Farmers' Almanac predicts another nasty winter

By DAVID SHARP (8/25/2014)

Cold winter: Farmer's Almanac predicts bitter temperatures


LEWISTON, Maine (AP) The folks at the Farmers' Almanac can be forgiven for feeling smug: The 198-year-old
publication correctly predicted the past nasty winter while federal forecasters blew it.
Memories of the polar vortex and relentless snowstorms won't soon be forgotten. And the editors of the publication are
predicting more of the same for the coming season.
"Shivery and shovelry are back. We're calling for some frigid conditions, bitter conditions," said managing editor Sandi
Duncan.
The latest edition, which officially goes on sale this week, forecasts colder-than-normal and wetter-than-usual weather
for three-quarters of the country east of the Rocky Mountains. Drought-stricken California, along with the Pacific
Northwest, will see normal precipitation and cool temperatures this winter, the almanac said.
The publication, not to be confused with the New Hampshire-based Old Farmer's Almanac, uses a secret formula based
on sunspots, planetary positions and lunar cycles for its long-range weather forecasts.
Modern science doesn't put much stock in the formula.



A nasty spring snow storm blasts parts of Minnesota Wednesday, April 16, 2014 with up to 10 inches.
But even modern meteorologists can stumble on long-term forecasts. The national Climate Prediction Center forecast a
strong likelihood of above-normal temperatures from last November through January.
"Not one of our better forecasts," Mike Halpert, the Climate Prediction Center's acting director, said at the time. There's
still no good explanation as to why the polar vortex moved so deep into the U.S., he said.
Of the Farmers' Almanac, he said, "Good for them if they got it right last year, and I'll leave it at that."
The almanac's editor, Peter Geiger, can also gloat over his Super Bowl forecast. The almanac forecast a snowstorm
Feb. 1-3 in New Jersey. It was 49 degrees at the start of the Super Bowl on Feb. 2, but a snowstorm created havoc the
following morning.
The almanac wasn't spot on everywhere: The Pacific Northwest was wetter than expected, and California and the
Southwest were drier than projected.



The 2015 edition of the Farmers' Almanac: Lewiston, Maine, Sunday, Aug. 24, 2014.
The almanac also contains gardening tips, trivia, jokes and natural remedies, like catnip as a pain reliever or elderberry
syrup as an immune booster, in this year's edition.
But it's the weather prognostications that tend to grab headlines.
The editors encourage readers to be prepared and to make the best of it. "When it snows you have two choices:
Shovel or make snow angels," Duncan quipped.
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Online:
http://www.farmersalmanac.com