6:30 PM ED !S!S, M"#ter$ Elect"o%s, a%# t&e Pres"#e%t October 3-6, 2014 More Americans oppose than support sending U.S. ground troops to ight !S!S right no", but most #6$%& thin' the( "i)) be needed to remo*e the threat rom !S!S. Most Americans #$6%& sti)) don+t thin' ,resident Obama has a c)ear p)an or dea)ing "ith !S!S, and he gets )o" mar's or assessing the threat rom !S!S #as does -ongress&. A month beore the midterm e)ections, .epub)icans continue to )ead on the generic -ongressiona) ba))ot and ha*e 'ept their ad*antage o*er the /emocrats on the issue o terrorism and on the econom( 0 the top issue or *oters. 1hi)e 66% are at )east some"hat conident that the U.S. Secret Ser*ice can protect the ,resident rom harm, on)( 30% are *er( conident. As the U.S. continues to target !S!S mi)itants rom the air, ha) o Americans are opposed to sending U.S. ground troops to ight !S!S in !ra2 or S(ria, but 44% no" support that, an uptic' rom )ast month "hen 33% bac'ed the use o U.S. ground troops. Most .epub)icans a*or using U.S. ground troops, "hi)e most /emocrats and ha) o independents are opposed. '(S )ro*%# roo+s to F",&t !S!S 4ota) .eps /ems !nds 4ota) #352014& 6a*or 44% $7% 36% 42% 33% Oppose $0 36 $7 $1 $$ 8ut most Americans thin' ground orces "i)) e*entua))( be needed to deeat !S!S. 6$% sa( U.S. ground troops "i)) be necessar( to remo*e the threat rom !S!S, "hi)e 9ust one in i*e thin's airstri'es a)one "i)) "or'. :*en those "ho current)( oppose ground troops are inc)ined to thin' the( ma( be necessar(. W"ll '(S( Be -ble to .e$o/e !S!S &reat W"t&01 Use o ;round troops< 4ota) .eps /ems !nds 6a*or Oppose Airstri'es a)one 21% 12% 23% 1=% 3% 33% ;round troops "i)) be necessar( 6$ =$ $$ 67 76 4= 4here continues to be broad support or U.S. airstri'es against !S!S mi)itants in both !ra2 and S(ria. 4his action is a*ored b( ma9orities o both .epub)icans and /emocrats. Deal"%, W"t& !S!S: Do 2o* Fa/or or O++ose '(S( -"rstr"3es "%01 6a*or Oppose !ra2 =3% 21 S(ria =2% 20 1 8ut are these airstri'es "ar> At this stage, $6% o Americans consider the current air campaign against !S!S a mi)itar( action but not a "ar, and 40% do thin' the U.S. is at "ar. .epub)icans are more )i'e)( than /emocrats to *ie" U.S. airstri'es against !S!S as a "ar. '(S( -"rstr"3es -,a"%st !S!S: !s !t War1 4ota) .eps /ems !nds 4he U.S. is at "ar 40% 47% 30% 46% !t+s mi)itar( action, but not "ar $6 47 6= $1 Ater "ee's o airstri'es against !S!S, $3% o Americans are no" *er( concerned that U.S. inter*ention in !ra2 and S(ria "i)) )ead to a )ong and cost)( in*o)*ement there, up 13 points rom )ast month, beore the U.S. )aunched airstri'es in S(ria. Another third are some"hat concerned. Co%cer%e# t&at '(S( !%ter/e%t"o% "% !ra4 a%# S5r"a W"ll Lea# to Lo%, 6 Costl5 !%/ol/e$e%t1 ?o" 352014 @er( concerned $3% 40% Some"hat concerned 34 43 ?ot too5not at a)) concerned 11 16 Co%,ress a%# M"l"tar5 -ct"o% U.S. airstri'es in S(ria ha*e been under"a( "ithout authoriAation rom -ongress 0something the pub)ic thin's is needed. SiB in 10 Americans thin' mi)itar( action in S(ria shou)d ha*e -ongressiona) appro*a). A third be)ie*es the ,resident can act on his o"n "ithout the appro*a) o -ongress. Necessar5 to )et Co%,ress"o%al -++ro/al 7or '(S( -ct"o% "% S5r"a 4ota) .eps /ems !nds ?eeds -ongressiona) appro*a) 62% =3% 4=% 66% ,resident can act "ithout it 33 24 46 23 -ongress is current)( in recess unti) ater the midterm e)ections, but most Americans #7 in 10& "ou)d )i'e to see -ongress return to 1ashington to debate the issue o mi)itar( action against !S!S mi)itants. S&o*l# Co%,ress Co$e Bac3 a%# Debate M"l"tar5 -ct"o% -,a"%st !S!S1 4ota) .eps /ems !nds Ces 70% 74% =4% 72% ?o 1= 14 23 1$ ,resident Obama recent)( ac'no")edged the U.S. underestimated !S!S. Americans no" gi*e the ,resident, -ongress, and U.S. inte))igence agencies )o" mar's or assessing the threat posed b( !S!S o*er the past e" months, a)though U.S. inte))igence agencies are better than either -ongress or the ,resident. .at"%,s o% -ssess"%, !S!S &reat :Bce))ent5;ood 6air5,oor ,resident Obama 32% 6$ -ongress 1=% == U.S. inte))igence agencies 40% $2 2 ?ear)( a month ater his speech addressing the situation "ith !S!S, most Americans remain uncon*inced that ,resident Obama has a c)ear p)an or dea)ing "ith the mi)itant group. $6% don+t thin' he has a c)ear p)an, *irtua))( the same igure as )ast month. Does Pres"#e%t Oba$a 8a/e a Clear Pla% 7or Deal"%, 9"t& !S!S1 ?o" 352014 Ces 36% 3$% ?o $6 $$ Americans sti)) see !S!S as a ma9or threat to the securit( o the United States. Most o the inter*ie"s or the po)) "ere conducted ater ne"s bro'e o the 'i))ing o another 8ritish aid "or'er b( !S!S. 8o9 )reat a &reat "s !S!S to t&e '(S(1 Ma9or threat 61% Minor threat 21 ?ot a threat 14 Mean"hi)e, concerns about a terrorist attac' in the U.S. are at a )e*e) simi)ar to )ast month, but the( are s)ight)( higher compared to March o this (ear, beore !S!S emerged as a threat. $4% thin' an attac' on the U.S. is at )east some"hat )i'e)(, inc)uding 1$% "ho thin' that is *er( )i'e)(. .at"%, t&e Pres"#e%t Simi)ar to September, 9ust 23% thin' ,resident Obama+s po)icies ha*e made the countr( saer rom terrorism, "hi)e 36% thin' his po)icies ha*e made the countr( )ess sae, matching an a))- time high reached in Dune. 31% don+t thin' his po)icies ha*e made much o a dierence. Pol"c"es o7 t&e Oba$a -#$"%"strat"o% 8a/e Ma#e t&e '(S0( ?o" 352014 652014 $52013 1152011 Saer 23% 23% 23% 36% 36% Eess sae 36 33 36 27 13 ?o eect 31 31 31 30 34 4here are partisan dierences< most .epub)icans #64%& and a p)ura)it( o independents #42%& thin' the administration+s po)icies ha*e made the countr( )ess sae, "hi)e most /emocrats #$3%& thin' the( ha*e made the countr( saer. 4he ,resident+s 9ob appro*a) ratings on speciic issues remain in negati*e territor(. $1% o Americans disappro*e o ,resident Obama+s hand)ing o terrorism "hi)e 42% appro*e 0 9ust one percentage point abo*e his a))-time )o" reached )ast month. :*en e"er 0 9ust 40% - appro*e o his hand)ing o the terrorist group !S!S. 4he ,resident gets simi)ar)( net negati*e ratings on his hand)ing o the econom(, and recei*es particu)ar)( )o" mar's or his hand)ing o oreign po)ic( 0 9ust 3$% appro*e. 3 Pres"#e%t Oba$a:s ;ob .at"%,s o% !ss*es Appro*e /isappro*e :conom( 43% $2 4errorism 42% $1 !S!S 40% $1 6oreign po)ic( 3$% $6 ,resident Obama+s o*era)) 9ob rating a)so remains more negati*e than positi*e, and )itt)e changed rom )ast month< 42% appro*e. =6% o /emocrats continue to appro*e o ho" the ,resident is hand)ing his 9ob, "hi)e 7$% o .epub)icans and $=% o independents disappro*e. Pres"#e%t Oba$a:s O/erall ;ob .at"%, 4ota) .eps /ems !nds Appro*e 42% 7% =6% 31% /isappro*e $0 7$ 1= $= 4here is some positi*e ne"s or ,resident Obama, ho"e*er. Most Americans 0 $2% - thin' that he has strong 2ua)ities o )eadership, "hi)e 46% do not. Does Barac3 Oba$a 8a/e Stro%, <*al"t"es o7 Lea#ers&"+1 ?o" =52014 352014 352013 352011 752003 Ces $2% $0% $3% $7% $=% =3% ?o 46 4= 4$ 33 33 2$ And "hi)e $$% o Americans ha*e at )east some conidence in ,resident Obama+s abi)it( to dea) "ith an internationa) crisis, 9ust 2$% sa( the( ha*e a )ot o conidence 0 simi)ar to )ast month. Co%7"#e%ce "% Oba$a:s 8a%#l"%, o7 a% !%ter%at"o%al Cr"s"s ?o" 352014 =52014 352014 352012 A )ot 2$% 22% 2$% 27% 33% Some 30 31 2= 2$ 26 A )itt)e 21 13 20 17 13 ?one 23 2= 2= 2= 21 &e M"#ter$s: &e Oba$a Factor A)though he is not on the ba))ot this (ear, ,resident Obama remains a moti*ating orce or some *oters, and *oters are more apt to sa( theirs "i)) be a *ote against ,resident Obama rather than a *ote or him. More than ha) o .epub)icans, "ho o*er"he)ming)( disappro*e o the ,resident, "i)) be *oting against the ,resident. Dust beore the midterm e)ections in ,resident ;eorge 1. 8ush+s second term, simi)ar percentages o *oters c)aimed he "as a actor in their *ote choice. Do 2o* See M"#ter$ =ote as For or -,a"%st Pres( Oba$a1 #Among registered *oters& ;eorge 1. 8ush 4ota) .eps /ems !nds 1052006 6or Obama 17% 4% 43% 6% 1$% Against Obama 31 $6 3 36 36 ?ot about Obama 46 3= 42 $6 43 4 &e 2014 Elect"o%s 1ith 9ust under a month unti) :)ection /a(, .epub)icans maintain their )ead in the generic ba))ot contest or the Fouse *ote. ! the e)ection "ere he)d toda(, .epub)icans ho)d a siB point )ead among )i'e)( *oters in a nationa) *ote or their Fouse representati*e 0 simi)ar to resu)ts )ast month, "hen the .epub)icans had a se*en point )ead. ,artisans are each strong)( supporting their part(+s candidateG .epub)icans ha*e a siAab)e )ead among independents. )e%er"c Ballot: 2014 Co%,ress"o%al =ote #Among )i'e)( *oters& 4ota) "5)eaners .epub)ican 46% 43% /emocrat 40 43 /epends5?ot sure 12 $ And registered *oters sho" a preerence or .epub)icans to ta'e contro) o the Senate this (ear. 4=% o *oters sa( the( "ant the .epub)ican ,art( to "in the Senate, "hi)e 42% "ant the /emocrats to "in. W&o Wo*l# 2o* L"3e to See W"% Co%trol o7 t&e Se%ate1 #Among registered *oters& .epub)ican ,art( 4=% /emocratic ,art( 42 /on+t 'no" 12 3=% o *oters sa( the( are more enthusiastic about *oting this (ear than in past e)ections, "hi)e 47% are )ess so. And "ith )ess than a month to go beore :)ection /a(, .epub)icans #4$%& remain more enthusiastic about *oting than /emocrats #3=%&. Co%,ress"o%al Elect"o%s: E%t&*s"as$ abo*t =ot"%, #Among registered *oters& 4ota) .eps /ems !nds More 3=% 4$% 3=% 32% Eess 47 33 43 $2 4he same #*o).& 13 14 12 12 Attention to the midterm e)ection campaign has risen since )ast month< 30% o *oters no" sa( the( are pa(ing a )ot o attention to the campaign, up rom 24% in September. Sti)), this is )o"er than our (ears ago< in October 2010, 3$% o *oters "ere pa(ing a )ot o attention to the campaign. More .epub)icans #3=%& are pa(ing a )ot o attention than /emocrats #27%&. -tte%t"o% to t&e Ca$+a",% #Among registered *oters& ?o" 352014 1052010 A )ot 30% 24% 3$% Some 37 36 41 ?ot much 13 24 20 ?one 14 1$ $ 5 Pol"t"cal Part"es: Stre%,t&s a%# Wea3%esses @oters gi*e the /emocratic ,art( a )ead o*er the .epub)ican ,art( on caring about the needs and prob)ems o peop)e )i'e themse)*es. 4hat+s true among both men and "omen, and *oters o a)) ages. W&"c& Part5 Cares More -bo*t Peo+le L"3e Me1 #Among registered *oters& .epub)ican /emocratic 4ota) *oters 34% $0 Men 34% 43 1omen 34% $2 1hites 42% 43 8)ac's 3% 76 H Age 4$ 30% $$ 4$-64 36% 43 6$I 40% 4$ 8ut "hen it comes to "hich part( "i)) do a better 9ob hand)ing important issues, the .epub)icans )ead b( "ide margins, especia))( on terrorism - as the( did in September. 4he .epub)ican ,art( has a nine point )ead o*er the /emocratic ,art( on hand)ing the econom(, *oters+ top issue. !ss*es: W&"c& Part5 W"ll Do a Better ;ob O%01 #Among registered *oters& .epub)ican /emocratic 4errorism $3% 32 4he econom( 43% 40 6oreign po)ic( 43% 37 @oters choose the econom( #34%& as the most important issue in deciding their *ote this (ear. Fea)th care comes in second #1=%&, c)ose)( o))o"ed b( terrorism #16%&. 13% name immigration. 8oth .epub)icans and /emocrats choose the econom( as the top issue. Most !$+orta%t !ss*e "% 2o*r =ote #Among registered *oters& A)) .eps /ems !nds :conom( 34% 31% 3=% 3$% Fea)th care 1= 3 23 1= 4errorism 16 13 1$ 14 !mmigration 13 17 3 12 8udget deicit 3 10 3 3 !nternationa) con)icts = = $ 3 &e Eco%o$5 :*a)uations o the econom( remain poorG $$% sa( it is in bad shape, simi)ar to )ast month. Dust 23% sa( it is impro*ing. 4here are )arge partisan dierences in these e*a)uations< 63% o .epub)icans sa( the econom( is bad, and 32% thin' it is getting "orse. /emocrats are much more positi*e 0 63% sa( it is good, and 4$% see it as impro*ing. 6 E/al*at"o%s o7 t&e Eco%o$5 A)) .eps /ems !nds :conom( is inJ ;ood shape 43% 30% 63% 3$% 8ad shape $$ 63 3$ 64 :conom( is gettingJ 8etter 23% 13% 4$% 2$% 1orse 2$ 32 13 30 Sta(ing the same 4$ $4 41 4$ Co%7"#e%ce "% t&e Secret Ser/"ce Americans sho" some conidence in one arm o the edera) go*ernment, the Secret Ser*ice 0 but not a )ot. !n the "a'e o re*e)ations about the ai)ure o the Secret Ser*ice to pre*ent securit( breaches, t"o-thirds o Americans sa( the( are some"hat conident in the agenc(+s abi)it( to protect ,resident Obama and his ami)( rom harm, but 9ust 30% sa( the( are *er( conident. 4here is )itt)e partisan dierence on this< .epub)icans, /emocrats, and independents are a)) some"hat - but not *er( 0 conident in the Secret Ser*ice. Co%7"#e%t t&e Secret Ser/"ce ca% Protect t&e Oba$a Fa$"l5 @er( conident 30% Some"hat conident 36 ?ot *er( conident 20 ?ot at a)) conident 11 D"rect"o% o7 t&e Co*%tr5 6$% o Americans thin' the countr( is o on the "rong trac'G 9ust 23% thin' it is headed in the right direction. D"rect"o% o7 t&e Co*%tr5 ?o" 352014 .ight direction 23% 2=% 1rong trac' 6$ 66 Co%,ress: Lo9 -++ro/al .at"%,s Pers"st A month ahead o the midterm e)ections, -ongress+ 9ob appro*a) rating remains )o"< 9ust 1$% appro*e and our in i*e disappro*e. ;ob .at"%, o7 Co%,ress ?o" 652014 $52014 152014 1052013 1052010 Appro*e 1$% 14% 12% 11% 3% 17% /isappro*e =7 =7 70 72 7$ =1 7 &e Protests "% 8o%, >o%, Most Americans are not o))o"ing ne"s about the anti-go*ernment protests in Fong Kong *er( c)ose)(. More than siB in 10 sa( the( ha*e not read much about the protests against the -hinese go*ernment+s p)an to *et candidates in the 201= e)ections in Fong Kong. Dust one in 10 sa(s the( ha*e heard or read a )ot about the stor(. Americans are not *er( optimistic that the protests "i)) bring concessions rom the centra) go*ernment. 1hi)e 2$% o Americans thin' the protests "i)) resu)t in compromise rom -hina and more democrac( or Fong Kong, more 0 4$% - thin' the( "i)) resu)t in a crac'do"n and )ess democrac(. Americans "ho ha*e heard or read a )ot about the stor( are e*en more pessimistic 0 $3% thin' the protests "i)) resu)t in a crac'do"n. &e Protests "% 8o%, >o%, W"ll Lea# to0 4ota) Feard a )ot .espondents about protests -ompromise rom -hina5more democrac( 2$% 33% -rac'do"n b( -hina5)ess democrac( 4$ $3 /on+t 'no" 23 7 _____________________________________________________________________________________ This poll was conducted by telephone October 3-6, 2014 aon! 1,260 adults nationwide, includin! 1,06" re!istered #oters$ The saple si%e &or li'ely #oters is 575$ (ot all li'ely #oters are assi!ned the sae probability o& #otin!$ The error due to saplin! &or results based on the entire saple could be plus or inus three percenta!e points$ The error &or sub!roups ay be hi!her$ )or the saples o& re!istered #oters and li'ely #oters, the error due to saplin! could be plus or inus &our percenta!e points$ *ata collection was conducted on behal& o& +,- (ews and The (ew .or' Ties by --/- o& 0edia, 12$ 1hone nubers were dialed &ro saples o& both standard land-line and cell phones$ 3nter#iews were conducted in 4n!lish and -panish$ This poll release con&ors to the -tandards o& *isclosure o& the (ational +ouncil on 1ublic 1olls$ " CBS News National Poll Isis, Midterm Elections, and the President October 3-6, 20! 51$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! his 6ob as 1resident7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 2ppro#e 42 " 76 31 40 *isappro#e 50 "5 17 57 50 *on9t 'now:(o answer ; 7 7 12 10 52$ *o you &eel thin!s in this country are !enerally !oin! in the ri!ht direction or do you &eel thin!s ha#e pretty seriously !otten o< on the wron! trac'7 /i!ht direction 2; 7 4; 23 27 =ron! trac' 65 "; 41 71 66 *on9t 'now:(o answer 6 4 10 5 7 53$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! &orei!n policy7 2ppro#e 35 ; 62 26 34 *isappro#e 56 "3 31 64 5" *on9t 'now:(o answer ; " " 11 " 54$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the econoy7 2ppro#e 43 10 73 35 40 *isappro#e 52 "4 23 61 53 *on9t 'now:(o answer 4 6 3 4 7 55$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the threat o& terroris7 2ppro#e 42 12 6" 36 41 *isappro#e 51 "3 26 56 50 *on9t 'now:(o answer 7 5 6 " ; 56$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the situation with 3-3- ilitants in 3ra> and -yria7 2ppro#e 40 15 64 34 3; *isappro#e 51 77 27 57 4" *on9t 'now:(o answer " 7 ; ; 13 57$ ,lan' 5"$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way +on!ress is handlin! its 6ob7 ?ul14c 2ppro#e 15 14 1; 13 15 *isappro#e 7" 77 74 "1 7" *on9t 'now:(o answer 7 " 6 7 7 5;$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way the /epublicans in +on!ress are handlin! their 6ob7 ; "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 2ppro#e 21 36 10 21 1; *isappro#e 71 54 "4 71 70 *on9t 'now:(o answer " 10 6 " 11 510$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way the *eocrats in +on!ress are handlin! their 6ob7 2ppro#e 30 10 56 1; 30 *isappro#e 62 "1 37 72 61 *on9t 'now:(o answer ; 10 7 ; ; 511$ @ow would you rate the condition o& the national econoy these days7 3s it #ery !ood, &airly !ood, &airly bad or #ery bad7 Aery !ood 3 2 6 2 4 )airly !ood 40 2" 57 33 40 )airly bad 35 44 22 41 35 Aery bad 20 25 13 23 20 *on9t 'now:(o answer 2 2 2 1 1 512$ *o you thin' the econoy is !ettin! better, !ettin! worse, or stayin! about the sae7 ,etter 2; 13 45 25 26 =orse 25 32 13 30 26 -ae 45 54 41 45 46 *on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 1 1 1 513$ @ow uch attention ha#e you been able to pay to the 2014 election capai!n C a lot, soe, not uch or no attention so &ar7 "" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 2 lot 30 37 2" 27 24 -oe 3" 36 3" 3; 36 (ot uch 1; 1" 16 20 24 (o attention 14 ; 17 14 15 *on9t 'now:(o answer B - B 1 1 514$ @ow li'ely is it that you will #ote in the 2014 election &or +on!ress in (o#eber C would you say you will deDnitely #ote, probably #ote, probably not #ote, or deDnitely not #ote in the election &or +on!ress7 *eDnitely 6; 74 71 67 6" 1robably 22 21 1; 24 22 1robably not 6 3 6 7 7 *eDnitely not 2 1 2 1 1 2lready #oted B B - - - *on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 2 1 1 515$ 3& the 2014 election &or E$-$ @ouse o& /epresentati#es were bein! held today, would you #ote &or the F/epublicanG candidate or the F*eocraticG candidate in your district7 10 """"" %I*E%+ )O#E&S """"" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 /epublican 46 ;0 6 52 45 *eocratic 40 4 "6 23 3; Other 2 B 1 3 2 =on9t #ote 1 - 1 1 1 *epends 5 2 4 7 3 *on9t 'now:(o answer 7 4 2 13 ; 515:516$ 3& the 2014 election &or E$-$ @ouse o& /epresentati#es were bein! held today, would you #ote &or the F/epublicanG candidate or the F*eocraticG candidate in your district7 F3) *414(*-:*O(HT I(O=:(O 2(-=4/G =ell as o& today, do you lean ore toward the /epublican candidate or ore toward the *eocratic candidate7 " %I*E%+ )O#E&S ,I#- %E$NE&S" /epublican 4; ;4 7 57 4; *eocrat 43 4 ;0 27 42 Other 2 B 1 4 3 =on9t Aote 1 - 1 1 1 *epends 2 - B 4 1 *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 2 1 6 4 517$ +opared to pre#ious +on!ressional elections, this year are you ore enthusiastic about #otin! than usual, or less enthusiastic7 "" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" 0ore enthusiastic 37 45 37 32 3" Jess enthusiastic 4" 3; 4; 52 4; -ae FAol$G 13 14 12 12 10 *on9t 'now:(o answer 2 2 2 3 3 51"$ =hich O(4 o& the &ollowin! issues will be 0O-T iportant in decidin! your #ote &or +on!ress this (o#eber7 The 4conoy 34 31 37 35 3" @ealth care 17 ; 23 17 16 Terroris 16 1; 15 14 17 3i!ration 13 1" ; 12 10 )ederal bud!et deDcit ; 10 ; ; " 3nternational conKicts 7 7 5 ; 6 -oethin! else FAol$G 2 3 B 2 1 *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 4 2 3 3 51;$ *o you thin' o& your #ote &or +on!ress this &all as a #ote F&orG ,arac' Obaa, a #ote Fa!ainstG ,arac' Obaa, or don9t you thin' o& your #ote this &all as bein! about ,arac' Obaa7 Aote &or 1" 4 43 6 1" Aote a!ainst 31 56 ; 36 2; (ot about ,arac' Obaa 46 37 42 56 50 *on9t 'now:(o answer 4 2 6 3 3 520$ Thin'in! about this (o#eberHs elections &or +on!ress, o#erall, would you say you are #ery enthusiastic, soewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about #otin!7 "" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 11 8 8 8 8 8 Aery enthusiastic 23 30 25 17 20 -oewhat enthusiastic 3; 40 41 3" 3" (ot too enthusiastic 24 23 22 2" 2" (ot enthusiastic at all 12 6 11 15 13 *on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 2 2 1 521$ Thin'in! about the elections this &all, do you want to see the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG win control o& the E$-$ -enate7 /epublican 1arty 47 ;2 ; 51 *eocratic 1arty 42 3 "6 2" *on9t 'now:(o answer 12 4 4 21 522$ ,J2(I 23$ @ow conDdent are you that the -ecret -er#ice can protect ,arac' Obaa and his &aily &ro har-- #ery conDdent, soewhat conDdent, not #ery conDdent, or not at all conDdent7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Aery conDdent 30 2" 30 31 -oewhat conDdent 36 34 3" 36 (ot #ery conDdent 20 20 1" 21 (ot at all conDdent 11 12 12 " *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 5 2 4 524$ @ow li'ely do you thin' it is that there will be a terrorist attac' in the Enited -tates within the neLt &ew onths--#ery li'ely, soewhat li'ely, not #ery li'ely, or not at all li'ely7 Aery li'ely 15 1; 12 16 16 -oewhat li'ely 3; 46 30 41 35 (ot #ery li'ely 31 26 36 2" 30 (ot at all li'ely 13 5 20 12 14 *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 4 2 2 5 525$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is ore li'ely to do a better 6ob on the econoy7 "" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" -ep14b /epublican 1arty 4; "" 14 55 4; *eocratic 1arty 40 4 "1 30 3" ,oth FAol$G B - 1 B 1 (either FAol$G 4 4 1 7 5 *on9t 'now:(o answer 6 5 4 ; 7 526$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is ore li'ely to do a better 6ob on E$-$ &orei!n policy7 "" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 /epublican 1arty 4; "7 15 55 4; *eocratic 1arty 3" 6 76 26 37 12 ,oth FAol$G 1 1 1 2 1 (either FAol$G 3 1 1 6 4 *on9t 'now:(o answer ; 5 6 11 10 527$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is ore li'ely to do a better 6ob dealin! with terroris7 /epublican 1arty 53 ;0 21 5" 52 *eocratic 1arty 32 3 6" 1; 31 ,oth FAol$G 2 B 2 2 3 (either FAol$G 6 3 4 ; 6 *on9t 'now:(o answer " 4 6 12 ; 52;$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG cares ore about the needs and probles o& people li'e yoursel&7 0ay14c /epublican 1arty 34 75 3 36 36 *eocratic 1arty 50 12 ;1 3; 46 ,oth FAol$G 1 2 B 1 1 (either FAol$G 10 ; 4 16 12 *on9t 'now:(o answer 4 3 1 7 4 530$ ,J2(I 531$ *o you thin' ,arac' Obaa has stron! >ualities o& leadership, or not7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" ?ul14c @as 52 20 "3 41 50 *oesn9t ha#e 46 7; 15 56 47 *on9t 'now:(o answer 2 1 2 3 3 532$ @ow uch conDdence do you ha#e in ,arac' Obaa9s ability to handle an international crisis--a lot, soe, not uch, or none at all7 -ep14bB 2 lot 25 3 52 14 22 -oe 30 22 34 32 31 (ot uch 21 2; 7 2" 1; (one at all 23 47 7 26 27 *on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 1 1 1 ,ordin. chan.e/ 01a lot, soe, a little, or none at all7M 533$ ,J2(I 534$ *o you thin' the policies o& the Obaa adinistration ha#e ade the Enited -tates sa&er &ro terroris, less sa&e &ro terroris, or ha#e the policies o& the Obaa adinistration not a<ected the sa&ety o& the Enited -tates &ro terroris7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b 8 8 8 8 8 -a&er 2; ; 53 20 2; Jess sa&e 36 64 ; 42 33 (o e<ect 31 22 34 34 31 *on9t 'now:(o answer 5 5 5 4 7 13 535$ 2 ilitant !roup called the 3slaic -tate o& 3ra> and -yria, 'nown as 3-3- or 3-3J has ta'en control o& soe areas in 3ra> and -yria and has 'illed two 2erican 6ournalists$ @ow uch ha#e you heard or read about 3-3- and their actions N a lot, soe or not uch7 2 lot 56 56 54 57 4" -oe 31 35 35 26 33 (ot uch 12 ; 11 15 1" (othin! at all 1 - B 1 2 *on9t 'now:(o answer B - B B 536$ *o you thin' the ilitant !roup 3-3- is a threat to the security o& the Enited -tates, or not7 F3) .4-, 2-IGO *o you thin' it is a a6or threat or a inor threat7 .es, a6or 61 74 56 60 5" .es, inor 21 17 23 20 21 (ot a threat 14 6 17 16 16 *on9t 'now:(o answer 4 3 5 5 4 537$ *o you thin' ,arac' Obaa has a clear plan &or dealin! with 3-3- ilitants, or not7 .es, has clear plan 36 14 60 2" 35 (o, does not ha#e clear plan 56 "2 30 65 55 *on9t 'now:(o answer " 5 10 7 10 53"$ *o you &a#or or oppose E- airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in 3/257 )a#or 73 "1 71 70 71 Oppose 21 14 22 23 21 *on9t 'now:(o answer 7 5 7 6 " 53;$ *o you &a#or or oppose E- airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -./327 )a#or 72 "0 70 70 6; Oppose 20 13 21 23 21 *on9t 'now:(o answer " 7 ; 7 ; 540$ *o you &a#or or oppose the E$-$ sendin! !round troops into 3ra> or -yria to D!ht 3-3- ilitants7 )a#or 44 5" 36 42 3; Oppose 50 36 5" 51 55 )a#or !round troops in -yria only B - - 1 - )a#or troops in 3ra> only B B - B - *on9t 'now:(o answer 5 6 5 5 6 541$ *o you thin' the Enited -tates will be able to reo#e the threat &ro 3-3- ilitants usin! airstri'es alone, or do you thin' !round troops will be necessary in order to reo#e the threat &ro 3-3- ilitants7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Total /ep *e 3nd 8 8 8 8 2ir stri'es alone 21 12 2; 17 Pround troops will be necessary 65 75 55 6" *on9t 'now:(o answer 15 13 16 15 542$ @ow concerned are you that E$-$ inter#ention in 3ra> and -yria will lead to a lon! and costly in#ol#eent there N #ery concerned, soewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned7 14 Aery concerned 53 52 53 53 40 -oewhat concerned 34 37 35 32 43 (ot too concerned 7 7 " 7 12 (ot at all concerned 4 4 3 5 4 *on9t 'now:(o answer 2 1 2 2 2 543$ =hich coes closest to your #iew about E$-$ airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in 3ra> and -yria N FThe E$-$ is currently at warG, or Fthe E$- is in#ol#ed in a ilitary action, but it is not at warG7 E$- at war 40 4" 30 46 3n#ol#ed in action, but not war 56 4" 67 51 *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 3 3 3 544$ ,J2(I 545$ *o you thin' Fit is necessary &or +on!ress to appro#e ilitary action a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -yriaG, or do you thin' F1resident Obaa has the authority to ta'e ilitary action a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -yria without !ettin! appro#al o& +on!ressG7 (eeds con!ressional appro#al 62 73 47 66 +an act without appro#al 33 24 46 2; *on9t 'now:(o answer 5 3 7 5 546$ +on!ress is currently in recess and will return a&ter the (o#eber idter elections$ *o you thin' +on!ress should return to =ashin!ton now and debate the issue o& E$-$ ilitary action a!ainst 3-3-, or donHt you thin' this is necessary7 -hould "0 "4 74 "2 -hould not 17 14 23 15 *on9t 'now:(o answer 3 2 2 3 547$@ow would you rate the 6ob ,arac' Obaa has done in assessin! the threat posed by 3-3- ilitants in the past &ew onths7 4Lcellent " 2 1; 3 Pood 24 11 37 21 )air 34 32 33 33 1oor 31 50 " 3; *on9t 'now:(o answer 4 4 3 4 54"$ @ow would you rate the 6ob +on!ress has done in assessin! the threat posed by 3-3- ilitants in the past &ew onths7 "" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" Total /ep *e 3nd 8 8 8 8 4Lcellent 4 3 6 2 Pood 13 14 14 11 )air 43 42 4; 3; 1oor 34 33 25 42 *on9t 'now:(o answer 6 " 5 7 15 54;$ @ow would you rate the 6ob E$-$ intelli!ence a!encies ha#e done in assessin! the threat posed by 3-3- ilitants in the past &ew onths7 4Lcellent ; 10 12 7 Pood 31 30 33 2; )air 36 36 36 3" 1oor 16 15 13 1" *on9t 'now:(o answer 7 ; 6 " 550$ ,J2(I 551$@ow uch ha#e you heard or read about the anti-!o#ernent protests in @on! Ion!7 @a#e you heard or read a lot, soe, or not uch7 2 lot 11 ; 10 12 -oe 27 30 27 26 (ot uch 54 56 55 50 (othin! " 5 " 11 *on9t 'now:(o answer B - B B 552$ *o you thin' the anti-!o#ernent protests in @on! Ion! will lead to Fcoproise &ro the +hinese !o#ernent and ore deocracy &or @on! Ion!G or Fa crac'down by the +hinese !o#ernent and less deocracy &or @on! Ion!G7 +oproise and ore deocracy 25 22 2; 23 +rac'down and less deocracy 45 47 43 47 (o chan!e 1 2 1 B *on9t 'now:(o answer 2; 2; 27 30 Enwei!hted =ei!hted Total /espondents 1,260 Total /epublicans 311 276 Total *eocrats 37; 40" Total 3ndependents 515 510 Total /e!istered Aoters 1,06" ;73 Total Ji'ely Aoters 575 16