This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2008 SPE / DOE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium. High oil prices and dropping reserves replacement has stimulated interest in these technologies. This paper presents economic impacts of: injected chemical cost, oil price, chemical concentration, oil recovery, and process time.
This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2008 SPE / DOE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium. High oil prices and dropping reserves replacement has stimulated interest in these technologies. This paper presents economic impacts of: injected chemical cost, oil price, chemical concentration, oil recovery, and process time.
This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2008 SPE / DOE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium. High oil prices and dropping reserves replacement has stimulated interest in these technologies. This paper presents economic impacts of: injected chemical cost, oil price, chemical concentration, oil recovery, and process time.
Economics of Field Proven Chemical Flooding Technologies
Kon Wyatt, Malcolm Pitts, and Harry Surkalo, Surtek, Inc. Copyright 2008, Society of Petroleum Engineers
This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2008 SPE/DOE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium held in Tulsa, Oklahoma, U.S.A., 1923April2008.
This paper was selected for presentation by an SPE program committee following review of information contained in an abstract submitted by the author(s). Contents of the paper have not been reviewed by the Society of Petroleum Engineers and are subject to correction by the author(s). The material does not necessarily reflect any position of the Society of Petroleum Engineers, its officers, or members. Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper without the written consent of the Society of Petroleum Engineers is prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract of not more than 300 words; illustrations may not be copied. The abstract must contain conspicuous acknowledgment of SPE copyright.
Abstract Chemical enhanced oil recovery technologies are field-proven methods that improve overall oil recovery. High oil prices and dropping reserves replacement has stimulated interest in these technologies, particularly for application in mature waterfloods. Depending upon the perspective of investors, the decision to proceed with an oil field project may depend upon projected: Rate of Return, Return on Investment, $/bbl of added reserves, cumulative cash flow, or combinations of these. This paper discusses chemical flooding processes, constraints on application, and presents economic impacts of: injected chemical cost, oil price, chemical concentration, oil recovery, and process time. The alkaline-surfactant-polymer technology is compared with micellar flooding and alkaline-polymer flooding. For example, a typical range of chemical costs per barrel of added oil for an Alkaline-Surfactant-Polymer project would be $3.50/bbl to $12/bbl for oil recoveries ranging from 0.2 PV down to 0.05 PV (or approximately 25% OOIP to 6.25% OOIP). Rate of Return (ROR) and payout time depends upon process rate, or pore volume per year of injection. Chemical flooding places the majority of cost over the first 50% pore volume of injection whereas, oil incremental income is delayed until the developing oil bank reaches production wells. In todays oil price environment of >$40/bbl, chemical flooding technology provides significant financial returns with increased ultimate oil recoveries.
Introduction Chemical enhanced recovery processes are by any measure quite mature. L. C. Uren and E.H.Fahmy 1 wrote in 1927 A definite relationship exists between interfacial tension of the oil against the flooding medium and the percentage recovery obtained by flooding. A patent was issued the same year to H. Atkinson for the use of aqueous soap solutions or other aqueous solution to decrease the surface tension between oil and flooding medium. Pennsylvania State University reported much of the research on surfactant over the next 25 years. 2 A tremendous amount of research on interactions of various aqueous chemicals with oils and rock has been performed since that time. Of particular relevance to this paper are the work of Reisberg and Doscher in 1956 using alkalis and alkali-surfactants, 3 the soluble oil process of Holm and Bernard 4 and Csazar, 5 and Gogarty and Olsons 6 micellar process known as Maraflood. All of the major oil company research groups became keenly interested in recovering additional resource from mature waterfloods during the Arab oil embargo of 1973 and the ensuing run up of oil price. Gogarty speculated that petroleum sulfonate manufacturing capacity in the early 1970s of on the order of 388 million pounds would be insufficient to meet the demand for prospective projects that, at the time, were estimated with potential to produce 25 to 60 billion bbl of oil. 7 This possibility and the desire to further improve economics of the process lead Marathon to constructing a 5,000 bbl/day crude-oil sulfonate slug manufacturing facility. 8 Gogarty concluded that the economics of surfactant flooding were driven by factors influencing project life (well spacing, permeability, thickness, depth, etc.), costs (injected fluid costs, surface facilities, additional wells, etc.), royalty and taxes, and most significantly, the price of oil. 9 This remains unchanged, though oil prices have risen considerably above the $11/bbl to $15.50/bbl considered in the economics of the time.
Chemical Flooding Processes Many chemical flooding processes have been used to enhance oil recovery efficiency and effectiveness. This paper will discuss only those process recognized to reduce waterflood residual oil saturation, which we categorize as: Micellar-Polymer (MP) Surfactant-Polymer (SP) Alkaline-Polymer (AP) Alkaline-Surfactant-Polymer (ASP) 2 SPE 113126 Though each of these processes would technically reduce waterflood residual oil saturation in the proper reservoir environment without polymer, we believe polymer is necessary from a practical standpoint to maximize process efficiency and economics. We have seen that even in cases of light oils with very favorable mobility ratio that the addition of a small amount of polymer will dramatically improve oil recovery efficiency. 10
A brief description of these chemical flooding processes is given only to identify aspects that impact the economics for applying them. Surfactant-Polymer (SP) involves adding low concentrations (0.1% to 2%) of a surfactant and/or cosurfactant and/or cosolvent and/or salt to the injection water in order to reduce the oil-water interfacial tension. Polymer is added to increase the solution viscosity in order to overcome viscous instability of low interfacial tension displacement. 11, 12 The SP solution is injected for 20% to 40% pore volume of the target oil-bearing zone, followed by similar volumes of polymer flush. Micellar-Polymer (MP) is similar to SP except higher concentrations of surfactant are used (2% to 12%) injected for lower pore volume (5% to 20%). At these high surfactant concentrations, the polymer and surfactant are incompatible, and so micellar solutions develop viscosity due to structuring of the micelles that often requires the addition of cosurfactants and/or alcohols. This structuring and many other properties of micellar solutions are sensitive to changes in salinity, temperature, etc. The micellar slug is followed by a polymer flush as with SP process. Alkaline-Polymer (AP) flooding involves adding an alkaline agent along with polymer to softened injection water. The alkaline agents are usually either caustic soda (NaOH) or soda ash (Na 2 CO 3 ) at concentrations of less than 2%. The water must be softened because the alkaline agents would cause any divalent cations, such as calcium and magnesium, to precipitate, and this solid precipitate will plug most formations. The alkali reacts with components of some oils to form soap that in the right environment will reduce the interfacial tension. The AP solution is injected for 20% to 40% pore volume and followed by a similar volume of polymer flush. Alkaline-Surfactant-Polymer (ASP) flooding simply adds surfactant (0.05% to 0.5%) to an AP solution to broaden the range of reservoir environment in which the ASP process applies. Many light oils do not contain sufficient amounts of the components that react with alkali to reduce the oil-water interfacial tension sufficiently to overcome capillary forces trapping the oil. Blending surfactant with the alkali overcomes this barrier. Many of the field projects conducted in the 70s and 80s were MP projects in spite of the complexity of designing these solutions compared with the relative ease of SP formulations. This is partly because adsorption by reservoir rock strips the surfactant from low concentration SP formulations rendering them ineffective as the solutions surfactant concentration decreases in it advances through the reservoir. One property of alkaline agents is that they change the reservoir rock chemistry 13 in such a way as to significantly decrease this adsorption. In fact, the very successful Bell Cr. micellar-polymer field project used an alkaline pre-flush to minimize the surfactant adsorption. 14 Therefore, ASP projects use lower concentrations of added surfactant than SP projects. Not every reservoir environment is suitable to all of these chemical flooding processes, and some environments are exclusive to some processes. Laboratory design projects identify the viability of the various processes, and relative merits of the processes in cases where more than one may apply. The economics presented herein describe cases in which all the chemical processes are viable. Tertiary oil recovery is limited by the remaining oil saturation in the reservoir. Dilution, dispersion, adsorption, and reaction of the injected chemicals means that some portion of chemical injection will be ineffective. This results in oil recovery curves such as that shown in Figure 1, where a finite injected volume is needed to begin mobilizing tertiary oil, but little additional recovery is added beyond some larger volume. This curve was generated based on average performance of 6 micellar-polymer (MP) projects. 14,15,16,17
The timing of the response is dependant on the oil saturation conditions at the beginning of the chemical flood, relative permeability characteristics, and the final saturation conditions after the chemical front passes. Oil wet reservoirs tend to have higher waterflood residual oil saturations and hence respond more rapidly than the example shown. We explore the impact of saturation conditions on the economics later. Prior to developing the economics, we first define assumptions and discuss costs. Figure 1: Incremental Oil Recovery versus Total Injected Volume (micellar, polymer, and water) based on Average of 6 MP field projects. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 Pore Volume Injected O i l
R e c o v e r y ,
%
C u m u l a t i v e
O i l SPE 113126 3
Costs A criticism of chemical flooding voiced in the past is that the economics are always out of reach because oil price increases also drive up costs for raw material proportionally. Figure 2 shows historical oil and chemical prices. Some correlation in the trend is seen, though the actual chemical cost rise is also driven by other reasons in than the cost of feedstock or energy. Cost of surfactants used in many of the field projects run about 100% higher than for alkyl-benzene sulfonate (ABS). In spite of current oil prices in excess of $80/bbl, many operators are using $50/bbl for economics, though that price was last seen in mid 2005. We base chemical costs on 2007 data. Unless otherwise stated, the costs used in the economics are: Oil - $50/bbl Net revenue interest 0.8 Surfactant - $1.85/lb Co-surfactant - $0.70/lb Caustic soda - $0.46/lb Soda ash - $0.11/lb. Polymer - $1.20/lb Facility costs depend upon the chemical-flooding process, need for water treatment, and injection rate. Cost for these facilities has also increased along with the price of oil, with a considerable run up in cost over the past 3 years. We use 2007 pricing unless otherwise stated. The lowest cost facility would be for the SP process, followed by AP, ASP, and MP. The increase in cost for AP over SP is primarily because of water softening needs. Water softening costs depend upon the total dissolved solids (TDS) and hardness content of the water. We look at 2 cases in terms of water treatment for processes using alkali:
Fresh water at 4,000 mg/L (TDS) water with 100 mg/L calcium + magnesium (hardness ions) - $0.03/bbl treated water Brine at 15,000 mg/L water with 600 mg/L calcium - $1.00/bbl, and plant cost greater than fresh water case.
We assume a project size of 10,000 MBBL pore volume for ease of scaling. The average total injected volume (micellar solution followed by polymer followed by water) of the projects averaged in Figure 1 is 1.5 PV, or 15,000 MBBL. The project life used is 10 years for 1.5 PV of injection yielding an average daily injection rate of 4,110 bbl/day. Typically injection rates decrease when injecting the relatively viscous polymer solutions compared with water, and the amount depends upon the polymer concentration, which in turn is dictated by oil viscosity. For the economic model used, we assume injection rate decreases to 60% of water rates while injecting chemicals. This presumes that injection is at or near some maximum allowed pressure during waterflooding, which is not always the case, and that no additional injection wells are added for the chemical flood. Initial water rate injection is 5,000 bbl/day, which is needed to estimate the facility cost. For this size facility and based on recent actual costs for 7 ASP plants of varying capacity, we estimate facility cost by process below: MP - $5,500,000 SP - $ 1,500,000 AP fresh water - $ 2,800,000 AP brine - $3,200,000 ASP fresh water - $3,000,000 ASP brine - $3,400,000 All economics are based on incremental oil recovery and cost, assuming ongoing waterflood operations are economic. We include no benefit for accelerating the production of waterflood oil that would be recovered along with the incremental oil. We do include incremental operating costs of $10,000 month (manpower) and $0.05/bbl fluid lifted (operations). We also assume a cost of $700,000 for laboratory and engineering design required to implement a project.
Historical Oil and Chemical Costs $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 $1.00 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 $ / l b
c h e m i c a l $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00 $90.00 $100.00 $ / b b l
o i l Surfactant (ABS) Caustic Soda Soda Ash Oil Figure 2: Historical Crude Oil and Chemical Cost 4 SPE 113126 Assumptions Assumptions related to cost and injection rate are given in the prior section. Table 1 lists the assumed injection concentrations. Using these concentrations and the costs already provided in the prior section, the costs of the injected solutions are compiled in Table 2. In Table 2, the lower cost alkali is used with fresh water that costs less to soften, whereas the more expensive caustic soda is used with brine that is more costly to soften. This is only to provide a range of ASP and AP costs and not a reflection of what alkaline agent works best in a particular water. Tables 1 and 2 provide cost basis for the economic runs, but can also be used to estimate cost for a particular project. For instance, from Table 2 the gross chemical cost for applying the MP process in our example 10,000 MBBL reservoir is:
10 7 x $3.75 = $37,500,000
For recovery of 0.1 PV of oil, the chemical cost per barrel of incremental oil is:
bbl / 50 . 37 $ 1 . 0 75 . 3 $ =
Our example 10,000 MBBL field has 6,000 MBBL OOIP, so this recovery represents 16.7% OOIP.
Economics The costs and assumptions presented are used to estimate economics for the various processes. In the first comparison, we hold oil recovery constant to compare economic parameters over a range of oil price. Results are summarized in Table 3 for $50/bbl oil price. The calculated rate of return is shown for this oil price and two others in Figure 3. Economic performance correlates with the injected cost times injected pore volume listed in Table 2. The best economic performance has the lowest cost. Note that the breakeven point for micellar-polymer (MP) flooding is at about $40/bbl oil, and for surfactant-polymer (SP) at about $24/bbl. These economics for the SP process are consistent with the thorough simulation based sensitivity analysis presented by Anderson et. al. 18 ASP flooding was performed economically in 1993 when oil prices were about $16.50. 19
The comparisons made so far assume oil recovery is the same for each process. This is not realistic for a specific field, as there would be some variation in performance. Table 4 compares oil recovery required to get a 30% rate of return (ROR) for each of the processes. This shows a very broad range in recovery ( 11.2% to 54.8%) needed to get the same economic benefit. Performance for optimized systems within each process type are expected to vary by no more than 5% OOIP provided the process is applicable for the particular reservoir setting. Table 1: Injected Solution Composition Low Tension "slug" Process Alkali, % Surfactant % Co- Surfactant % Polymer mg/L Polymer flush, mg/L MP 7.0 1.5 1200 SP 1.0 0.5 1200 1200 Na 2 CO 3 AP 1.0 1200 1200 ASP 1.0 0.20 1200 1200 NaOH AP 1.0 1200 1200 ASP 1.0 0.20 1200 1200 Table 2: Injected Solution Volume and Cost Low Tension "slug" Softening Injected Cost Polymer flush Injected Cost Process Injected Volume $/bbl $/bbl Injected Volume $/bbl Injected Cost $/bbl * PV MP 0.07 49.00 0.63 0.50 3.75 SP 0.30 8.20 0.40 0.50 2.66 Na 2 CO 3 fresh water AP 0.30 0.03 0.92 0.40 0.50 0.49 ASP 0.30 0.03 2.21 0.40 0.50 0.87 NaOH brine AP 0.30 1.00 3.11 0.40 0.50 1.44 ASP 0.30 1.00 4.41 0.40 0.50 1.82 Table 3: Model Economics of Chemical Flooding Processes at $50 oil Incremntal Oil Incremental Cost Present Worth @ 15% Added Oil Cost Payout Process %OOIP M$ M$ $/net BBL Years ROR, % MP 25.0 45,677 -9,806 38.07 7.3 6.90 SP 25.0 30,777 4,948 28.20 5.8 21.80 Na 2 CO 3 fresh water AP 25.0 10,250 21,462 8.54 3.4 74.50 ASP 25.0 14,331 18,102 11.94 3.9 56.00 NaOH brine AP 25.0 17,235 15,680 14.37 4.4 46.20 ASP 25.0 21,321 12,317 17.77 4.8 36.10 SPE 113126 5
Oil recovery obtained by applying a chemical flooding process increases as the injected volume increases, reaching an unrealistic maximum if all the residual oil is recovered. The response is similar to that seen in Figure 4. The most benefit is gained where the slope is the greatest, or where a small increase in injected volume gains the greatest additional recovery. This is also the point where there is the most economic benefit in terms of $/bbl of added oil when only chemical costs are considered. One would consider the process to be uneconomic when cost of additional oil recovered for some increment of additional injection exceeds costs that oil could be obtained by other means, such as acquisitions, or a finding and development cost threshold. Economics are calculated for the ASP process (fresh water) using the injected volume and response curve of Figure 4 and assuming $50 oil price. Results are shown in Figure 5 for a range of injected slug volumes and recoveries. Similar trends would be observed for any of the other processes, though the magnitude would be shifted as per Figure 3. For instance the SP flood peaks at about 25% ROR for 0.3 PV injected and begins to decrease thereafter. A final consideration is the flooding process time or injected pore volumes per year for a chemical project. Response to chemical injection is delayed because the injected chemicals must contact the oil to develop an oil bank that is then mobilized to the producing well. Cost for chemicals, such as listed in Table 2, are incurred for some time before the response to injection is seen at a producing well. In the response curve shown in Figure 1, the 0.2 pore volume injected where incremental recovery is measurable, requires 1.3 years for our example 10 year project. Greater residual oil saturations translate to a more rapid oil response, and therefore, improve the present value of the chemical flooding project. Figure 6 compares response for higher residual oil saturation conditions (in the dashed line) with response curve for an 8, 10, and 12 year ASP projects, all obtaining the same oil revenue. The earlier response favorably impacts the economic parameter rate of return even if the cumulative cash flow remains unchanged. Similarly, greater well spacing means the pore volume of a pattern is larger which reduces the process rate if injection rate remains unchanged. A lower permeability reservoir would also be flooded at reduced process rate, all other things being equal. Figure 6 lists rate of return for the same cumulative oil recovery recovered over a range of times. The associated costs are also spread over the appropriate pore volume injected for this base case ASP flood used in prior examples. Thus, if ROR is the principal economic factor driving a project, it might be possible to reduce process time by adding additional wells and reconfiguring patterns to improve present value at the expensive to the bottom line cash flow.
- 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Oi l Pr i ce, $/ bbl MP SP AP f r esh ASP f resh AP brine ASP br ine Figure 3: Rate of Return vs. Oil Price for Chemical Flooding Processes Table 4: Oil Recovery at $50 oil Required for 30% ROR Incremntal Oil Process %OOIP MP 52.4 SP 30.7 fresh water Na 2 CO 3 AP 10.1 ASP 14.4 brine NaOH AP 17.5 ASP 21.7 Figure 4: Recovery of Remaining Oil in Place vs. Injected Slug Volume 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Pore Volume Injected O i l
R e c o v e r y ,
%
R e m a i n i n g
O i l 6 SPE 113126
Conclusions 1. Chemical flooding processes can be economic if applied to the proper reservoir setting. 2. Economic performance is dominated by oil price, cost per barrel of injected solution, and duration of chemical injection. 3. Those processes with the lowest cost per injected barrel such as alkaline-polymer flooding (AP) or alkaline-surfactant- polymer (ASP) can incur higher water treatment and facility cost and still have better economics than processes with higher injected barrel costs.
References
1 Uren, L.C. and Fahmy, E.H.: Factors Influencing the Recovery of Petroleum from Unconsolidated Sands by Waterflooing Trans., AIME (1927), 77 2 Calhoun, J.C., Stahl, C.D., Preston, F.W. and Nielson, R.F.: A Review of Laboratory Experiments on Wetting Agents for Waterflooding, Producers Monthly: Jan. 1951. 3 Reisberg, J. and Doscher, T. M.: Interfacial Phenomena in Crude Oil-Water Systems, Producers Monthly, Sept., 1956. 4 Holm, L. W. and Bernard, G.G.: Secondary Recovery Waterflood Process, U.S. Patent No. 3,082,822 (1959). 5 Csazar, A.K.: Solvent Waterflood Oil Recovery Process, U.S. Patent No. 3,163,214 (1961). 6 Gogarty, W.B., and Olson, R. W.: Use of Microemulsion in Miscible-type Oil Recovery Procedure, U.S. Patent 3,254,714, (1966). 7 Oil and Gas Journal: Price Seen Key to Enhanced Recovery, May 5, 1975, pp 160-161. 8 Earlougher, R.C. Jr., ONeal, J.E. and Surkalo, H., Micellar Solution Flooding: Field Test Results and Process Improvements, SPE 4753 Presented at the SPE-AIME Improved Oil Recovery Symposium, Tulsa, OK, April 22-24, 1974. 9 Gogarty, W.B.: Oil Recovery with Surfactants: History and a Current Appraisal, Improved Oil Recovery by Surfactant and Polymer Flooding, Academic Press, Inc., 1977. 10 Ibrahim Zahari, Arif Azhan Abdul Manap, Pauziyah Abdul Hamid, Hon Vai Yee, Lim Peng Hong, and Kon Wyatt: Laboratory Aspect of Chemical EOR Processes Evaluation for Malaysian Oilfields, SPE 10093, 2006. 11 Sarma, H.K. and Bentsen, R.G.: An experimental verification of a modified instability theory for immiscible displacements in porous media, Journal of Canadian Petroleum Technology, July-Aug 1987, pp 88-99. 12 Didler Pavone: Observations and Correlations for Immiscible Viscous-Fingering, SPE Reservoir Engineering, May 1992, pp 187-194 13 Kon Wyatt, Malcolm J. Pitts, and Harry Surkalo: Mature Waterfloods Renew Oil Production by Alkaline-Surfactant-Polymer Flooding, SPE 78711, 2002. 14 L.W. Holm: Design, Performance, and Evaluation of the Uniflood Micellar-Polymer Process Bell Creek Field, SPE 11196, 1982. 15 Howell, J.C., McAtee, R.W., Snyder, W.O., and Tonso, K.L.: Large-Scale Field Application of Micellar-Polymer Flooding, SPE 7082, Journal of Petroleum Technology, June 1979, pp 690-696 16 W.B. Gogarty, W.C. Tosch: Miscible-Type Waterflooding: Oil Recovery with Micellar Solutions, JPT, December 1968, pp 1407- 1428 17 O.J. Aguey: Field Performance Analysis of Micellar Polymer Pilot Flood, Prepared for DOE under Contract No. DE-ACO3- 77ET12044 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Pore Volume Injected R O R ,
% -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 C u m u l a t i v e
N e t
C a s h
F l o w ,
M $ ROR Net Cash Flow Figure 5: Economics for ASP in Fresh Water versus injected ASP Volume. Figure 6: ASP Project Life versus Cumulative Incremental Oil and % Rate of Return. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Years C u m u l a t i v e
O i l ,
M B B L 77.0% ROR 56.0% ROR 39.6% ROR 80.7% ROR SPE 113126 7
18 G.A. Anderson, M. Delshad, C.B. King, H. Mohammadi, and G.A. Pope: Optimization of Chemical Flooding in a Mixed-Wet Dolomite Reservoir, SPE 100082, 2006 19 Jay Vargo, Jim Turner, Bob Vernani, Malcolm Pitts, Kon Wyatt, and Harry Surkalo: Alkaline-Surfactant-Polymer Flooding of the Cambridge Minnelusa Field, SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering, 3 (6), Dec. 2000, pp 552-558