equal to the total injections that occur in the economy. This can be shown as: Therefore since the leakages are equal to the injections the economy is in a stable state of equilibrium. This state can be contrasted to the state of disequilibrium where unlike that of equilibrium the sum of total leakages does not equal the sum of total injections. By giving values to the leakages and injections the circular flow of income can be used to show the state of disequilibrium. Disequilibrium can be shown as: S +T +M I + G + X Therefore it can be shown as one of the below equations where: Total leakages >Total injections Or Total Leakages <Total injections The effects of disequilibrium vary according to which of the above equations they belong to. If S +T +M >I +G +X the levels of income, output, expenditure and employment will fall causing a recession or contraction in the overall economic activity. But if S +T +M <I +G +X the levels of income, output, expenditure and employment will rise causing a boom or expansion in economic activity. To manage this problem, if disequilibrium were to occur in the five sector circular flow of income model, changes in expenditure and output will lead to equilibrium being regained. An example of this is if: S +T +M >I +G +X the levels of income, expenditure and output will fall causing a contraction or recession in the overall economic activity. As the income falls (Figure 4) households will cut down on all leakages such as saving, they will also pay less in taxation and with a lower income they will spend less on imports. This will lead to a fall in the leakages until they equal the injections and a lower level of equilibrium will be the result. The other equation of disequilibrium, if S +T +M <I +G +X in the five sector model the levels of income, expenditure and output will greatly rise causing a boom in economic activity. As the households income increases there will be a higher opportunity to save therefore saving in the financial sector will increase, taxation for the higher threshold will increase and they will be able to spend more on imports. In this case when the leakages increase they will
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continue to rise until they are equal to the level injections. The end result of this disequilibrium situation will be a higher level of equilibrium. Significance of Study of Circular Flow of Income 1. Measurement of National Income- National income is an estimation of aggregation of any of economic activity of the circular flow. It is either the income of all the factors of production or the expenditure of various sectors of economy. However, aggregate amount of each of the activity is identical to each other. 2. Knowledge of Interdependence- Circular flow of income signifies the interdependence of each of activity upon one another. If there is no consumption, there will be no demand and expenditure which inturn restricts the amount of production and income. 3. Unending Nature of Economic Activities- It signifies that production, income and expenditure are of unending nature, therefore, economic activities in an economy can never come to a halt. National income is also bound to rise in future. 4.Injections and Leakages Reference- A General Approach to Macroeconomic Policy.--121.54.17.134
Difference between Real Flow and Money Flow 1. Real flow is the exchange of goods and services between household and firms whereas money flow is the monetary exchange between two sectors. 2. In real flow household sector supplies raw material, land, labour, capital and enterprise to firms and in return firms sector provides finished goods and services to household sector. Whereas in money flow, firm sector gives remuneration in the form of money to household sector a wages and salaries, rent, interest etc. 3. Difficulties of barter system for the exchange of goods and factor services between households and firms sector in real flow, whereas no such difficulty or inconvenience arise in money flow. 4. When goods and services flow from one sector of the economy to another. it is known as real flow. Phases or Stages of Circular Flow of Income Production, consumption expenditure and generation of income are the three basic economic activities of an economy that go on endlessly and are titled as circular flow of income.
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Production gives rise to income, income gives rise to demand for goods and services; such a demand gives rise to expenditure and expenditure induces for further production. The whole process forms the basis for circular flow of income and related activities- production, income and expenditure are known as phases or stages of circular flow of income. Production Income Expenditure Production. 1. Production Phase - Production means creation of utility to satisfy human wants. It involves the co-ordination of all the factors of production in some desired ratio. This job is performed by a producer or firm who takes an initiative with the motive of earning profits. He hires land, labour, capital and an organization and makes them payment in the form of rent, wages and salaries and interest. This phase is to produce goods and services and after selling them, it generates income. 2. Income Phase - Producing firms earn revenue from the sale of goods and services produced by them. Whole of the earning is divided between factors provided by household sector in the form of rent, wages, interest and profits. Such an income is classified into three parts:- Compensation of employees- Wages, salaries, commission, bonus etc. Operating Surplus- Profits, rent, interest, royalty etc. Mixed Income- Income of self- employed Thus production takes the shape of income of household sector. 3. Expenditure Phase - Household sector spends its income to satisfy unlimited and recurring human wants. Any saving out of total income takes the shape of investment on capital goods that helps in generating the income of the economy. Expenditure becomes the income of producing sector that promotes further the uninterrupted flow of income. METHODS OF MEASURING NATIONAL INCOME: In national income estimates, by definition, we have to count all those goods and services produced in the country and exchanged against money during the year. Thus, whatever is produced is either used for consumption or saving. Thus national output can be computed at any of the three levels, namely, production, distribution and expenditure. Accordingly, three methods of estimating national income may be used, viz, the output method, income method and expenditure method. Output Method This method measures the output of the country and is also called as the inventory method. It involves the assessment, through census, of the gross value of production of goods
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and services produced in different economic sectors by all the productive enterprises in the economy. The symbolic expression for this method may be given as follows: Y =(P r -D) +(S-T) +(X M) +(R-P) 2.1 Where Y =national income P r =domestic output of all production sectors D =depreciation allowance S =subsidies T =indirect taxes X =exports M =imports R =receipt from abroad P =payment made abroad When using this method, there are certain precautions that we must take against the danger of double counting. To avoid double counting, we must add only the final products. Raw materials and intermediate goods should not be added as that would lead to double counting. There are two approaches to avoid the possibility of double counting in the measurement of national income. 1. Final goods method 2. Value added method In the final goods method of estimating national income, only the final value of goods and services are computed, ignoring all intermediate transactions. Intermediate goods are involved in the process of producing final goods the final flow of output purchased by consumers. Thus, the final output includes the value of intermediate goods. In the value added method, a summation of the increase in value, at each separate production stage, leading to output in the final form is used for estimating the national income. From the total value created at a given stage, we should thus subtract all the costs of materials and intermediate goods not produced in that stage. In other words, the value of inputs at a given stage should be deducted from the value of output. Census of Income Method
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In this method, the income of all factors of production is added together. The data are compiled from books of accounts, reports, and published accounts. The following classification of income is considered as comprehensive, (a) wages and salaries, (b) supplemental labour income (social security etc) (c) earnings of self-employed or professional income, (d) dividends, (e) undistributed profits (retained earnings of firms), (f) interest, (g) rent, (h) profit of state enterprises. However, transfer payments like gift subsidies, etc. should be subtracted from the total factor income. Thus, national income is equal to the factor income minus transfer payments. This method is also known as factor cost method. Thus, the national income of a country at factor cost is equivalent to the sum total of disbursements of their factors income which can be symbolically expressed as: Y =(w +r +i +) +(X M) +(R-P) 2.2 Where Y =national income w =wages r =rent i =interest =profits X =exports M =imports R =receipt from abroad, P =payment made abroad
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The Expenditure or Outlay Method National income on the expenditure side is equal to the value of consumption plus investment. In this method, we have to estimate private and pubic expenditure on consumer goods and services, add the value of investment in fixed capital and stocks, with due consideration for net positive or negative inventories, and add the value of exports and deduct the value of imports. This method is not as popular as the previous ones. To express it in symbolic terms, Y =(C+I+G) +(X M) +(R-P) 2.3 Where C =consumption expenditure I =investment expenditure G =government purchases X =exports M =imports R =receipt from abroad P =payment made abroad Now that we have discussed the three methods of estimating national income, let us discuss the Keynesian theory of estimating national income in detail. In Keyness analytical framework, the entire economy is divided into four sectors, viz., household sector, firms or business sector, government sector, and foreign sector. When we discussed the circular flow of income, we discussed the two sector, three sector, and four sector model. Let us recall the two sector model. When an economy is in the state of equilibrium the following conditions must be fulfilled. Factor payments =Wages +Interest +Rent +Profit Wages +Interest +Rent +Profit =Household Income Value of output =Factor Payments Household income =Household Expenditure Household Expenditure =Value of output The amount of goods and services that firms produce constitute the Aggregate Supply (AS). Its value equals factor payments. The household expenditure represents the Aggregate
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Demand (AD). According to Keynesian theory of income determination, the equilibrium is reached where aggregate demand (AD) equals the aggregate supply (AS). CONCEPTS OF NATIONAL INCOME: National income is the sum total of wages, rent, interest, and profit earned by the factors of production of a country in a year. Thus it is the aggregate values of goods and services rendered during a given period counted without duplication. Below are given some of the important concepts of national income. 1. Gross Domestic Product at Market Price. 2. Gross National Product at Market Price. 3. Net Domestic Product at Market Price. 4. Net National Product at Market Price. 5. Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost. 6. Net National Product at Factor Cost. 7. Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost. 8. Gross National Product at Factor Cost. 9. Private Income. 10. Personal Income 11. Disposable Income. (1) Gross Domestic Product at Market Price (GDP at MP):- Gross domestic product at market price is the aggregate money value of the final goods and services produced within the country's own territory. So as to calculate GDP at MP all goods and services produced in the domestic territory are multiplied by their respective prices. Symbolically GDP at MP =PXQ. Where P is market price and Q is final goods and services. GDP includes only those goods which come to the market for sale. The values of final goods are only expressed in money terms. Value of depreciation and transfer payments are not included in GDP at MP. The value of second hand goods is excluded from gross domestic product. [Gross Domestic Product at Market Price = value of gross domestic output - value of intermediate consumption] (2) Gross National Product of Market Price (GNP at MP):- Gross national product at market price is broade and comprehensive concept. GNP at MP measures the money value of all the final products produced annually in a counter plus net factor
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income from abroad. In short GNP is GDP plus net factor incomes earned from abroad. Net factor incomes is derived by reducing the factor incomes earned by foreigners from the country, in question from the factor incomes earned by the residents of that country from abroad. [Gross National Product at Market Price =Gross domestic product at market price +Net factor income from abroad.] (3) Net Domestic Product at Market Price (NDP at MP):- Net domestic product- at market price is the difference between Net National Product at market price and net factor income from abroad. Net domestic product at market price is the difference been GNP at market price minus depreciation and net factor incomes from abroad. [Net Domestic Product at Market Price =GNP at MP - Depreciation - Net factors income form abroad] (4) Net National Product at Market Price (NNP at MP):- Net National product measures the net money value of final goods and services at current prices produced in a year in a country. It is the gross national product at market price less depreciation. In production of output capital assets are constantly used up. This fixed capital consumption is called depreciation. Depreciation constitutes loss of value of fixed capital. Thus net national product is the net money value of final goods and services produced in the course of a year. Net money value can be arrived at by excluding depreciation allowance from total output. [NNP at MP =GNP at MP - Depreciation] (5) Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost (NDP at FC):- Net Domestic product of factor cost or domestic income is the income earned by all the factors of production within the domestic territory of a country during a year in the form of wages, interest, profit and rent etc. Thus NDP at FC is a territorial concept. In other words NDP at factor cost is equal to NNP at FC less net factor income from abroad. [NDP at FC =NNP at FC - Net factor income from abroad] (6) Net National Product at Factor Cost (NNP at FC) Net national product at factor cost is the aggregate payments made to the factors of production. NNP at FC is the total incomes earned by all the factors of production in the form of wages, profits, rent, interest etc. plus net factor income from abroad. NNP at FC is the NDP at FC plus net factor income from abroad. NNP at FC can also be derived by excluding depreciation from GNP at FC.
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[NNP at FC =NDP at FC +Net Factor Income from abroad]
(7) Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost (GDP at FC): Gross Domestic Product at factor cost refers to the value of all the final goods and services produced within the domestic territory of a country. If depreciation or consumption of fixed capital is added to the net domestic product at factor cost, it is called Gross domestic Product at Factor cost. [GDP at FC =NDP at FC - Depreciation] (8) Gross National Product at Factor Cost (GNP at FC):- Gross national product at factor cost is obtained by deducting the indirect tax and adding subsidies to GNP at market price or Gross national Product at factor cost is obtained by adding net factor incomes from abroad to the GDP at factor cost. [GNP at FC =GNP at MP - Indirect tax +Subsidies] or, [GNP at FC =GDP at FC +Net Factor Income from abroad] (9) Private Income:- Private income means the income earned by private individuals from any source whether productive or unproductive. It can be arrived at from NNP at factor cost by making certain additions and deduction. The additions include (a) transfer earnings from Govt, (b) interest on national debt (c) current transfers from rest of the world. The deductions include (a) Income from property and entrepreneurship (b) savings of the non- departmental undertakings (e) social security contributions. In order to arrive at private income the above additions and subtraction are to be made to and from NNP at factor Cost. [Private Income =NNP at FC +transfer payments +Interest on public debt - social securities - profits and surpluses of public undertakings] (10) Personal Income:- Personal Income is the total income received by the individuals of country from all sources before direct taxes. Personal income is not the same as National Income, because personal income includes the transfer payments where as they are not included in national income. Personal income includes the wages, salaries, interest and rent received by the
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individuals. Personal income is derived by excluding undistributed corporate profit taxes etc. from National Income. [Personal Income =Private Income - Saving of Private enterprise - Corporate tax] (11) Disposable Income:- Disposable income means the actual income which can be spent on consumption by individuals and families. It refers to the purchasing power of the house hold. The whole of disposable income is not spent on consumptions; a part of it is paid in the form of direct tax. Thus disposable income is that part of income, which is left after the exclusion of direct tax. [Disposable Income =Personal Income - Direct tax] DETERMINATION OF NATIONAL INCOME: Keynesian Model of Income Determination in a Two Sector Economy Introduction This model assumes that the aggregate supply curve is perfectly elastic up to the full employment level of output after which it becomes perfectly inelastic. Hence price level, until the full employment level, will be determined solely by the height of the supply curve. Hence, the price variable gets less attention while entire focus is on the determination of equilibrium level of income, which is determined solely by the aggregate demand. Aggregate Demand in a Two Sector Economy The following are the postulations for the above analysis. 1. The prices are constant or invariable 2. Given the price level, the firms are willing to sell any amount of the output at that price level 3. The short run aggregate supply curve is perfectly elastic or flat 4. Investment is assumed to be autonomous and thus independent of the income level 5. There exist only two sectors in the economy, the households and the firms Aggregate demand is the total amount of goods demanded in an economy. The aggregate demand function can be expressed as AD =C +I Where, C =aggregate demand for consumers goods I =aggregate demand for investment goods
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Determination of equilibrium income or output in a Two Sector Economy In the most basic terms, an economy can be said to be in equilibrium when the production plans of the firms and the expenditure plans of the households are realized. Below are the postulations of the analysis 1. There exists only two sectors of the economy, there is no government sector and foreign sector 2. All the factors of production are owned by the households who sell the factor services to earn an income. With a part of this income, they purchase goods and services and save the rest 3. As there is no government in the economy there are no taxes and subsidies and no government expenditure 4. As there are no foreign sectors in the economy there are no exports and imports and external inflows and outflows 5. As far as the firms are concerned there are no undistributed profits 6. All the prices are constant and does not change 7. The technology and the supply of capital are given 8. According to Keynesian theory, there are two approaches, they are Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Supply Approach and Saving Investment Approach The Keynesian Model of Income Determination in a Three Sector Economy - Introduction of the Government Sector Introduction The action of government relating to its expenditures, transfers and taxes is called the fiscal policy. Here we focus on three fiscal policy models which are in increasing order of complexity, with the emphasis being on the government expenditure, taxation and the income level. Determination of Equilibrium Income or Output In a Three Sector Economy Though the government is involved in a variety of activates three of them are of greater relevance to us in the present context. Hence we will focus on these activities of the government, which are discussed below: 1. Government Expenditure
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This includes goods purchased by the central, state and the local government and also the payments made to the government employees. 2. Transfers These are those government payments which do not involve any direct services by the recipient for instance welfare payments, unemployment insurance and others. 3. Taxes These include taxes on property, income and goods. Taxes can be classified into two categories, direct taxes and indirect taxes. Direct taxes are levied directly and include personal income and corporate income tax. They are paid as a part of the price of the goods. We simplify our analysis by making a few postulations, which are as follows. 1. The government purchases factor services from the household sector and goods and services from the firms. 2. Transfer payment includes subsidies to the firms and pensions to the household sector. 3. The government levels only direct taxes on the household sector. We here introduce the notion of an income leakage and an injection. In a two sector model, a part of the current income stream leaked out as saving whereas injections in the form of investment were injected into the system. In a three sector model taxes, like saving, are income leakages whereas government expenditures like investment are injections. Solution The equilibrium condition in the three sector economy is given as Y = C +I +G The Keynesian Model of Income Determination in a Four Sector Economy Determination of Equilibrium income or output in a Four Sector The inclusion of the foreign sector in the analysis influences the level of aggregate demand through the export and import of goods and services. Hence it is necessary to understand the factors that influence the exports and imports. The volume of exports in any economy depends on the following factors: 1. The prices of the exports in any domestic economy relative to the price in the other countries.
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2. The income level in the other economies. 3. Tastes, Preferences, customs and traditions in the other economies. 4. The tariff and trade policies between the domestic economy and the other economies. 5. The domestic economys level of imports. .The equilibrium condition is given as Y = C +I +G +X M In equilibrium in a four sector model, leakages equal injections or C +I +G +X = C +S +T +M
AGGREGATE DEMAND (AD) CURVE In macroeconomics, the focus is on the demand and supply of all goods and services produced by an economy. Accordingly, the demand for all individual goods and services is also combined and referred to as aggregate demand. The supply of all individual goods and services is also combined and referred to as aggregate supply. Like the demand and supply for individual goods and services, the aggregate demand and aggregate supply for an economy can be represented by a schedule, a curve, or by an algebraic equation The aggregate demand curve represents the total quantity of all goods (and services) demanded by the economy at different price levels. An example of an aggregate demand curve is given in Figure 1 .
Figure 1 An aggregate demand curve
The vertical axis represents the price level of all final goods and services. The aggregate price level is measured by either the GDP deflator or the CPI. The horizontal axis represents the real
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quantity of all goods and services purchased as measured by the level of real GDP. Notice that the aggregate demand curve, AD, like the demand curves for individual goods, is downward sloping, implying that there is an inverse relationship between the price level and the quantity demanded of real GDP. The reasons for the downward-sloping aggregate demand curve are different from the reasons given for the downward-sloping demand curves for individual goods and services. The demand curve for an individual good is drawn under the assumption that the prices of other goods remain constant and the assumption that buyers' incomes remain constant. As the price of good X rises, the demand for good X falls because the relative price of other goods is lower and because buyers' real incomes will be reduced if they purchase good X at the higher price. The aggregate demand curve, however, is defined in terms of the price level. A change in the price level implies that many prices are changing, including the wages paid to workers. As wages change, so do incomes. Consequently, it is not possible to assume that prices and incomes remain constant in the construction of the aggregate demand curve. Hence, one cannot explain the downward slope of the aggregate demand curve using the same reasoning given for the downward-sloping individual product demand curves. Reasons for a downward-sloping aggregate demand curve. Three reasons cause the aggregate demand curve to be downward sloping. The first is the wealth effect. The aggregate demand curve is drawn under the assumption that the government holds the supply of money constant. One can think of the supply of money as representing the economy's wealth at any moment in time. As the price level rises, the wealth of the economy, as measured by the supply of money, declines in value because the purchasing power of money falls. As buyers become poorer, they reduce their purchases of all goods and services. On the other hand, as the price level falls, the purchasing power of money rises. Buyers become wealthier and are able to purchase more goods and services than before. The wealth effect, therefore, provides one reason for the inverse relationship between the price level and real GDP that is reflected in the downward-sloping demand curve. A second reason is the interest rate effect. As the price level rises, households and firms require more money to handle their transactions. However, the supply of money is fixed. The increased demand for a fixed supply of money causes the price of money, the interest rate, to rise. As the interest rate rises, spending that is sensitive to rate of interest will decline. Hence, the
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interest rate effect provides another reason for the inverse relationship between the price level and the demand for real GDP. The third and final reason is the net exports effect. As the domestic price level rises, foreign-made goods become relatively cheaper so that the demand for imports increases. However, the rise in the domestic price level also means that domestic-made goods are relatively more expensive to foreign buyers so that the demand for exports decreases. When exports decrease and imports increase, net exports (exports - imports) decrease. Because net exports are a component of real GDP, the demand for real GDP declines as net exports decline. Changes in aggregate demand. Changes in aggregate demand are represented by shifts of the aggregate demand curve. An illustration of the two ways in which the aggregate demand curve can shift is provided in Figure 2 .
Figure 2 Shifts of the aggregate demand curve
A shift to the right of the aggregate demand curve. from AD 1 to AD 2 , means that at the same price levels the quantity demanded of real GDP has increased. A shift to the left of the aggregate demand curve, from AD 1 to AD 3 , means that at the same price levels the quantity demanded of real GDP has decreased. Changes in aggregate demand are not caused by changes in the price level. Instead, they are caused by changes in the demand for any of the components of real GDP, changes in the demand for consumption goods and services, changes in investment spending, changes in the government's demand for goods and services, or changes in the demand for net exports. Consider several examples. Suppose consumers were to decrease their spending on all goods and services, perhaps as a result of a recession. Then, the aggregate demand curve would shift to the left. Suppose interest rates were to fall so that investors increased their investment
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spending; the aggregate demand curve would shift to the right. If government were to cut spending to reduce a budget deficit, the aggregate demand curve would shift to the left. If the incomes of foreigners were to rise, enabling them to demand more domestic-made goods, net exports would increase, and aggregate demand would shift to the right. These are just a few of the many possible ways the aggregate demand curve may shift. None of these explanations, however, has anything to do with changes in the price level. AGGREGATE SUPPLY (AS) CURVE The aggregate supply curve depicts the quantity of real GDP that is supplied by the economy at different price levels. The reasoning used to construct the aggregate supply curve differs from the reasoning used to construct the supply curves for individual goods and services. The supply curve for an individual good is drawn under the assumption that input prices remain constant. As the price of good X rises, sellers' per unit costs of providing good X do not change, and so sellers are willing to supply more of good X-hence, the upward slope of the supply curve for good X. The aggregate supply curve, however, is defined in terms of the price level. Increases in the price level will increase the price that producers can get for their products and thus induce more output. But an increase in the price will also have a second effect; it will eventually lead to increases in input prices as well, which, ceteris paribus, will cause producers to cut back. So, there is some uncertainty as to whether the economy will supply more real GDP as the price level rises. In order to address this issue, it has become customary to distinguish between two types of aggregate supply curves, the short-run aggregate supply curve and the long-run aggregate supply curve. Short-run aggregate supply curve. The short-run aggregate supply (SAS) curve is considered a valid description of the supply schedule of the economy only in the short-run. The short-run is the period that begins immediately after an increase in the price level and that ends when input prices have increased in the same proportion to the increase in the price level. Input prices are the prices paid to the providers of input goods and services. These input prices include the wages paid to workers, the interest paid to the providers of capital, the rent paid to landowners, and the prices paid to suppliers of intermediate goods. When the price level of final goods rises, the cost of living increases for those who provide input goods and services. Once these input providers realize that the cost of living has increased, they will increase the
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prices that they charge for their input goods and services in proportion to the increase in the price level for final goods. The presumption underlying the SAS curve is that input providers do not or cannot take account of the increase in the general price level right away so that it takes some timereferred to as the short-runfor input prices to fully reflect changes in the price level for final goods. For example, workers often negotiate multi-year contracts with their employers. These contracts usually include a certain allowance for an increase in the price level, called a cost of living adjustment (COLA). The COLA, however, is based on expectations of the future price level that may turn out to be wrong. Suppose, for example, that workers underestimate the increase in the price level that occurs during the multi-year contract. Depending on the terms of the contract, the workers may not have the opportunity to correct their mistaken estimates of inflation until the contract expires. In this case, their wage increases will lag behind the increases in the price level for some time. During the short-run, sellers of final goods are receiving higher prices for their products, without a proportional increase in the cost of their inputs. The higher the price level, the more these sellers will be willing to supply. The SAS curvedepicted in Figure 1 (a)is therefore upward sloping, reflecting the positive relationship that exists between the price level and the quantity of goods supplied in the short-run.
Figure 1The aggregate supply curve
Long-run aggregate supply curve. The long-run aggregate supply (LAS) curve describes the economy's supply schedule in the long-run. The long-run is defined as the period when input prices have completely adjusted to changes in the price level of final goods. In the long-run, the increase in prices that
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sellers receive for their final goods is completely offset by the proportional increase in the prices that sellers pay for inputs. The result is that the quantity of real GDP supplied by all sellers in the economy is independent of changes in the price level. The LAS curvedepicted in Figure 1 (b)is a vertical line, reflecting the fact that long-run aggregate supply is not affected by changes in the price level. Note that the LAS curve is vertical at the point labeled as the natural level of real GDP. The natural level of real GDP is defined as the level of real GDP that arises when the economy is fully employing all of its available input resources. Changes in aggregate supply. Changes in aggregate supply are represented by shifts of the aggregate supply curve. An illustration of the ways in which the SAS and LAS curves can shift is provided in Figures 2 (a) and 2 (b). A shift to the right of the SAS curve from SAS 1 to SAS 2 of the LAS curve from LAS 1 to LAS 2 means that at the same price levels the quantity supplied of real GDP has increased. A shift to the left of the SAS curve from SAS 1 to SAS 3 or of the LAS curve from LAS 1 to LAS 3 means that at the same price levels the quantity supplied of real GDP has decreased
Figure 2Shifts of the aggregate supply curve
Like changes in aggregate demand, changes in aggregate supply are not caused by changes in the price level. Instead, they are primarily caused by changes in two other factors. The first of these is a change in input prices. For example, the price of oil, an input good, increased dramatically in the 1970s due to efforts by oil-exporting countries to restrict the quantity of oil sold. Many final goods and services use oil or oil products as inputs. Suppliers of these final goods and services faced rising costs and had to reduce their supply at all price levels. The decrease in aggregate supply, caused by the increase in input prices, is represented by a shift to
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the left of the SAS curve because the SAS curve is drawn under the assumption that input prices remain constant. An increase in aggregate supply due to a decrease in input prices is represented by a shift to the right of the SAS curve. A second factor that causes the aggregate supply curve to shift is economic growth. Positive economic growth results from an increase in productive resources, such as labor and capital. With more resources, it is possible to produce more final goods and services, and hence, the natural level of real GDP increases. Positive economic growth is therefore represented by a shift to the right of the LAS curve. Similarly, negative economic growth decreases the natural level of real GDP, causing the LAS curve to shift to the left. MACRO ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM: A state of national economic activity wherein aggregate demand is met by aggregate supply. Significant movement on either side will affect prices, employment and resources.
COMPONENTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND: The national income and employment in the short run in an economy depend upon aggregate Demand and aggregate supply. The concept of aggregate demand and aggregate supply was coined by J.M.Keynes a notable English Economist. He showed the mutual relationship between aggregate demand and aggregate supply determines the level of income and employment in a free market Economy, to him the deficiency of aggregate demand relative to aggregate supply of output at full employment of resources given rise to Unemployment. Aggregate demand is the total expenditure which the consumers, producers and government are willing to make on goods and services in a year. The aggregate demand (AD) Comprises of four components (i) consumption demand (ii) Investment demand (iii) Government expenditure on final good, and services and (iv) Net of exports over imports consumption expenditure is denoted by C, investment expenditure by I and Govt expenditure by G and exports by Xn. The net exports is calculated by the difference between X-M=Xn Thus Aggregate demand (AD) =C+I+G+Xn
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Consumption demand: The demand for consumer goods and services depends on the propensity to consume and the level of income of the community. Propensity to consume refers to the general income consumption relationship. It represents functional relationship between two aggregates, i.e. total consumption and total income it indicates the proportion of the aggregate income that shall spent on consumption at various levels of income. Investment demand: Investment demand is another component of Aggregate demand. Investment means buying of new physical capital assets such as machinery, tools, equipment, buildings. Expenditure on the stock of consumer goods and ratio materials is also considered as investment. The investment demand depends on two factors. (i) Marginal efficiency of capital (ii) The rate of interest. The marginal efficiency of capital (MEC) refers to the expected profitability of a capital asset. It may be defined as the highest rate of return over cost expected from the marginal or additional unit of a capital asset. Between the two factors rate of interest is comparatively sticky and does not frequently charge in the short run. Given the rate of interest changes in investment demand in the short run occur due to the changes in marginal efficiency of capital. Thus investment demand depends on the profitability from the employment of additional capital unit. Government purchases: The Government expenditure on final goods and services constitutes another component of aggregate demand. The Govt purchases goods and services for two purposes. Firstly the Govt spends on the infrastructure like construction of highways, flood control project, education, communication etc. This is the developmental expenditure of the Govt, secondly the Govt, spend on police and public administration, defence and other social services. The first type of Govt, expenditure resembles private investment expenditure and the second type resembles private consumption expenditure. There expenditures are not productive as it does not help in producing further goods. Govt, also make expenditure on social security measures like old age pension sickness benefits, subsidies etc. This type of expenditure is call cash transfer or transfer payment.
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It is important to note the Govt; expenditure is independent of national income an autonomous in nature like private investment expenditure. Net Exports: Export means shipping goods to foreign countries for it represents foreign demand for country's product. The export revenue i.e. the amount of expenditure on the goods of the exporting country by the foreign people adds to the total expenditure of aggregate demand in the exporting country's economy. Thus exports are like investment expenditure as both create income and demand for good. As against the export imports of a country generate demand for foreign goods. Therefore imports constitute leakage from the domestic flow of income and reduce domestic aggregate demand. Thus net exports over imports (X - M) of a country are a component of aggregate demand COMPONENTS OF NATIONAL INCOME: Compensation of employees Proprietors Income Corporate profits Rental Income of Persons Net Interest MULTIPLIER EFFECT: Every time there is an injection of new demand into the circular flow there is likely to be a multiplier effect. This is because an injection of extra income leads to more spending, which creates more income, and so on. The multiplier effect refers to the increase in final income arising from any new injection of spending. The size of the multiplier depends upon households marginal decisions to spend, called the marginal propensity to consume (mpc), or to save, called the marginal propensity to save (mps). It is important to remember that when income is spent, this spending becomes someone elses income, and so on. Marginal propensities show the proportion of extra income allocated to particular activities, such as investment spending by UK firms, saving by households, and spending on imports from abroad. For example, if 80% of all new income in a given period of time is spent on UK products, the marginal propensity to consume would be 80/100, which is 0.8.
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The following general formula to calculate the multiplier uses marginal propensities, as follows: 1/1-mpc Hence, if consumers spend 0.8 and save 0.2 of every 1 of extra income, the multiplier will be: 1/1-0.8 =1/0.2 =5 Hence, the multiplier is 5, which means that every 1 of new income generates 5 of extra income. The multiplier effect in an open economy As well as calculating the multiplier in terms of how extra income gets spent, we can also measure the multiplier in terms of how much of the extra income goes in savings, and other withdrawals. A full open economy has all sectors, and therefore, three withdrawals savings, taxation and imports. This is indicated by the marginal propensity to save (mps) plus the extra income going to the government - the marginal tax rate (mtr) plus the amount going abroad the marginal propensity to import (mpm). By adding up all the withdrawals we get the marginal propensity to withdraw (mpw). The multiplier can now be calculated by the following general equation: 1/1- mpw When to refer to a multiplier effect The multiplier concept can be used any situation where there is a new injection into an economy. Examples of such situations include: 1. When the government funds building of a new motorway 2. When there is an increase in exports abroad 3. When there is a reduction in interest rates or tax rates, or when the exchange rate falls. The downward or 'reverse' multiplier
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A withdrawal of income from the circular flow will lead to a downward multiplier effect. Therefore, whenever there is an increased withdrawal, such as a rise in savings, import spending or taxation, there is a potential downward multiplier effect on the rest of the economy. DEMAND SIDE POLICY: Demand-side economics stimulates demand to promote economic growth in times of economic downturn. Key features of demand-side economics include monetary policy and government spending on infrastructure or wage-based tax cuts to promote spending. This type of economics is also referred to as Keynesianism or New Keynesian economics after the economist John Maynard Keynes, who popularized the theory. Objectives of monetary policy: 1. Ensuring price stability: Monetary policy is best suited to the achievement of price stability. Price stability means reasonable rate of inflation. A high degree of inflation has adverse effects on the economy. Inflation raises the cost of living of the people and hurts the poor most. Due to higher rate of inflation value of money is rapidly falling; people do not have many incentives to save. This lowers the rate of saving on which investment and economic growth depend. At last a high rate of inflation encourages businessman to invest in the productive assets such as gold, jewellery, real estate,etc An expert committee on monetary reforms headed by late Prof. S. Chakravarty suggested 4 percent rate of inflation as reasonable rate of inflation and recommended that monetary policy by RBI should be so formulated that ensures that rate of inflation does not exceed per cent per annum 2. To encourage economic growth: Promoting economic growth is another important objective of the monetary policy. In the past reserve Bank has been criticized that it pursued the objective of achieving price stability and neglected the objective of promoting economic growth. Monetary policy can promote economic growth through ensuring adequate availability of credit and lower cost of credit. First they have to finance their requirements of working capital and for importing needed raw materials and machines from abroad. Secondly they need credit for financing investment in projects for building fixed capital. Easy availability of credit at low interest rate stimulates investment and thereby quickens economic growth.
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3. To ensure stability of exchange rate of the rupee The changes in capital inflows and capital outflows and changes in demand for and supply of foreign exchange particularly US dollar arising from the imports and exports cause great fluctuations in the foreign exchange of rupee. In order to prevent large depreciation and appreciation of foreign exchange rate reserve bank has to take suitable monetary measures to ensure foreign exchange stability. To arrest the fall in value of rupee reserve bank 1. Raised the bank rate from 7 percent to 8 percent and thus sending signals to the banks to raise their lending rates. 2. Cash reserve ratio was raised from 7 percent to 7.5 percent to reduce liquidity in the banking system. FISCAL POLICY: Definition Government spending policies that influence macroeconomic conditions. These policies affect tax rates, interest rates and government spending, in an effort to control the economy. What is Fiscal Policy? Fiscal policy is the means by which a government adjusts its levels of spending in order to monitor and influence a nations economy. Fiscal policy and Monetary policy go hand in hand with each other. Both are interdependent on each other. Before the Great Depression in the United States, the governments approach to the economy was laissez faire. But following the Second World War, it was determined that the government had to take a proactive role in the economy to regulate unemployment, business cycles, inflation and the cost of money. By using a mixture of both monetary and fiscal policies (depending on the political orientations and the philosophies of those in power at a particular time, one policy may dominate over another), governments are able to control economic phenomena. Objectives of Fiscal Policy 1. To achieve desirable price level: The stability of general prices is necessary for economic stability. The maintenance of a desirable price level has good effects on production, employment and national income. Fiscal policy should be used to remove; fluctuations in price level so that ideal level is maintained. 2. To Achieve desirable consumption level:
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A desirable consumption level is important for political, social and economic consideration. Consumption can be affected by expenditure and tax policies of the government. Fiscal policy should be used to increase welfare of the economy through consumption level. 3. To Achieve desirable employment level: The efficient employment level is most important in determining the living standard of the people. It is necessary for political stability and for maximization of production. Fiscal policy should achieve this level. 4. To achieve desirable income distribution: The distribution of income determines the type of economic activities the amount of savings. In this way, it is related to prices, consumption and employment. Income distribution should be equal to the most possible degree. Fiscal policy can achieve equality in distribution of income. 5. Increase in capital formation: In under-developed countries deficiency of capital is the main reason for under- development. Large amounts are required for industry and economic development. Fiscal policy can divert resources and increase capital. 6. Degree of inflation: In under-developed countries, a degree of inflation is required for economic development. After a limit, inflationary be used to get rid of this situation.
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UNIT-V UNEMPLOYMENT CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT The main causes of unemployment - including: demand deficient, structural, frictional and real wage unemployment. Different Causes of Unemployment 1. Frictional Unemployment: This is unemployment caused by the time people take to move between jobs, e.g. graduates or people changing jobs. There will always be some frictional unemployment in an economy because information isn't perfect and it takes time to find work. 2. Structural Unemployment This occurs due to a mismatch of skills in the labor market it can be caused by: Occupational immobility. This refers to the difficulties in learning new skills applicable to a new industry, and technological change, e.g. an unemployed farmer may struggle to find work in high tech industries. Geographical immobility. This refers to the difficulty in moving regions to get a job, e.g. there may be jobs in London, but it could be difficult to find suitable accommodation or schooling for their children. Technological change. If there is the development of labor saving technology in some industries, then there will be a fall in demand for labor. Structural change in the economy. The decline of the coal mines due to a lack of competitiveness meant that many coal miners were unemployed; however they found it difficult to get jobs in new industries such as computers. 3. Classical or Real Wage Unemployment: This occurs when wages in a competitive labor market are pushed above the equilibrium, e.g. at W2 the supply of labor (Q3) is greater than the demand for labor (Q2). Wages could be pushed above the equilibrium level by minimum wages or trades unions. This is sometimes known as disequilibrium unemployment.
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4. Voluntary Unemployment This occurs when people choose to remain unemployed rather than take jobs available. For example, if benefits are generous, people may prefer to stay on benefits rather than get work. Frictional unemployment is also a type of voluntary unemployment as they are choosing to wait until they find a better job.
5. Demand Deficient or Cyclical Unemployment Demand deficient unemployment occurs when the economy is below full capacity. For example, in a recession Aggregate Demand (AD) will fall leading to a decline in output and negative economic growth. With a fall in output firms will employ less workers because they are producing less goods. Also some firms will go out of business leading to large scale redundancies. In recessions, unemployment tends to rise rapidly as firms lay off workers. DEFINITION OF 'OKUN'S LAW' The relationship between an economy's unemployment rate and its gross national product (GNP). Twentieth-century economist Arthur Okun developed this idea, which states that when unemployment falls by 1%, GNP rises by 3%. However, the law only holds true for the U.S. economy, and only applies when the unemployment rate falls between 3-7.5%. Other version of Okun's Law focus on a relationship between unemployment and GDP, whereby a percentage increase in unemployment causes a 2% fall in GDP. IMPACT OF INFLATION: Inflation is caused due to several economic factors: When the government of a country print money in excess, prices increase to keep up with the increase in currency, leading to inflation. Increase in production and labor costs, have a direct impact on the price of the final product, resulting in inflation. When countries borrow money, they have to cope with the interest burden. This interest burden results in inflation. High taxes on consumer products, can also lead to inflation.
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Demands pull inflation, wherein the economy demands more goods and services than what is produced. Cost push inflation or supply shock inflation, wherein non availability of a commodity would lead to increase in prices. Problems The problems due to inflation would be: When the balance between supply and demand goes out of control, consumers could change their buying habits, forcing manufacturers to cut down production. The mortgage crisis of 2007 in USA could best illustrate the ill effects of inflation. Housing prices increases substantially from 2002 onwards, resulting in a dramatic decrease in demand. Inflation can create major problems in the economy. Price increase can worsen the poverty affecting low income household, Inflation creates economic uncertainty and is a dampener to the investment climate slowing growth and finally it reduce savings and thereby consumption. The producers would not be able to control the cost of raw material and labor and hence the price of the final product. This could result in less profit or in some extreme case no profit, forcing them out of business. Manufacturers would not have an incentive to invest in new equipment and new technology. Uncertainty would force people to withdraw money from the bank and convert it into product with long lasting value like gold, artifacts. Inflation in India Economy India after independence has had a more stable record with respect to inflation than most other developing countries. Since 1950, the inflation in Indian economy has been in single digits for most of the years Between 1950-1960 The inflation on an average was at 2.00% Between 1960-1970 The inflation on an average was at 7.2% Between 1970-1980
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The inflation on an average was at 8.5%. Inflation At Present Inflation in India a menace a few years ago is at a 30 year low. The inflation ended at a low of 0.61% in the week ended May 9, 2009 this after reaching a 16 year high of 12.91 % in August 2008, bringing in a sigh of relief to policymakers. REASONS; 1. Increase in Demand and fall in supply causes rise in prices. 2. A Growing Economy has to pass through Inflation. 3. Lack of Competition and Advanced Technology (increases cost of production and rise in price) 4. Defective Monetary and Fiscal Policy (In India its fine) 5. Hoarding (when traders hoard goods with intention to sell later at high prices) 6. Weak Public Distribution System DEMAND AND SUPPLY FACTORS : Topic: The Factors that affect the Demand and Supply for goods and services in markets: Some of factors that affect the demand for goods and services given ceteris paribus are the following: (1)Changes in the Price of a good or service (2)Changes in consumers Income spent on goods and services (3)Changes in the Tastes/Preferences of consumers for goods/services (4)Changes in the Prices of related goods and services: Substitutes and Complements (5)Changes in government fiscal policy (spending and taxation) and monetary policy (interest rate etc) (6)Natural disasters (storms, hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, floods etc) (7)Scientific discoveries (medical, chemical etc) (8)Advertising or Commercial ads (9)Changes in the growth rate of a Population (10)The #of consumers in a market (11)Seasonality (Christmas, Easter, Valentines Day etc) (12)Sociological factors (age, sex, education, marriage etc)
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Concisely expressed the above factors that influence demand can be expressed as follows: D =(P, M, T, Prg, Gp, N, S, A, P, #C, S, Sf) Some of factors that affect the supply for goods and services are the following: 1. Changes in the Price of a good or service 2. Changes in Technology (or the State of the Art) of business firms 3. Changes in the Tastes/Preferences of consumers for goods/services 4. Changes in consumers Income spent on goods and services 5. The #of business firms in an industry 6. Changes in the Prices of related goods and services 7. The Costs of factor inputs of firms (labor, capital etc) 8. Seasonality (Christmas, Easter, Valentines day etc) 9. Commercial ads or Advertising 10. Scientific Discoveries (medical, inventions, chemicals etc) 11. Natural Disasters 12. Government fiscal and monetary policies 13. The rate of growth of the Population 14. Sociological factors (age, sex, education, marriage etc) Concisely expressed the above factors that influence the supply schedule or curve can be expressed as follows: S=( P, M , T, Ty, #F, Prg, Cf, Gp, N, S, A, P, S, Sf) The non-price factors that cause a rightward or outward shift or a leftward or inward shift in the demand schedule (curve) for a good or service are the following: SOME NON-PRICE FACTORS THAT AFFECT A DEMAND SCHEDULE (1)Changes in consumers Income spent on goods and services (2)Changes in the Tastes/Preferences of consumers for goods/services (3)Changes in the Prices of related goods and services: Substitutes and Complements (4)Changes in government fiscal policy (spending and taxation) and monetary policy (interest rate etc) (5)Natural disasters (storms, hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, floods etc) (6)Scientific discoveries (medical, chemical etc) (7)Advertising or Commercial ads
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(8)Changes in the growth rate of a Population (9)The #of consumers in a market (10)Seasonality (Christmas, Easter, Valentines Day etc) (11)Sociological factors (age, sex, education, marriage etc) PS: The changes in the price of a good or service in any market will only cause a movement along a consumers demand curve (schedule) given that all the non-price factors are held constant or given ceteris paribus. Thus a change in the price of a good or service will only cause a change in the quantity demanded or Qd of a good or service in a market in a given time period given the assumption of ceteris paribus. See diagram (graph) of demand curve for DVD players discussed in class. The non-price factors that cause a rightward or outward shift or a leftward or inward shift in the supply schedule (curve) for a good or service are the following: SOME NON-PRICE FACTORS THAT AFFECT A SUPPLY SCHEDULE (Please see corresponding diagrams illustrating the appropriate shifts in a firms supply curve (schedule) discussed in class) (1)Changes in Technology (or the State of the Art) of business firms (2)Changes in the Tastes/Preferences of consumers for goods/services (3)Changes in consumers Income spent on goods and services (4)The #of business firms in an industry (5)Changes in the Prices of related goods and services (6)The Costs of factor inputs of firms (labor, capital etc) (7)Seasonality (Christmas, Easter, Valentines day etc) (8)Commercial ads or Advertising (9)Scientific Discoveries (medical, inventions, chemicals etc) (10)Natural Disasters (11)Government fiscal and monetary policies (12)The rate of growth of the Population (13)Sociological factors (age, sex, education, marriage etc) S=( M , T, Ty, #F, Prg, Cf, Gp, N, S, A, P, S, Sf) PS: The changes in the price of a good or service in any market will only cause a movement along a firms supply curve (schedule) given that all the non-price factors are held
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constant or given ceteris paribus. Thus a change in the price of a good or service will only cause a change in the quantity supplied or Qs for a good or service in a market in a given time period given the assumption of ceteris paribus. See diagram (graph) of supply curve for DVD players discussed in class. INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT TRADE OFF The Tradeoff Between Inflation and Unemployment Okun's Law describes a clear relationship between unemployment and national output, in which lowered unemployment results in higher national output. Such a relationship makes intuitive sense: as more people in a nation work it seems only right that the output of the nation should increase. Building on Okun's law, another economist, A. W. Phillips, discovered a relationship between unemployment and inflation. The chain of basic ideas behind this belief follows: as more people work the national output increases, causing wages to increase, causing consumers to have more money and to spend more, resulting in consumers demanding more goods and services, finally causing the prices of goods and services to increase. In other words, Phillips showed that unemployment and inflation shared an inverse relationship: inflation rose as unemployment fell, and inflation fell as unemployment rose. Since two major goals for economic policy makers are to keep both inflation and unemployment low, Phillip's discovery was an important conceptual breakthrough, but also posed a troublesome challenge: how to keep both unemployment and inflation low, when lowering one results in raising the other?
The Phillips Curve
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It is important to remember that the Phillips curve depicted above is simply an example. The actual Phillips curve for a country will vary depending upon the years that it aims to represent. Notice that the inflation rate is represented on the vertical axis in units of percent per year. The unemployment rate is represented on the horizontal axis in units of percent. The curve shows the levels of inflation and unemployment that tend to match together approximately, based on historical data. In this curve, an unemployment rate of 7% seems to correspond to an inflation rate of 4% while an unemployment rate of 2% seems to correspond to an inflation rate of 6%. As unemployment falls, inflation increases. The Phillips curve can be represented mathematically, as well. The equation for the Phillips curve states inflation =[(expected inflation) B] x [(cyclical unemployment rate) + (error)] where B represents a number greater than zero that represents the sensitivity of inflation to unemployment. While the Phillips curve is theoretically useful, however, it less practically helpful. The equation only holds in the short term. In the long run, unemployment always returns to the natural rate of unemployment, making cyclical unemployment zero and inflation equal to expected inflation. Problems with the Phillips Curve and Stagflation In fact, the Phillips curve is not even theoretically perfect. In fact, there are many problems with it if it is taken as denoting anything more than a general relationship between
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unemployment and inflation. In particular, the Phillips curve does a terrible job of explaining the relationship between inflation and unemployment from 1970 to 1984. Inflation in these years was much higher than would have been expected given the unemployment for these years. Such a situation of high inflation and high unemployment is called stagflation. The phenomenon of stagflation is somewhat of a mystery, though many economists believe that it results from changes in the error term of the previously stated Phillips curve equation. These errors can include things like energy cost increases and food price increases. But no matter its source, stagflation of the 1970's and early 1980's seems to refute the general applicability of the Phillips curve. The Phillips curve must not be looked at as an exact set of points that the economy can reach and then remain at in equilibrium. Instead, the curve describes a historical picture of where the inflation rate has tended to be in relation to the unemployment rate. When the relationship is understood in this fashion, it becomes evident that the Phillips curve is useful not as a means of picking an unemployment and inflation rate pair, but rather as a means of understanding how unemployment and inflation might move given historical data. SHORT RUN AND LONGRUN PHILIPS CURVE Short Run Philips Curve The Short run Philips curve is down-ward sloping, showing an inverse relationship between unemployment (u) and inflation. A decrease in interest rates can only be brought about by an increase in interest rates (another reason why Economics is a dismal science - just wait, it gets worse). At any time, the government/Central Bank can determine which interest rate to use, and the economy will adjust to have the unemployment rate that meets the curve at that interest rate.
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Long Run Philips Curve The Long run Philips curve is perfectly vertical, the idea being that in the long run, the Philips curve will assume that form. If the government stays at any point on the short run Philips curve for any significant period of time, people will begin to expect that particular rate of inflation and wages will increase to adjust for that expectation, spurring another round of inflation. This increases the inflation process, raising the inflation rate. To mirror this, the short run Philips curve shifts rightward (with low levels of unemployment and high interest rate) until the point the economy reaches the long run Philips curve (a shift from SRPC1 to SRPC2). Vicious Spiral Upward As a result of this shift, the new position involves just as high an interest rate as before, but the unemployment rate has returned to its natural position. The natural unemployment rate is the rate of unemployment that would cause no shift in the short run Philips Curve, and is somewhere around 10%. This is, for most political situations, an unacceptably high unemployment, hence the need to artificially reduce it by increasing interest rate. Hence, the economy enters a spiral in which interest rates continually increase for only temporary decreases in unemployment (told you it gets worse).
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Vicious Spiral Downward The opposite is also true. If the government persistently sets the interest rate below the position where the short and long run Philips curves cross, then there will be higher than normal unemployment. If this is held for a significant period of time, the short run Philips curve will begin to shift downward, resulting in continually decreasing inflation for temporarily higher- than-normal unemployment. However, the suffering that such an economic policy, while effective, would bring to people is politically unpopular, and the general trend has been to rising inflation rates.
SUPPLY SIDE POLICIES Definition of Supply Side Economics Supply Side economics is the branch of economics that considers how to improve the productive capacity of the economy. It tends to be associated with Monetarist, free market economics. These economists tend to emphasize the benefits of making markets, such as labor markets more flexible. However, some supply side policies can involve government intervention to overcome market failure Supply Side Policies are government attempts to increase productivity and shift Aggregate Supply (AS) to the right. Benefits of Supply Side Policies 1. Lower Inflation. Shifting AS to the right will cause a lower price level. By making the economy more efficient supply side policies will help reduce cost push inflation. 2. Lower Unemployment Supply side policies can help reduce structural, frictional and real wage unemployment and therefore help reduce the natural rate of unemployment. 3. Improved economic growth Supply side policies will increase the sustainable rate of economic growth by increasing AS. 4. Improved trade and Balance of Payments.
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By making firms more productive and competitive they will be able to export more. This is important in light of the increased competition from S.E. Asia. Diagram Showing effect of Supply Side Policies
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Classical view of LRAS shifting to the right.
Keynesian view of LRAS shifting to the right. Supply Side Policies Most supply side policies aim to enable the free market to work more efficiently by reducing govt interference. 1. Privatization. This involves selling state owned assets to the private sector. It is argued that the private sector is more efficient in running business because they have a profit motive to reduce costs and develop better services. 2. Deregulation This involves reducing barriers to entry in order to make the market more competitive. For example BT used to be a Monopoly but now telecommunications is quite competitive. Competition tends to lead to lower prices and better quality of goods / service. 3. Reducing Income Taxes. It is argued that lower taxes (income and corporation) increase the incentives for people
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to work harder, leading to more output. However this is not necessarily true, lower taxes do not always increase work incentives (e.g. if income effect outweighs substitution effect) 4. Increased education and training Better education can improve labor productivity and increase AS. Often there is under- provision of education in a free market, leading to market failure. Therefore the govt may need to subsidize suitable education and training schemes. However govt intervention will cost money, requiring higher taxes, It will take time to have effect and govt may subsidize the wrong types of training 5. Reducing the power of Trades Unions This should a) Increase efficiency of firms e.g. less time lost to strikes b) Reduce unemployment ( if labor markets are competitive) 6. Reducing State Welfare Benefits This may encourage unemployed to take jobs. 7. Providing better information about jobs this may also help reduce frictional unemployment 8. Deregulate financial markets to allow more competition and lower borrowing costs for consumers and firms. 9. Lower Tariff barriers this will increase trade 10. Removing unnecessary red tape and bureaucracy which add to a firms costs 11. Improving Transport and infrastructure. Due to market failure this is likely to need govt intervention to improve transport and reduce congestion. This will help reduce firms costs. 12 Deregulate Labor Markets This is said to be an important objective for the EU to increase competitiveness. E.g. Make it easier to hire and fire workers. Basic Propositions of supply side Economics: 1. Incentives to save and invest 2. Cost push effect of the tax wedge 3. Underground economy 4. Tax revenue and laffer curve.
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THE DEMAND FOR MONEY: The demand for money is affected by several factors, including the level of income, interest rates, and inflation as well as uncertainty about the future. The way in which these factors affect money demand is usually explained in terms of the three motives for demanding money: the transactions, the precautionary, and the speculative motives. Transactions motive. The transactions motive for demanding money arises from the fact that most transactions involve an exchange of money. Because it is necessary to have money available for transactions, money will be demanded. The total number of transactions made in an economy tends to increase over time as income rises. Hence, as income or GDP rises, the transactions demand for money also rises. Precautionary motive. People often demand money as a precaution against an uncertain future. Unexpected expenses, such as medical or car repair bills, often require immediate payment. The need to have money available in such situations is referred to as the precautionary motive for demanding money. Speculative motive. Money, like other stores of value, is an asset. The demand for an asset depends on both its rate of return and its opportunity cost. Typically, money holdings provide no rate of return and often depreciate in value due to inflation. The opportunity cost of holding money is the interest rate that can be earned by lending or investing one's money holdings. The speculative motive for demanding money arises in situations where holding money is perceived to be less risky than the alternative of lending the money or investing it in some other asset. Interest rates and demand for money: When interest rates rise relative to the rates that can be earned on money deposits, people hold less money. When interest rates fall, people hold more
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money. The logic of these conclusions about the money people hold and interest rates depends on the peoples motives for holding money.
Determinants of Demand for Money: 1. Real GDP 2. Price Level 3. Expectations 4. Transfer Costs 5. Preferences MONEY SUPPLY Definition The total supply of money in circulation in a given country's economy at a given time. There are several measures for the money supply, such as M1, M2, and M3. The money supply is considered an important instrument for controlling inflation by those economists who say that growth in money supply will only lead to inflation if money demand is stable. In order to control the money supply, regulators have to decide which particular measure of the money supply to target. The broader the targeted measure, the more difficult it will be to control that particular target. However, targeting an unsuitable narrow money supply measure may lead to a situation where the total money supply in the country is not adequately controlled.
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There are several definitions of the supply of money. M1 is narrowest and most commonly used. It includes all currency (notes and coins) in circulation, all checkable deposits held at banks (bank money), and all traveler's checks. A somewhat broader measure of the supply of money is M2, which includes all of M1 plus savings and time deposits held at banks. An even broader measure of the money supply is M3, which includes all of M2 plus large denomination, long-term time depositsfor example, certificates of deposit (CDs) in amounts over $100,000. Most discussions of the money supply, however, are in terms of the M1 definition of the money supply.
Factors Affecting money Supply in India: 1. Net Bank credit to the Government 2. Bank credit to commercial sector 3. Foreign Exchange Assets 4. Government currency liabilities to the public 5. Non monetary liabilities of the Banking Sector
MONEY MARKET EQUILIBRIUM: We can see this in the diagram below. The equilibrium interest rate is I*, where the supply of money is equal to the demand for money.
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If the rate of interest were above the equilibrium, then there would be an excess supply of money. People would have a higher level of money balances than they needed. They would use this excess money to invest, by perhaps buying securities or other assets. This would drive the price of securities up
ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY : The monetary policy in a developing economy will have to be quite different from that of a developed economy mainly due to different economic conditions and requirements of the two types of economies. A developed country may adopt full employment or price stabilization or exchange stability as a goal of the monetary policy. But in a developing or underdeveloped country, economic growth is the primary and basic necessity. Thus, in a developing economy the monetary policy should aim at promoting economic growth, the monetary authority of a developing economy can play a vital role by adopting such a monetary policy which creates conditions necessary for rapid economic growth. Monetary policy can serve the following developmental requirements of developing economies. 1. Developmental Role: In a developing economy, the monetary policy can play a significant role in accelerating economic development by influencing the supply and uses of credit, controlling inflation, and maintaining balance of payment. Once development gains momentum, effective monetary policy can help in meeting the requirements of expanding trade and population by providing elastic supply of credit.
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2. Creation and Expansion of Financial Institutions: The primary aim of the monetary policy in a developing economy must be to improve its currency and credit system. More banks and financial institutions should be set up, particularly in those areas which lack these facilities. The extension of commercial banks and setting up of other financial institutions like saving banks, cooperative saving societies, mutual societies, etc. will help in increasing credit facilities, mobilizing voluntary savings of the people, and channelizing them into productive uses. It is also the responsibility of the monetary authority to ensure that the funds of the institutions are diverted into priority sectors or industries as per requirements of development plan of the country. 3. Effective Central Banking: To meet the developmental needs the central bank of an underdeveloped country must function effectively to control and regulate the volume of credit through various monetary instruments, like bank rate, open market operations, cash-reserve ratio etc. Greater and more effective credit controls will influence the allocation of resources by diverting savings from speculative and unproductive activities to productive uses. 4. Integration of Organized and Unorganized Money Market: Most underdeveloped countries are characterized by dual monetary system in which a small but highly organized money market on the one hand and large but unorganized money market on the other hand operate simultaneously. The unorganized money market remains outside the control of the central bank. By adopting effective measures, the monetary authority should integrate the unorganized and organized sect ors of the money market.
5. Developing Banking Habits: The monetary authority of a less developed country should take appropriate measures to increase the proportion of bank money in the total money supply of the country. This requires
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increase in the bank deposits by developing the banking habits of the people and popularizing the use of credit instruments (e.g, cheques, drafts, etc.). 6. Monetization of Economy: An underdeveloped country is also marked by the existence of large non-monetized sector. In this sector, all transactions are made through barter system and changes in money supply and the rate of interest do not influence the economic activity at all. The monetary authority should take measures to monetize this non-monetized sector and bring it under its control. 7. Integrated Interest Rate Structure: In an underdeveloped economy, there is absence of an integrated interest rate structure. There is wide disparity of interest rates prevailing in the different sectors of the economy and these rates do not respond to the changes in the bank rate, thus making the monetary policy ineffective. The monetary authority should take effective steps to integrate the interest rate structure of the economy. Moreover, a suitable interest rate structure should be developed which not only encourages savings and investment in the country but also discourages speculative and unproductive loans. 8. Debt Management: Debt management is another function of monetary policy in a developing country. Debt management aims at (a) deciding proper timing and issuing of government bonds, (b) stabilizing their prices, and (c) minimizing the cost of servicing public debt. The monetary authority should conduct the debt management in such a manner that conditions are created "in which public borrowing can increase from year to year and on a big scale without giving any jolt to the system. And this must be on cheap rates to keep the burden of the debt low."However, the success of debt management requires the existence of a well- developed money and capital market along with a variety of short- term and long-term securities. 9. Maintaining Equilibrium in Balance of Payments: The monetary policy in a developing economy should also solve the problem of adverse balance of payments. Such a problem generally arises in the initial stages of economic
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development when the import of machinery, raw material, etc., increase considerably, but the export may not increase to the same extent. The monetary authority should adopt direct foreign exchange controls and other measures to correct the adverse balance of payments. 10. Controlling Inflationary Pressures Developing economies are highly sensitive to inflationary pressures. Large expenditures on developmental schemes increase aggregate demand. But, output of consumer's goods does not increase in the same proportion. This leads to inflationary rise in prices. Thus, the monetary policy in a developing economy should serve to control inflationary tendencies by increasing savings by the people, checking expansion of credit by the banking system, and discouraging deficit financing by the government. 11. Long-Term Loans for Industrial Development: Monetary policy can promote industrial development in the underdeveloped countries by promoting facilities of medium-term and long-term loans to the manufacturing units. The monetary authority should induce these banks to grant long-term loans to the industrial units by providing rediscounting facilities. Other development financial institutions also provide long- term productive loans. 12. Reforming Rural Credit System: Rural credit system is defective and rural credit facilities are deficient in the underdeveloped countries. Small cultivators are poor, have no finance of their own, and are largely dependent on loans from village money lenders and traders who generally exploit the helplessness, ignorance and necessity of these poor borrowers. The monetary authority can play an important role in providing both short-term and long term credit to the small arrangements, such as the establishment of cooperative credit societies, agricultural banks etc.