Siena College Research Institute

October 1-2, 2014

460 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 41
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Right track 37% 57% 27% 28% 34% 41% 61% 18% 33% 40% 36% 44% 31% 40% 45% 70% 40% 15% 66% 9%
Wrong direction 54% 33% 66% 64% 58% 49% 26% 75% 60% 49% 54% 49% 60% 49% 47% 22% 50% 77% 24% 85%
Don't know/No opinion 9% 11% 7% 8% 8% 10% 13% 7% 7% 11% 9% 7% 8% 11% 8% 8% 10% 7% 10% 6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 44% 64% 31% 37% 33% 53% 65% 24% 36% 50% 44% 42% 38% 54% 46% 70% 51% 19% 87% 5%
Unfavorable 51% 34% 67% 53% 64% 40% 31% 72% 60% 45% 51% 53% 57% 42% 53% 27% 45% 76% 10% 91%
Don't know/No opinion 5% 2% 2% 10% 2% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 1% 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 38% 17% 53% 44% 46% 31% 15% 59% 42% 35% 37% 43% 45% 31% 31% 10% 31% 62% 7% 80%
Unfavorable 39% 58% 24% 38% 38% 41% 61% 22% 35% 43% 38% 47% 31% 41% 54% 72% 41% 20% 64% 4%
Don't know/No opinion 23% 25% 22% 19% 16% 29% 24% 19% 22% 22% 25% 9% 24% 28% 15% 18% 27% 18% 28% 16%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 6% 8% 4% 4% 7% 5% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 9% 4% 6% 5% 4%
Unfavorable 13% 8% 17% 14% 12% 13% 9% 15% 18% 8% 12% 17% 12% 10% 16% 8% 15% 13% 13% 12%
Don't know/No opinion 81% 84% 79% 82% 81% 82% 83% 80% 77% 85% 82% 77% 82% 83% 80% 84% 80% 81% 82% 84%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 40% 58% 30% 32% 42% 38% 73% 19% 33% 46% 42% 29% 35% 42% 48% 72% 38% 25% 53% 23%
Unfavorable 37% 17% 52% 43% 38% 35% 8% 61% 40% 34% 37% 30% 43% 31% 30% 10% 35% 54% 22% 58%
Don't know/No opinion 23% 25% 18% 25% 20% 27% 19% 20% 27% 20% 21% 41% 22% 27% 22% 18% 27% 21% 25% 19%
I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I
name. [Q2-Q7 ROTATED]
Q5. Terry Gipson
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q4. Howie Hawkins
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q3. Rob Astorino
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q2. Andrew Cuomo
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q1. Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD410914 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
460 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 41
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 48% 30% 63% 52% 50% 46% 18% 75% 53% 45% 51% 29% 54% 47% 37% 21% 49% 64% 36% 65%
Unfavorable 23% 36% 13% 21% 23% 23% 43% 8% 21% 25% 24% 16% 19% 22% 33% 47% 21% 13% 31% 13%
Don't know/No opinion 29% 34% 24% 27% 27% 31% 39% 17% 26% 30% 25% 55% 27% 30% 30% 32% 30% 24% 34% 21%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 34% 47% 29% 28% 32% 37% 45% 27% 36% 33% 34% 35% 37% 35% 31% 47% 35% 25% 49% 21%
Unfavorable 54% 40% 59% 63% 58% 50% 42% 64% 58% 51% 55% 46% 55% 47% 59% 42% 51% 65% 38% 71%
Don't know/No opinion 12% 13% 13% 10% 10% 14% 13% 9% 7% 15% 11% 19% 9% 18% 10% 12% 14% 10% 13% 8%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic,
Working Families and Independence Party
45% 69% 28% 40% 35% 54% 71% 24% 38% 51% 46% 42% 37% 56% 51% 79% 52% 18%
Rob Astorino on the Republican and
Conservative Party lines
42% 13% 66% 46% 49% 35% 13% 68% 49% 37% 40% 51% 53% 34% 32% 2% 36% 72%
Howie Hawkins on the Green Party line 7% 13% 4% 4% 11% 4% 10% 5% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 13% 15% 4% 6%
Vol: Someone else 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 6% 5% 2% 10% 4% 7% 5% 3% 6% 5% 7% 0% 5% 5% 4% 2% 8% 4%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
53% 58% 50% 51% 54% 52% 56% 52% 42% 61% 51% 65% 54% 47% 57% 64% 46% 54% 56% 53%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
36% 32% 39% 35% 35% 37% 32% 37% 44% 29% 37% 30% 34% 41% 35% 30% 40% 36% 31% 40%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
9% 7% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 8% 10% 8% 9% 5% 9% 10% 7% 4% 11% 8% 9% 7%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
2% 2% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 1% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 4% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Q9. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CUOMO/ASTORINO/HAWKINS]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q8. If the 2014 election for Governor was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View
Q7. New York State Senate
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q6. Susan Serino
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD410914 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
460 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 41
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Terry Gipson on the Democratic and
Working Families Party lines
40% 72% 17% 32% 39% 41% 34% 46% 41% 34% 27% 47% 58% 84% 42% 14% 63% 12%
Susan Serino on the Republican,
Conservative and Independence Party lines
52% 20% 76% 58% 56% 48% 59% 46% 52% 51% 66% 44% 34% 9% 48% 82% 27% 84%
Don't know/No opinion 8% 8% 7% 9% 5% 11% 8% 8% 7% 16% 6% 9% 8% 7% 11% 5% 10% 3%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
55% 65% 56% 44% 57% 53% 52% 58% 53% 57% 55% 58% 53% 50% 62% 70% 46% 58% 55% 56%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
32% 25% 33% 42% 31% 33% 34% 31% 35% 30% 32% 35% 31% 37% 32% 23% 41% 28% 33% 32%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 12% 8% 10% 10% 10% 5% 13% 8% 5% 6% 11% 10% 9% 10%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1%
Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Property taxes 22% 17% 25% 23% 21% 22% 23% 21% 17% 25% 20% 34% 19% 23% 24% 11% 23% 24% 20% 24%
State budget 6% 6% 7% 4% 7% 5% 4% 7% 3% 8% 6% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 5% 7%
State taxes 14% 10% 15% 17% 16% 12% 8% 19% 16% 12% 15% 6% 15% 20% 8% 5% 15% 20% 8% 18%
Ethics reform 8% 12% 7% 7% 10% 7% 11% 6% 8% 9% 9% 4% 8% 9% 10% 17% 7% 5% 9% 7%
Health care 10% 11% 7% 12% 7% 13% 11% 10% 8% 13% 10% 11% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 15% 5%
Education 12% 18% 8% 10% 10% 14% 16% 8% 18% 8% 11% 20% 12% 10% 15% 22% 12% 8% 15% 7%
Creating jobs 23% 19% 28% 24% 24% 23% 22% 24% 27% 20% 25% 12% 25% 22% 22% 22% 26% 22% 23% 29%
Vol: Something else 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 3% 5% 2% 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 6% 1% 3% 3% 2%
Don't know/No opinion 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2%
Q12. What is the most important issue you want your State Senator to be working on in Albany: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q11. How likely would you say you are to vote for [GIPSON/SERINO]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q10. If the election for State Senator was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD410914 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
460 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 41
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Gipson Serino
Under
55
55 and
older Dutchess Putnam Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Only the Democrats 18% 40% 3% 9% 17% 18% 37% 3% 15% 20% 17% 19% 8% 19% 31% 53% 12% 3% 29% 1%
Only the Republicans 27% 7% 43% 31% 35% 20% 5% 47% 32% 24% 25% 43% 36% 20% 18% 2% 19% 53% 6% 56%
A coalition of Democrats and Republicans,
like we have now
52% 50% 53% 55% 45% 58% 56% 48% 51% 53% 54% 37% 53% 58% 47% 44% 64% 41% 63% 41%
Don't know/No opinion 3% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1%
Q13. Currently, the New York State Senate is controlled by a bipartisan coalition of all the Republicans in the Senate and five Democrats known as the Independent Democratic Caucus. In
November, all 63 Senate seats will be up for election. After the election, who would you like to see control the State Senate: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD410914 Crosstabs.xlsx 4 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
October 1-2, 2014
460 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 41
MOE +/- 4.6%
Party
Democrat 33%
Republican 36%
Independent/Other 28%
Political View
Liberal 21%
Moderate 41%
Conservative 35%
Region
Dutchess 88%
Putnam 12%
Religion
Catholic 45%
Protestant 24%
Other 26%
Age
Under 55 44%
55 and older 54%
Gender
Male 47%
Female 53%
Nature of the Sample
Likely Voters
New York State Senate District 41
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