Pitchaya Sirivunnabood, Ph.D. The ASEAN Secretariat Disclaimer for presentations The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use.
Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms. Outlines 1. Thailands FDI Performance
2. Thailands FDI Policies
3. Challenges Ahead 2 1. Thailands FDI Performance Thailands FDI in Global Economy Source: UNCTAD and ASEAN FDI Database 3 Unit: USD billion, % 1. Thailands FDI Performance 4 Source: UNCTAD, 2012 Unit: USD millions Thailands FDI inflows has increased since the global financial crisis in 2008, which caused a sharp increase in FDI stock. FDI Projects Approved by BOI Source: Thailands Board of Investment The rate of approval has stayed at the average of 80 90 percent, except in 2009 (64 percent) that the authorities were cautious about the global condition after the subprime crisis in 2008. 1. Thailands FDI Performance 5 1. Thailands FDI Performance Thailands FDI Inflows and Outflows (USD Million, %) Source: Bank of Thailand A new trend of Thailands FDI has emerged as the FDI outflows has grown consistently since 2009. 6 FDI by Sector (% of Total FDI Inflows) Source: ASEAN FDI Database 1. Thailands FDI Performance Manufacturing sector has always held the biggest proportion since 2000; however, an increasing trend has shown in services sector in recent years. 7 1. Thailands FDI Performance Set aside financial sector, FDI mainly flows to automotive products and computer, electronic products and electrical equipment. 8 9 1. Thailands FDI Performance Source: Bank of Thailand Thailands Total Value of Export by Selected Sectors (USD million) Same as sub-sectors that FDI flows into, the export values of such sub-sectors have held a major proportion and increased over the years. Source: UNCTAD, ADB 1. Thailands FDI Performance GDP growth, export growth, manufacturing growth have moved in the same direction with the inward FDI growth. 10 Thailands Growth Rates (%) ASEAN LPI Map in 2012 1. Thailands FDI Performance Thailands LPI score is in the high range, which gives Thailand advantages in terms of FDI attraction. 11 Countries 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 Brunei Darussalamn.a n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Cambodia 2.5 2.56 2.19 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.47 2.61 2.47 2.5 2.53 2.77 3.21 n.a. 3.05 2.95 Indonesia 3.01 2.94 2.73 2.53 2.83 2.54 3.05 2.97 2.9 2.85 3.3 3.12 2.84 n.a. 3.28 3.61 Lao PDR 2.25 2.5 2.08 2.38 2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.29 2.49 1.89 2.49 2.13 n.a. 2.83 2.82 Malaysia 3.48 3.49 3.36 3.28 3.33 3.43 3.36 3.4 3.4 3.45 3.51 3.54 3.13 n.a. 3.95 3.86 Myanmar 1.86 2.37 2.07 2.24 1.69 2.1 1.73 2.47 2 2.42 1.57 2.34 2.08 n.a. 3.29 2.59 Philippines 2.69 3.02 2.64 2.63 2.26 2.8 2.77 2.97 2.65 3.14 2.65 3.3 3.27 n.a. 3.14 3.3 Thailand 3.31 3.18 3.03 2.96 3.02 3.08 3.24 3.21 3.31 2.98 3.25 3.18 3.21 n.a. 3.91 3.63 Singapore 4.19 4.13 3.9 4.1 4.27 4.15 4.04 3.99 4.21 4.07 4.25 4.07 2.7 n.a. 4.53 4.39 Vietnam 2.89 3 2.89 2.65 2.5 2.68 3 3.14 2.8 2.68 2.9 3.16 3.44 n.a. 3.22 3.64 ASEAN 2.92 (64) 3.02 (63) 2.76 (61) 2.78 (67) 2.71 (67) 2.82 (73) 2.92 (62) 3.02 (62) 2.88 (63) 2.95 (65) 2.90 (66) 3.11 (59) 2.97 (62) n.a. 3.37 (63) 3.42 (64) Brazil 2.75 (61) 3.13 (45) 2.39 (74) 2.51 (78) 2.75 (49) 3.07 (46) 2.61 (74) 3.12 (41) 2.94 (49) 3.12 (41) 2.77 (65) 3.42 (33) 2.58 (126) n.a. 3.10 (72) 3.55 (49) Russia 2.37 (99) 2.58 (95) 1.94 (136) 2.04 (138) 2.23 (93) 2.45 (97) 2.48 (94) 2.59 (106) 2.46 (83) 2.65 (92) 2.17 (119) 2.76 (79) 2.40 (131) n.a. 2.94 (87) 3.02 (94) India 3.07 (39) 3.08 (46) 2.69 (47) 2.77 (52) 2.90 (42) 2.87 (56) 3.08 (39) 2.98 (54) 3.27 (31) 3.14 (38) 3.03 (42) 3.09 (54) 3.08 (46) n.a. 3.47 (47) 3.58 (44) China 3.32 (30) 3.52 (26) 2.99 (35) 3.25 (30) 3.20 (30) 3.61 (26) 3.31 (28) 3.46 (23) 3.40 (27) 3.47 (28) 3.51 (31) 3.52 (31) 3.13 (72) n.a. 3.95 (36) 3.80 (30) LPI Customs Infrastructure International Tracking & Domestic Timeliness Shipments Tracing Logistic Cost Logistics Quality Competence 1. Thailands FDI Performance *Table refers to score in each category (1-5; 5, best). The table in parentheses represents rank out of 150 countries surveyed in 2007 and 155 countries surveyed in 2012; n/a = not available Source: World Bank, Connecting to Compete reports (2007 and 2012)
12 2. Thailands FDI Policies* To enhance efficiency and effectiveness, the tax privileges will be granted to projects that benefit the economy while good governance will be used to manager and supervise the application of tax and duty privileges. To promote development of quality and production standards to enhance competitiveness in the world market, every promoted project that has an investment capital of THB 10 million or more (excluding cost of land and working capital) must obtain ISO 9000 certification or similar international certification. Previous conditions on exports and use of local materials are repealed so that the criteria for promotion will be in line with international trade and investment agreements. Special investment promotion will be given to regions or areas with low income and inadequate investment facilities. Priority is given to small and medium industries. Priority is given to agricultural activities and agricultural products, projects related to technological and human resource development, public utilities, infrastructure and basic services, environmental protection and conservation and targeted industries 13 *source: Board of Investment, Thailand Investment promotion policy for sustainable development Investment promotion measures for target industries Measure to promote energy conservation, alternative energy utilization or reduction of environmental impacts Measure to promote production efficiency improvement by technology upgrade for manufacturing of new products Measure to solve environmental problems 2. Thailands FDI Policies* 14 *source: Board of Investment, Thailand Development of Thailands Social and Economic Master Plans 15 Source: National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand The 11 th five-year Master Plan (2012-2016) by Thailands National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) is now achieving the stage of sustainable industry. 2. Thailands FDI Policies Economic Restructuring to Green Economy 16 Utilization of income creation measures: PEDD, PES, Biodiversity offsets Source: National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand Environmental friendly services, including health care services Mitigation of natural- resource and environmental damages Industrial restructuring to green/ low carbon production and alternative energy Agricultural restructuring for sustainable production Energy and transport policy reforms towards clean and effective energy Development of carbon credit market and CDM utilization Utilization of AEC Recent Investment Policy Measures The BOI announced that all areas throughout the country, except Bangkok, shall be designated as Investment Promotion Zone until 31 Dec. 2012. The BOI announced an additional tax measure to rehabilitate flood- affected investment to stimulate investment within the industrial estates or promoted industrial zones in Ayutthaya and Pathumthani provinces. Thailand allowed foreign banks operating branches in the country to convert such branches into subsidiaries with a maximum of 20 branches and 20 off-premise ATMs, without limitation on the location. BOT promulgated a new law related to regulation of operations of Treasury Centers for Enterprises (CTE) to assist international companies with HQs in Thailand and import-export companies, allowing them to better manage their funding. 2. Thailands FDI Policies 17 3. Challenges Ahead An upgrade for physical and soft infrastructures Transparency Public and investors confidence Income distribution AEC impacts Green growth economy Political stability 18 THANK YOU pitchaya.siri@asean.org