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Model A
Favourable
conditions
Unfavourable
conditions
Average
conditions
5
10
15
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Age (years)
A
v
e
r
a
g
e
a
n
n
u
a
l
c
o
s
t
(
)
Model B
Favourable
conditions
Unfavourable
conditions
Average
conditions
Figure 7. Average annual cost versus age
Sensitivity analysis
To complete the study a sensitivity analysis was carried out to estimate the influence of
two parameters on meters annual average cost and optimal replacement frequency. The
variables considered were the water meter purchase cost and the water price.
Model A
y=18,923x +2,925
y =-12,53x +19,11
5
10
15
20
0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80
Water price ()
A
v
e
r
a
g
e
a
n
n
u
a
l
c
o
s
t
(
)
5
10
15
20
O
p
t
i
m
a
l
r
e
p
l
a
c
e
m
e
n
t
a
g
e
(
y
e
a
r
s
)
Optimal replacement
age
Average annual
cost curve
Water meter cost: 27,05
Instalation cost: 9,02
Discount rate: 0
Model A
y =0,07x +9,17
y =0,17x +8,77
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Water meter price ()
A
v
e
r
a
g
e
a
n
n
u
a
l
c
o
s
t
(
)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
O
p
t
i
m
a
l
r
e
p
l
a
c
e
m
e
n
t
a
g
e
(
y
e
a
r
s
)
Average annual cost
curve
Optimal replament age
Water price: 0,44
Water meter intallation cost: 9,02
Discount rate: 0
Figure 8. Water price sensitivity analysis. Model
A.
Figure 9. Water meter purchase cost sensitivity
analysis. Model A.
Model B
y=15,94x +1,18
y =-27,73x +45,33
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80
Water price ()
A
v
e
r
a
g
e
a
n
n
u
a
l
c
o
s
t
(
)
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
O
p
t
i
m
a
l
r
e
p
l
a
c
e
m
e
n
t
a
g
e
(
y
e
a
r
s
)
Optimal replacement age
Average annual cost curve
Water meter cost: 27,05
Instalation cost: 9,02
Discount rate: 0
Model B
y=0,4991x +19,8
y =0,03x +7,29
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
15 20 25 30 35
Water meter price )
A
v
e
r
a
g
e
a
n
n
u
a
l
c
o
s
t
(
)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
O
p
t
i
m
a
l
r
e
p
l
a
c
e
m
e
n
t
a
g
e
(
y
e
a
r
s
)
Average annual cost curve
Optimal replacement age
Water price: 0,44
Water meter intallation cost: 9,02
Discount rate: 0
Figure 10. Water price sensitivity analysis. Model
B.
Figure 11. Water meter purchase cost sensitivity
analysis. Model B.
9
A rise on water price increases the optimal renewal frequency in both cases. For example
for model A, if water price rises to 0.7 the optimal replacement age would descend from
13 to 10 years.
As seen in the previous figures water price sensitivity for model B is greater than for model
A. The same increment in water price (up to 0.7) causes a significant reduction in the
optimal renewal period, from 33 to 26 years. However, due to the slow meter degradation
profile the water price should not be a condition to determine the renewal frequency period
because it is, in any case, excessively high.
On the other hand, the water meter purchase cost affects the optimal replacement age in
opposite sense. A greater price of the instrument implies a longer time to recover the
money invested. This can be seen for both models, figures 10 and 12, where the optimal
replacement period increases with the water meter purchase cost.
Conclusions
This paper describes the methodology used to estimate the optimal replacement frequency
of two water meters models installed in a Spanish water supply and the influence of two
parameters, water price and water meter purchase costs, on this variable.
From figure 7 it is easily concluded that water meters of model A have to be replaced much
more urgently than those of model B. Probably because of meters design and quality, and
the special characteristics of the water supply system, model B is much more appropriate in
this city than model A.
Acknowledgment
This study has supported by MINISTERIO DE CIENCIA Y TECNOLOGA (DPI2000-
0657) under the framework of the project Propuestas metodolgicas para el clculo de la
vida til de los contadores de agua.
References
Allender H. (1996). Determining the Economical Optimum Life of Residential Water Meters. Journal of
Water Engineering and Management. Sept. 1996, pp 20-24
Arregui F.J ., Garca Serra J., Lpez, G., Martnez, J. (1998).Metodologa para la evaluacin del error de
Medicin de un Parque de Contadores. Ingeniera del agua. pp 55-66. Dec. 1998.
Arregui F.J . (1999). Propuesta de una metodologa para el anlisis y gestin del parque de contadores de
agua. Phd. Thesis. Universidad Politcnica de Valencia.
Arregui F.J . (2000). Clculo del patrn de consumo y la vida til de los contadores de Santa F de Bogot.
Internal Document. Instituto Tecnolgico del Agua. Universidad Politcnica de Valencia.
Arregui F.J. (2002). Clculo de las incertidumbres en la estimacin del error del parque de contadores.
Internal Document. Instituto Tecnolgico del Agua. Universidad Politcnica de Valencia.
Male J .W., Noss R.R., Moore I.C. (1985). Identifying and Reducing Losses in Water Distribution Systems.
Noyes Publications.
Terriel J .C., Daniel W.W.(1994). Business statistics for management and economics. Ed. Houghton Mifflin
Company. Boston.
Yee M.D. (1999). Economic analysis for replacing residential meters. J ournal of AWWA. Pp 72-77. J uly
1999