You are on page 1of 49

Quantitative Methods

Time Value of Money



www.irfanullah.co
1
Graphs, charts, tables, examples, and figures are copyright 2012, CFA
Institute. Reproduced and republished with permission from CFA Institute.
All rights reserved.


Contents
1. Introduction
2. Interest Rates: Interpretation
3. The Future Value of a Single Cash Flow
4. The Future Value of a Series of Cash Flows
5. The Present Value of a Single Cash Flows
6. The Present Value of a Series of Cash Flows
7. Solving for Rates, Number of Periods, or Size
of Annuity Payments

www.irfanullah.co 2
Video Lecture 1
39 minutes
Video Lecture 2
40 minutes
1. Introduction
Time value of money

Interest rates

Present value

Future value
www.irfanullah.co 3
2. Interest Rates: Interpretation
Interest rates can be interpreted as:
1. Required rate of return
2. Discount rate
3. Opportunity cost

Say you lend $900 today and receive $990 after one year


www.irfanullah.co 4
Required Rate of Return Discount Rate Opportunity Cost
Interest Rates: Investor Perspective
www.irfanullah.co 5
As investors, we can view an interest rate as:

Real risk-free interest rate +
Inflation premium +
Default risk premium +
Liquidity premium +
Maturity premium
Nominal
Risk-free
Rate
Practice Question 1
Jill Smith wishes to compute the required rate of return. Which of the
following premiums is she least likely to include?
A. Inflation premium
B. Maturity premium
C. Nominal premium

www.irfanullah.co 6
Answer: C

Required rate of return includes inflation premium, maturity premium, default
risk premium, and liquidity premium. There is no such component as a
nominal premium.
Practice Question 2
Which of the following is least likely true?
A. Discount rate is the rate needed to calculate present value
B. Opportunity cost represents the value an investor forgoes
C. Required rate of return is the maximum rate of return an investor
must receive to accept an investment

www.irfanullah.co 7
Answer: C

Required rate of return is the minimum rate of return an investor must
receive to accept an investment. Therefore, option C is least likely to be the
interpretation of interest rates.

Investments Maturity
(in years)
Liquidity Default risk Interest Rates (%)
A 1 High Low 2.0
B 1 Low Low 2.5
C 2 Low Low r
D 3 High Low 3.0
E 3 Low High 4.0
Practice Question 3
1. Explain the difference between the interest rates on
Investment A and Investment B.
2. Estimate the default risk premium.
3. Calculate upper and lower limits for the interest rate on
Investment C, r.
8
3. Future Value of a Single Cash Flow
www.irfanullah.co 9
FV
N
= PV (1 + r)
N

0 1 2
PV = 100 and r = 10%
What is the FV after one year?
What is the FV after two years?
Practice Question 4
Cyndia Rojers deposits $5 million in her savings account. The account holders are
entitled to a 5% interest. If Cyndia withdraws cash after 2.5 years, how much cash
would she most likely be able to withdraw?

www.irfanullah.co 10
FV Calculation Using a Financial Calculator
www.irfanullah.co 11
Keystrokes Explanation Display
[2nd] [FORMAT] [ ENTER ] Get into format mode DEC = 9
[2nd] [QUIT] Return to standard calc mode 0
You invest $100 today at 10% compounded annually. How
much will you have in 5 years?
Keystrokes Explanation Display
[2nd] [QUIT] Return to standard calc mode 0
[2
nd
] [CLR TVM] Clears TVM Worksheet 0
5 [N] Five years/periods N = 5
10 [I/Y] Set interest rate I/Y = 10
100 [PV] Set present value PV = 100
0 [PMT] Set payment PMT = 0
[CPT] [FV] Compute future value FV = -161.05
Set to floating decimal
3.1 Frequency of Compounding
You invest 80,000 in a 3-year certificate of deposit. This CD offers a stated
annual interest rate of 10% compounded quarterly. How much will you
have at the end of three years?

www.irfanullah.co 12
Multiple Compounding Periods - Calculator
www.irfanullah.co 13
You invest 80,000 in a 3-year certificate of deposit. This CD offers a stated annual
interest rate of 10% compounded quarterly. How much will you have at the end of
three years?

Practice Question 5
www.irfanullah.co 14
Donald invested $3 million in an American bank that promises to pay 4% compounded daily. Which
of the following is closest to the amount Donald receives at the end of the first year? Assume 365
days in a year.
A. $3.003 million
B. $3.122 million
C. $3.562 million
3.2 Continuous Compounding
Infinite compounding periods per year continuous compounding
www.irfanullah.co 15
FV
N
= PV e
r N

An investment worth $50,000 earns interest that is compounded
continuously. The stated annual interest is 3.6%. What is the
future value of the investment after 3 years?
Concept Building Exercise
www.irfanullah.co 16
Frequency Future value of $100 Return
Annual 112 12.00%
Semiannual 112.36 12.36%
Quarterly
Monthly
Daily
Continuous
Assume the stated annual interest rate is 12%. What is the future value of $100 at
different compounding frequencies?
3.3 Stated and Effective Rates
www.irfanullah.co 17
With a discrete number of compounding periods:
EAR = (1 + Periodic interest rate)
m
1





With continuous compounding:
EAR = e
r

1

4. The Future Value of a Series of Cash Flows
Annuity: finite set of level sequential cash flows

Ordinary annuity: an annuity where the first cash flow occurs one period from today



Annuity due: an annuity where the first cash flow occurs immediately



Perpetuity: set of level never-ending sequential cash flows with the first cash flow
occurring one period from today
www.irfanullah.co 18
0 1 2
0 1 2
4.1 Future Cash Flows Ordinary Annuity
www.irfanullah.co 19
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ordinary annuity with A = 1,000 r = 5% and N = 5
Ordinary Annuity - Formula
www.irfanullah.co 20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ordinary annuity with A = 1,000 r = 5% and N = 5
FV
N
= A {[(1+r)
N
1]/r}
FV
N
= A {Future Value Annuity Factor}
Ordinary Annuity - Calculator
www.irfanullah.co 21
Ordinary annuity with A = 1,000 r = 5% and N = 5
N = 5

I/Y = 5

PV = 0

PMT = 1,000

CPT FV
Practice Question 6
www.irfanullah.co 22
Haley deposits $24,000 in her bank account at the end of every year. The account
earns 12% per annum. If she continues this practice, how much money will she have
at the end of 15 years?

Practice Question 7
www.irfanullah.co 23
Iago wishes to compute the future value of an annuity worth $120,000. He is aware
that the FV annuity factor is 21.664 and the interest rate is 4.5%. Which of the
following is least likely to be useful for the future value computation?
A. Annuity worth
B. Future value annuity factor
C. Interest rate

Answer: C

4.2 Unequal Cash Flows
Time Cash Flow ($)
1 1,000
2 2,000
3 3,000
4 4,000
5 5,000
www.irfanullah.co 24
What is the future value at year 5?
www.irfanullah.co 25
End of Lecture 1
5. Finding the Present Value of a Single Cash Flow
www.irfanullah.co 26
PV = FV
N
(1+r)
-N

For a given discount rate, the farther in the future the amount to be received,
the small the amounts present value.

Holding time constant, the larger the discount rate, the smaller the present
value of a future amount.
Practice Question 8
www.irfanullah.co 27
Liam purchases a contract from an insurance company. The contract promises to pay
$600,000 after 8 years with a 5% return. What amount of money should Liam most
likely invest? Solve using the formula and TVM functions on the calculator.

Answer: 406,104
Practice Question 9
www.irfanullah.co 28
Mathews wishes to fund his son, Nathans, college tuition fee. He purchases a security
that will pay $1,000,000 in 12 years. Nathans college begins 3 years from now. Given
that the discount rate is 7.5%, what is the securitys value at the time of Nathans
admission?

Answer: 521,583
Practice Question 10
www.irfanullah.co 29
Orlando is a manager at an Australian pension fund. 5 years from today he wants a
lump sum amount of AUD40, 000. Given that the current interest rate is 4% a year,
compounded monthly, how much should Orlando invest today?
Answer: 32,760
6. Present Value of a Series of Cash Flows
Present value of a series of equal cash flows (annuity)

Present value of a perpetuity

Present value indexed at times other than zero

Present value of a series of unequal cash flows
www.irfanullah.co 30
6.1 Present Value of a Series of Equal Cash Flows
www.irfanullah.co 31
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ordinary annuity with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
PV of an Ordinary Annuity: Using the Formula
www.irfanullah.co 32
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ordinary annuity with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
PV = A {[1 1/(1+r)
N
]/r}
PV of an Ordinary Annuity: Using the Calculator
www.irfanullah.co 33
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ordinary annuity with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
Annuity Due The Concept
www.irfanullah.co 34
0 1 2 3 4 5
Annuity due with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
PV of an Annuity Due: Using the Formula
www.irfanullah.co 35
0 1 2 3 4 5
Annuity due with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
PV (annuity due) = A {[1 1/(1+r)
N
]/r} (1+r)
PV of an Annuity Due: Using the Calculator
www.irfanullah.co 36
0 1 2 3 4 5
Annuity due with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5
Key Strokes Display
[2nd] [BGN] [2nd] [SET] BGN
[2nd] [QUIT]
BGN
0
[2nd] [CLR TVM]
BGN
0
5 [N]
BGN
N = 5
5 [I/Y]
BGN
I/Y = 5
10 [PMT]
BGN
PMT = 10
0 [FV]
BGN
FV = 0
[CPT] [PV]
BGN

[2nd] [BGN] [2nd] [SET] END
[2nd] [QUIT] 0
6.2 Present Value of a Perpetuity
www.irfanullah.co 37
PV = A/r
Present value is one period before the first
cash flow


Simple example to understand the formula:
You invest $100 and get 5% for ever. What is
the cash flow?
6.3 Present Values Indexed at Times Other Than t=0
www.irfanullah.co 38
An annuity or perpetuity beginning sometime in the future can be expressed in present
value terms one period prior to the first payment
Discount back to todays present value
Practice Question 11
www.irfanullah.co 39
Bill Graham is willing to pay for a perpetual preferred stock that pays dividends worth
$100 per year indefinitely. The first payment will be received at t = 4. Given that the
required rate of return is 10%, how much should Mr. Graham pay today?
Answer: 751.31
6.4 The Present Value of a Series of Unequal Cash Flows
www.irfanullah.co 40
Find the present value of each individual cash

Sum the respective present values

0 1 2 3
Practice Question 12
www.irfanullah.co 41
Andy makes an investment with the expected cash flow shown in the table below.
Assuming a discount rate of 9% what is the present value of this investment?


Answer: 550
Time Period Cash Flow($)
1 50
2 100
3 150
4 200
5 250
7. Solving for Rates, Number of Periods, or Size of
Annuity Payments
Solving for Interest Rates and Growth
Solving for Number of Periods
Solving for the Size of Annuity Payments
Review of Present Value and Future Value Equivalence
The Cash Flow Additivity Principle
www.irfanullah.co 42
7.1 Solving for Interest Rates and Growth Rates
www.irfanullah.co 43
A $100 deposit today grows to $121 in 2 years.
What is the interest rate? Use both the formula and the
calculator method.


The population of a small town is 100,000 on 1 Jan
2000. On 31 December 2001 the population is
121,000. What is the growth rate?




You invest $900 today and receive a $100 coupon
payment at the end of every year for 5 years. In
addition, you receive $1,000 and the end of year 5.
What is the interest rate?
7.2 Solving for the Number of Periods
www.irfanullah.co 44
You invest $2,500. How many years will it take to triple the amount given that
the interest rate is 6% per annum compounded annually? Use both the formula
and the calculator method.
Answer: 18.85 years
7.3 Solving for the Size of Annuity Payments
www.irfanullah.co 45
Freddie bought a car worth $42,000 today. He was required to make a 15% down payment. The
remainder was to be paid as a monthly payment over the next 12 months with the first payment
due at t=1. Given that the interest rate is 8% per annum compounded monthly, what is the
approximate monthly payment?
Answer: 3,106
7.4 Review of Present and Future Value Equivalence
A lump sum can be considered equivalent
to an annuity


An annuity can be considered equivalent
to a future value



A lump sum can be considered equivalent
to a future value
www.irfanullah.co 46
Ordinary annuity with A = 10 r = 5% and N = 5 PV = 43.29
0 1 2 3 4 5
FV = 55.26
Lump sum = PV = 43.29
7.5 The Cash Flow Additivity Principle
www.irfanullah.co 47
Amounts of money indexed at the same point in time are additive
0 1 2 3
Summary
1. Interest Rates

2. Future Value

3. Present Value

4. Solving for Rates, Number of
Periods, or Size of Annuity
Payments

www.irfanullah.co 48
Conclusion
Review learning objectives

Examples and practice problems from the
curriculum

Practice questions from other sources
www.irfanullah.co 49

You might also like