Texas Statewide Survey On Texas & Prosperity

TEXAS
STATEWIDE SURVEY

October 8 - 14, 2014

N = 801 respondents
margin of error: + 3.5%
OBJECTIVES
To assess who should take the lead role in
reducing poverty and how we should best
reduce poverty.
2
To assess whether the government has
increased or decreased the number of people
in poverty.
3
To measure attitudes about the direction and
outlook of things in Texas.
1
Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 14123
TEXAS COMBINED
MEDIA MARKETS
Archer
Armstrong
Bailey
Baylor
Borden
Briscoe
Carson
Castro Childress
Clay
Cochran
Collin
Collings-
worth
Cooke
Cottle
Crosby
Dallam
Dallas
Dawson
Deaf Smith
Denton
Dickens
Donley
Fisher
Floyd
Foard
Gaines
Garza
Gray
Grayson
Hale
Hall
Hansford
Hardeman
Hartley
Haskell
Hemphill
Hockley
Hutchinson
Jack
Jones
Kent
King Knox
Lamb
Lipscomb
Lubbock
Lynn
Montague
Moore
Motley
Ochiltree
Oldham
Palo
Pinto
Parker
Parmer
Potter
Randall
Roberts
Scurry
Shackel-
ford
Sherman
Stephens
Stonewall
Swisher
Tarrant
Terry
Throck-
morton
Wheeler
Wichita
Wilbarger
Wise Yoakum Young
Andrews
Atascosa
Bandera
Bee
Bexar
Blanco
Bosque
Brewster
Brooks
Brown
Callahan
Cameron
Coke
Coleman
Comal
Comanche
Concho
Coryell
Crane
Crockett
Culberson
Dimmit
Duval
Eastland
Ector
Edwards
Ellis
El Paso
Erath
Freestone
Frio
Gillespie
Glass-
cock
Guadalupe
Hamilton
Hays
Hidalgo
Hill
Hood
Howard
Hudspeth
Irion
Jeff Davis
Jim
Hogg
Jim
Wells
Johnson
Karnes
Kendall
Kenedy
Kerr
Kimble
Kinney
Kleberg
Lampasas
La Salle
Lime-
stone
Live Oak
Llano
Loving
McCulloch
McLennan
McMullen
Martin
Mason
Maverick
Medina
Menard
Midland
Mills
Mitchell
Navarro
Nolan
Nueces
Pecos
Presidio
Reagan
Real
Reeves
Runnels
San Patricio
San
Saba
Schleicher
Somer-
vell
Starr
Sterling
Sutton
Taylor
Terrell
Tom
Green
Upton
Uvalde
Val Verde
Ward
Webb
Willacy
Wilson
Winkler
Zapata
Zavala
Anderson
Angelina
Aransas
Austin
Bastrop
Bell
Bowie
Brazoria
Brazos
Burleson
Burnet
Caldwell
Calhoun
Camp
Cass
Chambers
Cherokee
Colorado
Delta
De Witt
Falls
Fannin
Fayette
Fort Bend
Galveston
Goliad
Gonzales
Gregg
Grimes
Hardin
Harris
Harrison
Henderson
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jackson
Jefferson
Kaufman
Lamar
Lavaca
Lee
Leon
Liberty
Madison
Marion
Matagorda
Milam
Montgomery
Nacogdoches
Orange
Panola
Polk
Rains
Red
River
Refugio
Robertson
Rock-
wall
Rusk
Sabine
San
Augustine
San
Jacinto
Shelby
Smith
Titus
Travis
Trinity
Tyler
Upshur
Van
Zandt
Victoria
Walker
Washington
Wharton
Williamson
Wood
F
r
a
n
k
lin

J
a
s
p
e
r

M
o
r
r
i s

N
e
w
t
o
n

W
a
l l e
r

Houston 25%
Austin / Waco / Bryan 11%
San Antonio / South / El Paso 21%
West Texas Markets 8%
East Texas Markets 6%
Dallas-Ft. Worth 28%
Percent of
Interviews
TEXAS COUNTIES
SEGMENTED INTO
URBAN / SUBURBAN OR
RURAL CLASSIFICATION
Archer
Armstrong
Bailey
Baylor
Borden
Briscoe
Carson
Castro Childress
Clay
Cochran
Collin
Collings-
worth
Cooke
Cottle
Crosby
Dallam
Dallas
Dawson
Deaf Smith
Denton
Dickens
Donley
Fisher
Floyd
Foard
Gaines
Garza
Gray
Grayson
Hale
Hall
Hansford
Hardeman
Hartley
Haskell
Hemphill
Hockley
Hutchinson
Jack
Jones
Kent
King Knox
Lamb
Lipscomb
Lubbock
Lynn
Montague
Moore
Motley
Ochiltree
Oldham
Palo
Pinto
Parker
Parmer
Potter
Randall
Roberts
Scurry
Shackel-
ford
Sherman
Stephens
Stonewall
Swisher
Tarrant
Terry
Throck-
morton
Wheeler
Wichita
Wilbarger
Wise Yoakum Young
Andrews
Atascosa
Bandera
Bee
Bexar
Blanco
Bosque
Brewster
Brooks
Brown
Callahan
Cameron
Coke
Coleman
Comal
Comanche
Concho
Coryell
Crane
Crockett
Culberson
Dimmit
Duval
Eastland
Ector
Edwards
Ellis
El Paso
Erath
Freestone
Frio
Gillespie
Glass-
cock
Guadalupe
Hamilton
Hays
Hidalgo
Hill
Hood
Howard
Hudspeth
Irion
Jeff Davis
Jim
Hogg
Jim
Wells
Johnson
Karnes
Kendall
Kenedy
Kerr
Kimble
Kinney
Kleberg
Lampasas
La Salle
Lime-
stone
Live Oak
Llano
Loving
McCulloch
McLennan
McMullen
Martin
Mason
Maverick
Medina
Menard
Midland
Mills
Mitchell
Navarro
Nolan
Nueces
Pecos
Presidio
Reagan
Real
Reeves
Runnels
San Patricio
San
Saba
Schleicher
Somer-
vell
Starr
Sterling
Sutton
Taylor
Terrell
Tom
Green
Upton
Uvalde
Val Verde
Ward
Webb
Willacy
Wilson
Winkler
Zapata
Zavala
Anderson
Angelina
Aransas
Austin
Bastrop
Bell
Bowie
Brazoria
Brazos
Burleson
Burnet
Caldwell
Calhoun
Camp
Cass
Chambers
Cherokee
Colorado
Delta
De Witt
Falls
Fannin
Fayette
Fort Bend
Galveston
Goliad
Gonzales
Gregg
Grimes
Hardin
Harris
Harrison
Henderson
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jackson
Jefferson
Kaufman
Lamar
Lavaca
Lee
Leon
Liberty
Madison
Marion
Matagorda
Milam
Montgomery
Nacogdoches
Orange
Panola
Polk
Rains
Red
River
Refugio
Robertson
Rock-
wall
Rusk
Sabine
San
Augustine
San
Jacinto
Shelby
Smith
Titus
Travis
Trinity
Tyler
Upshur
Van
Zandt
Victoria
Walker
Washington
Wharton
Williamson
Wood
F
r
a
n
k
lin

J
a
s
p
e
r

M
o
r
r
i s

N
e
w
t
o
n

W
a
l l e
r

Rural 43%
Urban / Suburban 57%
Percent of
Interviews
VOTE BEHAVIOR & IDEOLOGY
Ideology
Conservative Liberal Moderate
57% 27% 16%
Solid GOP Broad IND Solid DEM
Usual vote
behavior
Not
registered
36% 26% 27% 11%
Combination
Conserv
GOP
Mod / Lib
GOP
Conserv
DEM
Mod / Lib
DEM
Conserv
IND
Mod / Lib
IND
Not
registered
29% 7% 12% 14% 10% 17% 11%
D13. Do you have!
INTERNET & SOCIAL MEDIA
80%
Internet access
at home
16%
A Twitter
account
71%
Internet access
on a cell phone
54%
A Facebook
account
(% Yes)
87%
81%
80%
74%
18-44
45-54
55-64
65+
93%
74%
67%
53%
18-44
45-54
55-64
65+
77%
51%
49%
38%
18-44
45-54
55-64
65+
30%
13%
10%
8%
18-44
45-54
55-64
65+
<$35K
$35-$74K
$75-$124K
$125K+
53%
81%
95%
95%
<$35K
$35-$74K
$75-$124K
$125K+
50%
68%
88%
94%
<$35K
$35-$74K
$75-$124K
$125K+
15%
11%
17%
28%
<$35K
$35-$74K
$75-$124K
$125K+
43%
53%
66%
69%
RIGHT DIRECTION VS. WRONG TRACK
Q1. Do you think things in Texas are going in the right
direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
11%
24%
35%
Strongly
Somewhat
Wrong track
15%
Unsure /
refused
25%
26%
50%
Right direction
Strongly
Somewhat
Right Direction Wrong Track
68% GOP 21%
49% IND 36%
32% DEM 54%
40% <$35K 44%
48% $35-$75K 36%
54% $75-$124K 34%
60% $125K 28%
TEXAS ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Q2. In the next six months, do you think economic conditions in Texas will!
29%
Get better
53%
Stay about
the same
12%
Get worse
1%
Other
5%
Unsure /
refused
25%
33%
<$35K
$125K+
19%
9%
<$35K
$125K+
50%
57%
<$35K
$125K+
25%
Get better
62%
Stay about
the same
11%
Get worse
<.5%
Other
2%
Unsure /
refused
PERSONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Q3. In the next six months, do you think economic
conditions for you and your family will!
22%
27%
<$35K
$125K+
19%
4%
<$35K
$125K+
56%
67%
<$35K
$125K+
32%
A lack of
opportunity
11%
Both
52%
The choices
of the
individual
2%
Neither /
other
3%
Unsure /
refused
POVERTY RESULTS FROM
Q4. Thinking about poverty for a moment, which
do you believe that poverty results more from...
POVERTY RESULTS FROM
Q4. Thinking about poverty for a moment, which
do you believe that poverty results more from...
Base
A lack of
opportunity
The choices
of the
individual
Both
Neither /
other
Unsure /
refused
Total 801 32% 52% 11% 2% 3%
RRACE - Race and Ethnicity
Anglo 399 26% 59% 11% 1% 2%
African-American 98 49% 32% 13% 2% 3%
Hispanic 217 41% 49% 7% * 3%
Other 87 19% 50% 17% 4% 11%
RPARTYTS - SOLID vs. BROAD VOTERS
Solid GOP 288 17% 69% 10% 2% 1%
Broad IND 208 30% 51% 12% 2% 5%
Solid DEM 220 52% 35% 9% 1% 4%
Not registered 85 39% 41% 15% 1% 3%
RIDEOL - IDEOLOGY
Conservative 456 23% 62% 11% 2% 2%
Moderate 214 35% 43% 15% 1% 7%
Liberal 131 58% 32% 7% 1% 3%
VOTEIDEL - IDEOLOGY / VOTE BEHAVIOR
Consrv Republicans 235 13% 75% 9% 2% 1%
Mod/Lib Republicans 52 35% 44% 16% 2% 2%
Consrv Independents 94 21% 61% 13% 3% 2%
Mod/Lib Independents 114 37% 42% 12% 2% 7%
Consrv Democrats 83 47% 41% 9% 1% 1%
Mod/Lib Democrats 137 55% 32% 8% - 6%
Not registered 85 39% 41% 15% 1% 3%
RINCOME - Annual Household Income
Under $35,000 160 40% 42% 13% 1% 4%
$35,000 - $74,999 227 34% 51% 11% * 3%
$75,000 - $124,999 175 27% 62% 9% 1% 1%
$125,000 and over 134 26% 61% 9% 3% 1%
Income unknown 106 33% 41% 14% 3% 9%
53%
Individual
actions
15%
Both
28%
Outside
circumstances
1%
Neither /
other
3%
Unsure /
refused
GREATER CAUSE OF POVERTY
Q5. Which one of the following do you
consider to be a greater cause of poverty?
GREATER CAUSE OF POVERTY
Q5. Which one of the following do you
consider to be a greater cause of poverty?
Base
Individual
actions
Outside
circumstances
Both Neither / other
Unsure /
refused
Total 801 53% 28% 15% 1% 3%
Anglo 399 56% 27% 14% 1% 3%
African-American 98 39% 35% 21% 1% 3%
Hispanic 217 54% 31% 10% 2% 3%
Other 87 50% 21% 23% 3% 3%
Solid GOP 288 65% 19% 13% 1% 2%
Broad IND 208 54% 26% 13% 3% 3%
Solid DEM 220 44% 38% 15% - 3%
Not registered 85 34% 37% 23% 3% 4%
RIDEOL - IDEOLOGY
Conservative 456 61% 21% 14% 1% 3%
Moderate 214 45% 32% 17% 1% 4%
Liberal 131 37% 46% 14% 1% 2%
Mod/Lib Republicans 52 46% 34% 16% - 4%
Consrv Independents 94 67% 19% 10% 4% -
Consrv Democrats 83 45% 30% 19% - 6%
Mod/Lib Democrats 137 43% 43% 13% - 1%
Not registered 85 34% 37% 23% 3% 4%
Under $35,000 160 44% 36% 15% 2% 3%
$35,000 - $74,999 227 54% 33% 10% 2% 2%
$75,000 - $124,999 175 57% 23% 17% 1% 2%
$125,000 and over 134 55% 27% 15% 1% 1%
Income unknown 106 53% 16% 20% 2% 9%
7%
20%
11%
14%
10%
13%
16%
31%
21%
16%
50%
15%
33%
25%
Next take
lead role
SHOULD TAKE LEAD ROLE
15%
Local communities
8%
Unsure / refused
13%
State government
14%
Federal government
6%
Businesses
8%
Faith groups such
as churches
Q6. Please tell me which one of the following
should take the lead role in reducing poverty.
36%
Individuals for
themselves
Take
lead role
Afr-
Amer
His-
panic Anglo
16% 15% 16%
43% 39% 27%
35% 34% 18%
41% 44% 54%
19% 30% 34%
19% 12% 27%
18% 17% 15%
4%
Direct aid to the
poor through
welfare
programs
2%
Both
89%
Focusing on
growing the
economy to provide
job opportunities
3%
Neither /
other
1%
Unsure /
refused
BEST WAY FOR GOVERNMENT TO LEAD
Q7. Regardless of whether you believe that the state government should take
the lead in combating poverty, which of the following is the best way to do it?
92%
88%
86%
Hispanic
Anglo
Afr-Am
INCREASED VS. DECREASED PEOPLE IN POVERTY
Q8. Do you believe government (Version X: efforts / Version Y: programs)
have increased or decreased the number of people in poverty in Texas?
16%
42%
58%
Strongly
Somewhat
Increased
13%
10%
22%
Strongly
Somewhat
Decreased
20%
No impact /
Unsure
X:
Y:
55%
60%
X:
Y:
26%
19%
Increased Decreased
63% Anglo 17%
44% Afr-Am 41%
56% Hispanic 24%
68% GOP 14%
60% IND 22%
47% DEM 31%
Q8X. And in your own words, please tell me why you believe government (Ver X: efforts /
Ver Y: programs) have increased the number of people in poverty in Texas?
WHY INCREASED / DECREASED
Q8Y. And in your own words, please tell me why you believe government (Ver X: efforts /
Ver Y: programs) have decreased the number of people in poverty in Texas?
(78% Not asked)
(42% Not asked)
Become
dependent on
government
21%
Government is
the problem
12%
Economic /
Financial
reasons
6%
Not enough
help
9%
Outside
circumstances
3%
Other
1%
Confused
answer
1%
Unsure
5%
Helping
people /
Opportunities
7%
Economy /
Financial
reasons
5%
Specific
programs
1%
Other
1%
Confused
answer
4%
Unsure
4%
WHY NO IMPACT
Q8Z. And in your own words, please tell me why you believe government (Ver X: efforts /
Ver Y: programs) have had no impact on the number of people in poverty in Texas?
Always the same number of people on welf are regardless of government / doesn't change. 6 2.8%
It depends on an individual's ef f ort / personal responsibility. 6 0.7%
People learning to use the system / abusing the programs / become dependent on it. 5 0.7%
Federal government letting people through the borders / illegal aliens. 3 0.6%
Politicians don't care about poor people / programs. 3 0.4%
People are not aware of the programs. 2 0.3%
Doesn't f ocus on the right things. 2 0.3%
People can't survive of f minimum wage. 1 0.2%
Government doesn't put enough f inances into programs. 1 0.2%
The evidence proves it's self . 1 0.1%
They don't do enough background checks. 1 0.1%
Politicians in government are the problem. 1 0.1%
Bad economy. 1 0.1%
Don't know / ref used. 22 0.1%
Not asked. 746 93.2%
TOTAL 801 100.0%
Q9. Please tell me if you think each of the following would help reduce poverty:
HELP REDUCE POVERTY
35%
Expanded
government
intervention
and spending
91%
A growing
economy
87%
Better educational
opportunities
through school
choice for all
children
(% Yes)
56%
53%
51%
39%
32%
24%
15%
Mod / Lib Dem
Cons Dem
Not Registered
Mod / Lib GOP
Mod / Lib IND
Cons IND
Cons GOP
71%
Through
hard work
17%
Both
9%
Other
advantages
1%
Other
1%
Unsure /
refused
SUCCESS IS ACHIEVED
Q10. Do you believe that success is achieved through hard
work or because of other advantages an individual might have?
67%
More to
help
themselves
15%
Doing
everything
they can
9%
Other
9%
Unsure /
refused
DO MORE VS. DOING EVERYTING THEY CAN
Q11. Do you think those affected by poverty can do more to
help themselves or are they doing everything they can?
More to
help
themselves
Doing
everything
they can
70% Anglo 10%
56% Afr-Am 29%
67% Hispanic 19%
32%
Spending
enough
32%
Not enough
22%
Just the
right
amount
14%
Unsure /
refused
SPENDING ON POVERTY PROGRAMS
Q12. In Texas, do you believe there is enough spending, not
enough spending, or just the right amount of spending on poverty
programs such as Head Start, Medicaid, and food stamps?
Base
Spending
enough
Not enough
Just the
right
amount
Unsure /
refused
Total 801 32% 32% 22% 14%
Anglo 399 39% 24% 22% 15%
African-American 98 18% 58% 13% 11%
Hispanic 217 25% 34% 28% 12%
Other 87 36% 31% 21% 12%
Solid GOP 288 42% 15% 26% 17%
Broad IND 208 35% 32% 22% 11%
Solid DEM 220 21% 53% 17% 9%
Not registered 85 21% 34% 25% 20%
RIDEOL - IDEOLOGY
Conservative 456 39% 20% 24% 16%
Moderate 214 26% 37% 24% 12%
Liberal 131 17% 63% 11% 8%
Consrv Republicans 235 44% 11% 27% 18%
Mod/Lib Republicans 52 35% 31% 20% 14%
Consrv Independents 94 43% 21% 27% 10%
Mod/Lib Independents 114 30% 41% 18% 12%
Consrv Democrats 83 30% 40% 18% 12%
Mod/Lib Democrats 137 15% 62% 16% 7%
Not registered 85 21% 34% 25% 20%
Under $35,000 160 28% 40% 19% 13%
$35,000 - $74,999 227 33% 30% 25% 12%
$75,000 - $124,999 175 37% 32% 21% 10%
$125,000 and over 134 31% 32% 24% 12%
Income unknown 106 31% 21% 22% 25%
SPENDING ON POVERTY PROGRAMS
Q12. In Texas, do you believe there is enough spending, not
enough spending, or just the right amount of spending on poverty
programs such as Head Start, Medicaid, and food stamps?
25%
City, county,
and local
government
9%
Federal
government
30%
State
government
14%
Government
is not the best
means of
addressing
poverty
22%
Unsure /
refused
GOVERNMENT LEVEL BEST EQUIPPED
Q13. Which level of government, if any, is best equipped to address poverty in Texas?
Base
City, county, and
local government
State government
Federal
government
Government is not
the best means of
addressing poverty
Unsure / refused
Total 801 25% 30% 9% 14% 22%
VOTEIDEL - IDEOLOGY /
VOTE BEHAVIOR
Mod/Lib Republicans 52 30% 35% 4% 13% 19%
Consrv Independents 94 31% 25% 10% 20% 14%
Consrv Democrats 83 18% 27% 17% 6% 33%
Mod/Lib Democrats 137 19% 45% 11% 6% 19%
Not registered 85 26% 27% 10% 6% 31%
Q15. Please indicate if you think each of the following is a
reason that minorities in Texas have some of the lowest poverty
rates among the ten most populous states. Is one reason...
MINORITIES HAVE LOWEST POVERTY RATES
59%
The Texas economy
39%
Government benefit
programs are less
generous in Texas
29%
Government benefit
programs are more
generous in Texas
61%
Traditional values,
such as marriage and
church attendance, are
stronger in Texas
(% Yes)
IND DEM GOP
58% 54% 70%
61% 53% 65%
38% 51% 31%
30% 29% 25%
Not
Regis
59%
57%
34%
41%

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