Regression

[DataSet2]



Variables Entered/Removed
a

Model Variables Entered Variables
Removed
Method
1
Iklan, Rilex,
Omega, Roda
b

. Enter
a. Dependent Variable: Jumlah
b. All requested variables entered.


Model Summary
Model R R Square Adjusted R
Square
Std. Error of the
Estimate
1 ,995
a
,990 ,987 52,102
a. Predictors: (Constant), Iklan, Rilex, Omega, Roda


ANOVA
a

Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1
Regression 4040384,341 4 1010096,085 372,092 ,000
b

Residual 40719,659 15 2714,644

Total 4081104,000 19

a. Dependent Variable: Jumlah
b. Predictors: (Constant), Iklan, Rilex, Omega, Roda


Coefficients
a

Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1
(Constant) 3721,556 262,300

14,188 ,000
Rilex -,267 ,059 -,226 -4,538 ,000
Omega ,212 ,046 ,378 4,630 ,000
Roda ,846 ,166 ,554 5,104 ,000
Iklan 1,739 ,842 ,266 2,064 ,057
a. Dependent Variable: Jumlah


DATASET CLOSE DataSet1.
COMPUTE LJumlah=LN(Jumlah).
EXECUTE.
COMPUTE LRilex=LN(Rilex).
EXECUTE.
COMPUTE LOmega=LN(Omega).
EXECUTE.
COMPUTE LRoda=LN(Roda).
EXECUTE.
COMPUTE Liklan=LN(iklan).
EXECUTE.
REGRESSION
/MISSING LISTWISE
/STATISTICS COEFF OUTS R ANOVA
/CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)
/NOORIGIN
/DEPENDENT LJumlah
/METHOD=ENTER LRilex LOmega LRoda Liklan.




Regression



Notes
Output Created 12-APR-2013 10:03:19
Comments
Input
Active Dataset DataSet2
Filter <none>
Weight <none>
Split File <none>
N of Rows in Working Data File 20
Missing Value Handling
Definition of Missing
User-defined missing values are
treated as missing.
Cases Used
Statistics are based on cases
with no missing values for any
variable used.
Syntax
REGRESSION
/MISSING LISTWISE
/STATISTICS COEFF OUTS R
ANOVA
/CRITERIA=PIN(.05)
POUT(.10)
/NOORIGIN
/DEPENDENT LJumlah
/METHOD=ENTER LRilex
LOmega LRoda Liklan.
Resources
Processor Time 00:00:00,00
Elapsed Time 00:00:00,02
Memory Required 2388 bytes
Additional Memory Required for
Residual Plots
0 bytes


[DataSet2]



Variables Entered/Removed
a

Model Variables Entered Variables
Removed
Method
1
Liklan, LRilex,
LOmega, LRoda
b

. Enter
a. Dependent Variable: LJumlah
b. All requested variables entered.


Model Summary
Model R R Square Adjusted R
Square
Std. Error of the
Estimate
1 ,995
a
,991 ,988 ,00786
a. Predictors: (Constant), Liklan, LRilex, LOmega, LRoda


ANOVA
a

Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression ,097 4 ,024 393,938 ,000
b

Residual ,001 15 ,000

Total ,098 19

a. Dependent Variable: LJumlah
b. Predictors: (Constant), Liklan, LRilex, LOmega, LRoda


Coefficients
a

Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1
(Constant) 5,937 ,239

24,841 ,000
Lrilex -,093 ,027 -,160 -3,379 ,004
LOmega ,098 ,018 ,448 5,415 ,000
LRoda ,251 ,052 ,495 4,820 ,000
Liklan ,137 ,088 ,199 1,561 ,139
a. Dependent Variable: LJumlah


1. c
T=14188
F=372,092
Rsquare =0.99
2. E
3. Y=3721,556- 0.267*(4000)+0.212*(3840)+.0846*(2600)+1.7389*(800)
=5078,716

4. PENAWARAN PADA HARGA 4.000 :
Y = 3721,556 + (-0,267)4.000
Y =2653,556

PERMINTAAN TERTINGGI :
Y = 3721,556 + (-0,267)3840
Y = 2696,276

PERMINTAAN TERENDAH :
Y = 3721,556 + (-0,267)2560
Y = 3038,036
5. Y=3721,556- 0,267(4000)+0.212(3000)+0,0846(2000)+1,7389(800)
= 4849,876
6. Y=3721,556- 0,267(4000)+0.212(3000)+0,0846(2000)+1,7389(800*1.25)
=5197,656
Kenaikan = (5197,656-4849,876)/ 4849,876
= 7% kenaikan
7. Jam Rilex elastis dikarenakan perubahan harga dari barang substitusi berubah maka jumlah yang terjual juga berubah. Hal ini dapat dilihat dari adanya perubahan harga pada jam Omegah
dan Roda mengakibatkan adanya perubahan pada jumlah jam Rilex yang berubah.