You are on page 1of 16

CBS NEWS POLL

For release: October 8, 2014


6:30 PM ED
!S!S, M"#ter$ Elect"o%s, a%# t&e Pres"#e%t
October 3-6, 2014
More Americans oppose than support sending U.S. ground troops to ight !S!S right no",
but most #6$%& thin' the( "i)) be needed to remo*e the threat rom !S!S.
Most Americans #$6%& sti)) don+t thin' ,resident Obama has a c)ear p)an or dea)ing "ith
!S!S, and he gets )o" mar's or assessing the threat rom !S!S #as does -ongress&.
A month beore the midterm e)ections, .epub)icans continue to )ead on the generic
-ongressiona) ba))ot and ha*e 'ept their ad*antage o*er the /emocrats on the issue o
terrorism and on the econom( 0 the top issue or *oters.
1hi)e 66% are at )east some"hat conident that the U.S. Secret Ser*ice can protect the
,resident rom harm, on)( 30% are *er( conident.
As the U.S. continues to target !S!S mi)itants rom the air, ha) o Americans are opposed to
sending U.S. ground troops to ight !S!S in !ra2 or S(ria, but 44% no" support that, an uptic'
rom )ast month "hen 33% bac'ed the use o U.S. ground troops.
Most .epub)icans a*or using U.S. ground troops, "hi)e most /emocrats and ha) o
independents are opposed.
'(S )ro*%# roo+s to F",&t !S!S
4ota) .eps /ems !nds 4ota) #352014&
6a*or 44% $7% 36% 42% 33%
Oppose $0 36 $7 $1 $$
8ut most Americans thin' ground orces "i)) e*entua))( be needed to deeat !S!S. 6$% sa( U.S.
ground troops "i)) be necessar( to remo*e the threat rom !S!S, "hi)e 9ust one in i*e thin's
airstri'es a)one "i)) "or'. :*en those "ho current)( oppose ground troops are inc)ined to thin'
the( ma( be necessar(.
W"ll '(S( Be -ble to .e$o/e !S!S &reat W"t&01
Use o ;round troops<
4ota) .eps /ems !nds 6a*or Oppose
Airstri'es a)one 21% 12% 23% 1=% 3% 33%
;round troops "i)) be necessar( 6$ =$ $$ 67 76 4=
4here continues to be broad support or U.S. airstri'es against !S!S mi)itants in both !ra2 and
S(ria. 4his action is a*ored b( ma9orities o both .epub)icans and /emocrats.
Deal"%, W"t& !S!S: Do 2o* Fa/or or O++ose '(S( -"rstr"3es "%01
6a*or Oppose
!ra2 =3% 21
S(ria =2% 20
1
8ut are these airstri'es "ar> At this stage, $6% o Americans consider the current air campaign
against !S!S a mi)itar( action but not a "ar, and 40% do thin' the U.S. is at "ar. .epub)icans are
more )i'e)( than /emocrats to *ie" U.S. airstri'es against !S!S as a "ar.
'(S( -"rstr"3es -,a"%st !S!S: !s !t War1
4ota) .eps /ems !nds
4he U.S. is at "ar 40% 47% 30% 46%
!t+s mi)itar( action, but not "ar $6 47 6= $1
Ater "ee's o airstri'es against !S!S, $3% o Americans are no" *er( concerned that U.S.
inter*ention in !ra2 and S(ria "i)) )ead to a )ong and cost)( in*o)*ement there, up 13 points rom
)ast month, beore the U.S. )aunched airstri'es in S(ria. Another third are some"hat concerned.
Co%cer%e# t&at '(S( !%ter/e%t"o% "% !ra4 a%# S5r"a
W"ll Lea# to Lo%, 6 Costl5 !%/ol/e$e%t1
?o" 352014
@er( concerned $3% 40%
Some"hat concerned 34 43
?ot too5not at a)) concerned 11 16
Co%,ress a%# M"l"tar5 -ct"o%
U.S. airstri'es in S(ria ha*e been under"a( "ithout authoriAation rom -ongress 0something
the pub)ic thin's is needed. SiB in 10 Americans thin' mi)itar( action in S(ria shou)d ha*e
-ongressiona) appro*a). A third be)ie*es the ,resident can act on his o"n "ithout the appro*a)
o -ongress.
Necessar5 to )et Co%,ress"o%al -++ro/al 7or '(S( -ct"o% "% S5r"a
4ota) .eps /ems !nds
?eeds -ongressiona) appro*a) 62% =3% 4=% 66%
,resident can act "ithout it 33 24 46 23
-ongress is current)( in recess unti) ater the midterm e)ections, but most Americans #7 in 10&
"ou)d )i'e to see -ongress return to 1ashington to debate the issue o mi)itar( action against
!S!S mi)itants.
S&o*l# Co%,ress Co$e Bac3 a%# Debate M"l"tar5 -ct"o% -,a"%st !S!S1
4ota) .eps /ems !nds
Ces 70% 74% =4% 72%
?o 1= 14 23 1$
,resident Obama recent)( ac'no")edged the U.S. underestimated !S!S. Americans no" gi*e
the ,resident, -ongress, and U.S. inte))igence agencies )o" mar's or assessing the threat
posed b( !S!S o*er the past e" months, a)though U.S. inte))igence agencies are better than
either -ongress or the ,resident.
.at"%,s o% -ssess"%, !S!S &reat
:Bce))ent5;ood 6air5,oor
,resident Obama 32% 6$
-ongress 1=% ==
U.S. inte))igence agencies 40% $2
2
?ear)( a month ater his speech addressing the situation "ith !S!S, most Americans remain
uncon*inced that ,resident Obama has a c)ear p)an or dea)ing "ith the mi)itant group. $6%
don+t thin' he has a c)ear p)an, *irtua))( the same igure as )ast month.
Does Pres"#e%t Oba$a 8a/e a Clear Pla% 7or Deal"%, 9"t& !S!S1
?o" 352014
Ces 36% 3$%
?o $6 $$
Americans sti)) see !S!S as a ma9or threat to the securit( o the United States. Most o the
inter*ie"s or the po)) "ere conducted ater ne"s bro'e o the 'i))ing o another 8ritish aid
"or'er b( !S!S.
8o9 )reat a &reat "s !S!S to t&e '(S(1
Ma9or threat 61%
Minor threat 21
?ot a threat 14
Mean"hi)e, concerns about a terrorist attac' in the U.S. are at a )e*e) simi)ar to )ast month, but
the( are s)ight)( higher compared to March o this (ear, beore !S!S emerged as a threat. $4%
thin' an attac' on the U.S. is at )east some"hat )i'e)(, inc)uding 1$% "ho thin' that is *er(
)i'e)(.
.at"%, t&e Pres"#e%t
Simi)ar to September, 9ust 23% thin' ,resident Obama+s po)icies ha*e made the countr( saer
rom terrorism, "hi)e 36% thin' his po)icies ha*e made the countr( )ess sae, matching an a))-
time high reached in Dune. 31% don+t thin' his po)icies ha*e made much o a dierence.
Pol"c"es o7 t&e Oba$a -#$"%"strat"o% 8a/e Ma#e t&e '(S0(
?o" 352014 652014 $52013 1152011
Saer 23% 23% 23% 36% 36%
Eess sae 36 33 36 27 13
?o eect 31 31 31 30 34
4here are partisan dierences< most .epub)icans #64%& and a p)ura)it( o independents #42%&
thin' the administration+s po)icies ha*e made the countr( )ess sae, "hi)e most /emocrats
#$3%& thin' the( ha*e made the countr( saer.
4he ,resident+s 9ob appro*a) ratings on speciic issues remain in negati*e territor(. $1% o
Americans disappro*e o ,resident Obama+s hand)ing o terrorism "hi)e 42% appro*e 0 9ust one
percentage point abo*e his a))-time )o" reached )ast month. :*en e"er 0 9ust 40% - appro*e o
his hand)ing o the terrorist group !S!S.
4he ,resident gets simi)ar)( net negati*e ratings on his hand)ing o the econom(, and recei*es
particu)ar)( )o" mar's or his hand)ing o oreign po)ic( 0 9ust 3$% appro*e.
3
Pres"#e%t Oba$a:s ;ob .at"%,s o% !ss*es
Appro*e /isappro*e
:conom( 43% $2
4errorism 42% $1
!S!S 40% $1
6oreign po)ic( 3$% $6
,resident Obama+s o*era)) 9ob rating a)so remains more negati*e than positi*e, and )itt)e
changed rom )ast month< 42% appro*e. =6% o /emocrats continue to appro*e o ho" the
,resident is hand)ing his 9ob, "hi)e 7$% o .epub)icans and $=% o independents disappro*e.
Pres"#e%t Oba$a:s O/erall ;ob .at"%,
4ota) .eps /ems !nds
Appro*e 42% 7% =6% 31%
/isappro*e $0 7$ 1= $=
4here is some positi*e ne"s or ,resident Obama, ho"e*er. Most Americans 0 $2% - thin' that
he has strong 2ua)ities o )eadership, "hi)e 46% do not.
Does Barac3 Oba$a 8a/e Stro%, <*al"t"es o7 Lea#ers&"+1
?o" =52014 352014 352013 352011 752003
Ces $2% $0% $3% $7% $=% =3%
?o 46 4= 4$ 33 33 2$
And "hi)e $$% o Americans ha*e at )east some conidence in ,resident Obama+s abi)it( to dea)
"ith an internationa) crisis, 9ust 2$% sa( the( ha*e a )ot o conidence 0 simi)ar to )ast month.
Co%7"#e%ce "% Oba$a:s 8a%#l"%, o7 a% !%ter%at"o%al Cr"s"s
?o" 352014 =52014 352014 352012
A )ot 2$% 22% 2$% 27% 33%
Some 30 31 2= 2$ 26
A )itt)e 21 13 20 17 13
?one 23 2= 2= 2= 21
&e M"#ter$s: &e Oba$a Factor
A)though he is not on the ba))ot this (ear, ,resident Obama remains a moti*ating orce or some
*oters, and *oters are more apt to sa( theirs "i)) be a *ote against ,resident Obama rather than
a *ote or him. More than ha) o .epub)icans, "ho o*er"he)ming)( disappro*e o the ,resident,
"i)) be *oting against the ,resident. Dust beore the midterm e)ections in ,resident ;eorge 1.
8ush+s second term, simi)ar percentages o *oters c)aimed he "as a actor in their *ote choice.
Do 2o* See M"#ter$ =ote as For or -,a"%st Pres( Oba$a1
#Among registered *oters&
;eorge 1. 8ush
4ota) .eps /ems !nds 1052006
6or Obama 17% 4% 43% 6% 1$%
Against Obama 31 $6 3 36 36
?ot about Obama 46 3= 42 $6 43
4
&e 2014 Elect"o%s
1ith 9ust under a month unti) :)ection /a(, .epub)icans maintain their )ead in the generic ba))ot
contest or the Fouse *ote. ! the e)ection "ere he)d toda(, .epub)icans ho)d a siB point )ead
among )i'e)( *oters in a nationa) *ote or their Fouse representati*e 0 simi)ar to resu)ts )ast
month, "hen the .epub)icans had a se*en point )ead. ,artisans are each strong)( supporting
their part(+s candidateG .epub)icans ha*e a siAab)e )ead among independents.
)e%er"c Ballot: 2014 Co%,ress"o%al =ote
#Among )i'e)( *oters&
4ota) "5)eaners
.epub)ican 46% 43%
/emocrat 40 43
/epends5?ot sure 12 $
And registered *oters sho" a preerence or .epub)icans to ta'e contro) o the Senate this (ear.
4=% o *oters sa( the( "ant the .epub)ican ,art( to "in the Senate, "hi)e 42% "ant the
/emocrats to "in.
W&o Wo*l# 2o* L"3e to See W"% Co%trol o7 t&e Se%ate1
#Among registered *oters&
.epub)ican ,art( 4=%
/emocratic ,art( 42
/on+t 'no" 12
3=% o *oters sa( the( are more enthusiastic about *oting this (ear than in past e)ections, "hi)e
47% are )ess so. And "ith )ess than a month to go beore :)ection /a(, .epub)icans #4$%&
remain more enthusiastic about *oting than /emocrats #3=%&.
Co%,ress"o%al Elect"o%s: E%t&*s"as$ abo*t =ot"%,
#Among registered *oters&
4ota) .eps /ems !nds
More 3=% 4$% 3=% 32%
Eess 47 33 43 $2
4he same #*o).& 13 14 12 12
Attention to the midterm e)ection campaign has risen since )ast month< 30% o *oters no" sa(
the( are pa(ing a )ot o attention to the campaign, up rom 24% in September. Sti)), this is )o"er
than our (ears ago< in October 2010, 3$% o *oters "ere pa(ing a )ot o attention to the
campaign. More .epub)icans #3=%& are pa(ing a )ot o attention than /emocrats #27%&.
-tte%t"o% to t&e Ca$+a",%
#Among registered *oters&
?o" 352014 1052010
A )ot 30% 24% 3$%
Some 37 36 41
?ot much 13 24 20
?one 14 1$ $
5
Pol"t"cal Part"es: Stre%,t&s a%# Wea3%esses
@oters gi*e the /emocratic ,art( a )ead o*er the .epub)ican ,art( on caring about the needs
and prob)ems o peop)e )i'e themse)*es. 4hat+s true among both men and "omen, and *oters o
a)) ages.
W&"c& Part5 Cares More -bo*t Peo+le L"3e Me1
#Among registered *oters&
.epub)ican /emocratic
4ota) *oters 34% $0
Men 34% 43
1omen 34% $2
1hites 42% 43
8)ac's 3% 76
H Age 4$ 30% $$
4$-64 36% 43
6$I 40% 4$
8ut "hen it comes to "hich part( "i)) do a better 9ob hand)ing important issues, the .epub)icans
)ead b( "ide margins, especia))( on terrorism - as the( did in September. 4he .epub)ican ,art(
has a nine point )ead o*er the /emocratic ,art( on hand)ing the econom(, *oters+ top issue.
!ss*es: W&"c& Part5 W"ll Do a Better ;ob O%01
#Among registered *oters&
.epub)ican /emocratic
4errorism $3% 32
4he econom( 43% 40
6oreign po)ic( 43% 37
@oters choose the econom( #34%& as the most important issue in deciding their *ote this (ear.
Fea)th care comes in second #1=%&, c)ose)( o))o"ed b( terrorism #16%&. 13% name
immigration. 8oth .epub)icans and /emocrats choose the econom( as the top issue.
Most !$+orta%t !ss*e "% 2o*r =ote
#Among registered *oters&
A)) .eps /ems !nds
:conom( 34% 31% 3=% 3$%
Fea)th care 1= 3 23 1=
4errorism 16 13 1$ 14
!mmigration 13 17 3 12
8udget deicit 3 10 3 3
!nternationa) con)icts = = $ 3
&e Eco%o$5
:*a)uations o the econom( remain poorG $$% sa( it is in bad shape, simi)ar to )ast month. Dust
23% sa( it is impro*ing. 4here are )arge partisan dierences in these e*a)uations< 63% o
.epub)icans sa( the econom( is bad, and 32% thin' it is getting "orse. /emocrats are much
more positi*e 0 63% sa( it is good, and 4$% see it as impro*ing.
6
E/al*at"o%s o7 t&e Eco%o$5
A)) .eps /ems !nds
:conom( is inJ
;ood shape 43% 30% 63% 3$%
8ad shape $$ 63 3$ 64
:conom( is gettingJ
8etter 23% 13% 4$% 2$%
1orse 2$ 32 13 30
Sta(ing the same 4$ $4 41 4$
Co%7"#e%ce "% t&e Secret Ser/"ce
Americans sho" some conidence in one arm o the edera) go*ernment, the Secret Ser*ice 0
but not a )ot. !n the "a'e o re*e)ations about the ai)ure o the Secret Ser*ice to pre*ent
securit( breaches, t"o-thirds o Americans sa( the( are some"hat conident in the agenc(+s
abi)it( to protect ,resident Obama and his ami)( rom harm, but 9ust 30% sa( the( are *er(
conident.
4here is )itt)e partisan dierence on this< .epub)icans, /emocrats, and independents are a))
some"hat - but not *er( 0 conident in the Secret Ser*ice.
Co%7"#e%t t&e Secret Ser/"ce ca% Protect t&e Oba$a Fa$"l5
@er( conident 30%
Some"hat conident 36
?ot *er( conident 20
?ot at a)) conident 11
D"rect"o% o7 t&e Co*%tr5
6$% o Americans thin' the countr( is o on the "rong trac'G 9ust 23% thin' it is headed in the
right direction.
D"rect"o% o7 t&e Co*%tr5
?o" 352014
.ight direction 23% 2=%
1rong trac' 6$ 66
Co%,ress: Lo9 -++ro/al .at"%,s Pers"st
A month ahead o the midterm e)ections, -ongress+ 9ob appro*a) rating remains )o"< 9ust 1$%
appro*e and our in i*e disappro*e.
;ob .at"%, o7 Co%,ress
?o" 652014 $52014 152014 1052013 1052010
Appro*e 1$% 14% 12% 11% 3% 17%
/isappro*e =7 =7 70 72 7$ =1
7
&e Protests "% 8o%, >o%,
Most Americans are not o))o"ing ne"s about the anti-go*ernment protests in Fong Kong *er(
c)ose)(. More than siB in 10 sa( the( ha*e not read much about the protests against the
-hinese go*ernment+s p)an to *et candidates in the 201= e)ections in Fong Kong. Dust one in
10 sa(s the( ha*e heard or read a )ot about the stor(.
Americans are not *er( optimistic that the protests "i)) bring concessions rom the centra)
go*ernment. 1hi)e 2$% o Americans thin' the protests "i)) resu)t in compromise rom -hina
and more democrac( or Fong Kong, more 0 4$% - thin' the( "i)) resu)t in a crac'do"n and
)ess democrac(. Americans "ho ha*e heard or read a )ot about the stor( are e*en more
pessimistic 0 $3% thin' the protests "i)) resu)t in a crac'do"n.
&e Protests "% 8o%, >o%, W"ll Lea# to0
4ota) Feard a )ot
.espondents about protests
-ompromise rom -hina5more democrac( 2$% 33%
-rac'do"n b( -hina5)ess democrac( 4$ $3
/on+t 'no" 23 7
_____________________________________________________________________________________
This poll was conducted by telephone October 3-6, 2014 aon! 1,260 adults nationwide,
includin! 1,06" re!istered #oters$ The saple si%e &or li'ely #oters is 575$ (ot all li'ely
#oters are assi!ned the sae probability o& #otin!$
The error due to saplin! &or results based on the entire saple could be plus or inus
three percenta!e points$ The error &or sub!roups ay be hi!her$ )or the saples o&
re!istered #oters and li'ely #oters, the error due to saplin! could be plus or inus &our
percenta!e points$
*ata collection was conducted on behal& o& +,- (ews and The (ew .or' Ties by --/- o&
0edia, 12$ 1hone nubers were dialed &ro saples o& both standard land-line and cell
phones$ 3nter#iews were conducted in 4n!lish and -panish$ This poll release con&ors to
the -tandards o& *isclosure o& the (ational +ouncil on 1ublic 1olls$
"
CBS News National Poll
Isis, Midterm Elections, and the President
October 3-6, 20!
51$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! his 6ob as 1resident7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
2ppro#e 42 " 76 31 40
*isappro#e 50 "5 17 57 50
*on9t 'now:(o answer ; 7 7 12 10
52$ *o you &eel thin!s in this country are !enerally !oin! in the ri!ht direction or do you &eel thin!s ha#e
pretty seriously !otten o< on the wron! trac'7
/i!ht direction 2; 7 4; 23 27
=ron! trac' 65 "; 41 71 66
*on9t 'now:(o answer 6 4 10 5 7
53$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! &orei!n policy7
2ppro#e 35 ; 62 26 34
*isappro#e 56 "3 31 64 5"
*on9t 'now:(o answer ; " " 11 "
54$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the econoy7
2ppro#e 43 10 73 35 40
*isappro#e 52 "4 23 61 53
*on9t 'now:(o answer 4 6 3 4 7
55$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the threat o& terroris7
2ppro#e 42 12 6" 36 41
*isappro#e 51 "3 26 56 50
*on9t 'now:(o answer 7 5 6 " ;
56$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way ,arac' Obaa is handlin! the situation with 3-3- ilitants in
3ra> and -yria7
2ppro#e 40 15 64 34 3;
*isappro#e 51 77 27 57 4"
*on9t 'now:(o answer " 7 ; ; 13
57$ ,lan'
5"$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way +on!ress is handlin! its 6ob7
?ul14c
2ppro#e 15 14 1; 13 15
*isappro#e 7" 77 74 "1 7"
*on9t 'now:(o answer 7 " 6 7 7
5;$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way the /epublicans in +on!ress are handlin! their 6ob7
;
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
2ppro#e 21 36 10 21 1;
*isappro#e 71 54 "4 71 70
*on9t 'now:(o answer " 10 6 " 11
510$ *o you appro#e or disappro#e o& the way the *eocrats in +on!ress are handlin! their 6ob7
2ppro#e 30 10 56 1; 30
*isappro#e 62 "1 37 72 61
*on9t 'now:(o answer ; 10 7 ; ;
511$ @ow would you rate the condition o& the national econoy these days7 3s it #ery !ood, &airly !ood,
&airly bad or #ery bad7
Aery !ood 3 2 6 2 4
)airly !ood 40 2" 57 33 40
)airly bad 35 44 22 41 35
Aery bad 20 25 13 23 20
*on9t 'now:(o answer 2 2 2 1 1
512$ *o you thin' the econoy is !ettin! better, !ettin! worse, or stayin! about the sae7
,etter 2; 13 45 25 26
=orse 25 32 13 30 26
-ae 45 54 41 45 46
*on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 1 1 1
513$ @ow uch attention ha#e you been able to pay to the 2014 election capai!n C a lot, soe, not
uch or no
attention so &ar7
"" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
2 lot 30 37 2" 27 24
-oe 3" 36 3" 3; 36
(ot uch 1; 1" 16 20 24
(o attention 14 ; 17 14 15
*on9t 'now:(o answer B - B 1 1
514$ @ow li'ely is it that you will #ote in the 2014 election &or +on!ress in (o#eber C would you say you
will deDnitely #ote, probably #ote, probably not #ote, or deDnitely not #ote in the election &or +on!ress7
*eDnitely 6; 74 71 67 6"
1robably 22 21 1; 24 22
1robably not 6 3 6 7 7
*eDnitely not 2 1 2 1 1
2lready #oted B B - - -
*on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 2 1 1
515$ 3& the 2014 election &or E$-$ @ouse o& /epresentati#es were bein! held today, would you #ote &or the
F/epublicanG candidate or the F*eocraticG candidate in your district7
10
""""" %I*E%+ )O#E&S """""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
/epublican 46 ;0 6 52 45
*eocratic 40 4 "6 23 3;
Other 2 B 1 3 2
=on9t #ote 1 - 1 1 1
*epends 5 2 4 7 3
*on9t 'now:(o answer 7 4 2 13 ;
515:516$ 3& the 2014 election &or E$-$ @ouse o& /epresentati#es were bein! held today, would you #ote &or
the F/epublicanG candidate or the F*eocraticG candidate in your district7 F3) *414(*-:*O(HT I(O=:(O
2(-=4/G =ell as o& today, do you lean ore toward the /epublican candidate or ore toward the
*eocratic candidate7
" %I*E%+ )O#E&S ,I#- %E$NE&S"
/epublican 4; ;4 7 57 4;
*eocrat 43 4 ;0 27 42
Other 2 B 1 4 3
=on9t Aote 1 - 1 1 1
*epends 2 - B 4 1
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 2 1 6 4
517$ +opared to pre#ious +on!ressional elections, this year are you ore enthusiastic about #otin! than
usual, or less enthusiastic7
"" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S ""
0ore enthusiastic 37 45 37 32 3"
Jess enthusiastic 4" 3; 4; 52 4;
-ae FAol$G 13 14 12 12 10
*on9t 'now:(o answer 2 2 2 3 3
51"$ =hich O(4 o& the &ollowin! issues will be 0O-T iportant in decidin! your #ote &or +on!ress this
(o#eber7
The 4conoy 34 31 37 35 3"
@ealth care 17 ; 23 17 16
Terroris 16 1; 15 14 17
3i!ration 13 1" ; 12 10
)ederal bud!et deDcit ; 10 ; ; "
3nternational conKicts 7 7 5 ; 6
-oethin! else FAol$G 2 3 B 2 1
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 4 2 3 3
51;$ *o you thin' o& your #ote &or +on!ress this &all as a #ote F&orG ,arac' Obaa, a #ote Fa!ainstG ,arac'
Obaa, or don9t you thin' o& your #ote this &all as bein! about ,arac' Obaa7
Aote &or 1" 4 43 6 1"
Aote a!ainst 31 56 ; 36 2;
(ot about ,arac' Obaa 46 37 42 56 50
*on9t 'now:(o answer 4 2 6 3 3
520$ Thin'in! about this (o#eberHs elections &or +on!ress, o#erall, would you say you are #ery
enthusiastic, soewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about #otin!7
"" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
11
8 8 8 8 8
Aery enthusiastic 23 30 25 17 20
-oewhat enthusiastic 3; 40 41 3" 3"
(ot too enthusiastic 24 23 22 2" 2"
(ot enthusiastic at all 12 6 11 15 13
*on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 2 2 1
521$ Thin'in! about the elections this &all, do you want to see the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic
1artyG win control o& the E$-$ -enate7
/epublican 1arty 47 ;2 ; 51
*eocratic 1arty 42 3 "6 2"
*on9t 'now:(o answer 12 4 4 21
522$ ,J2(I
23$ @ow conDdent are you that the -ecret -er#ice can protect ,arac' Obaa and his &aily &ro har--
#ery conDdent, soewhat conDdent, not #ery conDdent, or not at all conDdent7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Aery conDdent 30 2" 30 31
-oewhat conDdent 36 34 3" 36
(ot #ery conDdent 20 20 1" 21
(ot at all conDdent 11 12 12 "
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 5 2 4
524$ @ow li'ely do you thin' it is that there will be a terrorist attac' in the Enited -tates within the neLt
&ew onths--#ery li'ely, soewhat li'ely, not #ery li'ely, or not at all li'ely7
Aery li'ely 15 1; 12 16 16
-oewhat li'ely 3; 46 30 41 35
(ot #ery li'ely 31 26 36 2" 30
(ot at all li'ely 13 5 20 12 14
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 4 2 2 5
525$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is
ore li'ely to do a better 6ob on the econoy7
"" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S "" -ep14b
/epublican 1arty 4; "" 14 55 4;
*eocratic 1arty 40 4 "1 30 3"
,oth FAol$G B - 1 B 1
(either FAol$G 4 4 1 7 5
*on9t 'now:(o answer 6 5 4 ; 7
526$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is
ore li'ely to do a better 6ob on E$-$ &orei!n policy7
"" &E(IS#E&E' )O#E&S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
/epublican 1arty 4; "7 15 55 4;
*eocratic 1arty 3" 6 76 26 37
12
,oth FAol$G 1 1 1 2 1
(either FAol$G 3 1 1 6 4
*on9t 'now:(o answer ; 5 6 11 10
527$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG is
ore li'ely to do a better 6ob dealin! with terroris7
/epublican 1arty 53 ;0 21 5" 52
*eocratic 1arty 32 3 6" 1; 31
,oth FAol$G 2 B 2 2 3
(either FAol$G 6 3 4 ; 6
*on9t 'now:(o answer " 4 6 12 ;
52;$ /e!ardless o& how you usually #ote, do you thin' the F/epublican 1artyG or the F*eocratic 1artyG
cares ore about the needs and probles o& people li'e yoursel&7
0ay14c
/epublican 1arty 34 75 3 36 36
*eocratic 1arty 50 12 ;1 3; 46
,oth FAol$G 1 2 B 1 1
(either FAol$G 10 ; 4 16 12
*on9t 'now:(o answer 4 3 1 7 4
530$ ,J2(I
531$ *o you thin' ,arac' Obaa has stron! >ualities o& leadership, or not7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S "" ?ul14c
@as 52 20 "3 41 50
*oesn9t ha#e 46 7; 15 56 47
*on9t 'now:(o answer 2 1 2 3 3
532$ @ow uch conDdence do you ha#e in ,arac' Obaa9s ability to handle an international crisis--a lot,
soe, not uch, or none at all7
-ep14bB
2 lot 25 3 52 14 22
-oe 30 22 34 32 31
(ot uch 21 2; 7 2" 1;
(one at all 23 47 7 26 27
*on9t 'now:(o answer 1 B 1 1 1
,ordin. chan.e/ 01a lot, soe, a little, or none at all7M
533$ ,J2(I
534$ *o you thin' the policies o& the Obaa adinistration ha#e ade the Enited -tates sa&er &ro
terroris, less sa&e &ro terroris, or ha#e the policies o& the Obaa adinistration not a<ected the
sa&ety o& the Enited -tates &ro terroris7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd -ep14b
8 8 8 8 8
-a&er 2; ; 53 20 2;
Jess sa&e 36 64 ; 42 33
(o e<ect 31 22 34 34 31
*on9t 'now:(o answer 5 5 5 4 7
13
535$ 2 ilitant !roup called the 3slaic -tate o& 3ra> and -yria, 'nown as 3-3- or 3-3J has ta'en control o&
soe areas in 3ra> and -yria and has 'illed two 2erican 6ournalists$ @ow uch ha#e you heard or read
about 3-3- and their actions N a lot, soe or not uch7
2 lot 56 56 54 57 4"
-oe 31 35 35 26 33
(ot uch 12 ; 11 15 1"
(othin! at all 1 - B 1 2
*on9t 'now:(o answer B - B B
536$ *o you thin' the ilitant !roup 3-3- is a threat to the security o& the Enited -tates, or not7 F3) .4-,
2-IGO *o you thin' it is a a6or threat or a inor threat7
.es, a6or 61 74 56 60 5"
.es, inor 21 17 23 20 21
(ot a threat 14 6 17 16 16
*on9t 'now:(o answer 4 3 5 5 4
537$ *o you thin' ,arac' Obaa has a clear plan &or dealin! with 3-3- ilitants, or not7
.es, has clear plan 36 14 60 2" 35
(o, does not ha#e clear plan 56 "2 30 65 55
*on9t 'now:(o answer " 5 10 7 10
53"$ *o you &a#or or oppose E- airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in 3/257
)a#or 73 "1 71 70 71
Oppose 21 14 22 23 21
*on9t 'now:(o answer 7 5 7 6 "
53;$ *o you &a#or or oppose E- airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -./327
)a#or 72 "0 70 70 6;
Oppose 20 13 21 23 21
*on9t 'now:(o answer " 7 ; 7 ;
540$ *o you &a#or or oppose the E$-$ sendin! !round troops into 3ra> or -yria to D!ht 3-3- ilitants7
)a#or 44 5" 36 42 3;
Oppose 50 36 5" 51 55
)a#or !round troops in -yria only B - - 1 -
)a#or troops in 3ra> only B B - B -
*on9t 'now:(o answer 5 6 5 5 6
541$ *o you thin' the Enited -tates will be able to reo#e the threat &ro 3-3- ilitants usin! airstri'es
alone, or do you thin' !round troops will be necessary in order to reo#e the threat &ro 3-3- ilitants7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd
8 8 8 8
2ir stri'es alone 21 12 2; 17
Pround troops will be necessary 65 75 55 6"
*on9t 'now:(o answer 15 13 16 15
542$ @ow concerned are you that E$-$ inter#ention in 3ra> and -yria will lead to a lon! and costly
in#ol#eent there N #ery concerned, soewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned7
14
Aery concerned 53 52 53 53 40
-oewhat concerned 34 37 35 32 43
(ot too concerned 7 7 " 7 12
(ot at all concerned 4 4 3 5 4
*on9t 'now:(o answer 2 1 2 2 2
543$ =hich coes closest to your #iew about E$-$ airstri'es a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in 3ra> and -yria N FThe
E$-$ is currently at warG, or Fthe E$- is in#ol#ed in a ilitary action, but it is not at warG7
E$- at war 40 4" 30 46
3n#ol#ed in action, but not war 56 4" 67 51
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 3 3 3
544$ ,J2(I
545$ *o you thin' Fit is necessary &or +on!ress to appro#e ilitary action a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -yriaG, or
do you thin' F1resident Obaa has the authority to ta'e ilitary action a!ainst 3-3- ilitants in -yria
without !ettin! appro#al o& +on!ressG7
(eeds con!ressional appro#al 62 73 47 66
+an act without appro#al 33 24 46 2;
*on9t 'now:(o answer 5 3 7 5
546$ +on!ress is currently in recess and will return a&ter the (o#eber idter elections$ *o you thin'
+on!ress should return to =ashin!ton now and debate the issue o& E$-$ ilitary action a!ainst 3-3-, or
donHt you thin' this is necessary7
-hould "0 "4 74 "2
-hould not 17 14 23 15
*on9t 'now:(o answer 3 2 2 3
547$@ow would you rate the 6ob ,arac' Obaa has done in assessin! the threat posed by 3-3- ilitants in
the past &ew onths7
4Lcellent " 2 1; 3
Pood 24 11 37 21
)air 34 32 33 33
1oor 31 50 " 3;
*on9t 'now:(o answer 4 4 3 4
54"$ @ow would you rate the 6ob +on!ress has done in assessin! the threat posed by 3-3- ilitants in the
past &ew onths7
"" #O#$% &ESPON'EN#S ""
Total /ep *e 3nd
8 8 8 8
4Lcellent 4 3 6 2
Pood 13 14 14 11
)air 43 42 4; 3;
1oor 34 33 25 42
*on9t 'now:(o answer 6 " 5 7
15
54;$ @ow would you rate the 6ob E$-$ intelli!ence a!encies ha#e done in assessin! the threat posed by
3-3- ilitants in the past &ew onths7
4Lcellent ; 10 12 7
Pood 31 30 33 2;
)air 36 36 36 3"
1oor 16 15 13 1"
*on9t 'now:(o answer 7 ; 6 "
550$ ,J2(I
551$@ow uch ha#e you heard or read about the anti-!o#ernent protests in @on! Ion!7 @a#e you
heard or read a lot, soe, or not uch7
2 lot 11 ; 10 12
-oe 27 30 27 26
(ot uch 54 56 55 50
(othin! " 5 " 11
*on9t 'now:(o answer B - B B
552$ *o you thin' the anti-!o#ernent protests in @on! Ion! will lead to Fcoproise &ro the +hinese
!o#ernent and ore deocracy &or @on! Ion!G or Fa crac'down by the +hinese !o#ernent and less
deocracy &or @on! Ion!G7
+oproise and ore deocracy 25 22 2; 23
+rac'down and less deocracy 45 47 43 47
(o chan!e 1 2 1 B
*on9t 'now:(o answer 2; 2; 27 30
Enwei!hted =ei!hted
Total /espondents 1,260
Total /epublicans 311 276
Total *eocrats 37; 40"
Total 3ndependents 515 510
Total /e!istered Aoters 1,06" ;73
Total Ji'ely Aoters 575
16

You might also like