/

2008 9

-1-


(CEPA)
9+2

2004
6
( )

2006

/
2006 12

-2-

2008 3

9
/

-3-

-4-


1.

1998 2005

8.7%

1998-2005

/
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2005 1.54
91% 38.5

-5-

1998-2005
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006
2006
73.5% 8.6%
14.6% CEPA
2007
15.6%

2006
3.4%
14.6%

8.6%

73.5%

-6-

2007
3.1%
15.6%

10.1%

71.2%

2005
59%
32%
2005

7.4
2.

1993 2005

5.9% 2005

99.5% 30%2005
2.7 1993
2003

73.1% 2007
59.4%
-7-

2 0 0 3 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7

45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2003

2006

2007

2003
55%
2007 63%

35.8%

16%
19%

/
2

-8-

3.

2005

2005

2005

2007

2005
160 390
3

-9-

/

/

1.

2006 11 2007 4

- 10 -


CEPA

2.

2004 6

- 11 -


26
/

3.

- 12 -

4.

- 13 -

( )

- 14 -

- 15 -

5.

/ 2018
2030 ( 12 ) 143 22
3

/
22 49 27
5 33 28
290 130

(
)
- 16 -


1.

2008 8

LOGIT
2005
2020 2030
2030
146 2005 3.4
95%
21%

- 17 -

47%

2.

()

2020

20,303

2030

30,713

2030 3.4
2005 2.7 46%
2005 3
19% 2030 7.3

84%

3.

()

2020

15,033

2030

17,407

2030 / /

5
2030 / /

- 18 -

2030
109,122
/
/ /

2020

1393

569

15033

16995

2030

2410

837

17407

20654

- 19 -


1.

2.

2.1

- 20 -

2.2

y
y
y
y

y 12.3
6 18.3

- 21 -

2.3

y -

y -

y -

y -

y -

y -

y -

y -

y -

2.4

- 22 -

- 23 -

45.5 22.6
22.9
35.7 17.4 18.3
9.8 5.2 4.6

- 24 -

- 25 -

- 26 -

0.85 480

1.0

- 27 -

2018

- 28 -