The material set forth in this chapter will comprise approximately 8% of the questions on your upcoming CFA Level 1 examination. A conflict, known as an "agency problem," arises when there is a conflict of interest between the needs of the principal and the agent. In finance, the two primary agency relationships that exist are between: managers and stockholders managers and creditors.
The material set forth in this chapter will comprise approximately 8% of the questions on your upcoming CFA Level 1 examination. A conflict, known as an "agency problem," arises when there is a conflict of interest between the needs of the principal and the agent. In finance, the two primary agency relationships that exist are between: managers and stockholders managers and creditors.
The material set forth in this chapter will comprise approximately 8% of the questions on your upcoming CFA Level 1 examination. A conflict, known as an "agency problem," arises when there is a conflict of interest between the needs of the principal and the agent. In finance, the two primary agency relationships that exist are between: managers and stockholders managers and creditors.
The material set forth in this chapter will comprise approximately 8% of the questions on your upcoming CFA Level 1 examination. Keep in mind that CFA Institute's exam questions are comprehensive. Be sure to know not only what these topics are, but how they relate to each other.
Within this section, we will discuss the agency problems associated with the agent-principal relationship, the calculations and uses of the cost of capital in capital budgeting, the calculations and applications of Net Present Value (NPV), the types of risks and risk analysis techniques, the effect of leverage on a company or project's return, and the various dividend theories and related calculations.
Potential Agency Problems An agency relationship occurs when a principal hires an agent to perform some duty. A conflict, known as an "agency problem", arises when there is a conflict of interest between the needs of the principal and the needs of the agent.
In finance, the two primary agency relationships that exist are between: Managers and stockholders Managers and creditors
1. Stockholders versus Managers If the manager owns less than 100% of the firm's common stock , a potential agency problem between mangers and stockholders exists. Managers, at times, may make decisions that have the potential to be in conflict with the best interests of the shareholders. For example, managers may grow their firm to escape a takeover attempt to increase their own job security. However, a takeover may be in the shareholders' best interest. 2. Stockholders versus Creditors Creditors decide to loan money to a corporation based on the riskiness of the company, its capital structure and its potential capital structure. All of these factors will affect the company's potential cash flow, which is the main concern of creditors. Stockholders, however, have control of such decisions through the managers. Since stockholders will make decisions based on their best interest, a potential agency problem exists between the stockholders and creditors. For example, managers could borrow money to repurchase shares to lower the corporation's share base and increase shareholder return. Stockholders will benefit; however, creditors will be concerned given the increase in debt that would affect future cash flows.
Motivating Managers to Act in Shareholder's Best Interest Four primary mechanisms are used to motivate managers to act in stockholders' best interests: Managerial compensation Direct intervention by stockholders Threat of firing Threat of takeovers
1. Managerial Compensation Managerial compensation should be constructed not only to retain competent managers, but to align managers' interests with those of stockholders as much as possible. This is typically done with an annual salary plus performance bonuses and company shares. Company shares are typically distributed to managers either as: o Performance shares, where managers will receive a certain number shares based on the company's performance. o Executive stock options, which allow the manager to purchase shares at a future date and price. With the use of stock options , managers are aligned closer to the interest of the stockholders as they themselves will be stockholders. 2. Direct Intervention by Stockholders Today, the majority of a company's stock is owned by large institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pensions. As such, these large institutional stockholders have the ability to exert influence on mangers and, as a result, the firm's operations.
3. Threat of Firing If stockholders are unhappy with current management, they can encourage the existing board of directors to change the existing management, or stockholders may even re-elect a new board of directors that will accomplish the task. Ads by saovE oanAd Options 4. Threat of Takeovers If a stock price deteriorates because of management's inability to run the company effectively, competitors or stockholders may take a controlling interest in the company and bring in their own managers.
To learn more about governance, please see the article, Governance Pays.
Next: Capital Budgeting Basics Corporate Finance - Capital Budgeting Basics
What is Capital Budgeting? Capital budgeting is defined as the process of planning for projects on assets with cash flows of a period greater than one year.
These projects can be classified as:
Replacement decisions to maintain the business Existing product or market expansion New products and services Regulatory, safety and environmental Other, including pet projects or difficult to evaluate projects
Additionally, projects can also be classified as mutually exclusive or independent: - Mutually exclusive projects indicate there is only one project among all possible projects that can be accepted. - Independent projects are potential projects that are unrelated, and any combination of those projects can be accepted. Ads by saovE oanAd Options The Importance of Capital Budgeting Capital budgeting is important for many reasons: - Since projects approved via capital budgeting are long term, the firm becomes tied to the project and loses some of its flexibility during that period. - When making the decision to purchase an asset, managers need to forecast the revenue over the life of that asset. - Lastly, given the length of the projects, capital-budgeting decisions ultimately define the strategic plan of the company.
For more on capital budgeting, check out our basic tutorial.
Next: The Cost of Capital Corporate Finance - The Cost of Capital The following sections discuss the cost of capital in terms of its components, calculations, and company internal targets. Readers should know the costs that make up the weighted cost of capital (WACC).
Interpreting the Cost of Capital Given the importance of capital budgeting, a company should use the weighted average of the costs of the various types of capital it may use in financing its operations.
A company uses debt, common equity and preferred equity to fund new projects, typically in large sums. In the long run, companies typically adhere to target weights for each of the sources of funding. When a capital budgeting decision is being made, it is important to keep in mind how the capital structure may be affected.
Cost Components A company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is comprised of the following costs: 1.Cost of debt 2.Cost of preferred stock 3.Cost of retained earnings 4.Cost of external equity
1. Cost of Debt In the WACC calculation, the after-tax cost of debt is used. Using the after-tax cost takes into account the tax savings from the tax-deductibility of interest.
The after-tax cost of debt can be calculated as follows:
Formula 11.1 After-tax cost of debt = k d (1-t)
Look Out! It is important to note that k d represents thecost to issue new debt, not the firm\'s existing debt.
Example: Cost of Debt Newco plans to issue debt at a 7% interest rate. Newco's total (both federal and state) tax rate is 40%. What is Newco's cost of debt? Ads by saovE oanAd Options Answer:
k d (1-t) = 7% (1-0.40) = 4.2%
2. Cost of Preferred Stock Cost of preferred stock (k ps ) can be calculated as follows:
Formula 11.2 k ps = D ps /P net
where: Dps = preferred dividends Pnet = net issuing price
Example: Cost of preferred stock Assume Newco's preferred stock pays a dividend of $2 per share and it sells for $100 per share. If the cost to Newco to issue new shares is 4%, what is Newco's cost of preferred stock?
Answer: k ps = D ps /P net = $2/$100(1-0.04) = 2.1%
Next: Cost of Retained Earnings
Corporate Finance - Cost of Retained Earnings
3. Cost of retained earnings Cost of retained earnings (k s ) is the return stockholders require on the company's common stock.
There are three methods one can use to derive the cost of retained earnings: a) Capital-asset-pricing-model (CAPM) approach b) Bond-yield-plus-premium approach c) Discounted cash flow approach
a) CAPM Approach To calculate the cost of capital using the CAPM approach, you must first estimate the risk-free rate (r f ), which is typically the U.S. Treasury bond rate or the 30-day Treasury-bill rate as well as the expected rate of return on the market (r m ).
The next step is to estimate the company's beta (b i ), which is an estimate of the stock's risk. Inputting these assumptions into the CAPM equation, you can then calculate the cost of retained earnings.
Formula 11.3
Example: CAPM approach For Newco, assume r f = 4%, r m = 15% and b i = 1.1. What is the cost of retained earnings for Newco using the CAPM approach?
Answer: k s = r f + b i (r m - r f ) = 4% + 1.1(15%-4%) = 16.1%
b) Bond-Yield-Plus-Premium Approach This is a simple, ad hoc approach to estimating the cost of retained earnings. Simply take the interest rate of the firm's long-term debt and add a risk premium (typically three to five percentage points): Ads by saovE oanAd Options Formula 11.4 k s = long-term bond yield + risk premium
Example: bond-yield-plus-premium approach The interest rate on Newco's long-term debt is 7% and our risk premium is 4%. What is the cost of retained earnings for Newco using the bond-yield-plus-premium approach?
Answer: k s = 7% + 4% = 11%
c) Discounted Cash Flow ApproachAlso known as the "dividend yield plus growth approach". Using the dividend-growth model, you can rearrange the terms as follows to determine k s .
Formula 11.5 k s = D 1 + g; P 0
where: D 1 = next year's dividend g = firm's constant growth rate P 0 = price Typically, you must also estimate g, which can be calculated as follows:
Formula 11.6 g = (retention rate)(ROE) = (1-payout rate)(ROE)
Example: discounted cash flow approach Assume Newco's stock is selling for $40; its expected return on equity (ROE) is 10%, next year's dividend is $2 and the company expects to pay out 30% of its earnings. What is the cost of retained earnings for Newco using the discounted cash flow approach?
Answer: g must first be calculated: g = (1-0.3)(0.10) = 7.0%
k s = 2/40 + 0.07 = 0.12 or 12% Exam Tips and Tricks Of the three approaches to determine the cost of retained earnings, be most familiar with the CAPM approach and the dividend-yield-plus-growth approach
Next: Cost of Newly Issued Stock Corporate Finance - Cost of Newly Issued Stock
4. Cost of external equity Cost of newly issued stock (k c ) is the cost of external equity, and it is based on the cost of retained earnings increased for flotation costs (cost of issuing common stock). For a constant- growth company, this can be calculated as follows:
Formula 11.7 k c = D 1 __ + g P 0 (1-F)
where: F = the percentage flotation cost, or (current stock price - funds going to company) / current stock price
Example: cost of newly issued stock As in our previous example for Newco, assume the company's stock is selling for $40, its expected ROE is 10%, next year's dividend is $2 and the company expects to pay out 30% of its earnings. Additionally, assume the company has a flotation cost of 5%. What is Newco's cost of new equity? Answer: k c = 2 + 0.07 = 0.123, or 12.3% 40(1-0.05)
It is important to note that the cost of newly issued stock is higher than the company's cost of retained earnings. This is due to the flotation costs.
Next: Target Capital Structure Corporate Finance - Target Capital Structure The target (optimal) capital structure is simply defined as the mix of debt, preferred stock and common equity that will optimize the company's stock price. As a company raises new capital it will focus on maintaining this target (optimal) capital structure. Look Out! It is important to note is that while the target structure is the capital structure that will optimize the company\'s stock price, it is also the capital structure that minimizes the company\'s weighted-average cost of capital (WACC).
Calculating Weighted Average Cost of Capital A company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is calculated as follows:
Formula 11.8 WACC = (w d ) [k d (1-t)] + (w ps )(k ps ) + (w ce )(k ce )
Where: W d = weight percentage of debt in company's capital structure W ps = weight percentage of preferred stock in company's capital structure W ce = weight percentage of common stock in company's capital structure
As discussed previously, the weights of debt, preferred securities and common equity are based on the company's target (optimal) capital structure. Look Out! One thing to note is that the weights should be based on the market value of the firm\'s securities, unless the firm\'s book value shown on the balance sheet is similar to the market value.
Example: WACC For Newco, assume the following weights: w d = 40%, w ps = 5% and w ce = 55%. Compute Newco's weighted average cost of capital using the costs calculated in the examples above. For the purposes of this example, assume new equity comes from retained earnings and the discounted cash flow approach is used to derive k ce .
Answer: WACC = (w d )(k d )(1-t) + (w ps) (k ps) + (w ce )(k ce ) WACC = (0.4)(0.07)(1-0.4) + (0.05)(0.021) + (0.55)(0.12) WACC = 0.084, or 8.4%
Taking the example further, suppose new equity needs to come from newly issued common stock; the WACC would then be calculated using a k c of 12.3%. Thus our WACC would be as follows: WACC = (w d )(k d )(1-t) + (w ps) (k ps) + (w ce )(k ce ) WACC = (0.4)(0.07)(1-0.4) + (0.05)(0.021) + (0.55)(0.123) WACC = 0.086 or 8.6%
For more on the WACC, including its components and importance, check out the following article: Investors Need A Good WACC.
Next: Marginal Cost of Capital Corporate Finance - Marginal Cost of Capital
The marginal cost of capital (MCC) is the cost of the last dollar of capital raised, essentially the cost of another unit of capital raised. As more capital is raised, the marginal cost of capital rises. With the weights and costs given in our previous example, we computed Newco's weighted average cost of capital as follows:
WACC = (w d )(k d )(1-t) + (w ps) (k ps) + (w ce )(k ce ) WACC = (0.4)(0.07)(1-0.4) + (0.05)(0.021) + (0.55)(0.12) WACC = 0.084, or 8.4%
We originally determined the WACC for Newco to be 8.4%. Newco's cost of capital will remain unchanged as new debt, preferred stock and retained earnings are issued until the company's retained earnings are depleted.
Example: Marginal Cost of Capital Once retained earnings are depleted, Newco decides to access the capital markets to raise new equity. As in our previous example for Newco, assume the company's stock is selling for $40, its expected ROE is 10%, next year's dividend is $2.00 and the company expects to pay out 30% of its earnings. Additionally, assume the company has a flotation cost of 5%. Newco's cost of new equity (k c ) is thus 12.3%, as calculated below:
k c = 2 + 0.07 = 0.123, or 12.3% 40(1-0.05)
Answer: Using this new cost of equity, we can determine the WACC as follows:
WACC = (w d )(k d )(1-t) + (w ps) (k ps) + (w ce )(k ce ) WACC = (0.4)(0.07)(1-0.4) + (0.05)(0.021) + (0.55)(0.123) WACC = 0.086, or 8.6% Ads by saovE oanAd Options The WACC has been stepped up from 8.4% to 8.6% given Newco's need to raise new equity.
Figure 11.1
Look Out! At some point, as the company continues to raise capital, the MCC can be higher than the WACC.
MCC Vs. WACC The marginal cost of capital is simply the weighted average cost of the last dollar of capital raised. As mentioned previously, in making capital decisions, a company keeps with a target capital structure. There comes a point, however, when retained earnings have been depleted and new common stock has to be used. When this occurs, the company's cost of capital increases. This is known as the "breakpoint" and can be calculated as follows:
Formula 11.9 Breakpoint for retained earnings = retained earnings w ce
Example:
For Newco, assume we expect it to earn $50 million next year. As mentioned in our previous examples, Newco's payout ratio is 30%. What is Newco's breakpoint on the marginal cost curve, if we assume w ce = 55%?
Answer: Newco's breakpoint = $50 million (1-0.3) = $63.6 million 0.55
Thus, after Newco raises roughly $64 million of total capital, new common equity will need to be issued and Newco's WACC will increase to 8.6%.
Factors that affect the cost of capital can be categorized as those that are controlled by the company and those that are not.
Next: Factors Affecting the Cost of Capital Corporate Finance - Factors Affecting the Cost of Capital
These are the factors affecting cost of capital that the company has control over:
1. Capital Structure Policy As we have been discussing above, a firm has control over its capital structure, targeting an optimal capital structure. As more debt is issued, the cost of debt increases, and as more equity is issued, the cost of equity increases.
2. Dividend Policy Given that the firm has control over its payout ratio, the breakpoint of the MCC schedule can be changed. For example, as the payout ratio of the company increases the breakpoint between lower-cost internally generated equity and newly issued equity is lowered.
3. Investment Policy It is assumed that, when making investment decisions, the company is making investments with similar degrees of risk. If a company changes its investment policy relative to its risk, both the cost of debt and cost of equity change.
Uncontrollable Factors Affecting the Cost of Capital These are the factors affecting cost of capital that the company has no control over:
1. Level of Interest Rates The level of interest rates will affect the cost of debt and, potentially, the cost of equity. For example, when interest rates increase the cost of debt increases, which increases the cost of capital. 2. Tax Rates Tax rates affect the after-tax cost of debt. As tax rates increase, the cost of debt decreases, decreasing the cost of capital.
Next: Payback Period Corporate Finance - Payback Period
Payback Period Payback period (PP) is the number of years it takes for a company to recover its original investment in a project, when net cash flow equals zero. In the calculation of the payback period, the cash flows of the project must first be estimated. The payback period is then a simple calculation.
Formula 11.10 PP = years full recovery + unrecovered cost at beginning of last year cash flow in last year The shorter the payback period of a project, the more attractive the project will be to management. In addition, management typically establishes a maximum payback period that a potential project must meet. When two projects are compared, the project that meets the maximum payback period and has the shortest payback period is the project to be accepted. It is a simplistic measure, not taking into account the time value of money, but it is a good measure of a project's riskiness. Look Out! For payback periods, the decision rules are as follows: If payback period < the minimum payback, accept the project If payback period > the minimum payback, reject the project
Example: Payback Period Assume Newco is deciding between two machines (Machine A and Machine B) in order to add capacity to its existing plant. The company estimates the cash flows for each machine to be as follows:
Figure 11.2: Expected after-tax cash flows for the new machines
Calculate the payback period of the two machines using the above cash flows and decide which new machine Newco should accept. Assume the maximum payback period the company establishes is five years. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Answer: First it would be helpful to determine cumulative cash flow for the machine project. This is done in the following table:
Figure 11.3: Cumulative cash flows for Machine A and Machine B
Payback period for Machine A = 4 + 1,000 = 4.67 1,500
Payback period for Machine B = 2 + 0 = 2.00 0 Both machines meet the company's maximum payback period. Machine B, however, has the shortest payback period and is the project Newco should accept.
2. Discounted Payback Period The one issue we mentioned with the payback period is that it does not take into account the time value of money, but the discounted payback period does.The discounted payback period discounts each of the estimated cash flows and then determines the payback period from those discounted flows.
Example: discounted payback period Using our last example above, determine the discounted payback period for Machine A and Machine B, and determine which project Newco should accept. As calculated previously, Newco's cost of capital is 8.4%.
Figure 11.4: Discounted cash flows for Machine A and Machine B
Answer: Payback period for Machine A = 5 + 147 = 5.24 616
Payback period for Machine B = 2 + 262 = 2.22 1178
Machine A now violates management's maximum payback period of five years and should thus be rejected. Machine B meets management's maximum payback period of five years and has the shortest payback period.
Next: Net Present Value (NPV) and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Corporate Finance - Net Present Value (NPV) and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Net Present Value Using the company's cost of capital, the net present value (NPV) is the sum of the discounted cash flows minus the original investment.
Formula 11.11
Look Out! Projects with NPV > 0 increase stockholders return Projects with NPV < 0 decrease stockholders return
Example: Net Present Value Using the cash flows in the previous examples, calculate the NPV for each machine and decide which project Newco should accept. As calculated previously, Newco's cost of capital is 8.4%. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Answer: NPV A = -5,000 + 500 + 1,000 + 1,000 + 1,500 + 2,500 + 1,000 = $469 (1.084) 1 (1.084) 2 (1.084) 3 (1.084) 4 (1.084) 5 (1.084) 6
Given that both machines have NPV > 0, both projects are acceptable. However, for mutually exclusive projects, the decision rule is to choose the project with the greatest NPV. Since the NPV B > NPV A , Newco
should choose the project for Machine B.
Internal Rate of Return The internal rate of return (IRR) on a project is the rate of return at which the projects NPV equals zero. At this point, a project's cash flows are equal to the project's costs. Similar to how management must establish a maximum payback period, management must also set what is known as a "hurdle rate", the minimum rate of return a company will accept for a project.
When a project is reviewed with a hurdle rate in mind, the greater the IRR is above the hurdle rate, the greater the NPV, and conversely, the further the IRR is below the hurdle rate, the lower the NPV. Look Out! For the IRR, the decision rules are as follows: If IRR > hurdle rate, accept the project If IRR< hurdle rate, reject the project
For a project to be accepted, the IRR must be greater than or equal to the hurdle rate. If a company is deciding between two projects, the project with the highest IRR is the project to be accepted. Formula 11.12
The IRR formula is quite difficult to calculate without the use of a financial calculator. Thus, a financial calculator is highly recommended to solve for a project's IRR. Otherwise trial and error must be used.
Next: The NPV Profile Corporate Finance - The NPV Profile
The NPV profile is a graph that illustrates a project's NPV against various discount rates, with the NPV on the y-axis and the cost of capital on the x-axis. To begin, simply calculate a project's NPV using different cost-of-capital assumptions. Once these are calculated, plot the values on the graph.
Figure 11.5
Look Out! Since the IRR is the discount rate where the NPV of a project equals zero, the point where the NPV crosses the x-axis is also the project's IRR.
Next: Cash Flow and NPV Applications Corporate Finance - Cash Flow and NPV Applications
Accounting Profits Accounting profits are cash flows that include non-cash inflows/outflows such as depreciation.
Cash Flows Cash flows are a firm's actual cash inflows/outflows and are important in capital budgeting.
Example: Net Cash Flows Assume Newco has $10,000 in annual depreciation and $20,000 in accounting net income. Because the $10,000 in annual depreciation is not an actual cash outflow, the $20,000 in accounting net income is not the true cash flow to the firm. If, while all else is constant, annual depreciation were to decline by $5,000 to $5,000, accounting net income would increase to $25,000, but actual cash flow would remain unchanged. However, calculations of net cash flow exclude the effects of depreciation.
Formula 11.13
For purposes of capital budgeting, Net Cash Flow = Net Income + Depreciation Answer: Therefore, net cash flow would be equal to $30,000 ($20,000 net income +$10,000 depreciation) before the changes in depreciation and $30,000 ($25,000 net income + $5,000 depreciation) after the changes in depreciation. Incremental Cash Flow and Capital Budgeting Once a company makes a decision to accept a project, an incremental cash flow is then the cash flow that is added to the firm's existing cash flow as a result of accepting a new project.
However, in determining incremental cash flows from a new project, problems arise, such as:
1. Sunk Costs These are the initial outlays required to analyze a project that cannot be recovered even if a project is accepted. As such, these costs will not affect the future cash flows of the project and should not be considered when making capital-budgeting decisions. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Suppose Newco is considering whether to make an addition to its current plant to increase production. To determine if the new addition is worthwhile, Newco hired a consulting firm for $50,000 to analyze the addition and the effect it will have on production. The $50,000 is considered a sunk cost. If the project is rejected, the $50,000 will still be paid, and if the project is accepted, the $50,000 will not affect the future cash flows of the addition.
2. Opportunity Cost This is the cost of not going forward with a project or the cash outflows that will not be earned as a result of utilizing an asset for another alternative. For example, the opportunity cost of Newco's new addition considered above is the cost of the land on which Newco is considering putting the new plant addition. As such, it should be included in the analysis of the project.
3. Externality Additionally, in the consideration of incremental cash flows of a new project, there may be effects on the existing operations of the company to consider, known as "externalities". For example, the addition to Newco's plant is for the purpose of producing a new product. It must be considered if the new product may actually take away or add to sales of the existing product.
4. Cannibalization This is the type of externality where the new project takes sales away from the existing product.
Changes in Net Working Capital A change in net working capital is essentially the changes in current assets minus changes in current liabilities. Within the capital-budgeting process, a project typically adds to current assets given additional inventories or potential increases in accounts receivables from new sales. The increases to current assets, however, are offset by current liabilities needed to finance the new project.
Overall, there may be change to net working capital from the new project. If the change in net working capital is positive, the change to current assets outweighs the change in the current liabilities. If, however, the change in net working capital is negative, the change to current liabilities outweighs the change in current assets.
Next: Advantages and Disadvantages of the NPV and IRR Methods Corporate Finance - Advantages and Disadvantages of the NPV and IRR Methods
While useful NPV and IRR methods are useful methods for determining whether to accept a project, both have their advantages and disadvantages.
Advantages: With the NPV method, the advantage is that it is a direct measure of the dollar contribution to the stockholders. With the IRR method, the advantage is that it shows the return on the original money invested. Disadvantages: With the NPV method, the disadvantage is that the project size is not measured. With the IRR method, the disadvantage is that, at times, it can give you conflicting answers when compared to NPV for mutually exclusive projects. The 'multiple IRR problem' can also be an issue, as discussed below. The Multiple IRR Problem A multiple IRR problem occurs when cash flows during the project lifetime is negative (i.e. the project operates at a loss or the company needs to contribute more capital).
This is known as a "non-normal cash flow", and such cash flows will give multiple IRRs.
Why Do NPV and IRR Methods Produce Conflicting Rankings? When a project is an independent project, meaning the decision to invest in a project is independent of any other projects, both the NPV and IRR will always give the same result, either rejecting or accepting a project.
While NPV and IRR are useful metrics for analyzing mutually exclusive projects - that is, when the decision must be one project or another - these metrics do not always point you in the same direction. This is a result of the timing of cash flows for each project. In addition, conflicting results may simply occur because of the project sizes. Look Out! The timing of cash flows as well as project sizes can produce conflicting results in the NPV and IRR methods.
Example: NPV and IRR Analysis Assume once again that Newco needs to purchase a new machine for its manufacturing plant. Newco has narrowed it down to two machines that meet its criteria (Machine A and Machine B), and now it has to choose one of the machines to purchase. Further, Newco has assumed the following analysis on which to base its decision:
Figure 11.6: Potential Machines for Newco
Answer: We first determine the NPV for each machine as follows:
NPV A = ($5,000) + $2,768 + $2.553 = $321 Ads by saovE oanAd Options NPV B = ($10,000) + $5,350 + $5,106 = $456
According to the NPV analysis alone, Machine B is the most appropriate choice for Newco to purchase.
The next step is to determine the IRR for each machine using our financial calculator. The IRR for Machine A is equal to 13%, whereas the IRR for Machine B is equal to 11%.
According to the IRR analysis alone, Machine A is the most appropriate choice for Newco to purchase.
The NPV and IRR analysis for these two projects give us conflicting results. This is most likely due to the timing of the cash flows for each project as well as the size differential between the two projects.
The Post-Audit's Role The post-audit process in the capital-budgeting process is quite important. In the post-audit process, an analyst examines a company's capital-budgeting decisions to see how the actual results from the projects compare to the results the company estimated. The post-audit process gives the company a sense of not only how the projects are performing, but also how good its inputs were.
If a project's actual results differed significantly in a negative direction, the post-audit process will help the company learn where it went wrong with respect to inputs so that the same mistake will not be made when analyzing future projects.
Next: Applying NPV Analysis to Project Decisions Corporate Finance - Applying NPV Analysis to Project Decisions
As a primer, readers should remember that:
Expansion projects are projects companies invest in to expand the earnings of its business.
Replacement projects, are projects that companies invest in to replace old assets in order to maintain efficiencies.
Example: NPV Analysis Assume Newco is planning to add new machinery to its current plant. There are two machines Newco is considering, with cash flows as follows:
Figure 11.7: Discounted cash flows for Machine A and Machine B
Calculate the NPV for each machine and decide which machine Newco should invest in. As calculated previously, Newco's cost of capital is 8.4%.
When considering mutually exclusive projects and NPV alone, remember that the decision rule is to invest in the project with the greatest NPV. As Machine B has the greatest NPV, Newco should invest in Machine B.
Determining a Project's Cash Flows When beginning capital-budgeting analysis, it is important to determine the cash flows of a project. These cash flows can be segmented as follows:
1. Initial Investment Outlay These are the costs that are needed to start the project, such as new equipment, installation, etc.
2. Operating Cash Flow over a Project's Life This is the additional cash flow a new project generates.
3. Terminal-Year Cash Flow This is the final cash flow, both the inflows and outflows at the end of the project's life, such as potential salvage value at the end of a machine's life.
Look Out! It is important to note that while interest expense is included in a company\'s earnings per share, it is not included in operating cash flows as it is already in the discounting process.
Example: Expansion Project Let us begin with our previous example. Newco is looking to add to its production capacity and is looking closely at investing in Machine B. Machine B has a cost of $2,000, with shipping and installation expenses of $500 and $300 in net working capital. Newco expects the machine to last for five years, at which point Machine B will have a book value (BV) of $1,000 ($2,000 minus five years of $200 annual depreciation) and a potential market value of $800. With respect to cash flows, Newco expects the new machine to generate an additional $1,500 in revenues and costs of $200. We will assume Newco has a tax rate of 40%. The maximum payback period that the company established is five years.
As required in the LOS, calculate the project's initial investment outlay, operating cash flow over the project's life and the terminal-year cash flow for the expansion project.
Answer: Initial Investment Outlay: Machine cost + shipping and installation expenses + change in net working capital = $2,000 + $500 + $300 = $2,800
Terminal Cash Flow: Tips and Tricks For determining the terminal cash flow, the key metrics are salvage value of the asset, net working capital and tax benefit/loss from the asset.
The terminal cash flow can be calculated as illustrated:
Return of net working capital +$300 Salvage value of the machine +$800 Tax reduction from loss (salvage < BV) +$80 Net terminal cash flow $1,180 Operating CF 5 +$780 Total year-five cash flow $1,960
For determining the tax benefit or loss, a benefit is received if the book value of the asset is more than the salvage value, and a tax loss is recorded if the book value of the asset is less than the salvage value.
Example: Replacement Project Now, let us assume that rather than investing in an additional machine, Newco is exploring replacing its current machine with a newer, more efficient machine. Based on the current market, Newco can sell the old machine for $200, but this machine has a book value of $500.
The new machine Newco is looking to invest capital in has a cost of $2,000, with shipping and installation expenses of $500 and $300 in net working capital. Newco expects the machine to last for five years, at which point Machine B would have a book value of $1,000 ($2,000 minus five years of $200 annual depreciation) and a potential market value of $800.
With respect to cash flows, Newco expects the new machine to generate an additional $1,500 in revenues and costs of $200. We will assume Newco has a tax rate of 40%. The maximum payback period that the company established is five years.
As required in the LOS, calculate the project's initial investment outlay, operating cash flow over the project's life and the terminal-year cash flow for the replacement project.
Answer: Initial Investment Outlay Computing the initial investment outlay of a replacement project is slightly different than the computation for an existing project. This is primarily because of the expected cash flow a company may receive on the sale of the equipment to be replaced.
Value of the old machine = sale value + tax benefit/loss = $200 + $120 = $320
Sale of old equipment + machine cost + shipping and installation expenses + change in net working capital = $320 + $2,000 + $500 + $300 = $3,120 Look Out! In the analysis of either an expansion or a replacement project, the operating cash flows and terminal cash flows are calculated the same. Operating cash flow:
Terminal Cash Flow: The terminal cash flow can be calculated as illustrated:
Return of net working capital +$300 Salvage value of the machine +$800 Tax reduction from loss (salvage < BV) +$80 Net terminal cash flow $1,180 Operating CF 5 +$780 Total year 5 cash flow $1,960
Next: Comparing Projects With Unequal Lives Corporate Finance - Comparing Projects With Unequal Lives
As mentioned previously, NPV and IRR can sometimes lead to conflicting results in the analysis of mutually exclusive projects. One reason for this potential problem is the timing of the cash flows of the mutually exclusive projects. As a result, we need to adjust for the timing issue in order to correct this problem.
There are two methods used to make the adjustments:
Example: Once again, assume Newco is planning to add new machinery to its current plant. There are two machines Newco is considering, with cash flows as follows:
Figure 11.8: Discounted cash flows for Machine A and Machine B
Compare the two projects with unequal lives using both the replacement-chain method and the equivalent annual annuity (EAA) approach.
1. Replacement-Chain Method In this example, Machine A has an operating lifespan of six years. Machine B has an operating lifespan of three years. The cash flows for each project are discounted by Newco's calculated WACC of 8.4%. NPV of Machine A is equal to $2,926. NPV of Machine B is equal to $1,735. The initial analysis indicates that Machine A, with the greater NPV, should be the project chosen. The IRR of Machine A is equal to 8.3%. The IRR of Machine B is equal to 15.5%. This analysis indicates that Machine B, with the greater IRR, should be the project chosen. The NPV analysis and the IRR analysis have given us differing results. This is most likely due to the unequal lives of the two projects. As such, we need to analyze the two projects over a common life.
For Machine A (project 1), the lifespan is six years. For Machine B (project 2), the lifespan is three years. Given that the lifespan of the longest project is six years, in order to measure both over a common life, we must adjust the lifespan of Machine B to six years. Because the lifespan of Machine B is three years, the lifespan of this project needs to be doubled to equal the six-year lifespan of Machine A. This indicates that another Machine B would have to be purchased (to get two machines with a lifespan of three years each) to get to the six-year lifespan of Machine A - hence, the replacement-chain method.
The new cash flows would be as follows:
Figure 11.9: Cash flows over a common life
NPV of Machine A remains $2,926. NPV of Machine B is now $3,098 given the adjustment. The initial analysis indicates that Machine B, with the greater NPV, should be the project chosen. Recall, this is different from our first analysis where Machine A was chosen given its greater NPV. The IRR of Machine A remains 8.3%. The IRR of Machine B remains 15.5%.
Look Out! Note, while the NPV has changed given the additional cash flows, the IRR for the projects remain the same.
This analysis indicates that Machine B, with the greater IRR, should be the project chosen. Recall, this is the same as our first analysis, where Machine B was chosen given its greater IRR.
With the cash flows adjusted with the replacement-chain method, both the NPV and the IRR arrive at the same conclusion. With this adjusted analysis, Machine B (project 2), should be the project accepted.
2. Equivalent-Annual-Annuity Approach While easy to understand, the replacement-chain method can be time consuming. A simpler approach is the equivalent-annual-annuity approach.
This is the procedure for determining EAA:
1) Determine the projects' NPVs. 2) Find each project's EAA, the expected payment over the project's life, where the future value of the project would equal zero. 3) Compare the EAA of each project and select the project with the highestEAA.
From our example, the NPV of each project is as follows: -NPV of Machine A is equal to $2,926. -NPV of Machine B is equal to $1,735.
To determine each project's EAA, it is best to use your financial calculator.
- For, Machine A (project 1), our assumptions are as follows:
i = 8.4% (the company's WACC) n = 6 PV = NPV = -2,926 FV = 0 Find PMT
For Machine A, the EAA (the calculated PMT) is $640.64.
- For Machine B (project 2), our assumptions are as follows:
i = 8.4% (the company's WACC) n = 3 PV = NPV = -1,735 FV = 0 Find for PMT
For Machine B, the EAA (the calculated PMT) is $678.10.
Answer Machine B should be the project chosen as it has the highest EAA, which is $678.10, relative to Machine A whose EAA is $640.64.
Inflation Effects on Capital Budgeting Analysis Inflation exists and should not be forgotten when making capital-budgeting decisions. It is important to build inflation expectations into the analysis. If inflation expectations are left out of the capital-budgeting analysis, the NPV calculated from the biased cash flows will be incorrect.
As an example, suppose Newco unintentionally leaves out its inflation expectations when determining the plant addition. Since inflation expectations are included in the WACC, and PV of each cash flow is discounted by the WACC, the NPV will be incorrect and have a downward bias.
Next: Types of Risk Corporate Finance - Types of Risk
Like anything, projects do have risks. There are three types of project risks associated with capital budgeting:
1. Stand-Alone Risk This risk assumes the project a company intends to pursue is a single asset that is separate from the company's other assets. It is measured by the variability of the single project alone. Stand-alone risk does not take into account how the risk of a single asset will affect the overall corporate risk. Ads by saovE oanAd Options 2. Corporate Risk This risk assumes the project a company intends to pursue is not a single asset but incorporated with a company's other assets. As such, the risk of a project could be diversified away by the company's other assets. It is measured by the potential impact a project may have on the company's earnings.
3. Market Risk This looks at the risk of a project through the eyes of the stockholder. It looks at the project not only from a company's perspective, but from the stockholder's overall portfolio. It is measured by the effect the project may have on the company's beta.
Next: Risk-Analysis Techniques Corporate Finance - Risk-Analysis Techniques It is important to keep in mind that when a company analyzes a potential project, it is forecasting potential not actual cash flows for a project. As we all know, forecasts are based on assumptions that may be incorrect. It is therefore important for a company to perform a sensitivity analysis on its assumptions to get a better sense of the overall risk of the project the company is about to take.
There are three risk-analysis techniques that should be known for the exam:
1. Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis is simply the method for determining how sensitive our NPV analysis is to changes in our variable assumptions. To begin a sensitivity analysis, we must first come up with a base-case scenario. This is typically the NPV using assumptions we believe are most accurate. From there, we can change various assumptions we had initially made based on other potential assumptions. NPV is then recalculated, and the sensitivity of the NPV based on the change in assumptions is determined. Depending on our confidence in our assumptions, we can determine how potentially risky a project can be.
2. Scenario Analysis Scenario analysis takes sensitivity analysis a step further. Rather than just looking at the sensitivity of our NPV analysis to changes in our variable assumptions, scenario analysis also looks at the probability distribution of the variables. Like sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis starts with the construction of a base case scenario. From there, other scenarios are considered, known as the "best-case scenario" and the "worst-case scenario". Probabilities are assigned to the scenarios and computed to arrive at an expected value. Given its simplicity, scenario analysis is one the most frequently used risk-analysis techniques. 3. Monte Carlo Simulation Monte Carlo simulation is considered to be the "best" method of sensitivity analysis. It comes up with infinite calculations (expected values) given a number of constraints. Constraints are added and the system generates random variables of inputs. From there, NPV is calculated. Rather than generating just a few iterations, the simulation repeats the process numerous times. From the numerous results, the expected value is then calculated.
Next: Security Market Line and Beta Basics Corporate Finance - Security Market Line and Beta Basics
The security market line (SML) is simply a plot of expected returns of investments with respect to its beta, market risk. Expected values are calculated with the following equation:
Formula 11.15 E s = r f + B s (E mkt - r f ) Where: r f = the risk-free rate B s = the beta of the investment E mkt = the expected return of the market E s = the expected return of the investment The beta is thus the sensitivity of the investment to the market or current portfolio. It is the measure of the riskiness of a project. When taken in isolation, a project may be considered more or less risky than the current risk profile of a company. Through the use of the SML as a means to calculate a company's WACC, this risk profile would be accounted for.
Example: When a new product line for Newco is considered, the project's beta is 1.5. Assuming the risk-free rate is 4% and the expected return on the market is 12%, compute the cost of equity for the new product line.
Answer: Cost of equity = r f + B s (E mkt - r f ) = 4% + 1.5(12% - 4%) = 16%
The project's required return on retained earnings is thus 16% and should be used in our calculation of WACC.
Estimating Beta In risk analysis, estimating the beta of a project is quite important. But like many estimations, it can be difficult to determine. The two most widely used methods of estimating beta are:
1. Pure-Play Method When using the pure-play method, a company seeks out companies with a product line that is similar to the line for which the company is trying to estimate the beta. Once these companies are found, the company would then take an average of those betas to determine its project beta.
Suppose Newco would like to add beer to its existing product line of soda. Newco is quite familiar with the beta of making soda given its history. However, determining the beta for beer is not as intuitive for Newco as it has never produced it.
Thus, to determine the beta of the new beer project, Newco can take the average beta of other beer makers, such as Anheuser Busch and Coors.
2. Accounting-Beta Method When using the accounting-beta method, a company would run a regression using the company's return on assets (ROA) against the ROA for market benchmark, such as the S&P 500. The accounting beta is the slope coefficient of the regression.
The typical procedure for developing a risk-adjusted discount rate is as follows:
1. A company first begins with its cost of capital for the firm. 2. The cost of capital then must be adjusted for the riskiness of the project, by adjusting the company's cost of capital either up or down depending on the risk of the project relative to the firm.
For projects that are riskier, the company's WACC would be adjusted higher and if the project is less risky, the company's WACC is adjusted lower. The main issue in this procedure is that it is subjective.
Capital Rationing Essentially, capital rationing is the process of allocating the company's capital among projects to maximize shareholder return.
When making decisions to invest in positive net-present-value (NPV) projects, companies continue to invest until their marginal returns equal their marginal cost of capital. There are times, however, when a company may not have capital to do this. As such, a company must ration its capital among the best combination of projects with the highest total NPV.
Next: Factors that Influence a Company's Capital-Structure Decision Corporate Finance - Factors that Influence a Company's Capital-Structure Decision
The primary factors that influence a company's capital-structure decision are:
1. Business Risk Excluding debt, business risk is the basic risk of the company's operations. The greater the business risk, the lower the optimal debt ratio.
As an example, let's compare a utility company with a retail apparel company. A utility company generally has more stability in earnings. The company has les risk in its business given its stable revenue stream. However, a retail apparel company has the potential for a bit more variability in its earnings. Since the sales of a retail apparel company are driven primarily by trends in the fashion industry, the business risk of a retail apparel company is much higher. Thus, a retail apparel company would have a lower optimal debt ratio so that investors feel comfortable with the company's ability to meet its responsibilities with the capital structure in both good times and bad.
2. Company's Tax Exposure Debt payments are tax deductible. As such, if a company's tax rate is high, using debt as a means of financing a project is attractive because the tax deductibility of the debt payments protects some income from taxes.
3. Financial Flexibility This is essentially the firm's ability to raise capital in bad times. It should come as no surprise that companies typically have no problem raising capital when sales are growing and earnings are strong. However, given a company's strong cash flow in the good times, raising capital is not as hard. Companies should make an effort to be prudent when raising capital in the good times, not stretching its capabilities too far. The lower a company's debt level, the more financial flexibility a company has. Ads by saovE oanAd Options The airline industry is a good example. In good times, the industry generates significant amounts of sales and thus cash flow. However, in bad times, that situation is reversed and the industry is in a position where it needs to borrow funds . If an airline becomes too debt ridden, it may have a decreased ability to raise debt capital during these bad times because investors may doubt the airline's ability to service its existing debt when it has new debt loaded on top.
4. Management Style Management styles range from aggressive to conservative. The more conservative a management's approach is, the less inclined it is to use debt to increase profits. An aggressive management may try to grow the firm quickly, using significant amounts of debt to ramp up the growth of the company's earnings per share (EPS).
5. Growth Rate Firms that are in the growth stage of their cycle typically finance that growth through debt, borrowing money to grow faster. The conflict that arises with this method is that the revenues of growth firms are typically unstable and unproven. As such, a high debt load is usually not appropriate.
More stable and mature firms typically need less debt to finance growth as its revenues are stable and proven. These firms also generate cash flow, which can be used to finance projects when they arise.
6. Market Conditions Market conditions can have a significant impact on a company's capital-structure condition. Suppose a firm needs to borrow funds for a new plant. If the market is struggling, meaning investors are limiting companies' access to capital because of market concerns, the interest rate to borrow may be higher than a company would want to pay. In that situation, it may be prudent for a company to wait until market conditions return to a more normal state before the company tries to access funds for the plant.
Next: Business and Financial Risk Corporate Finance - Business and Financial Risk
To further examine risk in the capital structure, two additional measures of risk found in capital budgeting:
1. Business Risk A company's business risk is the risk of the firm's assets when no debt is used. Business risk is the risk inherent in the company's operations. As a result, there are many factors that can affect business risk: the more volatile these factors, the riskier the company. Some of those factors are as follows: Sales risk - Sales risk is affected by demand for the company's product as well as the price per unit of the product. Input-cost risk - Input-cost risk is the volatility of the inputs into a company's product as well as the company's ability to change pricing if input costs change. As an example, let's compare a utility company with a retail apparel company. A utility company generally has more stability in earnings. The company has les risk in its business given its stable revenue stream. However, a retail apparel company has the potential for a bit more variability in its earnings. Since the sales of a retail apparel company are driven primarily by trends in the fashion industry, the business risk of a retail apparel company is much higher. Thus, a retail apparel company would have a lower optimal debt ratio so that investors feel comfortable with the company's ability to meet its responsibilities with the capital structure in both good times and bad.
2. Financial Risk A company's financial risk, however, takes into account a company's leverage. If a company has a high amount of leverage, the financial risk to stockholders is high - meaning if a company cannot cover its debt and enters bankruptcy, the risk to stockholders not getting satisfied monetarily is high. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Let's use the troubled airline industry as an example. The average leverage for the industry is quite high (for some airlines, over 100%) given the issues the industry has faced over the past few years. Given the high leverage of the industry, there is extreme financial risk that one or more of the airlines will face an imminent bankruptcy.
Effect of Changes in Sales or Earnings on EBIT Differing amounts of debt financing cause changes in EPS and thus a company's stock price. The calculations for EBIT and EPS are as follows:
This LOS is best explained by the use of an example.
Example: The following is Newco's cost of debt at various capital structures. Newco has $1 million in total assets and a tax rate of 40%. Assume that, at a debt level of zero, Newco has 20,000 shares outstanding.
Figure 11.10: Newco's cost of debt at various capital structures
In addition, Newco has annual sales of $5 million, variable costs are 40% of sales and fixed costs are equal to $2.4 million. At each level of debt, determine Newco's EPS.
Answer: At debt level 0%: Shares outstanding are 20,000 and interest costs are 0. EPS = [($5,000,000 - 2,000,000 - 2,400,000-0)*(1-0.4)]/20,000 EPS = $18 per share
At debt level 20%: Shares outstanding are 16,000 [20,000*(1-20%)] and interest costs are 8,000 (200,000*0.04). EPS = [($5,000,000 - 2,000,000 - 2,400,000-8,000)*(1-0.4)]/16,000 EPS = $22.20 per share
At debt level 40%: Shares outstanding are 12,000 [20,000*(1-40%)] and interest costs are 24,000 (400,000*0.06). EPS = [($5,000,000 - 2,000,000 - 2,400,000-24,000)*(1-0.4)]/12,000 EPS = $28.80 per share
At debt level 60%: Shares outstanding are 8,000 [20,000*(1-60%)] and interest costs are 48,000 (600,000*0.08). EPS = [($5,000,000 - 2,000,000 - 2,400,000-48,000)* (1-0.4)]/8,000 EPS= $41.40 per share
At debt level 80%: Shares outstanding are 4,000 [20,000*(1-80%)] and interest costs are 80,000 (800,000*0.10). EPS = [($5,000,000 - 2,000,000 - 2,400,000-80,000)* (1-0.4)]/4,000 EPS = $78.00 per share
With each increase in debt level (accompanied with the decrease in shares outstanding), Newco's earnings per share increases.
Next: Operating Leverage and its Effects on a Project's Expected Rate of Return Corporate Finance - Operating Leverage and its Effects on a Project's Expected Rate of Return
Operating leverage can be defined as the degree to which a company uses fixed costs in its operations. The higher the fixed costs as a percentage of total costs, the higher the company's operating leverage. For companies with high operating leverage, a small change in company revenues will result in a larger change in operating income since most costs are fixed rather than variable.
Degree of Leverage The degree of leverage within a company can be calculated based on various metrics.
Some common metrics include: 1. Degree of operating leverage 2. Degree of financial leverage 3. Degree of total leverage
We will discuss operating leverage within this section.
Degree of Operating Leverage Degree of operating leverage (DOL) is the percentage change in operating income, also known as EBIT, divided by the percentage change in sales. It is the measure of the sensitivity of EBIT to changes in sales as a result of changes in operating expenses. Degree of operating leverage is also commonly estimated using production output.
Formula 11.18
DOL = change in EBIT/EBIT or Q (P - V) change in sales/sales Q(P - V)- F
A key shortcut to remember is that, if fixed costs of the project are equal to 0, the DOL is actually 1.
Example: Degree of Operating Leverage Newco produces 140,000 units annually. With Project 1, the company's variable costs are $20 per unit, and its fixed costs total $2.4 million. With Project 2, the company's variable costs are $30 per unit, and its fixed costs total $2 million. Newco has the ability to see each unit at $50. Compute the DOL for Project 1 and Project 2. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Answer: Project 1 DOL = 140,000(50-20)/140,000(50-20) - 2,400,000 = 2.33
With Project 1, for every percentage increase in sales, the company's EBIT will increase 2.33 times; a 10% increase in sales will lead to a 23.3% increase in EBIT.
With Project 2, for every percentage increase in sales, the company's EBIT will increase 3.50 times; a 10% increase in sales will lead to a 35.0% increase in EBIT.
Financial leverage can be defined as the degree to which a company uses fixed-income securities, such as debt and preferred equity. With a high degree of financial leverage come high interest payments. As a result, the bottom-line earnings per share is negatively affected by interest payments. As interest payments increase as a result of increased financial leverage, EPS is driven lower.
As mentioned previously, financial risk is the risk to the stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt and preferred equities in a company's capital structure. As a company increases debt and preferred equities, interest payments increase, reducing EPS. As a result, risk to stockholder return is increased. A company should keep its optimal capital structure in mind when making financing decisions to ensure any increases in debt and preferred equity increase the value of the company.
Degree of Financial Leverage This measures the percentage change in earnings per share over the percentage change in EBIT. This is known as "degree of financial leverage" (DFL). It is the measure of the sensitivity of EPS to changes in EBIT as a result of changes in debt.
Formula 11.19 DFL = percentage change in EPS or EBIT percentage change in EBIT EBIT-interest
A shortcut to keep in mind with DFL is that, if interest is 0, then the DLF will be equal to 1. Ads by saovE oanAd Options Example: Degree of Financial Leverage With Newco's current production, its sales are $7 million annually. The company's variable costs of sales are 40% of sales, and its fixed costs are $2.4 million. The company's annual interest expense amounts to $100,000 annually. If we increase Newco's EBIT by 20%, how much will the company's EPS increase?
Answer: The company's DFL is calculated as follows: DFL = ($7,000,000-$2,800,000-$2,400,000)/($7,000,000-$2,800,000-$2,400,000-$100,000) DFL = $1,800,000/$1,700,000 = 1.058
Given the company's 20% increase in EBIT, the DFL indicates EPS will increase 21.2%.
Next: Sales and Leverage Corporate Finance - Sales and Leverage
A company's costs include both fixed and variable costs. The breakeven quantity of sales is the sales amount where both fixed and variable costs are covered. Breakeven quantity of sales:
Formula 11.17 BE Q = Fixed Costs Price - Variable Costs
Example: Assume Newco's product costs for two different products are the figures below. Calculate Newco's breakeven quantity of sales and determine the company's gain or loss at various sales levels for each product.
Figure 11.11: Newco's cost breakdown for Product 1
Figure 11.12: Newco's cost breakdown for Product 2
Answer:
Product 1: For Newco, the breakeven quantity of its product is: BE Q = $2,400,000/($50 - $20) = 80,000 units
At various sales levels, the company's gains or losses are as follows:
Look Out Note from the examples above, the higher a company's fixed costs, if all else is constant, the higher a company's breakeven quantity.
Next: Effects of Debt on the Capital Structure Corporate Finance - Effects of Debt on the Capital Structure
Using Greater Amounts of Debt Recall that the main benefit of increased debt is the increased benefit from the interest expense as it reduces taxable income. Wouldn't it thus make sense to maximize your debt load? The answer is no.
With an increased debt load the following occurs: Interest expense rises and cash flow needs to cover the interest expense also rise. Debt issuers become nervous that the company will not be able to cover its financial responsibilities with respect to the debt they are issuing.
Stockholders become also nervous. First, if interest increases, EPS decreases, and a lower stock price is valued. Additionally, if a company, in the worst case, goes bankrupt, the stockholders are the last to be paid retribution, if at all.
In our previous examples, EPS increased with every increase in our debt-to-equity ratio. However, in our prior discussions, an optimal capital structure is some combination of both equity and debt that maximizes not only earnings but also stock price. Recall that this is best implied by the capital structure that minimizes the company's WACC.
Example: The following is Newco's cost of debt at various capital structures. Newco has a tax rate of 40%. For this example, assume a risk-free rate of 4% and a market rate of 14%. For simplicity in determining stock prices, assume Newco pays out all of its earnings as dividends. Figure 11.15: Newco's cost of debt at various capital structures
At each level of debt, calculate Newco's WACC, assuming the CAPM model is used to calculate the cost of equity.
Recall that the minimum WACC is the level where stock price is maximized. As such, our optimal capital structure is 40% debt and 60% equity. While there is a tax benefit from debt, the risk to the equity can far outweigh the benefits - as indicated in the example.
Company vs. Stock Valuation The value of a company's stock is but one part of the company's total value. The value of a company comprises the total value of the company's capital structure, including debtholders, preferred-equity holders and common-equity holders. Since both debtholders and preferred- equity holders have first rights to a company's value, common-equity holders have last rights to a company value, also known as a "residual value".
Next: Tax and Bankruptcy Costs Corporate Finance - Tax and Bankruptcy Costs
Tax Effect on the Cost of Capital With respect to taxes, it is important to keep in mind that interest payments on debt can be deducted as expenses and thus reduce overall taxes. However, a company cannot report dividends as an expense, so dividends have no effect on the taxes of a company. This is important for a company to keep in mind when determining and making changes to its capital structure.
Bankruptcy Effect on the Cost of Capital Bankruptcy costs can also significantly affect a company's cost of capital. When a company invests in debt, the company is required to service the debt by making required interest payments. Interest payments alter a company's earnings as well as cash flow. For each company there is an optimal capital structure, including a percentage of debt and equity, a balance between the tax benefits of the debt and the equity. As a company continues to increase its debt over the amount stated by the optimal capital structure, the cost to finance the debt becomes higher as the debt is now riskier to the lender. The risk of bankruptcy increases with the increased debt load. Since the cost of debt becomes higher, the WACC is thus affected. With the addition of debt, the WACC will at first fall as the benefits are realized, but once the optimal capital structure is reached and then surpassed, the increased debt load will then cause the WACC to increase significantly.
Next: The MM Capital Structure vs. The Tradeoff Theory of Leverage Corporate Finance - The MM Capital Structure vs. The Tradeoff Theory of Leverage
Modigliani and Miller's Capital-Structure Irrelevance Proposition Modigliani and Miller, two professors in the 1950s, studied capital-structure theory intensely. From their analysis, they developed the capital-structure irrelevance proposition. Essentially, they hypothesized that in perfect markets, it does not matter what capital structure a company uses to finance its operations.
The MM study is based on the following key assumptions: No taxes No transaction costs No bankruptcy costs Equivalence in borrowing costs for both companies and investors Symmetry of market information, meaning companies and investors have the same information No effect of debt on a company's earnings before interest and taxes
Look Out The MM capital-structure irrelevance proposition assumes: (1) no taxes and, (2) no bankruptcy costs.
In this simplified view, it can be seen that without taxes and bankruptcy costs, the WACC should remain constant with changes in the company's capital structure. For example, no matter how the firm borrows, there will be no tax benefit from interest payments and thus no changes/benefits to the WACC. Additionally, since there are no changes/benefits from increases in debt, the capital structure does not influence a company's stock price, and the capital structure is therefore irrelevant to a company's stock price.
However, as we have stated, taxes and bankruptcy costs do significantly affect a company's stock price. In additional papers, Modigliani and Miller included both the effect of taxes and bankruptcy costs.
The MM Capital-Structure Irrelevance Proposition The MM capital-structure irrelevance proposition assumes no taxes and no bankruptcy costs. As a result, MM states that the capital structure is irrelevant and has no impact on a company's stock price. The Tradeoff Theory of Leverage The tradeoff theory assumes that there are benefits to leverage within a capital structure up until the optimal capital structure is reached. The theory recognizes the tax benefit from interest payments. Studies suggest, however, that most companies have less leverage than this theory would suggest is optimal.
In comparing the two theories, the main difference between them is the potential benefit from debt in a capital structure. This benefit comes from tax benefit of the interest payments. Since the MM capital-structure irrelevance theory assumes no taxes, this benefit is not recognized, unlike the trade-off theory of leverage, where taxes and thus the tax benefit of interest payments are recognized.
Next: Signaling Prospects Through Financing Decisions Corporate Finance - Signaling Prospects Through Financing Decisions
One of the key assumptions Modigliani and Miller make in their work is that market information is symmetric, meaning companies and investors have the same information with respect to the company's future projects/investments. This assumption, however, is not realistic. When making capital decisions, a company's management should have more information than an investor, which implies asymmetric information.
A financing decision is a way in which a company can inadvertently signal its prospects to investors . For example, suppose Newco decides to finance a new project with equity. Newco's additional equity would in fact dilute stockholder value. Since companies typically try to maximize stockholder value, would an equity offering be a bad signal? The answer is yes. There would be some benefit from the project to the stockholders; however, the dilution from the offering would offset some of that benefit. If a company's prospects are good, management will finance new projects with other means, such as debt, to avoid giving any negative signals to the market . Look Out! Financing a capital project with equity may be a signal to investors that a company's prospects are not good.
Next: Degree of Total Leverage Corporate Finance - Degree of Total Leverage By combining the degree of operating leverage with the degree of financial leverage we obtain the degree of total leverage (DTL). If a firm has a high amount of operating leverage and financial leverage, a small change in sales will lead to a large variability in EPS.
Formula 11.20 DTL = Q(P - V) Q(P - V) - F - I Example: degree of total leverage Using our previous example, say Newco produces 140,000 units annually. The company's variable costs are $20 per unit, and its fixed costs total $2.4 million. The company's annual interest expense amounts to $100,000 annually. If Newco's sales increase by 20%, what is the impact to the company's EPS? Answer: DTL = 140,000(50-20)/140,000(50-20)-2,400,000 - $100,000 = 2.47
If Newco's sales increase by 20%, the company's EPS will increase by 49.4% (20%)(2.47).
Dividend Irrelevance Theory Much like their work on the capital-structure irrelevance proposition, Modigliani and Miller also theorized that, with no taxes or bankruptcy costs, dividend policy is also irrelevant. This is known as the "dividend-irrelevance theory", indicating that there is no effect from dividends on a company's capital structure or stock price.
MM's dividend-irrelevance theory says that investors can affect their return on a stock regardless of the stock's dividend. For example, suppose, from an investor's perspective, that a company's dividend is too big. That investor could then buy more stock with the dividend that is over the investor's expectations. Likewise, if, from an investor's perspective, a company's dividend is too small, an investor could sell some of the company's stock to replicate the cash flow he or she expected. As such, the dividend is irrelevant to investors, meaning investors care little about a company's dividend policy since they can simulate their own.
Bird-in-the-Hand Theory The bird-in-the-hand theory, however, states that dividends are relevant. Remember that total return (k) is equal to dividend yield plus capital gains. Myron Gordon and John Lintner (Gordon/Litner) took this equation and assumed that k would decrease as a company's payout increased. As such, as a company increases its payout ratio, investors become concerned that the company's future capital gains will dissipate since the retained earnings that the company reinvests into the business will be less.
Gordon and Lintner argued that investors value dividends more than capital gains when making decisions related to stocks. The bird-in-the-hand may sound familiar as it is taken from an old saying: "a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush." In this theory "the bird in the hand' is referring to dividends and "the bush" is referring to capital gains.
Tax-Preference Theory Taxes are important considerations for investors. Remember capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividends. As such, investors may prefer capital gains to dividends. This is known as the "tax Preference theory".
Additionally, capital gains are not paid until an investment is actually sold. Investors can control when capital gains are realized, but, they can't control dividend payments, over which the related company has control. Capital gains are also not realized in an estate situation. For example, suppose an investor purchased a stock in a company 50 years ago. The investor held the stock until his or her death, when it is passed on to an heir. That heir does not have to pay taxes on that stock's appreciation.
The Dividend-Irrelevance Theory and Company Valuation In the determination of the value of a company, dividends are often used. However, MM's dividend-irrelevance theory indicates that there is no effect from dividends on a company's capital structure or stock price.
MM's dividend-irrelevance theory says that investors can affect their return on a stock regardless of the stock's dividend.
For example, suppose, from an investor's perspective, that a company's dividend is too big. That investor could then buy more stock with the dividend that is over his or her expectations. Likewise, if, from an investor's perspective, a company's dividend is too small, an investor could sell some of the company's stock to replicate the cash flow he or she expected. As such, the dividend is irrelevant to investors, meaning investors care little about a company's dividend policy since they can simulate their own.
The Principal Conclusion for Dividend Policy
The dividend-irrelevance theory, recall, with no taxes or bankruptcy costs, assumes that a company's dividend policy is irrelevant. The dividend-irrelevance theory indicates that there is no effect from dividends on a company's capital structure or stock price.
MM's dividend-irrelevance theory assumes that investors can affect their return on a stock regardless of the stock's dividend. As such, the dividend is irrelevant to an investor, meaning investors care little about a company's dividend policy when making their purchasing decision since they can simulate their own dividend policy.
How Any Shareholder Can Construct His or Her Own Dividend Policy. Recall that the MM's dividend-irrelevance theory says that investors can affect their return on a stock regardless of the stock's dividend. As a result, a stockholder can construct his or her own dividend policy. Suppose, from an investor's perspective, that a company's dividend is too big. That investor could then buy more stock with the dividend that is over the investor's expectations. Likewise, if, from an investor's perspective, a company's dividend is too small, an investor can sell some of the company's stock to replicate the cash flow the investor expected.
As such, the dividend is irrelevant to an investor, meaning investors care little about a company's dividend policy since they can simulate their own.
Next: Dividend Growth Rate and the Effect of Changing Dividend Policy Corporate Finance - Dividend Growth Rate and the Effect of Changing Dividend Policy
Calculating a Company's Implied Dividend Growth Rate Recall that a company's ROE is equal to a company's earnings growth rate (g) divided by one minus a company's payout rate (p).
Formula 11.21
ROE = g (1-p)
g = ROE * (1-p)
Example: Let's assume Newco's ROE is 10% and the company pays out roughly 20% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. What is Newco's expected growth rate in earnings?
Answer: g = ROE*(1 - p) g = (10%)*(1 - 20%) g = (10%)*(0.8) g = 8%
Given an ROE of 10% and a dividend payout of 20%, Newco's expected growth rate in earnings is 8%.
Signaling An Earning's Forecast Through Changes in Dividend Policy Much like a company can signal the state of its operations through its use of capital-financing projects, management can also signal its company's earnings forecast through changes in its dividend policy.
Dividends are paid out when a company satisfies its internal needs for cash. If a company cuts its dividends, stockholders may become worried that the company is not generating enough earnings to satisfy its internal needs for cash as well as pay out its current dividend. A stock may decline in this instance.
Suppose for example Newco decides to cuts its dividend to $0.25 per share from its initial value of $0.50 per share. How would this be perceived by investors? Most likely the cut in dividend by Newco would be perceived negatively by investors. Investors would assume that the company is beginning to go through some tough times and the company is trying to preserve cash. This would indicate that the business may be slowing or earnings are not growing at the rate it once had.
To learn more about dividends, read: The Importance of Dividends
The Clientele Effect. A company's change in dividend policy may impact in the company's stock price given changes in the "clientele" interested in owning the company's stock. Depending on their personal tax situation, some stockholders may prefer capital gains over dividends and vice versa as capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividends. The clientele effect is simply different stockholders' preference on receiving dividends compared to capital gains.
For example, a stockholder in a high tax bracket may favor stocks with low dividend payouts compared to a stockholder in a low tax-bracket who may favor stocks with higher dividend payouts.
Next: Setting Dividends Corporate Finance - Setting Dividends The residual-dividend model is a model that a company can utilize to set a target dividend payout ratio.
The residual-dividend model is based on three key pieces: 1. An investment opportunity schedule (IOS), 2. Target capital structure 3. Cost of external capital Look Out! Stockholders' preferences for dividends do not affect the residual-dividend model.
Procedure for the Residual-Dividend Model
1. The first step in the residual dividend model to set a target dividend payout ratio to determine the optimal capital budget.
2. Then, management must determine the equity amount needed to finance the optimal capital budget. This should be done primarily through retained earnings.
3. The dividends then are paid out with the leftover, or residual, earnings. Given the use of residual earnings, the model is known as the "residual-dividend model".
As an example, Newco generates sales of $7 million with earnings of $2 million. The company's optimal capital structure is 50% equity/50% debt. With $2 million in earnings, Newco reinvests the entire amount back into the company. In this case, Newco would have to borrow $2 million to maintain its optimal capital structure.
If Newco, however, needed to reinvest only half of the $2 million back into the company, Newco would then have $1 million in residual earnings to pay dividends. Given the reduced reinvestment, the company would thus have to borrow only $1 million to maintain its optimal capital structure. Advantage of the Residual-Dividend Model With capital-projects budgeting, the residual-dividend model is useful in setting longer- term dividend policy. Disadvantage of the Residual Dividend Model Dividends may be unstable. Earnings from year to year can vary depending on business situations. As such, it is difficult to maintain with certainty stable earnings and thus a stable dividend.
While the residual-dividend model is useful for longer-term planning, many firms do not use the model in calculating dividends each quarter.
Next: Dividend Payment Procedures Corporate Finance - Dividend Payment Procedures Dividend payouts follow a set procedure as follows:
Declaration date Ex-dividend date Holder-of-record date Payment date
1. Declaration Date
Declaration date is the announcement that the company's board of directors approved the payment of the dividend.
2. Ex-Dividend Date The ex-dividend date is the date on which investors are cut off from receiving a dividend. If for example, an investor purchases a stock on the ex-dividend date, that investor will not receive the dividend. This date is two business days before the holder-of-record date.
The ex-dividend date is important as, from this date and forward, new stockholders will not receive the dividend. As a result, the stock price of the company will be reflective of this. For example, on and after the ex-dividend date, a stock most likely trades at lower price, as the stock price is adjusted for the dividend that the new holder will not receive.
3. Holder-of-Record Date The holder-of-record (owner-of-record) date is the date on which the stockholders who are to receive the dividend are recognized. Look Out! Remember that stock transactions typically settle in three business days.
Understanding the dates of the dividend payout process can be tricky. We clear up the confusion in the following article:
4. Payment Date Last is the payment date, the date on which the actual dividend is paid out to the stockholders of record. Example of the process of dividend payment Suppose Newco would like to pay a dividend to its shareholders. The company would proceed as follows:
1.On Jan 28, the company declares it will pay its regular dividend of $0.30 per share to holders of record on Feb 27, with payment on Mar 17. 2.The ex-dividend date for the dividend is Feb 23 (usually four days before of the holder-of- record date). On Feb 23 new buyers do not have a right to the dividend. 3.At the close of business on Feb 27, all holders of Newco's stock are recorded, and those holders will receive the dividend. 4.On Mar 17, the payment date, Newco mails the dividend checks to the holders of record.
Next: Stock Dividends and Repurchases Corporate Finance - Stock Dividends and Repurchases
Like cash dividends, stock dividends and stock splits also have effects on a company's stock price. Stock splits occur when a company perceives that its stock price may be too high. Companies tend to want to keep their stock price within an optimal trading range.
While stock prices will most likely rise after a split or dividend (remember price increases are caused by positive signals a company generates with respect to future earnings), if positive news does not follow, the company's stock price will generally fall back to its original level.
There is an argument that stock splits and stock dividends are unnecessary and do little more than create more stocks.
Stock Split In a stock split, a company will divide each share of its existing stock into multiple shares to bring down the company's stock price.
Example: Suppose Newco's stock reaches $60 per share. The company's management believes this is too high and that some investors may not invest in the company as a result of the initial price required to buy the stock. As such, the company decides to split the stock to make the entry point of the shares more accessible.
For simplicity, suppose Newco initiates a 2-for-1 stock split. For each share they own, all holders of Newco stock therefore receive two Newco shares priced at $30, and the company's shares outstanding double. Keep in mind that the company's overall equity value remains the same. Say there are 1 million shares outstanding and the company's initial equity value is $60 million ($60 per share x 1 million shares outstanding). The equity value after the split is still $60 million ($30 per share x 2 million shares outstanding).
To learn more about stock splits, read: Understanding Stock Splits
Stock Dividends Stock dividends are similar to cash dividends; however, instead of cash, a company pays out stock. As a result, a company's shares outstanding will increase, and the company's stock price will decrease. For example, suppose Newco decides to issue a 10% stock dividend. Each current stockholder will thus have 10% more shares after the dividend is issued.
Stock Repurchase A stock repurchase occurs when a company asks stockholders to tender their shares for repurchase by the company. This is an alternate way for a company to increase value for stockholders. First, a repurchase can be used to restructure the company's capital structure without increasing the company's debt load. Additionally, rather than a company changing its dividend policy, it can offer value to its stockholders through stock repurchases, keeping in mind that capital gains taxes are lower than taxes on dividends. Advantages of a Stock Repurchase Many companies initiate a share repurchase at a price level that management deems a good entry point. This point tends to be when the stock is estimated to be undervalued. If a company knows its business and relative stock price well, would it purchase its stock price at a high level? The answer is no, leading investors to believe the management perceives its stock price to be at a low level. Unlike a cash dividend, a stock repurchase gives the decision to the investor. A stockholder can choose to tender his shares for repurchase, accept the payment and pay the taxes. With a cash dividend, a stockholder has no choice but to accept the dividend and pay the taxes. At times, there may be a block of shares from one or more large shareholders that could come into the market, but the timing may be unknown. This problem may actually keep potential stockholders away since they may be worried about a flood of shares coming onto the market and lessening the stock's value. A stock repurchase can be quite useful in this situation. Disadvantage of a Stock Repurchase From the perspective of an investor, a cash dividend is dependable, usually quarterly. A stock repurchase, however, is not. For some investors, the dependability of the dividend may be more important. As such, investors may invest more heavily in a stock with a dependable dividend than in a stock with less dependable repurchases. A company may be in a position where it ends up paying too much for the stock it repurchases. For example, say a company repurchases its shares for $30 per share on June 1. On June 10, a major hurricane damages the company's primary operations. The company's stock therefore drops down to $20. Thus, the $10-per-share difference is a lost opportunity to the company. Overall, stockholders who offer their shares for repurchase may be at a disadvantage if they are not fully aware of all the details. As such, an investor may file a lawsuit with the company, which is seen as a risk. Price Effect of a Stock Repurchase A stock repurchase typically has the effect of increasing the price of a stock.
Example: Newco has 20,000 shares outstanding and a net income of $100,000. The current stock price is $40. What effect does a 5% stock repurchase have on the price per share of Newco's stock?
Answer: To keep it simple, price-per-earnings ratio (P/E) is the valuation metric used to value Newco's price per share.
Newco's current EPS = $100,000/20,000 = $5 per share P/E ratio = $40/$5 = 8x
With a 2% stock repurchase, the following occurs: Newco's shares outstanding are reduced to 19,000 shares (20,000 x (1-.05)) Newco's EPS = $100,000/19,000 = $5.26
Given that Newco's shares trade on 8 times earnings, Newco's new share price would be $42, an increase from the $40 per share before the repurchase.