CHAPTER 1 INVESTMENT RETURN Income from investment Increase in value Types of securities 1. Securities/ Property 2. Direct/ Indirect 3. Debt, equity / derivatives 4. Low/ high risk 5. Short/ long term 6. Domestic/ foreign Supplier/ demander of fund Supplier: Individuals Demanders: Government business Types of investors Institutional Individuals Steps of investing Meet investment prerequisites Establish investment goals Adopting an investment plan Evaluate investment vehicles Select suitable investments Construct diversified portfolio Managing portfolio Investing over the life cycle Growth oriented Middle age consolidation Retirement stages Short tem investment Advantages 1. High liquidity 2. Low risk Disadvantages: 1. Low return 2. Loss purchasing power from inflation 1. Commercial banking 2. Corporate finance 3. Financial planner 4. Insurance 5. Investment banking 6. Investment management Career in finance CHAPTER 2 Types of markets Money market Capital market Primary Secondary Primary market 3 choices to market securities 1. Public offering 2. Rights offering 3. Private placement IPO process Steps: 1. Underwriting the offering 2. Prospectus 3. Red herring 4. Quiet period 5. Road show Roles of investment bank 1. Underwriting the issues 2. Underwriting syndicate 3. Selling group 4. Tombstone 5. Investment banker compensation Secondary market Broker Dealer 1. Nasdaq market 2. OTC market 1. National exchanges 2. Regional exchange Alternative Trading System 3 rd market 4 th market Market condition Bull market Bear market Globalization of securities market Uses of international securities Performance of investment Direct/ indirect foreign investment Basic types of transaction Long purchase Short selling M = (V-D)/ V V= P x no of shares D = (100%- %margin)(V) Cash equity = %margin x V Margin trading CHAPTER 4 Concept of return 1. Income 2. Capital gain/loss Factors in return Internal characteristic 1. Risk/ type investment 2. Issuer management 3. Issuer financing External forces 1. Political 2. Business 3. Economic 4. Inflation 5. Deflation Measuring of return Risk free rate: real rate of return + inflation premium Required return: risk free rate + risk premium Holding period return Capital gain/loss: End value Beginning value HPR: (current income + capital gain/loss) / Beginning value Advantages: 1. Easy to calculate 2. Easy to understand 3. Consider income n growth Disadvantages: 1. not consider time value of money 2. Inaccurate for long term investment Internal Rate of Return (Yield) FV = PV (1+r)^n Advantages: 1. Use time value of money 2. Allows to compare different investment period 3. Y>required return = accept investment Disadvantages: 1. Calculation complex Interest on interest Reinvestment rate Fully compounded rate Growth rate Sources of risk 1. Currency risk 2. Business risk 3. Financial risk 4. Purchasing power risk 5. Interest rate risk 6. Liquidity risk 7. Tax risk 8. Market risk 9. Event risk Steps in decision process 1. Estimate the expected return 2. Assess the risk of investment 3. Evaluate risk-return 4. Select investment vehicles CHAPTER 5 Types of Modern portfolio 1. Growth Oriented 2. Income Oriented Return on portfolio Rn = Wn x Rn Correlation 1. Positive 2. Negative 3. Perfectly positive 4. Perfectly negative 5. No correlated International diversification Advantages : -More choices -Greater return -Reduce risk Disadvantages : - Currency risk - Less convenient - Risky - Expensive Method International diversification 1. Company stock listed 2. Corporate bond 3. Government bond 4. Mutual funds 5. Multinational companies Component of risks 1. Unsystematic 2. Systematic Capital Assets Pricing Models (CAPM) Approaches in Constructing Portfolio Modern Portfolio Traditional portfolio CHAPTER 6 Residual Owner Stockholders who are entitled for dividend income. Stock Return Take into account both price changes and dividend income. Advantages of stock ownership 1. Opportunity higher return 2. Good inflation hedge 3. Easy to buy and sell 4. Easy to get information 5. Low cost of investment Disadvantages of stock ownership 1. Subject to many different risk 2. Hard to predict the stock prices 3. Low current income Characteristic of common stock 1. Equity capital 2. Publicly traded 3. Public offering 4. Rights offering 5. Stock spin off 6. Stock split 7. Treasury stock 8. Classified stock Transaction Cost 1. Lot 2. Board/ round lot 3. Odd lot Transaction Cost 1. Par value 2. Book value 3. Market value 4. Market capitalization 5. Investment values Types of stock 1. Blue-chip 2. Income 3. Growth 4. Tech 5. Speculative 6. Cyclical 7. Defensive 8. Large cap. 9. Medium cap. 10. Small cap. Stock investment strategies 1. Buy and hold 2. Current income 3. Quality-long term growth 4. Aggressive stock management 5. Short term trading CHAPTER 7 Security Analysis process of gathering and organizing information and then using it to determine the intrinsic value Top down approaches Step 1: economic analysis Step 2: industry analysis Step 3: fundamental analysis Economic analysis Key measures: - GDP - Industrial production Industry analysis Growth cycles stages: - Initial development - Rapid expansion - Mature Growth - Decline Fundamental analysis CHAPTER 10 Interest rate & Bond price Interest BP Interest BP Bond Market Interest (Bearish) Interest (Bullish) Benefits 1. Low risk 2. High level of stability 3. High level of current income 4. diversification Risks 1. Interest rate 2. Purchasing power 3. Financial/ business 4. Liquidity 5. Call Features 1. Coupon 2. Current yield 3. Par value 4. Maturity date 5. Term bond 6. Serial bond 7. Note 8. Call premium 9. Call price 10. Call features 11. Sinking fund 12. Refunding Provision Bond price behavior Premium bond Discount bond Types of debt Secured- backed by collateral Unsecured- without collateral Debt securities 1. Govt bond 2. Agency bond 3. Municipal 4. Corporate 5. Mortgage backed 6. Zero-coupon 7. Collateralized 8. Asset backed 9. Junk bond 10. Global 11. Dollar denominated 12. Foreign pay 13. Convertibles securities Yield to call YTC = PMT + (Call price Bond price)/ years to called (Call price+ Bond Price)/2 Yield to maturity CHAPTER 11 Required return: Real rate of return + inflation premium + risk premium Factors affect yield spread 1. Municipal- tax exempt 2. Treasury- lowest risk & return 3. Junk bond- high interest 4. Discount bond- high interest 5. Freely callable bond- high interest 6. Longer maturities- high interest Theories on yield curve Liquidity -invest in l/term bond : demand for high interest : upward -Invest in s/term bond: demand for low interest: downward Expectation inflation -expect inflation increase: demand for high interest : upward -expect inflation decrease: demand for low interest: downward Demand and supply Demand for l/term bond > investor to invest for l/term : upward Demand in l/term bond< investor to invest for l/term: downward Bond prices PMT 1-(1+i)^-n + PV i (1+i)^n Current yield YTM = PMT + (Par Value Bond price)/n (Par Value + Bond Price)/2 Bond investment strategies 1. Conservative 2. Aggressive 3. Buy and hold 4. Bond ladder 5. Tax swap Type of bond funds Open end investment CHAPTER 12 Attractions and drawbacks Attraction 1. Diversification 2. Professional mgt 3. Invest in small amt 4. Multiple services offered 5. Convenience Drawbacks 1. Transaction cost 2. Lower than market performance. Buy and sell directly Unlimited no of shares Purchase and sale daily basis Close end investment Buy and sell through broker limited no of shares Purchase and selling prices determined by demand and supply Exchange traded fund Basket of securities Traded like stock Sell and buy at any time Low mgmt. fee Types of load fund Load No- load Low load Back end Hidden Management administrative Unit investment trust Fixed pool of securities normally bonds Portfolio more stable Not actively managed. Real Estate investment trust Types of REITs: 1. Properties/ equity 2. Mortgage 3. Hybrid Type of mutual funds 1. Growth 2. Aggressive growth 3. Value 4. Equity-income 5. Balanced 6. Growth-income 7. Socially responsible 8. Asset allocation 9. International 1. Government 2. Mortgage backed 3. High grade corporate bond 4. High yield corporate bond 5. Intermediate bond 6. Short tem bond 7. Municipal 8. Convertibles