A stochastic model is presented for evaluating the impact of reliability and maintainability of shovels and trucks on the operational effectiveness of shovel-truck mining systems. The approach and results may be helpful to mine operators in controlling the production process, equipment replacement, andmaintenanceplanning.
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analysis of the effectiveness of shovel-truck mining system.pdf
A stochastic model is presented for evaluating the impact of reliability and maintainability of shovels and trucks on the operational effectiveness of shovel-truck mining systems. The approach and results may be helpful to mine operators in controlling the production process, equipment replacement, andmaintenanceplanning.
A stochastic model is presented for evaluating the impact of reliability and maintainability of shovels and trucks on the operational effectiveness of shovel-truck mining systems. The approach and results may be helpful to mine operators in controlling the production process, equipment replacement, andmaintenanceplanning.
S. Yuan and R.L. Grayson Abstract - A stochastic model for evaluating the impact of the reliability and maintainability of shovels and trucks on the operational effectiveness of shovel-truck mining systems is presented. In the model, the Markov modeling technique is used to analyze the operating status of a shovel-truck mining system. Then, simulation is used to study the produc- tivity of a shovel-truck system in a particular state. Finally, the relationship between the effectiveness of a shovel-truck system in terms of productivity and the reliability and main- tainability of equipment is established. This relationship may be very useful to mine managers in making decisions in surface mining (e. g. , regarding production process control, equipment replacement, andmaintenanceplanning). A quan- titative study is given to demonstrate how the reliability and maintainability of equipment affect the system effectiveness and how to pinpoint the parameter that has the most signifi- cant effect on the system effectiveness. The quanrirarive study indicated that in order to improve the system effectiveness significantly, the reliability and maintainability of the equip- ment need to be improved simultaneously. reliability, maintainability and availability were given in a detailed manner. Case studies were used to study the impacts of longwall equipment, geological conditions and outby haulage on system reliability and availability. Topuz and Duan (1991) applied the reliability concept and Markov modeling to study the reliability and effectiveness of a continuous mining system. From an operational point of view, a shovel-truck mining system in surface mining is more complicated than either a longwall system or a continuous mining system in under- ground mining. Even though extensive research work has been conducted to analyze shovel-truck operations, not much of the work considers the impact of reliability and maintain- ability of the shovels and trucks on the productivity of the system. Therefore, this paper evaluates the effectiveness of the shovel-truck system in terms of productivity by studying the relationship between productivity and the reliability and maintainability of shovels and trucks. The approach and results may be helpful to mine operators in controlling the production process, planning equipment maintenance poli- cies, and for making other possible decisions. Introduction Reliability, maintainability and system effectiveness Shovel-truck operations continue tobe the most popular form of material handling operations in surface mining since they often offer many operational advantages. The haulage cost is the largest component of the operating cost of an open pit mine, in some cases accounting for about 50% of the operating cost. From an equipment design point of view, shovel-truck operating economics can be improved by increasing the shovel and truck capacities, or by enhancing equipment reliability and perfor- mance. From a mining-system design perspective, a good mine layout, an optimal mining sequence, and utilization of in-pit crushers with conveyors can also improve operational econom- ics. A close operational control of shovel-truck operations is another activity that can result in significant improvements in system efficiency and productivity. As a matter of fact, exten- sive studies have been conducted to analyze the effect of various truck allocation strategies (Kim and Ibarra, 1981; Lizotte and Bonates, 1987; Luo and Lin, 1988; Tu and Hucka, 1985; White and Olson, 1986). Another factor that can affect the productivity of a shovel-truck system is equipment availability. A good maintenance program can increase equipment availability and so reduce the economic losses associated with unreliability. Reliability theory has found some applications in mining engineering. Ramani, B hattacherjee and Pawlikowski (1 988) applied the concept of reliability engineering to the evaluation of longwall system performance. In their paper, definitions of Reliability is defined as the probability that a piece of equipment successfully performs its intended function for a given period of time under specified conditions (Martz and Waller, 1982). The reliability of a piece of equipment is usually measured in terms of mean time to failure (MTTF). which is the expected time during which the equipment will perform successfully. For a reparable item, mean time to failure (MTTF) is also known as mean time between failures (MTBF). Maintainability is the probability that a system in a failed state can be restored to its operational state within a specified time period when maintenance is performed. The maintain- ability of a piece of equipment is usually measured in terms of mean time to repair (MTTR), which is the expected time for the system to be restored. System effectiveness is defined as the probability that the system can successfully meet an operational demand within a given time period when operated under specified conditions (Martz and Weller, 1982). It can be measured in different terms such as reliability, availability, or productivity. In this paper, the system effectiveness is evaluated in terms of productivity, which means the production of the system in a time period (for instance, an hour or a shift). Markov processes S. Yuan and R.L. Grayson, members SME, are research associate A stochastic process is a collection of random variables that and dean, and professor of rniningengineering, respectively, with the " defined On the same probability 'pace and indexed by a Department of Mining Engineering, West Virginia University, real ~arameter(He~man and Sobel, 1982). It is oftendenotedas Morgantown, WV. SME nonrneeting paper 92-324. Manuscript ( X(t), t E T 1, where T is a set ofmmben that index the random Nov. 16,1992. Discussion of this peer-reviewed and approved paper variables X(t). The index t is often interpreted as time, and X(t) is invited and must be submitted, in duplicate, prior to Oct. 31,1995. is the value or the state of the process at time t. TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1828 SOCIETY FOR MINING, METALLURGY. AND EXPLORATION, INC A stochastic process {X(t), t E TI is a Markov process or a Markov chain if, for any positive integer n, time points to < tl < ... < t, < t,+l, and all states io, il, ..., inPl, i, j, That is, for a Markov chain, the conditional distribution of any future stateX(h+l) given the past statesX(tnel), . . ., X(tl), X(tl) and the present state X(t,) is independent of the past states and depends only on the present state. This property is often called the "memoryless" property of a Markov chain, or the Markovian property. If, for any time t > 0 and s > 0, P{X(t+s) = j/X(t) = i ) is independent oft , then the Markov chain is homogeneous or stationary. A Markov chain is said to be irreducible if all states communicate with each other. A state i is said to be positive recurrent if the probability that, starting in state i, the process will reenter state i equals one, and the expected time until the process returns to state i is finite. For an irreducible, positive recurrent, aperiodic Markov chain, the limiting probability (Pj), which represents the long-run proportion of time that the Markov chain is in state j, exists. For a continuous-time Markov chain, the amount of time it spends in a state before making a transition into a different state is exponentially distributed. Let v, be the rate at which the process makes a transition when in state j; let qij be the rate when in state i, that the process makes a transition into state j; and let pi, be the probability that when in state i, this transition is into state j. If the process is an irreducible, positive recurrent, apbriodic Markov chain, the limiting probability (Pj) exists. From Kolrnogorov's forward equation (Ross, 1989, p. 268): obtain: Or, preferably: This equation shows that the rate at which the process leaves state j equals the rate at which the process enters state j. Model development Operating status of shovel-truck systems In a shovel-truck operating system, equipment is subject to frequent failure, especially the trucks. Non-availability of the equipment can cause great production and economic losses. It has been demonstrated that the times between failures and the repair times of trucks are exponentially distributed. And that shovel repair times and the times between failures of a shovel could be represented by exponential distributions as well (Tu and Hucka, 1985). Therefore, Markov modeling can be used to analyze the operating status of the system. The following assumptions are made in the formulation of the model: The number of shovels and trucks are M and N, respec- tively. The time between failures and repair time of a shovel are exponentially distributed with Ash and k h . respec- tively. Thus: 1 MTBF =- Sh Ash where: MTBFsh is the mean time between failures of a shovel, and MTTRsh is the mean time to repair a shovel. Generally, Ash and k h are often considered as the failure rate and the repair rate of a shovel, respectively. The time between failures and the repair time of each truck are exponentially distributed with &,and h, respec- tively. Similarly, I MTTR =- " 'tr where: MTBF,, is the mean time between failures of a truck, and MTTR, is the mean time to repair a truck. All the parameters (Ash, kh, ht, and hr) are stationary. That is, they do not change with time. This assumption may not be true for the entire life cycle of the equipment. However, it is suitable, at least, for a period of time. In the assumptions it is assumed that the reliability and maintainability are identical for each piece of equipment. In the real world, this is not the situation. However, if the average reliability and the average maintainability of a type of equipment (shovel or truck) are used as the common reliability and common maintainability for that type of equip- ment, the assumptions are reasonable for the stochastic process defined below. That is because the m shovels and n trucks in a state (m, n) can be any of the M shovels or the N trucks. These assumptions simplify the model to be devel- oped next without loss of generality or applicability. A continuous-time stochastic process can be defined as: where m and n are the numbers of shovels and trucks operating or operable in the system, respectively. From the assumptions it is known that the times between failures and the repair times of both shovels and trucks are exponentially distributed. Therefore, the amount of time the stochastic process spends in a state before making a transition SOCIETY FOR MINING. METALLURGY. AND EXPLORATION, INC TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1829 pshJ/MAsb pshlTMAsh ~ . b l / M A s b Npt r (N-a + l)C(tr (N-n)C(tr C(tr (M,O) , (M,n) j . . . (M,N) Xtr nXtr ( a+ 1)Xtr NXtr Fig. 1 - State transition and transition rates of the shovel-truck system. to a different state follows an exponential distribution. Thus, ( Mkh + (N-n)ktr - nbr) P(o,n) = this stochastic process is a continuous-time Markov chain. Let v(,,~) be the rate at which the process makes a (N-n+l)ptrP(o, , , -I ) + (n+l)htrP(o, ,+I) transition when in state (m,n), and let q(,,,", )(m2,n2) be the rate (12) at which the process makes a transition into state (m2,n2) + &hP(l,n) for n = 1, ..., N-1 when in state (ml ,n 1). The state transition and the transition rates are shown in Fig. 1. In addition to the "memoryless" property, this Markov ( Mk h + Nbr ) P( ~, ~) = ktr P( ~ , N-1) + hshP(l,~) 3, chain has the folIowing properties: All the states of the Markov chain communicate. There- ((M-m)kh + mhsh + N~tr)P(rn,O) fore, this Markov chain is irreducible. This is a finite-state Markov chain, and it is aperiodic. = ("-m+l )khP(m-l, 0) (14) An irreducible, finite-state Markov chain is positive re- current in the sense that, starting in any state, the mean time to return to that state is finite. Thus, this Markov chain is positive recurrent. Since this Markov chain is irreducible, positive recurrent and aperiodic, the limiting probability that the Markov pro- cess is in a particular state (m,n) exists. Furthermore, this limiting probability is independent of the initial state of the stochastic process. This limiting probability represents the long-run portion of time that the process will be in state (m,n). Let P(,,n) be the limiting probability that the process wiIl be in state (m,n). From Kolmogorov's forward equation, the following equation can be obtained: for (k,l) = (OD), . .., (M,N) This gives the following set of equations: (Mkh + Nktr) P(o,o) = hshP(1,o) + htrP(0,l) (1 1) + (m+l)hshP(rn+~, 0) + htrP(rn,~) f orm = 1, ..., M-1 ((M-mIkh + mhh + (N-n)~tr+nhtr)P(rn,n) = (M-m+l )khP(rn-1 ,n) + (m+l)hhP(rn+l ,n) + (N-n+l )~trP(rn,n-l) + (n+l )brP(rn,n+~) (1 5) form = 1, ..., M-1; n = 1, ..., N-1 ((M-m)kh + mhh + Nhtr)P(rn,~) = (M-m+l )khP(rn-1 ,N) + (m+l )hhP(rn+l,N) + ~~t r ~( r n . ~- l ) for m = 1, ..., M-1 TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1830 SOCIETY FOR MINING, METALLURGY, AND EXPLORATION,INC. low Erlang distributions, and they are identical for each piece of eaui~ment. . I ( 17) The parameters describing the distributions do not change in the simulation process, that is, the activity times are stable. After dumping, a truck will go to a shovel with mini- mum queueing length. + (N-n+l )~trP(M,n-1) + (n+l )htrP(M,n+l) (l a) These assumptions are just for this study. If a study is conducted for a particular mine, the above assumptions are for n = 1, ..., N-1 not necessary and the simulation can be done in accordance with the actual situations of that mine. The simulation language SLAM I1 (Simulation Language (Mhsh + Nht rI P( M, ~) = for Alternative Modeling) (Pritsker, 1986) is used to model the system. Depicted in Fig. 2 is the SLAM I1 network model khP(M-1 ,N) + PtrP(M,N-1) (I 9) for routing then entities representing then trucks based on the assumptions given above. The n entities need to be inserted The preceding set of equations, along with the following into the network directly. These entities will continue to equation: cycle through the network until the simulation is terminated. When an entity arrives at the node SELQ, it will select the (MN) shovel with minimum queueing length for loading. After P(rn.n) = ' (20) completing the loading operation, the entity then undertakes (rn,n) =(O,o) the activities representing hauling, dumping and traveling can be used to solve for P(,,-,). back, and returns to node SELQ. The global variable XX(1) keeps the record of the production during the simulation Unit-time productivity of the system in a specific state process. LOAD, HAUL, DUMP, and TRAVEL are at- tributes of an entity used to specify the Erlang distributions To determine the unit-time productivity of the system in a describing loading, hauling, dumping and traveling back specific state (m,n), we can consider a shovel-truck system activities. From the production and the simulation time, the with m shovels and n trucks in the system without break- unit-time productivity (U(m n)) can be determined. downs of trucks and/or shovels. For such a system, the basic activities include loading, hauling, dumping and traveling Effectiveness of the shovel-truck system back. The times for performing these activities can be described by distributions such as a triangle distribution, a System effectiveness is a measure of the ability of a normal distribution, a lognormal distribution, an exponential system to accomplish its objectives. In this paper, the distribution, an Erlang distribution, or a Weibull distribution, objective is to evaluate the system effectiveness in terms of depending on the real world situations in the particular mine. productivity, or more specifically, to study the relationship Theoretically, the system can be described as a cyclic, between the productivity and the reliability of the equipment closed queueing network. If the activity times are exponen- (MTBFsh and MTBF,,) and the maintainability of the equip- tially distributed, the steady state probability can be easily ment (MTTRsh and MTTR,,). achieved by using the Markovian property. However, in the For a shovel-truck system with M shovels and N trucks, real world, the activity times are often not exponentially the probability the system will be in state (m,n), or the long- distributed. An Erlang distribution can describe the actual run portion of time the system will be in state (m,n), is P(,,n). activity times better than an exponential distribution. If the The unit-time productivity of the system in state (m,n) is activity times follow Erlang distributions, the activities can U(,,.,,. Therefore, the unit-time productivity of the system is: be treated as if they are camed out in a number of phases (M.N ) where the time interval for each phase is exponentially distributed, and the Markovian'property can still be used in = P(rn.n)U(rn,n) (rn,n) =(O,O) ( 21 the analysis. Suppose there are no breakdowns of shovels and trucks (i.e. However, queueing models with Erlang distributed activities the system is always in state (M,N)), then the effectiveness of the suffer from computational difficulties, since the number of states system is 1. The unit-time productivity of such a system is: that describe the system will be huge when the numbers of shovels and trucks increase. Queueing networks with activity times follow- S(M,N) = U(M,N) (22) ing other distributions are very difficult to solve mathematically. Thus, in general, the effectiveness of a shovel-truck system is: Therefore, a sirnulation technique is used to study the unit-time productivity of the system in a particular state (ma) in this study. The following assumptions are made in the simulation: There is enough space at the dumping points so that there is no waiting for dumping when a truck arrives at a dumping point. Activity times for loading, haul- ing, dumping and traveling back fol- Fig. 2 - SLAM II network for the system in a state (m,n). SOCIETY FOR MINING. METALLURGY. AND EXPLORATION, INC. TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1831 LFT",, The relationship between the system effectiveness and BBT: , : The relationship between the system effectiveness and For a given shovel-truck system, if the activity times are stable, the system effectiveness is a function of the reliability of equipment (MTBFsh and MTBF,,) and the maintainability of the equipment (MITRsh and MTTR,,). A quantitative study of system effectiveness A personal computer program was coded to solve the prob- lem. The main tasks of the program include setting up the coefficient mamx and solving the linear system for P(,,n). The linear system was solved by the Gaussian-elimination method. The outcomes of simulation (the unit-time productivity of the system in different states) are input to the program and used to determine the system effectiveness. A shovel-truck system with four shovels and 20 trucks is used for the quantitative example. Figures 3. 4. 5 and 6 illustrate how MITRsh, MlTR,,, MTBFsh and MTBF,, will affect the system effectiveness. These figures are based on the following conditions: Figure 3 -The values of MTBFsh, MlTR,, and MTBF,, Eb:, The relationship between the system effectiveness and ZFB;,: The relationship between the system effectiveness and are fixed at 90, 5 and 45 hours, respectively. Figure 4 -The values of MTTRsh, MTBFsh and MTBF,, are fixed at 8, 90 and 45 hours, respectively. Figure 5 - The values of MTTRsh, MTTR,, and MTBF,, are fixed at 8, 5 and 45 hours, respectively. Figure 6 -The values of Ml TRsh, MTBFsh and MTTRtr are fixed at 8, 90 and 5 hours, respectively. From Figs. 3 and4, it can be seen that the system effective- ness decreases when the mean time to repair the equipment increases. Figures 5 and 6 indicate that the system effective- ness increases when the mean time between failures of the equipment increases. Figure 7 is based on the data in Table 1. From condition 1 to condition 2 1, MTBFsh and MTBF,, increase, MTTRsh and MTTR,,decrease, and only one of the parameters changes each time. From Fig. 7 and Table 1, note that MlTR,, and MTBF,, have agreater effect on the system effectiveness thanMTTRsh and MTBFsh, respectively. In other words, the reliability and maintainability of trucks have a greater effect on the system effectiveness than those of shovels. For example, from condition 1 to condition 5, MTTRsh, MTBFsh, M'ITR,, and MTBF,, increase or decrease by one hour, respectively, and the system effectiveness increases by 0.0057,0.0006,0.0129 and 0.0024, respectively. This is partly because MTBFsh is TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1832 SOCIETY FOR MINING, METALLURGY. AND EXPLORATION. INC SOCIETY FOR MINING. METALLURGY, AND EXPLORATION, INC. increase of the system effectiveness by 0.0217. Thus, it is clear that the system effectiveness may not be improved significantly by only improving the reliability or the main- tainability of one type of equipment. If both the reliability and the maintainability of both types of equipment can be improved simultaneously, the system effectiveness can be improved significantly. Conclusions This paper has presented a methodology for analyzing the system effectiveness of shovel-truck mining systems. By performing sensitivity analyses, the effect of the reliability and maintainability of each type of equipment on the system effectiveness was assessed. The parameter that has the most Conditions significant effect on the system effectiveness was pinpointed. The quantitative study suggested that in order to obtain high Fig. 7 - The system ef f ect i veness under di f f er ent conditions. system effectiveness, it is necessary to simultaneously im- prove the reliability and maintainability of the equipment, or larger than MTBF, and the number of trucks is larger than the in other words, the quality and efficiency of the maintenance number of shovels in the system. program must be improved. It can also be noted that each time when M-decreases by The quality and efficiency of the maintenance program one hour, there is a jump of the system effectiveness. Thus, the can be enhanced by better planning of equipment mainte- maintainability of trucks is the most sensitive parameter. Mea- nance (including better preventive or predictive maintenance sures should be taken to reduce the repair time of trucks. and better work procedures), by using better trained mechan- From Fig. 7 it seems that, except for MTTR,,, each of ics, by better controlling parts inventory, and by utilizing an the other factors (MTTRsh, MTBFSh and MTBF,,) alone information system to achieve better response time. Basi- does not have a significant effect on the system effective- cally, better preventivelpredictive maintenance will increase ness. For example, from condition- 5 to condition 9, the reliability of equipment (MTBFsh and MTBF,,), while MTTRsh, MTBFSh and MTBF,, increase or decrease by one better workforce capability (training level) and response time hour, and the systemeffectiveness only increases by 0.0061, will improve the maintainability of equipment (MTTRsh and 0.0006 and 0.0020, respectively. However, the combined M'ITR,,). Even though some costs will be involved in such effect of these three parameters (an increase of the system activities, the increase of system effectiveness will generally effectiveness of 0.0087) will be non-negligible. Together result in a significant increase of productivity. with the effect of MTTR,,, the total effect will be an TRANSACTIONS VOL. 296 1833 Table 1 - The system ef f ect i veness under di f f er ent conditions System Condition MlTR,, MTBF,,, MlTR, MTBF,, effectiveness 1 10 80 8 36 0.8093 2 9 80 8 36 0.81 50 3 9 81 8 36 0.8156 4 9 8 1 7 36 0.8285 5 9 81 7 37 0.8309 6 8 8 1 7 37 0.8370 7 8 82 7 37 0.8376 8 8 82 6 37 0.8506 9 8 82 6 38 0.8526 10 7 82 6 38 0.8591 1 1 7 83 6 38 0.8596 12 7 83 5 38 0.8726 13 7 83 5 39 0.8743 14 6 83 5 39 0.881 1 15 6 84 5 39 0.881 6 16 6 84 4 39 0.8947 17 6 84 4 40 0.8960 18 5 84 4 40 0.9032 19 5 85 4 40 0.9037 20 5 85 3 40 0.91 66 21 5 85 3 41 0.91 76 References Heyman. D.P.. and Sobel. M.J.. 1982. 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