TUGAS 2

STATISTIKA & PROBABILITAS

SEMESTER GANJIL 2013/2014







NAMA : Dessy Dwi Ros Aninda
NPM : 2010410133
KELAS : B









FAKULTAS TEKNIK PROGRAM STUDI TEKNIK SIPIL
UNIVERSITAS KATOLIK PARAHYANGAN
BANDUNG
2013
4.3 A coin is to be flipped three times. List the possible outcomes in the form ( result
on toss 1, result on toss 2, result on toss 3)


H


H





T

H







H


T




T
COIN











H

H





T

T






H


T




T




SAMPLE
SPACE
HHH
HHT
HTH
HTT
THH
THT
TTH
TTT

Y = 0 TTT P(Y=0) = 1/8
HTT
Y = 1 THT P(Y=0) = 3/8
TTH
HHT
Y = 2 HTH P (Y=2) = 3/8
THH
Y = 3 HHH P (Y=3) = 1/8



4.4 In execise 4.3, assume that each one of the outcomes has probability 1/8 of
occuring. Find the probability of:
a. A: observing exactly 1 head
b. B: observing 1 or more heads
c. C: observing no heads
Answer:
a. Event A = HTT
THT
TTH
P (A) = 3/8
b. Event B = HHH
HHT
HTH
HTT
THH
THT
TTH
P (B) = 7/8
c. Event C = TTT
P (C) = 1/8
4.5 For exercise 4.4:
a. Compute the probability of the complement of event A, event B, and event C.
b. Determine whether events A and B are mutually exclusive

4.8 A die is to be rolled and we are to observe the number that falls face up. Find the
probabilities for these events:
a. A: observe a 6
b. B: observe an even number
c. C: observe a number greater than 2
d. D: observe an even number and a number greater than 2.
Answer:
N = 6
a. P(A) = 1/6
b. NB = 3
P(B) = 3/6 =
c. P(C) = 4/6 = 2/3
d. P(D) = 2/6 = 1/3

4.10 Consider the following outcomes for an experiment:
Outcome 1 2 3 4 5
Probability .20 .25 .15 .10 .30
Let event A consist of outcomes 1, 3, and 5 and event B consist of outcomes 4 and 5.
a. Find P(A) and P(B)
b. Find P(both A and B occur)
c. Find P(either A or B occurs)

4.29 Let y be a binomial random variable; compute P(y) for each of the following
situations:
a. n = 10, = .2, y = 3
b. n = 4, = .4, y = 2
c. n = 16, = .7, y = 12
Answer:
a. Probability Density Function

Binomial with n = 10 and p = 0.200000

x P( X = x)
0.00 0.1074
1.00 0.2684
2.00 0.3020
3.00 0.2013
4.00 0.0881
5.00 0.0264
6.00 0.0055
7.00 0.0008
8.00 0.0001
9.00 0.0000
10.00 0.0000

P (y=3) = 0,2013
b. Probability Density Function

Binomial with n = 4 and p = 0.400000

x P( X = x)
0.00 0.1296
1.00 0.3456
2.00 0.3456
3.00 0.1536
4.00 0.0256

P(y=2) = 0,3456
C Probability Density Function

Binomial with n = 16 and p = 0.700000

x P( X = x)
0.00 0.0000
1.00 0.0000
2.00 0.0000
3.00 0.0000
4.00 0.0002
5.00 0.0013
6.00 0.0056
7.00 0.0185
8.00 0.0487
9.00 0.1010
10.00 0.1649
11.00 0.2099
12.00 0.2040
13.00 0.1465
14.00 0.0732
15.00 0.0228
16.00 0.0033

P(y=12) = 0,2040
4.30 Let y be a binomial random variable with n = 8 and = .4. Find the following
values:
a. P(y4)
b. P(y>4)
c. P(y7)
d. P(y>6)
Answer:
Probability Density Function

Binomial with n = 8 and p = 0.400000

x P( X = x)
0.00 0.0168
1.00 0.0896
2.00 0.2090
3.00 0.2787
4.00 0.2322
5.00 0.1239
6.00 0.0413
7.00 0.0079
8.00 0.0007

a. P(Y<=4) = P(y=4 atau y=3 atau y=2 atau y=1 atau y=0)
= P(y=4) + P(y=3) + P(y=2) + P(y=1) + P(y=0)
= 0,2322 + 0,2787 + 0,2090 + 0,0896 + 0,0168
= 0,82633

b. P(Y>4) = P(y=5 atau y=6 atau y=7 atau y=8)
= P(y=5) + P(y=6) + P(y=7) + P(y=8)
= 0,1239 + 0,0413 + 0,0079 + 0,0007
= 0,17367
c. P(Y<=7) = P(y=7 atau y=6 atau y=5 atau y=4 atau y=3 atau y=2 atau y=1 atau y=0)
= P(y=7) + P(y=6) + P(y=5) + P(y=4) + P(y=3) + P(y=2) + P(y=1) + P(y=0)
= 0,007864 + 0,041288 + 0,123863 + 0,232243 + 0,278692 + 0,209019
+0,089580 + 0,016796
= 0,99934
d. P(Y>6) = P(y=7 atau y=8)
= P(y=7) + P(y=8)
= 0.007864 + 0,0007
= 0,008564

4.32 The weekly demand for copies of a popular word-processing program at a
computer store has the probability distribution shown here.
y P(y)
0 .06
1 .14
2 .16
3 .14
4 .12
5 .10
6 .08
7 .07
8 .06
9 .04
10 .03

a. What is the probability that three or more copies will be demanded in a
particular week?
b. What is the probability that the demand will be for at least two but no more
than six copies?
c. If the store has eight copies of the program available at the beginning of each
week, what is the probability the demand will exceed the supply in a given
week?
Answer :


4.50 Use Table 1 of the Appendix to find the area under the normal curve between
these values:
a. z = 0 and z = 1.3
b. z = 0 and z = -1.9
Answer:
From the Table 1 of the Appendix, the area under the normal curve :
a. 0,4032
b. -0,4713

4.51 Repeat Execise 4.50 for these values:
a. z = 0 and z = .7
b. z = 0 and z = -1.2
Answer:
From the Table 1 of the Appendix, the area under the normal curve :
a. 0,2580
b. -0,3849